{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "event", "url": "/football/matches/ararat-armenia-vs-az-alkmaar-2026-10-22/", "canonical": "/football/matches/ararat-armenia-vs-az-alkmaar-2026-10-22/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar: recorded predictions and results", "description": "Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar, 22 October 2026. Final score 0-4 · UEFA Europa League: 22 distinct predictions from 15 authors.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Ararat-Armenia finished 0-4 against AZ Alkmaar. None of the 5 recorded correct-score predictions matched that score. Other markets are shown separately below. Forecast Record recorded 23 statements from 15 authors on Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar (UEFA Europa League, kick-off 22 October 2026): 22 distinct predictions, all of the statements recorded before kick-off.", "key_number": "23", "data": "2026-10-22", "source_info": "our own evidence archive", "brand": "Forecast Record" }, "indexable": true, "noindex_reason": null, "indexing_threshold": { "settled_count": 23, "date_count": 1, "required_settled": 0, "required_dates": 0 }, "data_date": "2026-10-22T19:26:13.742Z", "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z", "content_hash": null, "meaning_hash": "0824e1d36c012b758836af24b49e2d20f263ddf51b919f7b718b6e9114b57d17", "dependency_group": "event:s-8e6e0bf74216", "release_id": "20261107-195223", "markup": [ { "type_code": "WebPage", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Organization", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "SportsEvent", "allowed": true, "cause": null } ], "exports": [ { "type_code": "json", "url": "/football/matches/ararat-armenia-vs-az-alkmaar-2026-10-22/index.json", "bytes": null }, { "type_code": "csv", "url": "/football/matches/ararat-armenia-vs-az-alkmaar-2026-10-22/picks.csv", "bytes": null } ], "modules": { "affiliate": true, "api": true, "compare_yourself": false }, "affiliate_block": { "container": true, "request_url": "/partnery/moi", "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "event" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "event": { "id": "s-8e6e0bf74216", "display_name": "Ararat-Armenia — AZ Alkmaar", "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League", "starts_at": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z", "status": "finished", "scoreline": "0-4", "condition": "finished", "condition_words": "finished", "result_received_at": "2026-10-22T19:26:13.742Z", "postponement": null, "consensus": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "distribution": [ { "outcome_label": "AZ Alkmaar", "figure": 6, "share": "100.0" } ], "n": 6, 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true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "AZ Alkmaar", "decimal_odds": "1.5764", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 5764, "executed_at": "2026-10-22T00:52:46.610Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "L'équipe Wincomparator", "publisher": "Wincomparator", "forecaster": "L'équipe Wincomparator", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.wincomparator.com/fr-fr/pronostics/avan-academy-az-alkmaar-8786971/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": 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"/football/matches/ararat-armenia-vs-az-alkmaar-2026-10-22/", "scoreline": "0-4", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "AZ Alkmaar", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": "1.5000", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-19T09:48:06.579Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 5000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-19T09:52:56.057Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "no_date" ], "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "AZ Alkmaar", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: AZ Alkmaar" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "0-4", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Ararat-Armenia 0-4 AZ Alkmaar." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "6ed3e2c635ffe4d6b7d7a3b9d8f04d326b12bda227642fde6876f66505eef8b6", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "AZ Alkmaar", "decimal_odds": "1.5000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": 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Ararat-Armenia Alkmaar\n\nMisez par exemple sur le pari \"Victoire Alkmaar\" (cote à 1,41)", "fragment_from": 2934, "fragment_to": 3062, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.ruedesjoueurs.com/pronostic/ararat-armenia-alkmaar-6112382.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Louis Godard", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "7f939f227279ac65d3ca1c52a54cbda099748ca3ef39462c282ab73df3f0f400", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-19T12:10:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-19T13:10:02.838Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-26T02:30:15.346Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-8e6e0bf74216", "display_name": "Ararat-Armenia — AZ Alkmaar", "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League", "starts_at": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/ararat-armenia-vs-az-alkmaar-2026-10-22/", "scoreline": "0-4", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "AZ Alkmaar", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.41", "our_snapshot": "1.5000", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-19T13:05:15.282Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 5000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-19T12:10:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-19T12:10:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-19T13:10:02.838Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "AZ Alkmaar", "author_odds": "1.41", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: AZ Alkmaar at 1.41" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "0-4", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Ararat-Armenia 0-4 AZ Alkmaar." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "cc02230d1b64652935533132497d6dcf9a20c8d88fb0475aa600430d5954abfc", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "AZ Alkmaar", "decimal_odds": "1.41", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 4100, "executed_at": "2026-10-26T02:30:14.323Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "ab064c53294ce8eea0ee791de273e9b10c57390f5b528c267ee81f6257e31ca2", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "AZ Alkmaar", "decimal_odds": "1.5000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 5000, "executed_at": "2026-10-26T02:30:15.346Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Louis Godard", "publisher": "ruedesjoueurs.com", "forecaster": "Louis Godard", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.ruedesjoueurs.com/pronostic/ararat-armenia-alkmaar-6112382.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-d16222093f0efbbc4163634a", "url": "/authors/fabian-schuster/picks/11/#pick-n-d16222093f0efbbc4163634a", "quote_text": "Doppelte Chance: Ararat-Armenia oder Unentschieden\n\nbei\nBetano\n\n2,55", "fragment_from": 4256, "fragment_to": 4324, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/ararat-armenia-az-alkmaar-prognose-22-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Fabian Schuster", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "4e425f9b8b4c36d442940fb6bad0d49bfc4d45d89533278093ae2f44173d8f68", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-20T04:25:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-20T05:12:09.932Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-22T00:48:03.811Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-8e6e0bf74216", "display_name": "Ararat-Armenia — AZ Alkmaar", "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League", "starts_at": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/ararat-armenia-vs-az-alkmaar-2026-10-22/", "scoreline": "0-4", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Double chance", "outcome_label": "Ararat-Armenia or draw", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.55", "our_snapshot": "2.5200", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-20T05:08:52.191Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-20T04:25:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-20T04:25:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-20T05:12:09.932Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "Ararat-Armenia or draw", "author_odds": "2.55", "market_key": "double_chance", "choice_key": "1X", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Double chance: Ararat-Armenia or draw at 2.55" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-4", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Ararat-Armenia 0-4 AZ Alkmaar." }, "settlements": [ { 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predicts: Ararat-Armenia 1-3 AZ Alkmaar", "fragment_from": 3549, "fragment_to": 3597, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/ararat-armenia-vs-az-alkmaar-prediction-22-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Marvellous Adepoju", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "f719d1066e72e5d3186e9a0d6a780d8a9e9053341f0552661b1578d4359a9b8c", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-20T22:49:53.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-20T23:04:17.092Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-8e6e0bf74216", "display_name": "Ararat-Armenia — AZ Alkmaar", "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League", "starts_at": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/ararat-armenia-vs-az-alkmaar-2026-10-22/", "scoreline": "0-4", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": 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"correct_score_market", "choice_key": "1-3", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Ararat-Armenia 1-3 AZ Alkmaar" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-4", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Ararat-Armenia 0-4 AZ Alkmaar." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "7d9573d271a4f9a7f795434148894f49d6268dee401df55edd42de851b303369", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "AZ Alkmaar", "decimal_odds": "1.5000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 5000, "executed_at": "2026-10-22T00:43:33.724Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Marvellous Adepoju", "publisher": "Football Whispers", "forecaster": "Marvellous Adepoju", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/ararat-armenia-vs-az-alkmaar-prediction-22-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-7e91eb6aad438e50e9c7bde3", "url": "/authors/marvellous-adepoju/picks/8/#pick-n-7e91eb6aad438e50e9c7bde3", "quote_text": "BTTS – Yes at 2/3 (1.67) is favoured to land.", "fragment_from": 3897, "fragment_to": 3942, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/ararat-armenia-vs-az-alkmaar-prediction-22-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Marvellous Adepoju", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "f719d1066e72e5d3186e9a0d6a780d8a9e9053341f0552661b1578d4359a9b8c", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-20T22:49:53.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-20T23:04:17.092Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T08:58:10.879Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-8e6e0bf74216", "display_name": "Ararat-Armenia — AZ Alkmaar", "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League", "starts_at": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/ararat-armenia-vs-az-alkmaar-2026-10-22/", "scoreline": "0-4", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "yes", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.67", "our_snapshot": "1.6452", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-20T23:01:34.274Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-20T22:49:53.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-10-20T22:49:53.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-20T23:04:17.092Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "author_odds": "1.67", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.67" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-4", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Ararat-Armenia 0-4 AZ Alkmaar." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "67a235ee79666c344d15b5b02d0d8bd663c1dd9a96216c6129f9de7d5ad5a89e", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "1.67", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T08:58:08.367Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "ef84c7587b13c5d2589ef7c2712868989a90fcbca1be617ed03d42582d0e63bc", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "1.6452", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T08:58:10.879Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Marvellous Adepoju", "publisher": "Football Whispers", "forecaster": "Marvellous Adepoju", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/ararat-armenia-vs-az-alkmaar-prediction-22-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-a9e3706d5800549775fd155b", "url": "/authors/nsidibe-akpan/picks/2/#pick-n-a9e3706d5800549775fd155b", "quote_text": "We say: Ararat-Armenia 1-3 AZ Alkmaar", "fragment_from": 4846, "fragment_to": 4883, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/ararat-armenia/preview/ararat-armenia-vs-az-prediction-team-news-lineups_607329.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Nsidibe Akpan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "ef0c4d0d22a3bef2a50d5e703fcef3ced4d32d21a212bbdb7788e3704c51171d", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-20T22:57:14.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-20T23:10:14.467Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-8e6e0bf74216", "display_name": "Ararat-Armenia — AZ Alkmaar", "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League", "starts_at": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/ararat-armenia-vs-az-alkmaar-2026-10-22/", "scoreline": "0-4", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "Ararat-Armenia 1-3 AZ Alkmaar", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-20T22:57:14.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-10-20T22:57:14.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-20T23:10:14.467Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Ararat-Armenia 1-3 AZ Alkmaar", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "1-3", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Ararat-Armenia 1-3 AZ Alkmaar" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-4", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Ararat-Armenia 0-4 AZ Alkmaar." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "af2f12fa5bed5b54896fb72efabf62430fd05fe107fdf530b0ef704d63c22ad1", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "AZ Alkmaar", "decimal_odds": "1.5000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 5000, "executed_at": "2026-10-22T00:43:17.246Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Nsidibe Akpan", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Nsidibe Akpan", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/ararat-armenia/preview/ararat-armenia-vs-az-prediction-team-news-lineups_607329.html", 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"2026-10-15T05:16:02.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-21T02:09:34.337Z", "lead_hours": 38.6, "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "outcome_reason": null, "before_kickoff": true, "attribution": null }, { "record_id": "n-859f1a32e2d06e309543831d", "url": "/authors/jasper-van-den-boogaard/picks/17/#pick-n-859f1a32e2d06e309543831d", "author": "Jasper van den Boogaard", "author_url": "/authors/jasper-van-den-boogaard/", "market": "Correct score", "selection": "Ararat-Armenia 1-1 AZ Alkmaar", "outcome": "Lost", "price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-20T08:55:19.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-22T06:59:21.882Z", "lead_hours": 9.8, "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "outcome_reason": null, "before_kickoff": true, "attribution": null }, { "record_id": "n-eadcc365d26febeb60683ad8", "url": "/authors/marvellous-adepoju/picks/8/#pick-n-eadcc365d26febeb60683ad8", "author": "Marvellous Adepoju", "author_url": "/authors/marvellous-adepoju/", "market": "Correct score", "selection": "Ararat-Armenia 1-3 AZ Alkmaar", "outcome": "Lost", "price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-20T22:49:53.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T23:04:17.092Z", "lead_hours": 41.7, "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "outcome_reason": null, "before_kickoff": true, "attribution": null }, { "record_id": "n-a9e3706d5800549775fd155b", "url": "/authors/nsidibe-akpan/picks/2/#pick-n-a9e3706d5800549775fd155b", "author": "Nsidibe Akpan", "author_url": "/authors/nsidibe-akpan/", "market": "Correct score", "selection": "Ararat-Armenia 1-3 AZ Alkmaar", "outcome": "Lost", "price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-20T22:57:14.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T23:10:14.467Z", "lead_hours": 41.6, "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "outcome_reason": null, "before_kickoff": true, "attribution": null }, { "record_id": "n-a92cf190aab9ce4d519adaae", "url": "/sources/oddsekspert-no/picks/9/#pick-n-a92cf190aab9ce4d519adaae", "author": "OddsEkspert.no", "author_url": "/sources/oddsekspert-no/", "market": "Correct score", "selection": "Ararat-Armenia 1-1 AZ Alkmaar", "outcome": "Lost", "price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-22T10:19:40.139Z", "lead_hours": 6.4, "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "outcome_reason": null, "before_kickoff": true, "attribution": null }, { "record_id": "n-d16222093f0efbbc4163634a", "url": "/authors/fabian-schuster/picks/11/#pick-n-d16222093f0efbbc4163634a", "author": "Fabian Schuster", "author_url": "/authors/fabian-schuster/", "market": "Double chance", "selection": "Ararat-Armenia or draw", "outcome": "Lost", "price": "2.55", "published_at": "2026-10-20T04:25:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T05:12:09.932Z", "lead_hours": 59.5, "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "outcome_reason": null, "before_kickoff": true, "attribution": null }, { "record_id": "n-dbbb0231ce85f967731603b3", "url": "/sources/footballpredictions-com/picks/208/#pick-n-dbbb0231ce85f967731603b3", "author": "FootballPredictions.com", 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"entry_id": "n-dbbb0231ce85f967731603b3", "outcome_label": "Lost", "source_group": "websites" } ], "figure": 1 } ], "n": 1, "publisher_count": 1 } ], "author_count": 15, "below_threshold": { "prediction_count": 0, "author_count": 0 }, "limit": 10 }, "chain": { "publications": 6, "unique": 6, "comparable": 6, "admissible": 6, "contributions": 6 }, "differing_choices": 0, "visible_who": 3, "newcomers_who": 12, "newcomers_before": 16, "titles_shown": true, "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules." }, "arguments": { "topics": [ { "code_name": "other_topic", "display_name": "Other reasons", "checkable_item": false, "bullet_points": [ { "entry_id": "n-89813d75b986ff3f62db1b25", "author_name": "Marvellous Adepoju", "author_href": "/authors/marvellous-adepoju/", "source_group": "experts", "choice": "over 2.5", "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "logged_at": "2026-10-20T23:04:17.092Z", "original": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/ararat-armenia-vs-az-alkmaar-prediction-22-10-2026/", "proof": "/authors/marvellous-adepoju/picks/8/#pick-n-89813d75b986ff3f62db1b25", "quote_text": "With five of the hosts' last seven matches – including friendlies – producing three or more goals, over 2.5 goals at 29/50 (1.58) looks a strong option.", "retelling": null, "checkable_item": false, "against": false } ], "total_count": 1 }, { "code_name": "recent_form", "display_name": "Form", "checkable_item": false, "bullet_points": [ { "entry_id": "n-7e91eb6aad438e50e9c7bde3", "author_name": "Marvellous Adepoju", "author_href": "/authors/marvellous-adepoju/", "source_group": "experts", "choice": "yes", "market_label": "Both teams to score", "logged_at": "2026-10-20T23:04:17.092Z", "original": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/ararat-armenia-vs-az-alkmaar-prediction-22-10-2026/", "proof": "/authors/marvellous-adepoju/picks/8/#pick-n-7e91eb6aad438e50e9c7bde3", "quote_text": "An away win plus a clean sheet might be too much to expect from AZ, so BTTS – Yes at 2/3 (1.67) is favoured to land.", "retelling": null, "checkable_item": false, "against": false } ], "total_count": 1 }, { "code_name": "tactics", "display_name": "Tactics and style", "checkable_item": false, "bullet_points": [ { "entry_id": "n-7bf87261ec9230837a607488", "author_name": "Dailysports", "author_href": "/sources/dailysports-net/", "source_group": "websites", "choice": "over 2.5", "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "logged_at": "2026-10-21T16:49:34.098Z", "original": "https://dailysports.net/predictions/can-ararat-armenia-withstand-azs-attacking-quality-ararat-armenia-vs-az-alkmaar-prediction-2210202/", "proof": "/sources/dailysports-net/picks/14/#pick-n-7bf87261ec9230837a607488", "quote_text": "With Ararat-Armenia's first two league-phase matches producing eight goals in total and AZ coming off a performance in which they created more than two…", "retelling": null, "checkable_item": false, "against": false } ], "total_count": 1 } ], "against": [], "other_languages": 2, "other_language_hosts": [ "sportwetten.bild.de" ], "mode": "quotes", "topics_total": 3, "checkable": 0 }, "market_label": { "favourite_code": "2", "favourite": "AZ Alkmaar", "probabilities": [ { "outcome_label": "1", "in_words": "Ararat-Armenia", "percent_value": 13 }, { "outcome_label": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "percent_value": 20 }, { "outcome_label": "2", "in_words": "AZ Alkmaar", "percent_value": 68 } ], "prices": { "1": "7.50", "X": "4.81", "2": "1.39" }, "group_count": 24, "bookmakers": 39, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z", "closing_line": true, "first_at": "2026-10-22T00:17:15.868Z", "shift_pp": 4.7, "phrase": "The market has moved a little since our first snapshot on 22 October 2026: AZ Alkmaar 63% then, 68% at kick-off.", "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.", "t24": { "snapshot_at": "2026-10-21T16:45:00.000Z", "probabilities": { "1": 16, "2": 63, "X": 21 } }, "t2": { "snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T14:45:00.000Z", "probabilities": { "1": 12, "2": 70, "X": 18 } } }, "market_mode": "show", "fact_sheet": { "tournament": "UEFA Europa League (Europe)", "matchday": "League Stage · Matchday 3", "starts_at": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z", "form": { "home_side": [ { "res": "W", "scoreline": "1-0", "opponent": "BKMA FC", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-18" }, { "res": "L", "scoreline": "1-3", "opponent": "Jagiellonia", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-15" }, { "res": "D", "scoreline": "1-1", "opponent": "Alashkert FC", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-10" }, { "res": "L", "scoreline": "1-4", "opponent": "AC Sparta Praha", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-09-16" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "1-0", "opponent": "Ararat Yerevan", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-09-05" } ], "away": [ { "res": "D", "scoreline": "2-2", "opponent": "SC Cambuur", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-18" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "2-1", "opponent": "Hapoel Be'er Sheva", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-15" }, { "res": "L", "scoreline": "0-2", "opponent": "Feyenoord", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-10" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "1-0", "opponent": "SC Telstar", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-09-20" }, { "res": "L", "scoreline": "0-1", "opponent": "Sunderland", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-09-16" } ] }, "head_to_head": [], "past_cards": [], "reach": "" }, "after_match": { "scoreline": "0-4", "fact_code": "2", "row_list": [ "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 6 of 6 matched · Tipsters 4 of 4 · Prediction sites 2 of 2", "All recorded exact-score predictions: 0 of 5 matched", "Exact-score predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 5 matched the score, 3 of 5 the outcome", "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: AZ Alkmaar (6 of 6), matched", "Market favourite at kick-off: AZ Alkmaar (matched)" ], "by_group": { "tipsters": { "correct": 4, "of": 4 }, "websites": { "correct": 2, "of": 2 } }, "placement": null, "checks": [] }, "prices": [ { "author_name": "Marvellous Adepoju", "choice": "yes", "market_label": "Both teams to score", "author_quoted_price": "1.67", "our_snapshot": "1.6452", "closing_line": null }, { "author_name": "Fabian Schuster", "choice": "no", "market_label": "Both teams to score", "author_quoted_price": "2.15", "our_snapshot": "2.1500", "closing_line": null }, { "author_name": "Dailysports", "choice": "over 2.5", "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "author_quoted_price": "1.70", "our_snapshot": "1.5800", "closing_line": null }, { "author_name": "Fabian Schuster", "choice": "Ararat-Armenia or draw", "market_label": "Double chance", "author_quoted_price": "2.55", "our_snapshot": "2.5200", "closing_line": null } ], "revisions": [ "Market 24 hours before kick-off: AZ Alkmaar 63%.", "Market 2 hours before kick-off: AZ Alkmaar 70%.", "First published with predictions on 20 October 2026." ], "titles": { "shown": true, "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.", "frozen_in": "sr-a94eb0f4f1e15d34647fac8f" }, "tracker": null, "source_groups": { "as_of": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z", "groups": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "label": "Prediction sites" }, { "key": "media", "label": "Media" }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "label": "Telegram channels" }, { "key": "private_authors", "label": "Independent tipsters" } ], "authors": 15, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 6 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 3 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 6 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ], "markets": [ { "key": "1x2", "label": "Match result", "authors": 6, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 4 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 2 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ], "choices": [ { "code_name": "1", "in_words": "Ararat-Armenia", "authors": 0, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] }, { "code_name": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "authors": 0, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] }, { "code_name": "2", "in_words": "AZ Alkmaar", "authors": 6, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 4 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 2 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] } ] }, { "key": "totals", "label": "Goal totals", "authors": 4, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 2 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] }, { "key": "other", "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets", "authors": 7, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 2 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 3 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 2 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] } ] }, "market_line": { "line_state": "moved", "line_frozen": true, "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (22 October 2026, 17:45 BST): Ararat-Armenia 13%, draw 20%, AZ Alkmaar 68%. From 22 October 2026, 01:17 BST to kick-off the line moved 4.7 percentage points (AZ Alkmaar up).", "line_markets": [ { "market_text": "1X2, match result", "market_group": "1x2", "line_kind": "median_line", "margin_included": false, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z", "closing_line": true, "probabilities": [ { "outcome_label": "1", "in_words": "Ararat-Armenia", "percent_value": 13 }, { "outcome_label": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "percent_value": 20 }, { "outcome_label": "2", "in_words": "AZ Alkmaar", "percent_value": 68 } ], "group_count": 24, "first_at": "2026-10-22T00:17:15.868Z", "first_probabilities": { "1": 16, "2": 63, "X": 21 }, "shift_pp": 4.7, "shift_outcome": "2", "shift_direction": "up", "line_state": "moved", "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (22 October 2026, 17:45 BST): Ararat-Armenia 13%, draw 20%, AZ Alkmaar 68%. From 22 October 2026, 01:17 BST to kick-off the line moved 4.7 percentage points (AZ Alkmaar up)." }, { "market_text": "Both teams to score", "market_group": "other", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "no", "snapshot_price": "2.15", "percent_value": 47, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-20T05:08:52.191Z", "snapshot_count": 1, "first_snapshot_price": null, "first_at": null, "shift_pp": null, "shift_direction": null, "line_state": "single_snapshot" }, { "choice": "yes", "snapshot_price": "1.69", "percent_value": 59, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T06:58:56.071Z", "snapshot_count": 3, "first_snapshot_price": "1.65", "first_at": "2026-10-20T23:01:34.274Z", "shift_pp": 1.6, "shift_direction": "down", "line_state": "barely_moved" } ], "line_state": "barely_moved", "phrase": "Both teams to score, no: market price 2.15 on 20 October 2026, 06:08 BST (implied 47%, margin included). Both teams to score, yes: market price 1.69 on 22 October 2026, 07:58 BST (implied 59%, margin included), 1.6 percentage points down from 21 October 2026, 00:01 BST." }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "over 2.5", "snapshot_price": "1.58", "percent_value": 63, "snapshot_at": "2026-10-21T16:50:16.000Z", "snapshot_count": 1, "first_snapshot_price": null, "first_at": null, "shift_pp": null, "shift_direction": null, "line_state": "single_snapshot" } ], "line_state": "single_snapshot", "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, over 2.5 goals: market price 1.58 on 21 October 2026, 17:50 BST (implied 63%, margin included)." } ] }, "pre_kickoff_snapshot": { "frozen_before_kickoff": true, "as_of_moment": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z", "starts_at": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z", "phrase": "Before kick-off on 22 October 2026, 17:45 BST: market line at kick-off Ararat-Armenia 13%, draw 20%, AZ Alkmaar 68%; 1X2, match result: most expected AZ Alkmaar (6 of 6 predictions); Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (4): 4 on over 2.5 goals; Correct score, recorded picks before the match (5): 2 on Ararat-Armenia 1-1 AZ Alkmaar, 2 on Ararat-Armenia 1-3 AZ Alkmaar, 1 on Ararat-Armenia 1-2 AZ Alkmaar.", "market_line_brief": { "snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z", "closing_line": true, "probabilities": { "1": 13, "X": 20, "2": 68 } }, "market_groups": [ { "market_group": "1x2", "group_markets": [ { "market_text": "1X2, match result", "prediction_count": 6, "row_count": 6, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "AZ Alkmaar", "figure": 6 } ], "phrase_mode": "majority", "leader_choice": "AZ Alkmaar", "leader_count": 6, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "1X2, match result: most expected AZ Alkmaar (6 of 6 predictions)", "sides_1x2": [ { "side": "1", "in_words": "Ararat-Armenia", "figure": 0 }, { "side": "X", "in_words": "draw", "figure": 0 }, { "side": "2", "in_words": "AZ Alkmaar", "figure": 6 } ] } ] }, { "market_group": "totals", "group_markets": [ { "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "prediction_count": 4, "row_count": 4, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "over 2.5", "figure": 4 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (4): 4 on over 2.5 goals" } ] }, { "market_group": "other", "group_markets": [ { "market_text": "Correct score", "prediction_count": 5, "row_count": 5, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "Ararat-Armenia 1-1 AZ Alkmaar", "figure": 2 }, { "choice": "Ararat-Armenia 1-3 AZ Alkmaar", "figure": 2 }, { "choice": "Ararat-Armenia 1-2 AZ Alkmaar", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": null, "phrase": "Correct score, recorded picks before the match (5): 2 on Ararat-Armenia 1-1 AZ Alkmaar, 2 on Ararat-Armenia 1-3 AZ Alkmaar, 1 on Ararat-Armenia 1-2 AZ Alkmaar" }, { "market_text": "Both teams to score", "prediction_count": 4, "row_count": 4, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "yes", "figure": 3 }, { "choice": "no", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 75, "phrase": "Both teams to score, recorded picks before the match (4): 3 on yes, 1 on no" }, { "market_text": "Asian handicap 1.5", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "Ararat-Armenia +1.5", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Asian handicap 1.5, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Ararat-Armenia +1.5" }, { "market_text": "Double chance", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "Ararat-Armenia or draw", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Double chance, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Ararat-Armenia or draw" }, { "market_text": "European handicap 2", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "Ararat-Armenia +2", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "European handicap 2, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Ararat-Armenia +2" } ] } ], "predictions_before_kickoff": 22, "majority_threshold": { "min_predictions": 5, "min_share_percent": 60.0 } }, "teams_prev_next": [ { "side": "home", "team": "Ararat-Armenia", "team_url": null, "participant_id": "u-4ebd6ed6e08d", "previous": { "kickoff": "2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z", "name": "BKMA FC vs Ararat-Armenia", "url": null, "competition": "Armenia Premier League", "state": "played", "score": "0-1" }, "next": { "kickoff": "2026-10-26T15:00:00.000Z", "name": "Ararat-Armenia vs FC Noah", "url": null, "competition": "Armenia Premier League", "state": "no_result", "score": null }, "why": null }, { "side": "away", "team": "AZ Alkmaar", "team_url": "/football/teams/az-alkmaar/", "participant_id": "u-c06dd4549428", "previous": { "kickoff": "2026-10-15T16:45:00.000Z", "name": "AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva", "url": null, "competition": "UEFA Europa League", "state": "played", "score": "2-1" }, "next": { "kickoff": "2026-10-25T19:00:00.000Z", "name": "AZ Alkmaar vs FC Twente", "url": "/football/matches/az-alkmaar-vs-fc-twente-2026-10-25/", "competition": "Eredivisie", "state": "played", "score": "0-2" }, "why": null } ] }, "number_sets": [ { "set": "match.market_line.percent", "entity": "/football/matches/ararat-armenia-vs-az-alkmaar-2026-10-22/|1x2|1", "value": 13, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.market_line.percent", "entity": "/football/matches/ararat-armenia-vs-az-alkmaar-2026-10-22/|1x2|X", "value": 20, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.market_line.percent", "entity": 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