{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "event", "url": "/football/matches/ac-milan-vs-ferencvarosi-tc-2026-11-05/", "canonical": "/football/matches/ac-milan-vs-ferencvarosi-tc-2026-11-05/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC: recorded predictions and results", "description": "AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC, 5 November 2026. Final score 0-2 · UEFA Europa League: 18 distinct predictions from 13 authors.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "AC Milan finished 0-2 against Ferencvarosi TC. None of the 4 recorded correct-score predictions matched that score. Other markets are shown separately below. Forecast Record recorded 18 statements from 13 authors on AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC (UEFA Europa League, kick-off 5 November 2026): 18 distinct predictions, all of the statements recorded before kick-off.", "key_number": "18", "data": "2026-11-05", "source_info": "our own evidence archive", "brand": "Forecast Record" }, "indexable": true, "noindex_reason": null, "indexing_threshold": { "settled_count": 18, "date_count": 1, "required_settled": 0, "required_dates": 0 }, "data_date": "2026-11-05T20:04:28.889Z", "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z", "content_hash": null, "meaning_hash": "48d194c7acd5ab1c4d99adb0d06a25a833d76b6c08091e6563fca8f1f60d54c0", "dependency_group": "event:s-0dac611efea0", "release_id": "20261107-195223", "markup": [ { "type_code": "WebPage", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Organization", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "SportsEvent", "allowed": true, "cause": null } ], "exports": [ { "type_code": "json", "url": "/football/matches/ac-milan-vs-ferencvarosi-tc-2026-11-05/index.json", "bytes": null }, { "type_code": "csv", "url": "/football/matches/ac-milan-vs-ferencvarosi-tc-2026-11-05/picks.csv", "bytes": null } ], "modules": { "affiliate": true, "api": true, "compare_yourself": false }, "affiliate_block": { "container": true, "request_url": "/partnery/moi", "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "event" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "event": { "id": "s-0dac611efea0", "display_name": "AC Milan — Ferencvarosi TC", "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League", "starts_at": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z", "status": "finished", "scoreline": "0-2", "condition": "finished", "condition_words": "finished", "result_received_at": "2026-11-05T20:04:28.889Z", "postponement": null, "consensus": { "market_label": "Correct score", "distribution": [ { "outcome_label": "AC Milan 1-2 Ferencvarosi TC", "figure": 1, "share": "25.0" }, { "outcome_label": "AC Milan 2-1 Ferencvarosi TC", "figure": 1, "share": "25.0" }, { "outcome_label": "AC Milan 3-1 Ferencvarosi TC", "figure": 1, "share": "25.0" }, { "outcome_label": "AC Milan 4-1 Ferencvarosi TC", "figure": 1, "share": "25.0" } ], "n": 4, "author_count": 4, "median_odds": "11.00", "summary": "No single most common selection in this market: AC Milan 1-2 Ferencvarosi TC and AC Milan 2-1 Ferencvarosi TC and 2 more — 1 of 4 eligible picks each (one per author), median stated price 11.00", "late_excluded": 0, "contributions": 4, "prediction_count": 4, "chain": { "publications": 18, "unique": 18, "comparable": 18, "admissible": 18, "contributions": 18 }, "differing_choices": 0, "different_products": 0, "counting_rule": "1" }, "country_name": "Europe", "competition_full": "UEFA Europa League (Europe)" }, "evidence_items": [ { "observation_id": "n-76d9574241056fde1acb7a37", "url": "/sources/free-super-tips/picks/39/#pick-n-76d9574241056fde1acb7a37", "quote_text": "AC Milan and Both Teams To Score\n\nReasoning\n\nReason for tip\n\nFerencvaros may have won all their Europa League games so far, but they are yet to face a side of AC Milan’s quality and a first defeat of the League Phase could be in store. They have found the net in their last 19 fixtures, though, while AC Milan have conceded ten goals across their last five matches.\n\n15/8odds when tipped", "fragment_from": 280, "fragment_to": 667, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.freesupertips.com/predictions/ac-milan-vs-ferencvarosi-tc-predictions-betting-tips-match-previews/", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "channel_consensus", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "253d3f1035e178d47f070a71b0a703a1de3fc2c031fc3836112eea11eb13567d", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-03T14:04:50.156Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-03T18:55:15.959Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-0dac611efea0", "display_name": "AC Milan — Ferencvarosi TC", "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League", "starts_at": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z", "url": 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"recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score", "choice": "AC Milan win, both teams to score: yes", "author_odds": "2.875", "market_key": "both_teams_score_and_result", "choice_key": "1-yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Match result and both teams to score: AC Milan win, both teams to score: yes at 2.88" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was AC Milan 0-2 Ferencvarosi TC." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "511145e84919c021cef781a122912b2c0e056324e3360595a338faf86391d686", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Match 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"methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Free Super Tips", "publisher": "Free Super Tips", "forecaster": "Free Super Tips", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.freesupertips.com/predictions/ac-milan-vs-ferencvarosi-tc-predictions-betting-tips-match-previews/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-de0d75641ac72c5c0657d081", "url": "/sources/free-super-tips/picks/39/#pick-n-de0d75641ac72c5c0657d081", "quote_text": "AC Milan 3-1\n\nReasoning\n\nReason for tip\n\nAC Milan won 3-1 over Inter Milan at the weekend and have scored exactly three goals in three of their last four home matches, while Ferencvaros have scored in 19 successive ties.\n\n10/1odds when tipped", "fragment_from": 992, "fragment_to": 1234, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.freesupertips.com/predictions/ac-milan-vs-ferencvarosi-tc-predictions-betting-tips-match-previews/", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "channel_consensus", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "253d3f1035e178d47f070a71b0a703a1de3fc2c031fc3836112eea11eb13567d", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-03T14:04:50.156Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-03T18:55:16.136Z", "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-0dac611efea0", "display_name": "AC Milan — Ferencvarosi TC", "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League", "starts_at": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z", "url": 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null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "AC Milan 3-1 Ferencvarosi TC", "author_odds": "11", "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "3-1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: AC Milan 3-1 Ferencvarosi TC at 11" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was AC Milan 0-2 Ferencvarosi TC." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "4059f0bf63e2cc510ef4ab0f541b4b7768f58e04197c5cca7b16cbe30bf16cae", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "AC Milan 3-1 Ferencvarosi TC", "decimal_odds": "10.0000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-03T18:55:16.136Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "a8c1928df5af3131566d4735f6c7436704d96fc35cedcf9ed8af181bc6db98c2", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "AC Milan", "decimal_odds": "1.3000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-03T18:55:18.447Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Free Super Tips", "publisher": "Free Super Tips", "forecaster": "Free Super Tips", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.freesupertips.com/predictions/ac-milan-vs-ferencvarosi-tc-predictions-betting-tips-match-previews/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-68c53e9e4a2c80abdc194497", "url": "/authors/alberto-bravo/picks/6/#pick-n-68c53e9e4a2c80abdc194497", "quote_text": "El pronóstico :\n\nMilán -1.5\n\n1.87", "fragment_from": 548, "fragment_to": 581, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportytrader.es/pronosticos/ac-milan-ferencvarosi-tc-384159/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Alberto Bravo", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "7ffe4769aa8de311d61c1c51e0c61aeb2eb264af6d79d2baf94dc49705055bf5", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-03T17:55:02.589Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-03T18:28:40.140Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-0dac611efea0", "display_name": "AC Milan — Ferencvarosi TC", "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League", "starts_at": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/ac-milan-vs-ferencvarosi-tc-2026-11-05/", "scoreline": "0-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Asian handicap -1.5", "outcome_label": "AC Milan -1.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.87", "our_snapshot": "1.8200", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-03T17:52:04.173Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-03T17:55:02.589Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "no_date" ], "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Asian handicap -1.5", "choice": "AC Milan -1.5", "author_odds": "1.87", "market_key": "handicap_asian", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": "-1.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Asian handicap -1.5: AC Milan -1.5 at 1.87" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was AC Milan 0-2 Ferencvarosi TC." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "4ae54e1d660d4b37df4b5c63f82005538a88e98e1a36d12998217e09dad67bf7", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Asian handicap -1.5", "choice": "AC Milan -1.5", "decimal_odds": "1.87", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-03T18:28:37.612Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "878dec29e7e5d3763f615601a80e94765923ffeb488162d936eccb137915f56f", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, 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null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-39db434c301d7ab9d38154d9", "url": "/authors/aleksej-tarabrin/picks/33/#pick-n-39db434c301d7ab9d38154d9", "quote_text": "Opklada na golove: Milan je primio barem jedan gol na 7 od prethodnih 8 utakmica na svom stadionu u Ligi Evrope. Ferencvaroš je zatresao mrežu rivala na 6 od poslednjih 7 gostovanja u ovom takmičenju\n\nUkupno tipova\n\nFerencvaroš Tim daje golova više od 0,5\n\nKvote\n\nKvote\n\n1.72", "fragment_from": 8385, "fragment_to": 8660, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://legalbet.rs/mec-centar/milan-ferencvarosi-05-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Aleksej Tarabrin", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "3bbd0ce55ad1c0707ec10acc0700bf02fe6b40a1b395cf9350a4df7f70241f8b", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-03T18:10:04.991Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-0dac611efea0", "display_name": "AC Milan — Ferencvarosi TC", "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League", "starts_at": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/ac-milan-vs-ferencvarosi-tc-2026-11-05/", "scoreline": 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to face a side of AC Milan’s quality and a first defeat of the League Phase…", "retelling": null, "checkable_item": false, "against": false } ], "total_count": 2 }, { "code_name": "home_form", "display_name": "Home and away", "checkable_item": false, "bullet_points": [ { "entry_id": "n-1efcddce71c4d7a2a88137cd", "author_name": "Baba", "author_href": "/authors/baba/", "source_group": "tipsters", "choice": "yes", "market_label": "Both teams to score", "logged_at": "2026-11-05T00:29:51.669Z", "original": "https://www.livetipsportal.com/en/sportsbetting-tips/ac-milan-vs-ferencvarosi-tc-europa-league-12520239/", "proof": "/authors/baba/picks/310/#pick-n-1efcddce71c4d7a2a88137cd", "quote_text": "even if the visitors’ attacking record suggests they can find a way onto the scoresheet.", "retelling": null, "checkable_item": false, "against": false } ], "total_count": 1 } ], "against": [], "other_languages": 1, "other_language_hosts": [ "sportytrader.es" ], "mode": "quotes", "topics_total": 2, "checkable": 0 }, "market_label": { "favourite_code": "1", "favourite": "AC Milan", "probabilities": [ { "outcome_label": "1", "in_words": "AC Milan", "percent_value": 67 }, { "outcome_label": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "percent_value": 19 }, { "outcome_label": "2", "in_words": "Ferencvarosi TC", "percent_value": 14 } ], "prices": { "1": "1.40", "X": "5.00", "2": "6.75" }, "group_count": 25, "bookmakers": 40, "snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z", "closing_line": true, "first_at": "2026-10-23T02:17:54.312Z", "shift_pp": 0.8, "phrase": "The market has barely changed its mind since our first snapshot on 23 October 2026: AC Milan 68% then, 67% at kick-off.", "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.", "t24": { "snapshot_at": "2026-11-04T17:45:00.000Z", "probabilities": { "1": 71, "2": 11, "X": 18 } }, "t2": { "snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T15:45:00.000Z", "probabilities": { "1": 70, "2": 13, "X": 18 } } }, "market_mode": "show", "fact_sheet": { "tournament": "UEFA Europa League (Europe)", "matchday": "League Stage · Matchday 4", "starts_at": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z", "form": { "home_side": [ { "res": "W", "scoreline": "3-1", "opponent": "Inter", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-31" }, { "res": "L", "scoreline": "2-4", "opponent": "Bologna", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-28" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "2-0", "opponent": "Udinese", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-25" }, { "res": "L", "scoreline": "0-3", "opponent": "AFC Bournemouth", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-22" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "3-2", "opponent": "Atalanta", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-18" } ], "away": [ { "res": "W", "scoreline": "2-0", "opponent": "Paksi", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-11-01" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "5-0", "opponent": "MTK Budapest", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-25" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "4-1", "opponent": "Torreense", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-22" }, { "res": "D", "scoreline": "1-1", "opponent": "Kisvarda FC", "at_home": false, "data": "2026-10-18" }, { "res": "W", "scoreline": "2-1", "opponent": "Plzen", "at_home": true, "data": "2026-10-15" } ] }, "head_to_head": [], "past_cards": [], "reach": "" }, "after_match": { "scoreline": "0-2", "fact_code": "2", "row_list": [ "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 1 of 3 matched", "All recorded exact-score predictions: 0 of 4 matched", "Exact-score predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 4 matched the score, 1 of 4 the outcome", "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: AC Milan (2 of 3), missed", "Market favourite at kick-off: AC Milan (missed)" ], "by_group": { "websites": { "correct": 1, "of": 3 } }, "placement": null, "checks": [] }, "prices": [ { "author_name": "Alberto Bravo", "choice": "AC Milan -1.5", "market_label": "Asian handicap -1.5", "author_quoted_price": "1.87", "our_snapshot": "1.8200", "closing_line": null }, { "author_name": "Free Super Tips", "choice": "AC Milan 3-1 Ferencvarosi TC", "market_label": "Correct score", "author_quoted_price": "11.00", "our_snapshot": "10.0000", "closing_line": null }, { "author_name": "Free Super Tips", "choice": "AC Milan win, both teams to score: yes", "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score", "author_quoted_price": "2.88", "our_snapshot": "2.7450", "closing_line": null } ], "revisions": [ "Market 24 hours before kick-off: AC Milan 71%.", "Market 2 hours before kick-off: AC Milan 70%.", "First published with predictions on 3 November 2026." ], "titles": { "shown": true, "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.", "frozen_in": "sr-90589529c2bffc6285dbbe54" }, "tracker": null, "source_groups": { "as_of": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z", "groups": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "label": "Prediction sites" }, { "key": "media", "label": "Media" }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "label": "Telegram channels" }, { "key": "private_authors", "label": "Independent tipsters" } ], "authors": 13, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 6 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 6 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 1 } ], "markets": [ { "key": "1x2", "label": "Match result", "authors": 3, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 2 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ], "choices": [ { "code_name": "1", "in_words": "AC Milan", "authors": 2, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 2 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] }, { "code_name": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "authors": 0, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] }, { "code_name": "2", "in_words": "Ferencvarosi TC", "authors": 1, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] } ] }, { "key": "totals", "label": "Goal totals", "authors": 4, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 1 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 2 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 1 } ] }, { "key": "other", "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets", "authors": 9, "by_group": [ { "key": "prediction_sites", "authors": 5 }, { "key": "media", "authors": 0 }, { "key": "telegram_channels", "authors": 4 }, { "key": "private_authors", "authors": 0 } ] } ] }, "market_line": { "line_state": "barely_moved", "line_frozen": true, "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (5 November 2026, 17:45 GMT): AC Milan 67%, draw 19%, Ferencvarosi TC 14%. From 23 October 2026, 03:17 BST to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 0.8 percentage points (Ferencvarosi TC up).", "line_markets": [ { "market_text": "1X2, match result", "market_group": "1x2", "line_kind": "median_line", "margin_included": false, "snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z", "closing_line": true, "probabilities": [ { "outcome_label": "1", "in_words": "AC Milan", "percent_value": 67 }, { "outcome_label": "X", "in_words": "Draw", "percent_value": 19 }, { "outcome_label": "2", "in_words": "Ferencvarosi TC", "percent_value": 14 } ], "group_count": 25, "first_at": "2026-10-23T02:17:54.312Z", "first_probabilities": { "1": 68, "2": 13, "X": 19 }, "shift_pp": 0.8, "shift_outcome": "2", "shift_direction": "up", "line_state": "barely_moved", "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (5 November 2026, 17:45 GMT): AC Milan 67%, draw 19%, Ferencvarosi TC 14%. From 23 October 2026, 03:17 BST to kick-off it barely moved: the largest change was 0.8 percentage points (Ferencvarosi TC up)." }, { "market_text": "Both teams to score", "market_group": "other", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "yes", "snapshot_price": "1.80", "percent_value": 56, "snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T00:29:03.948Z", "snapshot_count": 1, "first_snapshot_price": null, "first_at": null, "shift_pp": null, "shift_direction": null, "line_state": "single_snapshot" } ], "line_state": "single_snapshot", "phrase": "Both teams to score, yes: market price 1.80 on 5 November 2026, 00:29 GMT (implied 56%, margin included)." }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 1.5 goals", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "over 1.5", "snapshot_price": "1.15", "percent_value": 87, "snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T09:03:36.729Z", "snapshot_count": 2, "first_snapshot_price": "1.15", "first_at": "2026-11-05T08:58:32.985Z", "shift_pp": 0.0, "shift_direction": null, "line_state": "not_moved" } ], "line_state": "not_moved", "phrase": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, over 1.5 goals: market price 1.15 on 5 November 2026, 09:03 GMT (implied 87%, margin included), the same as on 5 November 2026, 08:58 GMT." }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "over 3.5", "snapshot_price": "2.25", "percent_value": 44, "snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T00:17:46.363Z", "snapshot_count": 1, "first_snapshot_price": null, "first_at": null, "shift_pp": null, "shift_direction": null, "line_state": "single_snapshot" } ], "line_state": "single_snapshot", "phrase": "Over/Under 3.5 goals, over 3.5 goals: market price 2.25 on 5 November 2026, 00:17 GMT (implied 44%, margin included)." }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 4.5 goals", "market_group": "totals", "line_kind": "recorded_price", "margin_included": true, "closing_line": false, "price_sides": [ { "choice": "over 4.5", "snapshot_price": "4.00", "percent_value": 25, "snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T00:17:10.879Z", "snapshot_count": 1, "first_snapshot_price": null, "first_at": null, "shift_pp": null, "shift_direction": null, "line_state": "single_snapshot" } ], "line_state": "single_snapshot", "phrase": "Over/Under 4.5 goals, over 4.5 goals: market price 4.00 on 5 November 2026, 00:17 GMT (implied 25%, margin included)." } ] }, "pre_kickoff_snapshot": { "frozen_before_kickoff": true, "as_of_moment": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z", "starts_at": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z", "phrase": "Before kick-off on 5 November 2026, 17:45 GMT: market line at kick-off AC Milan 67%, draw 19%, Ferencvarosi TC 14%; 1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (3): 2 on AC Milan, 0 on the draw, 1 on Ferencvarosi TC; Over/Under 1.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on over 1.5 goals; Correct score, recorded picks before the match (4): 1 on AC Milan 1-2 Ferencvarosi TC, 1 on AC Milan 2-1 Ferencvarosi TC, 1 on AC Milan 3-1 Ferencvarosi TC, 1 on other picks.", "market_line_brief": { "snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z", "closing_line": true, "probabilities": { "1": 67, "X": 19, "2": 14 } }, "market_groups": [ { "market_group": "1x2", "group_markets": [ { "market_text": "1X2, match result", "prediction_count": 3, "row_count": 3, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "AC Milan", "figure": 2 }, { "choice": "Ferencvarosi TC", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 67, "phrase": "1X2, match result, recorded picks before the match (3): 2 on AC Milan, 0 on the draw, 1 on Ferencvarosi TC", "sides_1x2": [ { "side": "1", "in_words": "AC Milan", "figure": 2 }, { "side": "X", "in_words": "draw", "figure": 0 }, { "side": "2", "in_words": "Ferencvarosi TC", "figure": 1 } ] } ] }, { "market_group": "totals", "group_markets": [ { "market_text": "Over/Under 1.5 goals", "prediction_count": 2, "row_count": 2, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "over 1.5", "figure": 2 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on over 1.5 goals" }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 cards", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "over 2.5", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 cards, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on over 2.5 cards" }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "over 3.5", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Over/Under 3.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on over 3.5 goals" }, { "market_text": "Over/Under 4.5 goals", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "over 4.5", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Over/Under 4.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on over 4.5 goals" }, { "market_text": "Team goals over/under 0.5", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "Ferencvarosi TC over 0.5", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Team goals over/under 0.5, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Ferencvarosi TC over 0.5 goals" } ] }, { "market_group": "other", "group_markets": [ { "market_text": "Correct score", "prediction_count": 4, "row_count": 4, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "AC Milan 1-2 Ferencvarosi TC", "figure": 1 }, { "choice": "AC Milan 2-1 Ferencvarosi TC", "figure": 1 }, { "choice": "AC Milan 3-1 Ferencvarosi TC", "figure": 1 }, { "choice": "AC Milan 4-1 Ferencvarosi TC", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": null, "phrase": "Correct score, recorded picks before the match (4): 1 on AC Milan 1-2 Ferencvarosi TC, 1 on AC Milan 2-1 Ferencvarosi TC, 1 on AC Milan 3-1 Ferencvarosi TC, 1 on other picks" }, { "market_text": "Both teams to score", "prediction_count": 2, "row_count": 2, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "no", "figure": 1 }, { "choice": "yes", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": null, "phrase": "Both teams to score, recorded picks before the match (2): 1 on no, 1 on yes" }, { "market_text": "Asian handicap -1.5", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "AC Milan -1.5", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Asian handicap -1.5, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on AC Milan -1.5" }, { "market_text": "Asian handicap 1.5", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "Ferencvarosi TC +1.5", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Asian handicap 1.5, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on Ferencvarosi TC +1.5" }, { "market_text": "Match result and both teams to score", "prediction_count": 1, "row_count": 1, "market_choices": [ { "choice": "AC Milan win, both teams to score: yes", "figure": 1 } ], "phrase_mode": "listing", "leader_choice": null, "leader_count": null, "share_percent": 100, "phrase": "Match result and both teams to score, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on AC Milan win, both teams to score: yes" } ] } ], "predictions_before_kickoff": 18, "majority_threshold": { "min_predictions": 5, "min_share_percent": 60.0 } }, "teams_prev_next": [ { "side": "home", "team": "AC Milan", "team_url": "/football/teams/ac-milan/", "participant_id": "u-df02af7f186b", "previous": { "kickoff": "2026-10-31T19:45:00.000Z", "name": "AC Milan vs Inter", "url": "/football/matches/ac-milan-vs-inter-2026-10-31/", "competition": "Serie A", "state": "played", "score": "3-1" }, "next": { "kickoff": "2026-11-08T14:00:00.000Z", "name": "Genoa vs AC Milan", "url": "/football/matches/genoa-vs-ac-milan-2026-11-08/", "competition": "Serie A", "state": "upcoming", "score": null }, "why": null }, { "side": "away", "team": "Ferencvarosi TC", "team_url": null, "participant_id": "u-71f52ed7b7eb", "previous": { "kickoff": "2026-11-01T15:00:00.000Z", "name": "Ferencvarosi TC vs Paksi", "url": "/football/matches/ferencvarosi-tc-vs-paksi-2026-11-01/", "competition": "Hungary NB I", "state": "played", "score": "2-0" }, "next": { "kickoff": "2026-11-08T18:00:00.000Z", "name": "Vasas SC vs Ferencvarosi TC", "url": "/football/matches/vasas-sc-vs-ferencvarosi-tc-2026-11-08/", "competition": "Hungary NB I", "state": "upcoming", "score": null }, "why": null } ] }, "number_sets": [ { "set": "match.market_line.percent", "entity": "/football/matches/ac-milan-vs-ferencvarosi-tc-2026-11-05/|1x2|1", "value": 67, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.market_line.percent", "entity": "/football/matches/ac-milan-vs-ferencvarosi-tc-2026-11-05/|1x2|X", "value": 19, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.market_line.percent", "entity": "/football/matches/ac-milan-vs-ferencvarosi-tc-2026-11-05/|1x2|2", "value": 14, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.recorded_price.percent", "entity": "/football/matches/ac-milan-vs-ferencvarosi-tc-2026-11-05/|Both teams to score|yes", "value": 56, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "match.recorded_price.percent", "entity": "/football/matches/ac-milan-vs-ferencvarosi-tc-2026-11-05/|Over/Under 1.5 goals|over 1.5", "value": 87, "where": null, "as_of": 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