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 "heading": "Yoann Guillet: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "8 settled picks by Yoann Guillet recorded before kick-off across 5 matches, 24 Oct 2026 – 2 Nov 2026: won 4 of 8 at our recorded market prices.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 8 settled live picks by Yoann Guillet before kick-off across 5 matches between 24 October and 2 November 2026. Won 4 of 8 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 176 predictions we hold for Yoann Guillet, 100 are linked to matches: 35 were recorded by us before kick-off and 65 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "key_number": "8",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
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  "date_count": 7,
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  "required_dates": 2
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 "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:18:02.420Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z",
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 "dependency_group": "author:e-f412d9fa9ae058deca58611d",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
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 "exports": [
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 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": true,
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 "affiliate_block": {
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  "request_url": "/partnery/moi",
  "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.",
  "page_category": "author"
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 "entity": {
  "id": "e-f412d9fa9ae058deca58611d",
  "public_name": "Yoann Guillet",
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  "status": "active",
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  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-10-12",
   "until": "2026-11-06"
  },
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   "window_from": "2026-08-09",
   "window_to": "2026-11-07",
   "amount": "-0.8525",
   "unit": "percent",
   "data_status": "calculated",
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   "n_bets": 8,
   "n_events": 5,
   "n_void": 0,
   "ci_low": null,
   "ci_high": null,
   "ci_method": "not_estimated",
   "price_source": "market_price",
   "coverage_percent": "100.00",
   "breakdown": [],
   "methodology_version": "2.2",
   "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:18:02.420Z",
   "enough_for_ranking": false,
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   "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot"
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  "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 8 settled picks across 5 matches",
  "average_odds": "2.53",
  "odds_from_author": 8,
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  "bankroll_hundredths": 999318,
  "reserve_hundredths": 0,
  "issued_total_hundredths": 1000000,
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  "profit_hundredths": -682,
  "rewards_off": null,
  "initial_hundredths": 1000000,
  "stake_hundredths": 10000,
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   {
    "at": "2026-10-17T20:35:04.031Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 990000,
    "profit_hundredths": -10000,
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   {
    "at": "2026-10-24T16:08:18.707Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1004444,
    "profit_hundredths": 4444,
    "outcome_id": "ish-f97ea45f615c248b57dd9d53"
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   {
    "at": "2026-10-31T14:56:12.565Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1013968,
    "profit_hundredths": 13968,
    "outcome_id": "ish-999e19c41222df8e8e30263d"
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   {
    "at": "2026-10-31T20:11:18.158Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1003968,
    "profit_hundredths": 3968,
    "outcome_id": "ish-bd88021abe3e1d1a4343ab85"
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   {
    "at": "2026-11-02T22:13:08.294Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 993968,
    "profit_hundredths": -6032,
    "outcome_id": "ish-746193559bcd97f79ba1f453"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-11-07T09:53:08.694Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1014968,
    "profit_hundredths": 14968,
    "outcome_id": "ish-7e435cbf6e0e28b9d7acb8a4"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-11-07T12:19:06.655Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1019318,
    "profit_hundredths": 19318,
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   {
    "at": "2026-11-07T12:19:06.666Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1009318,
    "profit_hundredths": 9318,
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   {
    "at": "2026-11-07T12:19:06.680Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 999318,
    "profit_hundredths": -682,
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  ],
  "top_ups": [],
  "rule": "When the balance falls below 100 points and no bets are open, 10000 points are added; the remaining balance is kept. While bets are open we wait for settlement.",
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 "simulations": [],
 "completeness": {
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   {
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    "cause": "read after the match, from archived pages",
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   {
    "cause": "not_checked",
    "figure": 22
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   {
    "cause": "other reading",
    "figure": 5
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   {
    "cause": "disputed_reading",
    "figure": 4
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   {
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    "figure": 1
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  "predictions": 176,
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  "settled_picks_restored": 0,
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    "stakes_hundredths": [
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    "display_name": "At an independent odds snapshot"
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   {
    "code_name": "author_price",
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    "methodologies": [
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    "display_name": "At the author's stated price"
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   {
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    "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price"
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   },
   {
    "code_name": "outside_coverage",
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   "quote_text": "Le PSG bat Troyes par au moins 3 buts d'écart (1.66)",
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   "published_at": "2026-11-06T23:02:00.000Z",
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    "rule_version": "1.1"
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   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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   "observation_id": "n-1b6fa3584fe9350f18fc9ffb",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-1b6fa3584fe9350f18fc9ffb",
   "quote_text": "Cote totale des onze paris à domicile : 173.95",
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   "detected_at": "2026-11-06T23:11:34.823Z",
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   "stake_hundredths": null,
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    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
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   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-a126f4a70aa04f4763fcdd63",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-a126f4a70aa04f4763fcdd63",
   "quote_text": "Pariez sur Pau - Nantes ici !",
   "fragment_from": 1147,
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   "published_at": "2026-11-06T23:02:00.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-11-06T23:11:34.823Z",
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   "statement_class": "no_event",
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   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "dates": {
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   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
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   "settlements": [],
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   "funnel_stage": "statement",
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   "observation_id": "n-02cf68dcefb4e33513450b0e",
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   "quote_text": "Notre pronostic : Pau ne perd pas face à Nantes et plus de 0,5 but dans le match (1.70)",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
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   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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   "settlements": [],
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  },
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   "observation_id": "n-7d2686e835342c79394e0846",
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   "quote_text": "Pau ne perd pas face à Nantes et plus de 1,5 but dans le match (1.96)",
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   "url": "/authors/yoann-guillet/picks/10/#pick-n-0cdc69f21f1a1495c6312556",
   "quote_text": "Le MyMatch : le Paris FC ne perd pas, les deux équipes marquent et Sinayoko buteur (3.70)",
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   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-2c98469764d2302220412817",
   "quote_text": "Cote totale des sept paris du jour : 118.65",
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   "observation_id": "n-879f1f349f7f1b0764b3359f",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-879f1f349f7f1b0764b3359f",
   "quote_text": "Pariez sur Auxerre - Paris FC ici !",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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   "observation_id": "n-6b1cbfd5c18197c3a4c887c2",
   "url": "/authors/yoann-guillet/picks/10/#pick-n-6b1cbfd5c18197c3a4c887c2",
   "quote_text": "Le buteur : Lassine Sinayoko (2.35)",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "detected_at": "2026-11-06T23:11:15.085Z",
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   "added_on": null,
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-c1403f86c08686df25620e22",
   "url": "/authors/yoann-guillet/picks/10/#pick-n-c1403f86c08686df25620e22",
   "quote_text": "Le pari de folie : le Paris FC gagne et les deux équipes marquent (3.00)",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "observation_id": "n-560f327a48166fc00aa97133",
   "url": "/authors/yoann-guillet/picks/10/#pick-n-560f327a48166fc00aa97133",
   "quote_text": "Le pari sûr : le Paris FC ne perd pas et plus de 0,5 but dans le match (1.27)",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "url": "/authors/yoann-guillet/picks/10/#pick-n-545305377f7d8ae4e09801ca",
   "quote_text": "Notre pronostic : le Paris FC ne perd pas à Auxerre et les deux équipes marquent (1.90)",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
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   "added_on": null,
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   "url": "/authors/yoann-guillet/picks/10/#pick-n-e7f3dce4925a64ab4486b6dc",
   "quote_text": "Le MyMatch : le PSG gagne par au moins 4 buts d'écart et Doué buteur (3.60)",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "published_at": "2026-11-06T23:04:00.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-11-06T23:11:13.676Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "not_supported",
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   "cause_code": "not_supported",
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   "quote_text": "Cote totale des seize paris sûrs : 88.89",
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   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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   "quote_text": "Le buteur : Désiré Doué (1.75)",
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   "quote_text": "Le pari de folie : le PSG gagne 3-0, 4-0 ou 5-0 (3.00)",
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   "detected_at": "2026-11-06T23:11:13.676Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
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   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
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    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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   "quote_text": "Le pari du jour : le PSG gagne par au moins 4 buts d'écart (2.50)",
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   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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   "url": "/authors/yoann-guillet/picks/10/#pick-n-a6da5b45d32a620706ac9339",
   "quote_text": "Notre pronostic : le PSG bat Troyes et plus de 2,5 buts dans le match (1.30)",
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   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-8bd79097d16ad64a0b395c31",
   "quote_text": "Cote totale des quatre buteurs du jour : 60.75",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
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   "url": "/authors/yoann-guillet/picks/10/#pick-n-4703742903fb0ebde862550f",
   "quote_text": "Thierno Barry (Everton) marque à Newcastle (2.90)",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
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    "url": "/football/matches/newcastle-united-vs-everton-2026-11-02/",
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   "odds_set": {
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   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Player to score",
    "choice": "Thierno Barry to score",
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   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "in_words": "Won — Thierno Barry scored 1 goal; the final score was Newcastle United 0-1 Everton."
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   "detected_at": "2026-10-30T23:10:50.096Z",
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   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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    "data_status": "unknown",
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  },
  {
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   "url": "/authors/yoann-guillet/picks/9/#pick-n-bcd51db5a82989287e1a3e99",
   "quote_text": "Pas de vainqueur entre Hull City et Ipswich (3.25)",
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   "fragment_to": 1419,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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    "methodology_version": "2.2",
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-3c17c2842e8ba664bf85a161",
   "url": "/authors/yoann-guillet/picks/8/#pick-n-3c17c2842e8ba664bf85a161",
   "quote_text": "Pas de vainqueur entre Annecy et Montpellier (3.35)",
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   "fragment_to": 1367,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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   "url": "/authors/yoann-guillet/picks/8/#pick-n-787849177c131f624e0a0f70",
   "quote_text": "Le MyMatch : nul à la mi-temps et 1-1 score final (10)",
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   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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    "methodology_version": "2.2",
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   "observation_id": "n-2adde3afd06977831d573a35",
   "url": "/authors/yoann-guillet/picks/8/#pick-n-2adde3afd06977831d573a35",
   "quote_text": "Le buteur : Louis Mafouta (2.90)",
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   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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   "url": "/authors/yoann-guillet/picks/8/#pick-n-8661fc1b0bf2b059eb579bd5",
   "quote_text": "Le pari de folie : 1-1 (6.00)",
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   "fragment_to": 1202,
   "quote_allowed": true,
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   "url": "/authors/yoann-guillet/picks/8/#pick-n-6df73df58d51c8b7cbc643aa",
   "quote_text": "Le pari du jour : Troyes ne perd pas et moins de 3,5 buts dans le match (1.82)",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
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   "url": "/authors/yoann-guillet/picks/9/#pick-n-c181b42d619e492ef82a45c9",
   "quote_text": "Notre pronostic : pas de vainqueur entre Troyes et Le Mans (3.40)",
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   "observation_id": "n-ce2d487c800a8c854f1b95d0",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-ce2d487c800a8c854f1b95d0",
   "quote_text": "Cote totale des quatre buteurs du jour : 11.03",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "published_at": "2026-10-26T23:01:00.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-26T23:09:52.278Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
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   "quote_text": "Notre pronostic : la Lazio ne perd pas à Sassuolo et les deux équipes marquent (2.00)",
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   },
   "market_label": "Player to score",
   "outcome_label": "Erling Haaland to score",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": "1.75",
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
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    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": "win",
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-23T22:01:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-24T00:09:35.496Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Player to score",
    "choice": "Erling Haaland to score",
    "author_odds": "1.75",
    "market_key": "player_to_score",
    "choice_key": "yes",
    "period": "match",
    "line": null,
    "subject": "player_goals",
    "in_words": "Player to score: Erling Haaland to score at 1.75"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "win",
    "scoreline": "2-1",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Won — Erling Haaland scored 1 goal; the final score was Aston Villa 2-1 Manchester City."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
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     "series_key": "author_price",
     "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Player to score",
     "choice": "Erling Haaland to score",
     "decimal_odds": null,
     "odds_role": null,
     "stake_hundredths": null,
     "status": "skipped",
     "status_text": "Not executed: ",
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     "result_words": null,
     "change_hundredths": null,
     "executed_at": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    },
    {
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     "series_key": "market_price",
     "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Player to score",
     "choice": "Erling Haaland to score",
     "decimal_odds": null,
     "odds_role": null,
     "stake_hundredths": null,
     "status": "skipped",
     "status_text": "Not executed: ",
     "result": null,
     "result_words": null,
     "change_hundredths": null,
     "executed_at": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Yoann Guillet",
    "publisher": "Les Paris RMC (RMC Sport)",
    "forecaster": "Yoann Guillet",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://rmcsport.bfmtv.com/pari-sportif/pronos-paris-rmc-le-buteur-du-jour-du-24-octobre-premier-league-angleterre_AN-202610230822.html",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-daa5f66264fd6c8c55a2af00",
   "url": "/authors/yoann-guillet/picks/7/#pick-n-daa5f66264fd6c8c55a2af00",
   "quote_text": "Lens ne perd pas face au Paris FC (1.36)",
   "fragment_from": 1331,
   "fragment_to": 1371,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://rmcsport.bfmtv.com/pari-sportif/pronos-paris-rmc-le-pari-sur-du-24-octobre-premier-league-angleterre_AN-202610230823.html",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Yoann Guillet",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
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    "bundle_id": "b8fef6d805da294175b930b23f29acc89131cae174319f4dd39270b49b3444e8",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-23T22:02:00.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-23T22:09:51.785Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "unpriced",
   "status": "not_supported",
   "cause": "",
   "cause_code": "not_supported",
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
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    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
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    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-23T22:02:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-23T22:09:51.785Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-039dceb5d8684a9fcd37e65e",
   "url": "/authors/yoann-guillet/picks/7/#pick-n-039dceb5d8684a9fcd37e65e",
   "quote_text": "Notre pronostic : Arsenal bat Everton (1.40)",
   "fragment_from": 250,
   "fragment_to": 294,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://rmcsport.bfmtv.com/pari-sportif/pronos-paris-rmc-le-pari-sur-du-24-octobre-premier-league-angleterre_AN-202610230823.html",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Yoann Guillet",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
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    "bundle_id": "b8fef6d805da294175b930b23f29acc89131cae174319f4dd39270b49b3444e8",
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   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-23T22:02:00.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-23T22:09:51.785Z",
   "executed_at": "2026-10-24T09:32:41.309Z",
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": {
    "event_id": "s-e2a18e7b4072",
    "display_name": "Arsenal — Everton",
    "competition_name": "Premier League",
    "starts_at": "2026-10-24T14:00:00.000Z",
    "url": "/football/matches/arsenal-vs-everton-2026-10-24/",
    "scoreline": "2-0",
    "condition": "finished"
   },
   "market_label": "1X2, match result",
   "outcome_label": "Arsenal",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": "1.4",
    "our_snapshot": "1.4444",
    "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-23T22:07:05.650Z",
    "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "win",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": 4444,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": "ours",
   "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-23T22:02:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-23T22:09:51.785Z",
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    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
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   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "choice": "Arsenal",
    "author_odds": "1.4",
    "market_key": "1x2",
    "choice_key": "1",
    "period": "match",
    "line": null,
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "1X2, match result: Arsenal at 1.4"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "win",
    "scoreline": "2-0",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Won: the final score was Arsenal 2-0 Everton."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
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     "series_key": "author_price",
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     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Arsenal",
     "decimal_odds": "1.4",
     "odds_role": "author_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "win",
     "result_words": "Won",
     "change_hundredths": 4000,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-24T09:32:39.574Z",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    },
    {
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     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Arsenal",
     "decimal_odds": "1.4444",
     "odds_role": "market_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "win",
     "result_words": "Won",
     "change_hundredths": 4444,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-24T09:32:41.309Z",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Yoann Guillet",
    "publisher": "Les Paris RMC (RMC Sport)",
    "forecaster": "Yoann Guillet",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://rmcsport.bfmtv.com/pari-sportif/pronos-paris-rmc-le-pari-sur-du-24-octobre-premier-league-angleterre_AN-202610230823.html",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "standing": null,
 "retro": null,
 "late": null,
 "price_vs_market": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "threshold_percent": "5",
  "rows": [
   {
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)",
    "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick",
    "compared": 8,
    "above": 2,
    "above_share_percent": "25.0",
    "below": 2,
    "within": 4,
    "median_difference_percent": "-2.8",
    "not_comparable": 0,
    "disputed": 0,
    "status": "calculated"
   }
  ],
  "examples": [
   {
    "url": "/authors/yoann-guillet/picks/9/#pick-n-b1a1fb97132fa4f5dbbb1219",
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "stated": "3.50",
    "market": "3.10",
    "difference_percent": "12.9"
   },
   {
    "url": "/authors/yoann-guillet/picks/9/#pick-n-100c9d66192d48b1d667ed48",
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "stated": "4.40",
    "market": "5.00",
    "difference_percent": "-12.0"
   }
  ],
  "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way."
 },
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "person",
  "entity_words": "Individual author",
  "source": {
   "name": "rmcsport.bfmtv.com",
   "url": "https://rmcsport.bfmtv.com/pari-sportif/pronos-paris-rmc-le-pari-a-domicile-du-7-novembre-ligue-2_AN-202611060868.html"
  },
  "observed_from": "2026-10-12",
  "observed_to": "2026-11-06",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "state": "settled",
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price",
  "restored": false,
  "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
  "headline_part": "live",
  "settled_picks": 8,
  "matches": 5,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": -682,
  "staked_hundredths": 80000,
  "return_percent": "-0.85",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2026-10-24",
  "period_to": "2026-11-02",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "short_history": true,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 8 settled live picks by Yoann Guillet before kick-off across 5 matches between 24 October and 2 November 2026. Won 4 of 8 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 176 predictions we hold for Yoann Guillet, 100 are linked to matches: 35 were recorded by us before kick-off and 65 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled live picks",
    "value": "8",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "5",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "−6.82 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "value": "−0.8%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": null
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [
   "Most of this history was found after the matches."
  ],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": {
    "part": "live",
    "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.",
    "settled_picks": 8,
    "matches": 5,
    "match_dates": 3,
    "period_from": "2026-10-24",
    "period_to": "2026-11-02",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": -682,
    "low": {
     "date": "2026-10-31",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -11682,
     "after_picks": 6
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2026-11-02",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -682,
     "after_picks": 8
    },
    "line_drawn": false,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2026-10-24",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -11206,
      "n": 4,
      "picks": 4
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-31",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -11682,
      "n": 6,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-02",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -682,
      "n": 8,
      "picks": 2
     }
    ]
   },
   "archived": null
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 8 settled live picks by Yoann Guillet before kick-off across 5 matches between 24 October and 2 November 2026. Won 4 of 8 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 176 predictions we hold for Yoann Guillet, 100 are linked to matches: 35 were recorded by us before kick-off and 65 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/yoann-guillet/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "2.2"
  },
  "origin": {
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   "predictions": 176,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 76,
   "proven_predictions": 35,
   "proven_checked": 30,
   "proven_measured": 8,
   "proven_dates": 7,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 35,
     "checked": 30,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 8,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 5,
      "net_points_hundredths": -682,
      "staked_hundredths": 80000,
      "return_percent": "-0.85",
      "interval_low": null,
      "interval_high": null,
      "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval",
      "period_from": "2026-10-24",
      "period_to": "2026-11-02",
      "method_version": "2.2",
      "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0",
      "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.0",
      "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 4
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "author_price",
       "picks": 8,
       "return_main_percent": "-0.85",
       "return_other_percent": "1.88",
       "settled_excluding_void": 8,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -682,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 1500,
       "period_from": "2026-10-24",
       "period_to": "2026-11-02"
      },
      {
       "price": "Closing price",
       "series_code": "closing_live",
       "picks": 7,
       "return_main_percent": "13.31",
       "return_other_percent": "26.08",
       "settled_excluding_void": 7,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 9318,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 18255,
       "period_from": "2026-10-24",
       "period_to": "2026-11-02"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 30,
      "priced": 8
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 8,
      "won": 4,
      "won_percent": "50.0",
      "implied_percent": "47.9",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 2,
        "picks": 4,
        "implied_percent": "55.7"
       },
       {
        "market": "Player to score",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 2,
        "implied_percent": "35.2"
       },
       {
        "market": "Double chance",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "69.7"
       },
       {
        "market": "Result and both teams to score",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "20.0"
       }
      ]
     },
     "reviewed_after": {
      "predictions": 17,
      "right": 6,
      "wrong": 11,
      "other": 0
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
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     },
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    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
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     "checked": 0,
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      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
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     },
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  "interval_high": null,
  "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 24 October – 2 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2",
  "record_from": "2026-10-12",
  "record_to": "2026-11-06"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
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    },
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   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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   "evidence": {
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    "outcome_label": "Lorient win, both teams to score: yes",
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   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
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   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-05T22:02:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T13:39:38.062Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
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  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-bd83f535d172a1bc2c263aa2",
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   "competition": null,
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Le Kazakhstan ne perd pas face aux Îles Féroé (1.30)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
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   "published_at": "2026-10-05T22:02:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T13:39:38.062Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
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  },
  {
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   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Notre pronostic : l'Angleterre bat la République Tchèque par au moins 2 buts d'écart (1.30)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
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   "published_at": "2026-10-05T22:02:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T13:39:38.062Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
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  },
  {
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   "match_url": null,
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Joel Pohjanpalo (Finlande) marque en Biélorussie (2.50)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
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   "published_at": "2026-10-05T22:01:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T17:39:34.367Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-d2b12bef8033c52e8280143e",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Jude Bellingham (Angleterre) marque face à la République Tchèque (2.00)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-05T22:01:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T17:39:34.367Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-396b82aacb2639b63c704d3a",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
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   "competition": null,
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Lamine Yamal (Espagne) marque en Croatie (2.00)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
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   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-05T22:01:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T17:39:34.367Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-2cfba193a573ce022c3d2cbd",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
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   "competition": null,
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Notre pronostic : Zeki Amdouni (Suisse) marque face à la Macédoine du Nord (1.70)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
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   "author_price": null,
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   "published_at": "2026-10-05T22:01:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T17:39:34.367Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
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  }
 ],
 "lead_time": {
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  "threshold_hours": 2.0,
  "picks": 38,
  "before_kickoff": 35,
  "after_kickoff": 3,
  "at_least_2h": 35,
  "share_2h_plus": 92.1,
  "median_hours": 18.6,
  "min_hours": 4.9,
  "max_hours": 20.8,
  "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off."
 },
 "baseline": {
  "contract_version": 1,
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "rule": "recorded-line-1.0",
  "state": "settled",
  "picks": 3,
  "settled_picks_all": 8,
  "excluded": {
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   "no_recorded_line": 1,
   "favourite_not_settled": 0
  },
  "staked_hundredths": 30000,
  "author_net_hundredths": 3968,
  "favourite_net_hundredths": 3968,
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  "favourite_return_percent": 13.23,
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  "favourite_hit_rate": 66.7,
  "picked_favourite_share": 100.0,
  "by_market": [
   {
    "market_code": "1x2",
    "picks": 3,
    "staked_hundredths": 30000,
    "author_net_hundredths": 3968,
    "favourite_net_hundredths": 3968,
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    "favourite_hits": 2,
    "picked_favourite": 3,
    "author_return_percent": 13.23,
    "favourite_return_percent": 13.23
   }
  ],
  "return_over_time": [
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    "kickoff": "2026-10-24T14:00:00.000Z",
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    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 4444
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-31T12:30:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": 13968,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 13968
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-31T17:30:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": 3968,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 3968
   }
  ],
  "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out."
 },
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 176,
  "pages": 10,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/yoann-guillet/",
   "/authors/yoann-guillet/picks/2/",
   "/authors/yoann-guillet/picks/3/",
   "/authors/yoann-guillet/picks/4/",
   "/authors/yoann-guillet/picks/5/",
   "/authors/yoann-guillet/picks/6/",
   "/authors/yoann-guillet/picks/7/",
   "/authors/yoann-guillet/picks/8/",
   "/authors/yoann-guillet/picks/9/",
   "/authors/yoann-guillet/picks/10/"
  ],
  "groups": {
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   "pending": 0,
   "excluded": 167
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 1,
  "first": 1,
  "last": 20,
  "author_url": "/authors/yoann-guillet/",
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 "title_tag": "Yoann Guillet Predictions: Verified Record, Results and Sources",
 "calculator": null,
 "person": {
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  "type_code": "individual",
  "name_shown": "Yoann Guillet",
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   "source_list": []
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "entity_ref": "e-f412d9fa9ae058deca58611d",
    "medium": "Les Paris RMC (RMC Sport)",
    "channel": "section pages",
    "domain": "rmcsport.bfmtv.com",
    "source_info": null,
    "byline": "Yoann Guillet",
    "url": null,
    "summary": {
     "statements": 244,
     "predictions": 176,
     "settled_picks": 8,
     "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
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     "headline_part": "live",
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 "data_revision": {
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  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
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  "sample": {
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   "void": 0,
   "period_from": "2026-10-24",
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   "composition_hash": "9ba9e1d3183616308dc91d4c540ee8dbf952d90fa267c1c30748aa66b6c7cf6a"
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 },
 "number_changes": [
  {
   "id": "zc-8d731f84a8019122aa80",
   "at": "2026-11-07T20:05:20.937Z",
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   "url": "/authors/yoann-guillet/",
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    "composition_hash": "724ceae4ff4eb7eee3c0deeb437cf3cc48a84a6dbca78955f5ad673c6c50220e",
    "text": "−60.32 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
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    "text": "−6.82 points on 8 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
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   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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    "text": "+39.68 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "text": "−60.32 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "composition_hash": "d2568320e3a22543394ff0c65ce3c510b4a3da53867bb68969b4907467d953f7",
    "text": "+44.44 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "composition_hash": "26399bd98a7b06646e32b67eca3db58caa45897f047521dd534b2fc0ee9502df",
    "text": "+39.68 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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   "reason": "2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.",
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    "text": "+44.44 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
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   "url": "/authors/yoann-guillet/",
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    "composition_hash": "73739f1fa0285bc3b3f8ed276ba5eb7d93ba252bbbeffe74b504ccc7c5b614fe",
    "text": "−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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   "reason": "The headline number is no longer published: the record has no settled pick in its headline series in this data version.",
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   "url": "/authors/yoann-guillet/",
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   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
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   },
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 ],
 "counts_by_slice": {
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   {
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     },
     {
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