{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "author", "url": "/authors/thanasis-kritikos/", "canonical": "/authors/thanasis-kritikos/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Thanasis Kritikos: Football Prediction Record", "description": "Thanasis Kritikos: 162 statements recorded by Forecast Record. Every statement with its source and the rule applied to it.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Forecast Record has recorded 162 statements by Thanasis Kritikos, including 162 predictions. Of the 162 predictions we hold for Thanasis Kritikos, 1 was archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 161 from the source’s own history. Every settled pick in this record comes from the source’s own published history. 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They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "author" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "entity": { "id": "e-d4051ca9cac93ef99404b1f9", "public_name": "Thanasis Kritikos", "tracker_number": 4049, "status": "active", "inactive_since": null, "verified_creator": false, "observation_period": { "since": "2026-10-12", "until": "2026-10-13" }, "platform_list": [ { "medium": "website", "handle": null, "url": null, "link_confirmed": false, "show": true } ], "comment": null }, "headline_number": { "metric": { "metric_id": "p-e-d4051ca9cac93ef99404b1f9-roi-market-price-90d-z99", "code_name": "roi_market_price", "display_name": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot", "window_kind": "90d", "window_from": "2026-08-09", "window_to": "2026-11-07", "amount": null, "unit": "percent", "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "no pick in this window has been settled", "n_bets": 0, "n_events": 0, "n_void": null, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "ci_method": "not_estimated", "price_source": "market_price", "coverage_percent": null, "breakdown": [], "methodology_version": "2.2", "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "enough_for_ranking": false, "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 0 settled picks across 0 matches", "average_odds": null, "odds_from_author": null, "odds_from_snapshot": null }, "metrics": [], "history": [], "simulation": { "series_key": null, "series_label": "No level stake placed", "bankroll_hundredths": 1000000, "reserve_hundredths": 0, "issued_total_hundredths": 1000000, "initial_hundredths": 1000000, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "top_up_count": 0, "profit_hundredths": 0, "rewards_off": null, "data_points": [], "top_ups": [], "rule": "Every tracked author starts with 10,000 points and stakes 100 per qualifying pick. This author has 0 settled bets, so the bankroll stands at its starting value." }, "simulations": [], "completeness": { "detected": 162, "recognised": 162, "accepted": 162, "executed": 162, "calculated": 154, "gaps": [] }, "record_counts": { "dictionary_version": "1", "statements": 162, "of_them_restored": 162, "not_predictions": { "opinions": 0, "not_about_a_match": 0, "unclassified": 0 }, "predictions": 162, "predictions_restored": 162, "matches": 0, "admitted": 162, "qualifying_picks": 162, "qualifying_picks_restored": 162, "settled_picks": 154, "settled_picks_restored": 154, "series_list": [ { "code_name": "retro_author_price", "derived": false, "is_restored": true, "qualifying_picks": 162, "settled_picks": 154, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 8, "matches": 154, "operations_settled": 154, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "retro-1.0" ], "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price" }, { "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm", "derived": false, "is_restored": true, "qualifying_picks": 159, "settled_picks": 151, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 8, "matches": 151, "operations_settled": 151, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "retro-1.1" ], "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" } ], "gaps": [], "duplicates": 0, "junk": {}, "dictionary_url": "/methodology/#words" }, "evidence_items": [ { "observation_id": "n-f52488ee4ba3229d8c6646f5", "url": "/authors/thanasis-kritikos/picks/10/#pick-n-f52488ee4ba3229d8c6646f5", "quote_text": "Χ\n\nΑπόδοση: 3.40", "fragment_from": 342, "fragment_to": 358, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.kingbet.net/prognostika/sosiedad-athletik-mpilmpao-011125/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Thanasis Kritikos", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "2eb55d4586ccdab9edde42b121df9a3fb015e3336d71e87f5e5c25a543fdb946", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-10-31T13:11:05.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-13T17:55:30.962Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:57:53.356Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Real Sociedad v Athletic Club", "competition_name": "LaLiga", "starts_at": "2025-11-01T17:30:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "3-2" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "draw", "odds_set": { "by_author": "3.4", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "2.9300", "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "source_reported_history", "provenance_words": "Source-reported history", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-10-31T13:11:05.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-10-31T13:11:05.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-13T17:55:30.962Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "source_reported_history", "origin_words": "Source-reported history", "added_on": "Added to our record on 13 Oct 2026", "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "author_odds": "3.4", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "X", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.4" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "3-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Real Sociedad 3-2 Athletic Club." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "76a6549358cf6572ed9f1cb3b39fb8afcc183a4270959e65a4b0e1f91d22d276", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": "3.4", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:57:53.356Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "c70deb3a43f8755c14c764ed971116fa5b492fe4492b86484d8e104e0dd52c14", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": "2.9300", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:57:53.356Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Thanasis Kritikos", "publisher": "Kingbet", "forecaster": "Thanasis Kritikos", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.kingbet.net/prognostika/sosiedad-athletik-mpilmpao-011125/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-81154b3371f466c646b5579b", "url": "/authors/thanasis-kritikos/picks/10/#pick-n-81154b3371f466c646b5579b", "quote_text": "Over 1.5 γκολ: Αθλέτικ\n\nΑπόδοση: 1.80", "fragment_from": 338, "fragment_to": 375, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.kingbet.net/prognostika/athletik-mpilmpao-oviedo-091125/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Thanasis Kritikos", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "96ece471e3f787eea793b2e476eb23c756a2f385f5977220e55e4cee8aa7dbd9", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-11-08T09:14:12.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-13T17:52:19.588Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": "disputed_reading", "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Athletic Club v Real Oviedo", "competition_name": "LaLiga", "starts_at": "2025-11-09T13:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": null }, "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5", "outcome_label": "Athletic Club over 1.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.8", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "1.9000", "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "unknown", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "source_reported_history", "provenance_words": "Source-reported history", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-11-08T09:14:12.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-11-08T09:14:12.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-13T17:52:19.588Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "source_reported_history", "origin_words": "Source-reported history", "added_on": "Added to our record on 13 Oct 2026", "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5", "choice": "Athletic Club over 1.5", "author_odds": "1.8", "market_key": "team_total", "choice_key": "1-over", "period": "match", "line": "1.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Team goals over/under 1.5: Athletic Club over 1.5 at 1.8" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "unknown", "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "2020a9e1fa72d8bea9dda283a0c8aa92dd2decd7487a9250c293a4371a238175", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5", "choice": "Athletic Club over 1.5", "decimal_odds": "1.8", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": "unknown", "result_words": "Pending", "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-10-19T18:51:15.943Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "ae75d88d516f312d827366543f55a24188cb2e5b3ffecc58feb484caef36d8b9", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Team goals over/under 1.5", "choice": "Athletic Club over 1.5", "decimal_odds": "1.9000", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": "unknown", "result_words": "Pending", "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-10-19T18:51:15.943Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Thanasis Kritikos", "publisher": "Kingbet", "forecaster": "Thanasis Kritikos", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.kingbet.net/prognostika/athletik-mpilmpao-oviedo-091125/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-7cd43816482e8c519199b222", "url": "/authors/thanasis-kritikos/picks/9/#pick-n-7cd43816482e8c519199b222", "quote_text": "1\n\nΑπόδοση: 2.16", "fragment_from": 313, "fragment_to": 329, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.kingbet.net/prognostika/valenthia-levante-211125/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Thanasis Kritikos", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "4ddffa7d23273ab56c38d5bd20d9809e4dda3e9b01e6c741fe2ded549a230860", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-11-20T13:27:38.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-13T17:51:35.942Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:58:27.551Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Valencia v Levante UD", "competition_name": "LaLiga", "starts_at": "2025-11-21T20:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "1-0" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Valencia", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.16", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "2.0500", "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 10500, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "source_reported_history", "provenance_words": "Source-reported history", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-11-20T13:27:38.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-11-20T13:27:38.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-13T17:51:35.942Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "source_reported_history", "origin_words": "Source-reported history", "added_on": "Added to our record on 13 Oct 2026", "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Valencia", "author_odds": "2.16", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Valencia at 2.16" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Valencia 1-0 Levante UD." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "4c835f9987ae4aaf37598137ccc096ad91eaef0d782150c6810be6b72cbfba0c", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Valencia", "decimal_odds": "2.16", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 11600, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:58:27.551Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "bef3ecf29951105ab1580969324f72406ff654cedfb13889033ba2c21028b2c4", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Valencia", "decimal_odds": "2.0500", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 10500, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:58:27.551Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Thanasis Kritikos", "publisher": "Kingbet", "forecaster": "Thanasis Kritikos", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.kingbet.net/prognostika/valenthia-levante-211125/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-9589cd78ac179f4461d6092d", "url": "/authors/thanasis-kritikos/picks/9/#pick-n-9589cd78ac179f4461d6092d", "quote_text": "2\n\nΑπόδοση: 1.63", "fragment_from": 321, "fragment_to": 337, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.kingbet.net/prognostika/alaves-real-madritis-141225/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Thanasis Kritikos", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "82c3333cd766e46b56941c5f552e0c43ea469d8941a83a8e9a445d1f3de73f9b", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-12-13T17:45:55.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-13T17:44:30.972Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:59:54.837Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { 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"Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "1.75", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:59:03.364Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "10a681efa60f7bbf656e746ed9988c3d2191a75ec87db4674825566819ddf0f2", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "1.7600", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:59:03.364Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "137", "publisher": "Kingbet", "forecaster": "137", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.kingbet.net/prognostika/sevilli-mpetis-301125/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-92485b0d83411ed52fb98c13", "url": "/authors/thanasis-kritikos/picks/6/#pick-n-92485b0d83411ed52fb98c13", "quote_text": "2+G/G στο 2.58", "fragment_from": 8612, "fragment_to": 8626, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.kingbet.net/prognostika/xirona-real-madritis-301125/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Thanasis Kritikos", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "5cf2e1439e737a2294a71c69aa732fd228d40c836679b049a6db6eac4a1127c4", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-11-29T17:24:52.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-12T20:34:34.351Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:59:05.407Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Girona v Real Madrid", "competition_name": "LaLiga", "starts_at": "2025-11-30T20:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "1-1" }, "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score", "outcome_label": "Real Madrid win, both teams to score: yes", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.58", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "2.3750", "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "source_reported_history", "provenance_words": "Source-reported history", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-11-29T17:24:52.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-11-29T17:24:52.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-12T20:34:34.351Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "source_reported_history", "origin_words": "Source-reported history", "added_on": "Added to our record on 12 Oct 2026", "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score", "choice": "Real Madrid win, both teams to score: yes", "author_odds": "2.58", "market_key": "both_teams_score_and_result", "choice_key": "2-yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Match result and both teams to score: Real Madrid win, both teams to score: yes at 2.58" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Girona 1-1 Real Madrid." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "773a32c53667ec13dd44a91901b09a732667330ac2fb0908608361c667b8edb3", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score", "choice": "Real Madrid win, both teams to score: yes", "decimal_odds": "2.58", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:59:05.407Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "6944b7a7c52a8cac1478cc6825dfdcd3ba461e2d205d9814f7fcf586146109ba", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score", "choice": "Real Madrid win, both teams to score: yes", "decimal_odds": "2.3750", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:59:05.407Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "137", "publisher": "Kingbet", "forecaster": "137", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.kingbet.net/prognostika/xirona-real-madritis-301125/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null } ], "standing": null, "retro": { "restored_total": 154, "of_them_archived_pre_match": 0, "found_post_match": 0, "of_them_source_reported": 154, "live_count": 0, "date_count": 76, "span_from": "2025-11-01", "span_to": "2026-05-23", "line_text": "restored history: 154, of which pre-match archive 0", "body": "We re-read what this author published before Champions League, Europa League, Conference League and LaLiga matches between 1 November 2025 and 23 May 2026 and settled it against the final score. Restored picks: 154. Backed by a copy of the page in an independent web archive taken before kick-off: 0. Taken from the source’s own published history, published before kick-off by the source’s own date: 154. Found after the match, with the publication date as stated by the source: 0. The market price at the moment of publication cannot be reconstructed, so restored picks are shown as reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), not at the closing price, for the pre-match archive and the later finds separately; the author's quoted price and, where it exists, the aggregator closing price are compared with it on the same picks. Authors can delete losing picks, so restored history may look better than it was.", "precision": { "n": 154, "share": "0.5714" }, "series_list": [ { "code_name": "retro_author_price", "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "n": 154, "roi": "9.8117", "ci_low": "-6.0779", "ci_high": "24.9545", "data_status": "calculated", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "cause": null }, { "code_name": "retro_market_closing", "display_name": "Restored, at the closing market price", "n": 0, "roi": null, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "data_status": "unknown", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "cause": "no restored pick with this price" }, { "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm", "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "n": 151, "roi": "10.0563", "ci_low": "-5.6291", "ci_high": "25.3046", "data_status": "calculated", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "cause": null } ], "clv": { "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the market price at the moment of publication is unknown for restored picks; the author's quoted price against the aggregator closing price is compared on the same picks in each part of the record above" }, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "leagues": [ "Champions League", "Europa League", "Conference League", "LaLiga" ], "source_list": "Results: the official regulation-time score, checked against a second data provider for 0 settled restored picks and forecasts, and the two agree; 154 come from one provider only. Prices: the aggregator closing price and the second data provider's last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), as a separate series; each provider is its own series and they are never averaged." }, "late": null, "price_vs_market": null, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "kingbet.net", "url": "https://www.kingbet.net/prognostika/sosiedad-athletik-mpilmpao-011125/" }, "observed_from": "2026-10-12", "observed_to": "2026-10-13", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "none", "series_code": null, "series": null, "restored": false, "headline_kind": null, "headline_part": null, "settled_picks": 0, "matches": 0, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": null, "staked_hundredths": null, "return_percent": null, "stake_per_pick_hundredths": null, "period_from": null, "period_to": null, "status": "unknown", "method_version": null, "short_history": true, "reason": "every settled pick in this record comes from the source’s own published history", "reasons": [ { "code": "disputed_reading", "predictions": 8, "words": "unstaked" } ], "sentence": "Forecast Record has recorded 162 statements by Thanasis Kritikos, including 162 predictions. Of the 162 predictions we hold for Thanasis Kritikos, 1 was archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 161 from the source’s own history. Every settled pick in this record comes from the source’s own published history. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Statements", "value": "162", "anchor": "/methodology/#statement", "note": null }, { "label": "Predictions", "value": "162", "anchor": "/methodology/#prediction", "note": null } ], "limitations": [ "Most of this history comes from the source’s own published record: 161 predictions dated by the source. 151 of them are settled in a historical price series; titles and rankings use the live record." ], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": null, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record has recorded 162 statements by Thanasis Kritikos, including 162 predictions. Of the 162 predictions we hold for Thanasis Kritikos, 1 was archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 161 from the source’s own history. Every settled pick in this record comes from the source’s own published history. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/thanasis-kritikos/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": null }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 162, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 0, "proven_predictions": 1, "proven_checked": 0, "proven_measured": 0, "proven_dates": 0, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 1, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "source_reported", "title": "Source-reported history", "explanation": "The time and the pick are known only from the source’s own history; it is the basis of the record check and never part of the evidenced total.", "predictions": 161, "checked": 154, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": { "settled_picks": 151, "void": 0, "matches": 151, "net_points_hundredths": 151850, "staked_hundredths": 1510000, "return_percent": "10.06", "interval_low": "-4.83", "interval_high": "26.63", "interval_note": null, "period_from": "2025-11-01", "period_to": "2026-05-23", "method_version": "retro-1.1" }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "retro_author_price", "picks": 151, "return_main_percent": "10.06", "return_other_percent": "11.99", "settled_excluding_void": 151, "net_main_points_hundredths": 151850, "net_other_points_hundredths": 181100, "period_from": "2025-11-01", "period_to": "2026-05-23" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 154, "priced": 151 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 151, "won": 88, "won_percent": "58.3", "implied_percent": "52.1", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Both teams to score", "won": 26, "picks": 44, "implied_percent": "55.7" }, { "market": "Over/under goals", "won": 30, "picks": 44, "implied_percent": "56.7" }, { "market": "Match result", "won": 19, "picks": 39, "implied_percent": "45.0" }, { "market": "Double chance", "won": 9, "picks": 14, "implied_percent": "56.2" }, { "market": "Result and total goals", "won": 3, "picks": 8, "implied_percent": "37.6" }, { "market": "Result and both teams to score", "won": 1, "picks": 2, "implied_percent": "43.0" } ] } } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [], "caption": "Recorded statements and predictions · as of 7 November 2026", "record_from": "2025-11-01", "record_to": "2026-05-23" }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-0d323c569bad99ae3a4a63c6", "url": null, "match": "Mallorca v Real Oviedo", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-05-23T19:00:00.000Z", "competition": "LaLiga", "lead_hours": -3426.7, "market_code": "both_teams_score_and_result", "author_said": "Match result and both teams to score: Mallorca win, both teams to score: no at 2.33", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "3-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 12750, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": "2.33", "settled_price": "2.2750", "published_at": "2026-05-22T12:32:02.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T13:44:44.094Z", "origin": "Source-reported history", "record_part": "source_reported", "record_part_words": "Source-reported history", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-130fc2f60bed339c547e52c0", "url": null, "match": "Deportivo Alavés v Rayo Vallecano", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-05-23T19:00:00.000Z", "competition": "LaLiga", "lead_hours": -3409.3, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.98", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "1-2", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 10000, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": "1.98", "settled_price": "2.0000", "published_at": "2026-05-22T11:36:32.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T20:18:49.501Z", "origin": "Source-reported history", "record_part": "source_reported", "record_part_words": "Source-reported history", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-980541f434b639dea13fb94d", "url": null, "match": "Real Betis v Levante UD", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-05-23T19:00:00.000Z", "competition": "LaLiga", "lead_hours": -3409.3, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.68", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "2-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 6150, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": "1.68", "settled_price": "1.6150", "published_at": "2026-05-22T11:39:39.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T20:18:48.944Z", "origin": "Source-reported history", "record_part": "source_reported", "record_part_words": "Source-reported history", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-699bbe0bc28729aef0f853ca", "url": null, "match": "Valencia v FC Barcelona", "match_url": null, 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