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 "heading": "Arezzo vs Benevento: recorded predictions and results",
 "description": "Arezzo vs Benevento, 24 October 2026. Final score 0-3 · Serie B: 6 distinct predictions from 5 authors.",
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  "body": "Arezzo finished 0-3 against Benevento. The one recorded correct-score prediction (Arezzo 1-2 Benevento) did not match. Other markets are shown separately below. 1 prediction found after kick-off is shown separately and excluded from the pre-match count. Forecast Record recorded 6 statements from 5 authors on Arezzo vs Benevento (Serie B, kick-off 24 October 2026): 6 distinct predictions, 5 of the statements recorded before kick-off.",
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    "scenario": "Benevento · under 2.5 goals",
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    "recorded_at": "2026-10-22T17:39:48.993Z",
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   "max_hours": 206.2,
   "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off."
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 "title_tag": "Arezzo vs Benevento: Predictions and Results — 24 Oct 2026",
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     "entry_id": "n-ff2d9cf9204827336afb2e6a",
     "author_name": "FootballPredictions.com",
     "author_href": "/sources/footballpredictions-com/",
     "source_group": "websites",
     "trust_tier": "probation",
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice": "Arezzo 1-2 Benevento",
     "choice_key": "1-2",
     "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
     "logged_at": "2026-10-16T03:19:41.079Z",
     "posted_at": "2026-10-15T17:03:18.000Z",
     "author_quoted_price": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "closing_line": null,
     "outcome_label": "Lost",
     "pre_match": true,
     "proof": "/sources/footballpredictions-com/picks/146/#pick-n-ff2d9cf9204827336afb2e6a",
     "original": null,
     "contradictory": false,
     "authorship": null,
     "source_type": "telegram_channels",
     "own_page": true,
     "trust_settled_count": 3753
    },
    {
     "entry_id": "n-8932b97568cc1f15ca86a699",
     "author_name": "FootyStats",
     "author_href": "/sources/footystats-org/",
     "source_group": "websites",
     "trust_tier": "probation",
     "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice": "under 3.5",
     "choice_key": "under",
     "byline": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
     "logged_at": "2026-10-24T18:41:06.837Z",
     "posted_at": null,
     "author_quoted_price": "1.27",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "closing_line": null,
     "outcome_label": "Won",
     "pre_match": false,
     "proof": "/sources/footystats-org/picks/65/#pick-n-8932b97568cc1f15ca86a699",
     "original": null,
     "contradictory": false,
     "authorship": null,
     "source_type": "telegram_channels",
     "own_page": true,
     "trust_settled_count": 855
    },
    {
     "entry_id": "n-ea6c409e7724345c1e044b07",
     "author_name": "Salvatore Maniaci",
     "author_href": "/authors/salvatore-maniaci/",
     "source_group": "tipsters",
     "trust_tier": "probation",
     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score",
     "choice": "yes",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "byline": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
     "logged_at": "2026-10-23T05:18:47.874Z",
     "posted_at": "2026-10-23T05:00:00.000Z",
     "author_quoted_price": "1.80",
     "our_snapshot": "1.7609",
     "closing_line": null,
     "outcome_label": "Lost",
     "pre_match": true,
     "proof": "/authors/salvatore-maniaci/picks/9/#pick-n-ea6c409e7724345c1e044b07",
     "original": null,
     "contradictory": false,
     "authorship": null,
     "source_type": "prediction_sites",
     "own_page": true,
     "trust_settled_count": 78
    }
   ],
   "not_counted": [],
   "after_start": [],
   "forecaster_split": {
    "contracts": [
     {
      "contract_code": "1x2|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "market_key": "1x2",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "1",
        "in_words": "Arezzo",
        "tips": [],
        "figure": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "X",
        "in_words": "Draw",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "PronosticiOnline.com",
          "entry_id": "n-81fe7fd77ad55189293a674c",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       },
       {
        "code_name": "2",
        "in_words": "Benevento",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Matteo Oneto",
          "entry_id": "n-ec3920f4b1196586ea48898c",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 2,
      "publisher_count": 2
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "both_teams_score|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "market_key": "both_teams_score",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "yes",
        "in_words": "yes",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Salvatore Maniaci",
          "entry_id": "n-ea6c409e7724345c1e044b07",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "correct_score_market|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Correct score",
      "market_key": "correct_score_market",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "1-2",
        "in_words": "Arezzo 1-2 Benevento",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "FootballPredictions.com",
          "entry_id": "n-ff2d9cf9204827336afb2e6a",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "total|2.5|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "market_key": "total",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "under",
        "in_words": "under 2.5",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Matteo Oneto",
          "entry_id": "n-e39b6c447c2bbda827912914",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     }
    ],
    "author_count": 4,
    "below_threshold": {
     "prediction_count": 0,
     "author_count": 0
    },
    "limit": 10
   },
   "chain": {
    "publications": 2,
    "unique": 2,
    "comparable": 2,
    "admissible": 2,
    "contributions": 2
   },
   "differing_choices": 0,
   "visible_who": 1,
   "newcomers_who": 3,
   "newcomers_before": 3,
   "titles_shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules."
  },
  "arguments": {
   "topics": [
    {
     "code_name": "recent_form",
     "display_name": "Form",
     "checkable_item": false,
     "bullet_points": [
      {
       "entry_id": "n-e39b6c447c2bbda827912914",
       "author_name": "Matteo Oneto",
       "author_href": "/authors/matteo-oneto/",
       "source_group": "tipsters",
       "choice": "under 2.5",
       "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
       "logged_at": "2026-10-22T17:39:48.993Z",
       "original": "https://www.sportytrader.it/pronostici/arezzo-benevento-381527/",
       "proof": "/authors/matteo-oneto/picks/5/#pick-n-e39b6c447c2bbda827912914",
       "quote_text": "L'Arezzo si presenta alla sfida con un attacco un po' sterile, il Benevento con una difesa super e in un ottimo momento di forma. Le due squadre si giocano già…",
       "retelling": null,
       "checkable_item": false,
       "against": false
      }
     ],
     "total_count": 1
    }
   ],
   "against": [],
   "other_languages": 0,
   "other_language_hosts": [],
   "mode": "quotes",
   "topics_total": 1,
   "checkable": 0
  },
  "market_label": {
   "favourite_code": "2",
   "favourite": "Benevento",
   "probabilities": [
    {
     "outcome_label": "1",
     "in_words": "Arezzo",
     "percent_value": 30
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "X",
     "in_words": "Draw",
     "percent_value": 30
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "2",
     "in_words": "Benevento",
     "percent_value": 41
    }
   ],
   "prices": {
    "1": "3.15",
    "X": "3.16",
    "2": "2.28"
   },
   "group_count": 13,
   "bookmakers": 15,
   "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T17:30:00.000Z",
   "closing_line": true,
   "first_at": "2026-10-22T10:09:25.695Z",
   "shift_pp": 2.5,
   "phrase": "The market has barely changed its mind since our first snapshot on 22 October 2026: Benevento 38% then, 41% at kick-off.",
   "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.",
   "t24": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T17:30:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 32,
     "2": 38,
     "X": 29
    }
   },
   "t2": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T15:30:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 30,
     "2": 41,
     "X": 30
    }
   }
  },
  "market_mode": "show",
  "fact_sheet": {
   "tournament": "Serie B (Italy)",
   "matchday": "Matchweek 8",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-24T17:30:00.000Z",
   "form": {
    "home_side": [
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-1",
      "opponent": "Sampdoria",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-18"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "0-0",
      "opponent": "Cremonese",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-10"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-4",
      "opponent": "Südtirol",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-09-20"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "1-0",
      "opponent": "Empoli",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-11"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-5",
      "opponent": "Hellas Verona",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-06"
     }
    ],
    "away": [
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "2-2",
      "opponent": "L.R. Vicenza",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-17"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-0",
      "opponent": "Cesena",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-10"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "1-0",
      "opponent": "Carrarese",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-19"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "3-1",
      "opponent": "Hellas Verona",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-09-11"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-1",
      "opponent": "Ascoli",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-05"
     }
    ]
   },
   "head_to_head": [],
   "past_cards": [],
   "reach": ""
  },
  "after_match": {
   "scoreline": "0-3",
   "fact_code": "2",
   "row_list": [
    "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 1 of 2 matched · Tipsters 1 of 1 · Prediction sites 0 of 1",
    "All recorded exact-score predictions: 0 of 1 matched",
    "Exact-score predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 1 matched the score, 1 of 1 the outcome",
    "No single most common selection among 2 tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date",
    "Market favourite at kick-off: Benevento (matched)"
   ],
   "by_group": {
    "websites": {
     "correct": 0,
     "of": 1
    },
    "tipsters": {
     "correct": 1,
     "of": 1
    }
   },
   "placement": null,
   "checks": []
  },
  "prices": [
   {
    "author_name": "Matteo Oneto",
    "choice": "Benevento",
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "author_quoted_price": "2.40",
    "our_snapshot": "2.3850",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Matteo Oneto",
    "choice": "under 2.5",
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "author_quoted_price": "1.72",
    "our_snapshot": "1.7650",
    "closing_line": null
   }
  ],
  "revisions": [
   "Market 24 hours before kick-off: Benevento 38%.",
   "Market 2 hours before kick-off: Benevento 41%.",
   "First published with predictions on 22 October 2026."
  ],
  "titles": {
   "shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
   "frozen_in": "sr-6896745fe1148d05edc42794"
  },
  "tracker": null,
  "source_groups": {
   "as_of": "2026-10-24T17:30:00.000Z",
   "groups": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "label": "Prediction sites"
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "label": "Media"
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "label": "Telegram channels"
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "label": "Independent tipsters"
    }
   ],
   "authors": 4,
   "by_group": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "authors": 3
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "authors": 0
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "authors": 1
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "authors": 0
    }
   ],
   "markets": [
    {
     "key": "1x2",
     "label": "Match result",
     "authors": 2,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 2
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ],
     "choices": [
      {
       "code_name": "1",
       "in_words": "Arezzo",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "authors": 1,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "2",
       "in_words": "Benevento",
       "authors": 1,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "totals",
     "label": "Goal totals",
     "authors": 1,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "other",
     "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets",
     "authors": 2,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  "market_line": {
   "line_state": "barely_moved",
   "line_frozen": true,
   "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (24 October 2026, 18:30 BST): Arezzo 30%, draw 30%, Benevento 41%. From 22 October 2026, 11:09 BST to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 2.5 percentage points (Arezzo down).",
   "line_markets": [
    {
     "market_text": "1X2, match result",
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "line_kind": "median_line",
     "margin_included": false,
     "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T17:30:00.000Z",
     "closing_line": true,
     "probabilities": [
      {
       "outcome_label": "1",
       "in_words": "Arezzo",
       "percent_value": 30
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "percent_value": 30
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "2",
       "in_words": "Benevento",
       "percent_value": 41
      }
     ],
     "group_count": 13,
     "first_at": "2026-10-22T10:09:25.695Z",
     "first_probabilities": {
      "1": 32,
      "2": 38,
      "X": 29
     },
     "shift_pp": 2.5,
     "shift_outcome": "1",
     "shift_direction": "down",
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (24 October 2026, 18:30 BST): Arezzo 30%, draw 30%, Benevento 41%. From 22 October 2026, 11:09 BST to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 2.5 percentage points (Arezzo down)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Both teams to score",
     "market_group": "other",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "yes",
       "snapshot_price": "1.76",
       "percent_value": 57,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T05:18:22.229Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Both teams to score, yes: market price 1.76 on 23 October 2026, 06:18 BST (implied 57%, margin included)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "under 2.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.76",
       "percent_value": 57,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T17:39:05.423Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, under 2.5 goals: market price 1.76 on 22 October 2026, 18:39 BST (implied 57%, margin included)."
    }
   ]
  },
  "pre_kickoff_snapshot": {
   "frozen_before_kickoff": true,
   "as_of_moment": "2026-10-24T17:30:00.000Z",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-24T17:30:00.000Z",
   "phrase": "Before kick-off on 24 October 2026, 18:30 BST: market line at kick-off Arezzo 30%, draw 30%, Benevento 41%; 1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (2): 0 on Arezzo, 1 on the draw, 1 on Benevento; Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on under 2.5 goals; Both teams to score, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on yes.",
   "market_line_brief": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T17:30:00.000Z",
    "closing_line": true,
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 30,
     "X": 30,
     "2": 41
    }
   },
   "market_groups": [
    {
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "1X2, match result",
       "prediction_count": 2,
       "row_count": 2,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Benevento",
         "figure": 1
        },
        {
         "choice": "draw",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": null,
       "phrase": "1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (2): 0 on Arezzo, 1 on the draw, 1 on Benevento",
       "sides_1x2": [
        {
         "side": "1",
         "in_words": "Arezzo",
         "figure": 0
        },
        {
         "side": "X",
         "in_words": "draw",
         "figure": 1
        },
        {
         "side": "2",
         "in_words": "Benevento",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "totals",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "under 2.5",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on under 2.5 goals"
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "other",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Both teams to score",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "yes",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Both teams to score, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on yes"
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