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 "heading": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg: recorded predictions and results",
 "description": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg, 18 October 2026. Final score 2-1 · Bundesliga: 16 distinct predictions from 13 authors.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen finished 2-1 against SC Freiburg. 2 of the 3 recorded correct-score predictions matched that score. Other markets are shown separately below. Forecast Record recorded 16 statements from 13 authors on Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg (Bundesliga, kick-off 18 October 2026): 16 distinct predictions, all of the statements recorded before kick-off.",
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  "data": "2026-10-18",
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  "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.",
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  "status": "finished",
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     "figure": 3,
     "share": "100.0"
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   "author_count": 3,
   "median_odds": "1.48",
   "summary": "Most common recorded selection in this market: yes — 3 of 3 eligible picks (one per author), median stated price 1.48",
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   "contributions": 3,
   "prediction_count": 3,
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  "country_name": "Germany",
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    "author": "Katrin",
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    "author": "Lewis Nolan",
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    "record_ids": [
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     "3.00"
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    "evidence_urls": [
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   "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off."
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 },
 "title_tag": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg: Results — 18 Oct 2026",
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      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "yes",
        "in_words": "Igor Matanovic to score",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Lewis Nolan",
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          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "experts"
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        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     }
    ],
    "author_count": 13,
    "below_threshold": {
     "prediction_count": 0,
     "author_count": 0
    },
    "limit": 10
   },
   "chain": {
    "publications": 7,
    "unique": 7,
    "comparable": 7,
    "admissible": 7,
    "contributions": 7
   },
   "differing_choices": 0,
   "visible_who": 5,
   "newcomers_who": 8,
   "newcomers_before": 9,
   "titles_shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules."
  },
  "arguments": {
   "topics": [
    {
     "code_name": "recent_form",
     "display_name": "Form",
     "checkable_item": false,
     "bullet_points": [
      {
       "entry_id": "n-9a1e3d0243581d13b5cb049b",
       "author_name": "Lewis Nolan",
       "author_href": "/authors/lewis-nolan/",
       "source_group": "experts",
       "choice": "over 3.5",
       "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
       "logged_at": "2026-10-16T20:54:14.802Z",
       "original": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/bayer-leverkusen-vs-freiburg-prediction-preview-18-10-2026/",
       "proof": "/authors/lewis-nolan/picks/8/#pick-n-9a1e3d0243581d13b5cb049b",
       "quote_text": "Considering at least four goals have been scored in seven of Freiburg's nine games this season",
       "retelling": null,
       "checkable_item": false,
       "against": false
      },
      {
       "entry_id": "n-4cca3e805d92a0f48dfe937a",
       "author_name": "Baba",
       "author_href": "/authors/baba/",
       "source_group": "tipsters",
       "choice": "under 5.5",
       "market_label": "Over/Under 5.5 goals",
       "logged_at": "2026-10-18T01:19:34.750Z",
       "original": "https://www.livetipsportal.com/en/sportsbetting-tips/bayer-leverkusen-vs-sc-freiburg-bundesliga-12194212/",
       "proof": "/authors/baba/picks/94/#pick-n-4cca3e805d92a0f48dfe937a",
       "quote_text": "There have been under 5.5 goals scored in 4 of Bayer Leverkusen's last 5 matches. There have been under 5.5 goals scored in 5 of SC Freiburg's last 5 matches.",
       "retelling": null,
       "checkable_item": false,
       "against": false
      }
     ],
     "total_count": 2
    },
    {
     "code_name": "tactics",
     "display_name": "Tactics and style",
     "checkable_item": false,
     "bullet_points": [
      {
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       "author_name": "Lewis Nolan",
       "author_href": "/authors/lewis-nolan/",
       "source_group": "experts",
       "choice": "Igor Matanovic to score",
       "market_label": "Player to score",
       "logged_at": "2026-10-16T20:54:14.802Z",
       "original": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/bayer-leverkusen-vs-freiburg-prediction-preview-18-10-2026/",
       "proof": "/authors/lewis-nolan/picks/8/#pick-n-5b5c120c7439ada5d6ce6716",
       "quote_text": "he is averaging the most shots per 90 in the squad in the Bundesliga (3.9)",
       "retelling": null,
       "checkable_item": false,
       "against": false
      },
      {
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       "author_name": "Anthony Nolan",
       "author_href": "/authors/anthony-nolan/",
       "source_group": "experts",
       "choice": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2-1 SC Freiburg",
       "market_label": "Correct score",
       "logged_at": "2026-10-17T01:10:00.591Z",
       "original": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/bayer-leverkusen/bundesliga-title-race/preview/b-leverkusen-vs-freiburg-prediction-team-news-lineups_607094.html",
       "proof": "/authors/anthony-nolan/picks/3/#pick-n-ecaf53fd1beb0273418dbd87",
       "quote_text": "There is little to separate these two teams, but Leverkusen's recent defensive strength suggests that they could have a narrow edge on Sunday. However…",
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      }
     ],
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    },
    {
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     "bullet_points": [
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       "author_href": "/sources/dailysports-net/",
       "source_group": "websites",
       "choice": "yes",
       "market_label": "Both teams to score",
       "logged_at": "2026-10-17T18:49:41.570Z",
       "original": "https://dailysports.net/predictions/bayer-leverkusen-vs-freiburg-who-will-extend-their-winning-streak/",
       "proof": "/sources/dailysports-net/picks/11/#pick-n-f13e703342cbba3cf92bf6be",
       "quote_text": "We are in for an incredible match between these two teams, and I believe we will see several goals.",
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     ],
     "total_count": 1
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   ],
   "against": [],
   "other_languages": 1,
   "other_language_hosts": [
    "sportwetten.bild.de"
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   "mode": "quotes",
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   "checkable": 0
  },
  "market_label": null,
  "market_mode": "show",
  "fact_sheet": {
   "tournament": "Bundesliga (Germany)",
   "matchday": "Matchweek 6",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z",
   "form": {
    "home_side": [
     {
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      "scoreline": "4-0",
      "opponent": "Lech Poznań",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-15"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "4-3",
      "opponent": "1. FSV Mainz 05",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-10"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-0",
      "opponent": "RB Leipzig",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-09-20"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-0",
      "opponent": "NK Celje",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-09-16"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "2-2",
      "opponent": "FC Augsburg",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-12"
     }
    ],
    "away": [
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "3-2",
      "opponent": "Jablonec",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-15"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-1",
      "opponent": "FC Schalke 04",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-11"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "2-2",
      "opponent": "Eintracht Frankfurt",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-19"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "5-0",
      "opponent": "Borussia M'gladbach",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-09-12"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "1-0",
      "opponent": "SC Paderborn 07",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-05"
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    ]
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   "head_to_head": [],
   "past_cards": [],
   "reach": ""
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  "after_match": {
   "scoreline": "2-1",
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    "All recorded exact-score predictions: 2 of 3 matched",
    "Exact-score predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 2 of 3 matched the score, 2 of 3 the outcome",
    "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (2 of 2), matched"
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   "by_group": {
    "tipsters": {
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    },
    "websites": {
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     "of": 1
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   },
   "placement": null,
   "checks": []
  },
  "prices": [
   {
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    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "author_quoted_price": "1.48",
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    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Ali Demir",
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    "market_label": "Double chance",
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    "our_snapshot": "2.2400",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Lewis Nolan",
    "choice": "over 3.5",
    "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
    "author_quoted_price": "2.10",
    "our_snapshot": "2.1400",
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  ],
  "revisions": [
   "First published with predictions on 15 October 2026."
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  "titles": {
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   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
   "frozen_in": "sr-6d456fe50ea6e199ce3bcb28"
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  "source_groups": {
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   "groups": [
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     "label": "Prediction sites"
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    {
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     "label": "Media"
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    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "label": "Telegram channels"
    },
    {
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   ],
   "authors": 13,
   "by_group": [
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     "authors": 5
    },
    {
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    },
    {
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     "authors": 4
    },
    {
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     "authors": 1
    }
   ],
   "markets": [
    {
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     "label": "Match result",
     "authors": 2,
     "by_group": [
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      {
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     ],
     "choices": [
      {
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       "in_words": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen",
       "authors": 2,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
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         "authors": 0
        },
        {
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         "authors": 1
        },
        {
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       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
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        },
        {
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        },
        {
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        },
        {
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       ]
      },
      {
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       "by_group": [
        {
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         "authors": 0
        },
        {
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        },
        {
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         "authors": 0
        },
        {
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       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "totals",
     "label": "Goal totals",
     "authors": 5,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 3
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
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       "authors": 0
      },
      {
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       "authors": 1
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     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "other",
     "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets",
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     "by_group": [
      {
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       "authors": 2
      },
      {
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       "authors": 3
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       "authors": 3
      },
      {
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       "authors": 0
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     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  "market_line": {
   "line_state": "no_snapshot",
   "line_frozen": true,
   "phrase": null,
   "line_markets": [
    {
     "market_text": "Both teams to score",
     "market_group": "other",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "yes",
       "snapshot_price": "1.50",
       "percent_value": 67,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-17T19:29:47.773Z",
       "snapshot_count": 3,
       "first_snapshot_price": "1.49",
       "first_at": "2026-10-17T00:19:42.251Z",
       "shift_pp": 0.3,
       "shift_direction": "down",
       "line_state": "barely_moved"
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     ],
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Both teams to score, yes: market price 1.50 on 17 October 2026, 20:29 BST (implied 67%, margin included), 0.3 percentage points down from 17 October 2026, 01:19 BST."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 2.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.46",
       "percent_value": 68,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-18T00:30:36.000Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, over 2.5 goals: market price 1.46 on 18 October 2026, 01:30 BST (implied 68%, margin included)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 3.5",
       "snapshot_price": "2.14",
       "percent_value": 47,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-16T21:03:56.666Z",
       "snapshot_count": 2,
       "first_snapshot_price": "2.08",
       "first_at": "2026-10-13T08:02:14.549Z",
       "shift_pp": 1.3,
       "shift_direction": "down",
       "line_state": "barely_moved"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 3.5 goals, over 3.5 goals: market price 2.14 on 16 October 2026, 22:03 BST (implied 47%, margin included), 1.3 percentage points down from 13 October 2026, 09:02 BST."
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   ]
  },
  "pre_kickoff_snapshot": {
   "frozen_before_kickoff": true,
   "as_of_moment": "2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z",
   "phrase": "Before kick-off on 18 October 2026, 14:30 BST: 1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on Bayer 04 Leverkusen, 0 on the draw, 0 on SC Freiburg; Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on over 2.5 goals; Both teams to score, recorded picks before the match (3): 3 on yes.",
   "market_line_brief": null,
   "market_groups": [
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     "group_markets": [
      {
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       "prediction_count": 2,
       "row_count": 2,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen",
         "figure": 2
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on Bayer 04 Leverkusen, 0 on the draw, 0 on SC Freiburg",
       "sides_1x2": [
        {
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         "in_words": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen",
         "figure": 2
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        {
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         "figure": 0
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    },
    {
     "market_group": "totals",
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       "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
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       "row_count": 2,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "over 2.5",
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       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
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       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on over 2.5 goals"
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      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 2,
       "row_count": 2,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "over 3.5",
         "figure": 2
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
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       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 3.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on over 3.5 goals"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 5.5 goals",
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       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
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         "choice": "under 5.5",
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       "phrase_mode": "listing",
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       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 5.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on under 5.5 goals"
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     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "other",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Both teams to score",
       "prediction_count": 3,
       "row_count": 3,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "yes",
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       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
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       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Both teams to score, recorded picks before the match (3): 3 on yes"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Correct score",
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       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2-1 SC Freiburg",
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        {
         "choice": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2-2 SC Freiburg",
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       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
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       "share_percent": 67,
       "phrase": "Correct score, recorded picks before the match (3): 2 on Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2-1 SC Freiburg, 1 on Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2-2 SC Freiburg"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Double chance",
       "prediction_count": 2,
       "row_count": 2,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen or draw",
         "figure": 1
        },
        {
         "choice": "draw or SC Freiburg",
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       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
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       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": null,
       "phrase": "Double chance, recorded picks before the match (2): 1 on Bayer 04 Leverkusen or draw, 1 on draw or SC Freiburg"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Player to score",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Igor Matanovic to score",
         "figure": 1
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       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Player to score, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Igor Matanovic to score"
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   ],
   "predictions_before_kickoff": 16,
   "majority_threshold": {
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  },
  "teams_prev_next": [
   {
    "side": "home",
    "team": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen",
    "team_url": "/football/teams/bayer-04-leverkusen/",
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     "kickoff": "2026-10-15T16:45:00.000Z",
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     "url": "/football/matches/lech-poznan-vs-bayer-04-leverkusen-2026-10-15/",
     "competition": "UEFA Europa League",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "0-4"
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    "next": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z",
     "name": "OFI vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen",
     "url": "/football/matches/ofi-vs-bayer-04-leverkusen-2026-10-22/",
     "competition": "UEFA Europa League",
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   {
    "side": "away",
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    "previous": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-15T19:00:00.000Z",
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