{
 "schema_name": "page",
 "schema_version": "2.0",
 "page_type": "card",
 "url": "/cards/e-12f69552420c4c04f5e100e7-said-vs-happened/",
 "canonical": "/cards/e-12f69552420c4c04f5e100e7-said-vs-happened/",
 "language": "en",
 "hreflang": [],
 "translations": [],
 "heading": "Said → happened — Juan Pablo Aravena",
 "description": "One statement, the price taken and what happened.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Juan Pablo Aravena said it before the event, and Forecast Record settled it as lost at 1.74 (as of 7 November 2026, source: our own evidence archive). The source text is on the linked page.",
  "key_number": "1.74",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
 "indexable": false,
 "noindex_reason": "technical",
 "indexing_threshold": {
  "settled_count": 7,
  "date_count": 9,
  "required_settled": 0,
  "required_dates": 0
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T17:49:12.629Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T20:08:54.508Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-07T07:23:48.684Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "970ca2f1482297fbe664544514450bb00b7517d31a59ee1d45a3824ac41fcb74",
 "dependency_group": "cards:e-12f69552420c4c04f5e100e7",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
  {
   "type_code": "WebPage",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "Organization",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  }
 ],
 "exports": [
  {
   "type_code": "json",
   "url": "/cards/e-12f69552420c4c04f5e100e7-said-vs-happened/index.json",
   "bytes": null
  }
 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": false,
  "api": true,
  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": null,
 "restrictions": {
  "name_withdrawn": false,
  "tracker_number": null,
  "withdrawn_quotes": [],
  "removed_at": null,
  "cause": null,
  "suspended_records": [],
  "withdrawal_log_number": 0
 },
 "page_links": {
  "methodology": "/methodology/",
  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
 },
 "card": {
  "type_code": "said_vs_happened",
  "key_numbers": [
   {
    "byline": "Fenerbahçe — Liverpool — Liverpool -1.5",
    "amount": "Lost",
    "data_status": "measured"
   },
   {
    "byline": "Price taken",
    "amount": "1.74",
    "data_status": "measured"
   },
   {
    "byline": "Bankroll change",
    "amount": "-100.00",
    "data_status": "calculated"
   }
  ],
  "alt": "Juan Pablo Aravena said: Handicap Pick: Liverpool -1.5 (+127 at Novig). It was settled as lost at 1.74, as of 7 November 2026.",
  "image_url": "/cards/e-12f69552420c4c04f5e100e7-said-vs-happened/card.svg",
  "proof_url": "/authors/juan-pablo-aravena/picks/4/#pick-n-6319d7bb2b2c01b4eac03575"
 }
}
