{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "author", "url": "/authors/victor-l-abajo/", "canonical": "/authors/victor-l-abajo/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Víctor L. Abajo: Football Prediction Record", "description": "Verified record: 38 settled picks by Víctor L. Abajo recorded before kick-off across 23 matches, 11 Oct 2026 – 4 Nov 2026.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Forecast Record recorded 38 settled live picks by Víctor L. Abajo before kick-off across 23 matches between 11 October and 4 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +11.9% on the total staked. Of the 135 predictions we hold for Víctor L. Abajo, 83 are linked to matches: 78 were recorded by us before kick-off and 5 first found after the match. 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They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "author" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "entity": { "id": "e-ce71e673aebfdf9f91b5a2d8", "public_name": "Víctor L. 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"profit_hundredths": 21191, "outcome_id": "ish-667e4f8870de5708479185c4" }, { "at": "2026-11-03T22:07:43.384Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1011191, "profit_hundredths": 11191, "outcome_id": "ish-494644a3cbb171cb80e9f49b" }, { "at": "2026-11-03T22:07:43.434Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1001191, "profit_hundredths": 1191, "outcome_id": "ish-b1d55c0e8ae0d136cdf8fc10" }, { "at": "2026-11-03T22:07:43.456Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1007179, "profit_hundredths": 7179, "outcome_id": "ish-3ff15e34c7f006c52f26b251" }, { "at": "2026-11-04T20:48:14.226Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 997179, "profit_hundredths": -2821, "outcome_id": "ish-550f09ec78e4e4cb6df968fb" }, { "at": "2026-11-04T20:48:14.268Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 987179, "profit_hundredths": -12821, "outcome_id": "ish-796423229d500a80d556c151" }, { "at": "2026-11-04T22:05:22.122Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 994679, "profit_hundredths": -5321, "outcome_id": "ish-ced8f8f45efce56ebb800855" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T01:10:32.404Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 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Abajo · Exact score 1–1 · Getafe v Rayo Vallecano · 19 Oct 2026 · Tracked by Forecast Record", "csv_url": null, "embed": "\"Víctor", "neighbours": [], "window_words": "On show until 17 Jan 2027", "measure_words": null, "amount_words": null, "interval_words": null, "title_tier": "dated_record", "status": "active", "status_reason": null, "event_at": "2026-10-19", "evidence_through": "2026-10-19", "earned_at": "2026-10-19", "published_at": "2026-10-20", "visible_until": "2027-01-17", "badge_label": "Exact score 1–1 · 19 Oct", "scope_words": null, "title_id": "zk-156cb8848bd9f01e7bb3", "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-9db6b93f3e7041b9e3366663", "data": "2026-10-19", "match": "Getafe v Rayo Vallecano", "said_text": "Correct score: Getafe 1-1 Rayo Vallecano at 5.5", "outcome_label": "score right · result right", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "8 other tipsters and sources named an exact score on this match, 4 right", "url": "/authors/victor-l-abajo/picks/3/#pick-n-9db6b93f3e7041b9e3366663" } ], "evidence_total": 1, "badge": { "variants": [ { "size": "l", "theme": "light", "width": 1146, "height": 40, "url": "/b/e-ce71e673aebfdf9f91b5a2d8/cs-10-z-156cb8848b-event-l-light.svg" }, { "size": "l", "theme": "dark", "width": 1146, "height": 40, "url": "/b/e-ce71e673aebfdf9f91b5a2d8/cs-10-z-156cb8848b-event-l-dark.svg" }, { "size": "m", "theme": "light", "width": 843, "height": 28, "url": "/b/e-ce71e673aebfdf9f91b5a2d8/cs-10-z-156cb8848b-event-m-light.svg" }, { "size": "m", "theme": "dark", "width": 843, "height": 28, "url": "/b/e-ce71e673aebfdf9f91b5a2d8/cs-10-z-156cb8848b-event-m-dark.svg" }, { "size": "s", "theme": "light", "width": 658, "height": 20, "url": "/b/e-ce71e673aebfdf9f91b5a2d8/cs-10-z-156cb8848b-event-s-light.svg" }, { "size": "s", "theme": "dark", "width": 658, "height": 20, "url": "/b/e-ce71e673aebfdf9f91b5a2d8/cs-10-z-156cb8848b-event-s-dark.svg" } ], "card_url": "/b/e-ce71e673aebfdf9f91b5a2d8/cs-10-z-156cb8848b-event-card.svg" }, "profile_anchor": "title-156cb8848bd9", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 0, "unpriced": 1, "probability": null, "one_in": null, "words": "No recorded prices for these picks, so the chance cannot be measured." }, "embed_anchor": "title-exact-score-called-exact-score-called-2" } ], "publication_mode": "top20", "empty_reason": null, "rules_version": "catalog-1", "insufficient": [], "badges_on_page": 0, "header_titles": [ { "title_id": "zk-45f6a474204ee1dd795c", "code_name": "CS-10", "title_tier": "dated_record", "badge_label": "Exact score 2–1 · 4 Nov", "body": "Exact score 2–1 · Borussia Dortmund v Real Betis · 4 Nov 2026", "tier": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-45f6a474204e", "event_at": "2026-11-04", "url": "/titles/cs-10-exact-score-called/" }, { "title_id": "zk-a63c0e1b8935527c0a57", "code_name": "CS-10", "title_tier": "dated_record", "badge_label": "Exact score 2–1 · 2 Nov", "body": "Exact score 2–1 · Deportivo de A Coruña v Osasuna · 2 Nov 2026", "tier": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-a63c0e1b8935", "event_at": "2026-11-02", "url": "/titles/cs-10-exact-score-called/" }, { "title_id": "zk-156cb8848bd9f01e7bb3", "code_name": "CS-10", "title_tier": "dated_record", "badge_label": "Exact score 1–1 · 19 Oct", "body": "Exact score 1–1 · Getafe v Rayo Vallecano · 19 Oct 2026", "tier": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-156cb8848bd9", "event_at": "2026-10-19", "url": "/titles/cs-10-exact-score-called/" } ], "record_origin": [], "recent_record": [ { "code_name": "CS-10", "body": "Exact score 2–1 · Borussia Dortmund v Real Betis · 4 Nov 2026", "event_at": "2026-11-04", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-45f6a474204e" }, { "code_name": "CS-10", "body": "Exact score 2–1 · Deportivo de A Coruña v Osasuna · 2 Nov 2026", "event_at": "2026-11-02", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-a63c0e1b8935" }, { "code_name": "CS-10", "body": "Exact score 1–1 · Getafe v Rayo Vallecano · 19 Oct 2026", "event_at": "2026-10-19", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-156cb8848bd9" } ], "record_details": [], "history": [] }, "retro": null, "late": null, "price_vs_market": { "contract_version": "1", "threshold_percent": "5", "rows": [ { "basis": "snapshot", "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)", "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick", "compared": 40, "above": 5, "above_share_percent": "12.5", "below": 0, "within": 35, "median_difference_percent": "-0.4", "not_comparable": 0, "disputed": 0, "status": "calculated" } ], "examples": [ { "url": "/authors/victor-l-abajo/picks/3/#pick-n-36909ebec22027c3fdda92a8", "basis": "snapshot", "stated": "1.90", "market": "1.53", "difference_percent": "24.3" }, { "url": "/authors/victor-l-abajo/picks/7/#pick-n-4cacdaa23deaf6ba8cf6cf53", "basis": "snapshot", "stated": "8.50", "market": "7.50", "difference_percent": "13.3" } ], "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way." }, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "sportytrader.es", "url": "https://www.sportytrader.es/pronosticos/atletico-madrid-barcelona-385775/" }, "observed_from": "2026-10-09", "observed_to": "2026-11-06", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "settled", "series_code": "market_price", "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price", "restored": false, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "headline_part": "live", "settled_picks": 38, "matches": 23, "void": 1, "net_points_hundredths": 43903, "staked_hundredths": 370000, "return_percent": "11.87", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "period_from": "2026-10-11", "period_to": "2026-11-04", "status": "calculated", "method_version": "2.2", "short_history": false, "reason": null, "reasons": [], "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 38 settled live picks by Víctor L. Abajo before kick-off across 23 matches between 11 October and 4 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +11.9% on the total staked. Of the 135 predictions we hold for Víctor L. Abajo, 83 are linked to matches: 78 were recorded by us before kick-off and 5 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Settled live picks", "value": "38", "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick", "note": "1 void" }, { "label": "Matches", "value": "23", "anchor": "/methodology/#match", "note": null }, { "label": "Net result", "value": "+439.03 points", "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement", "note": "100 points per pick" }, { "label": "Return at our recorded market price", "value": "+11.9%", "anchor": "/methodology/#roi", "note": "95% interval −43.3% to +72.6%" } ], "limitations": [], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [ { "date": "2026-10-11", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 31737, "n": 5 }, { "date": "2026-10-12", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 21737, "n": 7 }, { "date": "2026-10-18", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 3959, "n": 10 }, { "date": "2026-10-19", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 28750, "n": 12 }, { "date": "2026-10-20", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 15058, "n": 16 }, { "date": "2026-10-25", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 44624, "n": 20 }, { "date": "2026-10-26", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 43715, "n": 22 }, { "date": "2026-11-01", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -6285, "n": 27 }, { "date": "2026-11-02", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 10215, "n": 29 }, { "date": "2026-11-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -13797, "n": 33 }, { "date": "2026-11-04", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 43903, "n": 38 } ], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": { "part": "live", "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.", "settled_picks": 38, "matches": 23, "match_dates": 11, "period_from": "2026-10-11", "period_to": "2026-11-04", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": 43903, "low": { "date": "2026-11-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -13797, "after_picks": 33 }, "high": { "date": "2026-10-25", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 44624, "after_picks": 20 }, "line_drawn": true, "steps": [ { "date": "2026-10-11", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 31737, "n": 5, "picks": 5 }, { "date": "2026-10-12", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 21737, "n": 7, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-10-18", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 3959, "n": 10, "picks": 3 }, { "date": "2026-10-19", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 28750, "n": 12, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-10-20", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 15058, "n": 16, "picks": 4 }, { "date": "2026-10-25", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 44624, "n": 20, "picks": 4 }, { "date": "2026-10-26", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 43715, "n": 22, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-11-01", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -6285, "n": 27, "picks": 5 }, { "date": "2026-11-02", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 10215, "n": 29, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-11-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -13797, "n": 33, "picks": 4 }, { "date": "2026-11-04", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 43903, "n": 38, "picks": 5 } ] }, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record recorded 38 settled live picks by Víctor L. Abajo before kick-off across 23 matches between 11 October and 4 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +11.9% on the total staked. Of the 135 predictions we hold for Víctor L. Abajo, 83 are linked to matches: 78 were recorded by us before kick-off and 5 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/victor-l-abajo/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2" }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 135, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 52, "proven_predictions": 78, "proven_checked": 72, "proven_measured": 38, "proven_dates": 11, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 78, "checked": 72, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": { "settled_picks": 38, "void": 1, "matches": 23, "net_points_hundredths": 43903, "staked_hundredths": 370000, "return_percent": "11.87", "interval_low": "-43.33", "interval_high": "72.61", "interval_note": null, "period_from": "2026-10-11", "period_to": "2026-11-04", "method_version": "2.2", "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0", "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.0", "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 13 }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "author_price", "picks": 36, "return_main_percent": "-3.17", "return_other_percent": "-3.11", "settled_excluding_void": 35, "net_main_points_hundredths": -11097, "net_other_points_hundredths": -10900, "period_from": "2026-10-11", "period_to": "2026-11-04" }, { "price": "Closing price", "series_code": "closing_live", "picks": 32, "return_main_percent": "-0.03", "return_other_percent": "-1.60", "settled_excluding_void": 31, "net_main_points_hundredths": -97, "net_other_points_hundredths": -4961, "period_from": "2026-10-11", "period_to": "2026-11-04" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 72, "priced": 38 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 37, "won": 19, "won_percent": "51.4", "implied_percent": "52.6", "left_out": 1, "by_market": [ { "market": "Match result", "won": 12, "picks": 22, "implied_percent": "52.3" }, { "market": "Draw no bet", "won": 1, "picks": 4, "implied_percent": "59.3" }, { "market": "Over/under goals", "won": 3, "picks": 4, "implied_percent": "57.3" }, { "market": "Both teams to score", "won": 1, "picks": 3, "implied_percent": "64.0" }, { "market": "Correct score", "won": 1, "picks": 2, "implied_percent": "12.4" }, { "market": "Other markets", "won": 1, "picks": 2, "implied_percent": "56.9" } ] }, "reviewed_after": { "predictions": 26, "right": 5, "wrong": 21, "other": 0 } }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 5, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [ "n-0948010ece3ef1ee0df46761", "n-0ffd1df1628fcda6cbf99314", "n-130d2f23067b10f2993e77c6", "n-26aef566553ca3d791eb1ec9", "n-36909ebec22027c3fdda92a8", "n-38e0bf36dc05edf21e8639d0", "n-3c8f8e5a427b8fc1674d50ae", "n-40d653378676bf228c45b29a", "n-40f4ac727c602a47af21cf2d", "n-4361f8a804486dc77e0d89e4", "n-4a0f233164df6987c43ec5d0", "n-4c53a601db45fa33926bdad8", "n-4cacdaa23deaf6ba8cf6cf53", "n-5c0312323bf943ce981009a3", "n-5d3a93675da5702ee3905dd1", "n-6f201237e5bb3d371737eeca", "n-6f8f548765833ff62ecc23db", "n-718c61311f8be77ad0363d23", "n-7d61e96b5adde71b758e75d1", "n-7e17842c2f21ffe512c7f116", "n-84b8d6d93bcb01495c3315fa", "n-8ce4660216b1867b63c35b0d", "n-9b80038d11ffc8b19c015291", "n-a407460158b02e9a156f532a", "n-aab1a633c916358fa596ccad", "n-aeac2131f42118ad1ae63aee", "n-b0a3eb63742e3bbb656e80d7", "n-b3c5d2ffa41026967f4d2c12", "n-b44cc31b93810225244025d9", "n-bb4283aeef8a7008af53b2e9", "n-c0163a9ae58091d581c64e84", "n-c7a6d0082e226e515d4324c3", "n-d1509230bc6c27ba0dab274f", "n-ea5eab6b4b06e9a2b95e6d34", "n-ea8b156ecbe044a62b3e367b", "n-f44f0ab3a6fe108aa735456a", "n-f6e30dfeac0d5fc513009c88", "n-f8ee127484b5c0c551e10fe8" ], "interval_low": "-43.33", "interval_high": "72.61", "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 11 October – 4 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2", "record_from": "2026-10-09", "record_to": "2026-11-06" }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-4cacdaa23deaf6ba8cf6cf53", "url": "/authors/victor-l-abajo/picks/7/#pick-n-4cacdaa23deaf6ba8cf6cf53", "match": "Borussia Dortmund v Real Betis", "match_url": "/football/matches/borussia-dortmund-vs-real-betis-2026-11-04/", "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", "lead_hours": 47.8, "market_code": "correct_score_market", "author_said": "Correct score: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Real Betis at 8.5", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "2-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 65000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "8.5", "settled_price": "7.5000", "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-11-02T20:10:45.587Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-4cacdaa23deaf6ba8cf6cf53", "quote_text": "Marcador exacto: 2-1\n\nCuota\n8.50", "fragment_from": 11095, "fragment_to": 11127, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportytrader.es/pronosticos/dortmund-real-betis-384736/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Víctor L. Abajo", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "41df66cdd1bd08306a276ba2415b395cfd897077d9068611711f11eb375eb1ce", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-02T20:10:45.587Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:38:44.667Z", "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-f45b0ac9f3ae", "display_name": "Borussia Dortmund — Real Betis", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/borussia-dortmund-vs-real-betis-2026-11-04/", "scoreline": "2-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Real Betis", "odds_set": { "by_author": "8.5", "our_snapshot": "7.5000", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-02T20:06:49.210Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 65000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-02T20:10:45.587Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "no_date" ], "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Real Betis", "author_odds": "8.5", "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "2-1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Real Betis at 8.5" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "2-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Matched: the final score was Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Real Betis." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "f71f0098801b6ea8dc7158adf13508f70b9a70270cd4aead3b5b07bf90956f4f", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Real Betis", "decimal_odds": "7.5000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 65000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:38:44.667Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "9da64c015c6efcac68170a6bd1b0dc862a7236665c63e4d81037b2693e9168f2", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Borussia Dortmund", "decimal_odds": "1.7500", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 7500, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:38:44.701Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Víctor L. Abajo", "publisher": "sportytrader.es", "forecaster": "Víctor L. Abajo", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportytrader.es/pronosticos/dortmund-real-betis-384736/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Real Betis" } }, { "record_id": "n-718c61311f8be77ad0363d23", "url": "/authors/victor-l-abajo/picks/7/#pick-n-718c61311f8be77ad0363d23", "match": "Borussia Dortmund v Real Betis", "match_url": "/football/matches/borussia-dortmund-vs-real-betis-2026-11-04/", "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", "lead_hours": 47.8, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.49", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "2-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 5200, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.49", "settled_price": "1.5200", "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-11-02T20:10:45.587Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-718c61311f8be77ad0363d23", "quote_text": "Más de 2.5 goles\n\nCuota\n1.49", "fragment_from": 10751, "fragment_to": 10779, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportytrader.es/pronosticos/dortmund-real-betis-384736/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Víctor L. Abajo", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "41df66cdd1bd08306a276ba2415b395cfd897077d9068611711f11eb375eb1ce", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-02T20:10:45.587Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:38:44.379Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-f45b0ac9f3ae", "display_name": "Borussia Dortmund — Real Betis", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/borussia-dortmund-vs-real-betis-2026-11-04/", "scoreline": "2-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "outcome_label": "over 2.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.49", "our_snapshot": "1.5200", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-02T20:06:49.210Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 5200, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-02T20:10:45.587Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "no_date" ], "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "author_odds": "1.49", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.49" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "2-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Real Betis." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "f0fc1be09a101b30bd2d7ff22e62e1b3e906ad99a7499bc4057ffc8e3c145e64", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.49", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 4900, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:38:41.054Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "432e0c6e8574f58730685b5a1be066f41fac371100798fe2e342cd2d4e30b2cb", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.5200", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 5200, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:38:44.379Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Víctor L. 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"match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Real Sociedad gana\n\nCuota\n3.20", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-30T20:10:08.764Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-84525535ff2fce929fa1c287", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "X o Real Sociedad\n\n1.69", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-30T20:10:08.764Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-93ce0837074c82d1ab3b8d80", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Descanso/Final del partido: Real Madrid/Real Madrid\n\nCuota\n1.62", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-30T15:25:27.945Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-c709fb6f791f7565b00a51f7", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Descanso/Final del partido: Real Sociedad/Real Sociedad\n\nCuota\n2.40", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": 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this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-e734d09ee7fbc67ad2ed6b27", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Nuestro pronóstico para el Athletic vs Getafe: Victoria del Athletic.\n\nEl pronóstico :\n\nAthletic Bilbao gana\n\n1.57", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T12:10:03.638Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-7b5622232793c3d641ef3f1c", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Marcador exacto: 1-2\n\nCuota\n9.00", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T02:54:47.877Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-2546eb237fa9b21730ec338d", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Goles del Athletic: 2-4\n\nCuota\n2.20", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T02:54:47.877Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-c2d25d86cde1f3bc3bf24e42", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "un 40.32% de posibilidades ⭐ para una apuesta ganadora de Athletic Bilbao vs Levante con una cuota de 2.2 en Interwetten.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T02:54:47.877Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-a1205d84b6aaf780af2a9883", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Nuestro pronóstico para el Levante vs Athletic: Victoria del Athletic.\n\nEl pronóstico :\n\nAthletic Bilbao gana\n\n2.10", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T02:54:47.877Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-8b2cfebc83d9a4503b0f1866", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Marcador exacto: 3-0\n\nCuota\n6.20", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-18T19:39:55.283Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-2aabfb19618bcf77b736fdc8", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Otros pronósticos interesantes\n\nManchester City gana\n\nCuota\n1.08", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-18T19:39:55.283Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-5334b18b89cfe53a50ade1fd", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Nuestro pronóstico para el Manchester City vs AEK Atenas: Victoria del Manchester City -1.5.\n\nEl pronóstico :\n\nManchester City -1.5\n\n1.31", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-18T19:39:55.283Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-ae334f2460a9988e521dba0b", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "El pronóstico :\n\nManchester City -1.5\n\n1.31", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-18T19:39:55.283Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-5470e9360c375b83b320d72f", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Borussia Dortmund -1.5\n\nCuota\n1.78", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-18T16:54:48.210Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-2fb891bb47297572eb5a25bb", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Borussia Dortmund -1.5\n\nCuota\n1.78", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-18T16:54:48.210Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-487151fffd75dfb555c8f276", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Otros pronósticos interesantes\n\nFenerbahce -1.5\n\nCuota\n2.80", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-18T16:54:47.615Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-0749d74be8201207243f16d3", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Pronóstico del partido entre Real Madrid vs Sevilla es: Victoria del Real Madrid -1.5.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T19:09:57.422Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-f39d838b979f6f848ed3d360", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Marcador exacto: 1-0\n\nCuota\n12.00", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T16:39:50.142Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-c180e7b3efb3c6ae14ff49fe", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Otros pronósticos interesantes\n\nMálaga gana\n\nCuota\n3.40", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T16:39:50.142Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-b2cb928ea134dcbdb7d99ec8", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Nuestro pronóstico para el Málaga vs Real Sociedad: Victoria del Málaga o Empate.\n\nEl pronóstico :\n\nMálaga o X\n\n1.67", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T16:39:50.142Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-344db3710e7f221f837f8860", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Marcador exacto: 1-0\n\nCuota\n6.50", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T14:24:48.730Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-61e22746737eb4c9005a72f6", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Celta de Vigo gana\n\n2.20", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T14:24:48.730Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-bb0c2670ed08624373c889e9", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Marcador exacto: 1-0\n\nCuota\n9", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T01:54:49.371Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-5e05bcf9b758a18726bfa332", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Descanso/Final del partido: Inter Milán/Inter Milán\n\nCuota\n1.63", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T01:54:49.371Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-a50214f2d913910bd414c9a9", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Inter Milán gana\n\n1.26", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T01:54:49.371Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-8066819f4c5635ff9f04a2c3", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Marcador exacto: 1-1\n\nCuota\n7.5", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T18:51:14.837Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-aaba4fabc73d901b38d59f79", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Empate\n\nCuota\n3.75", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T18:51:14.837Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-f984207d00e349133142bec5", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Marcador exacto: 1-1\n\nCuota\n7.5", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T18:51:14.837Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-f549820ff7d788a6ff44bc14", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Descanso/Final del partido: Real Betis/Real Betis\n\nCuota\n2.3", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T16:31:25.564Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null } ], "lead_time": { "contract_version": 1, "threshold_hours": 2.0, "picks": 80, "before_kickoff": 80, "after_kickoff": 0, "at_least_2h": 80, "share_2h_plus": 100.0, "median_hours": 47.8, "min_hours": 45.9, "max_hours": 48.8, "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off." }, "baseline": { "contract_version": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "rule": "recorded-line-1.0", "state": "settled", "picks": 23, "settled_picks_all": 39, "excluded": { "market_without_favourite": 8, "no_recorded_line": 8, "favourite_not_settled": 0 }, "staked_hundredths": 230000, "author_net_hundredths": 30934, "favourite_net_hundredths": -14816, "difference_hundredths": 45750, "author_return_percent": 13.45, "favourite_return_percent": -6.44, "author_hit_rate": 60.9, "favourite_hit_rate": 56.5, "picked_favourite_share": 87.0, "by_market": [ { "market_code": "1x2", "picks": 21, "staked_hundredths": 210000, "author_net_hundredths": 18067, "favourite_net_hundredths": -27683, "author_hits": 12, "favourite_hits": 11, "picked_favourite": 18, "author_return_percent": 8.6, "favourite_return_percent": -13.18 }, { "market_code": "both_teams_score", "picks": 1, "staked_hundredths": 10000, "author_net_hundredths": 7576, "favourite_net_hundredths": 7576, "author_hits": 1, "favourite_hits": 1, "picked_favourite": 1, "author_return_percent": 75.76, "favourite_return_percent": 75.76 }, { "market_code": "total", "picks": 1, "staked_hundredths": 10000, "author_net_hundredths": 5291, "favourite_net_hundredths": 5291, "author_hits": 1, "favourite_hits": 1, "picked_favourite": 1, "author_return_percent": 52.91, "favourite_return_percent": 52.91 } ], "return_over_time": [ { "kickoff": "2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -10000, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -10000 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-11T14:15:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -2424, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -2424 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-11T16:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 2784, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 2784 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-11T16:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 7992, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 7992 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-11T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 32992, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -2008 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-12T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 22992, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -12008 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-18T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 25214, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -9786 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-19T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 30505, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -4495 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-20T16:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 20505, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -14495 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 10505, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -24495 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 12005, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -23195 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 16813, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -18387 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-25T15:15:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 40813, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -28387 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-25T17:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 46855, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -22345 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-25T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 36855, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -32345 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-26T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 45946, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -23254 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-01T13:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 35946, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -33254 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-01T17:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 25946, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -43254 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-02T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 37446, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -31754 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 43434, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -25766 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 33434, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -12316 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-04T17:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 23434, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -22316 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 30934, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -14816 } ], "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out." }, "pagination": { "per_page": 20, "total": 135, "pages": 8, "page_urls": [ "/authors/victor-l-abajo/", "/authors/victor-l-abajo/picks/2/", "/authors/victor-l-abajo/picks/3/", "/authors/victor-l-abajo/picks/4/", "/authors/victor-l-abajo/picks/5/", "/authors/victor-l-abajo/picks/6/", "/authors/victor-l-abajo/picks/7/", "/authors/victor-l-abajo/picks/8/" ], "groups": { "settled": 40, "pending": 3, "excluded": 92 }, "continuation": "by_time", "page": 1, "first": 1, "last": 20, "author_url": "/authors/victor-l-abajo/", "current": true }, "title_tag": "Víctor L. Abajo Predictions: This Week's Picks & Verified Record", "calculator": { "url": "/tools/luck-or-skill/?n=37&odds=2.39&roi=11.9&src=record", "n": 37, "odds": "2.39", "roi": "11.9", "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price" }, "person": { "person_id": "o-ce71e673aebfdf9f91b5a2d8", "type_code": "individual", "name_shown": "Víctor L. Abajo", "main_entity": "e-ce71e673aebfdf9f91b5a2d8", "identity": { "status": "not_verified", "is_verified": false, "when": null, "source_list": [] }, "platform_list": [ { "entity_ref": "e-ce71e673aebfdf9f91b5a2d8", "medium": "SportyTrader.es", "channel": "section pages", "domain": "sportytrader.es", "source_info": "sportytrader-es", "byline": "Víctor L. Abajo", "url": "/sources/sportytrader-es/", "summary": { "statements": 463, "predictions": 135, "settled_picks": 38, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "return_percent": 11.87, "headline_part": "live", "period_from": "2026-10-09", "period_to": "2026-11-06" } } ], "previously": [], "trust_tier": "probation" }, "data_revision": { "data_version": "2026-11-07.2", "updated": "2026-11-07", "current_release": "2026-11-07.2", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "series_code": "market_price", "sample": { "settled_picks": 38, "matches": 23, "void": 1, "period_from": "2026-10-11", "period_to": "2026-11-04", "composition_hash": "cca7d20f412ba51fb085d1da834e6ab55a19788a058029d24d5d89eb4a9fab5a" }, "changes_url": "#changes", "corrections_url": "/corrections/" }, "number_changes": [ { "id": "zc-e6a3c664acc19d9c2141", "at": "2026-11-07T20:05:20.937Z", "data_version": "2026-11-07.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-07.1", "url": "/authors/victor-l-abajo/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-07.1", "return_percent": "-1.88", "settled_picks": 32, "matches": 23, "void": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "bd3ceec994db15f98d9fbd361f5b8a9aa880059c3c5a2f4706054c96a7dc7542", "text": "−1.88% on 32 settled picks across 23 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-07.2", "return_percent": "11.87", "settled_picks": 38, "matches": 23, "void": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "cca7d20f412ba51fb085d1da834e6ab55a19788a058029d24d5d89eb4a9fab5a", "text": "+11.87% on 38 settled picks across 23 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 6 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 6, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-2a627c50789c7e82adeb", "at": "2026-11-07T07:42:45.749Z", "data_version": "2026-11-07.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-06.2", "url": "/authors/victor-l-abajo/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-05.1", "return_percent": "-1.90", "settled_picks": 29, "matches": 22, "void": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "9a8d53a9f8e7193d7b72af21a5f4a3ea1ea4444f7ca089725f0c879bad1ccdbc", "text": "−1.90% on 29 settled picks across 22 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-07.1", "return_percent": "-1.88", "settled_picks": 32, "matches": 23, "void": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "bd3ceec994db15f98d9fbd361f5b8a9aa880059c3c5a2f4706054c96a7dc7542", "text": "−1.88% on 32 settled picks across 23 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 3, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-d83dfaa6475c7b16bd71", "at": "2026-11-05T05:43:48.128Z", "data_version": "2026-11-05.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-04.3", "url": "/authors/victor-l-abajo/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-04.1", "return_percent": "2.87", "settled_picks": 26, "matches": 20, "void": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "ee5bdcec86368f98952bcbedffa78618339b32b6a1d3dd0eb7df47e376c1bb5c", "text": "+2.87% on 26 settled picks across 20 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-05.1", "return_percent": "-1.90", "settled_picks": 29, "matches": 22, "void": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "9a8d53a9f8e7193d7b72af21a5f4a3ea1ea4444f7ca089725f0c879bad1ccdbc", "text": "−1.90% on 29 settled picks across 22 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "3 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 3, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-bf9d4452b6d2aeb8df1b", "at": "2026-11-04T03:35:56.412Z", "data_version": "2026-11-04.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-03.3", "url": "/authors/victor-l-abajo/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-03.1", "return_percent": "9.63", "settled_picks": 23, "matches": 18, "void": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "834478e71a0323efc4cab9819024903da93288e0eb27577c30828024d0519c78", "text": "+9.63% on 23 settled picks across 18 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-04.1", "return_percent": "2.87", "settled_picks": 26, "matches": 20, "void": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "ee5bdcec86368f98952bcbedffa78618339b32b6a1d3dd0eb7df47e376c1bb5c", "text": "+2.87% on 26 settled picks across 20 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 3, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-fde0bf0482ac9cd67b78", "at": "2026-11-03T06:24:00.880Z", "data_version": "2026-11-03.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-02.3", "url": "/authors/victor-l-abajo/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-02.1", "return_percent": "2.35", "settled_picks": 21, "matches": 17, "void": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "0ae89b8e211f2d90e19838a83fb679d5b66393283704b4097f402e1c9dca9313", "text": "+2.35% on 21 settled picks across 17 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-03.1", "return_percent": "9.63", "settled_picks": 23, "matches": 18, "void": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "834478e71a0323efc4cab9819024903da93288e0eb27577c30828024d0519c78", "text": "+9.63% on 23 settled picks across 18 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-3cebe50a9b6325e5f67e", "at": "2026-11-02T01:08:19.111Z", "data_version": "2026-11-02.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-01.3", "url": "/authors/victor-l-abajo/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-01.3", "return_percent": "13.72", "settled_picks": 19, "matches": 16, "void": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "7ed29cb5f2785daad0b3beaa51a35ac9043c104cd76235ffc29812ec61bf5f6e", "text": "+13.72% on 19 settled picks across 16 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-02.1", "return_percent": "2.35", "settled_picks": 21, "matches": 17, "void": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "0ae89b8e211f2d90e19838a83fb679d5b66393283704b4097f402e1c9dca9313", "text": "+2.35% on 21 settled picks across 17 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-1cd3d48449a47a0e1c2b", "at": "2026-11-01T19:56:40.745Z", "data_version": "2026-11-01.3", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-01.2", "url": "/authors/victor-l-abajo/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-27.1", "return_percent": "27.93", "settled_picks": 17, "matches": 15, "void": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "d66c988f9f36eed495d1a2e284f6fc07ff152ed5d301ea1f2bb88f3424aa45cd", "text": "+27.93% on 17 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-01.3", "return_percent": "13.72", "settled_picks": 19, "matches": 16, "void": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "7ed29cb5f2785daad0b3beaa51a35ac9043c104cd76235ffc29812ec61bf5f6e", "text": "+13.72% on 19 settled picks across 16 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-d1d0716e343c833d7512", "at": "2026-10-27T07:47:02.386Z", "data_version": "2026-10-27.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-26.1", "url": "/authors/victor-l-abajo/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-21.1", "return_percent": "23.23", "settled_picks": 12, "matches": 10, "void": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "cfbb204e1bd21fbba28f4d48696950b6b2523ebdbc5015523caa49e4d4a1dbaf", "text": "+23.23% on 12 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-27.1", "return_percent": "27.93", "settled_picks": 17, "matches": 15, "void": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "d66c988f9f36eed495d1a2e284f6fc07ff152ed5d301ea1f2bb88f3424aa45cd", "text": "+27.93% on 17 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 4 new results.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 5, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-e7ca383300ed12f898ea", "at": "2026-10-21T02:27:55.722Z", "data_version": "2026-10-21.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-20.8", "url": "/authors/victor-l-abajo/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-19.7", "return_percent": "36.56", "settled_picks": 9, "matches": 7, "void": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "6055d9e1bab352d45895c73f27b0babcae1498c83f1c998b2b831c5591e29c3e", "text": "+292.50 points on 9 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-21.1", "return_percent": "23.23", "settled_picks": 12, "matches": 10, "void": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "cfbb204e1bd21fbba28f4d48696950b6b2523ebdbc5015523caa49e4d4a1dbaf", "text": "+23.23% on 12 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "3 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 3, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-f1fff9bed6c51b31767e", "at": "2026-10-19T23:18:20.062Z", "data_version": "2026-10-19.7", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-19.6", "url": "/authors/victor-l-abajo/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-19.6", "return_percent": "34.23", "settled_picks": 8, "matches": 6, "void": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "42563bb3ce1321bb59acff874670b78bd3cbc5f1fce8ec8bad7ddec31d2d0af9", "text": "+239.59 points on 8 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-19.7", "return_percent": "36.56", "settled_picks": 9, "matches": 7, "void": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "6055d9e1bab352d45895c73f27b0babcae1498c83f1c998b2b831c5591e29c3e", "text": "+292.50 points on 9 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-7663088db928aca9b6a8", "at": "2026-10-19T19:39:27.559Z", "data_version": "2026-10-19.6", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-19.5", "url": "/authors/victor-l-abajo/", "category": "data_corrected", "category_words": "Data corrected", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-19.2", "return_percent": "35.52", "settled_picks": 9, "matches": 6, "void": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "01460ba971ef18064d03dd1e3dd28bd075895ef6e36ebdac96024ff83ccd91dd", "text": "+284.12 points on 9 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-19.6", "return_percent": "34.23", "settled_picks": 8, "matches": 6, "void": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "42563bb3ce1321bb59acff874670b78bd3cbc5f1fce8ec8bad7ddec31d2d0af9", "text": "+239.59 points on 8 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Data corrected: 1 pick left the headline sample.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 0, "removed": 1, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": "i-2f131c848092f7f4f9ef" }, { "id": "zc-1d723fba9c733c50561e", "at": "2026-10-19T04:51:01.140Z", "data_version": "2026-10-19.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-19.1", "url": "/authors/victor-l-abajo/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-12.7", "return_percent": "37.41", "settled_picks": 8, "matches": 5, "void": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "2244aa4882e6eb0b14ae1d2c7576c71f6dc8c4a8ed5f4354fcd8273cf0ae7466", "text": "+261.90 points on 8 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-19.2", "return_percent": "35.52", "settled_picks": 9, "matches": 6, "void": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "01460ba971ef18064d03dd1e3dd28bd075895ef6e36ebdac96024ff83ccd91dd", "text": "+284.12 points on 9 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-bb8c60e8e8ba01846159", "at": "2026-10-12T22:42:38.057Z", "data_version": "2026-10-12.7", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-12.6", "url": "/authors/victor-l-abajo/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-11.8", "return_percent": "60.32", "settled_picks": 6, "matches": 4, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "2e97cab954f0a74efc6ea25e5ed27e31bf4cffb1361b1c9480b7ec837be40e90", "text": "+361.90 points on 6 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-12.7", "return_percent": "37.41", "settled_picks": 8, "matches": 5, "void": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "2244aa4882e6eb0b14ae1d2c7576c71f6dc8c4a8ed5f4354fcd8273cf0ae7466", "text": "+261.90 points on 8 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-4deb1ef23f99ef3d03b5", "at": "2026-10-11T21:54:36.315Z", "data_version": "2026-10-11.8", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-11.7", "url": "/authors/victor-l-abajo/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-11.7", "return_percent": "18.09", "settled_picks": 4, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "fbf59a014f8cc2fda19d83a5233be98fb250aeadb5a5253799d5b7ec25cd4757", "text": "+72.37 points on 4 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-11.8", "return_percent": "60.32", "settled_picks": 6, "matches": 4, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "2e97cab954f0a74efc6ea25e5ed27e31bf4cffb1361b1c9480b7ec837be40e90", "text": "+361.90 points on 6 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-88f67c2064a3b809e101", "at": "2026-10-11T20:14:51.236Z", "data_version": "2026-10-11.7", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-11.6", "url": "/authors/victor-l-abajo/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-11.6", "return_percent": "-1.13", "settled_picks": 3, "matches": 2, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "e4547d15fbd61a922550b4927e834d76e5fd1bb4cb2db0bf7faab9f3f2acb28f", "text": "−3.39 points on 3 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-11.7", "return_percent": "18.09", "settled_picks": 4, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "fbf59a014f8cc2fda19d83a5233be98fb250aeadb5a5253799d5b7ec25cd4757", "text": "+72.37 points on 4 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-dd9d0efd36dd230553a8", "at": "2026-10-11T19:38:24.634Z", "data_version": "2026-10-11.6", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-11.5", "url": "/authors/victor-l-abajo/", "category": "method_changed", "category_words": "Method changed", "before": null, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-11.6", "return_percent": "-1.13", "settled_picks": 3, "matches": 2, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "e4547d15fbd61a922550b4927e834d76e5fd1bb4cb2db0bf7faab9f3f2acb28f", "text": "−3.39 points on 3 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Method 2.2 (11 October 2026): the live market price of a pick is now the price at the moment we first recorded it (median of bookmakers in our price feed, quote no older than 5 minutes; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, before kick-off), not the price when our checks admitted it. Picks recorded before kick-off but checked after it are now settled the same way; picks with no price at that moment have no return. First headline number for this record: 3 settled picks.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 3, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": "i-04c7658bb7884416ff8d" } ], "current_predictions": { "total_count": 3, "on_date": "2026-11-07T19:52", "row_list": [ { "record_id": "n-43413ac386b4383e2bac01e2", "url": "/authors/victor-l-abajo/picks/8/#pick-n-43413ac386b4383e2bac01e2", "match": "Celta Vigo v Levante UD", "match_url": "/football/matches/celta-vigo-vs-levante-ud-2026-11-08/", "kickoff": "2026-11-08T17:30:00.000Z", "competition": "LaLiga", "author_said": "Correct score: Celta Vigo 1-0 Levante UD at 7.5", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T17:32:12.701Z", "platform": null }, { "record_id": "n-d805c643aad6906c3d444bc2", "url": "/authors/victor-l-abajo/picks/8/#pick-n-d805c643aad6906c3d444bc2", "match": "Celta Vigo v Levante UD", "match_url": "/football/matches/celta-vigo-vs-levante-ud-2026-11-08/", "kickoff": "2026-11-08T17:30:00.000Z", "competition": "LaLiga", "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 1.91", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T17:32:12.701Z", "platform": null }, { "record_id": "n-f043ebfc18e5935dd8c2b3f6", "url": "/authors/victor-l-abajo/picks/8/#pick-n-f043ebfc18e5935dd8c2b3f6", "match": "Celta Vigo v Levante UD", "match_url": "/football/matches/celta-vigo-vs-levante-ud-2026-11-08/", "kickoff": "2026-11-08T17:30:00.000Z", "competition": "LaLiga", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Celta Vigo at 1.95", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T17:32:12.701Z", "platform": null } ] }, "counts_by_slice": { "portions": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "settled_picks": 38, "total_check": true, "market_list": [ { "code_name": "1x2", "in_words": "Match result", "url": null, "settled_picks": 22, "won": 12, "void": 0, 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