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 "heading": "AC Milan vs Atalanta: recorded predictions and results",
 "description": "AC Milan vs Atalanta, 18 October 2026. Final score 3-2 · Serie A: 28 distinct predictions from 21 authors.",
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  "body": "AC Milan finished 3-2 against Atalanta. None of the 4 recorded correct-score predictions matched that score. Other markets are shown separately below. Forecast Record recorded 28 statements from 21 authors on AC Milan vs Atalanta (Serie A, kick-off 18 October 2026): 28 distinct predictions, all of the statements recorded before kick-off.",
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  "data": "2026-10-18",
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 "event": {
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  "display_name": "AC Milan — Atalanta",
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  "status": "finished",
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     "share": "80.0"
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     "share": "10.0"
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     "share": "10.0"
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   "n": 10,
   "author_count": 10,
   "median_odds": "1.83",
   "summary": "Most common recorded selection in this market: AC Milan — 8 of 10 eligible picks (one per author), median stated price 1.83",
   "late_excluded": 0,
   "contributions": 10,
   "prediction_count": 10,
   "chain": {
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   "differing_choices": 0,
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    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.livetipsportal.com/pt/palpites/milan-vs-atalanta-campeonato-italiano-12130990/",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-19addc3500e8a32213b6660b",
   "url": "/authors/theo-becker/picks/43/#pick-n-19addc3500e8a32213b6660b",
   "quote_text": "Total de Gols\n\nmenos de 3,5",
   "fragment_from": 1558,
   "fragment_to": 1585,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "speaker": "Théo Becker",
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   "cause_code": "no_price_at_capture",
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    "display_name": "AC Milan — Atalanta",
    "competition_name": "Serie A",
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    "url": "/football/matches/ac-milan-vs-atalanta-2026-10-18/",
    "scoreline": "3-2",
    "condition": "finished"
   },
   "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
   "outcome_label": "under 3.5",
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    "our_snapshot_at": null,
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    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": "loss",
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   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-15T00:26:29.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-18T02:00:07.041Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
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    "market_key": "total",
    "choice_key": "under",
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    "line": "3.5",
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    "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5"
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   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "scoreline": "3-2",
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    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Lost: the final score was AC Milan 3-2 Atalanta."
   },
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     "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
     "choice": "under 3.5",
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     "stake_hundredths": null,
     "status": "skipped",
     "status_text": "Not executed: ",
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     "result_words": null,
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     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
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   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Théo Becker",
    "publisher": "livetipsportal.com",
    "forecaster": "Théo Becker",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.livetipsportal.com/pt/palpites/milan-vs-atalanta-campeonato-italiano-12130990/",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-2dbb7fab95669a0907bf59f5",
   "url": "/authors/theo-becker/picks/43/#pick-n-2dbb7fab95669a0907bf59f5",
   "quote_text": "Total de Gols\n\nmenos de 4,5",
   "fragment_from": 1746,
   "fragment_to": 1773,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "statement_class": "unpriced",
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   },
   "market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 goals",
   "outcome_label": "under 4.5",
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    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
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    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": "loss",
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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    "fragment_basis": "page",
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    "detected_at": "2026-10-18T02:00:07.041Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 goals",
    "choice": "under 4.5",
    "author_odds": null,
    "market_key": "total",
    "choice_key": "under",
    "period": "match",
    "line": "4.5",
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Over/Under 4.5 goals: under 4.5"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "loss",
    "scoreline": "3-2",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Lost: the final score was AC Milan 3-2 Atalanta."
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   "settlements": [
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     "series_key": "market_price",
     "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 goals",
     "choice": "under 4.5",
     "decimal_odds": null,
     "odds_role": null,
     "stake_hundredths": null,
     "status": "skipped",
     "status_text": "Not executed: ",
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     "result_words": null,
     "change_hundredths": null,
     "executed_at": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
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   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Théo Becker",
    "publisher": "livetipsportal.com",
    "forecaster": "Théo Becker",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.livetipsportal.com/pt/palpites/milan-vs-atalanta-campeonato-italiano-12130990/",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-65f2e1bb98cd842934a1cf4f",
   "url": "/authors/theo-becker/picks/43/#pick-n-65f2e1bb98cd842934a1cf4f",
   "quote_text": "Total de Gols\n\nMais de 1,5",
   "fragment_from": 1934,
   "fragment_to": 1960,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.livetipsportal.com/pt/palpites/milan-vs-atalanta-campeonato-italiano-12130990/",
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   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "unpriced",
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   "cause_code": "no_price_at_capture",
   "event": {
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    "display_name": "AC Milan — Atalanta",
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    "starts_at": "2026-10-18T16:00:00.000Z",
    "url": "/football/matches/ac-milan-vs-atalanta-2026-10-18/",
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   },
   "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
   "outcome_label": "over 1.5",
   "odds_set": {
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    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": "win",
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   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "dates": {
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    "flags": [],
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    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
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   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
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   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
    "choice": "over 1.5",
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    "market_key": "total",
    "choice_key": "over",
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    "line": "1.5",
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    "in_words": "Over/Under 1.5 goals: over 1.5"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "win",
    "scoreline": "3-2",
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    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Won: the final score was AC Milan 3-2 Atalanta."
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   "settlements": [
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     "site_simulation": true,
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     "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
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   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Théo Becker",
    "publisher": "livetipsportal.com",
    "forecaster": "Théo Becker",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
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    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.livetipsportal.com/pt/palpites/milan-vs-atalanta-campeonato-italiano-12130990/",
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    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-7b52723773e2df33a76b25e9",
   "url": "/sources/bettingexpert-com/picks/4/#pick-n-7b52723773e2df33a76b25e9",
   "quote_text": "AC Milan -0.50 (AH)",
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   "fragment_to": 455,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.bettingexpert.com/football/ac-milan-vs-atalanta",
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    "speaker": null,
    "authorship": "channel_consensus",
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    "bundle_id": "537baf42fb08e9b9e50e4b950fa010ad18908c6a9c16f742a8d5c3809e7d1c31",
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   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-18T13:12:56.366Z",
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   "statement_class": "unpriced",
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   "event": {
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    "url": "/football/matches/ac-milan-vs-atalanta-2026-10-18/",
    "scoreline": "3-2",
    "condition": "finished"
   },
   "market_label": "Asian handicap -0.5",
   "outcome_label": "AC Milan -0.5",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": "1.7020",
    "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-18T13:08:05.003Z",
    "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "win",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": 7020,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": "ours",
   "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": null,
    "detected_at": "2026-10-18T13:12:56.366Z",
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    "flags": [
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    ],
    "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.",
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   },
   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Asian handicap -0.5",
    "choice": "AC Milan -0.5",
    "author_odds": null,
    "market_key": "handicap_asian",
    "choice_key": "1",
    "period": "match",
    "line": "-0.5",
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Asian handicap -0.5: AC Milan -0.5"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Won: the final score was AC Milan 3-2 Atalanta."
   },
   "settlements": [
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     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Asian handicap -0.5",
     "choice": "AC Milan -0.5",
     "decimal_odds": "1.7020",
     "odds_role": "market_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
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     "result_words": "Won",
     "change_hundredths": 7020,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-22T00:50:03.825Z",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
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     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "BETSiE (AceOdds)",
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    "forecaster": "BETSiE (AceOdds)",
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    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
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    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.bettingexpert.com/football/ac-milan-vs-atalanta",
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    "verdict_by": null,
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   },
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 ],
 "record_counts": {
  "dictionary_version": "1",
  "dictionary_url": "/methodology/#words",
  "statements": 28,
  "predictions": 28,
  "authors": 21,
  "statements_before_kickoff": 28,
  "settled_picks": 21,
  "duplicates": 3,
  "junk": {}
 },
 "match_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "final_score": "3-2",
  "state_words": "finished",
  "distinct_predictions": 28,
  "sources": 21,
  "one_source": false,
  "sentence": "AC Milan finished 3-2 against Atalanta. None of the 4 recorded correct-score predictions matched that score. Other markets are shown separately below.",
  "who_predicted_what": [
   {
    "record_id": "n-c371c8cee3da427f746eb4b4",
    "url": "/sources/dailysports-net/picks/11/#pick-n-c371c8cee3da427f746eb4b4",
    "author": "Dailysports",
    "author_url": "/sources/dailysports-net/",
    "market": "1X2, match result",
    "selection": "AC Milan",
    "outcome": "Won",
    "price": "1.83",
    "published_at": "2026-10-17T12:19:00.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T12:49:51.969Z",
    "lead_hours": 27.2,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-497bcc7e749430fcc98e47c9",
    "url": "/sources/futbol24-com/picks/29/#pick-n-497bcc7e749430fcc98e47c9",
    "author": "Futbol24",
    "author_url": "/sources/futbol24-com/",
    "market": "1X2, match result",
    "selection": "AC Milan",
    "outcome": "Won",
    "price": null,
    "published_at": "2026-10-15T01:33:28.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-18T01:10:28.279Z",
    "lead_hours": 14.8,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-05060244388c0f43c37229a2",
    "url": "/authors/marco-avena/picks/4/#pick-n-05060244388c0f43c37229a2",
    "author": "Marco Avena",
    "author_url": "/authors/marco-avena/",
    "market": "1X2, match result",
    "selection": "draw",
    "outcome": "Lost",
    "price": "3.60",
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   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules."
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   "matchday": "Matchweek 7",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-18T16:00:00.000Z",
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    "away": [
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     {
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     {
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   "head_to_head": [],
   "past_cards": [],
   "reach": ""
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    "All recorded exact-score predictions: 0 of 4 matched",
    "Exact-score predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 4 matched the score, 3 of 4 the outcome",
    "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: AC Milan (8 of 10), matched"
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  "revisions": [
   "First published with predictions on 15 October 2026."
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