{
 "schema_name": "page",
 "schema_version": "2.0",
 "page_type": "card",
 "url": "/cards/e-e529cf4907d516e1866e6e21-said-vs-happened/",
 "canonical": "/cards/e-e529cf4907d516e1866e6e21-said-vs-happened/",
 "language": "en",
 "hreflang": [],
 "translations": [],
 "heading": "Said → happened — Jonas Caetano",
 "description": "One statement, the price taken and what happened.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Jonas Caetano said it before the event, and Forecast Record settled it as won at 1.47 (as of 7 November 2026, source: our own evidence archive). The source text is on the linked page.",
  "key_number": "1.47",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
 "indexable": false,
 "noindex_reason": "technical",
 "indexing_threshold": {
  "settled_count": 15,
  "date_count": 8,
  "required_settled": 0,
  "required_dates": 0
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:16:08.695Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T20:08:54.787Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "5b074dbc77149e7de6861245d024dcfd5482ba6d6b472bfb644519f8401908bb",
 "dependency_group": "cards:e-e529cf4907d516e1866e6e21",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
  {
   "type_code": "WebPage",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "Organization",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  }
 ],
 "exports": [
  {
   "type_code": "json",
   "url": "/cards/e-e529cf4907d516e1866e6e21-said-vs-happened/index.json",
   "bytes": null
  }
 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": false,
  "api": true,
  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": null,
 "restrictions": {
  "name_withdrawn": false,
  "tracker_number": null,
  "withdrawn_quotes": [],
  "removed_at": null,
  "cause": null,
  "suspended_records": [],
  "withdrawal_log_number": 0
 },
 "page_links": {
  "methodology": "/methodology/",
  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
 },
 "card": {
  "type_code": "said_vs_happened",
  "key_numbers": [
   {
    "byline": "Cruz Azul — Leon — over 2.5",
    "amount": "Won",
    "data_status": "measured"
   },
   {
    "byline": "Price taken",
    "amount": "1.47",
    "data_status": "measured"
   },
   {
    "byline": "Bankroll change",
    "amount": "46.50",
    "data_status": "calculated"
   }
  ],
  "alt": "Jonas Caetano said: Más de 2.5 goles\n\nLa inercia futbolística que suele generarse en los cruces entre celestes y esmeraldas anticipa un desa. It was settled as won at 1.47, as of 7 November 2026.",
  "image_url": "/cards/e-e529cf4907d516e1866e6e21-said-vs-happened/card.svg",
  "proof_url": "/authors/jonas-caetano/picks/8/#pick-n-c8ec495bb7d9535c4d7444c8"
 }
}