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no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-949f8d31cc9d99aadd47a82b", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-949f8d31cc9d99aadd47a82b", "quote_text": "\"It helped that I had a home within a week. I live a 20-minute drive from the club, on a nice street in a pleasant neighborhood. More team-mates live there.\"", "fragment_from": 2369, "fragment_to": 2526, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.chroniclelive.co.uk/sport/football/football-news/secret-behind-sean-steurs-instant-34680455", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Stuart Jamieson", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "2134ebbb34417e2955432ee9ef3ad9d5d149e9397b81b6321dc50f3b2eda8ba1", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-09-28T07:54:17.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T07:59:15.212Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "opinion", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-09-28T07:54:17.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-09-28T07:54:17.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T07:59:15.212Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null } ], "excluded_from_feed": { "ads": 0, "service": 1, "ruleset_version": "3" }, "standing": null, "retro": null, "late": null, "price_vs_market": null, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "chroniclelive.co.uk", "url": "https://www.chroniclelive.co.uk/sport/football/football-news/newcastle-uniteds-seven-point-minimum-34741704" }, "observed_from": "2026-09-26", "observed_to": "2026-11-06", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "none", "series_code": null, "series": null, "restored": false, "headline_kind": null, "headline_part": null, "settled_picks": 0, "matches": 0, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": null, "staked_hundredths": null, "return_percent": null, "stake_per_pick_hundredths": null, "period_from": null, "period_to": null, "status": "unknown", "method_version": null, "short_history": true, "reason": "2 predictions are a score forecast without a price and 1 prediction is in other markets", "reasons": [ { "code": "score_without_price", "predictions": 2, "words": "score forecast without a price" }, { "code": "not_supported", "predictions": 1, "words": "other market" } ], "sentence": "Forecast Record has recorded 121 statements by Stuart Jamieson, including 3 predictions. Of the 3 predictions we hold for Stuart Jamieson, 2 are linked to matches: 2 were recorded by us before kick-off. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Statements", "value": "121", "anchor": "/methodology/#statement", "note": null }, { "label": "Predictions", "value": "3", "anchor": "/methodology/#prediction", "note": null } ], "limitations": [], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": null, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record has recorded 121 statements by Stuart Jamieson, including 3 predictions. Of the 3 predictions we hold for Stuart Jamieson, 2 are linked to matches: 2 were recorded by us before kick-off. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/stuart-jamieson/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": null }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 3, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 1, "proven_predictions": 2, "proven_checked": 2, "proven_measured": 2, "proven_dates": 2, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 2, "checked": 2, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 2, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": 0.0, "outcome_checked": 2, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": 0.0, "baseline_matches": 1, "baseline_distinct_matches": 1, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 0.0, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": 0.0, "price_basis": "our pre-match snapshot", "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [ "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.", "0 of 2 score forecasts named the exact score.", "The result implied by the named score was right in 0 of 1 match; the market favourite was right in 0 of the same match.", "A pre-match market favourite is known for 1 of 2 forecasts; the comparison uses only those.", "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest price in our own odds snapshot taken before kick-off.", "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win)." ] }, "eligible": { "checked": 2, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [], "caption": "Recorded statements and predictions · as of 7 November 2026", "record_from": "2026-09-26", "record_to": "2026-11-06" }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-58705a3066a4ad5ac10d198a", "url": "/authors/stuart-jamieson/#pick-n-58705a3066a4ad5ac10d198a", "match": "Newcastle United v Aston Villa", "match_url": "/football/matches/newcastle-united-vs-aston-villa-2026-10-17/", "kickoff": "2026-10-17T16:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": 173.4, "market_code": "correct_score_market", "author_said": "Correct score: Newcastle United 2-1 Aston Villa", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "0-1", "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score", "reason_code": "score_without_price", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-10T11:06:21.002Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "1", "price": "2.0800", "result": "Lost", "points_hundredths": -10000, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-58705a3066a4ad5ac10d198a", "quote_text": "Prediction: Newcastle United 2-1 Aston Villa", "fragment_from": 3110, "fragment_to": 3154, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.chroniclelive.co.uk/sport/football/football-news/newcastle-uniteds-seven-point-minimum-34741704", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Stuart Jamieson", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "5f12129c7d06eb1ecab015e31390fc6b28d8a347e63e62d289950767ac384afd", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-10T11:06:21.002Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-b276cafca276", "display_name": "Newcastle United — Aston Villa", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2026-10-17T16:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/newcastle-united-vs-aston-villa-2026-10-17/", "scoreline": "0-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "Newcastle United 2-1 Aston Villa", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-10T11:06:21.002Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Newcastle United 2-1 Aston Villa", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "2-1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Newcastle United 2-1 Aston Villa" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Newcastle United 0-1 Aston Villa." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "14b9dbc7e353af39009a0365f249c291b6c26701511dfd95e9efbf9d6d8f04df", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Newcastle United", "decimal_odds": "2.0800", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-10T23:10:40.842Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Stuart Jamieson", "publisher": "ChronicleLive", "forecaster": "Stuart Jamieson", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the 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