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 "heading": "vionescu1948: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "4 settled picks by vionescu1948 recorded before kick-off across 3 matches, 21 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026: won 1 of 4 at our recorded market prices.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 4 settled live picks by vionescu1948 before kick-off across 3 matches between 21 and 24 October 2026. Won 1 of 4 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 55 predictions we hold for vionescu1948, 15 are linked to matches: 15 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "key_number": "4",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot",
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  "public_name": "vionescu1948",
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    "within": 4,
    "median_difference_percent": "0.9",
    "not_comparable": 0,
    "disputed": 0,
    "status": "calculated"
   }
  ],
  "examples": [],
  "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way."
 },
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "person",
  "entity_words": "Individual author",
  "source": {
   "name": "pontul-zilei.com",
   "url": "https://www.pontul-zilei.com/ponturi-pariuri/manchester-united-vs-aston-villa-ponturi-pariuri-premier-league-8-noiembrie-2026/"
  },
  "observed_from": "2026-10-18",
  "observed_to": "2026-11-07",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "state": "settled",
  "series_code": "market_price",
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  "restored": false,
  "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
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  "settled_picks": 4,
  "matches": 3,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": -24737,
  "staked_hundredths": 40000,
  "return_percent": "-61.84",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2026-10-21",
  "period_to": "2026-10-24",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "short_history": true,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 4 settled live picks by vionescu1948 before kick-off across 3 matches between 21 and 24 October 2026. Won 1 of 4 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 55 predictions we hold for vionescu1948, 15 are linked to matches: 15 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled live picks",
    "value": "4",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "3",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "−247.37 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "value": "−61.8%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": null
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": {
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    "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.",
    "settled_picks": 4,
    "matches": 3,
    "match_dates": 3,
    "period_from": "2026-10-21",
    "period_to": "2026-10-24",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": -24737,
    "low": {
     "date": "2026-10-24",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -24737,
     "after_picks": 4
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2026-10-21",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 5263,
     "after_picks": 1
    },
    "line_drawn": false,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2026-10-21",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 5263,
      "n": 1,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-22",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -4737,
      "n": 2,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-24",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -24737,
      "n": 4,
      "picks": 2
     }
    ]
   },
   "archived": null
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 4 settled live picks by vionescu1948 before kick-off across 3 matches between 21 and 24 October 2026. Won 1 of 4 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 55 predictions we hold for vionescu1948, 15 are linked to matches: 15 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/vionescu1948/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "2.2"
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 55,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 40,
   "proven_predictions": 15,
   "proven_checked": 13,
   "proven_measured": 4,
   "proven_dates": 8,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 15,
     "checked": 13,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 4,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 3,
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      "staked_hundredths": 40000,
      "return_percent": "-61.84",
      "interval_low": null,
      "interval_high": null,
      "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval",
      "period_from": "2026-10-21",
      "period_to": "2026-10-24",
      "method_version": "2.2",
      "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0",
      "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.0",
      "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 2
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "author_price",
       "picks": 4,
       "return_main_percent": "-61.84",
       "return_other_percent": "-61.75",
       "settled_excluding_void": 4,
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       "net_other_points_hundredths": -24700,
       "period_from": "2026-10-21",
       "period_to": "2026-10-24"
      },
      {
       "price": "Closing price",
       "series_code": "closing_live",
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      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 13,
      "priced": 4
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 4,
      "won": 1,
      "won_percent": "25.0",
      "implied_percent": "63.5",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Both teams to score",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 3,
        "implied_percent": "65.0"
       },
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "59.0"
       }
      ]
     },
     "reviewed_after": {
      "predictions": 8,
      "right": 7,
      "wrong": 1,
      "other": 0
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
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      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
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      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
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      "outcome_checked": 0,
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      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
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      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
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   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": null,
  "headline_record_ids": [
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   "n-252eb00a46f065b7903b4a74",
   "n-e38b2063eea16a98ca236e64",
   "n-e9cc276689c6c6a54d2d3f6d"
  ],
  "interval_low": null,
  "interval_high": null,
  "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 21–24 October 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2",
  "record_from": "2026-10-18",
  "record_to": "2026-11-07"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-e9cc276689c6c6a54d2d3f6d",
   "url": "/authors/vionescu1948/picks/2/#pick-n-e9cc276689c6c6a54d2d3f6d",
   "match": "Chelsea v Tottenham Hotspur",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/chelsea-vs-tottenham-hotspur-2026-10-24/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-24T16:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 32.6,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score",
   "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.52",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-2",
   "reason": null,
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   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": "1.52",
   "settled_price": "1.5128",
   "published_at": "2026-10-23T07:45:31.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T07:52:51.367Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "yes",
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    "result": "Lost",
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    "picked_favourite": true
   },
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-e9cc276689c6c6a54d2d3f6d",
    "quote_text": "GG – Cotă 1,52 la Betano",
    "fragment_from": 3377,
    "fragment_to": 3401,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
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     "url": "https://www.pontul-zilei.com/ponturi-pariuri/chelsea-vs-tottenham-ponturi-pariuri-premier-league-24-octombrie-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "vionescu1948",
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    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-23T07:45:31.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-23T07:52:51.367Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-10-24T09:36:22.989Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
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     "display_name": "Chelsea — Tottenham Hotspur",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-24T16:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/chelsea-vs-tottenham-hotspur-2026-10-24/",
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     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
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    "odds_set": {
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    },
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    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
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    "dates": {
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     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-23T07:45:31.000Z",
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     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
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     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
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    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
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     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.52"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
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     "scoreline": "0-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
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     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Chelsea 0-2 Tottenham Hotspur."
    },
    "settlements": [
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      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "yes",
      "decimal_odds": "1.52",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
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      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-24T09:36:22.542Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
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     },
     {
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      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "yes",
      "decimal_odds": "1.5128",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
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      "executed_at": "2026-10-24T09:36:22.989Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "vionescu1948",
     "publisher": "Pontul-zilei.com",
     "forecaster": "vionescu1948",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.pontul-zilei.com/ponturi-pariuri/chelsea-vs-tottenham-ponturi-pariuri-premier-league-24-octombrie-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
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    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-e38b2063eea16a98ca236e64",
   "url": "/authors/vionescu1948/picks/2/#pick-n-e38b2063eea16a98ca236e64",
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   "kickoff": "2026-10-24T16:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 32.6,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Chelsea at 1.72",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-2",
   "reason": null,
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   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": "1.72",
   "settled_price": "1.6945",
   "published_at": "2026-10-23T07:45:31.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T07:52:51.367Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
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    "picked_favourite": true
   },
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   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-e38b2063eea16a98ca236e64",
    "quote_text": "Victorie Chelsea – Cotă 1,72 la Betano",
    "fragment_from": 3337,
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    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
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     "url": "https://www.pontul-zilei.com/ponturi-pariuri/chelsea-vs-tottenham-ponturi-pariuri-premier-league-24-octombrie-2026/",
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     "url": "/football/matches/chelsea-vs-tottenham-hotspur-2026-10-24/",
     "scoreline": "0-2",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "Chelsea",
    "odds_set": {
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     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
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    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
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    "dates": {
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    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
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    "author_claim": {
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     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Chelsea at 1.72"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
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   "published_at": "2026-10-21T12:10:25.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-21T12:12:52.992Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-c93b68c7b9bfaf9439580091",
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   "match_url": null,
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   "competition": null,
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Kane dă 2+ șuturi pe poartă – Cotă 2,25 la Betano",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
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   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-20T10:17:36.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T10:22:58.831Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
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  },
  {
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   "match_url": null,
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   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Bayern dă mai multe șuturi pe poartă – Cotă 1,72 la Betano",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
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   "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T10:22:58.831Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
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  },
  {
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   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Victorie U și peste 2,5 goluri – Cotă 2,9 la Betano",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
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   "published_at": "2026-10-18T20:23:24.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-18T20:32:54.109Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
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  },
  {
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   "quote": "U dă peste 4,5 șuturi pe poartă – Cotă 1,6 la Betano",
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   "quote": "Pont principal: Victorie U Cluj – Cotă 1,82 la Betano",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "reason_code": "not_supported",
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  "before_kickoff": 15,
  "after_kickoff": 0,
  "at_least_2h": 15,
  "share_2h_plus": 100.0,
  "median_hours": 32.8,
  "min_hours": 28.3,
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  "settled_picks_all": 4,
  "excluded": {
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