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 "heading": "Aston Villa vs Manchester City: recorded predictions and results",
 "description": "Aston Villa vs Manchester City, 24 October 2026. Final score 2-1 · Premier League: 62 distinct predictions from 45 authors.",
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  "body": "Aston Villa finished 2-1 against Manchester City. None of the 11 recorded correct-score predictions matched that score. Other markets are shown separately below. 1 prediction found after kick-off is shown separately and excluded from the pre-match count. Forecast Record recorded 66 statements from 45 authors on Aston Villa vs Manchester City (Premier League, kick-off 24 October 2026): 62 distinct predictions, 65 of the statements recorded before kick-off.",
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  "data": "2026-10-24",
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     "share": "92.3"
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   "author_count": 13,
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   "contributions": 13,
   "prediction_count": 13,
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   "url": "/authors/emil-sandberg/picks/2/#pick-n-f15d801f0ddd5c7ec537389b",
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
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    "published_at": "2026-10-20T07:41:02.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T08:49:41.836Z",
    "lead_hours": 98.7,
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    "recorded_at": "2026-10-24T00:12:58.685Z",
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   },
   {
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    "market": "1X2, match result",
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   {
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       "market_label": "Correct score",
       "logged_at": "2026-10-21T21:46:44.889Z",
       "original": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/aston-villa-vs-man-city-prediction-odds/",
       "proof": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/30/#pick-n-71d61470e0bc835d40ce187f",
       "quote_text": "I can’t see a City defence this loose holding Villa to nothing, so I’m expecting goals at both ends.",
       "retelling": null,
       "checkable_item": false,
       "against": false
      },
      {
       "entry_id": "n-cf25d4c7f35f52a080b70652",
       "author_name": "Bren Gray",
       "author_href": "/authors/bren-gray/",
       "source_group": "tipsters",
       "choice": "Manchester City win, both teams to score: yes",
       "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
       "logged_at": "2026-10-21T21:46:44.889Z",
       "original": "https://www.bettingtop10.co.nz/betting-tips/football/aston-villa-vs-man-city-prediction-odds/",
       "proof": "/authors/bren-gray/picks/30/#pick-n-cf25d4c7f35f52a080b70652",
       "quote_text": "City’s attack is the easy half of this bet to justify. They’ve scored 19 league goals in seven games, and Foden’s form gives them another way to hurt Villa if…",
       "retelling": null,
       "checkable_item": false,
       "against": false
      }
     ],
     "total_count": 3
    },
    {
     "code_name": "other_topic",
     "display_name": "Other reasons",
     "checkable_item": false,
     "bullet_points": [
      {
       "entry_id": "n-2394d01059ed3926965dfff7",
       "author_name": "Adam Clancy",
       "author_href": "/authors/adam-clancy/",
       "source_group": "experts",
       "choice": "over 10.5",
       "market_label": "Over/Under 10.5 corners",
       "logged_at": "2026-10-22T19:44:24.873Z",
       "original": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/aston-villa-vs-manchester-city-prediction-24-10-2026/",
       "proof": "/authors/adam-clancy/picks/9/#pick-n-2394d01059ed3926965dfff7",
       "quote_text": "Five of those six matches involving Man City have also produced 11 or more corners",
       "retelling": null,
       "checkable_item": false,
       "against": false
      }
     ],
     "total_count": 1
    }
   ],
   "against": [],
   "other_languages": 5,
   "other_language_hosts": [
    "bottadiculo.it",
    "futboltr.com",
    "infobetting.com",
    "livetipsportal.com",
    "sportytrader.es"
   ],
   "mode": "quotes",
   "topics_total": 3,
   "checkable": 0
  },
  "market_label": {
   "favourite_code": "2",
   "favourite": "Manchester City",
   "probabilities": [
    {
     "outcome_label": "1",
     "in_words": "Aston Villa",
     "percent_value": 20
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "X",
     "in_words": "Draw",
     "percent_value": 21
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "2",
     "in_words": "Manchester City",
     "percent_value": 58
    }
   ],
   "prices": {
    "1": "4.64",
    "X": "4.50",
    "2": "1.62"
   },
   "group_count": 33,
   "bookmakers": 50,
   "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T11:30:00.000Z",
   "closing_line": true,
   "first_at": "2026-10-21T00:17:05.746Z",
   "shift_pp": 2.5,
   "phrase": "The market has barely changed its mind since our first snapshot on 21 October 2026: Manchester City 56% then, 58% at kick-off.",
   "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.",
   "t24": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T11:30:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 20,
     "2": 58,
     "X": 22
    }
   },
   "t2": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T09:30:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 20,
     "2": 59,
     "X": 21
    }
   }
  },
  "market_mode": "show",
  "fact_sheet": {
   "tournament": "Premier League (England)",
   "matchday": "Matchweek 8",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-24T11:30:00.000Z",
   "form": {
    "home_side": [
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "3-1",
      "opponent": "Viking FK",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-21"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "1-0",
      "opponent": "Newcastle United",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-17"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "6-0",
      "opponent": "Fenerbahçe",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-14"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "2-2",
      "opponent": "Brentford",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-10"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "3-2",
      "opponent": "Tottenham Hotspur",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-19"
     }
    ],
    "away": [
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "5-1",
      "opponent": "AEK Athens",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-20"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "3-2",
      "opponent": "Ipswich Town",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-17"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "2-4",
      "opponent": "Paris Saint-Germain",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-14"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "3-0",
      "opponent": "Liverpool",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-11"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "5-3",
      "opponent": "Sunderland",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-09-20"
     }
    ]
   },
   "head_to_head": [],
   "past_cards": [],
   "reach": ""
  },
  "after_match": {
   "scoreline": "2-1",
   "fact_code": "1",
   "row_list": [
    "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 1 of 13 matched · Tipsters 1 of 5 · Prediction sites 0 of 8",
    "All recorded exact-score predictions: 0 of 11 matched",
    "Exact-score predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 11 matched the score, 0 of 11 the outcome",
    "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: Manchester City (12 of 13), missed",
    "Market favourite at kick-off: Manchester City (missed)"
   ],
   "by_group": {
    "tipsters": {
     "correct": 1,
     "of": 5
    },
    "websites": {
     "correct": 0,
     "of": 8
    }
   },
   "placement": null,
   "checks": []
  },
  "prices": [
   {
    "author_name": "Dailysports",
    "choice": "Manchester City",
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "author_quoted_price": "1.63",
    "our_snapshot": "1.6173",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Meki Tanrıverdi",
    "choice": "Manchester City",
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "author_quoted_price": "1.70",
    "our_snapshot": "1.6536",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Enrico Giordano",
    "choice": "yes",
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "author_quoted_price": "1.57",
    "our_snapshot": "1.5714",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Infobetting",
    "choice": "yes",
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "author_quoted_price": "1.57",
    "our_snapshot": "1.5391",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Gonzalo Mansilla",
    "choice": "yes",
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "author_quoted_price": "1.50",
    "our_snapshot": "1.5480",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Ali Demir",
    "choice": "Aston Villa or draw",
    "market_label": "Double chance",
    "author_quoted_price": "2.20",
    "our_snapshot": "2.3500",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Adam Clancy",
    "choice": "Aston Villa or draw",
    "market_label": "Double chance",
    "author_quoted_price": "2.30",
    "our_snapshot": "2.2400",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Adam Clancy",
    "choice": "over 3.5",
    "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
    "author_quoted_price": "2.35",
    "our_snapshot": "2.3000",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Free Super Tips",
    "choice": "Erling Haaland to score",
    "market_label": "Player to score",
    "author_quoted_price": "1.73",
    "our_snapshot": "1.6600",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Miguel Alvim",
    "choice": "Erling Haaland to score",
    "market_label": "Player to score",
    "author_quoted_price": "1.85",
    "our_snapshot": "1.6897",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Jamie Griffith",
    "choice": "Aston Villa",
    "market_label": "Draw no bet",
    "author_quoted_price": "3.75",
    "our_snapshot": "3.5500",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Bren Gray",
    "choice": "Manchester City win, both teams to score: yes",
    "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
    "author_quoted_price": "3.40",
    "our_snapshot": "2.9500",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Adam Clancy",
    "choice": "over 10.5",
    "market_label": "Over/Under 10.5 corners",
    "author_quoted_price": "2.40",
    "our_snapshot": "2.2600",
    "closing_line": null
   }
  ],
  "revisions": [
   "Market 24 hours before kick-off: Manchester City 58%.",
   "Market 2 hours before kick-off: Manchester City 59%.",
   "First published with predictions on 18 October 2026."
  ],
  "titles": {
   "shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
   "frozen_in": "sr-f5ffe2af4490caa0ee6ce3c3"
  },
  "tracker": null,
  "source_groups": {
   "as_of": "2026-10-24T11:30:00.000Z",
   "groups": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "label": "Prediction sites"
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "label": "Media"
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "label": "Telegram channels"
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "label": "Independent tipsters"
    }
   ],
   "authors": 44,
   "by_group": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "authors": 15
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "authors": 11
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "authors": 17
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "authors": 1
    }
   ],
   "markets": [
    {
     "key": "1x2",
     "label": "Match result",
     "authors": 13,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 3
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 8
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 1
      }
     ],
     "choices": [
      {
       "code_name": "1",
       "in_words": "Aston Villa",
       "authors": 1,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "2",
       "in_words": "Manchester City",
       "authors": 12,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 2
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 8
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 1
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "totals",
     "label": "Goal totals",
     "authors": 14,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 6
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 3
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 5
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "other",
     "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets",
     "authors": 30,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 13
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 9
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 8
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  "market_line": {
   "line_state": "barely_moved",
   "line_frozen": true,
   "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (24 October 2026, 12:30 BST): Aston Villa 20%, draw 21%, Manchester City 58%. From 21 October 2026, 01:17 BST to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 2.5 percentage points (Manchester City up).",
   "line_markets": [
    {
     "market_text": "1X2, match result",
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "line_kind": "median_line",
     "margin_included": false,
     "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T11:30:00.000Z",
     "closing_line": true,
     "probabilities": [
      {
       "outcome_label": "1",
       "in_words": "Aston Villa",
       "percent_value": 20
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "percent_value": 21
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "2",
       "in_words": "Manchester City",
       "percent_value": 58
      }
     ],
     "group_count": 33,
     "first_at": "2026-10-21T00:17:05.746Z",
     "first_probabilities": {
      "1": 21,
      "2": 56,
      "X": 23
     },
     "shift_pp": 2.5,
     "shift_outcome": "2",
     "shift_direction": "up",
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (24 October 2026, 12:30 BST): Aston Villa 20%, draw 21%, Manchester City 58%. From 21 October 2026, 01:17 BST to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 2.5 percentage points (Manchester City up)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Both teams to score",
     "market_group": "other",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "yes",
       "snapshot_price": "1.54",
       "percent_value": 65,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T00:39:13.428Z",
       "snapshot_count": 9,
       "first_snapshot_price": "1.53",
       "first_at": "2026-10-21T02:08:19.550Z",
       "shift_pp": 0.5,
       "shift_direction": "down",
       "line_state": "barely_moved"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Both teams to score, yes: market price 1.54 on 24 October 2026, 01:39 BST (implied 65%, margin included), 0.5 percentage points down from 21 October 2026, 03:08 BST."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 10.5 corners",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 10.5",
       "snapshot_price": "2.26",
       "percent_value": 44,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T19:42:08.145Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 10.5 corners, over 10.5 corners: market price 2.26 on 22 October 2026, 20:42 BST (implied 44%, margin included)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 2.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.50",
       "percent_value": 67,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T23:46:34.636Z",
       "snapshot_count": 4,
       "first_snapshot_price": "1.53",
       "first_at": "2026-10-22T10:00:52.156Z",
       "shift_pp": 1.3,
       "shift_direction": "up",
       "line_state": "barely_moved"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, over 2.5 goals: market price 1.50 on 24 October 2026, 00:46 BST (implied 67%, margin included), 1.3 percentage points up from 22 October 2026, 11:00 BST."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 3.5",
       "snapshot_price": "2.25",
       "percent_value": 44,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T00:39:13.428Z",
       "snapshot_count": 6,
       "first_snapshot_price": "2.35",
       "first_at": "2026-10-20T08:45:55.251Z",
       "shift_pp": 1.9,
       "shift_direction": "up",
       "line_state": "barely_moved"
      },
      {
       "choice": "under 3.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.75",
       "percent_value": 57,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T09:37:12.392Z",
       "snapshot_count": 2,
       "first_snapshot_price": "1.62",
       "first_at": "2026-10-23T20:49:24.530Z",
       "shift_pp": 4.6,
       "shift_direction": "down",
       "line_state": "moved"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "moved",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 3.5 goals, over 3.5 goals: market price 2.25 on 24 October 2026, 01:39 BST (implied 44%, margin included), 1.9 percentage points up from 20 October 2026, 09:45 BST. Over/Under 3.5 goals, under 3.5 goals: market price 1.75 on 24 October 2026, 10:37 BST (implied 57%, margin included), 4.6 percentage points down from 23 October 2026, 21:49 BST."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 4.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 4.5",
       "snapshot_price": "3.98",
       "percent_value": 25,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T00:39:13.428Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 4.5 goals, over 4.5 goals: market price 3.98 on 24 October 2026, 01:39 BST (implied 25%, margin included)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Team goals over/under 1.5",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "Manchester City over 1.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.51",
       "percent_value": 66,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T00:09:07.305Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Team goals over/under 1.5, Manchester City over 1.5 goals: market price 1.51 on 23 October 2026, 01:09 BST (implied 66%, margin included)."
    }
   ]
  },
  "pre_kickoff_snapshot": {
   "frozen_before_kickoff": true,
   "as_of_moment": "2026-10-24T11:30:00.000Z",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-24T11:30:00.000Z",
   "phrase": "Before kick-off on 24 October 2026, 12:30 BST: market line at kick-off Aston Villa 20%, draw 21%, Manchester City 58%; 1X2, match result: most expected Manchester City (12 of 13 predictions); Over/Under 3.5 goals: most expected over 3.5 goals (6 of 8 predictions); Correct score: most expected Aston Villa 1-2 Manchester City (8 of 11 predictions).",
   "market_line_brief": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T11:30:00.000Z",
    "closing_line": true,
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 20,
     "X": 21,
     "2": 58
    }
   },
   "market_groups": [
    {
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "1X2, match result",
       "prediction_count": 13,
       "row_count": 13,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Manchester City",
         "figure": 12
        },
        {
         "choice": "Aston Villa",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "majority",
       "leader_choice": "Manchester City",
       "leader_count": 12,
       "share_percent": 92,
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