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 "heading": "Steffen Wilkens: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "4 settled picks by Steffen Wilkens archived before kick-off across 4 matches, 16 Apr 2026 – 23 Aug 2026: won 4 of 4, reconstructed at archived prices.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Forecast Record restored 4 settled archived picks by Steffen Wilkens from copies archived before kick-off, across 4 matches between 16 April and 23 August 2026. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 4 of 4 settled archived picks. Of the 297 predictions we hold for Steffen Wilkens, 4 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive, 269 from the source’s own history and 24 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
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  "data": "2026-11-07",
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 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
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  "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.",
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  "id": "e-2f95fcfa3aa6a410ff70af6e",
  "public_name": "Steffen Wilkens",
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  "observation_period": {
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 },
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   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
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    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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   "funnel_stage": "statement",
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   "source_info": {
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   },
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     "status": "skipped",
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    "closing": "1.9000",
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    "in_words": "Won: the final score was Zrinjski 1-1 Breidablik."
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     "site_simulation": true,
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     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
     "choice": "yes",
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     "status": "confirmed",
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   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
   "authorship": {
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   "quote_text": "Siegt Littler unaufhaltbar weiter?",
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   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
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   "fragment_from": 1989,
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   "source_info": {
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    "display_name": "1. FC Köln v SC Freiburg",
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    "material_url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/koeln-vs-freiburg-tipp-ki-prognose-quoten-31-08-2025",
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   "source_info": {
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    "display_name": "Beşiktaş v İstanbul Başakşehir",
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   "added_on": "Added to our record on 12 Oct 2026",
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   "author_claim": {
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   ],
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   "authorship": {
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    "status": "not_named",
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 ],
 "excluded_from_feed": {
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  "service": 0,
  "ruleset_version": "3"
 },
 "standing": null,
 "retro": {
  "restored_total": 268,
  "of_them_archived_pre_match": 4,
  "found_post_match": 7,
  "of_them_source_reported": 257,
  "live_count": 0,
  "date_count": 170,
  "span_from": "2025-07-17",
  "span_to": "2026-10-11",
  "line_text": "restored history: 268, of which pre-match archive 4",
  "body": "We re-read what this author published before Premier League, League Cup, Champions League, Europa League, Conference League, Copa Libertadores, Bundesliga, LaLiga, Ligue 1, Serie A and Süper Lig matches between 17 July 2025 and 11 October 2026 and settled it against the final score. Restored picks: 268. Backed by a copy of the page in an independent web archive taken before kick-off: 4. Taken from the source’s own published history, published before kick-off by the source’s own date: 257. Found after the match, with the publication date as stated by the source: 7. The market price at the moment of publication cannot be reconstructed, so restored picks are shown as reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), not at the closing price, for the pre-match archive and the later finds separately; the author's quoted price and, where it exists, the aggregator closing price are compared with it on the same picks. Authors can delete losing picks, so restored history may look better than it was.",
  "precision": {
   "n": 268,
   "share": "0.444"
  },
  "series_list": [
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    "n": 268,
    "roi": "-9.8284",
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    "ci_high": "2.0401",
    "data_status": "calculated",
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   },
   {
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    "n": 1,
    "roi": "94.3400",
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    "data_status": "calculated",
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   },
   {
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    "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "n": 266,
    "roi": "-10.7350",
    "ci_low": "-22.8787",
    "ci_high": "1.0725",
    "data_status": "calculated",
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   }
  ],
  "clv": {
   "data_status": "unknown",
   "cause": "the market price at the moment of publication is unknown for restored picks; the author's quoted price against the aggregator closing price is compared on the same picks in each part of the record above"
  },
  "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
  "leagues": [
   "Premier League",
   "League Cup",
   "Champions League",
   "Europa League",
   "Conference League",
   "Copa Libertadores",
   "Bundesliga",
   "LaLiga",
   "Ligue 1",
   "Serie A",
   "Süper Lig"
  ],
  "source_list": "Results: the official regulation-time score, checked against a second data provider for 1 settled restored pick, and the two agree; 267 come from one provider only. Prices: the aggregator closing price and the second data provider's last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), as a separate series; each provider is its own series and they are never averaged."
 },
 "late": null,
 "price_vs_market": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "threshold_percent": "5",
  "rows": [
   {
    "basis": "closing",
    "basis_words": "the closing market price of the same selection (restored history)",
    "basis_short": "Closing market price (restored)",
    "compared": 1,
    "above": 1,
    "above_share_percent": "100.0",
    "below": 0,
    "within": 0,
    "median_difference_percent": "5.5",
    "not_comparable": 0,
    "disputed": 0,
    "status": "calculated",
    "sentence": "The author's stated price against the closing price of the same selection: median +5.5% over 1 picks. The price available to followers is the market price, shown separately."
   }
  ],
  "examples": [
   {
    "url": "/authors/steffen-wilkens/picks/2/#pick-n-dcf13b6bd2777f5ecde5deec",
    "basis": "closing",
    "stated": "2.05",
    "market": "1.94",
    "difference_percent": "5.5"
   }
  ],
  "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way."
 },
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "person",
  "entity_words": "Individual author",
  "source": {
   "name": "wettbasis.com",
   "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/zrinjski-mostar-vs-breidablik-tipp-prognose-quoten-07-08-2025-europa-league-quali"
  },
  "observed_from": "2026-10-09",
  "observed_to": "2026-10-16",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "state": "settled",
  "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
  "series": "Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
  "restored": true,
  "headline_kind": "historical_simulation",
  "headline_part": "archived",
  "settled_picks": 4,
  "matches": 4,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": 39650,
  "staked_hundredths": 40000,
  "return_percent": "99.12",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2026-04-16",
  "period_to": "2026-08-23",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "retro-1.1",
  "short_history": true,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record restored 4 settled archived picks by Steffen Wilkens from copies archived before kick-off, across 4 matches between 16 April and 23 August 2026. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 4 of 4 settled archived picks. Of the 297 predictions we hold for Steffen Wilkens, 4 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive, 269 from the source’s own history and 24 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled archived picks",
    "value": "4",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "4",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "+396.50 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "value": "+99.1%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": null
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [
   "Most of this history comes from the source’s own published record: 269 predictions dated by the source. 255 of them are settled in a historical price series; titles and rankings use the live record.",
   "Reconstructed at archived prices: these picks were restored from copies of the author’s pages that an independent web archive saved before kick-off, at the last pre-match archive prices, bookmaker margin included."
  ],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": null,
   "archived": {
    "part": "archived",
    "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. These picks were restored from copies an independent web archive saved before kick-off; the line shows how they settled at archived prices.",
    "settled_picks": 4,
    "matches": 4,
    "match_dates": 3,
    "period_from": "2026-04-16",
    "period_to": "2026-08-23",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": 39650,
    "low": {
     "date": "2026-04-16",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 14100,
     "after_picks": 2
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2026-08-23",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 39650,
     "after_picks": 4
    },
    "line_drawn": false,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2026-04-16",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 14100,
      "n": 2,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-04-25",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 28650,
      "n": 3,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-08-23",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 39650,
      "n": 4,
      "picks": 1
     }
    ]
   }
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record restored 4 settled archived picks by Steffen Wilkens from copies archived before kick-off, across 4 matches between 16 April and 23 August 2026. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 4 of 4 settled archived picks. Of the 297 predictions we hold for Steffen Wilkens, 4 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive, 269 from the source’s own history and 24 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/steffen-wilkens/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "retro-1.1"
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 297,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 0,
   "proven_predictions": 4,
   "proven_checked": 4,
   "proven_measured": 4,
   "proven_dates": 3,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 4,
     "checked": 4,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 4,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 4,
      "net_points_hundredths": 39650,
      "staked_hundredths": 40000,
      "return_percent": "99.12",
      "interval_low": null,
      "interval_high": null,
      "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval",
      "period_from": "2026-04-16",
      "period_to": "2026-08-23",
      "method_version": "retro-1.1"
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "retro_author_price",
       "picks": 4,
       "return_main_percent": "99.12",
       "return_other_percent": "97.00",
       "settled_excluding_void": 4,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 39650,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 38800,
       "period_from": "2026-04-16",
       "period_to": "2026-08-23"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 4,
      "priced": 4
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 4,
      "won": 4,
      "won_percent": "100.0",
      "implied_percent": "51.5",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 3,
        "picks": 3,
        "implied_percent": "55.1"
       },
       {
        "market": "Team goals",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "40.7"
       }
      ]
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 24,
     "checked": 7,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 7,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 5,
      "net_points_hundredths": 51200,
      "staked_hundredths": 70000,
      "return_percent": "73.14",
      "interval_low": null,
      "interval_high": null,
      "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval",
      "period_from": "2025-08-07",
      "period_to": "2026-04-16",
      "method_version": "retro-1.1"
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "retro_author_price",
       "picks": 7,
       "return_main_percent": "73.14",
       "return_other_percent": "74.29",
       "settled_excluding_void": 7,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 51200,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 52000,
       "period_from": "2025-08-07",
       "period_to": "2026-04-16"
      },
      {
       "price": "Closing price, aggregator",
       "series_code": "retro_market_closing",
       "picks": 1,
       "return_main_percent": "95.00",
       "return_other_percent": "94.34",
       "settled_excluding_void": 1,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 9500,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 9434,
       "period_from": "2025-12-03",
       "period_to": "2025-12-03"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 7,
      "priced": 7
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 7,
      "won": 6,
      "won_percent": "85.7",
      "implied_percent": "47.8",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Team goals",
        "won": 2,
        "picks": 3,
        "implied_percent": "37.8"
       },
       {
        "market": "Both teams to score",
        "won": 2,
        "picks": 2,
        "implied_percent": "54.1"
       },
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 2,
        "picks": 2,
        "implied_percent": "56.7"
       }
      ]
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "source_reported",
     "title": "Source-reported history",
     "explanation": "The time and the pick are known only from the source’s own history; it is the basis of the record check and never part of the evidenced total.",
     "predictions": 269,
     "checked": 257,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 255,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 255,
      "net_points_hundredths": -376400,
      "staked_hundredths": 2550000,
      "return_percent": "-14.76",
      "interval_low": "-27.48",
      "interval_high": "-1.84",
      "interval_note": null,
      "period_from": "2025-07-17",
      "period_to": "2026-10-11",
      "method_version": "retro-1.1"
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "retro_author_price",
       "picks": 255,
       "return_main_percent": "-14.76",
       "return_other_percent": "-13.85",
       "settled_excluding_void": 255,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -376400,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -353200,
       "period_from": "2025-07-17",
       "period_to": "2026-10-11"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 257,
      "priced": 255
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 255,
      "won": 108,
      "won_percent": "42.4",
      "implied_percent": "49.7",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 43,
        "picks": 100,
        "implied_percent": "50.6"
       },
       {
        "market": "Team goals",
        "won": 41,
        "picks": 92,
        "implied_percent": "46.9"
       },
       {
        "market": "Both teams to score",
        "won": 11,
        "picks": 29,
        "implied_percent": "56.9"
       },
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 5,
        "picks": 16,
        "implied_percent": "47.9"
       },
       {
        "market": "Result and total goals",
        "won": 8,
        "picks": 13,
        "implied_percent": "51.5"
       },
       {
        "market": "Other markets",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 5,
        "implied_percent": "45.5"
       }
      ]
     }
    }
   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": null,
  "headline_record_ids": [
   "n-3fdccb07500ad804b7fb69c7",
   "n-ccf28d14b0c2f9fb4e151d1e",
   "n-d64bfec9fbbda238b3d20a75",
   "n-e970026aa1bf00db9a00b747"
  ],
  "interval_low": null,
  "interval_high": null,
  "caption": "Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off) · 100 points per pick · 16 April – 23 August 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under reconstruction method 1.1",
  "record_from": "2025-07-17",
  "record_to": "2026-10-11"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-49c3e05bb5f470d1910fb947",
   "url": "/authors/steffen-wilkens/picks/2/#pick-n-49c3e05bb5f470d1910fb947",
   "match": "Sassuolo v AC Milan",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/sassuolo-vs-ac-milan-2026-10-11/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-11T16:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Serie A",
   "lead_hours": -28.1,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score",
   "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.7",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "1-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 5500,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.7",
   "settled_price": "1.5500",
   "published_at": "2026-10-11T05:43:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T20:06:53.813Z",
   "origin": "Source-reported history",
   "record_part": "source_reported",
   "record_part_words": "Source-reported history",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-49c3e05bb5f470d1910fb947",
    "quote_text": "Beide Teams treffen- Ja\n\nniedrig\n\n1.70",
    "fragment_from": 1950,
    "fragment_to": 1988,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.wettbasis.com/sportwetten-tipps/sassuolo-vs-ac-milan-tipp-prognose-quoten-11-10-2026",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Steffen Wilkens",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "f28d2d5a2cc774c9bef78d57fba6134d39a50c73fe12fe12cf5d5f186fa5522d",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-11T05:43:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-12T20:06:53.813Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:11:16.219Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-6daf1549fb1e",
     "display_name": "Sassuolo v AC Milan",
     "competition_name": "Serie A",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-11T16:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/sassuolo-vs-ac-milan-2026-10-11/",
     "scoreline": "1-1"
    },
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "yes",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.7",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.5500",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 5500,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "source_reported_history",
    "provenance_words": "Source-reported history",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-11T05:43:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-11T05:43:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-12T20:06:53.813Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "source_reported_history",
    "origin_words": "Source-reported history",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 12 Oct 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
     "choice": "yes",
     "author_odds": "1.7",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.7"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "1-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Sassuolo 1-1 AC Milan."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "8c7ddda16ee62e02d8ea392da485509fb4948c1ea186fce7f4b7346b43de2876",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "yes",
      "decimal_odds": "1.7",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 7000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:11:16.219Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
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   "market_code": "team_total",
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   "quote": "Über 7,5 180er im Match\n\nMittel\n\n1.98 bei Betano",
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   "quote": "Sieg Roter Stern Belgrad",
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  },
  {
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  },
  {
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   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Roter Stern Belgrad Über 1,5 Tore",
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  },
  {
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   "quote": "Nottingham < 1,5 Tore\n\nMittel\n\n2.07 bei Betano",
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   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
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   "published_at": "2026-01-29T06:57:49.000Z",
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   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
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  },
  {
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   "quote": "Beide treffen: Nein\n\nMittel\n\n2.05 bei Bet-at-home",
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   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
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  },
  {
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   "quote": "Unter 2,5 Tore\n\nMittel\n\n1.90 bei Oddset",
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   "outcome": "Excluded",
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  },
  {
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Doppelte Chance 1X & Unter 3,5 Tore\n\nmittel\n\n1.93 bei Oddset",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "published_at": "2025-10-23T06:17:40.000Z",
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   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
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  },
  {
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   "market_code": null,
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   "quote": "Unser Tipp\n\nLyon gewinnt ohne Gegentor\n\nNEO.bet\n\n3.10\nQuote",
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   "outcome": "Excluded",
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  },
  {
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   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Unser Tipp\n\nEverton Unter 0,5 Tore\n\nbet365\n\n3.00\nQuote",
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   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "reason_code": "after_match",
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   "published_at": "2025-08-24T15:41:22.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:27:39.539Z",
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   "record_part": "found_after",
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   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
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   "match_url": null,
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   "competition": null,
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Qarabag Über 2,5 Tore\n\nMittel\n\n2.30 bei Interwetten",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "reason_code": "after_match",
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   "published_at": "2025-08-12T06:15:36.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T03:08:06.985Z",
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  },
  {
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   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Qarabag gewinnt ohne Gegentor\n\nMittel\n\n1.87 bei bet365",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
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  },
  {
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   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Sieg Qarabag FK (HC -1)\n\nMittel\n\n1.78 bei",
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   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
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   "reason_code": "after_match",
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   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
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 "lead_time": {
  "contract_version": 1,
  "threshold_hours": 2.0,
  "picks": 282,
  "before_kickoff": 0,
  "after_kickoff": 282,
  "at_least_2h": 0,
  "share_2h_plus": 0.0,
  "median_hours": null,
  "min_hours": null,
  "max_hours": null,
  "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off."
 },
 "baseline": {
  "contract_version": 1,
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "rule": "recorded-line-1.0",
  "state": "none",
  "picks": 0,
  "settled_picks_all": 0,
  "excluded": {
   "market_without_favourite": 0,
   "no_recorded_line": 0,
   "favourite_not_settled": 0
  },
  "staked_hundredths": 0,
  "author_net_hundredths": 0,
  "favourite_net_hundredths": 0,
  "difference_hundredths": 0,
  "author_return_percent": null,
  "favourite_return_percent": null,
  "author_hit_rate": null,
  "favourite_hit_rate": null,
  "picked_favourite_share": null,
  "by_market": [],
  "return_over_time": [],
  "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out."
 },
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 297,
  "pages": 16,
  "page_urls": [
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