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 "heading": "Benfica vs Lech Poznań: recorded predictions and results",
 "description": "Benfica vs Lech Poznań, 5 November 2026. Final score 3-1 · UEFA Europa League: 34 distinct predictions from 21 authors.",
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  "body": "Benfica finished 3-1 against Lech Poznań. 2 of the 6 recorded correct-score predictions matched that score. Other markets are shown separately below. Forecast Record recorded 34 statements from 21 authors on Benfica vs Lech Poznań (UEFA Europa League, kick-off 5 November 2026): 34 distinct predictions, all of the statements recorded before kick-off.",
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  "data": "2026-11-05",
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 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
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 "event": {
  "id": "s-4766d0504814",
  "display_name": "Benfica — Lech Poznań",
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  "starts_at": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z",
  "status": "finished",
  "scoreline": "3-1",
  "condition": "finished",
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  "result_received_at": "2026-11-05T22:09:14.981Z",
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   "distribution": [
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     "outcome_label": "Benfica",
     "figure": 10,
     "share": "100.0"
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   "n": 10,
   "author_count": 10,
   "median_odds": "1.13",
   "summary": "Most common recorded selection in this market: Benfica — 10 of 10 eligible picks (one per author), median stated price 1.13",
   "late_excluded": 0,
   "contributions": 10,
   "prediction_count": 10,
   "chain": {
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    "unique": 34,
    "comparable": 34,
    "admissible": 34,
    "contributions": 34
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   "differing_choices": 0,
   "different_products": 0,
   "counting_rule": "1"
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  "country_name": "Europe",
  "competition_full": "UEFA Europa League (Europe)"
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   "url": "/sources/wincomparator-com/products/l-equipe-wincomparator/picks/73/#pick-n-f9d3e4b03f6956a2460bed51",
   "quote_text": "Notre pronostic\n\nBenfica gagne le match\n\nProbabilité : 66.22%\n\nProbabilité : 66.22%\n\n1.14",
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    "display_name": "Benfica — Lech Poznań",
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    "url": "/football/matches/benfica-vs-lech-poznan-2026-11-05/",
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    "url": "/football/matches/benfica-vs-lech-poznan-2026-11-05/",
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   "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
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   "url": "/authors/victor-arnaud-etchemendy/picks/4/#pick-n-08cc358a126ed540ac9476a3",
   "quote_text": "Misez par exemple sur le pari \"Lukebakio buteur\" (cote à 2,40)",
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   "quote_text": "Benfica over 2.5 team goals at 1.57 (4/7) is an appealing selection, as the hosts have the attacking depth to put Lech under sustained pressure and should have enough opportunities to reach three goals or more.",
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   ],
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   },
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     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
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     "status": "confirmed",
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     "change_hundredths": 1111,
     "executed_at": "2026-11-05T18:23:55.625Z",
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   ],
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   },
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-f0bf91db3c464d3a28662617",
   "url": "/sources/footystats-org/picks/118/#pick-n-f0bf91db3c464d3a28662617",
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   "fragment_from": 4103,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
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    "bundle_id": "f0f0e6b51f8d3f0df30845a46cbb945730984e907752fed93073849d46d43650",
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    "url": "/football/matches/benfica-vs-lech-poznan-2026-11-05/",
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
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   "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
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   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "no",
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   "author_claim": {
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    "in_words": "Both teams to score: no at 1.85"
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   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Benfica 3-1 Lech Poznań."
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   "settlements": [
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     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
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     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
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    },
    {
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     "site_simulation": true,
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     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
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     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
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   ],
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 ],
 "record_counts": {
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  "predictions": 34,
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  "sentence": "Benfica finished 3-1 against Lech Poznań. 2 of the 6 recorded correct-score predictions matched that score. Other markets are shown separately below.",
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    "author": "AI match predictions",
    "author_url": "/sources/ai-match-predictions/",
    "market": "1X2, match result",
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    "published_at": "2026-11-05T11:13:41.000Z",
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   {
    "record_id": "n-0f8cb0bef7290e0827d1fda4",
    "url": "/sources/betclan-com/picks/123/#pick-n-0f8cb0bef7290e0827d1fda4",
    "author": "BetClan",
    "author_url": "/sources/betclan-com/",
    "market": "1X2, match result",
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    "published_at": "2026-10-31T00:10:00.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T00:19:24.693Z",
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   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-218b3ef0b9556ac91d86368a",
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    "author": "Coteur",
    "author_url": "/sources/coteur-com/",
    "market": "1X2, match result",
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    "published_at": null,
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T17:59:31.921Z",
    "lead_hours": 2.0,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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    "before_kickoff": true,
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   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-c397aab88dd943a7836b9b48",
    "url": "/sources/footballpredictions-net/picks/170/#pick-n-c397aab88dd943a7836b9b48",
    "author": "FootballPredictions.net",
    "author_url": "/sources/footballpredictions-net/",
    "market": "1X2, match result",
    "selection": "Benfica",
    "outcome": "Won",
    "price": null,
    "published_at": null,
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T03:05:26.296Z",
    "lead_hours": 16.9,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-142f62d6aa8a60a6524d644b",
    "url": "/sources/footystats-org/picks/116/#pick-n-142f62d6aa8a60a6524d644b",
    "author": "FootyStats",
    "author_url": "/sources/footystats-org/",
    "market": "1X2, match result",
    "selection": "Benfica",
    "outcome": "Won",
    "price": "1.13",
    "published_at": null,
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T15:09:23.243Z",
    "lead_hours": 4.8,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-22c712beb479b21dc8e8d0d6",
    "url": "/authors/italo-verde/picks/9/#pick-n-22c712beb479b21dc8e8d0d6",
    "author": "Italo Verde",
    "author_url": "/authors/italo-verde/",
    "market": "1X2, match result",
    "selection": "Benfica",
    "outcome": "Won",
    "price": "1.13",
    "published_at": "2026-11-04T21:11:09.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-04T21:21:28.778Z",
    "lead_hours": 22.6,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-e90fbbf6ab21000c1bee1380",
    "url": "/sources/oddslot-com/picks/28/#pick-n-e90fbbf6ab21000c1bee1380",
    "author": "ODDSLOT (es)",
    "author_url": "/sources/oddslot-com/",
    "market": "1X2, match result",
    "selection": "Benfica",
    "outcome": "Won",
    "price": "1.14",
    "published_at": null,
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T00:40:13.765Z",
    "lead_hours": 19.3,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
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   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-ae24162eb95ea5eef543c185",
    "url": "/sources/statarea-com/picks/233/#pick-n-ae24162eb95ea5eef543c185",
    "author": "Statarea",
    "author_url": "/sources/statarea-com/",
    "market": "1X2, match result",
    "selection": "Benfica",
    "outcome": "Won",
    "price": null,
    "published_at": null,
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-04T23:32:54.060Z",
    "lead_hours": 20.5,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-ee848bbcfcf8aa1727964e04",
    "url": "/sources/vitisport-cz/picks/58/#pick-n-ee848bbcfcf8aa1727964e04",
    "author": "Vitibet / Vitisport",
    "author_url": "/sources/vitisport-cz/",
    "market": "1X2, match result",
    "selection": "Benfica",
    "outcome": "Won",
    "price": null,
    "published_at": null,
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T04:02:51.251Z",
    "lead_hours": 16.0,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-f9d3e4b03f6956a2460bed51",
    "url": "/sources/wincomparator-com/products/l-equipe-wincomparator/picks/73/#pick-n-f9d3e4b03f6956a2460bed51",
    "author": "Wincomparator",
    "author_url": "/sources/wincomparator-com/",
    "market": "1X2, match result",
    "selection": "Benfica",
    "outcome": "Won",
    "price": "1.14",
    "published_at": null,
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-26T19:29:49.927Z",
    "lead_hours": 240.5,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-fa91bd9a6426a01b4b37eda2",
    "url": "/sources/bettingexpert-com/picks/33/#pick-n-fa91bd9a6426a01b4b37eda2",
    "author": "BETSiE (AceOdds)",
    "author_url": "/sources/bettingexpert-com/",
    "market": "Asian handicap -1, first half",
    "selection": "Benfica -1.00",
    "outcome": "Void",
    "price": null,
    "published_at": null,
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T15:12:58.917Z",
    "lead_hours": 4.8,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-232e7d4f534905741e12e28d",
    "url": "/sources/bettingexpert-com/picks/33/#pick-n-232e7d4f534905741e12e28d",
    "author": "BETSiE (AceOdds)",
    "author_url": "/sources/bettingexpert-com/",
    "market": "Asian handicap -1.75",
    "selection": "Benfica -1.75",
    "outcome": "Half won",
    "price": null,
    "published_at": null,
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T15:12:58.917Z",
    "lead_hours": 4.8,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-b99d4ed85e0f1bcf1251d9bd",
    "url": "/sources/scores24-telegram/picks/5/#pick-n-b99d4ed85e0f1bcf1251d9bd",
    "author": "Scores24 Telegram",
    "author_url": "/sources/scores24-telegram/",
    "market": "Asian handicap 2.5",
    "selection": "Lech Poznań +2.5",
    "outcome": "Won",
    "price": "1.85",
    "published_at": "2026-11-05T13:01:48.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T13:14:47.494Z",
    "lead_hours": 6.8,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-37e3c1947dc9a3512c6fb869",
    "url": "/sources/betclan-com/picks/123/#pick-n-37e3c1947dc9a3512c6fb869",
    "author": "BetClan",
    "author_url": "/sources/betclan-com/",
    "market": "Both teams to score",
    "selection": "no",
    "outcome": "Lost",
    "price": null,
    "published_at": "2026-10-31T00:10:00.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T00:19:24.693Z",
    "lead_hours": 19.7,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-f0bf91db3c464d3a28662617",
    "url": "/sources/footystats-org/picks/118/#pick-n-f0bf91db3c464d3a28662617",
    "author": "FootyStats",
    "author_url": "/sources/footystats-org/",
    "market": "Both teams to score",
    "selection": "no",
    "outcome": "Lost",
    "price": "1.85",
    "published_at": null,
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T18:09:22.229Z",
    "lead_hours": 1.8,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-a58aeee203d38a38b16fb2ad",
    "url": "/sources/scores24-live/picks/61/#pick-n-a58aeee203d38a38b16fb2ad",
    "author": "Scores24",
    "author_url": "/sources/scores24-live/",
    "market": "Both teams to score",
    "selection": "yes",
    "outcome": "Won",
    "price": "1.90",
    "published_at": null,
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T09:29:55.746Z",
    "lead_hours": 10.5,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-d64042a98adbf8091ef9d60a",
    "url": "/sources/ai-match-predictions/picks/8/#pick-n-d64042a98adbf8091ef9d60a",
    "author": "AI match predictions",
    "author_url": "/sources/ai-match-predictions/",
    "market": "Correct score",
    "selection": "Benfica 4-1 Lech Poznań",
    "outcome": "Lost",
    "price": null,
    "published_at": "2026-11-05T11:13:41.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T11:21:50.135Z",
    "lead_hours": 8.6,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-44ccf7a1cccad4c731224322",
    "url": "/authors/adeyeye-oluwapelumi/picks/2/#pick-n-44ccf7a1cccad4c731224322",
    "author": "Adeyeye Oluwapelumi",
    "author_url": "/authors/adeyeye-oluwapelumi/",
    "market": "Correct score",
    "selection": "Benfica 4-1 Lech Poznań",
    "outcome": "Lost",
    "price": null,
    "published_at": "2026-11-03T21:44:00.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-03T22:10:13.651Z",
    "lead_hours": 45.8,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-d6adcb62c309830ace7d345b",
    "url": "/authors/jasper-van-den-boogaard/picks/65/#pick-n-d6adcb62c309830ace7d345b",
    "author": "Jasper van den Boogaard",
    "author_url": "/authors/jasper-van-den-boogaard/",
    "market": "Correct score",
    "selection": "Benfica 3-0 Lech Poznań",
    "outcome": "Lost",
    "price": null,
    "published_at": "2026-11-03T10:22:36.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-04T23:19:25.285Z",
    "lead_hours": 20.7,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-49b9652462549588e4bdf45f",
    "url": "/authors/matt-law/picks/15/#pick-n-49b9652462549588e4bdf45f",
    "author": "Matt Law",
    "author_url": "/authors/matt-law/",
    "market": "Correct score",
    "selection": "Benfica 4-1 Lech Poznań",
    "outcome": "Lost",
    "price": null,
    "published_at": "2026-11-05T00:05:00.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T01:10:10.337Z",
    "lead_hours": 18.8,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-8b7956ef58b48148e2c0d223",
    "url": "/sources/oddsekspert-no/picks/17/#pick-n-8b7956ef58b48148e2c0d223",
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    "entity_ref": "e-a5fae91699fa0af1c66f2b8e",
    "name_shown": "Wincomparator — L'équipe Wincomparator",
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    "type_code": "author_before_match",
    "moment_at": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z",
    "freeze_at": "2026-11-06T14:34:25.686Z",
    "approach": "by_capture_time",
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    "figures": {
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     "period_from": "2026-10-17",
     "period_to": "2026-11-04",
     "price_rule": "Our market snapshot",
     "return_percent": "-21.25",
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    "entity_ref": "e-ee8632a85dace9e58b15c36e",
    "name_shown": "BetClan",
    "url": "/sources/betclan-com/"
   },
   {
    "id": "sr-6063cbb5ed4c53fde4fd3470",
    "type_code": "author_before_match",
    "moment_at": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z",
    "freeze_at": "2026-11-06T14:34:25.686Z",
    "approach": "by_capture_time",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "counting_rule": "1",
    "figures": {
     "matches": 6,
     "method_version": "2.2",
     "net_points_hundredths": 9694,
     "period_from": "2026-10-18",
     "period_to": "2026-10-22",
     "price_rule": "Our market snapshot",
     "return_percent": "16.16",
     "settled_picks": 6,
     "staked_hundredths": 60000,
     "void": 0
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       "author_name": "Adeyeye Oluwapelumi",
       "author_href": "/authors/adeyeye-oluwapelumi/",
       "source_group": "experts",
       "choice": "Vangelis Pavlidis to score",
       "market_label": "Player to score",
       "logged_at": "2026-11-03T21:04:17.183Z",
       "original": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/benfica-vs-lech-poznan-prediction-05-11-2026/",
       "proof": "/authors/adeyeye-oluwapelumi/picks/10/#pick-n-b6d487befff80aa0bd071293",
       "quote_text": "with the Greek striker playing a decisive role in Benfica's attack and likely to have opportunities to add to his recent scoring run",
       "retelling": null,
       "checkable_item": false,
       "against": false
      },
      {
       "entry_id": "n-df85113ae9ada74c98197b1e",
       "author_name": "Adeyeye Oluwapelumi",
       "author_href": "/authors/adeyeye-oluwapelumi/",
       "source_group": "experts",
       "choice": "Benfica over 2.5",
       "market_label": "Team goals over/under 2.5",
       "logged_at": "2026-11-03T21:04:17.183Z",
       "original": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/benfica-vs-lech-poznan-prediction-05-11-2026/",
       "proof": "/authors/adeyeye-oluwapelumi/picks/10/#pick-n-df85113ae9ada74c98197b1e",
       "quote_text": "the hosts have the attacking depth to put Lech under sustained pressure and should have enough opportunities to reach three goals or more",
       "retelling": null,
       "checkable_item": false,
       "against": false
      }
     ],
     "total_count": 2
    },
    {
     "code_name": "lineup",
     "display_name": "Injuries, suspensions and team news",
     "checkable_item": true,
     "bullet_points": [
      {
       "entry_id": "n-6e1a21f38ddd9608a277d73b",
       "author_name": "Jake Osgathorpe",
       "author_href": "/authors/jake-osgathorpe/",
       "source_group": "experts",
       "choice": "Jhon Durán to score",
       "market_label": "Player to score",
       "logged_at": "2026-11-03T21:26:37.141Z",
       "original": "https://www.sportinglife.com/football/news/thursday-bets-no-stopping-bournemouth/235211",
       "proof": "/authors/jake-osgathorpe/picks/25/#pick-n-6e1a21f38ddd9608a277d73b",
       "quote_text": "Marco Silva's Benfica are three wins from three to start the Europa League and welcome a Lech Poznan team who have been shipping chances and goals for fun in…",
       "retelling": null,
       "checkable_item": true,
       "against": false
      }
     ],
     "total_count": 1
    }
   ],
   "against": [],
   "other_languages": 0,
   "other_language_hosts": [],
   "mode": "quotes",
   "topics_total": 3,
   "checkable": 1
  },
  "market_label": {
   "favourite_code": "1",
   "favourite": "Benfica",
   "probabilities": [
    {
     "outcome_label": "1",
     "in_words": "Benfica",
     "percent_value": 79
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "X",
     "in_words": "Draw",
     "percent_value": 13
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "2",
     "in_words": "Lech Poznań",
     "percent_value": 8
    }
   ],
   "prices": {
    "1": "1.19",
    "X": "7.25",
    "2": "11.00"
   },
   "group_count": 25,
   "bookmakers": 40,
   "snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z",
   "closing_line": true,
   "first_at": "2026-10-24T05:03:45.225Z",
   "shift_pp": 1.0,
   "phrase": "The market has barely changed its mind since our first snapshot on 24 October 2026: Benfica 78% then, 79% at kick-off.",
   "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.",
   "t24": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 82,
     "2": 6,
     "X": 12
    }
   },
   "t2": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T18:00:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 85,
     "2": 6,
     "X": 10
    }
   }
  },
  "market_mode": "show",
  "fact_sheet": {
   "tournament": "UEFA Europa League (Europe)",
   "matchday": "League Stage · Matchday 4",
   "starts_at": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z",
   "form": {
    "home_side": [
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "1-0",
      "opponent": "Alverca",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-11-02"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-1",
      "opponent": "Santa Clara",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-26"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "4-1",
      "opponent": "Omonia Nicosia",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-22"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "4-1",
      "opponent": "Celtic",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-15"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-0",
      "opponent": "Vitória Guimarães",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-11"
     }
    ],
    "away": [
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "3-1",
      "opponent": "Wisla Krakow",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-31"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-1",
      "opponent": "Legia Warsaw",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-25"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "1-1",
      "opponent": "Sunderland",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-22"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "6-1",
      "opponent": "Korona Kielce",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-18"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-4",
      "opponent": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-15"
     }
    ]
   },
   "head_to_head": [],
   "past_cards": [],
   "reach": ""
  },
  "after_match": {
   "scoreline": "3-1",
   "fact_code": "1",
   "row_list": [
    "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 10 of 10 matched · Tipsters 1 of 1 · Prediction sites 9 of 9",
    "All recorded exact-score predictions: 2 of 6 matched",
    "Exact-score predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 2 of 6 matched the score, 6 of 6 the outcome",
    "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: Benfica (10 of 10), matched",
    "Market favourite at kick-off: Benfica (matched)"
   ],
   "by_group": {
    "websites": {
     "correct": 9,
     "of": 9
    },
    "tipsters": {
     "correct": 1,
     "of": 1
    }
   },
   "placement": null,
   "checks": []
  },
  "prices": [
   {
    "author_name": "Adeyeye Oluwapelumi",
    "choice": "Vangelis Pavlidis to score",
    "market_label": "Player to score",
    "author_quoted_price": "1.39",
    "our_snapshot": "1.4000",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Jake Osgathorpe",
    "choice": "Jhon Durán to score",
    "market_label": "Player to score",
    "author_quoted_price": "1.91",
    "our_snapshot": "1.6100",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Adeyeye Oluwapelumi",
    "choice": "Benfica over 2.5",
    "market_label": "Team goals over/under 2.5",
    "author_quoted_price": "1.57",
    "our_snapshot": "1.5392",
    "closing_line": null
   }
  ],
  "revisions": [
   "Market 24 hours before kick-off: Benfica 82%.",
   "Market 2 hours before kick-off: Benfica 85%.",
   "First published with predictions on 4 November 2026."
  ],
  "titles": {
   "shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
   "frozen_in": "sr-afabac2fa4ed8afc0b4a4e47"
  },
  "tracker": null,
  "source_groups": {
   "as_of": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z",
   "groups": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "label": "Prediction sites"
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "label": "Media"
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "label": "Telegram channels"
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "label": "Independent tipsters"
    }
   ],
   "authors": 21,
   "by_group": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "authors": 6
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "authors": 3
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "authors": 11
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "authors": 1
    }
   ],
   "markets": [
    {
     "key": "1x2",
     "label": "Match result",
     "authors": 10,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 2
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 8
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ],
     "choices": [
      {
       "code_name": "1",
       "in_words": "Benfica",
       "authors": 10,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 2
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 8
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "2",
       "in_words": "Lech Poznań",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "totals",
     "label": "Goal totals",
     "authors": 8,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 3
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 3
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 1
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "other",
     "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets",
     "authors": 13,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 3
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 3
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 7
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  "market_line": {
   "line_state": "barely_moved",
   "line_frozen": true,
   "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (5 November 2026, 20:00 GMT): Benfica 79%, draw 13%, Lech Poznań 8%. From 24 October 2026, 06:03 BST to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 1.0 percentage point (the draw down).",
   "line_markets": [
    {
     "market_text": "1X2, match result",
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "line_kind": "median_line",
     "margin_included": false,
     "snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z",
     "closing_line": true,
     "probabilities": [
      {
       "outcome_label": "1",
       "in_words": "Benfica",
       "percent_value": 79
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "percent_value": 13
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "2",
       "in_words": "Lech Poznań",
       "percent_value": 8
      }
     ],
     "group_count": 25,
     "first_at": "2026-10-24T05:03:45.225Z",
     "first_probabilities": {
      "1": 78,
      "2": 8,
      "X": 14
     },
     "shift_pp": 1.0,
     "shift_outcome": "X",
     "shift_direction": "down",
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (5 November 2026, 20:00 GMT): Benfica 79%, draw 13%, Lech Poznań 8%. From 24 October 2026, 06:03 BST to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 1.0 percentage point (the draw down)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Both teams to score",
     "market_group": "other",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "no",
       "snapshot_price": "1.91",
       "percent_value": 52,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T18:08:45.462Z",
       "snapshot_count": 2,
       "first_snapshot_price": "1.82",
       "first_at": "2026-11-05T00:17:10.879Z",
       "shift_pp": 2.6,
       "shift_direction": "down",
       "line_state": "barely_moved"
      },
      {
       "choice": "yes",
       "snapshot_price": "1.91",
       "percent_value": 52,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T09:29:41.107Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Both teams to score, no: market price 1.91 on 5 November 2026, 18:08 GMT (implied 52%, margin included), 2.6 percentage points down from 5 November 2026, 00:17 GMT. Both teams to score, yes: market price 1.91 on 5 November 2026, 09:29 GMT (implied 52%, margin included)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 2.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.25",
       "percent_value": 80,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T15:05:53.344Z",
       "snapshot_count": 4,
       "first_snapshot_price": "1.34",
       "first_at": "2026-10-26T19:27:48.731Z",
       "shift_pp": 5.2,
       "shift_direction": "up",
       "line_state": "moved"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "moved",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, over 2.5 goals: market price 1.25 on 5 November 2026, 15:05 GMT (implied 80%, margin included), 5.2 percentage points up from 26 October 2026, 19:27 GMT."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 3.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.74",
       "percent_value": 58,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T04:09:05.715Z",
       "snapshot_count": 2,
       "first_snapshot_price": "1.78",
       "first_at": "2026-11-04T20:30:16.044Z",
       "shift_pp": 1.4,
       "shift_direction": "up",
       "line_state": "barely_moved"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 3.5 goals, over 3.5 goals: market price 1.74 on 5 November 2026, 04:09 GMT (implied 58%, margin included), 1.4 percentage points up from 4 November 2026, 20:30 GMT."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 8.5 corners",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 8.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.41",
       "percent_value": 71,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T12:08:53.960Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 8.5 corners, over 8.5 corners: market price 1.41 on 5 November 2026, 12:08 GMT (implied 71%, margin included)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Team goals over/under 2.5",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "Benfica over 2.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.56",
       "percent_value": 64,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-11-04T21:18:39.782Z",
       "snapshot_count": 2,
       "first_snapshot_price": "1.54",
       "first_at": "2026-11-03T21:03:06.255Z",
       "shift_pp": 0.8,
       "shift_direction": "down",
       "line_state": "barely_moved"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Team goals over/under 2.5, Benfica over 2.5 goals: market price 1.56 on 4 November 2026, 21:18 GMT (implied 64%, margin included), 0.8 percentage points down from 3 November 2026, 21:03 GMT."
    }
   ]
  },
  "pre_kickoff_snapshot": {
   "frozen_before_kickoff": true,
   "as_of_moment": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z",
   "starts_at": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z",
   "phrase": "Before kick-off on 5 November 2026, 20:00 GMT: market line at kick-off Benfica 79%, draw 13%, Lech Poznań 8%; 1X2, match result: most expected Benfica (10 of 10 predictions); Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (4): 4 on over 2.5 goals; Correct score, recorded picks before the match (6): 3 on Benfica 4-1 Lech Poznań, 2 on Benfica 3-1 Lech Poznań, 1 on Benfica 3-0 Lech Poznań.",
   "market_line_brief": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z",
    "closing_line": true,
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 79,
     "X": 13,
     "2": 8
    }
   },
   "market_groups": [
    {
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "1X2, match result",
       "prediction_count": 10,
       "row_count": 10,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Benfica",
         "figure": 10
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "majority",
       "leader_choice": "Benfica",
       "leader_count": 10,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "1X2, match result: most expected Benfica (10 of 10 predictions)",
       "sides_1x2": [
        {
         "side": "1",
         "in_words": "Benfica",
         "figure": 10
        },
        {
         "side": "X",
         "in_words": "draw",
         "figure": 0
        },
        {
         "side": "2",
         "in_words": "Lech Poznań",
         "figure": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "totals",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 4,
       "row_count": 4,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "over 2.5",
         "figure": 4
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (4): 4 on over 2.5 goals"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 2,
       "row_count": 2,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "over 3.5",
         "figure": 2
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 3.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on over 3.5 goals"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Team goals over/under 2.5",
       "prediction_count": 2,
       "row_count": 2,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Benfica over 2.5",
         "figure": 2
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Team goals over/under 2.5, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on Benfica over 2.5 goals"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 8.5 corners",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "over 8.5",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 8.5 corners, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on over 8.5 corners"
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "other",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Correct score",
       "prediction_count": 6,
       "row_count": 6,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Benfica 4-1 Lech Poznań",
         "figure": 3
        },
        {
         "choice": "Benfica 3-1 Lech Poznań",
         "figure": 2
        },
        {
         "choice": "Benfica 3-0 Lech Poznań",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
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