{
 "schema_name": "page",
 "schema_version": "2.0",
 "page_type": "history",
 "url": "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/7/",
 "canonical": "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/7/",
 "language": "en",
 "hreflang": [],
 "translations": [],
 "heading": "Tobias Brandt — football predictions, page 7 of 40",
 "description": "Predictions 101–120 of 769 by Tobias Brandt, with outcomes in words and links to the evidence.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Page 7 of 40 of the predictions by Tobias Brandt recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 101–120 of 769 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of 7 November 2026. Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.",
  "key_number": "769",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
 "indexable": false,
 "noindex_reason": "technical",
 "indexing_threshold": {
  "settled_count": 0,
  "date_count": 0,
  "required_settled": 0,
  "required_dates": 0
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T17:55:43.433Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "565fb03f0834d47583a36e947c5291c342b3573725ebc74e1bc117adf9bfa670",
 "dependency_group": "author:e-3309ff24d9c21658fe7f6008",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
  {
   "type_code": "WebPage",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "Organization",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  }
 ],
 "exports": [
  {
   "type_code": "json",
   "url": "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/7/index.json",
   "bytes": null
  }
 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": false,
  "api": true,
  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": null,
 "restrictions": {
  "name_withdrawn": false,
  "tracker_number": null,
  "withdrawn_quotes": [],
  "removed_at": null,
  "cause": null,
  "suspended_records": [],
  "withdrawal_log_number": 0
 },
 "page_links": {
  "methodology": "/methodology/",
  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
 },
 "entity": {
  "id": "e-3309ff24d9c21658fe7f6008",
  "public_name": "Tobias Brandt",
  "tracker_number": 2608,
  "status": "active",
  "inactive_since": null,
  "verified_creator": false,
  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-10-09",
   "until": "2026-11-07"
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "medium": "website",
    "handle": null,
    "url": null,
    "link_confirmed": false,
    "show": true
   }
  ],
  "comment": null
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-e032ea89ef430924dd3e8929",
   "url": "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/7/#pick-n-e032ea89ef430924dd3e8929",
   "match": "Brighton & Hove Albion v Leeds United",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-11-01T15:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -8207.9,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, first half: over 1.5 at 2.62",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "3-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "2.62",
   "settled_price": "2.6500",
   "published_at": "2025-10-31T08:31:06.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:54:46.093Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-e032ea89ef430924dd3e8929",
    "quote_text": "Über 1,5 Tore – 1. Halbzeit\nDetails lesen\n\n2,62\nbei bet-at-home",
    "fragment_from": 2153,
    "fragment_to": 2216,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/brighton-038-hove-albion-leeds-prognose-01-11-2025/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Tobias Brandt",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "f79aa9c329a34a7ae90766d341ba9f3036f4dd54a6d02dc4e5401c7387373ca5",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-10-31T08:31:06.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:54:46.093Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:52.098Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Brighton & Hove Albion v Leeds United",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-11-01T15:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "3-0"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, first half",
    "outcome_label": "over 1.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.62",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.5500",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-10-31T08:31:06.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-10-31T08:31:06.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:54:46.093Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, first half",
     "choice": "over 1.5",
     "author_odds": "2.62",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "first_half",
     "line": "1.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, first half: over 1.5 at 2.62"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "3-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Brighton & Hove Albion 3-0 Leeds United."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "7ec61c406adaa8713f632afe6df345f510ae3eac832882c1d719a369f3a8dfb7",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, first half",
      "choice": "over 1.5",
      "decimal_odds": "2.62",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:52.093Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "775bdc02be08ac1e47ff99f00444586c2f01f9e0349c3d7619273fa4e1c79661",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, first half",
      "choice": "over 1.5",
      "decimal_odds": "2.5500",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:52.098Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "f9416fd8b59382e2b94f44795c1f9edb89c6c73da51c973232856000813f6676",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, first half",
      "choice": "over 1.5",
      "decimal_odds": "2.6500",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:52.104Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Tobias Brandt",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Tobias Brandt",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/brighton-038-hove-albion-leeds-prognose-01-11-2025/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 1.5 (Over/Under 1.5 goals, first half)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-e63f6848acc0b431f9a38b25",
   "url": "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/7/#pick-n-e63f6848acc0b431f9a38b25",
   "match": "Brighton & Hove Albion v Leeds United",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-11-01T15:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -8207.9,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score",
   "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.7",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "3-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.7",
   "settled_price": "1.7000",
   "published_at": "2025-10-31T08:31:06.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:54:46.093Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-e63f6848acc0b431f9a38b25",
    "quote_text": "Beide Teams treffen: Ja\nDetails lesen\n\n1,70\nbei bet-at-home",
    "fragment_from": 2079,
    "fragment_to": 2138,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/brighton-038-hove-albion-leeds-prognose-01-11-2025/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Tobias Brandt",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "f79aa9c329a34a7ae90766d341ba9f3036f4dd54a6d02dc4e5401c7387373ca5",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-10-31T08:31:06.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:54:46.093Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:52.082Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Brighton & Hove Albion v Leeds United",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-11-01T15:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "3-0"
    },
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "yes",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.7",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.7306",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-10-31T08:31:06.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-10-31T08:31:06.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:54:46.093Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
     "choice": "yes",
     "author_odds": "1.7",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.7"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "3-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Brighton & Hove Albion 3-0 Leeds United."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "e26547a199ed49df1804f38487738b3577fb225348c63bafe6a5fc78fe3c38e0",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "yes",
      "decimal_odds": "1.7",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:52.077Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "189aa4b56774e9ea7803912bc35797860819be63dd8b2804ac7fd67ae94c582e",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "yes",
      "decimal_odds": "1.7306",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:52.082Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "1f29f4ab8e0f0a337274c039652fa190b5c23ed46aadedf86d8a81d7620fbf64",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "yes",
      "decimal_odds": "1.7000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:52.087Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Tobias Brandt",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Tobias Brandt",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/brighton-038-hove-albion-leeds-prognose-01-11-2025/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-2b11060ee5e3198db3a68037",
   "url": "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/7/#pick-n-2b11060ee5e3198db3a68037",
   "match": "FCSB v Bologna",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-10-23T16:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Europa League",
   "lead_hours": -8422.2,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Bologna at 1.67",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "1-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 5450,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.67",
   "settled_price": "1.5450",
   "published_at": "2025-10-22T08:54:36.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:56:35.700Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-2b11060ee5e3198db3a68037",
    "quote_text": "FC Bologna gewinnt\nDetails lesen\n\n1,67\nbei bwin",
    "fragment_from": 1642,
    "fragment_to": 1689,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/fcsb-bologna-prognose-23-10-2025/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Tobias Brandt",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "bd2f8921adc99d2e37fefea356f68d340f95a43882abb997acc705e4f12097db",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-10-22T08:54:36.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:56:35.700Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:52.419Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "FCSB v Bologna",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League",
     "starts_at": "2025-10-23T16:45:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "1-2"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "Bologna",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.67",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.5450",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 5450,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-10-22T08:54:36.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-10-22T08:54:36.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:56:35.700Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Bologna",
     "author_odds": "1.67",
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Bologna at 1.67"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "1-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was FCSB 1-2 Bologna."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "63c5acbd2f1edfeb9dd6cbcfa66919a447c377ce707da1f0fad558d3b0deb097",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Bologna",
      "decimal_odds": "1.67",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 6700,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:52.413Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "ddca4faa4082d972598448acae280accc6981aabd8beb809dd33800866c50b25",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Bologna",
      "decimal_odds": "1.5450",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 5450,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:52.419Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Tobias Brandt",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Tobias Brandt",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/fcsb-bologna-prognose-23-10-2025/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Bologna to win"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-3a3aa3459f5d769e2ad08399",
   "url": "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/7/#pick-n-3a3aa3459f5d769e2ad08399",
   "match": "FCSB v Bologna",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-10-23T16:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Europa League",
   "lead_hours": -8422.2,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 2.2",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "1-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "2.2",
   "settled_price": "2.0000",
   "published_at": "2025-10-22T08:54:36.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:56:35.700Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-3a3aa3459f5d769e2ad08399",
    "quote_text": "Über 2,5 Tore\nDetails lesen\n\n2,20\nbei MERKUR BETS",
    "fragment_from": 1704,
    "fragment_to": 1753,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/fcsb-bologna-prognose-23-10-2025/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Tobias Brandt",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "bd2f8921adc99d2e37fefea356f68d340f95a43882abb997acc705e4f12097db",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-10-22T08:54:36.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:56:35.700Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:52.429Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "FCSB v Bologna",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League",
     "starts_at": "2025-10-23T16:45:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "1-2"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 2.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.2",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.0000",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-10-22T08:54:36.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-10-22T08:54:36.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:56:35.700Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 2.5",
     "author_odds": "2.2",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 2.2"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "1-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was FCSB 1-2 Bologna."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "d036f27b6f7ac99554f82a0d97fc894d5860245b86360246c2cac603328a5eaa",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "2.2",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 12000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:52.424Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "eb79e4eb1b575af7ca07e5e083829d5614a1a799772e20d760c9eb80c131d797",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "2.0000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:52.429Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Tobias Brandt",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Tobias Brandt",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/fcsb-bologna-prognose-23-10-2025/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-842a4f91bac45866b25912e0",
   "url": null,
   "match": "FC Kairat Almaty v Pafos",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-10-21T16:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -8470.2,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "2.0300",
   "published_at": "2025-10-20T05:05:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:58:04.040Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-c12f26881e9354114bc68964",
   "url": null,
   "match": "FC Kairat Almaty v Pafos",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-10-21T16:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -8470.2,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score",
   "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.7400",
   "published_at": "2025-10-20T05:05:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:58:04.040Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-d9661c7e00265882a31db268",
   "url": null,
   "match": "FC Kairat Almaty v Pafos",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-10-21T16:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -8470.2,
   "market_code": "double_chance",
   "author_said": "Double chance: draw or Pafos",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "0-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 3700,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.3700",
   "published_at": "2025-10-20T05:05:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:58:04.040Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-42538a18615a9a52ac7f2efd",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Newcastle United v Benfica",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-10-21T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -8468.0,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score",
   "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "3-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.7700",
   "published_at": "2025-10-20T05:10:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:58:08.998Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-5325874de7f3d2206ae6c0aa",
   "url": "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/7/#pick-n-5325874de7f3d2206ae6c0aa",
   "match": "Newcastle United v Benfica",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-10-21T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -8468.0,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.7",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "3-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 8300,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.7",
   "settled_price": "1.8300",
   "published_at": "2025-10-20T05:10:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:58:08.998Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-5325874de7f3d2206ae6c0aa",
    "quote_text": "Über 2,5 Tore\nDetails lesen\n\n1,70\nbei AdmiralBet",
    "fragment_from": 1619,
    "fragment_to": 1667,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/newcastle-benfica-prognose-21-10-2025/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Tobias Brandt",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "dfd1bc4e99c8f948662cf6096352b321e5df80ed54cdee08f0e600a414ddd5e0",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-10-20T05:10:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:58:08.998Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:53.792Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Newcastle United v Benfica",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2025-10-21T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "3-0"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 2.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.7",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.8300",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 8300,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-10-20T05:10:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-10-20T05:10:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:58:08.998Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 2.5",
     "author_odds": "1.7",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.7"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "3-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Newcastle United 3-0 Benfica."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "1d7d31805c8b4f5c4061162fcb4ca8c9cec0ce69004dfddaa524c467a3a650d9",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.7",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 7000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:53.787Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "431f0b59969be66a5fe254152cc99e12d0ade6cacd4bde31b1e3b880f4b703c4",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.8300",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 8300,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:53.792Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Tobias Brandt",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Tobias Brandt",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/newcastle-benfica-prognose-21-10-2025/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-e0ef75d8f1fb6e37ed099494",
   "url": "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/7/#pick-n-e0ef75d8f1fb6e37ed099494",
   "match": "Newcastle United v Benfica",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-10-21T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -8468.0,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, second half: over 1.5 at 1.91",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "3-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 9100,
   "series_code": "retro_author_price",
   "series_short": "author's odds, restored",
   "author_price": "1.91",
   "settled_price": "1.91",
   "published_at": "2025-10-20T05:10:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:58:08.998Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-e0ef75d8f1fb6e37ed099494",
    "quote_text": "Über 1,5 Tore – 2. Halbzeit\nDetails lesen\n\n1,91\nbei MERKUR BETS",
    "fragment_from": 1541,
    "fragment_to": 1604,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/newcastle-benfica-prognose-21-10-2025/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Tobias Brandt",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "dfd1bc4e99c8f948662cf6096352b321e5df80ed54cdee08f0e600a414ddd5e0",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-10-20T05:10:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:58:08.998Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:53.781Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Newcastle United v Benfica",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2025-10-21T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "3-0"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, second half",
    "outcome_label": "over 1.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.91",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 9100,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-10-20T05:10:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-10-20T05:10:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:58:08.998Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, second half",
     "choice": "over 1.5",
     "author_odds": "1.91",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "second_half",
     "line": "1.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, second half: over 1.5 at 1.91"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "3-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Newcastle United 3-0 Benfica."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "9e492089c54fdca4a7f06b9f495b54ae022d157bd96556b80c594864147b52a6",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, second half",
      "choice": "over 1.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.91",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 9100,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:53.781Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Tobias Brandt",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Tobias Brandt",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/newcastle-benfica-prognose-21-10-2025/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 1.5 (Over/Under 1.5 goals, second half)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-fa363f2a81e42f5ffd744f97",
   "url": "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/7/#pick-n-fa363f2a81e42f5ffd744f97",
   "match": "Newcastle United v Benfica",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-10-21T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -8468.0,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Newcastle United at 1.57",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "3-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 6500,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.57",
   "settled_price": "1.6500",
   "published_at": "2025-10-20T05:10:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:58:08.998Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-fa363f2a81e42f5ffd744f97",
    "quote_text": "Newcastle gewinnt\nDetails lesen\n\n1,57\nbei Winamax",
    "fragment_from": 1682,
    "fragment_to": 1731,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/newcastle-benfica-prognose-21-10-2025/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Tobias Brandt",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "dfd1bc4e99c8f948662cf6096352b321e5df80ed54cdee08f0e600a414ddd5e0",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-10-20T05:10:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:58:08.998Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:53.808Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Newcastle United v Benfica",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2025-10-21T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "3-0"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "Newcastle United",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.57",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.6500",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 6500,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-10-20T05:10:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-10-20T05:10:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:58:08.998Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Newcastle United",
     "author_odds": "1.57",
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Newcastle United at 1.57"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "3-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Newcastle United 3-0 Benfica."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "a577974b7b3c0cc6532bc0b66006172574fbb5f50c9bd35150403856c18ac5cb",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Newcastle United",
      "decimal_odds": "1.57",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 5700,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:53.797Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "7e7e63906adf4b122a8c577674affba0fba1e6b0b02179c93137d7ecc65a3b2d",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Newcastle United",
      "decimal_odds": "1.6500",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 6500,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:53.808Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Tobias Brandt",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Tobias Brandt",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/newcastle-benfica-prognose-21-10-2025/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Newcastle United to win"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-16388c9229a5c1be65740383",
   "url": "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/7/#pick-n-16388c9229a5c1be65740383",
   "match": "Tottenham Hotspur v Aston Villa",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-10-19T13:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -8522.0,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score",
   "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.7",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "1-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 6700,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.7",
   "settled_price": "1.6700",
   "published_at": "2025-10-18T08:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:58:36.418Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-16388c9229a5c1be65740383",
    "quote_text": "Beide Teams treffen: Ja\nDetails lesen\n\n1,70\nbei Betano",
    "fragment_from": 1941,
    "fragment_to": 1995,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/tottenham-hotspur-aston-villa-prognose-19-10-2025/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Tobias Brandt",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "bb84c7718bc3ba1cdbb97979062238cc29d28f81714529ece4af4876a205a17b",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-10-18T08:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:58:36.418Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:54.662Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Tottenham Hotspur v Aston Villa",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-10-19T13:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "1-2"
    },
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "yes",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.7",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.6700",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 6700,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-10-18T08:00:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-10-18T08:00:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:58:36.418Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
     "choice": "yes",
     "author_odds": "1.7",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.7"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "1-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Tottenham Hotspur 1-2 Aston Villa."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "2b6e3fb7ec9a796769d149130e4b118b59b70bd84a82e7f71dff09ac7a40dfcb",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "yes",
      "decimal_odds": "1.7",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 7000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:54.657Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "4786b8f9faa0e6b25bfa24b729888c9d17c96d2ddc2ef1a74988f047fa9f4880",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "yes",
      "decimal_odds": "1.6700",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 6700,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:54.662Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Tobias Brandt",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Tobias Brandt",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/tottenham-hotspur-aston-villa-prognose-19-10-2025/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-4fe16cd535e95d1332daa292",
   "url": "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/7/#pick-n-4fe16cd535e95d1332daa292",
   "match": "Tottenham Hotspur v Aston Villa",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-10-19T13:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -8522.0,
   "market_code": "double_chance",
   "author_said": "Double chance: draw or Aston Villa at 1.8",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "1-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 6500,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.8",
   "settled_price": "1.6500",
   "published_at": "2025-10-18T08:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:58:36.418Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-4fe16cd535e95d1332daa292",
    "quote_text": "Aston Villa Doppelte Chance (X2)\nDetails lesen\n\n1,80\nbei ODDSET",
    "fragment_from": 1799,
    "fragment_to": 1862,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/tottenham-hotspur-aston-villa-prognose-19-10-2025/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Tobias Brandt",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "bb84c7718bc3ba1cdbb97979062238cc29d28f81714529ece4af4876a205a17b",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-10-18T08:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:58:36.418Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:54.635Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Tottenham Hotspur v Aston Villa",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-10-19T13:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "1-2"
    },
    "market_label": "Double chance",
    "outcome_label": "draw or Aston Villa",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.8",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.6500",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 6500,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-10-18T08:00:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-10-18T08:00:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:58:36.418Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Double chance",
     "choice": "draw or Aston Villa",
     "author_odds": "1.8",
     "market_key": "double_chance",
     "choice_key": "X2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Double chance: draw or Aston Villa at 1.8"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "1-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Tottenham Hotspur 1-2 Aston Villa."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "05a53875349e910a4f5d9b9fc952f7304fe476807472518f2746fa2bd1d06812",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "choice": "draw or Aston Villa",
      "decimal_odds": "1.8",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 8000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:54.630Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "cc3d38d1950d69834258ac81001e035a8b1b29795ef3405e9a481ae94dac9872",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Double chance",
      "choice": "draw or Aston Villa",
      "decimal_odds": "1.6500",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 6500,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:54.635Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Tobias Brandt",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Tobias Brandt",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/tottenham-hotspur-aston-villa-prognose-19-10-2025/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "draw or Aston Villa"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-a1d981187d1f876c3d72484d",
   "url": "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/7/#pick-n-a1d981187d1f876c3d72484d",
   "match": "Tottenham Hotspur v Aston Villa",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-10-19T13:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -8522.0,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.9",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "1-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 8500,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.9",
   "settled_price": "1.8500",
   "published_at": "2025-10-18T08:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:58:36.418Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-a1d981187d1f876c3d72484d",
    "quote_text": "Über 2,5 Tore\nDetails lesen\n\n1,90\nbei bet-at-home",
    "fragment_from": 1877,
    "fragment_to": 1926,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/tottenham-hotspur-aston-villa-prognose-19-10-2025/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Tobias Brandt",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "bb84c7718bc3ba1cdbb97979062238cc29d28f81714529ece4af4876a205a17b",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-10-18T08:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:58:36.418Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:54.646Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Tottenham Hotspur v Aston Villa",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-10-19T13:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "1-2"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 2.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.9",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.8333",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 8333,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-10-18T08:00:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-10-18T08:00:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:58:36.418Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 2.5",
     "author_odds": "1.9",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.9"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "1-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Tottenham Hotspur 1-2 Aston Villa."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "fb7ff0eccf5c1292a99a5609e363251e63535be4a8e2580862e469449ba66388",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.9",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 9000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:54.641Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "867855ae92c6e571798877bbffb5fef2fbfd41e930e5e313757db7cdddbc1657",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.8333",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 8333,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:54.646Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "e2337320fb9b96aa72be03ef01c3190d0c439708523a9596629e0058a0dbcd77",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.8500",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 8500,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:54.651Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Tobias Brandt",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Tobias Brandt",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/tottenham-hotspur-aston-villa-prognose-19-10-2025/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-dcf3140b25e17b49595d3069",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Tottenham Hotspur v Aston Villa",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-10-19T13:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -8522.0,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score",
   "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "1-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 6700,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.6700",
   "published_at": "2025-10-18T08:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:58:36.418Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-883277edbdc4573377b2956b",
   "url": "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/7/#pick-n-883277edbdc4573377b2956b",
   "match": "Crystal Palace v AFC Bournemouth",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-10-18T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -8545.0,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 1.81",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "3-3",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.81",
   "settled_price": "2.0550",
   "published_at": "2025-10-17T14:21:09.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:58:44.925Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-883277edbdc4573377b2956b",
    "quote_text": "Unter 2,5 Tore\nDetails lesen\n\n1,81\nbei bet-at-home",
    "fragment_from": 2020,
    "fragment_to": 2070,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/crystal-palace-afc-bournemouth-prognose-18-10-2025/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Tobias Brandt",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "980024d9312b5be7926fcd419a7375eb724e5210d61851468e805648672b3071",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-10-17T14:21:09.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:58:44.925Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:52.214Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Crystal Palace v AFC Bournemouth",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-10-18T14:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "3-3"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "under 2.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.81",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.0000",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-10-17T14:21:09.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-10-17T14:21:09.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:58:44.925Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "under 2.5",
     "author_odds": "1.81",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "under",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 1.81"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "3-3",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Crystal Palace 3-3 AFC Bournemouth."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "d840082db1ffbfb79d231be5aaaf86ec34da4f9e466583d3ce334d2ee2957954",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "under 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.81",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:52.207Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "5313d9e72926a6b5aebf9d9ab0c46b33434a8944e7620dfedfad0042c595738d",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "under 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "2.0000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:52.214Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "715d721a12793fe4779819d8f48334c0309b956a566828e184b14700893096f5",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "under 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "2.0550",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:52.220Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Tobias Brandt",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Tobias Brandt",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/crystal-palace-afc-bournemouth-prognose-18-10-2025/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "under 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-a97490a32b121b82f7a4fa4c",
   "url": "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/7/#pick-n-a97490a32b121b82f7a4fa4c",
   "match": "Crystal Palace v AFC Bournemouth",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-10-18T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -8545.0,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score",
   "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.7",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "3-3",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 6400,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.7",
   "settled_price": "1.6400",
   "published_at": "2025-10-17T14:21:09.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:58:44.925Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-a97490a32b121b82f7a4fa4c",
    "quote_text": "Beide Teams treffen: Ja\nDetails lesen\n\n1,70\nbei Betano",
    "fragment_from": 2085,
    "fragment_to": 2139,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/crystal-palace-afc-bournemouth-prognose-18-10-2025/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Tobias Brandt",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "980024d9312b5be7926fcd419a7375eb724e5210d61851468e805648672b3071",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-10-17T14:21:09.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:58:44.925Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:52.231Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Crystal Palace v AFC Bournemouth",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-10-18T14:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "3-3"
    },
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "yes",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.7",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.6564",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 6564,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-10-17T14:21:09.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-10-17T14:21:09.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:58:44.925Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
     "choice": "yes",
     "author_odds": "1.7",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.7"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "3-3",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Crystal Palace 3-3 AFC Bournemouth."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "422666fe80a21d7bd7fdf30fe209c3ec1417adcaed16587af59c0708293c0eb6",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "yes",
      "decimal_odds": "1.7",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 7000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:52.226Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "6a5df1f9b51565b0811da749284678fa65bf2d4615e956ed96467f043869e137",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "yes",
      "decimal_odds": "1.6564",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 6564,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:52.231Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "ad3946d316f778aa79335d97e3342da155c210d4695181775776ad7084bdcc59",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "yes",
      "decimal_odds": "1.6400",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 6400,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:52.236Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Tobias Brandt",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Tobias Brandt",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/crystal-palace-afc-bournemouth-prognose-18-10-2025/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-aee90cab0a696c0b36fcd9e0",
   "url": "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/7/#pick-n-aee90cab0a696c0b36fcd9e0",
   "match": "Crystal Palace v AFC Bournemouth",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-10-18T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -8545.0,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Crystal Palace at 2.2",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "3-3",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "2.2",
   "settled_price": "2.1550",
   "published_at": "2025-10-17T14:21:09.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:58:44.925Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-aee90cab0a696c0b36fcd9e0",
    "quote_text": "Crystal Palace gewinnt\nDetails lesen\n\n2,20\nbei Winamax",
    "fragment_from": 2154,
    "fragment_to": 2208,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/crystal-palace-afc-bournemouth-prognose-18-10-2025/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Tobias Brandt",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "980024d9312b5be7926fcd419a7375eb724e5210d61851468e805648672b3071",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-10-17T14:21:09.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:58:44.925Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:52.247Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Crystal Palace v AFC Bournemouth",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-10-18T14:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "3-3"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "Crystal Palace",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.2",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.1500",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-10-17T14:21:09.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-10-17T14:21:09.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:58:44.925Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Crystal Palace",
     "author_odds": "2.2",
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Crystal Palace at 2.2"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "3-3",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Crystal Palace 3-3 AFC Bournemouth."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "ed9d63032aba24e80517b0c3d6359c17e8ce0074b6de1f59f5c45cc79d1ee4dc",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Crystal Palace",
      "decimal_odds": "2.2",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:52.242Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "e5f366bc824f358aef8ea7e8d305522a5e17c0ba004e1168bb2eb0f0305742a9",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Crystal Palace",
      "decimal_odds": "2.1500",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:52.247Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "14e9de4c51d978c3345335b4ab43b92d396155196a8351b9edb7a6f8903d1bc3",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Crystal Palace",
      "decimal_odds": "2.1550",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:52.252Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Tobias Brandt",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Tobias Brandt",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/crystal-palace-afc-bournemouth-prognose-18-10-2025/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Crystal Palace to win"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-38171e97747b66e574a8d27e",
   "url": "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/7/#pick-n-38171e97747b66e574a8d27e",
   "match": "Everton v Crystal Palace",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-10-05T13:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -8858.0,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Everton at 2.45",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "disputed_reading",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-10-04T08:20:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:59:16.639Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-38171e97747b66e574a8d27e",
    "quote_text": "Everton gewinnt\nDetails lesen\n\n2,45\nbei bet365 Sportwetten",
    "fragment_from": 2243,
    "fragment_to": 2301,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/fc-everton-crystal-palace-prognose-05-10-2025/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Tobias Brandt",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "8e812a9a03dbf9155355ec2fcc509fa34510bc8e364e5fbd4b905ec10aca0977",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-10-04T08:20:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:59:16.639Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": "disputed_reading",
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Everton v Crystal Palace",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-10-05T13:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": null
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "Everton",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.45",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.6500",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-10-04T08:20:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-10-04T08:20:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:59:16.639Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Everton",
     "author_odds": "2.45",
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Everton at 2.45"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "a550c64b99dba7f74f46b612e686d0319e01787decff7dc6c187129313237498",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Everton",
      "decimal_odds": "2.45",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:27:59.091Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "0227e4d400a0f1fdfc0b920986b3083f66731719626cccb2a45bd9a30f6845b3",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Everton",
      "decimal_odds": "2.6500",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:27:59.094Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "72a351e8e0958cda75cf0063e6945ed95393d1550ec5b9958c55bc665927e7c9",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Everton",
      "decimal_odds": "2.6200",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:11.113Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Tobias Brandt",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Tobias Brandt",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/fc-everton-crystal-palace-prognose-05-10-2025/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Everton to win"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-7c5fa3511598fc3f68e007c6",
   "url": "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/7/#pick-n-7c5fa3511598fc3f68e007c6",
   "match": "Everton v Crystal Palace",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-10-05T13:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -8858.0,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score",
   "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.91",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "2-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 9000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.91",
   "settled_price": "1.9000",
   "published_at": "2025-10-04T08:20:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:59:16.639Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-7c5fa3511598fc3f68e007c6",
    "quote_text": "Beide Teams treffen: Ja\nDetails lesen\n\n1,91\nbei bet-at-home",
    "fragment_from": 2169,
    "fragment_to": 2228,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/fc-everton-crystal-palace-prognose-05-10-2025/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Tobias Brandt",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "8e812a9a03dbf9155355ec2fcc509fa34510bc8e364e5fbd4b905ec10aca0977",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-10-04T08:20:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:59:16.639Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:52.297Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Everton v Crystal Palace",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-10-05T13:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "2-1"
    },
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "yes",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.91",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.9187",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 9187,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-10-04T08:20:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-10-04T08:20:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:59:16.639Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
     "choice": "yes",
     "author_odds": "1.91",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.91"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "2-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Everton 2-1 Crystal Palace."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "df0558d42fbf2f73dbf6244551c57c2f3421da72732d85c33041ddbca0b4bf75",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "yes",
      "decimal_odds": "1.91",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 9100,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:52.292Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "7876f6125d500f8470021ab3134eee58dfde40b248d86c29f745b7dc153c43ec",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "yes",
      "decimal_odds": "1.9187",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 9187,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:52.297Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "849200c496b72de43d016d209d5cd87e9b84acd02ecc2a9d332b54630d9cc087",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "yes",
      "decimal_odds": "1.9000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 9000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:52.302Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Tobias Brandt",
     "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
     "forecaster": "Tobias Brandt",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/fc-everton-crystal-palace-prognose-05-10-2025/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)"
   }
  }
 ],
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 769,
  "pages": 40,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/tobias-brandt/",
   "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/2/",
   "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/3/",
   "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/4/",
   "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/5/",
   "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/6/",
   "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/7/",
   "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/8/",
   "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/9/",
   "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/10/",
   "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/11/",
   "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/12/",
   "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/13/",
   "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/14/",
   "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/15/",
   "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/16/",
   "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/17/",
   "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/18/",
   "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/19/",
   "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/20/",
   "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/21/",
   "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/22/",
   "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/23/",
   "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/24/",
   "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/25/",
   "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/26/",
   "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/27/",
   "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/28/",
   "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/29/",
   "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/30/",
   "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/31/",
   "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/32/",
   "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/33/",
   "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/34/",
   "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/35/",
   "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/36/",
   "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/37/",
   "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/38/",
   "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/39/",
   "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/40/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 191,
   "pending": 10,
   "excluded": 568
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 7,
  "first": 101,
  "last": 120,
  "author_url": "/authors/tobias-brandt/",
  "current": true
 },
 "entity_id": "history:/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/7/",
 "source_revision": 83,
 "evidence_extra": [
  {
   "observation_id": "n-b51a79e73e23931087bfa876",
   "quote_text": "HSV gewinnt\n\nBundesliga\n\nHeute\n15:30\n\nHamburger SV\n\nVS\n\nVfB Stuttgart\n\nNS\n\n3,90",
   "fragment_from": 6113,
   "fragment_to": 6192,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/hamburger-sv-vfb-stuttgart-prognose-17-10-2026/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Tobias Brandt",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "588e8cc2f667f281b4215b6662b817b7be3cd39dfb5da8bec1e740e61cb378d0",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-16T05:32:43.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-17T02:12:05.541Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": "",
   "cause_code": "disputed_reading",
   "event": {
    "event_id": "s-d201d9c150bb",
    "display_name": "Hamburger SV — VfB Stuttgart",
    "competition_name": "Bundesliga",
    "starts_at": "2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z",
    "url": "/football/matches/hamburger-sv-vs-vfb-stuttgart-2026-10-17/",
    "scoreline": "1-0",
    "condition": "finished"
   },
   "market_label": "1X2, match result",
   "outcome_label": "Hamburger SV",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": "3.9",
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": "win",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-16T05:32:43.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-16T05:32:43.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-17T02:12:05.541Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "choice": "Hamburger SV",
    "author_odds": "3.9",
    "market_key": "1x2",
    "choice_key": "1",
    "period": "match",
    "line": null,
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "1X2, match result: Hamburger SV at 3.9"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "win",
    "scoreline": "1-0",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Won: the final score was Hamburger SV 1-0 VfB Stuttgart."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
     "operation_id": "c749ac973a8bfdd35d961cd72be95fed24c11148662036a1dcd169f3ead74d0b",
     "series_key": "author_price",
     "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Hamburger SV",
     "decimal_odds": "3.9",
     "odds_role": "author_price",
     "stake_hundredths": null,
     "status": "cancelled",
     "status_text": "Cancelled: ",
     "result": null,
     "result_words": null,
     "change_hundredths": null,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-18T05:50:13.037Z",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    },
    {
     "operation_id": "cecfaaca02fece2256f96ee9bcda1eae118965ed7e458afb381737c4d7679e25",
     "series_key": "market_price",
     "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Hamburger SV",
     "decimal_odds": "3.9000",
     "odds_role": "market_price",
     "stake_hundredths": null,
     "status": "cancelled",
     "status_text": "Cancelled: ",
     "result": null,
     "result_words": null,
     "change_hundredths": null,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-18T05:50:13.087Z",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Tobias Brandt",
    "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
    "forecaster": "Tobias Brandt",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/hamburger-sv-vfb-stuttgart-prognose-17-10-2026/",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null,
   "choice_words": "Hamburger SV to win"
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-1339cb7de3abad58efe8e01a",
   "quote_text": "Über 3,5 Tore\n\nBundesliga\n\nHeute\n15:30\n\nHamburger SV\n\nVS\n\nVfB Stuttgart\n\nNS\n\n1,93",
   "fragment_from": 7315,
   "fragment_to": 7396,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/hamburger-sv-vfb-stuttgart-prognose-17-10-2026/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Tobias Brandt",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "588e8cc2f667f281b4215b6662b817b7be3cd39dfb5da8bec1e740e61cb378d0",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-16T05:32:43.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-17T02:12:05.541Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": "repeats another statement",
   "cause_code": "duplicate",
   "event": {
    "event_id": "s-d201d9c150bb",
    "display_name": "Hamburger SV — VfB Stuttgart",
    "competition_name": "Bundesliga",
    "starts_at": "2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z",
    "url": "/football/matches/hamburger-sv-vs-vfb-stuttgart-2026-10-17/",
    "scoreline": "1-0",
    "condition": "finished"
   },
   "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
   "outcome_label": "over 3.5",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": "1.93",
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": "loss",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-16T05:32:43.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-16T05:32:43.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-17T02:12:05.541Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
    "choice": "over 3.5",
    "author_odds": "1.93",
    "market_key": "total",
    "choice_key": "over",
    "period": "match",
    "line": "3.5",
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 1.93"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "loss",
    "scoreline": "1-0",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Hamburger SV 1-0 VfB Stuttgart."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
     "operation_id": "54de117e2163eb50de4f9dc17effc8a63c58ecc25c2154eddb18794575011261",
     "series_key": "author_price",
     "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 3.5",
     "decimal_odds": "1.93",
     "odds_role": "author_price",
     "stake_hundredths": null,
     "status": "cancelled",
     "status_text": "Cancelled: repeats another statement",
     "result": null,
     "result_words": null,
     "change_hundredths": null,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-18T05:50:13.118Z",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    },
    {
     "operation_id": "7386956541aecc252936f1b63b62236be4e5eabe7b202f681962b4bd2c6708f1",
     "series_key": "market_price",
     "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 3.5",
     "decimal_odds": "1.9091",
     "odds_role": "market_price",
     "stake_hundredths": null,
     "status": "cancelled",
     "status_text": "Cancelled: repeats another statement",
     "result": null,
     "result_words": null,
     "change_hundredths": null,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-18T05:50:13.162Z",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Tobias Brandt",
    "publisher": "sportwetten.bild.de",
    "forecaster": "Tobias Brandt",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://sportwetten.bild.de/tipps/hamburger-sv-vfb-stuttgart-prognose-17-10-2026/",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null,
   "choice_words": "over 3.5 (Over/Under 3.5 goals)"
  }
 ]
}
