{
 "schema_name": "page",
 "schema_version": "2.0",
 "page_type": "history",
 "url": "/authors/will-reilly/picks/4/",
 "canonical": "/authors/will-reilly/picks/4/",
 "language": "en",
 "hreflang": [],
 "translations": [],
 "heading": "Will Reilly — football predictions, page 4 of 7",
 "description": "Predictions 41–60 of 120 by Will Reilly, with outcomes in words and links to the evidence.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Page 4 of 7 of the predictions by Will Reilly recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 41–60 of 120 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of 7 November 2026. Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.",
  "key_number": "120",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
 "indexable": false,
 "noindex_reason": "technical",
 "indexing_threshold": {
  "settled_count": 0,
  "date_count": 0,
  "required_settled": 0,
  "required_dates": 0
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:16:21.450Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "3cade90681918dd1e0402c774865eede225a25185e3cc81748622bb272891414",
 "dependency_group": "author:e-e6a02797a1faf388bb6524e8",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
  {
   "type_code": "WebPage",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "Organization",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  }
 ],
 "exports": [
  {
   "type_code": "json",
   "url": "/authors/will-reilly/picks/4/index.json",
   "bytes": null
  }
 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": false,
  "api": true,
  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": null,
 "restrictions": {
  "name_withdrawn": false,
  "tracker_number": null,
  "withdrawn_quotes": [],
  "removed_at": null,
  "cause": null,
  "suspended_records": [],
  "withdrawal_log_number": 0
 },
 "page_links": {
  "methodology": "/methodology/",
  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
 },
 "entity": {
  "id": "e-e6a02797a1faf388bb6524e8",
  "public_name": "Will Reilly",
  "tracker_number": 1626,
  "status": "active",
  "inactive_since": null,
  "verified_creator": false,
  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-09-29",
   "until": "2026-11-06"
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "medium": "website",
    "handle": null,
    "url": null,
    "link_confirmed": false,
    "show": true
   }
  ],
  "comment": null
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-fc3322ef694145237cc586cd",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "14:28 Luca Brillante (3/1)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-08-28T18:33:22.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T23:47:52.107Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-1565d4b46a25327d74e7d80d",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Best bet: Over 2.5 goals and Liverpool to win (21/20 bet builder)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-08-27T16:09:51.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:33:27.329Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-16674dffad52188f08ea1ca6",
   "url": "/authors/will-reilly/picks/4/#pick-n-16674dffad52188f08ea1ca6",
   "match": "Manchester United v Ipswich Town",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-08-30T15:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -753.1,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Manchester United",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "5-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 3600,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.3600",
   "published_at": "2026-08-27T16:09:51.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:33:27.329Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-16674dffad52188f08ea1ca6",
    "quote_text": "Man United (to beat Ipswich Town)",
    "fragment_from": 804,
    "fragment_to": 837,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://bettingnews.baroneracing.com/2026/08/premier-league-tips-4-98-1-acca-best-bets-for-the-weekend",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Will Reilly",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "d0ea4a962c4067b4e7a0dbe14a87a38cfdcb5ecade750646910f117f95d7db6b",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-08-27T16:09:51.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:33:27.329Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:56.002Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Manchester United v Ipswich Town",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-08-30T15:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "5-2"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "Manchester United",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.3484",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 3484,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-08-27T16:09:51.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-08-27T16:09:51.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:33:27.329Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Manchester United",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Manchester United"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "5-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Manchester United 5-2 Ipswich Town."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "457273b7d232a56459d5610de9caaed9851fb12660877662f2da4865ed0554de",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Manchester United",
      "decimal_odds": "1.3484",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 3484,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:56.002Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "692d3e89d7744c2fc3304a52d6ce6870e3611036ab772a5a7a81932ea2bf4328",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Manchester United",
      "decimal_odds": "1.3600",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 3600,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:56.007Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Will Reilly",
     "publisher": "bettingnews.baroneracing.com",
     "forecaster": "Will Reilly",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://bettingnews.baroneracing.com/2026/08/premier-league-tips-4-98-1-acca-best-bets-for-the-weekend",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Manchester United to win"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-76fca322a1d7c493a8200bc7",
   "url": "/authors/will-reilly/picks/4/#pick-n-76fca322a1d7c493a8200bc7",
   "match": "Liverpool v Nottingham Forest",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-08-29T11:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -781.1,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Liverpool",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "2-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.4400",
   "published_at": "2026-08-27T16:09:51.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:33:27.329Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-76fca322a1d7c493a8200bc7",
    "quote_text": "Liverpool (to beat Nottingham Forest)",
    "fragment_from": 730,
    "fragment_to": 767,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://bettingnews.baroneracing.com/2026/08/premier-league-tips-4-98-1-acca-best-bets-for-the-weekend",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Will Reilly",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "d0ea4a962c4067b4e7a0dbe14a87a38cfdcb5ecade750646910f117f95d7db6b",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-08-27T16:09:51.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:33:27.329Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:55.991Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Liverpool v Nottingham Forest",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-08-29T11:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "2-2"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "Liverpool",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.4578",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-08-27T16:09:51.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-08-27T16:09:51.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:33:27.329Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Liverpool",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Liverpool"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "2-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Liverpool 2-2 Nottingham Forest."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "f5b0a9cfabc2e64ba6cdcd84f1c6d33e2d20da91e65eb5247e4a2bc8f75e6634",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Liverpool",
      "decimal_odds": "1.4578",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:55.991Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "6d345c1d95550b66ba8ad2a25f747d1f74423d187f23321603943d528b3959dc",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Liverpool",
      "decimal_odds": "1.4400",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:55.996Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Will Reilly",
     "publisher": "bettingnews.baroneracing.com",
     "forecaster": "Will Reilly",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://bettingnews.baroneracing.com/2026/08/premier-league-tips-4-98-1-acca-best-bets-for-the-weekend",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Liverpool to win"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-aa6331e5ab346419c4a6da51",
   "url": "/authors/will-reilly/picks/4/#pick-n-aa6331e5ab346419c4a6da51",
   "match": "Aston Villa v Arsenal",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-08-31T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -725.6,
   "market_code": "win_to_nil",
   "author_said": "To win to nil: Arsenal to win to nil at 2.55",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "0-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 14000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "2.55",
   "settled_price": "2.4000",
   "published_at": "2026-08-27T16:09:51.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:33:27.329Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-aa6331e5ab346419c4a6da51",
    "quote_text": "Best bet: Arsenal to win to nil (31/20)",
    "fragment_from": 5660,
    "fragment_to": 5699,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://bettingnews.baroneracing.com/2026/08/premier-league-tips-4-98-1-acca-best-bets-for-the-weekend",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Will Reilly",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "d0ea4a962c4067b4e7a0dbe14a87a38cfdcb5ecade750646910f117f95d7db6b",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-08-27T16:09:51.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:33:27.329Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:55.985Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Aston Villa v Arsenal",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-08-31T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "0-1"
    },
    "market_label": "To win to nil",
    "outcome_label": "Arsenal to win to nil",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.55",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.4000",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 14000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-08-27T16:09:51.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-08-27T16:09:51.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:33:27.329Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "To win to nil",
     "choice": "Arsenal to win to nil",
     "author_odds": "2.55",
     "market_key": "win_to_nil",
     "choice_key": "2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "To win to nil: Arsenal to win to nil at 2.55"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Aston Villa 0-1 Arsenal."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "0bc25ea29c02aadda2f757cc4c363fb4463fd0355790f75a304fbef8cca68b00",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "To win to nil",
      "choice": "Arsenal to win to nil",
      "decimal_odds": "2.55",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 15500,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:55.980Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "bccc82754201e21ed008d52ab434db71a403ce5aef870b01577beced7224d282",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "To win to nil",
      "choice": "Arsenal to win to nil",
      "decimal_odds": "2.4000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 14000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:55.985Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Will Reilly",
     "publisher": "bettingnews.baroneracing.com",
     "forecaster": "Will Reilly",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://bettingnews.baroneracing.com/2026/08/premier-league-tips-4-98-1-acca-best-bets-for-the-weekend",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Arsenal to win to nil"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-f0435876fedbb707dcc19cc4",
   "url": "/authors/will-reilly/picks/4/#pick-n-f0435876fedbb707dcc19cc4",
   "match": "Aston Villa v Arsenal",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-08-31T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -725.6,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Arsenal",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "0-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 4800,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.4800",
   "published_at": "2026-08-27T16:09:51.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:33:27.329Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-f0435876fedbb707dcc19cc4",
    "quote_text": "Arsenal (to beat Aston Villa)",
    "fragment_from": 839,
    "fragment_to": 868,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://bettingnews.baroneracing.com/2026/08/premier-league-tips-4-98-1-acca-best-bets-for-the-weekend",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Will Reilly",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "d0ea4a962c4067b4e7a0dbe14a87a38cfdcb5ecade750646910f117f95d7db6b",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-08-27T16:09:51.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:33:27.329Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:56.013Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Aston Villa v Arsenal",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-08-31T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "0-1"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "Arsenal",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.4505",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 4505,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-08-27T16:09:51.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-08-27T16:09:51.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:33:27.329Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Arsenal",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Arsenal"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Aston Villa 0-1 Arsenal."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "923e9503335fc8e51654ab9f1e19d2f16a01c9e3493ceec30ab42ebc57659e1a",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Arsenal",
      "decimal_odds": "1.4505",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 4505,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:56.013Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "d0cc93513fb6b623c6347c409a3753f62728fc8fda20a4905612fd715ff5ef29",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Arsenal",
      "decimal_odds": "1.4800",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 4800,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:56.018Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Will Reilly",
     "publisher": "bettingnews.baroneracing.com",
     "forecaster": "Will Reilly",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://bettingnews.baroneracing.com/2026/08/premier-league-tips-4-98-1-acca-best-bets-for-the-weekend",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Arsenal to win"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-f6cb2721d4942efe15056c2f",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Best bet: Coventry to win (9/10)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-08-27T16:09:51.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:33:27.329Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-f8687ec9e616de39f1d12193",
   "url": "/authors/will-reilly/picks/4/#pick-n-f8687ec9e616de39f1d12193",
   "match": "Manchester United v Ipswich Town",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-08-30T15:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -753.1,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.6",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "5-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 4450,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.6",
   "settled_price": "1.4450",
   "published_at": "2026-08-27T16:09:51.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:33:27.329Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-f8687ec9e616de39f1d12193",
    "quote_text": "Best bet: Over 2.5 goals looks a likely enough option in the match (3/5)",
    "fragment_from": 3900,
    "fragment_to": 3972,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://bettingnews.baroneracing.com/2026/08/premier-league-tips-4-98-1-acca-best-bets-for-the-weekend",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Will Reilly",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "d0ea4a962c4067b4e7a0dbe14a87a38cfdcb5ecade750646910f117f95d7db6b",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-08-27T16:09:51.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:33:27.329Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:55.973Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Manchester United v Ipswich Town",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-08-30T15:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "5-2"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 2.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.6",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.4450",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 4450,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-08-27T16:09:51.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-08-27T16:09:51.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:33:27.329Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 2.5",
     "author_odds": "1.6",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.6"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "5-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Manchester United 5-2 Ipswich Town."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "75935638ece3a9f4ef5b2657cb2805b489a9bf25fa4614c9d61a3abb911d6182",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.6",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 6000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:55.968Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "07c92ba51f961bd3c037543dee66e8987ded08da7ff4b1a27a5552e133ab0dfd",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.4450",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 4450,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:55.973Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Will Reilly",
     "publisher": "bettingnews.baroneracing.com",
     "forecaster": "Will Reilly",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://bettingnews.baroneracing.com/2026/08/premier-league-tips-4-98-1-acca-best-bets-for-the-weekend",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-2f1d9c6d6df32c463b4a743c",
   "url": "/authors/will-reilly/picks/4/#pick-n-2f1d9c6d6df32c463b4a743c",
   "match": "Paris Saint-Germain v Arsenal",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-05-30T16:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -2960.6,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Paris Saint-Germain at 2.25",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "2.25",
   "settled_price": "2.4000",
   "published_at": "2026-05-30T12:43:18.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:33:28.944Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-2f1d9c6d6df32c463b4a743c",
    "quote_text": "Verdict: PSG (5/4)",
    "fragment_from": 7024,
    "fragment_to": 7042,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://bettingnews.baroneracing.com/2026/05/psg-vs-arsenal-preview-champions-league-final-prediction-team-news",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Will Reilly",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "80ef32949606e180da0369e8593d192042940e664d0cd02a2084404ecc9c1d98",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-05-30T12:43:18.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:33:28.944Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:56.030Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Paris Saint-Germain v Arsenal",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2026-05-30T16:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "1-1"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "Paris Saint-Germain",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.25",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.4000",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-05-30T12:43:18.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-05-30T12:43:18.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:33:28.944Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Paris Saint-Germain",
     "author_odds": "2.25",
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Paris Saint-Germain at 2.25"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "1-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Paris Saint-Germain 1-1 Arsenal."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "349af0073ceede8616e51773305c631faa42ca254032e9c3b6837844c0835403",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Paris Saint-Germain",
      "decimal_odds": "2.25",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:56.024Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "5e95b3a9f6af107668c61b4a5273f791b294de967a9e67d190b11613fc5fc36f",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Paris Saint-Germain",
      "decimal_odds": "2.4000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:56.030Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Will Reilly",
     "publisher": "bettingnews.baroneracing.com",
     "forecaster": "Will Reilly",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://bettingnews.baroneracing.com/2026/05/psg-vs-arsenal-preview-champions-league-final-prediction-team-news",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Paris Saint-Germain to win"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-65f9a7e5932b25b0119a9beb",
   "url": "/authors/will-reilly/picks/4/#pick-n-65f9a7e5932b25b0119a9beb",
   "match": "Paris Saint-Germain v Arsenal",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-05-30T16:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -2960.6,
   "market_code": "player_to_score",
   "author_said": "Player to score: Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to score at 3.25",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "disputed_reading",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-05-30T12:43:18.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:33:28.944Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-65f9a7e5932b25b0119a9beb",
    "quote_text": "Khvicha Kvaratskhelia @ 9/4 anytime.",
    "fragment_from": 7270,
    "fragment_to": 7306,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://bettingnews.baroneracing.com/2026/05/psg-vs-arsenal-preview-champions-league-final-prediction-team-news",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Will Reilly",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "80ef32949606e180da0369e8593d192042940e664d0cd02a2084404ecc9c1d98",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-05-30T12:43:18.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:33:28.944Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": "disputed_reading",
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Paris Saint-Germain v Arsenal",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2026-05-30T16:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": null
    },
    "market_label": "Player to score",
    "outcome_label": "Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to score",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "3.25",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-05-30T12:43:18.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-05-30T12:43:18.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:33:28.944Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Player to score",
     "choice": "Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to score",
     "author_odds": "3.25",
     "market_key": "player_to_score",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "player_goals",
     "in_words": "Player to score: Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to score at 3.25"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "bdc8a9a60ae9070654a1938ff7d458ec423e22afeac03cd2770773e1bb9d380c",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Player to score",
      "choice": "Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to score",
      "decimal_odds": "3.25",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:00.142Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Will Reilly",
     "publisher": "bettingnews.baroneracing.com",
     "forecaster": "Will Reilly",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://bettingnews.baroneracing.com/2026/05/psg-vs-arsenal-preview-champions-league-final-prediction-team-news",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to score"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-b4a86117a859398680cd6b23",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Paris Saint-Germain v Arsenal",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-05-30T16:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -2960.6,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Paris Saint-Germain 1-0 Arsenal",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-1",
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-05-30T12:43:18.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:33:28.944Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-7b1fb3a4b33cabbb2a4e683f",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Goalscorer Bet: Viktor Gyokeres – 4/1 First Goal scorer",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-04-30T10:47:51.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:33:33.250Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-ba2a2386ad1f6e1adab326fd",
   "url": "/authors/will-reilly/picks/4/#pick-n-ba2a2386ad1f6e1adab326fd",
   "match": "Arsenal v Fulham",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-05-02T16:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -3632.1,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score_and_result",
   "author_said": "Match result and both teams to score: Arsenal win, both teams to score: yes at 3.25",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "3-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "3.25",
   "settled_price": "3.1750",
   "published_at": "2026-04-30T10:47:51.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:33:33.250Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-ba2a2386ad1f6e1adab326fd",
    "quote_text": "Both Teams to Score & Arsenal Win (9/4)",
    "fragment_from": 5501,
    "fragment_to": 5540,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://bettingnews.baroneracing.com/2026/04/premier-league-arsenal-vs-fulham-preview-injury-news-stats-prediction-betting-tips",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Will Reilly",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "41016aef2ec5d684635fc0dead031cfd581a68a16e5a058029ef263aee00cc8e",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-04-30T10:47:51.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:33:33.250Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:56.071Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Arsenal v Fulham",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-05-02T16:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "3-0"
    },
    "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "Arsenal win, both teams to score: yes",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "3.25",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "3.1750",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-04-30T10:47:51.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-04-30T10:47:51.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:33:33.250Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
     "choice": "Arsenal win, both teams to score: yes",
     "author_odds": "3.25",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score_and_result",
     "choice_key": "1-yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Match result and both teams to score: Arsenal win, both teams to score: yes at 3.25"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "3-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Arsenal 3-0 Fulham."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "20c82d669f6dd1d7816076185f2057dfa8418b54f8ec55840dd9b1fd9a04d096",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
      "choice": "Arsenal win, both teams to score: yes",
      "decimal_odds": "3.25",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:56.065Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "db26289e61491baae2749eb2917033eb9974a6768d8ad448dafee2d659a42621",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
      "choice": "Arsenal win, both teams to score: yes",
      "decimal_odds": "3.1750",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:56.071Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Will Reilly",
     "publisher": "bettingnews.baroneracing.com",
     "forecaster": "Will Reilly",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://bettingnews.baroneracing.com/2026/04/premier-league-arsenal-vs-fulham-preview-injury-news-stats-prediction-betting-tips",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Arsenal win, both teams to score: yes"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-ba4e1eabcf50315280a92ba3",
   "url": "/authors/will-reilly/picks/4/#pick-n-ba4e1eabcf50315280a92ba3",
   "match": "Arsenal v Fulham",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-05-02T16:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -3632.1,
   "market_code": "player_to_score",
   "author_said": "Player to score at 2.38",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "disputed_reading",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-04-30T10:47:51.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:33:33.250Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-ba4e1eabcf50315280a92ba3",
    "quote_text": "or 11/8 Anytime.",
    "fragment_from": 5598,
    "fragment_to": 5614,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://bettingnews.baroneracing.com/2026/04/premier-league-arsenal-vs-fulham-preview-injury-news-stats-prediction-betting-tips",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Will Reilly",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "41016aef2ec5d684635fc0dead031cfd581a68a16e5a058029ef263aee00cc8e",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-04-30T10:47:51.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:33:33.250Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": "disputed_reading",
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Arsenal v Fulham",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-05-02T16:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": null
    },
    "market_label": "Player to score",
    "outcome_label": "",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.375",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-04-30T10:47:51.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-04-30T10:47:51.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:33:33.250Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Player to score",
     "choice": "",
     "author_odds": "2.375",
     "market_key": "player_to_score",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "player_goals",
     "in_words": "Player to score at 2.38"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "4705f66151f17476cfd0ee80dc6205c68e0c369260fb1dae738d0fd77356d516",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Player to score",
      "choice": "",
      "decimal_odds": "2.375",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:03.855Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Will Reilly",
     "publisher": "bettingnews.baroneracing.com",
     "forecaster": "Will Reilly",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://bettingnews.baroneracing.com/2026/04/premier-league-arsenal-vs-fulham-preview-injury-news-stats-prediction-betting-tips",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Player to score"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-c85fe949b93105599a09f66b",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Viktor Gyökeres as a first or anytime goalscorer.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-04-30T10:47:51.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:33:33.250Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-ed55b78dc820aa72804f5a49",
   "url": "/authors/will-reilly/picks/4/#pick-n-ed55b78dc820aa72804f5a49",
   "match": "Arsenal v Fulham",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-05-02T16:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -3632.1,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Arsenal at 1.44",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "3-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 4500,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.44",
   "settled_price": "1.4500",
   "published_at": "2026-04-30T10:47:51.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:33:33.250Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-ed55b78dc820aa72804f5a49",
    "quote_text": "Match Betting: Arsenal (4/9)",
    "fragment_from": 5471,
    "fragment_to": 5499,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://bettingnews.baroneracing.com/2026/04/premier-league-arsenal-vs-fulham-preview-injury-news-stats-prediction-betting-tips",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Will Reilly",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "41016aef2ec5d684635fc0dead031cfd581a68a16e5a058029ef263aee00cc8e",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-04-30T10:47:51.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:33:33.250Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:56.054Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Arsenal v Fulham",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-05-02T16:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "3-0"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "Arsenal",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.44",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.4505",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 4505,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-04-30T10:47:51.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-04-30T10:47:51.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:33:33.250Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Arsenal",
     "author_odds": "1.44",
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Arsenal at 1.44"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "3-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Arsenal 3-0 Fulham."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "37dc867ae1fc5e4aedc25d65406342e33a6f4a5b63bc59beb12816c6160e6c23",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Arsenal",
      "decimal_odds": "1.44",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 4400,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:56.048Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "2dfbb5cf962a9e25abcf17fb9a8f3c0c2fc6b9eac4c87c412e6a320ab1a49184",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Arsenal",
      "decimal_odds": "1.4505",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 4505,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:56.054Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "7e05668c1f3f7af6c5c6ee5d41bad4bc2e41d8f7756112b172ae43f3100a6bca",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Arsenal",
      "decimal_odds": "1.4500",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 4500,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:56.060Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Will Reilly",
     "publisher": "bettingnews.baroneracing.com",
     "forecaster": "Will Reilly",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://bettingnews.baroneracing.com/2026/04/premier-league-arsenal-vs-fulham-preview-injury-news-stats-prediction-betting-tips",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Arsenal to win"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-1f2bf4238df0950081d1dbfb",
   "url": "/authors/will-reilly/picks/4/#pick-n-1f2bf4238df0950081d1dbfb",
   "match": "West Ham United v Arsenal",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-05-10T15:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -3441.2,
   "market_code": "player_to_score",
   "author_said": "Player to score: Gabriel Magalhães to score at 7",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_author_price",
   "series_short": "author's odds, restored",
   "author_price": "7",
   "settled_price": "7",
   "published_at": "2026-05-08T14:03:11.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:44:34.302Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-1f2bf4238df0950081d1dbfb",
    "quote_text": "Goalscorer Bet: Gabriel Magalhães anytime goalscorer (6/1)",
    "fragment_from": 5585,
    "fragment_to": 5643,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20260509023014id_/https://bettingnews.baroneracing.com/2026/05/premier-league-west-ham-v-arsenal-preview-injury-news-stats-prediction-betting-tips",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Will Reilly",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "d034b389a4130089ae3ef16eb380e018103bbc24ccb4a9e84c636c41954dd4ae",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-05-08T14:03:11.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:44:34.302Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:41.614Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "West Ham United v Arsenal",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-05-10T15:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "0-1"
    },
    "market_label": "Player to score",
    "outcome_label": "Gabriel Magalhães to score",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "7",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2026-05-09T02:30:14.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-05-08T14:03:11.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-05-08T14:03:11.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:44:34.302Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2026-05-09T02:30:14.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 1 Oct 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Player to score",
     "choice": "Gabriel Magalhães to score",
     "author_odds": "7",
     "market_key": "player_to_score",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "player_goals",
     "in_words": "Player to score: Gabriel Magalhães to score at 7"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was West Ham United 0-1 Arsenal."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "f00192d2aff206bad79d9fdfff9fb5b8b595cacbe720e523c6f668a7dc4bcda1",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Player to score",
      "choice": "Gabriel Magalhães to score",
      "decimal_odds": "7",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:41.614Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Will Reilly",
     "publisher": "bettingnews.baroneracing.com",
     "forecaster": "Will Reilly",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://bettingnews.baroneracing.com/2026/05/premier-league-west-ham-v-arsenal-preview-injury-news-stats-prediction-betting-tips",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Gabriel Magalhães to score"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-52227851043f1ac81a1ca8b3",
   "url": "/authors/will-reilly/picks/4/#pick-n-52227851043f1ac81a1ca8b3",
   "match": "West Ham United v Arsenal",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-05-10T15:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -3441.2,
   "market_code": "player_to_score",
   "author_said": "Player to score at 2.2",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_author_price",
   "series_short": "author's odds, restored",
   "author_price": "2.2",
   "settled_price": "2.2",
   "published_at": "2026-05-08T14:03:11.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:44:34.302Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-52227851043f1ac81a1ca8b3",
    "quote_text": "Goalscorer Bet: Viktor Gyokeres – 4/1 First Goal scorer or 6/5 Anytime.",
    "fragment_from": 5512,
    "fragment_to": 5583,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20260509023014id_/https://bettingnews.baroneracing.com/2026/05/premier-league-west-ham-v-arsenal-preview-injury-news-stats-prediction-betting-tips",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Will Reilly",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "d034b389a4130089ae3ef16eb380e018103bbc24ccb4a9e84c636c41954dd4ae",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-05-08T14:03:11.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:44:34.302Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:41.605Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "West Ham United v Arsenal",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-05-10T15:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "0-1"
    },
    "market_label": "Player to score",
    "outcome_label": "",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.2",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2026-05-09T02:30:14.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-05-08T14:03:11.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-05-08T14:03:11.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:44:34.302Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2026-05-09T02:30:14.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 1 Oct 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Player to score",
     "choice": "",
     "author_odds": "2.2",
     "market_key": "player_to_score",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "player_goals",
     "in_words": "Player to score at 2.2"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was West Ham United 0-1 Arsenal."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "e976c2c89264abd35e61ed86abdbd7bf8a33e3ef81ea136726cd52087c422629",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Player to score",
      "choice": "",
      "decimal_odds": "2.2",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:41.605Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Will Reilly",
     "publisher": "bettingnews.baroneracing.com",
     "forecaster": "Will Reilly",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://bettingnews.baroneracing.com/2026/05/premier-league-west-ham-v-arsenal-preview-injury-news-stats-prediction-betting-tips",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Player to score"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-5e4500b909c27042d0b98cb7",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Goalscorer Bet: Viktor Gyokeres – 4/1 First Goal scorer or 6/5 Anytime.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-05-08T14:03:11.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:44:34.302Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-a03c696a60d254fe57876330",
   "url": "/authors/will-reilly/picks/4/#pick-n-a03c696a60d254fe57876330",
   "match": "West Ham United v Arsenal",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-05-10T15:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -3441.2,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.67",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.67",
   "settled_price": "1.8800",
   "published_at": "2026-05-08T14:03:11.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-01T00:44:34.302Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-a03c696a60d254fe57876330",
    "quote_text": "Over 2.5 Goals: (4/6)",
    "fragment_from": 5489,
    "fragment_to": 5510,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20260509023014id_/https://bettingnews.baroneracing.com/2026/05/premier-league-west-ham-v-arsenal-preview-injury-news-stats-prediction-betting-tips",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Will Reilly",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "d034b389a4130089ae3ef16eb380e018103bbc24ccb4a9e84c636c41954dd4ae",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-05-08T14:03:11.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:44:34.302Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:41.587Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "West Ham United v Arsenal",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-05-10T15:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "0-1"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 2.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.67",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.8621",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
    "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2026-05-09T02:30:14.000Z",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-05-08T14:03:11.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-05-08T14:03:11.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-01T00:44:34.302Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": "2026-05-09T02:30:14.000Z",
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 1 Oct 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 2.5",
     "author_odds": "1.67",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.67"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was West Ham United 0-1 Arsenal."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "8c48a8b54cc938d54c2f7efc42f242f796f5a442b91c0747b59426bab165b597",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.67",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:41.582Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "6291cc08558aef44ad039034a5530cbb353462462244d27e988867e57d39da5e",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.8621",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:41.587Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "df8e9f3bd8c0a7035b003f547397f769c964708fa992e861d2e606a422589653",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.8800",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:41.594Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Will Reilly",
     "publisher": "bettingnews.baroneracing.com",
     "forecaster": "Will Reilly",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://bettingnews.baroneracing.com/2026/05/premier-league-west-ham-v-arsenal-preview-injury-news-stats-prediction-betting-tips",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)"
   }
  }
 ],
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 120,
  "pages": 7,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/will-reilly/",
   "/authors/will-reilly/picks/2/",
   "/authors/will-reilly/picks/3/",
   "/authors/will-reilly/picks/4/",
   "/authors/will-reilly/picks/5/",
   "/authors/will-reilly/picks/6/",
   "/authors/will-reilly/picks/7/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 23,
   "pending": 0,
   "excluded": 97
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 4,
  "first": 41,
  "last": 60,
  "author_url": "/authors/will-reilly/",
  "current": false
 },
 "entity_id": "history:/authors/will-reilly/picks/4/",
 "source_revision": 46
}
