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"status": "not_supported", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_supported", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T05:10:18.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T05:10:18.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T06:38:57.445Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null } ], "excluded_from_feed": { "ads": 1, "service": 0, "ruleset_version": "3" }, "standing": null, "retro": null, "late": null, "price_vs_market": null, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "wettfreunde.net", "url": "https://www.wettfreunde.net/fussball-international/le-havre-psg-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-ligue-1-30-10-2026/" }, "observed_from": "2026-10-29", "observed_to": "2026-10-29", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "settled", "series_code": "market_price", "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price", "restored": false, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "headline_part": "live", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 2450, "staked_hundredths": 10000, "return_percent": "24.50", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "period_from": "2026-10-30", "period_to": "2026-10-30", "status": "calculated", "method_version": "2.2", "short_history": true, "reason": null, "reasons": [], "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 1 settled live pick by Thorsten Amberger before kick-off across 1 match on 30 October 2026. Won 1 of 1 settled live pick at our recorded market prices. Of the 4 predictions we hold for Thorsten Amberger, 3 are linked to matches: 3 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Settled live picks", "value": "1", "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick", "note": null }, { "label": "Matches", "value": "1", "anchor": "/methodology/#match", "note": null }, { "label": "Net result", "value": "+24.50 points", "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement", "note": "100 points per pick" }, { "label": "Return at our recorded market price", "value": "+24.5%", "anchor": "/methodology/#roi", "note": null } ], "limitations": [], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": { "part": "live", "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "match_dates": 1, "period_from": "2026-10-30", "period_to": "2026-10-30", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": 2450, "low": { "date": "2026-10-30", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 2450, "after_picks": 1 }, "high": { "date": "2026-10-30", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 2450, "after_picks": 1 }, "line_drawn": false, "steps": [ { "date": "2026-10-30", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 2450, "n": 1, "picks": 1 } ] }, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record recorded 1 settled live pick by Thorsten Amberger before kick-off across 1 match on 30 October 2026. Won 1 of 1 settled live pick at our recorded market prices. Of the 4 predictions we hold for Thorsten Amberger, 3 are linked to matches: 3 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/thorsten-amberger/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2" }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 4, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 1, "proven_predictions": 3, "proven_checked": 3, "proven_measured": 1, "proven_dates": 1, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 3, "checked": 3, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": { "settled_picks": 1, "void": 0, "matches": 1, "net_points_hundredths": 2450, "staked_hundredths": 10000, "return_percent": "24.50", "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval", "period_from": "2026-10-30", "period_to": "2026-10-30", "method_version": "2.2", "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0", "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.0", "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 0 }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Closing price", "series_code": "closing_live", "picks": 1, "return_main_percent": "24.50", "return_other_percent": "28.99", "settled_excluding_void": 1, "net_main_points_hundredths": 2450, "net_other_points_hundredths": 2899, "period_from": "2026-10-30", "period_to": "2026-10-30" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 3, "priced": 1 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 1, "won": 1, "won_percent": "100.0", "implied_percent": "80.3", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Match result", "won": 1, "picks": 1, "implied_percent": "80.3" } ] }, "reviewed_after": { "predictions": 2, "right": 2, "wrong": 0, "other": 0 } }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [ "n-ab9428505dea6b5dfd88e9f7" ], "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 30 October 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2", "record_from": "2026-10-29", "record_to": "2026-10-30" }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-ab9428505dea6b5dfd88e9f7", "url": "/authors/thorsten-amberger/#pick-n-ab9428505dea6b5dfd88e9f7", "match": "Le Havre v Paris Saint-Germain", "match_url": "/football/matches/le-havre-vs-paris-saint-germain-2026-10-30/", "kickoff": "2026-10-30T18:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Ligue 1", "lead_hours": 35.4, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Paris Saint-Germain", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "1-5", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 2450, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": null, "settled_price": "1.2450", "published_at": "2026-10-29T05:10:18.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-29T06:38:57.445Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "2", "price": "1.2450", "result": "Won", "points_hundredths": 2450, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-ab9428505dea6b5dfd88e9f7", "quote_text": "Mein Tipp: Sieg PSG", "fragment_from": 2877, "fragment_to": 2896, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.wettfreunde.net/fussball-international/le-havre-psg-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-ligue-1-30-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Thorsten Amberger", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "24b7e114951eb27458d1cd1f28e923f32d09613eb1934df698add6fdc1deb8be", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T05:10:18.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T06:38:57.445Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-30T13:35:33.105Z", "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-093cac49e8f6", "display_name": "Le Havre — Paris Saint-Germain", "competition_name": "Ligue 1", "starts_at": 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"recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Paris Saint-Germain", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Paris Saint-Germain" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-5", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Le Havre 1-5 Paris Saint-Germain." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "4fedd7dd059a746cd357d786259d8f77b0c2b05daa639f26f243e51e7e0c689c", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Paris Saint-Germain", "decimal_odds": "1.2450", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 2450, "executed_at": "2026-10-30T13:35:33.105Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Thorsten Amberger", "publisher": "Wettfreunde", "forecaster": "Thorsten Amberger", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.wettfreunde.net/fussball-international/le-havre-psg-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-ligue-1-30-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Paris Saint-Germain to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-fec12207615e9a219e7c10a1", "url": "/authors/thorsten-amberger/#pick-n-fec12207615e9a219e7c10a1", "match": "Le Havre v Paris Saint-Germain", "match_url": "/football/matches/le-havre-vs-paris-saint-germain-2026-10-30/", "kickoff": "2026-10-30T18:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Ligue 1", "lead_hours": 35.4, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "1-5", "reason": "graded against the result: right", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-29T05:10:18.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-29T06:38:57.445Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-fec12207615e9a219e7c10a1", "quote_text": "Zusätzlich ist die Asian Handicap Line für Übertore auf 3,5 angesetzt.", "fragment_from": 3204, "fragment_to": 3274, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.wettfreunde.net/fussball-international/le-havre-psg-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-ligue-1-30-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Thorsten Amberger", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "24b7e114951eb27458d1cd1f28e923f32d09613eb1934df698add6fdc1deb8be", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T05:10:18.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T06:38:57.445Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-093cac49e8f6", "display_name": "Le Havre — Paris Saint-Germain", "competition_name": "Ligue 1", "starts_at": "2026-10-30T18:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/le-havre-vs-paris-saint-germain-2026-10-30/", "scoreline": "1-5", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "outcome_label": "over 3.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T05:10:18.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T05:10:18.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T06:38:57.445Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before 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"change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Thorsten Amberger", "publisher": "Wettfreunde", "forecaster": "Thorsten Amberger", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.wettfreunde.net/fussball-international/le-havre-psg-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-ligue-1-30-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "over 3.5 (Over/Under 3.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-a191e11f465258e9bb930f25", "url": "/authors/thorsten-amberger/#pick-n-a191e11f465258e9bb930f25", "match": "Le Havre v Paris 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