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 "heading": "AEK Athens vs Real Madrid: recorded predictions and results",
 "description": "AEK Athens vs Real Madrid, 4 November 2026. Final score 2-3 · UEFA Champions League: 39 distinct predictions from 26 authors.",
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  "body": "AEK Athens finished 2-3 against Real Madrid. None of the 8 recorded correct-score predictions matched that score. Other markets are shown separately below. 1 prediction found after kick-off is shown separately and excluded from the pre-match count. Forecast Record recorded 39 statements from 26 authors on AEK Athens vs Real Madrid (UEFA Champions League, kick-off 4 November 2026): 39 distinct predictions, 38 of the statements recorded before kick-off.",
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  "data": "2026-11-04",
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 "record_counts": {
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    "published_at": "2026-11-04T05:04:04.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-04T05:14:42.549Z",
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 "title_tag": "AEK Athens vs Real Madrid: Predictions and Results — 4 Nov 2026",
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    "entity_ref": "e-2b039fe17676dade1865ad74",
    "name_shown": "FootyStats",
    "url": "/sources/footystats-org/"
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   {
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    "type_code": "author_before_match",
    "moment_at": "2026-11-04T17:45:00.000Z",
    "freeze_at": "2026-11-04T17:56:05.688Z",
    "approach": "by_capture_time",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "counting_rule": "1",
    "figures": {
     "matches": 28,
     "method_version": "2.2",
     "net_points_hundredths": 12407,
     "period_from": "2026-10-26",
     "period_to": "2026-11-03",
     "price_rule": "Our market snapshot",
     "return_percent": "4.43",
     "settled_picks": 28,
     "staked_hundredths": 280000,
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    "entity_ref": "e-75a0c8be5554a03a944dbd52",
    "name_shown": "İddaaTahmin",
    "url": "/sources/iddaatahmin11-com/"
   },
   {
    "id": "sr-3770aabd9ee0b6ec4876dc0e",
    "type_code": "author_before_match",
    "moment_at": "2026-11-04T17:45:00.000Z",
    "freeze_at": "2026-11-04T17:56:05.688Z",
    "approach": "by_capture_time",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "counting_rule": "1",
    "figures": {
     "matches": 311,
     "method_version": "2.2",
     "net_points_hundredths": 169137,
     "period_from": "2026-10-18",
     "period_to": "2026-11-04",
     "price_rule": "Our market snapshot",
     "return_percent": "5.39",
     "settled_picks": 314,
     "staked_hundredths": 3140000,
     "void": 0
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       "author_name": "Miguel Alvim",
       "author_href": "/authors/miguel-alvim/",
       "source_group": "tipsters",
       "choice": "Real Madrid -1.5",
       "market_label": "Asian handicap -1.5",
       "logged_at": "2026-11-04T16:36:10.945Z",
       "original": "https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/news/soccer/aek-athens-vs-real-madrid-picks-goal-bets/",
       "proof": "/authors/miguel-alvim/picks/6/#pick-n-7baa7b37de8fc7eca7555607",
       "quote_text": "Real Madrid has recorded 25 shots on target compared to just nine for AEK. The teams’ second-half scoring and conceding trends also support this handicap. Real…",
       "retelling": null,
       "checkable_item": false,
       "against": false
      }
     ],
     "total_count": 4
    },
    {
     "code_name": "recent_form",
     "display_name": "Form",
     "checkable_item": false,
     "bullet_points": [
      {
       "entry_id": "n-8d75e6d9f3453f8942e18ad2",
       "author_name": "Matt Law",
       "author_href": "/authors/matt-law/",
       "source_group": "experts",
       "choice": "AEK Athens 1-3 Real Madrid",
       "market_label": "Correct score",
       "logged_at": "2026-11-02T17:10:22.089Z",
       "original": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/real-madrid/champions-league/preview/aek-athens-vs-real-madrid-prediction-team-news-lineups_608272.html",
       "proof": "/authors/matt-law/picks/14/#pick-n-8d75e6d9f3453f8942e18ad2",
       "quote_text": "Real Madrid are flying at the moment, and we are fully expecting Los Blancos to secure all three points against an AEK Athens team currently struggling for…",
       "retelling": null,
       "checkable_item": false,
       "against": false
      },
      {
       "entry_id": "n-f6645b97791bc2bd40514286",
       "author_name": "Kelechi Udoka",
       "author_href": "/authors/kelechi-udoka/",
       "source_group": "experts",
       "choice": "over 3.5",
       "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
       "logged_at": "2026-11-03T05:44:17.342Z",
       "original": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/aek-athens-vs-real-madrid-prediction-04-11-2026/",
       "proof": "/authors/kelechi-udoka/picks/19/#pick-n-f6645b97791bc2bd40514286",
       "quote_text": "Four of AEK Athens' last five outings have gone above the 3.5-goal threshold, and this can be backed at 4/5 (1.80).",
       "retelling": null,
       "checkable_item": false,
       "against": false
      }
     ],
     "total_count": 2
    },
    {
     "code_name": "other_topic",
     "display_name": "Other reasons",
     "checkable_item": false,
     "bullet_points": [
      {
       "entry_id": "n-3bb045abd3f0280a8cf78219",
       "author_name": "Kelechi Udoka",
       "author_href": "/authors/kelechi-udoka/",
       "source_group": "experts",
       "choice": "yes",
       "market_label": "Both teams to score",
       "logged_at": "2026-11-03T05:44:17.342Z",
       "original": "https://footballwhispers.com/blog/aek-athens-vs-real-madrid-prediction-04-11-2026/",
       "proof": "/authors/kelechi-udoka/picks/18/#pick-n-3bb045abd3f0280a8cf78219",
       "quote_text": "We also fancy BTTS – Yes at 4/6 (1.67), as was the case in eight of the visiting team's last 10 matches.",
       "retelling": null,
       "checkable_item": false,
       "against": false
      }
     ],
     "total_count": 1
    }
   ],
   "against": [],
   "other_languages": 0,
   "other_language_hosts": [],
   "mode": "quotes",
   "topics_total": 3,
   "checkable": 0
  },
  "market_label": {
   "favourite_code": "2",
   "favourite": "Real Madrid",
   "probabilities": [
    {
     "outcome_label": "1",
     "in_words": "AEK Athens",
     "percent_value": 8
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "X",
     "in_words": "Draw",
     "percent_value": 12
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "2",
     "in_words": "Real Madrid",
     "percent_value": 80
    }
   ],
   "prices": {
    "1": "12.00",
    "X": "7.50",
    "2": "1.18"
   },
   "group_count": 31,
   "bookmakers": 48,
   "snapshot_at": "2026-11-04T17:45:00.000Z",
   "closing_line": true,
   "first_at": "2026-10-21T08:57:01.036Z",
   "shift_pp": 8.5,
   "phrase": "The market has moved clearly since our first snapshot on 21 October 2026: Real Madrid 71% then, 80% at kick-off.",
   "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.",
   "t24": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-11-03T17:45:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 9,
     "2": 77,
     "X": 14
    }
   },
   "t2": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-11-04T15:45:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 9,
     "2": 78,
     "X": 13
    }
   }
  },
  "market_mode": "show",
  "fact_sheet": {
   "tournament": "UEFA Champions League (Europe)",
   "matchday": "League Stage · Matchday 4",
   "starts_at": "2026-11-04T17:45:00.000Z",
   "form": {
    "home_side": [
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "0-2",
      "opponent": "Panathinaikos",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-11-01"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "5-0",
      "opponent": "Panetolikos",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-24"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-5",
      "opponent": "Manchester City",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-20"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-3",
      "opponent": "Shakhtar Donetsk",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-14"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "3-0",
      "opponent": "OFI Crete",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-10"
     }
    ],
    "away": [
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "3-0",
      "opponent": "Real Racing Club",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-11-01"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "2-1",
      "opponent": "FC Barcelona",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-25"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "4-1",
      "opponent": "RB Leipzig",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-21"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "4-1",
      "opponent": "Sevilla",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-18"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "4-3",
      "opponent": "AS Roma",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-14"
     }
    ]
   },
   "head_to_head": [],
   "past_cards": [],
   "reach": ""
  },
  "after_match": {
   "scoreline": "2-3",
   "fact_code": "2",
   "row_list": [
    "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 10 of 10 matched · Tipsters 3 of 3 · Prediction sites 7 of 7",
    "All recorded exact-score predictions: 0 of 8 matched",
    "Exact-score predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 8 matched the score, 8 of 8 the outcome",
    "Predictions from tipsters and sources with fewer than 10 predictions checked against the final score to date, recorded before kick-off: 2 predictions · 1 won, 1 void",
    "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: Real Madrid (10 of 10), matched",
    "Market favourite at kick-off: Real Madrid (matched)"
   ],
   "by_group": {
    "websites": {
     "correct": 7,
     "of": 7
    },
    "tipsters": {
     "correct": 3,
     "of": 3
    }
   },
   "placement": null,
   "checks": []
  },
  "prices": [
   {
    "author_name": "Kelechi Udoka",
    "choice": "Real Madrid",
    "market_label": "1X2, match result, first half",
    "author_quoted_price": "1.65",
    "our_snapshot": "1.5714",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Kelechi Udoka",
    "choice": "AEK Athens 1-3 Real Madrid",
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "author_quoted_price": "9.50",
    "our_snapshot": "9.2500",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Dailysports",
    "choice": "over 3.5",
    "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
    "author_quoted_price": "1.85",
    "our_snapshot": "1.7874",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Kelechi Udoka",
    "choice": "over 3.5",
    "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
    "author_quoted_price": "1.80",
    "our_snapshot": "1.8000",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Miguel Alvim",
    "choice": "Real Madrid -1.5",
    "market_label": "Asian handicap -1.5",
    "author_quoted_price": "1.72",
    "our_snapshot": "1.7924",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Kelechi Udoka",
    "choice": "yes",
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "author_quoted_price": "1.67",
    "our_snapshot": "1.6579",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Kelechi Udoka",
    "choice": "Real Madrid win, both teams to score: yes",
    "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
    "author_quoted_price": "2.25",
    "our_snapshot": "2.2750",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Miguel Alvim",
    "choice": "Aboubakary Koita to score",
    "market_label": "Player to score",
    "author_quoted_price": "5.50",
    "our_snapshot": "6.0000",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Miguel Alvim",
    "choice": "Jude Bellingham to score",
    "market_label": "Player to score",
    "author_quoted_price": "3.25",
    "our_snapshot": "2.8000",
    "closing_line": null
   }
  ],
  "revisions": [
   "Market 24 hours before kick-off: Real Madrid 77%.",
   "Market 2 hours before kick-off: Real Madrid 78%.",
   "First published with predictions on 29 October 2026."
  ],
  "titles": {
   "shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
   "frozen_in": "sr-74a4a481b93b37b23c41ef52"
  },
  "tracker": null,
  "source_groups": {
   "as_of": "2026-11-04T17:45:00.000Z",
   "groups": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "label": "Prediction sites"
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "label": "Media"
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "label": "Telegram channels"
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "label": "Independent tipsters"
    }
   ],
   "authors": 26,
   "by_group": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "authors": 3
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "authors": 4
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "authors": 19
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "authors": 0
    }
   ],
   "markets": [
    {
     "key": "1x2",
     "label": "Match result",
     "authors": 11,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 2
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 9
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ],
     "choices": [
      {
       "code_name": "1",
       "in_words": "AEK Athens",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "2",
       "in_words": "Real Madrid",
       "authors": 11,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 2
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 9
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "totals",
     "label": "Goal totals",
     "authors": 7,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 2
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 5
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "other",
     "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets",
     "authors": 14,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 3
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 3
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 8
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  "market_line": {
   "line_state": "moved",
   "line_frozen": true,
   "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (4 November 2026, 17:45 GMT): AEK Athens 8%, draw 12%, Real Madrid 80%. From 21 October 2026, 09:57 BST to kick-off the line moved 8.5 percentage points (Real Madrid up).",
   "line_markets": [
    {
     "market_text": "1X2, match result",
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "line_kind": "median_line",
     "margin_included": false,
     "snapshot_at": "2026-11-04T17:45:00.000Z",
     "closing_line": true,
     "probabilities": [
      {
       "outcome_label": "1",
       "in_words": "AEK Athens",
       "percent_value": 8
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "percent_value": 12
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "2",
       "in_words": "Real Madrid",
       "percent_value": 80
      }
     ],
     "group_count": 31,
     "first_at": "2026-10-21T08:57:01.036Z",
     "first_probabilities": {
      "1": 12,
      "2": 71,
      "X": 17
     },
     "shift_pp": 8.5,
     "shift_outcome": "2",
     "shift_direction": "up",
     "line_state": "moved",
     "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (4 November 2026, 17:45 GMT): AEK Athens 8%, draw 12%, Real Madrid 80%. From 21 October 2026, 09:57 BST to kick-off the line moved 8.5 percentage points (Real Madrid up)."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Both teams to score",
     "market_group": "other",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "yes",
       "snapshot_price": "1.69",
       "percent_value": 59,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-11-04T00:08:12.528Z",
       "snapshot_count": 3,
       "first_snapshot_price": "1.65",
       "first_at": "2026-11-02T02:08:09.300Z",
       "shift_pp": 1.6,
       "shift_direction": "down",
       "line_state": "barely_moved"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Both teams to score, yes: market price 1.69 on 4 November 2026, 00:08 GMT (implied 59%, margin included), 1.6 percentage points down from 2 November 2026, 02:08 GMT."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 2.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.27",
       "percent_value": 79,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-11-04T07:01:58.201Z",
       "snapshot_count": 3,
       "first_snapshot_price": "1.29",
       "first_at": "2026-11-04T00:08:12.528Z",
       "shift_pp": 1.2,
       "shift_direction": "up",
       "line_state": "barely_moved"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, over 2.5 goals: market price 1.27 on 4 November 2026, 07:01 GMT (implied 79%, margin included), 1.2 percentage points up from 4 November 2026, 00:08 GMT."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "over 3.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.79",
       "percent_value": 56,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-11-03T09:44:49.958Z",
       "snapshot_count": 3,
       "first_snapshot_price": "1.80",
       "first_at": "2026-11-03T00:18:43.166Z",
       "shift_pp": 0.4,
       "shift_direction": "up",
       "line_state": "barely_moved"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Over/Under 3.5 goals, over 3.5 goals: market price 1.79 on 3 November 2026, 09:44 GMT (implied 56%, margin included), 0.4 percentage points up from 3 November 2026, 00:18 GMT."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Team goals over/under 2.5",
     "market_group": "totals",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "Real Madrid over 2.5",
       "snapshot_price": "1.68",
       "percent_value": 59,
       "snapshot_at": "2026-11-03T16:57:55.405Z",
       "snapshot_count": 1,
       "first_snapshot_price": null,
       "first_at": null,
       "shift_pp": null,
       "shift_direction": null,
       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
      }
     ],
     "line_state": "single_snapshot",
     "phrase": "Team goals over/under 2.5, Real Madrid over 2.5 goals: market price 1.68 on 3 November 2026, 16:57 GMT (implied 59%, margin included)."
    }
   ]
  },
  "pre_kickoff_snapshot": {
   "frozen_before_kickoff": true,
   "as_of_moment": "2026-11-04T17:45:00.000Z",
   "starts_at": "2026-11-04T17:45:00.000Z",
   "phrase": "Before kick-off on 4 November 2026, 17:45 GMT: market line at kick-off AEK Athens 8%, draw 12%, Real Madrid 80%; 1X2, match result: most expected Real Madrid (11 of 11 predictions); Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (3): 3 on over 2.5 goals; Correct score: most expected AEK Athens 1-3 Real Madrid (5 of 8 predictions).",
   "market_line_brief": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-11-04T17:45:00.000Z",
    "closing_line": true,
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 8,
     "X": 12,
     "2": 80
    }
   },
   "market_groups": [
    {
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "1X2, match result",
       "prediction_count": 11,
       "row_count": 11,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Real Madrid",
         "figure": 11
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "majority",
       "leader_choice": "Real Madrid",
       "leader_count": 11,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "1X2, match result: most expected Real Madrid (11 of 11 predictions)",
       "sides_1x2": [
        {
         "side": "1",
         "in_words": "AEK Athens",
         "figure": 0
        },
        {
         "side": "X",
         "in_words": "draw",
         "figure": 0
        },
        {
         "side": "2",
         "in_words": "Real Madrid",
         "figure": 11
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "market_text": "1X2, match result, first half",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "Real Madrid",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "1X2, match result, first half, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Real Madrid",
       "sides_1x2": [
        {
         "side": "1",
         "in_words": "AEK Athens",
         "figure": 0
        },
        {
         "side": "X",
         "in_words": "draw",
         "figure": 0
        },
        {
         "side": "2",
         "in_words": "Real Madrid",
         "figure": 1
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "market_group": "totals",
     "group_markets": [
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 3,
       "row_count": 3,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "over 2.5",
         "figure": 3
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (3): 3 on over 2.5 goals"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 3,
       "row_count": 3,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "over 3.5",
         "figure": 3
        }
       ],
       "phrase_mode": "listing",
       "leader_choice": null,
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