{
 "schema_name": "page",
 "schema_version": "2.0",
 "page_type": "history",
 "url": "/authors/steffen-wilkens/picks/16/",
 "canonical": "/authors/steffen-wilkens/picks/16/",
 "language": "en",
 "hreflang": [],
 "translations": [],
 "heading": "Steffen Wilkens — football predictions, page 16 of 16",
 "description": "Predictions 281–297 of 297 by Steffen Wilkens, with outcomes in words and links to the evidence.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Page 16 of 16 of the predictions by Steffen Wilkens recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 281–297 of 297 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of 7 November 2026. Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.",
  "key_number": "297",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
 "indexable": false,
 "noindex_reason": "too_few_settled",
 "indexing_threshold": {
  "settled_count": 0,
  "date_count": 0,
  "required_settled": 0,
  "required_dates": 0
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-07T07:23:48.684Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "f102ed2ca63c28d8671452e0c4a749a0089d9bee379e29f236b7bb80a9fc1a26",
 "dependency_group": "author:e-2f95fcfa3aa6a410ff70af6e",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
  {
   "type_code": "WebPage",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "Organization",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  }
 ],
 "exports": [
  {
   "type_code": "json",
   "url": "/authors/steffen-wilkens/picks/16/index.json",
   "bytes": null
  }
 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": false,
  "api": true,
  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": null,
 "restrictions": {
  "name_withdrawn": false,
  "tracker_number": null,
  "withdrawn_quotes": [],
  "removed_at": null,
  "cause": null,
  "suspended_records": [],
  "withdrawal_log_number": 0
 },
 "page_links": {
  "methodology": "/methodology/",
  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
 },
 "entity": {
  "id": "e-2f95fcfa3aa6a410ff70af6e",
  "public_name": "Steffen Wilkens",
  "tracker_number": 2767,
  "status": "active",
  "inactive_since": null,
  "verified_creator": false,
  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-10-09",
   "until": "2026-10-16"
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "medium": "website",
    "handle": null,
    "url": null,
    "link_confirmed": false,
    "show": true
   }
  ],
  "comment": null
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-c303c537e9d8cb434f1f3dc9",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Doppelte Chance 1X & Unter 3,5 Tore\n\nmittel\n\n1.93 bei Oddset",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-10-23T06:17:40.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T02:10:31.727Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-e75a908c391fd56c3469bb60",
   "url": "/authors/steffen-wilkens/picks/16/#pick-n-e75a908c391fd56c3469bb60",
   "match": "Olympique Lyonnais v Basel",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-10-23T16:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Europa League",
   "lead_hours": -8553.4,
   "market_code": "team_total",
   "author_said": "Team goals over/under 0.5: Basel under 0.5 at 2.67",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "2-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 16200,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "2.67",
   "settled_price": "2.6200",
   "published_at": "2025-10-23T06:17:40.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T02:10:31.727Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-e75a908c391fd56c3469bb60",
    "quote_text": "Basel Unter 0,5 Tore\n\nhoch\n\n2.67 bei Betano",
    "fragment_from": 2582,
    "fragment_to": 2625,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/lyon-vs-fc-basel-tipp-prognose-quoten-23-10-2025-europa-league",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Steffen Wilkens",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "6c081136dd29f88dffb65bc927d95288eba433676cd09dd4b0d3c39293ccfd31",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-10-23T06:17:40.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-15T02:10:31.727Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-10-24T07:34:18.468Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Olympique Lyonnais v Basel",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League",
     "starts_at": "2025-10-23T16:45:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "2-0"
    },
    "market_label": "Team goals over/under 0.5",
    "outcome_label": "Basel under 0.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.67",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.6200",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 16200,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-10-23T06:17:40.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-10-23T06:17:40.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-15T02:10:31.727Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Team goals over/under 0.5",
     "choice": "Basel under 0.5",
     "author_odds": "2.67",
     "market_key": "team_total",
     "choice_key": "2-under",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "0.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Team goals over/under 0.5: Basel under 0.5 at 2.67"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Olympique Lyonnais 2-0 Basel."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "2d33152852de6eb112824c79899a33a4956aa82ce39d06532839ac5bb1f2ee66",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Team goals over/under 0.5",
      "choice": "Basel under 0.5",
      "decimal_odds": "2.67",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 16700,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-24T07:34:18.456Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "70c9a9cc448c7b1759b406b5e014446279fb6af2262126398898df86834334b6",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Team goals over/under 0.5",
      "choice": "Basel under 0.5",
      "decimal_odds": "2.6200",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 16200,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-24T07:34:18.468Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Steffen Wilkens",
     "publisher": "wettbasis.com",
     "forecaster": "Steffen Wilkens",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/lyon-vs-fc-basel-tipp-prognose-quoten-23-10-2025-europa-league",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Basel under 0.5 (Team goals over/under 0.5)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-b2523315a35bfe28510412ab",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Beide treffen: Nein\n\nMittel\n\n2.05 bei Bet-at-home",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-01-29T06:57:49.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:04:37.757Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-b6689ef08d874817b30ec3dc",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Unter 2,5 Tore\n\nMittel\n\n1.90 bei Oddset",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-01-29T06:57:49.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:04:37.757Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-f7917182667b8d5268ef16b3",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Nottingham < 1,5 Tore\n\nMittel\n\n2.07 bei Betano",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-01-29T06:57:49.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:04:37.757Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-5fa38c30a22d06cc336b745a",
   "url": "/authors/steffen-wilkens/picks/16/#pick-n-5fa38c30a22d06cc336b745a",
   "match": "Nottingham Forest v FC Porto",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-04-16T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Europa League",
   "lead_hours": -4376.1,
   "market_code": "team_total",
   "author_said": "Team goals over/under 0.5: Nottingham Forest under 0.5 at 3.35",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "3.35",
   "settled_price": "3.2750",
   "published_at": "2026-04-16T06:06:01.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:04:39.875Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-5fa38c30a22d06cc336b745a",
    "quote_text": "Nottingham Unter 0,5 Tore\n\nhoch\n\n3.35 bei Interwetten",
    "fragment_from": 2785,
    "fragment_to": 2838,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/nottingham-vs-porto-tipp-prognose-quoten-16-04-2026-europa-league",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Steffen Wilkens",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "4a5a33be949865c1d92bddd773f5c040dec69dca53db77939e2acaa24781e675",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-04-16T06:06:01.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:04:39.875Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:50.476Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Nottingham Forest v FC Porto",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League",
     "starts_at": "2026-04-16T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "1-0"
    },
    "market_label": "Team goals over/under 0.5",
    "outcome_label": "Nottingham Forest under 0.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "3.35",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "3.2750",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-04-16T06:06:01.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-04-16T06:06:01.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:04:39.875Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Team goals over/under 0.5",
     "choice": "Nottingham Forest under 0.5",
     "author_odds": "3.35",
     "market_key": "team_total",
     "choice_key": "1-under",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "0.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Team goals over/under 0.5: Nottingham Forest under 0.5 at 3.35"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "1-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Nottingham Forest 1-0 FC Porto."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "b0ea856fc37c2d2c292da5397cdae006a7618225d6f57c29c247f089e547ed28",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Team goals over/under 0.5",
      "choice": "Nottingham Forest under 0.5",
      "decimal_odds": "3.35",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:50.471Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "e7f661f3fb79be805ed3ad909eb4658d94c290cbe7581cff065b7e3ddfabdc0f",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Team goals over/under 0.5",
      "choice": "Nottingham Forest under 0.5",
      "decimal_odds": "3.2750",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:50.476Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Steffen Wilkens",
     "publisher": "Wettbasis",
     "forecaster": "Steffen Wilkens",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/nottingham-vs-porto-tipp-prognose-quoten-16-04-2026-europa-league",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Nottingham Forest under 0.5 (Team goals over/under 0.5)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-62bf666a5806b39ba4627dde",
   "url": "/authors/steffen-wilkens/picks/16/#pick-n-62bf666a5806b39ba4627dde",
   "match": "Nottingham Forest v FC Porto",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-04-16T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Europa League",
   "lead_hours": -4376.1,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score",
   "author_said": "Both teams to score: no at 1.78",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "1-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 8000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.78",
   "settled_price": "1.8000",
   "published_at": "2026-04-16T06:06:01.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:04:39.875Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-62bf666a5806b39ba4627dde",
    "quote_text": "Beide Teams treffen - Nein\n\nmittel\n\n1.78 bei Winamax",
    "fragment_from": 2840,
    "fragment_to": 2892,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/nottingham-vs-porto-tipp-prognose-quoten-16-04-2026-europa-league",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Steffen Wilkens",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "4a5a33be949865c1d92bddd773f5c040dec69dca53db77939e2acaa24781e675",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-04-16T06:06:01.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:04:39.875Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:50.487Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Nottingham Forest v FC Porto",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League",
     "starts_at": "2026-04-16T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "1-0"
    },
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "no",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.78",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.8000",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 8000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-04-16T06:06:01.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-04-16T06:06:01.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:04:39.875Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
     "choice": "no",
     "author_odds": "1.78",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score",
     "choice_key": "no",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Both teams to score: no at 1.78"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "1-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Nottingham Forest 1-0 FC Porto."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "c1367f5479ea5eaf02d6c1508f075348f232580dd3f5795c2d0065c019c85a40",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "no",
      "decimal_odds": "1.78",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 7800,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:50.482Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "bf9b46b00c4fd0c87a7fcab4efd172ac90827bb27d2121cc9eabb1e7de8610ae",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "no",
      "decimal_odds": "1.8000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 8000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:50.487Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Steffen Wilkens",
     "publisher": "Wettbasis",
     "forecaster": "Steffen Wilkens",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/nottingham-vs-porto-tipp-prognose-quoten-16-04-2026-europa-league",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "no (Both teams to score)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-d2c15b646a698d1b88513104",
   "url": "/authors/steffen-wilkens/picks/16/#pick-n-d2c15b646a698d1b88513104",
   "match": "Nottingham Forest v FC Porto",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-04-16T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Europa League",
   "lead_hours": -4376.1,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 1.65",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "1-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 6100,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.65",
   "settled_price": "1.6100",
   "published_at": "2026-04-16T06:06:01.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:04:39.875Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-d2c15b646a698d1b88513104",
    "quote_text": "Unter 2,5 Tore\n\nBetano\n\n1.65\nQuote",
    "fragment_from": 500,
    "fragment_to": 534,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/nottingham-vs-porto-tipp-prognose-quoten-16-04-2026-europa-league",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Steffen Wilkens",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "4a5a33be949865c1d92bddd773f5c040dec69dca53db77939e2acaa24781e675",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-04-16T06:06:01.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:04:39.875Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:50.465Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Nottingham Forest v FC Porto",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League",
     "starts_at": "2026-04-16T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "1-0"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "under 2.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.65",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.6100",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 6100,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-04-16T06:06:01.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-04-16T06:06:01.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:04:39.875Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "under 2.5",
     "author_odds": "1.65",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "under",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 1.65"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "1-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Nottingham Forest 1-0 FC Porto."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "4e532afab16710245ce68103e1580dee1d59391459ecb3e7208a327aae69accf",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "under 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.65",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 6500,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:50.451Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "98b938dd01790f96e9251955300471b9c37eca54c935ade755f80df5e776f298",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "under 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.6100",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 6100,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:50.465Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Steffen Wilkens",
     "publisher": "Wettbasis",
     "forecaster": "Steffen Wilkens",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/nottingham-vs-porto-tipp-prognose-quoten-16-04-2026-europa-league",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "under 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-60ab66a8d753588f9b89f2ee",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Qarabag gewinnt ohne Gegentor\n\nMittel\n\n1.87 bei bet365",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-08-12T06:15:36.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:08:06.985Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-683d202f09155a90e04dd95d",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Qarabag Über 2,5 Tore\n\nMittel\n\n2.30 bei Interwetten",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-08-12T06:15:36.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:08:06.985Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-85872102fc6783a449a2c9e8",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Sieg Qarabag FK (HC -1)\n\nMittel\n\n1.78 bei",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-08-12T06:15:36.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:08:06.985Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-2bcb63f62533006adbd4aa05",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Über 2,5 Tore",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-01-29T06:58:17.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:10:27.819Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-c5d733f157fb0a815ee37977",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Roter Stern Belgrad Über 1,5 Tore",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-01-29T06:58:17.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:10:27.819Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-f88051ee171aa5bf71396457",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Sieg Roter Stern Belgrad",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-01-29T06:58:17.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:10:27.819Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-724f1f23735d7243e42b20b7",
   "url": "/authors/steffen-wilkens/picks/16/#pick-n-724f1f23735d7243e42b20b7",
   "match": "Zrinjski v Breidablik",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-08-07T18:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Europa League",
   "lead_hours": -10425.2,
   "market_code": "handicap_european",
   "author_said": "European handicap -1: Zrinjski -1 at 2.45",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "disputed_reading",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-08-07T06:23:04.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:14:16.255Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-724f1f23735d7243e42b20b7",
    "quote_text": "Sieg Zrinjski Mostar (HC -1)\n\nmittel\n\n2.45 bei Interwetten",
    "fragment_from": 2308,
    "fragment_to": 2366,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/zrinjski-mostar-vs-breidablik-tipp-prognose-quoten-07-08-2025-europa-league-quali",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Steffen Wilkens",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "8025816029476e4c383dbe263270a6c1341b9a054bfe9e67b56fe6ccb0564f3f",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-08-07T06:23:04.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:14:16.255Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": "disputed_reading",
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Zrinjski v Breidablik",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League",
     "starts_at": "2025-08-07T18:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": null
    },
    "market_label": "European handicap -1",
    "outcome_label": "Zrinjski -1",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.45",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.7000",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-08-07T06:23:04.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-08-07T06:23:04.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:14:16.255Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "European handicap -1",
     "choice": "Zrinjski -1",
     "author_odds": "2.45",
     "market_key": "handicap_european",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "-1",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "European handicap -1: Zrinjski -1 at 2.45"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "e6417d0dcae291b169cc284a067fe2180948da44d270faafd53f413eb7fd6d4b",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "European handicap -1",
      "choice": "Zrinjski -1",
      "decimal_odds": "2.45",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:00.811Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "025755396fa766ace3ddf4646ddb459ee5f38f9514c848b8e6fc8732b86bdec6",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "European handicap -1",
      "choice": "Zrinjski -1",
      "decimal_odds": "2.7000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:15.562Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Steffen Wilkens",
     "publisher": "wettbasis.com",
     "forecaster": "Steffen Wilkens",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/zrinjski-mostar-vs-breidablik-tipp-prognose-quoten-07-08-2025-europa-league-quali",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Zrinjski -1"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-a394731be5a52810af761a5f",
   "url": "/authors/steffen-wilkens/picks/16/#pick-n-a394731be5a52810af761a5f",
   "match": "Zrinjski v Breidablik",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-08-07T18:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Europa League",
   "lead_hours": -10425.2,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score_and_result",
   "author_said": "Match result and both teams to score: Zrinjski win, both teams to score: yes at 2.1",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "disputed_reading",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-08-07T06:23:04.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:14:16.255Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-a394731be5a52810af761a5f",
    "quote_text": "Doppelte Chance 1X & Beide Teams treffen\n\nmittel\n\n2.10 bei Bet-at-home",
    "fragment_from": 2190,
    "fragment_to": 2260,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/zrinjski-mostar-vs-breidablik-tipp-prognose-quoten-07-08-2025-europa-league-quali",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Steffen Wilkens",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "8025816029476e4c383dbe263270a6c1341b9a054bfe9e67b56fe6ccb0564f3f",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-08-07T06:23:04.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:14:16.255Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": "disputed_reading",
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Zrinjski v Breidablik",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League",
     "starts_at": "2025-08-07T18:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": null
    },
    "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "Zrinjski win, both teams to score: yes",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.1",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "3.7200",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-08-07T06:23:04.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-08-07T06:23:04.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:14:16.255Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
     "choice": "Zrinjski win, both teams to score: yes",
     "author_odds": "2.1",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score_and_result",
     "choice_key": "1-yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Match result and both teams to score: Zrinjski win, both teams to score: yes at 2.1"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "5c61fed1bc71c401b8af83a3873bd40b25401cde8e740e56e88b3573b62dcf85",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
      "choice": "Zrinjski win, both teams to score: yes",
      "decimal_odds": "2.1",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:03.331Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "5fce259d73d61f6c2e577804690b94a4968877ee1c023982a33674c097ac976d",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
      "choice": "Zrinjski win, both teams to score: yes",
      "decimal_odds": "3.7200",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:19.954Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Steffen Wilkens",
     "publisher": "wettbasis.com",
     "forecaster": "Steffen Wilkens",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/zrinjski-mostar-vs-breidablik-tipp-prognose-quoten-07-08-2025-europa-league-quali",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Zrinjski win, both teams to score: yes"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-bc91c291303139458ee20eab",
   "url": "/authors/steffen-wilkens/picks/16/#pick-n-bc91c291303139458ee20eab",
   "match": "Zrinjski v Breidablik",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-08-07T18:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Europa League",
   "lead_hours": -10425.2,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score",
   "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.8",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "1-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 9000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.8",
   "settled_price": "1.9000",
   "published_at": "2025-08-07T06:23:04.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:14:16.255Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-bc91c291303139458ee20eab",
    "quote_text": "Beide Teams treffen\n\nmittel\n\n1.80 bei Oddset",
    "fragment_from": 2262,
    "fragment_to": 2306,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/zrinjski-mostar-vs-breidablik-tipp-prognose-quoten-07-08-2025-europa-league-quali",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Steffen Wilkens",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "8025816029476e4c383dbe263270a6c1341b9a054bfe9e67b56fe6ccb0564f3f",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-08-07T06:23:04.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:14:16.255Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:54.859Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Zrinjski v Breidablik",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League",
     "starts_at": "2025-08-07T18:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "1-1"
    },
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "yes",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.8",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.9000",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 9000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-08-07T06:23:04.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-08-07T06:23:04.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-16T03:14:16.255Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
     "choice": "yes",
     "author_odds": "1.8",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.8"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "1-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Zrinjski 1-1 Breidablik."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "a1b61c57f38e35cfbf42792fdae92b8f7da47b4b69504d4db761781bc65ca65b",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "yes",
      "decimal_odds": "1.8",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 8000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:54.841Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "cd89cf8cc9731aac4a8c4faa69515a7f934a6f2e43e5142ad12422d5b2a46e2b",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "yes",
      "decimal_odds": "1.9000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 9000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:54.859Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Steffen Wilkens",
     "publisher": "wettbasis.com",
     "forecaster": "Steffen Wilkens",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/zrinjski-mostar-vs-breidablik-tipp-prognose-quoten-07-08-2025-europa-league-quali",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)"
   }
  }
 ],
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 297,
  "pages": 16,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/steffen-wilkens/",
   "/authors/steffen-wilkens/picks/2/",
   "/authors/steffen-wilkens/picks/3/",
   "/authors/steffen-wilkens/picks/4/",
   "/authors/steffen-wilkens/picks/5/",
   "/authors/steffen-wilkens/picks/6/",
   "/authors/steffen-wilkens/picks/7/",
   "/authors/steffen-wilkens/picks/8/",
   "/authors/steffen-wilkens/picks/9/",
   "/authors/steffen-wilkens/picks/10/",
   "/authors/steffen-wilkens/picks/11/",
   "/authors/steffen-wilkens/picks/12/",
   "/authors/steffen-wilkens/picks/13/",
   "/authors/steffen-wilkens/picks/14/",
   "/authors/steffen-wilkens/picks/15/",
   "/authors/steffen-wilkens/picks/16/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 268,
   "pending": 0,
   "excluded": 29
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 16,
  "first": 281,
  "last": 297,
  "author_url": "/authors/steffen-wilkens/",
  "current": false
 },
 "entity_id": "history:/authors/steffen-wilkens/picks/16/",
 "source_revision": 14
}