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 "heading": "Théo Becker: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "Verified record: 719 settled picks by Théo Becker recorded before kick-off across 324 matches, 15 Oct 2026 – 7 Nov 2026: −1.5% at our recorded market prices.",
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  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 719 settled live picks by Théo Becker before kick-off across 324 matches between 15 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −1.5% on the total staked. Of the 3,649 predictions we hold for Théo Becker, 2,355 are linked to matches: 2,256 were recorded by us before kick-off and 99 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
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   "detected_at": "2026-11-07T08:32:40.963Z",
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   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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   "settlements": [],
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-406c1aa19f5a5978b27bed39",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-406c1aa19f5a5978b27bed39",
   "quote_text": "Considerando a forma atual, a vantagem de jogar em casa e as cotações disponíveis, a nossa inclinação é favorável",
   "fragment_from": 1765,
   "fragment_to": 1878,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.livetipsportal.com/pt/palpites/once-caldas-vs-rionegro-aguilas-primera-a-12144361/",
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-11-04T01:35:17.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-07T08:32:40.963Z",
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   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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   "settlements": [],
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-b51b398ffcf440e188c3b063",
   "url": "/authors/theo-becker/picks/184/#pick-n-b51b398ffcf440e188c3b063",
   "quote_text": "Chance dupla\n\nX2",
   "fragment_from": 3118,
   "fragment_to": 3134,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://www.livetipsportal.com/pt/palpites/once-caldas-vs-rionegro-aguilas-primera-a-12144361/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Théo Becker",
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    "bundle_id": "051bafe37a0572f4bf0bb29d579b7fe92b1e8c560e132b76dece51052d582000",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-11-04T01:35:17.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-11-07T08:32:40.963Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "unpriced",
   "status": "ambiguous",
   "cause": "",
   "cause_code": "ambiguous",
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   "odds_set": {
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    "our_snapshot_at": null,
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   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "executed_by": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-11-04T01:35:17.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-11-04T01:35:17.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-07T08:32:40.963Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
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    "flag_words": null,
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   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
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    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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   "settlements": [],
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  },
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   "observation_id": "n-4bee34b75562bea86d6a8445",
   "url": "/authors/theo-becker/picks/184/#pick-n-4bee34b75562bea86d6a8445",
   "quote_text": "Total de Gols\n\nmenos de 3,5",
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   "fragment_to": 2943,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://www.livetipsportal.com/pt/palpites/once-caldas-vs-rionegro-aguilas-primera-a-12144361/",
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    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-11-04T01:35:17.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-11-07T08:32:40.963Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "unpriced",
   "status": "ambiguous",
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   "cause_code": "ambiguous",
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   "odds_set": {
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   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "executed_by": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-11-04T01:35:17.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-07T08:32:40.963Z",
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    "flag_words": null,
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   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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   "settlements": [],
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  },
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   "observation_id": "n-f64fd74a160f8c2ac2c4493e",
   "url": "/authors/theo-becker/picks/184/#pick-n-f64fd74a160f8c2ac2c4493e",
   "quote_text": "Total de Gols\n\nmenos de 2,5",
   "fragment_from": 2714,
   "fragment_to": 2741,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "published_at": "2026-11-04T01:35:17.000Z",
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   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "unpriced",
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   "cause_code": "ambiguous",
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   "odds_set": {
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   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
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    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-11-04T01:35:17.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-07T08:32:40.963Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
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   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
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    "result": null,
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
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   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-df408badd04ddd643300d943",
   "url": "/authors/theo-becker/picks/184/#pick-n-df408badd04ddd643300d943",
   "quote_text": "Para o mercado de ambas as equipes marcarem, o “Sim” está a 1.80 na BETesporte e o “Não” a 1.93 na Hiperbet.",
   "fragment_from": 8440,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.livetipsportal.com/pt/palpites/once-caldas-vs-rionegro-aguilas-primera-a-12144361/",
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   "detected_at": "2026-11-07T08:32:40.963Z",
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   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
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    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-11-04T01:35:17.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-07T08:32:40.963Z",
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   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
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    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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   "settlements": [],
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   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-04fe18dd212e23e31c87d34a",
   "url": "/authors/theo-becker/picks/184/#pick-n-04fe18dd212e23e31c87d34a",
   "quote_text": "Entre as cotações fornecidas para o mercado 1x2, a vitória do Once Caldas aparece a 1.78 na Hiperbet.",
   "fragment_from": 8235,
   "fragment_to": 8336,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://www.livetipsportal.com/pt/palpites/once-caldas-vs-rionegro-aguilas-primera-a-12144361/",
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   "published_at": "2026-11-04T01:35:17.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-11-07T08:32:40.963Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "unpriced",
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "page",
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    "detected_at": "2026-11-07T08:32:40.963Z",
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    "flags": [],
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   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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   "author_claim": null,
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    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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   "settlements": [],
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-87c6015177fe34ea2ed3c35f",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-87c6015177fe34ea2ed3c35f",
   "quote_text": "Esse resultado serve de alerta para o Atlético Nacional: apesar da diferença atual entre as equipes",
   "fragment_from": 5662,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   },
   "published_at": "2026-11-04T01:45:58.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-11-07T08:32:37.613Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "opinion",
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   "withdrawn": false,
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   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "data_status": "unknown",
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    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-6737a6ca9c7bef80833e1146",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-6737a6ca9c7bef80833e1146",
   "quote_text": "Para o mercado de ambas as equipes marcarem, o “Sim” está a 2.10 na BETesporte e o “Não” a",
   "fragment_from": 7961,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "published_at": "2026-11-04T01:45:58.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-11-07T08:32:37.613Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
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   "quote_text": "Considerando os dados disponíveis, a vitória do Argentinos é a escolha principal, enquanto o ",
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   "quote_text": "e a segunda opção é “Ambos times marcam? Não”",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
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   "added_on": null,
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   "observation_id": "n-a13fb7904c14fd456b2889aa",
   "url": "/authors/theo-becker/picks/183/#pick-n-a13fb7904c14fd456b2889aa",
   "quote_text": "nossa escolha principal é a vitória do Argentinos Juniors",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "quote_text": "Nossa experiência com casas de apostas mostra a importância de conferir odds, regras e limites de cada operador",
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     "unpriced": 0,
     "hits": 1,
     "probability": 0.344828,
     "one_in": 3,
     "log10": -0.46,
     "words": "1 in 3",
     "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
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    "code_name": "P-09",
    "title_tier": "dated_record",
    "badge_label": "1st of 7 · week of 12 Oct",
    "body": "LaLiga Segunda, week of 12 Oct 2026: 4/4 result calls right, first of 7 tipsters and sources with 3+ calls",
    "tier": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-c88b23e8eaca",
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    "body": "Only one right of 9 tipsters and sources · Home win · Hajduk Split v AFC Ajax · 15 Oct 2026",
    "tier": null,
    "provenance": "live",
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    "title_tier": "dated_record",
    "badge_label": "Exact score 2–1 · 6 Nov",
    "body": "Exact score 2–1 · Venezia v Udinese · 6 Nov 2026",
    "tier": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-e4f96de2e361",
    "event_at": "2026-11-06",
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  "recent_record": [
   {
    "code_name": "P-09",
    "body": "LaLiga Segunda, week of 12 Oct 2026: 4/4 result calls right, first of 7 tipsters and sources with 3+ calls",
    "event_at": "2026-10-18",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-c88b23e8eaca"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "C-02",
    "body": "Only one right of 9 tipsters and sources · Home win · Hajduk Split v AFC Ajax · 15 Oct 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-10-15",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-50fa9c2addd7"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "CS-10",
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    "event_at": "2026-11-06",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-e4f96de2e361"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "E-07",
    "body": "Home win at 4.10 · Hajduk Split v AFC Ajax · 15 Oct 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-10-15",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-2f06f3261aed"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "C-02",
    "body": "Only one right of 4 tipsters and sources · Home win · Jaguares de Córdoba v Llaneros FC · 26 Oct 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-10-26",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-09260475f72f"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "C-02",
    "body": "Only one right of 4 tipsters and sources · Away win · FC Cincinnati v New England Revolution · 14 Oct 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-10-14",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-0a511f16bf35"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "CS-10",
    "body": "Exact score 1–2 · AZ Alkmaar v Juventus · 5 Nov 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-11-05",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-f019f88e7070"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "CS-10",
    "body": "Exact score 2–1 · Vizela v Academica · 1 Nov 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-11-01",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-938720262124"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "CS-10",
    "body": "Exact score 2–1 · Bologna v Monza · 31 Oct 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-10-31",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-ff561647e4b2"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "CS-10",
    "body": "Exact score 1–2 · FC Augsburg v SC Freiburg · 31 Oct 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-10-31",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-f44e8230040b"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "CS-10",
    "body": "Exact score 2–1 · UD Leiria v AVS · 31 Oct 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-10-31",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-47d61e7f9333"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "CS-10",
    "body": "Exact score 1–2 · Florgrade FC v Portimonense · 17 Oct 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-10-17",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-01513b3fbae3"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "E-07",
    "body": "Draw at 3.30 · Vitória v Athletico · 24 Oct 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-10-24",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-5492e558bed2"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "E-07",
    "body": "Draw at 3.16 · Botafogo SP v Sport Recife · 31 Oct 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-10-31",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-07dfc958e777"
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    "body": "Primera A, week of 26 Oct 2026: 4/4 result calls right, first of 4 tipsters and sources with 3+ calls · removed 3 Nov 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-11-03",
    "status": "corrected",
    "cause": "recomputed after a correction to the record",
    "provenance": "live"
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 "late": null,
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  "contract_version": "1",
  "threshold_percent": "5",
  "rows": [
   {
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)",
    "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick",
    "compared": 56,
    "above": 11,
    "above_share_percent": "19.6",
    "below": 0,
    "within": 45,
    "median_difference_percent": "2.1",
    "not_comparable": 1,
    "disputed": 1,
    "status": "calculated"
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  "examples": [
   {
    "url": "/authors/theo-becker/picks/91/#pick-n-f76f58a5f6dcf781dde1ecd7",
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "stated": "2.15",
    "market": "1.99",
    "difference_percent": "8.0"
   },
   {
    "url": "/authors/theo-becker/picks/154/#pick-n-2072de52b37a8f5cfc67a9c5",
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "stated": "1.83",
    "market": "1.70",
    "difference_percent": "7.4"
   }
  ],
  "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way."
 },
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "person",
  "entity_words": "Individual author",
  "source": {
   "name": "livetipsportal.com",
   "url": "https://www.livetipsportal.com/pt/palpites/once-caldas-vs-rionegro-aguilas-primera-a-12144361/"
  },
  "observed_from": "2026-10-14",
  "observed_to": "2026-11-07",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "state": "settled",
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price",
  "restored": false,
  "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
  "headline_part": "live",
  "settled_picks": 719,
  "matches": 324,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": -107424,
  "staked_hundredths": 7190000,
  "return_percent": "-1.49",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2026-10-15",
  "period_to": "2026-11-07",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "short_history": false,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 719 settled live picks by Théo Becker before kick-off across 324 matches between 15 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −1.5% on the total staked. Of the 3,649 predictions we hold for Théo Becker, 2,355 are linked to matches: 2,256 were recorded by us before kick-off and 99 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled live picks",
    "value": "719",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "324",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "−1,074.24 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "value": "−1.5%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": "95% interval −8.3% to +5.5%"
   }
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  "limitations": [],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [
   {
    "date": "2026-10-15",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 87614,
    "n": 30
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-17",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -4015,
    "n": 81
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-18",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 154571,
    "n": 128
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-19",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 191376,
    "n": 134
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-20",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 172397,
    "n": 143
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-21",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 230834,
    "n": 160
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-22",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 189940,
    "n": 182
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-23",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 227815,
    "n": 205
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-24",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 84816,
    "n": 323
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-25",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 44218,
    "n": 363
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-26",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 35165,
    "n": 378
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-27",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 43338,
    "n": 383
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-28",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 31841,
    "n": 409
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-29",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -18076,
    "n": 427
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-30",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -25326,
    "n": 434
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-31",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -79811,
    "n": 507
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-01",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -72869,
    "n": 548
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-02",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -97870,
    "n": 576
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-03",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -100616,
    "n": 605
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-04",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -141622,
    "n": 635
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-05",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -207252,
    "n": 677
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-06",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -155063,
    "n": 697
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-07",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -107424,
    "n": 719
   }
  ],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": {
    "part": "live",
    "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.",
    "settled_picks": 719,
    "matches": 324,
    "match_dates": 23,
    "period_from": "2026-10-15",
    "period_to": "2026-11-07",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": -107424,
    "low": {
     "date": "2026-11-05",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -207252,
     "after_picks": 677
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2026-10-21",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 230834,
     "after_picks": 160
    },
    "line_drawn": true,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2026-10-15",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 87614,
      "n": 30,
      "picks": 30
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-17",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -4015,
      "n": 81,
      "picks": 51
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-18",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 154571,
      "n": 128,
      "picks": 47
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-19",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 191376,
      "n": 134,
      "picks": 6
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-20",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 172397,
      "n": 143,
      "picks": 9
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-21",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 230834,
      "n": 160,
      "picks": 17
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-22",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 189940,
      "n": 182,
      "picks": 22
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-23",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 227815,
      "n": 205,
      "picks": 23
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-24",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 84816,
      "n": 323,
      "picks": 118
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-25",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 44218,
      "n": 363,
      "picks": 40
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-26",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 35165,
      "n": 378,
      "picks": 15
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-27",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 43338,
      "n": 383,
      "picks": 5
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-28",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 31841,
      "n": 409,
      "picks": 26
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-29",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -18076,
      "n": 427,
      "picks": 18
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-30",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -25326,
      "n": 434,
      "picks": 7
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-31",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -79811,
      "n": 507,
      "picks": 73
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-01",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -72869,
      "n": 548,
      "picks": 41
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-02",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -97870,
      "n": 576,
      "picks": 28
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-03",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -100616,
      "n": 605,
      "picks": 29
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-04",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -141622,
      "n": 635,
      "picks": 30
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-05",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -207252,
      "n": 677,
      "picks": 42
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-06",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -155063,
      "n": 697,
      "picks": 20
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-07",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -107424,
      "n": 719,
      "picks": 22
     }
    ]
   },
   "archived": null
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 719 settled live picks by Théo Becker before kick-off across 324 matches between 15 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −1.5% on the total staked. Of the 3,649 predictions we hold for Théo Becker, 2,355 are linked to matches: 2,256 were recorded by us before kick-off and 99 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/theo-becker/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "2.2"
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 3649,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 1294,
   "proven_predictions": 2256,
   "proven_checked": 2170,
   "proven_measured": 791,
   "proven_dates": 25,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 2256,
     "checked": 2170,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 719,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 324,
      "net_points_hundredths": -107424,
      "staked_hundredths": 7190000,
      "return_percent": "-1.49",
      "interval_low": "-8.29",
      "interval_high": "5.49",
      "interval_note": null,
      "period_from": "2026-10-15",
      "period_to": "2026-11-07",
      "method_version": "2.2",
      "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0",
      "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "1.9",
      "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 443
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "author_price",
       "picks": 55,
       "return_main_percent": "24.61",
       "return_other_percent": "27.47",
       "settled_excluding_void": 55,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 135370,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 151100,
       "period_from": "2026-10-15",
       "period_to": "2026-11-05"
      },
      {
       "price": "Closing price",
       "series_code": "closing_live",
       "picks": 543,
       "return_main_percent": "-0.37",
       "return_other_percent": "1.47",
       "settled_excluding_void": 543,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -19881,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 79646,
       "period_from": "2026-10-15",
       "period_to": "2026-11-07"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 72,
      "exact_hits": 8,
      "exact_rate": 11.1,
      "outcome_checked": 72,
      "outcome_hits": 45,
      "outcome_rate": 62.5,
      "baseline_matches": 68,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 67,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 42,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 61.8,
      "favourite_hits": 43,
      "favourite_rate": 63.2,
      "price_basis": "our pre-match snapshot",
      "pending": 7,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 4,
      "lines": [
       "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.",
       "8 of 72 score forecasts named the exact score (11.1%).",
       "The result implied by the named score was right in 42 of 68 forecasts; the market favourite was right in 43 of the same 68 forecasts.",
       "Some matches carry more than one of these forecasts: 68 forecasts on 67 matches.",
       "A pre-match market favourite is known for 68 of 72 forecasts; the comparison uses only those.",
       "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest price in our own odds snapshot taken before kick-off.",
       "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win)."
      ]
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 2170,
      "priced": 719
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 719,
      "won": 433,
      "won_percent": "60.2",
      "implied_percent": "61.1",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
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   "quote": "acreditamos que ambas as equipes devem marcar, então nossa segunda dica é \"Ambos os times marcam? Sim\"",
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   "quote": "vitória do Toulouse no mercado 1x2, com a dica principal sendo a opção 2 a odds de 2.39",
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   "published_at": "2026-10-13T00:04:24.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T00:40:09.622Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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   "quote": "e também acreditamos que ambos os times podem marcar",
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   "published_at": "2026-10-13T00:04:22.000Z",
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   "quote": "nosso palpite de apostas é a vitória do Leganés no mercado 1x2",
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   "quote": "Total de Gols\n\nMais de 2,5",
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   "final_score": null,
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   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Acreditamos que a vitória do QPR é uma aposta sólida",
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   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Total de Gols\n\nmenos de 4,5",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "quote": "Nosso palpite de apostas para este jogo é uma vitória do Portsmouth FC (1) e que ambas as equipes marquem gols.",
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   "reason_code": "ambiguous",
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   "published_at": "2026-10-11T00:06:38.000Z",
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   "reason_code": "ambiguous",
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   "quote": "Além disso, acreditamos que ambas as equipes marcarão, portanto, a segunda dica é \"Sim\" para o mercado de \"Ambos os times marcam\", com odds de 1.72.",
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   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "quote": "acreditamos que o Como tem boas chances de vencer, o que torna a odd de 1.98 bastante atrativa.",
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   "quote": "Nosso palpite de apostas para Feyenoord x Como é: vitória do Como no mercado 1x2 e sim para a opção de ambos os times marcarem.",
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  "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off."
 },
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 },
 "title_tag": "Théo Becker Predictions: This Week's Picks & Verified Record",
 "calculator": {
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 },
 "person": {
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 },
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    "composition_hash": "4db73493e2d36c29209c76dd9711e2561e4e5f81ad8ad365214f7fe58578cb94",
    "text": "+0.10% on 149 settled picks across 110 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-25.3",
    "return_percent": "-0.57",
    "settled_picks": 150,
    "matches": 111,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "1d12922cd8b406cb37baaec0109ba956dc2a5bcc088ff7021e7dae03ff9196db",
    "text": "−0.57% on 150 settled picks across 111 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  }
 ],
 "current_predictions": {
  "total_count": 29,
  "on_date": "2026-11-07T19:52",
  "row_list": [
   {
    "record_id": "n-e46814e0dcaf5b6a8f815817",
    "url": "/authors/theo-becker/picks/175/#pick-n-e46814e0dcaf5b6a8f815817",
    "match": "Valencia v Real Madrid",
    "match_url": "/football/matches/valencia-vs-real-madrid-2026-11-07/",
    "kickoff": "2026-11-07T20:00:00.000Z",
    "competition": "LaLiga",
    "author_said": "Over/Under 5.5 goals: under 5.5",
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-07T05:09:13.242Z",
    "platform": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-35b9421a9f9c488225443366",
    "url": "/authors/theo-becker/picks/175/#pick-n-35b9421a9f9c488225443366",
    "match": "Valencia v Real Madrid",
    "match_url": "/football/matches/valencia-vs-real-madrid-2026-11-07/",
    "kickoff": "2026-11-07T20:00:00.000Z",
    "competition": "LaLiga",
    "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5",
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-07T05:09:13.242Z",
    "platform": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-434b61ac73a4f3856f34244a",
    "url": "/authors/theo-becker/picks/175/#pick-n-434b61ac73a4f3856f34244a",
    "match": "Valencia v Real Madrid",
    "match_url": "/football/matches/valencia-vs-real-madrid-2026-11-07/",
    "kickoff": "2026-11-07T20:00:00.000Z",
    "competition": "LaLiga",
    "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5",
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-07T05:09:13.242Z",
    "platform": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-65c6f1cb914f1dad88a505b4",
    "url": "/authors/theo-becker/picks/175/#pick-n-65c6f1cb914f1dad88a505b4",
    "match": "Valencia v Real Madrid",
    "match_url": "/football/matches/valencia-vs-real-madrid-2026-11-07/",
    "kickoff": "2026-11-07T20:00:00.000Z",
    "competition": "LaLiga",
    "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes",
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-07T05:09:13.242Z",
    "platform": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-60039bc568810f494cb815ab",
    "url": "/authors/theo-becker/picks/175/#pick-n-60039bc568810f494cb815ab",
    "match": "Valencia v Real Madrid",
    "match_url": "/football/matches/valencia-vs-real-madrid-2026-11-07/",
    "kickoff": "2026-11-07T20:00:00.000Z",
    "competition": "LaLiga",
    "author_said": "1X2, match result: Real Madrid",
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-07T05:09:13.242Z",
    "platform": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-170af9afd4229f21696e3a8c",
    "url": "/authors/theo-becker/picks/182/#pick-n-170af9afd4229f21696e3a8c",
    "match": "Boca Juniors v Defensa y Justicia",
    "match_url": "/football/matches/boca-juniors-vs-defensa-y-justicia-2026-11-07/",
    "kickoff": "2026-11-07T20:30:00.000Z",
    "competition": "Liga Profesional",
    "author_said": "Over/Under 4.5 goals: under 4.5",
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-07T07:50:47.423Z",
    "platform": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-988468fb8d064e3f4d39b65c",
    "url": "/authors/theo-becker/picks/182/#pick-n-988468fb8d064e3f4d39b65c",
    "match": "Boca Juniors v Defensa y Justicia",
    "match_url": "/football/matches/boca-juniors-vs-defensa-y-justicia-2026-11-07/",
    "kickoff": "2026-11-07T20:30:00.000Z",
    "competition": "Liga Profesional",
    "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5",
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-07T07:50:47.423Z",
    "platform": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-eb9ccd0d9b4b9a4025e4b26e",
    "url": "/authors/theo-becker/picks/182/#pick-n-eb9ccd0d9b4b9a4025e4b26e",
    "match": "Boca Juniors v Defensa y Justicia",
    "match_url": "/football/matches/boca-juniors-vs-defensa-y-justicia-2026-11-07/",
    "kickoff": "2026-11-07T20:30:00.000Z",
    "competition": "Liga Profesional",
    "author_said": "Both teams to score: no",
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-07T07:50:47.423Z",
    "platform": null
   }
  ]
 },
 "counts_by_slice": {
  "portions": [
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    "code": "live",
    "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "settled_picks": 719,
    "total_check": true,
    "market_list": [
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     },
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      "code_name": "both_teams_score",
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      "settled_picks": 154,
      "won": 91,
      "void": 0,
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      "period_from": "2026-10-15",
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      "small_sample": false,
      "average_odds": "1.67",
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      "odds_from_snapshot": 130
     },
     {
      "code_name": "1x2",
      "in_words": "Match result",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 150,
      "won": 83,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 134620,
      "return_percent": "9.0",
      "period_from": "2026-10-15",
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      "small_sample": false,
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      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 118,
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      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -4764,
      "return_percent": "-0.4",
      "period_from": "2026-10-15",
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      "small_sample": false,
      "average_odds": "1.34",
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     },
     {
      "code_name": "both_teams_score_and_result",
      "in_words": "Result and both teams to score",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 1,
      "won": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -10000,
      "return_percent": "-100.0",
      "period_from": "2026-11-01",
      "period_to": "2026-11-01",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "3.50",
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     }
    ],
    "leagues": [
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      "url": "/football/competitions/efl-championship/",
      "settled_picks": 92,
      "won": 53,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -63150,
      "return_percent": "-6.9",
      "period_from": "2026-10-17",
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      "small_sample": false,
      "average_odds": "1.71",
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      "odds_from_snapshot": 89,
      "league_markets": [
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        "settled_picks": 31,
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        "void": 0,
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        "period_from": "2026-10-17",
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        "small_sample": false,
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       },
       {
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        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -18200,
        "return_percent": "-7.6",
        "period_from": "2026-10-17",
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        "small_sample": false,
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        "odds_from_snapshot": 24
       },
       {
        "code_name": "1x2",
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        "settled_picks": 19,
        "won": 8,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -32100,
        "return_percent": "-16.9",
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        "small_sample": false,
        "average_odds": "2.02",
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        "odds_from_snapshot": 18
       },
       {
        "code_name": "both_teams_score",
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        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -18800,
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        "period_from": "2026-10-17",
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        "small_sample": false,
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      ]
     },
     {
      "code_name": "Serie A",
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      "url": "/football/competitions/serie-a/",
      "settled_picks": 75,
      "won": 52,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 127664,
      "return_percent": "17.0",
      "period_from": "2026-10-17",
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      "small_sample": false,
      "average_odds": "1.75",
      "odds_from_author": 4,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 71,
      "league_markets": [
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        "code_name": "total",
        "in_words": "Over/under goals",
        "settled_picks": 36,
        "won": 29,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 114269,
        "return_percent": "31.7",
        "period_from": "2026-10-17",
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        "small_sample": false,
        "average_odds": "1.65",
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       },
       {
        "code_name": "both_teams_score",
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        "won": 9,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -28135,
        "return_percent": "-15.6",
        "period_from": "2026-10-17",
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        "small_sample": false,
        "average_odds": "1.73",
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       },
       {
        "code_name": "1x2",
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        "void": 0,
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        "period_from": "2026-10-18",
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        "small_sample": false,
        "average_odds": "1.98",
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       },
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        "period_from": "2026-10-24",
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       },
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        "period_from": "2026-11-01",
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      ]
     },
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      "code_name": "Brasileiro Série A",
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      "void": 0,
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      "small_sample": false,
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      "odds_from_snapshot": 67,
      "league_markets": [
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        "code_name": "total",
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        "settled_picks": 35,
        "won": 18,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -65449,
        "return_percent": "-18.7",
        "period_from": "2026-10-18",
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        "small_sample": false,
        "average_odds": "1.70",
        "odds_from_author": 0,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 35
       },
       {
        "code_name": "both_teams_score",
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        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -4147,
        "return_percent": "-2.6",
        "period_from": "2026-10-24",
        "period_to": "2026-11-05",
        "small_sample": false,
        "average_odds": "1.74",
        "odds_from_author": 3,
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       },
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        "code_name": "1x2",
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        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -2906,
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        "period_from": "2026-10-18",
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        "small_sample": false,
        "average_odds": "2.20",
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        "code_name": "double_chance",
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        "won": 8,
        "void": 0,
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        "period_from": "2026-10-18",
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        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.30",
        "odds_from_author": 0,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 9
       }
      ]
     },
     {
      "code_name": "Premier League",
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      "url": "/football/competitions/premier-league/",
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      "won": 30,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 6881,
      "return_percent": "1.4",
      "period_from": "2026-10-17",
      "period_to": "2026-11-07",
      "small_sample": false,
      "average_odds": "1.76",
      "odds_from_author": 8,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 42,
      "league_markets": [
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        "code_name": "total",
        "in_words": "Over/under goals",
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        "won": 11,
        "void": 0,
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        "return_percent": "-18.2",
        "period_from": "2026-10-17",
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        "small_sample": false,
        "average_odds": "1.85",
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        "odds_from_snapshot": 21
       },
       {
        "code_name": "1x2",
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        "won": 10,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 96531,
        "return_percent": "87.8",
        "period_from": "2026-10-17",
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        "small_sample": false,
        "average_odds": "2.07",
        "odds_from_author": 4,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 7
       },
       {
        "code_name": "both_teams_score",
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        "won": 3,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -40636,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-17",
        "period_to": "2026-11-02",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.63",
        "odds_from_author": 4,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 5
       },
       {
        "code_name": "double_chance",
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        "settled_picks": 9,
        "won": 6,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -10830,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-17",
        "period_to": "2026-11-07",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.32",
        "odds_from_author": 0,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 9
       }
      ]
     },
     {
      "code_name": "Primera A",
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      "url": "/football/competitions/primera-a/",
      "settled_picks": 48,
      "won": 27,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -51142,
      "return_percent": "-10.7",
      "period_from": "2026-10-18",
      "period_to": "2026-11-04",
      "small_sample": false,
      "average_odds": "1.77",
      "odds_from_author": 2,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 46,
      "league_markets": [
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        "code_name": "total",
        "in_words": "Over/under goals",
        "settled_picks": 21,
        "won": 10,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -54458,
        "return_percent": "-25.9",
        "period_from": "2026-10-20",
        "period_to": "2026-11-04",
        "small_sample": false,
        "average_odds": "1.84",
        "odds_from_author": 0,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 21
       },
       {
        "code_name": "both_teams_score",
        "in_words": "Both teams to score",
        "settled_picks": 11,
        "won": 4,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -42402,
        "return_percent": "-38.5",
        "period_from": "2026-10-18",
        "period_to": "2026-11-04",
        "small_sample": false,
        "average_odds": "1.78",
        "odds_from_author": 1,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 10
       },
       {
        "code_name": "double_chance",
        "in_words": "Double chance",
        "settled_picks": 11,
        "won": 10,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 21118,
        "return_percent": "19.2",
        "period_from": "2026-10-18",
        "period_to": "2026-11-04",
        "small_sample": false,
        "average_odds": "1.32",
        "odds_from_author": 0,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 11
       },
       {
        "code_name": "1x2",
        "in_words": "Match result",
        "settled_picks": 5,
        "won": 3,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 24600,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-18",
        "period_to": "2026-11-04",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "2.45",
        "odds_from_author": 1,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 4
       }
      ]
     },
     {
      "code_name": "LaLiga",
      "in_words": "LaLiga",
      "url": "/football/competitions/laliga/",
      "settled_picks": 46,
      "won": 28,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -13882,
      "return_percent": "-3.0",
      "period_from": "2026-10-17",
      "period_to": "2026-11-06",
      "small_sample": false,
      "average_odds": "1.82",
      "odds_from_author": 4,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 42,
      "league_markets": [
       {
        "code_name": "total",
        "in_words": "Over/under goals",
        "settled_picks": 22,
        "won": 12,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -22950,
        "return_percent": "-10.4",
        "period_from": "2026-10-17",
        "period_to": "2026-11-02",
        "small_sample": false,
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