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 "heading": "Atalanta vs Pafos: recorded predictions and results",
 "description": "Atalanta vs Pafos, 15 October 2026. Final score 3-1 · UEFA Conference League: 8 distinct predictions from 7 authors.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Atalanta finished 3-1 against Pafos. The one recorded correct-score prediction (Atalanta 3-0 Pafos) did not match. Other markets are shown separately below. Forecast Record recorded 9 statements from 7 authors on Atalanta vs Pafos (UEFA Conference League, kick-off 15 October 2026): 8 distinct predictions, all of the statements recorded before kick-off.",
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  "data": "2026-10-15",
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   "author_count": 5,
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   "prediction_count": 5,
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   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": "ours",
   "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
   "withdrawn": false,
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   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "no",
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    "detected_at": "2026-10-15T07:29:26.029Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "no_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "choice": "Atalanta",
    "author_odds": null,
    "market_key": "1x2",
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    "period": "match",
    "line": null,
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "1X2, match result: Atalanta"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Won: the final score was Atalanta 3-1 Pafos."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
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     "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Atalanta",
     "decimal_odds": "1.3100",
     "odds_role": "market_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
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     "result_words": "Won",
     "change_hundredths": 3100,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-15T08:51:39.126Z",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Bet-Experts.nl",
    "publisher": "Bet-Experts.nl",
    "forecaster": "Bet-Experts.nl",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.bet-experts.nl/nieuws/wedtips-atalanta---pafos-voorspelling-odds-opstellingen-kan-pafos-standhouden-in-bergamo",
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    "verdict_by": null,
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   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-bd8b592ade580e9017ba7fc7",
   "url": "/authors/aleksej-tarabrin/picks/7/#pick-n-bd8b592ade580e9017ba7fc7",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
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    "speaker": "Aleksej Tarabrin",
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    "bundle_id": "71f4b41531d18ae293253521cf35a23acbc1e6a168083b19e51b4ea534d52a3e",
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   "detected_at": "2026-10-15T17:09:37.576Z",
   "executed_at": "2026-10-22T12:16:34.550Z",
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    "url": "/football/matches/atalanta-vs-pafos-2026-10-15/",
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   },
   "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
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   "odds_set": {
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    "our_snapshot": "1.7400",
    "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-15T17:05:36.000Z",
    "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "loss",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": "ours",
   "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
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   "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "dates": {
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    "detected_at": "2026-10-15T17:09:37.576Z",
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    "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
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   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
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   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
    "choice": "under 3.5",
    "author_odds": "1.6",
    "market_key": "total",
    "choice_key": "under",
    "period": "match",
    "line": "3.5",
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5 at 1.6"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "scoreline": "3-1",
    "data_status": "measured",
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    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Atalanta 3-1 Pafos."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
     "operation_id": "84991be402b1e0acb1bd828cb491ee98c7b78093a372ace6cc2e311f99cd7b65",
     "series_key": "author_price",
     "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
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     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
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     "choice": "under 3.5",
     "decimal_odds": "1.6",
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     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
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     "result_words": "Lost",
     "change_hundredths": -10000,
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     "methodology_version": "2.2",
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    {
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     "series_key": "market_price",
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     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
     "choice": "under 3.5",
     "decimal_odds": "1.7400",
     "odds_role": "market_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "loss",
     "result_words": "Lost",
     "change_hundredths": -10000,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-22T12:16:34.550Z",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Aleksej Tarabrin",
    "publisher": "Legalbet.rs",
    "forecaster": "Aleksej Tarabrin",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://legalbet.rs/mec-centar/atalanta-pafos-15-10-2026/",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "record_counts": {
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  "dictionary_url": "/methodology/#words",
  "statements": 9,
  "predictions": 8,
  "authors": 7,
  "statements_before_kickoff": 9,
  "settled_picks": 7,
  "duplicates": 2,
  "junk": {}
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 "match_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "final_score": "3-1",
  "state_words": "finished",
  "distinct_predictions": 8,
  "sources": 7,
  "one_source": false,
  "sentence": "Atalanta finished 3-1 against Pafos. The one recorded correct-score prediction (Atalanta 3-0 Pafos) did not match. Other markets are shown separately below.",
  "who_predicted_what": [
   {
    "record_id": "n-3e4242da66e9b62480ac7b17",
    "url": "/sources/bet-experts-nl/picks/9/#pick-n-3e4242da66e9b62480ac7b17",
    "author": "Bet-Experts.nl",
    "author_url": "/sources/bet-experts-nl/",
    "market": "1X2, match result",
    "selection": "Atalanta",
    "outcome": "Won",
    "price": null,
    "published_at": null,
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T07:29:26.029Z",
    "lead_hours": 11.5,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-0a181a5c09551fdb64ff2b83",
    "url": "/authors/guillermo-croquer/picks/2/#pick-n-0a181a5c09551fdb64ff2b83",
    "author": "Guillermo Cróquer",
    "author_url": "/authors/guillermo-croquer/",
    "market": "1X2, match result",
    "selection": "Atalanta",
    "outcome": "Won",
    "price": "1.35",
    "published_at": null,
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T19:24:50.192Z",
    "lead_hours": 47.6,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-3621d98bfdd5ae8bd3eaf3e4",
    "url": "/sources/oddslot-com/picks/3/#pick-n-3621d98bfdd5ae8bd3eaf3e4",
    "author": "ODDSLOT (es)",
    "author_url": "/sources/oddslot-com/",
    "market": "1X2, match result",
    "selection": "Atalanta",
    "outcome": "Won",
    "price": "1.33",
    "published_at": null,
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T01:09:58.857Z",
    "lead_hours": 17.8,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-e1ffa5a724767c7989eb3e6e",
    "url": "/sources/sportytrader-pt/picks/2/#pick-n-e1ffa5a724767c7989eb3e6e",
    "author": "SportyTrader PT",
    "author_url": "/sources/sportytrader-pt/",
    "market": "1X2, match result",
    "selection": "Atalanta",
    "outcome": "Won",
    "price": "1.35",
    "published_at": null,
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T19:19:38.068Z",
    "lead_hours": 47.7,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-399e9e93afec16cbc5ec6db7",
    "url": "/authors/wesley-ooms/picks/2/#pick-n-399e9e93afec16cbc5ec6db7",
    "author": "Wesley Ooms",
    "author_url": "/authors/wesley-ooms/",
    "market": "1X2, match result",
    "selection": "draw",
    "outcome": "Lost",
    "price": null,
    "published_at": null,
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T19:06:35.987Z",
    "lead_hours": 47.9,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null,
    "also": [
     {
      "record_id": "n-eadb61aa2a2c8268475064ac",
      "kind": "same_pick",
      "edition": "Wesley Ooms",
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      "url": "/authors/wesley-ooms/picks/2/#pick-n-eadb61aa2a2c8268475064ac",
      "anchor": "pick-n-eadb61aa2a2c8268475064ac",
      "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T19:06:35.987Z"
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    ]
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-67d7e6e522c477295d27e5e6",
    "url": "/sources/dailysports-net/picks/7/#pick-n-67d7e6e522c477295d27e5e6",
    "author": "Dailysports",
    "author_url": "/sources/dailysports-net/",
    "market": "Asian handicap -1.5",
    "selection": "Atalanta -1.5",
    "outcome": "Won",
    "price": "1.90",
    "published_at": "2026-10-14T19:22:45.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-14T19:49:28.585Z",
    "lead_hours": 23.2,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-3180d2e1209748011608c2d2",
    "url": "/sources/bet-experts-nl/picks/9/#pick-n-3180d2e1209748011608c2d2",
    "author": "Bet-Experts.nl",
    "author_url": "/sources/bet-experts-nl/",
    "market": "Correct score",
    "selection": "Atalanta 3-0 Pafos",
    "outcome": "Lost",
    "price": null,
    "published_at": null,
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T07:29:26.029Z",
    "lead_hours": 11.5,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-bd8b592ade580e9017ba7fc7",
    "url": "/authors/aleksej-tarabrin/picks/7/#pick-n-bd8b592ade580e9017ba7fc7",
    "author": "Aleksej Tarabrin",
    "author_url": "/authors/aleksej-tarabrin/",
    "market": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
    "selection": "under 3.5",
    "outcome": "Lost",
    "price": "1.60",
    "published_at": null,
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T17:09:37.576Z",
    "lead_hours": 1.8,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   }
  ],
  "by_market": [
   {
    "market": "1X2, match result",
    "predictions": 5,
    "sources": 5,
    "one_source": false,
    "eligible": 5,
    "different_selections": 0,
    "selections": [
     {
      "selection": "Atalanta",
      "predictions": 4,
      "eligible": 4
     },
     {
      "selection": "draw",
      "predictions": 1,
      "eligible": 1
     }
    ],
    "median_odds": "1.34",
    "odds_from_author": 3,
    "odds_from_snapshot": 1
   },
   {
    "market": "Asian handicap -1.5",
    "predictions": 1,
    "sources": 1,
    "one_source": true,
    "eligible": 1,
    "different_selections": 0,
    "selections": [
     {
      "selection": "Atalanta -1.5",
      "predictions": 1,
      "eligible": 1
     }
    ],
    "median_odds": "1.90",
    "odds_from_author": 1,
    "odds_from_snapshot": 0
   },
   {
    "market": "Correct score",
    "predictions": 1,
    "sources": 1,
    "one_source": true,
    "eligible": 1,
    "different_selections": 0,
    "selections": [
     {
      "selection": "Atalanta 3-0 Pafos",
      "predictions": 1,
      "eligible": 1
     }
    ],
    "implied_by_score": [
     {
      "selection": "Atalanta",
      "predictions": 1
     }
    ],
    "median_odds": null,
    "odds_from_author": 0,
    "odds_from_snapshot": 0
   },
   {
    "market": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
    "predictions": 1,
    "sources": 1,
    "one_source": true,
    "eligible": 1,
    "different_selections": 0,
    "selections": [
     {
      "selection": "under 3.5",
      "predictions": 1,
      "eligible": 1
     }
    ],
    "median_odds": "1.60",
    "odds_from_author": 1,
    "odds_from_snapshot": 0
   }
  ],
  "found_after_kickoff": 0,
  "selections_before_kickoff": 8,
  "independent_sources": 7,
  "same_material_repeats": 0,
  "sources_list": [
   {
    "source": "bet-experts.nl",
    "materials": 1,
    "authors": 1,
    "selections": 2
   },
   {
    "source": "dailysports.net",
    "materials": 1,
    "authors": 1,
    "selections": 1
   },
   {
    "source": "legalbet.rs",
    "materials": 1,
    "authors": 1,
    "selections": 1
   },
   {
    "source": "oddslot.com",
    "materials": 1,
    "authors": 1,
    "selections": 1
   },
   {
    "source": "sportytrader.es",
    "materials": 1,
    "authors": 1,
    "selections": 1
   },
   {
    "source": "sportytrader.nl",
    "materials": 1,
    "authors": 1,
    "selections": 1
   },
   {
    "source": "sportytrader.pt",
    "materials": 1,
    "authors": 1,
    "selections": 1
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  ],
  "what_happened": {
   "won": 5,
   "lost": 3,
   "void": 0,
   "half_won": 0,
   "half_lost": 0,
   "not_settled": 0
  },
  "scenarios": [
   {
    "author": "Bet-Experts.nl",
    "author_url": "/sources/bet-experts-nl/",
    "picks": 2,
    "record_ids": [
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     "n-3180d2e1209748011608c2d2"
    ],
    "markets": [
     "1X2, match result",
     "Correct score"
    ],
    "selections": [
     "Atalanta",
     "Atalanta 3-0 Pafos"
    ],
    "prices": [
     null,
     null
    ],
    "outcomes": [
     "Won",
     "Lost"
    ],
    "scenario": "Atalanta · Atalanta 3-0 Pafos",
    "result": "any_wrong",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T07:29:26.029Z",
    "lead_hours": 11.5,
    "evidence_urls": [
     "/sources/bet-experts-nl/picks/9/#pick-n-3e4242da66e9b62480ac7b17",
     "/sources/bet-experts-nl/picks/9/#pick-n-3180d2e1209748011608c2d2"
    ]
   }
  ],
  "lead_time": {
   "contract_version": 1,
   "threshold_hours": 2.0,
   "picks": 8,
   "before_kickoff": 8,
   "after_kickoff": 0,
   "at_least_2h": 7,
   "share_2h_plus": 87.5,
   "median_hours": 20.5,
   "min_hours": 1.8,
   "max_hours": 47.9,
   "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off."
  }
 },
 "title_tag": "Atalanta vs Pafos: Recorded Predictions and Results — 15 Oct 2026",
 "snapshots": {
  "counting_rule": "1",
  "early": {
   "id": "sr-51bf288d6b0944f39b05c52b",
   "type_code": "early",
   "moment_at": "2026-10-13T19:23:13.149Z",
   "freeze_at": "2026-10-13T19:23:13.203Z",
   "approach": "at_the_time",
   "methodology_version": null,
   "counting_rule": "1",
   "figures": {
    "chain": {
     "admissible": 1,
     "publications": 1,
     "comparable": 1,
     "unique": 1,
     "contributions": 1
    },
    "group_list": [
     {
      "phrase": "1X2, match result — Most common recorded selection: draw (1 of 1 eligible)",
      "source_group": "1x2|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "leader": "X",
      "n": 1,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "row_list": [
       {
        "figure": 1,
        "in_words": "draw",
        "choice": "X"
       }
      ]
     }
    ],
    "counting_rule": "1",
    "different_products": 0,
    "differing_choices": 0,
    "not_counted": 0
   },
   "composition": [
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   ],
   "hash": "8c42b4ff431664597d4896c35826fb842435099e27e0d7d04bb1e2d5a087895b"
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  "closing_line": {
   "id": "sr-0c435b89268b658be1521cff",
   "type_code": "closing_price",
   "moment_at": "2026-10-15T19:00:00.000Z",
   "freeze_at": "2026-10-15T19:14:38.442Z",
   "approach": "by_capture_time",
   "methodology_version": null,
   "counting_rule": "1",
   "figures": {
    "chain": {
     "admissible": 9,
     "publications": 10,
     "comparable": 9,
     "unique": 9,
     "contributions": 9
    },
    "group_list": [
     {
      "phrase": "1X2, match result — Most common recorded selection: Atalanta (5 of 6 eligible)",
      "source_group": "1x2|*|match|*|*#explicit",
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   "mode": "quotes",
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