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 "heading": "William Maxwell: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "1 settled pick by William Maxwell archived before kick-off across 1 match, 17 Sep 2024: won 1 of 1, reconstructed at archived prices.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Forecast Record restored 1 settled archived pick by William Maxwell from copies archived before kick-off, across 1 match on 17 September 2024. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 1 of 1 settled archived pick. Of the 4 predictions we hold for William Maxwell, 3 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 1 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "key_number": "1",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
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  "restored_count": 2,
  "of_them_archived": 1
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z",
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 "dependency_group": "author:e-cff23a8fada63162e04969ff",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
  {
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   "type_code": "Organization",
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 "exports": [
  {
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 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": true,
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 },
 "affiliate_block": {
  "container": true,
  "request_url": "/partnery/moi",
  "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.",
  "page_category": "author"
 },
 "restrictions": {
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 "page_links": {
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  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
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 },
 "entity": {
  "id": "e-cff23a8fada63162e04969ff",
  "public_name": "William Maxwell",
  "tracker_number": 2677,
  "status": "active",
  "inactive_since": null,
  "verified_creator": false,
  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-10-09",
   "until": "2026-10-17"
  },
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   {
    "medium": "website",
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  ],
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 },
 "headline_number": {
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   "display_name": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot",
   "window_kind": "90d",
   "window_from": "2026-08-09",
   "window_to": "2026-11-07",
   "amount": null,
   "unit": "percent",
   "data_status": "unknown",
   "cause": "no pick in this window has been settled",
   "n_bets": 0,
   "n_events": 0,
   "n_void": null,
   "ci_low": null,
   "ci_high": null,
   "ci_method": "not_estimated",
   "price_source": "market_price",
   "coverage_percent": null,
   "breakdown": [],
   "methodology_version": "2.2",
   "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
   "enough_for_ranking": false,
   "series_key": "market_price",
   "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot"
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  "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 0 settled picks across 0 matches",
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  "odds_from_snapshot": null
 },
 "metrics": [],
 "history": [],
 "simulation": {
  "series_key": null,
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  "top_up_count": 0,
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  "data_points": [],
  "top_ups": [],
  "rule": "Every tracked author starts with 10,000 points and stakes 100 per qualifying pick. This author has 0 settled bets, so the bankroll stands at its starting value."
 },
 "simulations": [],
 "completeness": {
  "detected": 24,
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   {
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 },
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   "opinions": 1,
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    "methodologies": [
     "retro-1.0"
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    "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price"
   },
   {
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    "stakes_hundredths": [
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     "retro-1.1"
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    "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
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  ],
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   {
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-ef210375962cac3193cc4086",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-ef210375962cac3193cc4086",
   "quote_text": "Recommended bet: Inter to win to nil",
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   "fragment_to": 484,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241214105823id_/https://www.livescore.com/en/news/inter-vs-rb-leipzig-predictions-nerazzurri-expect-to-overcome-germans-2024112414065069890/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "William Maxwell",
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-11-24T14:06:50.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-17T06:03:59.400Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
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   "funnel_stage": "statement",
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-264492690389d6421460ae12",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-264492690389d6421460ae12",
   "quote_text": "Rose has a number of players out with injuries, with Xavi Simons, Chadaille Bitshiabu and David Raum all likely to miss out.",
   "fragment_from": 1630,
   "fragment_to": 1754,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250125002257id_/https://www.livescore.com/en/news/inter-rb-leipzig-predictions-champions-league-2024112414065069890/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "William Maxwell",
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   "published_at": null,
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   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-11-24T14:06:50.000Z",
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    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
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   "funnel_stage": "statement",
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   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-189f233e0ce320b628e22592",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-189f233e0ce320b628e22592",
   "quote_text": "Defender Francesco Acerbi and midfielder Hakan Calhanoglu are also nursing injuries",
   "fragment_from": 1482,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250125002257id_/https://www.livescore.com/en/news/inter-rb-leipzig-predictions-champions-league-2024112414065069890/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "William Maxwell",
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   "published_at": null,
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   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-11-24T14:06:50.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-17T06:03:42.142Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
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   "funnel_stage": "statement",
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-e52a55edd12ecee597925a4a",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-e52a55edd12ecee597925a4a",
   "quote_text": "Inzaghi could be without talismanic striker and captain Lautaro Martinez for this contest",
   "fragment_from": 1276,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250125002257id_/https://www.livescore.com/en/news/inter-rb-leipzig-predictions-champions-league-2024112414065069890/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "William Maxwell",
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   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-17T06:03:42.142Z",
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-11-24T14:06:50.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-17T06:03:42.142Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-6b65c4e271a7d626461b578a",
   "url": "/authors/william-maxwell/#pick-n-6b65c4e271a7d626461b578a",
   "quote_text": "Back Inter to win to nil @ 17/10 with LiveScore Bet",
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   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250125002257id_/https://www.livescore.com/en/news/inter-rb-leipzig-predictions-champions-league-2024112414065069890/",
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   "published_at": "2024-11-24T14:06:50.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-17T06:03:42.142Z",
   "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:25:51.110Z",
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "too_late",
   "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": {
    "event_id": null,
    "display_name": "Inter v RB Leipzig",
    "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
    "starts_at": "2024-11-26T20:00:00.000Z",
    "url": null,
    "scoreline": "1-0"
   },
   "market_label": "To win to nil",
   "outcome_label": "Inter to win to nil",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": "2.7",
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": "2.5750",
    "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "win",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": 15750,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": "ours",
   "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2024-11-24T14:06:50.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2024-11-24T14:06:50.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-17T06:03:42.142Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "To win to nil",
    "choice": "Inter to win to nil",
    "author_odds": "2.7",
    "market_key": "win_to_nil",
    "choice_key": "1",
    "period": "match",
    "line": null,
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "To win to nil: Inter to win to nil at 2.7"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "win",
    "scoreline": "1-0",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "in_words": "Won: the final score was Inter 1-0 RB Leipzig."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
     "operation_id": "740ae3585dbd6d3681efca398f53a15bad3647be799159dc94fb1cdef9cb37cf",
     "series_key": "retro_author_price",
     "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
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     "choice": "Inter to win to nil",
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   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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    "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20240916034427id_/https://www.livescore.com/en/news/amp/bayern-munich-dinamo-zagreb-predictions-champions-league-2024091517362857438/",
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   },
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    "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
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    "material_url": "https://www.livescore.com/en/news/amp/bayern-munich-dinamo-zagreb-predictions-champions-league-2024091517362857438/",
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   "quote_text": "Win up to £250,000 with our free-to-play game, LiveScore 6!",
   "fragment_from": 4210,
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   "source_info": {
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  {
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   "quote_text": "New signing Federico Chiesa is still returning to fitness and is not expected to make his debut in his homeland",
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   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20240916025737id_/https://www.livescore.com/en/news/amp/ac-milan-liverpool-predictions-champions-league-2024091518274951138/",
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    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
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   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-c9a800e7eb69c4974f5f66f3",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-c9a800e7eb69c4974f5f66f3",
   "quote_text": "Harvey Elliott is unavailable due to a fractured foot.",
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   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20240916025737id_/https://www.livescore.com/en/news/amp/ac-milan-liverpool-predictions-champions-league-2024091518274951138/",
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    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-52e5cfcbb0383f1944954bc5",
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   "quote_text": "AC Milan will be without Alessandro Florenzi (ACL), Marco Sportiello (hand) and Ismael Bennacer (ankle)",
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   "source_info": {
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    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-456b5814d1a35d23b7270d0a",
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   "quote_text": "Recommended bet: Liverpool to win and BTTS",
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   "source_info": {
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    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
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   },
   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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   "observation_id": "n-187968d4c2b59053353d05b7",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-187968d4c2b59053353d05b7",
   "quote_text": "- Liverpool lost their first match of the campaign on Saturday (1-0 v Nottingham Forest)",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
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    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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   "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
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   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-0e3547d5068df3dfea76ec43",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-0e3547d5068df3dfea76ec43",
   "quote_text": "- AC Milan secured their first win of the season at the weekend (4-0 v Venezia)",
   "fragment_from": 844,
   "fragment_to": 923,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20240916025737id_/https://www.livescore.com/en/news/amp/ac-milan-liverpool-predictions-champions-league-2024091518274951138/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "William Maxwell",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "da6b4cacd5b819adb3e9e02a29aba7636677e7e1aa684ec82db5f7fd366a0cec",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-09T12:55:59.546Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
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    "our_snapshot_at": null,
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    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "restored_archive",
   "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-09-15T18:27:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T12:55:59.546Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-3628b6c0d6b932335783625b",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-3628b6c0d6b932335783625b",
   "quote_text": "Arne Slot suffered his first defeat as Liverpool boss on Saturday but the Reds are expected to bounce back",
   "fragment_from": 724,
   "fragment_to": 830,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20240916025737id_/https://www.livescore.com/en/news/amp/ac-milan-liverpool-predictions-champions-league-2024091518274951138/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "William Maxwell",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "da6b4cacd5b819adb3e9e02a29aba7636677e7e1aa684ec82db5f7fd366a0cec",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-09T12:55:59.546Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
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    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "restored_archive",
   "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-09-15T18:27:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T12:55:59.546Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-203090988e01c8425c1b0b3c",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-203090988e01c8425c1b0b3c",
   "quote_text": "Win up to £250,000 with LiveScore 6!",
   "fragment_from": 3638,
   "fragment_to": 3674,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20240916021244id_/https://www.livescore.com/en/news/ac-milan-liverpool-predictions-champions-league-2024091518274951138/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "William Maxwell",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "980730b2f82b2be3fa0e9c82d8226677ad5d40b425d0182caf08e269c625d4a4",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-09T12:55:12.732Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "restored_archive",
   "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-09-15T18:27:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T12:55:12.732Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-fe8ccab148f43c23a26678e7",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-fe8ccab148f43c23a26678e7",
   "quote_text": "Team news\n\nAC Milan will be without Alessandro Florenzi (ACL), Marco Sportiello (hand) and Ismael Bennacer (ankle)",
   "fragment_from": 1049,
   "fragment_to": 1163,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20240916021244id_/https://www.livescore.com/en/news/ac-milan-liverpool-predictions-champions-league-2024091518274951138/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "William Maxwell",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "980730b2f82b2be3fa0e9c82d8226677ad5d40b425d0182caf08e269c625d4a4",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-09T12:55:12.732Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "restored_archive",
   "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-09-15T18:27:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T12:55:12.732Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-e6d8acf35567feb8280d196e",
   "url": "/authors/william-maxwell/#pick-n-e6d8acf35567feb8280d196e",
   "quote_text": "Back Liverpool to win and both teams to score at 43/20 with LiveScore Bet.",
   "fragment_from": 3562,
   "fragment_to": 3636,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20240916021244id_/https://www.livescore.com/en/news/ac-milan-liverpool-predictions-champions-league-2024091518274951138/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "William Maxwell",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "980730b2f82b2be3fa0e9c82d8226677ad5d40b425d0182caf08e269c625d4a4",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2024-09-15T18:27:49.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-09T12:55:12.732Z",
   "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:03.842Z",
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "too_late",
   "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": {
    "event_id": null,
    "display_name": "AC Milan v Liverpool",
    "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
    "starts_at": "2024-09-17T19:00:00.000Z",
    "url": null,
    "scoreline": "1-3"
   },
   "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
   "outcome_label": "Liverpool win, both teams to score: yes",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": "3.15",
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": "3.3000",
    "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "win",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": 23000,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": "ours",
   "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "restored_archive",
   "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "archive_snapshot_at": "2024-09-16T02:12:44.000Z",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2024-09-15T18:27:49.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2024-09-15T18:27:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T12:55:12.732Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2024-09-16T02:12:44.000Z",
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "added_on": "Added to our record on 9 Oct 2026",
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
    "choice": "Liverpool win, both teams to score: yes",
    "author_odds": "3.15",
    "market_key": "both_teams_score_and_result",
    "choice_key": "2-yes",
    "period": "match",
    "line": null,
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Match result and both teams to score: Liverpool win, both teams to score: yes at 3.15"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "win",
    "scoreline": "1-3",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "in_words": "Won: the final score was AC Milan 1-3 Liverpool."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
     "operation_id": "3c871348655e6321c2921606129ca43940c06465f14deb082f656cd334352f8d",
     "series_key": "retro_author_price",
     "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
     "choice": "Liverpool win, both teams to score: yes",
     "decimal_odds": "3.15",
     "odds_role": "author_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "win",
     "result_words": "Won",
     "change_hundredths": 21500,
     "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:03.836Z",
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    },
    {
     "operation_id": "27b53ba318c3ac65d008e94db3910d66371a2cd55b6e9b9dd2be11e00892e91d",
     "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
     "choice": "Liverpool win, both teams to score: yes",
     "decimal_odds": "3.3000",
     "odds_role": "closing_odds",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "win",
     "result_words": "Won",
     "change_hundredths": 23000,
     "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:03.842Z",
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "William Maxwell",
    "publisher": "livescore.com",
    "forecaster": "William Maxwell",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.livescore.com/en/news/ac-milan-liverpool-predictions-champions-league-2024091518274951138/",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "standing": null,
 "retro": {
  "restored_total": 2,
  "of_them_archived_pre_match": 1,
  "found_post_match": 1,
  "of_them_source_reported": 0,
  "live_count": 0,
  "date_count": 2,
  "span_from": "2024-09-17",
  "span_to": "2024-11-26",
  "line_text": "restored history: 2, of which pre-match archive 1",
  "body": "We re-read what this author published before Champions League matches between 17 September 2024 and 26 November 2024 and settled it against the final score. Restored picks: 2. Backed by a copy of the page in an independent web archive taken before kick-off: 1. Found after the match, with the publication date as stated by the source: 1. The market price at the moment of publication cannot be reconstructed, so restored picks are shown as reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), not at the closing price, for the pre-match archive and the later finds separately; the author's quoted price and, where it exists, the aggregator closing price are compared with it on the same picks. Authors can delete losing picks, so restored history may look better than it was.",
  "precision": {
   "n": 2,
   "share": "1.0"
  },
  "series_list": [
   {
    "code_name": "retro_author_price",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "n": 2,
    "roi": "192.5000",
    "ci_low": null,
    "ci_high": null,
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "cause": null
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "n": 0,
    "roi": null,
    "ci_low": null,
    "ci_high": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "cause": "no restored pick with this price"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "n": 2,
    "roi": "193.7500",
    "ci_low": null,
    "ci_high": null,
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
    "cause": null
   }
  ],
  "clv": {
   "data_status": "unknown",
   "cause": "the market price at the moment of publication is unknown for restored picks; the author's quoted price against the aggregator closing price is compared on the same picks in each part of the record above"
  },
  "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
  "leagues": [
   "Champions League"
  ],
  "source_list": "Results: the official regulation-time score, checked against a second data provider for 0 settled restored picks and forecasts, and the two agree; 2 come from one provider only. Prices: the aggregator closing price and the second data provider's last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), as a separate series; each provider is its own series and they are never averaged."
 },
 "late": null,
 "price_vs_market": null,
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "person",
  "entity_words": "Individual author",
  "source": {
   "name": "livescore.com",
   "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250125002257id_/https://www.livescore.com/en/news/inter-rb-leipzig-predictions-champions-league-2024112414065069890/"
  },
  "observed_from": "2026-10-09",
  "observed_to": "2026-10-17",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "state": "settled",
  "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
  "series": "Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
  "restored": true,
  "headline_kind": "historical_simulation",
  "headline_part": "archived",
  "settled_picks": 1,
  "matches": 1,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": 23000,
  "staked_hundredths": 10000,
  "return_percent": "230.00",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2024-09-17",
  "period_to": "2024-09-17",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "retro-1.1",
  "short_history": true,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record restored 1 settled archived pick by William Maxwell from copies archived before kick-off, across 1 match on 17 September 2024. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 1 of 1 settled archived pick. Of the 4 predictions we hold for William Maxwell, 3 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 1 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled archived picks",
    "value": "1",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "1",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "+230 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "value": "+230.0%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": null
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [
   "Reconstructed at archived prices: these picks were restored from copies of the author’s pages that an independent web archive saved before kick-off, at the last pre-match archive prices, bookmaker margin included."
  ],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": null,
   "archived": {
    "part": "archived",
    "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. These picks were restored from copies an independent web archive saved before kick-off; the line shows how they settled at archived prices.",
    "settled_picks": 1,
    "matches": 1,
    "match_dates": 1,
    "period_from": "2024-09-17",
    "period_to": "2024-09-17",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": 23000,
    "low": {
     "date": "2024-09-17",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 23000,
     "after_picks": 1
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2024-09-17",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 23000,
     "after_picks": 1
    },
    "line_drawn": false,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2024-09-17",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 23000,
      "n": 1,
      "picks": 1
     }
    ]
   }
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record restored 1 settled archived pick by William Maxwell from copies archived before kick-off, across 1 match on 17 September 2024. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 1 of 1 settled archived pick. Of the 4 predictions we hold for William Maxwell, 3 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 1 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/william-maxwell/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "retro-1.1"
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 4,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 0,
   "proven_predictions": 3,
   "proven_checked": 1,
   "proven_measured": 1,
   "proven_dates": 1,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 3,
     "checked": 1,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 1,
      "net_points_hundredths": 23000,
      "staked_hundredths": 10000,
      "return_percent": "230.00",
      "interval_low": null,
      "interval_high": null,
      "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval",
      "period_from": "2024-09-17",
      "period_to": "2024-09-17",
      "method_version": "retro-1.1"
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "retro_author_price",
       "picks": 1,
       "return_main_percent": "230.00",
       "return_other_percent": "215.00",
       "settled_excluding_void": 1,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 23000,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 21500,
       "period_from": "2024-09-17",
       "period_to": "2024-09-17"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 1,
      "priced": 1
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 1,
      "won": 1,
      "won_percent": "100.0",
      "implied_percent": "30.3",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Result and both teams to score",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "30.3"
       }
      ]
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 1,
     "checked": 1,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 1,
      "net_points_hundredths": 15750,
      "staked_hundredths": 10000,
      "return_percent": "157.50",
      "interval_low": null,
      "interval_high": null,
      "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval",
      "period_from": "2024-11-26",
      "period_to": "2024-11-26",
      "method_version": "retro-1.1"
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "retro_author_price",
       "picks": 1,
       "return_main_percent": "157.50",
       "return_other_percent": "170.00",
       "settled_excluding_void": 1,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 15750,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 17000,
       "period_from": "2024-11-26",
       "period_to": "2024-11-26"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 1,
      "priced": 1
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 1,
      "won": 1,
      "won_percent": "100.0",
      "implied_percent": "38.8",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Win to nil",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "38.8"
       }
      ]
     }
    }
   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": null,
  "headline_record_ids": [
   "n-e6d8acf35567feb8280d196e"
  ],
  "interval_low": null,
  "interval_high": null,
  "caption": "Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off) · 100 points per pick · 17 September 2024 · Calculated · picks settled under reconstruction method 1.1",
  "record_from": "2024-09-17",
  "record_to": "2024-11-26"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-6b65c4e271a7d626461b578a",
   "url": "/authors/william-maxwell/#pick-n-6b65c4e271a7d626461b578a",
   "match": "Inter v RB Leipzig",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2024-11-26T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -16546.1,
   "market_code": "win_to_nil",
   "author_said": "To win to nil: Inter to win to nil at 2.7",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "1-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 15750,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "2.7",
   "settled_price": "2.5750",
   "published_at": "2024-11-24T14:06:50.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T06:03:42.142Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-6b65c4e271a7d626461b578a",
    "quote_text": "Back Inter to win to nil @ 17/10 with LiveScore Bet",
    "fragment_from": 3253,
    "fragment_to": 3304,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250125002257id_/https://www.livescore.com/en/news/inter-rb-leipzig-predictions-champions-league-2024112414065069890/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "William Maxwell",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "ec6506ee4b19574d0506c802bc63abc3073ec3b459b958bbfc9bfc04bab4edb7",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2024-11-24T14:06:50.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-17T06:03:42.142Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:25:51.110Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Inter v RB Leipzig",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2024-11-26T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "1-0"
    },
    "market_label": "To win to nil",
    "outcome_label": "Inter to win to nil",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.7",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.5750",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 15750,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2024-11-24T14:06:50.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2024-11-24T14:06:50.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-17T06:03:42.142Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "To win to nil",
     "choice": "Inter to win to nil",
     "author_odds": "2.7",
     "market_key": "win_to_nil",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "To win to nil: Inter to win to nil at 2.7"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "1-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Inter 1-0 RB Leipzig."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "740ae3585dbd6d3681efca398f53a15bad3647be799159dc94fb1cdef9cb37cf",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "To win to nil",
      "choice": "Inter to win to nil",
      "decimal_odds": "2.7",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 17000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:25:51.088Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "2ecd7844fe249cdc72ceaa7dfc6c0c1577a0fd0723b956e09cf0163e2711f415",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "To win to nil",
      "choice": "Inter to win to nil",
      "decimal_odds": "2.5750",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 15750,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:25:51.110Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "William Maxwell",
     "publisher": "livescore.com",
     "forecaster": "William Maxwell",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.livescore.com/en/news/inter-rb-leipzig-predictions-champions-league-2024112414065069890/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Inter to win to nil"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-e6d8acf35567feb8280d196e",
   "url": "/authors/william-maxwell/#pick-n-e6d8acf35567feb8280d196e",
   "match": "AC Milan v Liverpool",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2024-09-17T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -18041.9,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score_and_result",
   "author_said": "Match result and both teams to score: Liverpool win, both teams to score: yes at 3.15",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "1-3",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 23000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "3.15",
   "settled_price": "3.3000",
   "published_at": "2024-09-15T18:27:49.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T12:55:12.732Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-e6d8acf35567feb8280d196e",
    "quote_text": "Back Liverpool to win and both teams to score at 43/20 with LiveScore Bet.",
    "fragment_from": 3562,
    "fragment_to": 3636,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20240916021244id_/https://www.livescore.com/en/news/ac-milan-liverpool-predictions-champions-league-2024091518274951138/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "William Maxwell",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "980730b2f82b2be3fa0e9c82d8226677ad5d40b425d0182caf08e269c625d4a4",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2024-09-15T18:27:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T12:55:12.732Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:03.842Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "AC Milan v Liverpool",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2024-09-17T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "1-3"
    },
    "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "Liverpool win, both teams to score: yes",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "3.15",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "3.3000",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 23000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2024-09-16T02:12:44.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2024-09-15T18:27:49.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2024-09-15T18:27:49.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-09T12:55:12.732Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2024-09-16T02:12:44.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 9 Oct 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
     "choice": "Liverpool win, both teams to score: yes",
     "author_odds": "3.15",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score_and_result",
     "choice_key": "2-yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Match result and both teams to score: Liverpool win, both teams to score: yes at 3.15"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "1-3",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was AC Milan 1-3 Liverpool."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "3c871348655e6321c2921606129ca43940c06465f14deb082f656cd334352f8d",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
      "choice": "Liverpool win, both teams to score: yes",
      "decimal_odds": "3.15",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 21500,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:03.836Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "27b53ba318c3ac65d008e94db3910d66371a2cd55b6e9b9dd2be11e00892e91d",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
      "choice": "Liverpool win, both teams to score: yes",
      "decimal_odds": "3.3000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 23000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:03.842Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "William Maxwell",
     "publisher": "livescore.com",
     "forecaster": "William Maxwell",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.livescore.com/en/news/ac-milan-liverpool-predictions-champions-league-2024091518274951138/",
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     "verdict_by": null,
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    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Liverpool win, both teams to score: yes"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-e18cc46741d52a833531a3ff",
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   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
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   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-e18cc46741d52a833531a3ff",
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    },
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    },
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    },
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     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
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   "quote": "Back Bayern Munich to win and Jamal Musiala to score anytime at 14/5 with LiveScore Bet.",
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  "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off."
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 "baseline": {
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 "data_revision": {
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   },
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 "counts_by_slice": {
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 "author_card": {
  "body": "Record tracked by Forecast Record since 9 October 2026 · 4 predictions · last change 17 October 2026",
  "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/william-maxwell/",
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 "data_changes": {
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