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 "heading": "1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Werder Bremen: recorded predictions and results",
 "description": "1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Werder Bremen, 24 October 2026. Final score 2-3 · Bundesliga: 31 distinct predictions from 14 authors.",
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   ],
   "corrections": [],
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   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Baba",
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   "observation_id": "n-68f84963f7c31ea5e71abc1f",
   "url": "/sources/footystats-org/picks/62/#pick-n-68f84963f7c31ea5e71abc1f",
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   "source_info": {
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 "record_counts": {
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   {
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    "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T13:09:45.207Z",
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    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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   {
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    "author": "Théo Becker",
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    "recorded_at": "2026-10-24T03:10:25.922Z",
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   {
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    "author": "FootballPredictions.com",
    "author_url": "/sources/footballpredictions-com/",
    "market": "Asian handicap -0.5",
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    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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   {
    "record_id": "n-ece42596fa4e413092cd6301",
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    "author": "Baba",
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    "market": "Both teams to score",
    "selection": "yes",
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    "published_at": "2026-10-21T00:34:49.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-24T04:19:41.200Z",
    "lead_hours": 9.2,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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   {
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    "author": "FootballPredictions.com",
    "author_url": "/sources/footballpredictions-com/",
    "market": "Both teams to score",
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    "recorded_at": "2026-10-19T01:39:36.230Z",
    "lead_hours": 131.8,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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    "attribution": null
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   {
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    "author": "FootyStats",
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    "market": "Both teams to score",
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    "recorded_at": "2026-10-24T12:39:31.072Z",
    "lead_hours": 0.8,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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   {
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    "author": "Futbol24",
    "author_url": "/sources/futbol24-com/",
    "market": "Both teams to score",
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    "recorded_at": "2026-10-24T02:53:44.615Z",
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    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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   {
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    "author": "Michael Siemann",
    "author_url": "/authors/michael-siemann/",
    "market": "Both teams to score",
    "selection": "yes",
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    "published_at": "2026-10-22T03:24:14.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-22T17:57:06.693Z",
    "lead_hours": 43.5,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
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   {
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    "url": "/sources/scores24-live/picks/31/#pick-n-8c7d288676fc7119ce6fa710",
    "author": "Scores24",
    "author_url": "/sources/scores24-live/",
    "market": "Both teams to score",
    "selection": "yes",
    "outcome": "Won",
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    "published_at": null,
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T00:09:39.441Z",
    "lead_hours": 37.3,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-fd07fca9dccc60ed93ba561f",
    "url": "/authors/simon/picks/3/#pick-n-fd07fca9dccc60ed93ba561f",
    "author": "Simon",
    "author_url": "/authors/simon/",
    "market": "Both teams to score",
    "selection": "yes",
    "outcome": "Won",
    "price": "1.53",
    "published_at": "2026-10-20T11:59:01.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T13:09:45.207Z",
    "lead_hours": 96.3,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null,
    "also": [
     {
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      "kind": "same_pick",
      "edition": "Simon",
      "edition_url": "/authors/simon/",
      "url": "/authors/simon/picks/10/#pick-n-d5d6832bcad994908d2b625e",
      "anchor": "pick-n-d5d6832bcad994908d2b625e",
      "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T13:09:45.207Z"
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   },
   {
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    "author": "Théo Becker",
    "author_url": "/authors/theo-becker/",
    "market": "Both teams to score",
    "selection": "yes",
    "outcome": "Won",
    "price": null,
    "published_at": "2026-10-21T00:16:24.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-24T03:10:25.922Z",
    "lead_hours": 10.3,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-70338ab7bcef07160136fd8e",
    "url": "/authors/anthony-nolan/picks/3/#pick-n-70338ab7bcef07160136fd8e",
    "author": "Anthony Nolan",
    "author_url": "/authors/anthony-nolan/",
    "market": "Correct score",
    "selection": "1. FSV Mainz 05 2-2 SV Werder Bremen",
    "outcome": "Lost",
    "price": null,
    "published_at": "2026-10-22T22:31:32.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-22T23:10:19.067Z",
    "lead_hours": 38.3,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-d68c08be0ee7500dfc23c15a",
    "url": "/sources/footballpredictions-com/picks/172/#pick-n-d68c08be0ee7500dfc23c15a",
    "author": "FootballPredictions.com",
    "author_url": "/sources/footballpredictions-com/",
    "market": "Correct score",
    "selection": "1. FSV Mainz 05 2-1 SV Werder Bremen",
    "outcome": "Lost",
    "price": "8.50",
    "published_at": "2026-10-14T17:18:12.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-19T01:39:36.230Z",
    "lead_hours": 131.8,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-c172668112ab96ec4349b193",
    "url": "/authors/jasper-van-den-boogaard/picks/5/#pick-n-c172668112ab96ec4349b193",
    "author": "Jasper van den Boogaard",
    "author_url": "/authors/jasper-van-den-boogaard/",
    "market": "Correct score",
    "selection": "1. FSV Mainz 05 1-2 SV Werder Bremen",
    "outcome": "Lost",
    "price": null,
    "published_at": "2026-10-22T08:40:22.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T22:19:29.096Z",
    "lead_hours": 15.2,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-486ab7273a64eb9455616f1e",
    "url": "/authors/saikat-mandal/picks/9/#pick-n-486ab7273a64eb9455616f1e",
    "author": "Saikat Mandal",
    "author_url": "/authors/saikat-mandal/",
    "market": "Correct score",
    "selection": "1. FSV Mainz 05 2-2 SV Werder Bremen",
    "outcome": "Lost",
    "price": "13.00",
    "published_at": "2026-10-23T07:29:33.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T07:34:19.246Z",
    "lead_hours": 29.9,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-5eed49ece9fe87b4a4dd8485",
    "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/18/#pick-n-5eed49ece9fe87b4a4dd8485",
    "author": "Ali Demir",
    "author_url": "/authors/ali-demir/",
    "market": "Double chance",
    "selection": "draw or SV Werder Bremen",
    "outcome": "Won",
    "price": "2.10",
    "published_at": "2026-10-23T04:55:00.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T05:27:08.559Z",
    "lead_hours": 32.0,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-b17c8e6a0ad71b548f97fe58",
    "url": "/sources/footballpredictions-com/picks/171/#pick-n-b17c8e6a0ad71b548f97fe58",
    "author": "FootballPredictions.com",
    "author_url": "/sources/footballpredictions-com/",
    "market": "Double chance",
    "selection": "1. FSV Mainz 05 or SV Werder Bremen",
    "outcome": "Won",
    "price": "1.22",
    "published_at": "2026-10-14T17:18:12.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-19T01:39:36.230Z",
    "lead_hours": 131.8,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-ee67308cfdc9de5b2b9ef961",
    "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/7/#pick-n-ee67308cfdc9de5b2b9ef961",
    "author": "Michael Siemann",
    "author_url": "/authors/michael-siemann/",
    "market": "Double chance",
    "selection": "draw or SV Werder Bremen",
    "outcome": "Won",
    "price": "2.18",
    "published_at": "2026-10-22T03:24:14.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-22T17:57:06.693Z",
    "lead_hours": 43.5,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-658906518d1c81ffaceadffc",
    "url": "/sources/footballpredictions-com/picks/171/#pick-n-658906518d1c81ffaceadffc",
    "author": "FootballPredictions.com",
    "author_url": "/sources/footballpredictions-com/",
    "market": "Draw no bet",
    "selection": "1. FSV Mainz 05",
    "outcome": "Lost",
    "price": "1.29",
    "published_at": "2026-10-14T17:18:12.000Z",
    "recorded_at": "2026-10-19T01:39:36.230Z",
    "lead_hours": 131.8,
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "outcome_reason": null,
    "before_kickoff": true,
    "attribution": null
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     "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
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     null
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     "Won",
     "Lost"
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   {
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     "Won"
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   {
    "author": "Simon",
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   "after_kickoff": 0,
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   "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off."
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 "title_tag": "1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Werder Bremen: Results — 24 Oct 2026",
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    "entity_ref": "e-c57c0f57ddc963530093db98",
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   {
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    "type_code": "author_before_match",
    "moment_at": "2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z",
    "freeze_at": "2026-10-24T16:09:01.554Z",
    "approach": "by_capture_time",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "counting_rule": "1",
    "figures": {
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     "method_version": "2.2",
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     "period_from": "2026-10-11",
     "period_to": "2026-10-23",
     "price_rule": "Our market snapshot",
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          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "experts"
         },
         {
          "author_name": "Saikat Mandal",
          "entry_id": "n-486ab7273a64eb9455616f1e",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "experts"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 2
       },
       {
        "code_name": "1-2",
        "in_words": "1. FSV Mainz 05 1-2 SV Werder Bremen",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Jasper van den Boogaard",
          "entry_id": "n-c172668112ab96ec4349b193",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       },
       {
        "code_name": "2-1",
        "in_words": "1. FSV Mainz 05 2-1 SV Werder Bremen",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "FootballPredictions.com",
          "entry_id": "n-d68c08be0ee7500dfc23c15a",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 4,
      "publisher_count": 4
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "double_chance|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "market_key": "double_chance",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "X2",
        "in_words": "draw or SV Werder Bremen",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Ali Demir",
          "entry_id": "n-5eed49ece9fe87b4a4dd8485",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         },
         {
          "author_name": "Michael Siemann",
          "entry_id": "n-ee67308cfdc9de5b2b9ef961",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 2
       },
       {
        "code_name": "12",
        "in_words": "1. FSV Mainz 05 or SV Werder Bremen",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "FootballPredictions.com",
          "entry_id": "n-b17c8e6a0ad71b548f97fe58",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 3,
      "publisher_count": 3
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "total|1.5|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals",
      "market_key": "total",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "over",
        "in_words": "over 1.5",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "FootballPredictions.com",
          "entry_id": "n-c376dc68e2d5e2d7234cf353",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "websites"
         },
         {
          "author_name": "Jasper van den Boogaard",
          "entry_id": "n-8981beab0503e38c7119476f",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 2
       }
      ],
      "n": 2,
      "publisher_count": 2
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "total|2.5|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "market_key": "total",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "over",
        "in_words": "over 2.5",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "FootballPredictions.com",
          "entry_id": "n-50282ae552458b2634fc7df0",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "websites"
         },
         {
          "author_name": "Saikat Mandal",
          "entry_id": "n-a3db84eeaffbd4cbb559f7d3",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "experts"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 2
       }
      ],
      "n": 2,
      "publisher_count": 2
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "handicap_asian|-0.5|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Asian handicap -0.5",
      "market_key": "handicap_asian",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "1",
        "in_words": "1. FSV Mainz 05 -0.5",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "FootballPredictions.com",
          "entry_id": "n-a66f65fd4d18d45951ba2db3",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "draw_no_bet|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Draw no bet",
      "market_key": "draw_no_bet",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "1",
        "in_words": "1. FSV Mainz 05",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "FootballPredictions.com",
          "entry_id": "n-658906518d1c81ffaceadffc",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "handicap_european|2|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "European handicap 2",
      "market_key": "handicap_european",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "2",
        "in_words": "SV Werder Bremen +2",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "FootballPredictions.com",
          "entry_id": "n-727753a6bfe59bb42b832c31",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "half_time_full_time|*|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Half-time/full-time",
      "market_key": "half_time_full_time",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "1/1",
        "in_words": "1. FSV Mainz 05 at half-time, 1. FSV Mainz 05 at full-time",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "FootballPredictions.com",
          "entry_id": "n-56cab48fb0f3d7bf3e4ee445",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "corners_total|10.5|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Over/Under 10.5 corners",
      "market_key": "corners_total",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "over",
        "in_words": "over 10.5",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Saikat Mandal",
          "entry_id": "n-be0d15e5d0c5783263b2bc61",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "experts"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "total|2.75|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.75 goals",
      "market_key": "total",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "over",
        "in_words": "over 2.75",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "Max",
          "entry_id": "n-46541a98015db33513d9ba97",
          "outcome_label": "Won",
          "source_group": "tipsters"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "total|3.5|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
      "market_key": "total",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "under",
        "in_words": "under 3.5",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "FootballPredictions.com",
          "entry_id": "n-671e7b7686fda2a07345d127",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     },
     {
      "contract_code": "total|4.5|match|*|*#explicit",
      "source_group": "explicit",
      "market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 goals",
      "market_key": "total",
      "choices": [
       {
        "code_name": "under",
        "in_words": "under 4.5",
        "tips": [
         {
          "author_name": "FootballPredictions.com",
          "entry_id": "n-eb522e2891749ce30f37faff",
          "outcome_label": "Lost",
          "source_group": "websites"
         }
        ],
        "figure": 1
       }
      ],
      "n": 1,
      "publisher_count": 1
     }
    ],
    "author_count": 14,
    "below_threshold": {
     "prediction_count": 0,
     "author_count": 0
    },
    "limit": 10
   },
   "chain": {
    "publications": 5,
    "unique": 5,
    "comparable": 5,
    "admissible": 5,
    "contributions": 5
   },
   "differing_choices": 0,
   "visible_who": 4,
   "newcomers_who": 10,
   "newcomers_before": 26,
   "titles_shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules."
  },
  "arguments": {
   "topics": [
    {
     "code_name": "other_topic",
     "display_name": "Other reasons",
     "checkable_item": false,
     "bullet_points": [
      {
       "entry_id": "n-24217d2b89be47ced4076e6e",
       "author_name": "Michael Siemann",
       "author_href": "/authors/michael-siemann/",
       "source_group": "tipsters",
       "choice": "yes",
       "market_label": "Both teams to score",
       "logged_at": "2026-10-22T17:57:06.693Z",
       "original": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/mainz-bremen-24-10-2026/",
       "proof": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/7/#pick-n-24217d2b89be47ced4076e6e",
       "quote_text": "Mainz schoss in den letzten fünf Ligaspielen ein Tor; Bremen sogar in allen sechs Partien!",
       "retelling": null,
       "checkable_item": false,
       "against": false
      }
     ],
     "total_count": 1
    },
    {
     "code_name": "recent_form",
     "display_name": "Form",
     "checkable_item": false,
     "bullet_points": [
      {
       "entry_id": "n-70338ab7bcef07160136fd8e",
       "author_name": "Anthony Nolan",
       "author_href": "/authors/anthony-nolan/",
       "source_group": "experts",
       "choice": "1. FSV Mainz 05 2-2 SV Werder Bremen",
       "market_label": "Correct score",
       "logged_at": "2026-10-22T23:10:19.067Z",
       "original": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/mainz-05/preview/mainz-vs-werder-bremen-prediction-team-news-lineups_607494.html",
       "proof": "/authors/anthony-nolan/picks/3/#pick-n-70338ab7bcef07160136fd8e",
       "quote_text": "Mainz have been less than impressive on home turf, though they are more than capable of finding the back of the net twice this weekend. Werder have proven…",
       "retelling": null,
       "checkable_item": false,
       "against": false
      }
     ],
     "total_count": 1
    }
   ],
   "against": [],
   "other_languages": 2,
   "other_language_hosts": [
    "n-tv.de",
    "sportwetten.bild.de"
   ],
   "mode": "quotes",
   "topics_total": 2,
   "checkable": 0
  },
  "market_label": {
   "favourite_code": "1",
   "favourite": "1. FSV Mainz 05",
   "probabilities": [
    {
     "outcome_label": "1",
     "in_words": "1. FSV Mainz 05",
     "percent_value": 55
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "X",
     "in_words": "Draw",
     "percent_value": 23
    },
    {
     "outcome_label": "2",
     "in_words": "SV Werder Bremen",
     "percent_value": 22
    }
   ],
   "prices": {
    "1": "1.71",
    "X": "4.05",
    "2": "4.29"
   },
   "group_count": 32,
   "bookmakers": 47,
   "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z",
   "closing_line": true,
   "first_at": "2026-10-22T10:09:25.695Z",
   "shift_pp": 0.4,
   "phrase": "The market has barely changed its mind since our first snapshot on 22 October 2026: 1. FSV Mainz 05 55% then, 55% at kick-off.",
   "technique": "Median across groups of bookmakers, without margin: brands on one platform count once (median within the group); betting exchanges and prediction markets are excluded. Market price from an odds aggregator; the data provider is not named.",
   "t24": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T13:30:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 55,
     "2": 22,
     "X": 23
    }
   },
   "t2": {
    "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T11:30:00.000Z",
    "probabilities": {
     "1": 55,
     "2": 22,
     "X": 24
    }
   }
  },
  "market_mode": "show",
  "fact_sheet": {
   "tournament": "Bundesliga (Germany)",
   "matchday": "Matchweek 7",
   "starts_at": "2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z",
   "form": {
    "home_side": [
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "1-0",
      "opponent": "FC Schalke 04",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-17"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "3-4",
      "opponent": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-10"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "4-3",
      "opponent": "Borussia M'gladbach",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-19"
     },
     {
      "res": "L",
      "scoreline": "1-3",
      "opponent": "Eintracht Frankfurt",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-09-12"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "5-0",
      "opponent": "Hamburger SV",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-06"
     }
    ],
    "away": [
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "2-2",
      "opponent": "SC Paderborn 07",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-10-17"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "2-2",
      "opponent": "Borussia Dortmund",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-10-09"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "3-2",
      "opponent": "FC Augsburg",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-09-19"
     },
     {
      "res": "D",
      "scoreline": "1-1",
      "opponent": "1. FC Köln",
      "at_home": false,
      "data": "2026-09-12"
     },
     {
      "res": "W",
      "scoreline": "3-1",
      "opponent": "RB Leipzig",
      "at_home": true,
      "data": "2026-09-05"
     }
    ]
   },
   "head_to_head": [],
   "past_cards": [],
   "reach": ""
  },
  "after_match": {
   "scoreline": "2-3",
   "fact_code": "2",
   "row_list": [
    "Match-result predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 4 matched · Tipsters 0 of 3 · Prediction sites 0 of 1",
    "All recorded exact-score predictions: 0 of 4 matched",
    "Exact-score predictions from tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 0 of 4 matched the score, 1 of 4 the outcome",
    "Most common selection among tipsters and sources with 10 or more predictions checked against the final score to date: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (3 of 4), missed",
    "Market favourite at kick-off: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (missed)"
   ],
   "by_group": {
    "websites": {
     "correct": 0,
     "of": 1
    },
    "tipsters": {
     "correct": 0,
     "of": 3
    }
   },
   "placement": null,
   "checks": []
  },
  "prices": [
   {
    "author_name": "Baba",
    "choice": "yes",
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "author_quoted_price": "1.55",
    "our_snapshot": "1.5300",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Michael Siemann",
    "choice": "yes",
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "author_quoted_price": "1.53",
    "our_snapshot": "1.5348",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Ali Demir",
    "choice": "draw or SV Werder Bremen",
    "market_label": "Double chance",
    "author_quoted_price": "2.10",
    "our_snapshot": "2.0500",
    "closing_line": null
   },
   {
    "author_name": "Michael Siemann",
    "choice": "draw or SV Werder Bremen",
    "market_label": "Double chance",
    "author_quoted_price": "2.18",
    "our_snapshot": "2.0750",
    "closing_line": null
   }
  ],
  "revisions": [
   "Market 24 hours before kick-off: 1. FSV Mainz 05 55%.",
   "Market 2 hours before kick-off: 1. FSV Mainz 05 55%.",
   "First published with predictions on 22 October 2026."
  ],
  "titles": {
   "shown": true,
   "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
   "frozen_in": "sr-c33dad47463cac7421b96f2a"
  },
  "tracker": null,
  "source_groups": {
   "as_of": "2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z",
   "groups": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "label": "Prediction sites"
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "label": "Media"
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "label": "Telegram channels"
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "label": "Independent tipsters"
    }
   ],
   "authors": 14,
   "by_group": [
    {
     "key": "prediction_sites",
     "authors": 6
    },
    {
     "key": "media",
     "authors": 4
    },
    {
     "key": "telegram_channels",
     "authors": 4
    },
    {
     "key": "private_authors",
     "authors": 0
    }
   ],
   "markets": [
    {
     "key": "1x2",
     "label": "Match result",
     "authors": 4,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 3
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 0
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ],
     "choices": [
      {
       "code_name": "1",
       "in_words": "1. FSV Mainz 05",
       "authors": 3,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 2
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "authors": 1,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 1
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      },
      {
       "code_name": "2",
       "in_words": "SV Werder Bremen",
       "authors": 0,
       "by_group": [
        {
         "key": "prediction_sites",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "media",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "telegram_channels",
         "authors": 0
        },
        {
         "key": "private_authors",
         "authors": 0
        }
       ]
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "totals",
     "label": "Goal totals",
     "authors": 4,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 2
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 1
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    },
    {
     "key": "other",
     "label": "Handicaps, both teams to score, correct score and other markets",
     "authors": 12,
     "by_group": [
      {
       "key": "prediction_sites",
       "authors": 4
      },
      {
       "key": "media",
       "authors": 4
      },
      {
       "key": "telegram_channels",
       "authors": 4
      },
      {
       "key": "private_authors",
       "authors": 0
      }
     ]
    }
   ]
  },
  "market_line": {
   "line_state": "not_moved",
   "line_frozen": true,
   "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (24 October 2026, 14:30 BST): 1. FSV Mainz 05 55%, draw 23%, SV Werder Bremen 22%. No change from 22 October 2026, 11:09 BST to kick-off.",
   "line_markets": [
    {
     "market_text": "1X2, match result",
     "market_group": "1x2",
     "line_kind": "median_line",
     "margin_included": false,
     "snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z",
     "closing_line": true,
     "probabilities": [
      {
       "outcome_label": "1",
       "in_words": "1. FSV Mainz 05",
       "percent_value": 55
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "X",
       "in_words": "Draw",
       "percent_value": 23
      },
      {
       "outcome_label": "2",
       "in_words": "SV Werder Bremen",
       "percent_value": 22
      }
     ],
     "group_count": 32,
     "first_at": "2026-10-22T10:09:25.695Z",
     "first_probabilities": {
      "1": 55,
      "2": 22,
      "X": 23
     },
     "shift_pp": 0.4,
     "shift_outcome": "2",
     "shift_direction": "down",
     "line_state": "not_moved",
     "phrase": "Market line at kick-off (24 October 2026, 14:30 BST): 1. FSV Mainz 05 55%, draw 23%, SV Werder Bremen 22%. No change from 22 October 2026, 11:09 BST to kick-off."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Both teams to score",
     "market_group": "other",
     "line_kind": "recorded_price",
     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
     "price_sides": [
      {
       "choice": "yes",
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       "shift_pp": 1.5,
       "shift_direction": "up",
       "line_state": "barely_moved"
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     "line_state": "barely_moved",
     "phrase": "Both teams to score, yes: market price 1.50 on 24 October 2026, 13:37 BST (implied 67%, margin included), 1.5 percentage points up from 22 October 2026, 18:56 BST."
    },
    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 10.5 corners",
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     "margin_included": true,
     "closing_line": false,
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    {
     "market_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
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     "closing_line": false,
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      {
       "choice": "over 2.5",
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       "line_state": "single_snapshot"
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     "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, over 2.5 goals: market price 1.56 on 23 October 2026, 08:33 BST (implied 64%, margin included)."
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         "figure": 1
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         "side": "X",
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         "side": "2",
         "in_words": "SV Werder Bremen",
         "figure": 0
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    {
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       "row_count": 2,
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        {
         "choice": "over 2.5",
         "figure": 2
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       "phrase_mode": "listing",
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       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 2.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (2): 2 on over 2.5 goals"
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       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
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        {
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         "figure": 1
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       "phrase_mode": "listing",
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       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 10.5 corners, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on over 10.5 corners"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 2.75 goals",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
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        {
         "choice": "over 2.75",
         "figure": 1
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       "phrase_mode": "listing",
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       "share_percent": 100,
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      },
      {
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       "row_count": 1,
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        {
         "choice": "under 3.5",
         "figure": 1
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       "phrase_mode": "listing",
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       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Over/Under 3.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on under 3.5 goals"
      },
      {
       "market_text": "Over/Under 4.5 goals",
       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
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         "choice": "under 4.5",
         "figure": 1
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       "phrase_mode": "listing",
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       "phrase": "Over/Under 4.5 goals, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on under 4.5 goals"
      }
     ]
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    {
     "market_group": "other",
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       "prediction_count": 8,
       "row_count": 8,
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        {
         "choice": "yes",
         "figure": 8
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      },
      {
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       "row_count": 4,
       "market_choices": [
        {
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         "figure": 2
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        {
         "choice": "1. FSV Mainz 05 1-2 SV Werder Bremen",
         "figure": 1
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        {
         "choice": "1. FSV Mainz 05 2-1 SV Werder Bremen",
         "figure": 1
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      },
      {
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       "prediction_count": 3,
       "row_count": 3,
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         "choice": "draw or SV Werder Bremen",
         "figure": 2
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         "figure": 1
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       "phrase_mode": "listing",
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       "share_percent": 67,
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      },
      {
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         "figure": 1
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      },
      {
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       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "1. FSV Mainz 05",
         "figure": 1
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       "phrase_mode": "listing",
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       "leader_count": null,
       "share_percent": 100,
       "phrase": "Draw no bet, recorded picks before the match (1): 1 on 1. FSV Mainz 05"
      },
      {
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       "prediction_count": 1,
       "row_count": 1,
       "market_choices": [
        {
         "choice": "SV Werder Bremen +2",
         "figure": 1
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       "phrase_mode": "listing",
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       "share_percent": 100,
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      },
      {
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