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 "heading": "Simon — football predictions, page 3 of 22",
 "description": "Predictions 21–40 of 415 by Simon, with outcomes in words and links to the evidence.",
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  "body": "Page 3 of 22 of the predictions by Simon recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 21–40 of 415 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of 7 November 2026. Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.",
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   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Tipp 1\n\n1.92",
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   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "reason_code": "after_match",
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   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
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   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
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   "record_id": "n-934d1fe2357022c5bcb941f1",
   "url": "/authors/simon/picks/3/#pick-n-934d1fe2357022c5bcb941f1",
   "match": "Viking FK v FC Bayern München",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-10-13T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": 54.8,
   "market_code": "handicap_european",
   "author_said": "European handicap 3: Viking FK +3 at 2.05",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "disputed_reading",
   "points_hundredths": null,
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   "published_at": "2026-10-11T09:45:27.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T12:09:49.403Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
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   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-934d1fe2357022c5bcb941f1",
    "quote_text": "Handicap Wette (3:0) Tipp 1\n\n2.05",
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    "source_info": {
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     "url": "https://wettformat.com/de/wett-tipp/sc-rot-weiss-essen-sc-fortuna-koeln-2026-10-13-tipp-prognose-273421",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Simon",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
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    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
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     "display_name": "Viking FK v FC Bayern München",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
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    },
    "market_label": "European handicap 3",
    "outcome_label": "Viking FK +3",
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    "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
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     "market_label": "European handicap 3",
     "choice": "Viking FK +3",
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     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "3",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "European handicap 3: Viking FK +3 at 2.05"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
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      "market_label": "European handicap 3",
      "choice": "Viking FK +3",
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      "status": "skipped",
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    "choice_words": "Viking FK +3"
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  },
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   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Tipp 1\n\n1.92",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
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   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
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  },
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   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Unser Tipp: RW Essen gewinnt 2:1.",
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   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "published_at": "2026-10-11T09:45:27.000Z",
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   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
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  },
  {
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   "match": "Arsenal v Lille",
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   "kickoff": "2026-10-13T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
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   "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 2.1",
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   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
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   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
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   "evidence": {
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    "quote_text": "Beide Teams treffen - ja\n\n2.10",
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     "speaker": "Simon",
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    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
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     "display_name": "Arsenal v Lille",
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     "url": null,
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    },
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "yes",
    "odds_set": {
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     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "unknown",
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    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
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     "choice": "yes",
     "author_odds": "2.1",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes at 2.1"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
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      "derived": false,
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      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "yes",
      "decimal_odds": "2.1",
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      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: not settled",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:25:56.484Z",
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    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
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     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://wettformat.com/de/wett-tipp/sc-rot-weiss-essen-sc-fortuna-koeln-2026-10-13-tipp-prognose-273421",
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    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)"
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  },
  {
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   "match_url": null,
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   "competition": null,
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Unter 3.5 Tore\n\n1.42\n\n1.42",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
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   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
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   "favourite": null,
   "correction": {
    "at": "2026-10-14T02:01:11.601Z",
    "field": "line sign",
    "reason": "Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes.",
    "version": 2,
    "url": "/corrections/#c-f1b2048399e9",
    "text": "Corrected on 14 October 2026: Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and"
   },
   "evidence": {
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    "quote_text": "Unter 3.5 Tore\n\n1.42\n\n1.42",
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    "source_info": {
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     "speaker": "Simon",
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    "statement_class": "unpriced",
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    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
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     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": null,
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": null,
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
    },
    "settlements": [],
    "corrections": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-14T02:01:11.601Z",
      "field_name": "line sign",
      "was": "leg 1: Over/Under −3.5 goals · under −3.5",
      "now": "leg 1: Over/Under 3.5 goals · under 3.5",
      "cause": "Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes."
     }
    ],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": null,
    "correction": {
     "at": "2026-10-14T02:01:11.601Z",
     "field": "line sign",
     "reason": "Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes.",
     "version": 2,
     "url": "/corrections/#c-f1b2048399e9",
     "text": "Corrected on 14 October 2026: Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and"
    },
    "choice_words": "a pick"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-f5b7a8d602c6eb708d7052bf",
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   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "KI Tipp\n\nUnter 3.5 Tore\n\n1.42",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-11T09:45:27.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T12:09:49.403Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-2414a2c385699a65b322c8e0",
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   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Vor der ersten Liga-Niederlage unmittelbar vor der Länderspielpause war ein Sieg-Tipp für den FC Arsenal in den letzten Wochen eine sichere Wette.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
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   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-11T10:15:09.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T12:19:51.575Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-6d2514f9709ce98f4d442b49",
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   "kickoff": "2026-10-13T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": 54.7,
   "market_code": "handicap_european",
   "author_said": "European handicap 1: Arsenal +1 at 1.71",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
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   "published_at": "2026-10-11T10:15:09.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T12:19:51.575Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-6d2514f9709ce98f4d442b49",
    "quote_text": "Handicap Wette (0:1) Tipp 1\n\n1.71",
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    "fragment_to": 181,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://wettformat.com/de/wett-tipp/fc-arsenal-osc-lille-2026-10-13-tipp-prognose-276564",
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     "speaker": "Simon",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "db85e905d7b120c345ba3f05d1733a62b2cf210ecff37bb9e2f261499ab62043",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-11T10:15:09.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-11T12:19:51.575Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": "not_supported",
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Arsenal v Lille",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-13T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": null
    },
    "market_label": "European handicap 1",
    "outcome_label": "Arsenal +1",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.71",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-11T10:15:09.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-11T10:15:09.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-11T12:19:51.575Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "European handicap 1",
     "choice": "Arsenal +1",
     "author_odds": "1.71",
     "market_key": "handicap_european",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "1",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "European handicap 1: Arsenal +1 at 1.71"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "e1e7b44be596bd0e3a36de3d46a16c3ea83bdc316b1567eb0ee508fd192f70ab",
      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "European handicap 1",
      "choice": "Arsenal +1",
      "decimal_odds": "1.71",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: not settled",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:25:56.581Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Simon",
     "publisher": "Wettformat",
     "forecaster": "Simon",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://wettformat.com/de/wett-tipp/fc-arsenal-osc-lille-2026-10-13-tipp-prognose-276564",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Arsenal +1"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-7a6d739f5d65134726b10729",
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   "match": "Galatasaray v FC Barcelona",
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   "kickoff": "2026-10-13T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": 54.7,
   "market_code": "handicap_european",
   "author_said": "European handicap 2: FC Barcelona +2 at 2.55",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "reason_code": "disputed_reading",
   "points_hundredths": null,
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   "published_at": "2026-10-11T10:15:09.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T12:19:51.575Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-7a6d739f5d65134726b10729",
    "quote_text": "Handicap Wette (2:0) Tipp 2\n\n2.55",
    "fragment_from": 11081,
    "fragment_to": 11114,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://wettformat.com/de/wett-tipp/fc-arsenal-osc-lille-2026-10-13-tipp-prognose-276564",
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     "speaker": "Simon",
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     "bundle_id": "db85e905d7b120c345ba3f05d1733a62b2cf210ecff37bb9e2f261499ab62043",
     "material_removed": false
    },
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    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
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    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": "disputed_reading",
    "event": {
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    },
    "market_label": "European handicap 2",
    "outcome_label": "FC Barcelona +2",
    "odds_set": {
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     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "unknown",
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    "executed_by": null,
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    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
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     "fragment_basis": "page",
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     "flags": [],
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     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
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    "added_on": null,
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    "author_claim": {
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     "choice": "FC Barcelona +2",
     "author_odds": "2.55",
     "market_key": "handicap_european",
     "choice_key": "2",
     "period": "match",
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     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "European handicap 2: FC Barcelona +2 at 2.55"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
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     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
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      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
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      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:01.233Z",
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      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
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     "publisher": "Wettformat",
     "forecaster": "Simon",
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     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://wettformat.com/de/wett-tipp/fc-arsenal-osc-lille-2026-10-13-tipp-prognose-276564",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "FC Barcelona +2"
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  },
  {
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   "match_url": null,
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   "competition": null,
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   "quote": "Unter 3.5 Tore\n\n1.42",
   "group": "excluded",
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   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
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   "published_at": "2026-10-11T10:15:09.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T12:19:51.575Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
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   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
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   "quote": "Unser Tipp. Die Gunners gewinnen 3:1.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
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   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
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   "published_at": "2026-10-11T10:15:09.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T12:19:51.575Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
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   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
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   "attribution": null,
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   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-627ce2d04577c5f5d6a4bcd3",
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   "kickoff": "2026-10-16T16:30:00.000Z",
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   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.4",
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   "group": "excluded",
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   "reason": "graded against the result: wrong",
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   "published_at": "2026-10-12T08:41:50.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T09:39:49.245Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
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   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-627ce2d04577c5f5d6a4bcd3",
    "quote_text": "Über 2.5 Tore\n\n1.40\n\nNiedriges Risiko",
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    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://wettformat.com/de/wett-tipp/energie-cottbus-1-fc-nuernberg-2026-10-16-tipp-prognose-273755",
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     "bundle_id": "f14c87e9237697f017def0750049f6172e4779a54b8ac5229b2e6fbf208d661c",
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    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "ambiguous",
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    "cause_code": "not_checked",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-3305b23e02ec",
     "display_name": "Cottbus — Nurnberg",
     "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga",
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     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "1-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 2.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.4",
     "our_snapshot": null,
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    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
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    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
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     "fragment_basis": "page",
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     "detected_at": "2026-10-12T09:39:49.245Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
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   "choice_words": "a draw"
  }
 ]
}