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 "heading": "Alverca vs Casa Pia: recorded predictions and results",
 "description": "Alverca vs Casa Pia, 7 November 2026. Awaiting the final score · Primeira Liga: 6 distinct predictions from 5 authors.",
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  "body": "The scheduled kick-off has passed; the final score follows. Forecast Record recorded 7 statements from 5 authors on Alverca vs Casa Pia (Primeira Liga, kick-off 7 November 2026): 6 distinct predictions, all of the statements recorded before kick-off.",
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    "entity_ref": "e-ac9d178dab58705252796dd4",
    "name_shown": "Jasper van den Boogaard",
    "url": "/authors/jasper-van-den-boogaard/"
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   {
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    "type_code": "author_before_match",
    "moment_at": "2026-11-07T18:00:00.000Z",
    "freeze_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
    "approach": "by_capture_time",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "counting_rule": "1",
    "figures": {
     "matches": 355,
     "method_version": "2.2",
     "net_points_hundredths": -91496,
     "period_from": "2026-10-15",
     "period_to": "2026-11-07",
     "price_rule": "Our market snapshot",
     "return_percent": "-1.61",
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     "staked_hundredths": 5690000,
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      "publisher_count": 1
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "total|2.5|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "market_key": "total",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "over",
        "in_words": "over 2.5",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Hugo Cruz",
          "entry_id": "n-72ba9d97c4418aa5837603fb",
          "outcome_label": "Pending",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     }
    ],
    "author_count": 5,
    "below_threshold": {
     "prediction_count": 0,
     "author_count": 0
    },
    "limit": 10
   },
   "chain": {
    "publications": 1,
    "unique": 1,
    "comparable": 1,
    "admissible": 1,
    "contributions": 1
   },
   "differing_choices": 0,
   "visible_who": 1,
   "newcomers_who": 4,
   "newcomers_before": 5,
   "titles_shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules."
  },
  "arguments": {
   "topics": [
    {
     "code_name": "home_form",
     "display_name": "Home and away",
     "checkable_item": false,
     "bullet_points": [
      {
       "entry_id": "n-164d7702b4c85219f5c23f23",
       "author_name": "Adeyeye Oluwapelumi",
       "author_href": "/authors/adeyeye-oluwapelumi/",
       "source_group": "experts",
       "choice": "Alverca 1-1 Casa Pia",
       "market_label": "Correct score",
       "logged_at": "2026-11-06T00:10:14.554Z",
       "original": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/alverca/preview/alverca-vs-casa-pia-prediction-team-news-lineups_608540.html",
       "proof": "/authors/adeyeye-oluwapelumi/picks/11/#pick-n-164d7702b4c85219f5c23f23",
       "quote_text": "Alverca have struggled to find the net in recent weeks, while their home record offers little reason to expect a convincing response, particularly against…",
       "retelling": null,
       "checkable_item": false,
       "against": false
      }
     ],
     "total_count": 1
    }
   ],
   "against": [],
   "other_languages": 0,
   "other_language_hosts": [],
   "mode": "quotes",
   "topics_total": 1,
   "checkable": 0
  },
  "market_label": {
   "favourite_code": "1",
   "favourite": "Alverca",
   "probabilities": [
    {
     "outcome_label": "1",
     "in_words": "Alverca",
     "percent_value": 51
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "X",
     "in_words": "Draw",
     "percent_value": 27
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "2",
     "in_words": "Casa Pia",
     "percent_value": 22
    }
   ],
   "prices": {
    "1": "1.85",
    "X": "3.50",
    "2": "4.20"
   },
   "group_count": 13,
   "bookmakers": 15,
   "snapshot_at": "2026-11-07T18:00:00.000Z",
   "closing_line": true,
   "first_at": "2026-11-02T08:16:12.743Z",
   "shift_pp": 4.5,
   "phrase": "The market has moved a little since our first snapshot on 2 November 2026: Alverca 55% then, 51% at kick-off.",
   "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.",
   "t24": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-11-06T18:00:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 54,
     "2": 21,
     "X": 26
    }
   },
   "t2": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-11-07T16:00:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 52,
     "2": 21,
     "X": 26
    }
   }
  },
  "market_mode": "show",
  "fact_sheet": {
   "tournament": "Primeira Liga (Portugal)",
   "matchday": "Matchweek 11",
   "starts_at": "2026-11-07T18:00:00.000Z",
   "form": {
    "home_side": [
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-1",
      "opponent": "Benfica",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-11-02"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-1",
      "opponent": "Arouca",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-24"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "0-0",
      "opponent": "Tondela",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-18"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "4-1",
      "opponent": "Famalicão",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-12"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "1-0",
      "opponent": "Rio Ave",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-09-19"
     }
    ],
    "away": [
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-2",
      "opponent": "Sporting CP",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-30"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-0",
      "opponent": "Estrela Amadora",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-24"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "1-0",
      "opponent": "FC Alpendorada",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-18"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-1",
      "opponent": "Santa Clara",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-10"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-1",
      "opponent": "Estoril",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-20"
     }
    ]
   },
   "head_to_head": [],
   "past_cards": [],
   "reach": ""
  },
  "after_match": null,
  "prices": [],
  "revisions": [
   "3 new picks recorded in the last 24 hours.",
   "Market 24 hours before kick-off: Alverca 54%.",
   "Market 2 hours before kick-off: Alverca 52%.",
   "First published with predictions on 6 November 2026."
  ],
  "titles": {
   "shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
   "frozen_in": "sr-8d0245dd8ca965e34cfeeca6"
  },
  "tracker": null,
  "source_groups": {
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T18:00:00.000Z",
   "groups": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "label": "Prediction sites"
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "label": "Media"
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "label": "Telegram channels"
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "label": "Independent tipsters"
    }
   ],
   "authors": 5,
   "by_group": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "authors": 2
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "authors": 1
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "authors": 2
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "authors": 0
    }
   ],
   "markets": [
    {
     "key": "1x2",
     "label": "Match result",
     "authors": 2,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 2
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ],
     "choices": [
      {
       "code_name": "1",
       "in_words": "Alverca",
       "authors": 2,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 2
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "2",
       "in_words": "Casa Pia",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "totals",
     "label": "Goal totals",
     "authors": 1,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "other",
     "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets",
     "authors": 3,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  "market_line": {
   "line_state": "moved",
   "line_frozen": true,
   "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (7 November 2026, 18:00 GMT): Alverca 51%, draw 27%, Casa Pia 22%. From 2 November 2026, 08:16 GMT to kick-off the line moved 4.5 percentage points (Alverca down).",
   "line_markets": [
    {
     "market_text": "1X2, match result",
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "line_kind": "median_line",
     "margin_included": false,
     "snapshot_at": "2026-11-07T18:00:00.000Z",
     "closing_line": true,
     "probabilities": [
      {
       "outcome_label": "1",
       "in_words": "Alverca",
       "percent_value": 51
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "percent_value": 27
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "2",
       "in_words": "Casa Pia",
       "percent_value": 22
      }
     ],
     "group_count": 13,
     "first_at": "2026-11-02T08:16:12.743Z",
     "first_probabilities": {
      "1": 55,
      "2": 20,
      "X": 25
     },
     "shift_pp": 4.5,
     "shift_outcome": "1",
     "shift_direction": "down",
     "line_state": "moved",
     "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (7 November 2026, 18:00 GMT): Alverca 51%, draw 27%, Casa Pia 22%. From 2 November 2026, 08:16 GMT to kick-off the line moved 4.5 percentage points (Alverca down)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Both teams to score",
     "market_group": "other",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "yes",
       "snapshot_price": "1.82",
       "percent_value": 55,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-11-07T04:11:14.010Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Both teams to score, yes: market price 1.82 on 7 November 2026, 04:11 GMT (implied 55%, margin included)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 2.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.95",
       "percent_value": 51,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T18:08:22.799Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, over 2.5 goals: market price 1.95 on 5 November 2026, 18:08 GMT (implied 51%, margin included)."
    }
   ]
  },
  "pre_kickoff_snapshot": {
   "frozen_before_kickoff": true,
   "as_of_moment": "2026-11-07T18:00:00.000Z",
   "starts_at": "2026-11-07T18:00:00.000Z",
   "phrase": "Before kick-off on 7 November 2026, 18:00 GMT: market line at kick-off Alverca 51%, draw 27%, Casa Pia 22%; 1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on Alverca, 0 on the draw, 0 on Casa Pia; Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on over 2.5 goals; Correct score, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on Alverca 1-1 Casa Pia.",
   "market_line_brief": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-11-07T18:00:00.000Z",
    "closing_line": true,
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 51,
     "X": 27,
     "2": 22
    }
   },
   "market_groups": [
    {
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "1X2, match result",
       "prediction_count": 2,
       "row_count": 2,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Alverca",
         "figure": 2
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on Alverca, 0 on the draw, 0 on Casa Pia",
       "sides_1x2": [
        {
         "side": "1",
         "in_words": "Alverca",
         "figure": 2
        },
        {
         "side": "X",
         "in_words": "draw",
         "figure": 0
        },
        {
         "side": "2",
         "in_words": "Casa Pia",
         "figure": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "totals",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "over 2.5",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on over 2.5 goals"
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "other",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Correct score",
       "prediction_count": 2,
       "row_count": 2,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Alverca 1-1 Casa Pia",
         "figure": 2
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Correct score, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on Alverca 1-1 Casa Pia"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Both teams to score",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "yes",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Both teams to score, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on yes"
      }
     ]
    }
   ],
   "predictions_before_kickoff": 6,
   "majority_threshold": {
    "min_predictions": 5,
    "min_share_percent": 60.0
   }
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    "participant_id": "u-b346fe2d0d1f",
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     "kickoff": "2026-11-02T20:15:00.000Z",
     "name": "Benfica vs Alverca",
     "url": "/football/matches/benfica-vs-alverca-2026-11-02/",
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     "state": "played",
     "score": "1-0"
    },
    "next": null,
    "why": null
   },
   {
    "side": "away",
    "team": "Casa Pia",
    "team_url": "/football/teams/casa-pia/",
    "participant_id": "u-4d9a1be49b45",
    "previous": {
     "kickoff": "2026-10-30T20:15:00.000Z",
     "name": "Casa Pia vs Sporting CP",
     "url": "/football/matches/casa-pia-vs-sporting-cp-2026-10-30/",
     "competition": "Primeira Liga",
     "state": "played",
     "score": "0-2"
    },
    "next": {
     "kickoff": "2026-11-21T15:00:00.000Z",
     "name": "Atletico CP Lisbon vs Casa Pia",
     "url": "/football/matches/atletico-cp-lisbon-vs-casa-pia-2026-11-21/",
     "competition": "Portugal Cup",
     "state": "upcoming",
     "score": null
    },
    "why": null
   }
  ],
  "day_link": {
   "url": "/football/today/",
   "text": "Other matches today"
  }
 },
 "number_sets": [
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/alverca-vs-casa-pia-2026-11-07/|1x2|1",
   "value": 51,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/alverca-vs-casa-pia-2026-11-07/|1x2|X",
   "value": 27,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.market_line.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/alverca-vs-casa-pia-2026-11-07/|1x2|2",
   "value": 22,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.recorded_price.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/alverca-vs-casa-pia-2026-11-07/|Both teams to score|yes",
   "value": 55,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.recorded_price.percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/alverca-vs-casa-pia-2026-11-07/|Over/Under 2.5 goals|over 2.5",
   "value": 51,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
   "entity": "/football/matches/alverca-vs-casa-pia-2026-11-07/|1X2, match result",
   "value": 2,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/alverca-vs-casa-pia-2026-11-07/|1X2, match result",
   "value": 100,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/alverca-vs-casa-pia-2026-11-07/|1X2, match result|Alverca",
   "value": 2,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/alverca-vs-casa-pia-2026-11-07/|1X2, match result|draw",
   "value": 0,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/alverca-vs-casa-pia-2026-11-07/|1X2, match result|Casa Pia",
   "value": 0,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
   "entity": "/football/matches/alverca-vs-casa-pia-2026-11-07/|Over/Under 2.5 goals",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/alverca-vs-casa-pia-2026-11-07/|Over/Under 2.5 goals",
   "value": 100,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/alverca-vs-casa-pia-2026-11-07/|Over/Under 2.5 goals|over 2.5",
   "value": 1,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.market",
   "entity": "/football/matches/alverca-vs-casa-pia-2026-11-07/|Correct score",
   "value": 2,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.leader_share_percent",
   "entity": "/football/matches/alverca-vs-casa-pia-2026-11-07/|Correct score",
   "value": 100,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "match.before_kickoff.selection",
   "entity": "/football/matches/alverca-vs-casa-pia-2026-11-07/|Correct score|Alverca 1-1 Casa Pia",
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