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 "heading": "AFC Ajax vs Atalanta: recorded predictions and results",
 "description": "AFC Ajax vs Atalanta, 22 October 2026. Final score 2-0 · UEFA Conference League: 35 distinct predictions from 19 authors.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "AFC Ajax finished 2-0 against Atalanta. None of the 2 recorded correct-score predictions matched that score. Other markets are shown separately below. Forecast Record recorded 35 statements from 19 authors on AFC Ajax vs Atalanta (UEFA Conference League, kick-off 22 October 2026): 35 distinct predictions, all of the statements recorded before kick-off.",
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  "data": "2026-10-22",
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  "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.",
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  "starts_at": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z",
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  "scoreline": "2-0",
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   "distribution": [
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     "figure": 9,
     "share": "90.0"
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     "figure": 1,
     "share": "10.0"
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   ],
   "n": 10,
   "author_count": 10,
   "median_odds": "1.52",
   "summary": "Most common recorded selection in this market: yes — 9 of 10 eligible picks (one per author), median stated price 1.52",
   "late_excluded": 0,
   "contributions": 10,
   "prediction_count": 10,
   "chain": {
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    "unique": 35,
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    "admissible": 35,
    "contributions": 35
   },
   "differing_choices": 0,
   "different_products": 0,
   "counting_rule": "1"
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  "country_name": "Europe",
  "competition_full": "UEFA Conference League (Europe)"
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   "quote_text": "Pronostico Ajax Atalanta: Over 2.5.\n\nIl pronostico:\n\nOver 2.5 gol\n\n1.60",
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    "forecaster": "Marco Avena",
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   "quote_text": "Altri pronostici per scommettere su Ajax - Atalanta\n\nAtalanta vince\n\nQuota\n3.10",
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   "url": "/authors/marco-avena/picks/6/#pick-n-b7d4bf2904368d5ec162f2fc",
   "quote_text": "Altri pronostici per scommettere su Ajax - Atalanta\n\nAtalanta vince\n\nQuota\n3.10\n\nL'Ajax non vince da 14 partite europee casalinghe contro club italiani e l'Atalanta ha già vinto una volta ad Amsterdam.\n\n2000€ offerti per scommettere\n\nEntrambe le squadre segnano\n\nQuota\n1.52",
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 ],
 "record_counts": {
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  "predictions": 35,
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 },
 "match_summary": {
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  "sentence": "AFC Ajax finished 2-0 against Atalanta. None of the 2 recorded correct-score predictions matched that score. Other markets are shown separately below.",
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   },
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   "visible_who": 4,
   "newcomers_who": 15,
   "newcomers_before": 31,
   "titles_shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules."
  },
  "arguments": {
   "topics": [
    {
     "code_name": "price",
     "display_name": "Price and value",
     "checkable_item": false,
     "bullet_points": [
      {
       "entry_id": "n-b096fcaabe86bfe7336919b4",
       "author_name": "Joshua Ojele",
       "author_href": "/authors/joshua-ojele/",
       "source_group": "experts",
       "choice": "AFC Ajax win, both teams to score: yes",
       "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
       "logged_at": "2026-10-21T05:54:17.163Z",
       "original": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/ajax-vs-atalanta-prediction-22-10-2026/",
       "proof": "/authors/joshua-ojele/picks/4/#pick-n-b096fcaabe86bfe7336919b4",
       "quote_text": "which is the safe high-value bet for us",
       "retelling": null,
       "checkable_item": false,
       "against": false
      }
     ],
     "total_count": 1
    },
    {
     "code_name": "home_form",
     "display_name": "Home and away",
     "checkable_item": false,
     "bullet_points": [
      {
       "entry_id": "n-0809c979427c773a655d74a2",
       "author_name": "Alex Sarwar",
       "author_href": "/authors/alex-sarwar/",
       "source_group": "tipsters",
       "choice": "AFC Ajax",
       "market_label": "1X2, match result",
       "logged_at": "2026-10-22T15:58:33.608Z",
       "original": "https://www.thestatszone.com/ajax-vs-atalanta-preview-prediction-2026-27-uefa-conference-league-league-phase-231894",
       "proof": "/authors/alex-sarwar/picks/8/#pick-n-0809c979427c773a655d74a2",
       "quote_text": "La Dea are suffering through a slump on the road, losing their last three away fixtures. Coming off the back of a gruelling test and ultimately a defeat…",
       "retelling": null,
       "checkable_item": false,
       "against": false
      }
     ],
     "total_count": 1
    },
    {
     "code_name": "lineup",
     "display_name": "Injuries, suspensions and team news",
     "checkable_item": true,
     "bullet_points": [
      {
       "entry_id": "n-ad2bed3e7ec7660992feaccf",
       "author_name": "Seye Omidiora",
       "author_href": "/authors/seye-omidiora/",
       "source_group": "experts",
       "choice": "AFC Ajax 2-1 Atalanta",
       "market_label": "Correct score",
       "logged_at": "2026-10-21T00:09:59.629Z",
       "original": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/ajax/europa-conference-league/preview/ajax-vs-atalanta-prediction-team-news-lineups_607269.html",
       "proof": "/authors/seye-omidiora/picks/3/#pick-n-ad2bed3e7ec7660992feaccf",
       "quote_text": "Ajax's emphatic weekend victory arrived at an ideal time, and returning to Amsterdam should further strengthen their belief as they seek to respond to last…",
       "retelling": null,
       "checkable_item": true,
       "against": false
      }
     ],
     "total_count": 1
    },
    {
     "code_name": "tactics",
     "display_name": "Tactics and style",
     "checkable_item": false,
     "bullet_points": [
      {
       "entry_id": "n-63e37a1069027a3a088478a3",
       "author_name": "Dailysports",
       "author_href": "/sources/dailysports-net/",
       "source_group": "websites",
       "choice": "yes",
       "market_label": "Both teams to score",
       "logged_at": "2026-10-21T11:09:22.843Z",
       "original": "https://dailysports.net/predictions/will-ajax-claim-their-first-win-prediction-for-the-match-against-atalanta-on-october-22/",
       "proof": "/sources/dailysports-net/picks/13/#pick-n-63e37a1069027a3a088478a3",
       "quote_text": "Both teams have been playing high-scoring football in their recent matches and have plenty of defensive problems, but they are effective in the final third.",
       "retelling": null,
       "checkable_item": false,
       "against": false
      }
     ],
     "total_count": 1
    }
   ],
   "against": [],
   "other_languages": 0,
   "other_language_hosts": [],
   "mode": "quotes",
   "topics_total": 4,
   "checkable": 1
  },
  "market_label": {
   "favourite_code": "1",
   "favourite": "AFC Ajax",
   "probabilities": [
    {
     "outcome_label": "1",
     "in_words": "AFC Ajax",
     "percent_value": 46
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "X",
     "in_words": "Draw",
     "percent_value": 25
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "2",
     "in_words": "Atalanta",
     "percent_value": 29
    }
   ],
   "prices": {
    "1": "2.02",
    "X": "3.80",
    "2": "3.20"
   },
   "group_count": 13,
   "bookmakers": 15,
   "snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z",
   "closing_line": true,
   "first_at": "2026-10-22T10:09:25.695Z",
   "shift_pp": 0.4,
   "phrase": "The market has barely changed its mind since our first snapshot on 22 October 2026: AFC Ajax 46% then, 46% at kick-off.",
   "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.",
   "t2": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T17:00:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 47,
     "2": 29,
     "X": 24
    }
   }
  },
  "market_mode": "show",
  "fact_sheet": {
   "tournament": "UEFA Conference League (Europe)",
   "matchday": "League Stage · Matchday 2",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z",
   "form": {
    "home_side": [
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "5-2",
      "opponent": "FC Groningen",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-18"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-2",
      "opponent": "Hajduk Split",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-15"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "1-1",
      "opponent": "NEC Nijmegen",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-10"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "2-2",
      "opponent": "Excelsior",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-09-19"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "5-1",
      "opponent": "Willem II Tilburg",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-09-15"
     }
    ],
    "away": [
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "2-3",
      "opponent": "AC Milan",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-18"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "3-1",
      "opponent": "Pafos",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-15"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "3-1",
      "opponent": "Venezia",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-12"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-2",
      "opponent": "Juventus",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-20"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-2",
      "opponent": "Cagliari",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-09-12"
     }
    ]
   },
   "head_to_head": [],
   "past_cards": [],
   "reach": ""
  },
  "after_match": {
   "scoreline": "2-0",
   "fact_code": "1",
   "row_list": [
    "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 3 of 5 matched · Tipsters 2 of 4 · Prediction sites 1 of 1",
    "All recorded exact-score predictions: 0 of 2 matched",
    "Exact-score predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 2 matched the score, 1 of 2 the outcome",
    "Predictions from tipsters and sources with fewer than 10 predictions checked against the final score to date, recorded before kick-off: 1 prediction · 1 lost",
    "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: AFC Ajax (3 of 5), matched",
    "Market favourite at kick-off: AFC Ajax (matched)"
   ],
   "by_group": {
    "tipsters": {
     "correct": 2,
     "of": 4
    },
    "websites": {
     "correct": 1,
     "of": 1
    }
   },
   "placement": null,
   "checks": []
  },
  "prices": [
   {
    "author_name": "Dailysports",
    "choice": "yes",
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "author_quoted_price": "1.55",
    "our_snapshot": "1.5100",
    "closing_line": null
   }
  ],
  "revisions": [
   "Market 2 hours before kick-off: AFC Ajax 47%.",
   "First published with predictions on 20 October 2026."
  ],
  "titles": {
   "shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
   "frozen_in": "sr-9da6d29be2def82668f5658f"
  },
  "tracker": null,
  "source_groups": {
   "as_of": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z",
   "groups": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "label": "Prediction sites"
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "label": "Media"
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "label": "Telegram channels"
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "label": "Independent tipsters"
    }
   ],
   "authors": 19,
   "by_group": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "authors": 7
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "authors": 3
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "authors": 6
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "authors": 3
    }
   ],
   "markets": [
    {
     "key": "1x2",
     "label": "Match result",
     "authors": 5,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 4
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ],
     "choices": [
      {
       "code_name": "1",
       "in_words": "AFC Ajax",
       "authors": 3,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 2
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "authors": 1,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "2",
       "in_words": "Atalanta",
       "authors": 1,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "totals",
     "label": "Goal totals",
     "authors": 10,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 4
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 4
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 1
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "other",
     "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets",
     "authors": 12,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 3
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 3
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 4
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 2
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  "market_line": {
   "line_state": "not_moved",
   "line_frozen": true,
   "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (22 October 2026, 20:00 BST): AFC Ajax 46%, draw 25%, Atalanta 29%. No change from 22 October 2026, 11:09 BST to kick-off.",
   "line_markets": [
    {
     "market_text": "1X2, match result",
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "line_kind": "median_line",
     "margin_included": false,
     "snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z",
     "closing_line": true,
     "probabilities": [
      {
       "outcome_label": "1",
       "in_words": "AFC Ajax",
       "percent_value": 46
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "percent_value": 25
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "2",
       "in_words": "Atalanta",
       "percent_value": 29
      }
     ],
     "group_count": 13,
     "first_at": "2026-10-22T10:09:25.695Z",
     "first_probabilities": {
      "1": 46,
      "2": 29,
      "X": 25
     },
     "shift_pp": 0.4,
     "shift_outcome": "1",
     "shift_direction": "up",
     "line_state": "not_moved",
     "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (22 October 2026, 20:00 BST): AFC Ajax 46%, draw 25%, Atalanta 29%. No change from 22 October 2026, 11:09 BST to kick-off."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Both teams to score",
     "market_group": "other",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "yes",
       "snapshot_price": "1.40",
       "percent_value": 71,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T12:26:32.701Z",
       "snapshot_count": 5,
       "first_snapshot_price": "1.51",
       "first_at": "2026-10-21T10:27:01.450Z",
       "shift_pp": 5.2,
       "shift_direction": "up",
       "line_state": "moved"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "moved",
     "phrase": "Both teams to score, yes: market price 1.40 on 22 October 2026, 13:26 BST (implied 71%, margin included), 5.2 percentage points up from 21 October 2026, 11:27 BST."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 1.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.13",
       "percent_value": 88,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T07:52:36.104Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, over 1.5 goals: market price 1.13 on 22 October 2026, 08:52 BST (implied 88%, margin included)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, first half",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 1.5",
       "snapshot_price": "2.10",
       "percent_value": 48,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T09:56:40.170Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, first half, over 1.5 goals: market price 2.10 on 22 October 2026, 10:56 BST (implied 48%, margin included)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 2.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.45",
       "percent_value": 69,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T10:29:15.279Z",
       "snapshot_count": 5,
       "first_snapshot_price": "1.65",
       "first_at": "2026-10-20T17:10:36.000Z",
       "shift_pp": 8.4,
       "shift_direction": "up",
       "line_state": "moved"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "moved",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, over 2.5 goals: market price 1.45 on 22 October 2026, 11:29 BST (implied 69%, margin included), 8.4 percentage points up from 20 October 2026, 18:10 BST."
    }
   ]
  },
  "pre_kickoff_snapshot": {
   "frozen_before_kickoff": true,
   "as_of_moment": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z",
   "phrase": "Before kick-off on 22 October 2026, 20:00 BST: market line at kick-off AFC Ajax 46%, draw 25%, Atalanta 29%; 1X2, match result: most expected AFC Ajax (3 of 5 predictions); Over/Under 2.5 goals: most expected over 2.5 goals (8 of 8 predictions); Both teams to score: most expected goals at both ends (9 of 10 predictions).",
   "market_line_brief": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z",
    "closing_line": true,
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 46,
     "X": 25,
     "2": 29
    }
   },
   "market_groups": [
    {
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "1X2, match result",
       "prediction_count": 5,
       "row_count": 5,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "AFC Ajax",
         "figure": 3
        },
        {
         "choice": "Atalanta",
         "figure": 1
        },
        {
         "choice": "draw",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "majority",
       "leader_choice": "AFC Ajax",
       "leader_count": 3,
       "share_percent": 60,
       "phrase": "1X2, match result: most expected AFC Ajax (3 of 5 predictions)",
       "sides_1x2": [
        {
         "side": "1",
         "in_words": "AFC Ajax",
         "figure": 3
        },
        {
         "side": "X",
         "in_words": "draw",
         "figure": 1
        },
        {
         "side": "2",
         "in_words": "Atalanta",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "totals",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 8,
       "row_count": 8,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "over 2.5",
         "figure": 8
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "majority",
       "leader_choice": "over 2.5",
       "leader_count": 8,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: most expected over 2.5 goals (8 of 8 predictions)"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 2,
       "row_count": 2,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "over 1.5",
         "figure": 2
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on over 1.5 goals"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, first half",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "over 1.5",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, first half, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on over 1.5 goals"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "over 3.5",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 3.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on over 3.5 goals"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 4.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "under 4.5",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 4.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on under 4.5 goals"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Team goals over/under 0.5",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Atalanta over 0.5",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Team goals over/under 0.5, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Atalanta over 0.5 goals"
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "other",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Both teams to score",
       "prediction_count": 10,
       "row_count": 10,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "yes",
         "figure": 9
        },
        {
         "choice": "no",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "majority",
       "leader_choice": "yes",
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