{
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 "url": "/authors/simon-barlow/",
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 "language": "en",
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 "heading": "Simon Barlow: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "2 settled picks by Simon Barlow archived before kick-off across 2 matches, 27 Sep 2024 – 1 Oct 2024: won 0 of 2, reconstructed at archived prices.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Forecast Record restored 2 settled archived picks by Simon Barlow from copies archived before kick-off, across 2 matches between 27 September and 1 October 2024. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 0 of 2 settled archived picks. Of the 9 predictions we hold for Simon Barlow, 4 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 5 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "key_number": "2",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
 "indexable": false,
 "noindex_reason": "too_few_settled",
 "indexing_threshold": {
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  "required_settled": 10,
  "required_dates": 2,
  "live_count": 0,
  "restored_count": 8,
  "of_them_archived": 4
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "32b95d0a63db241d5c1bcb235206b742c3261f584f4ecb42d994c9f477989d8f",
 "dependency_group": "author:e-8eec427f94215f9a1b7c3af0",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
  {
   "type_code": "WebPage",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "Organization",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "Person",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  }
 ],
 "exports": [
  {
   "type_code": "json",
   "url": "/authors/simon-barlow/index.json",
   "bytes": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "csv",
   "url": "/authors/simon-barlow/picks.csv",
   "bytes": null
  }
 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": true,
  "api": true,
  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": {
  "container": true,
  "request_url": "/partnery/moi",
  "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.",
  "page_category": "author"
 },
 "restrictions": {
  "name_withdrawn": false,
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  "withdrawn_quotes": [],
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  "suspended_records": [],
  "withdrawal_log_number": 0
 },
 "page_links": {
  "methodology": "/methodology/",
  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
 },
 "entity": {
  "id": "e-8eec427f94215f9a1b7c3af0",
  "public_name": "Simon Barlow",
  "tracker_number": 2692,
  "status": "active",
  "inactive_since": null,
  "verified_creator": false,
  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-10-09",
   "until": "2026-10-17"
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "medium": "website",
    "handle": null,
    "url": null,
    "link_confirmed": false,
    "show": true
   }
  ],
  "comment": null
 },
 "headline_number": {
  "metric": {
   "metric_id": "p-e-8eec427f94215f9a1b7c3af0-roi-market-price-90d-z99",
   "code_name": "roi_market_price",
   "display_name": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot",
   "window_kind": "90d",
   "window_from": "2026-08-09",
   "window_to": "2026-11-07",
   "amount": null,
   "unit": "percent",
   "data_status": "unknown",
   "cause": "no pick in this window has been settled",
   "n_bets": 0,
   "n_events": 0,
   "n_void": null,
   "ci_low": null,
   "ci_high": null,
   "ci_method": "not_estimated",
   "price_source": "market_price",
   "coverage_percent": null,
   "breakdown": [],
   "methodology_version": "2.2",
   "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
   "enough_for_ranking": false,
   "series_key": "market_price",
   "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot"
  },
  "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 0 settled picks across 0 matches",
  "average_odds": null,
  "odds_from_author": null,
  "odds_from_snapshot": null
 },
 "metrics": [],
 "history": [],
 "simulation": {
  "series_key": null,
  "series_label": "No level stake placed",
  "bankroll_hundredths": 1000000,
  "reserve_hundredths": 0,
  "issued_total_hundredths": 1000000,
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  "stake_hundredths": 10000,
  "top_up_count": 0,
  "profit_hundredths": 0,
  "rewards_off": null,
  "data_points": [],
  "top_ups": [],
  "rule": "Every tracked author starts with 10,000 points and stakes 100 per qualifying pick. This author has 0 settled bets, so the bankroll stands at its starting value."
 },
 "simulations": [],
 "completeness": {
  "detected": 31,
  "recognised": 9,
  "accepted": 8,
  "executed": 8,
  "calculated": 8,
  "gaps": [
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 },
 "record_counts": {
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  "of_them_restored": 31,
  "not_predictions": {
   "opinions": 1,
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   "unclassified": 0
  },
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  "predictions_restored": 9,
  "matches": 0,
  "admitted": 8,
  "qualifying_picks": 8,
  "qualifying_picks_restored": 8,
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  "settled_picks_restored": 8,
  "series_list": [
   {
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    "settled_picks": 8,
    "void": 0,
    "pending_picks": 0,
    "matches": 8,
    "operations_settled": 8,
    "stakes_hundredths": [
     10000
    ],
    "methodologies": [
     "retro-1.0"
    ],
    "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm",
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    "stakes_hundredths": [
     10000
    ],
    "methodologies": [
     "retro-1.1"
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    "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
   }
  ],
  "gaps": [
   {
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  ],
  "duplicates": 0,
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 },
 "evidence_items": [
  {
   "observation_id": "n-7fdf95dcf43851191a393416",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-7fdf95dcf43851191a393416",
   "quote_text": "Recommended Bet: Draw",
   "fragment_from": 458,
   "fragment_to": 479,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250115233801id_/https://www.livescore.com/en/news/juventus-manchester-city-predictions-champions-league-2024121013090609881/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Simon Barlow",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "af5a7bc2b9d945d6458b53aa811f9eb9f7f3bac52e972e3b301296956ce518f6",
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   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-17T06:08:55.750Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "opinion",
   "status": "recognised",
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   "market_label": null,
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   "odds_set": {
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    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
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   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-12-10T13:09:06.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-17T06:08:55.750Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-b4a13ca365910385cb7c6d44",
   "url": "/authors/simon-barlow/#pick-n-b4a13ca365910385cb7c6d44",
   "quote_text": "Back the Draw at 23/10 with LiveScore Bet",
   "fragment_from": 3617,
   "fragment_to": 3658,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250115233801id_/https://www.livescore.com/en/news/juventus-manchester-city-predictions-champions-league-2024121013090609881/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Simon Barlow",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "af5a7bc2b9d945d6458b53aa811f9eb9f7f3bac52e972e3b301296956ce518f6",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2024-12-10T13:09:06.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-17T06:08:55.750Z",
   "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:25:51.218Z",
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "too_late",
   "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": {
    "event_id": null,
    "display_name": "Juventus v Manchester City",
    "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
    "starts_at": "2024-12-11T20:00:00.000Z",
    "url": null,
    "scoreline": "2-0"
   },
   "market_label": "1X2, match result",
   "outcome_label": "draw",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": "3.3",
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": "3.6600",
    "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "loss",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": "ours",
   "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2024-12-10T13:09:06.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2024-12-10T13:09:06.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-17T06:08:55.750Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "choice": "draw",
    "author_odds": "3.3",
    "market_key": "1x2",
    "choice_key": "X",
    "period": "match",
    "line": null,
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.3"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "loss",
    "scoreline": "2-0",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Juventus 2-0 Manchester City."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
     "operation_id": "403deaed6045903c3881941a019666e4b7241673083c89d7f22ccc1ec30d318c",
     "series_key": "retro_author_price",
     "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "draw",
     "decimal_odds": "3.3",
     "odds_role": "author_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "loss",
     "result_words": "Lost",
     "change_hundredths": -10000,
     "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:25:51.198Z",
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    },
    {
     "operation_id": "654e3b6d798e985bef034014ad0da2b53d0b52df4d98433e4fb6a189349efa63",
     "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "draw",
     "decimal_odds": "3.6600",
     "odds_role": "closing_odds",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "loss",
     "result_words": "Lost",
     "change_hundredths": -10000,
     "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:25:51.218Z",
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Simon Barlow",
    "publisher": "livescore.com",
    "forecaster": "Simon Barlow",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.livescore.com/en/news/juventus-manchester-city-predictions-champions-league-2024121013090609881/",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-b3776c0a72ffec406d2eee46",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-b3776c0a72ffec406d2eee46",
   "quote_text": "Tajon Buchanan and Nicolo Barella are the only confirmed absentees through injury.",
   "fragment_from": 1603,
   "fragment_to": 1685,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241001025428id_/https://www.livescore.com/en/news/inter-milan-vs-crvena-zvezda-predictions-inter-to-edge-tight-affair-2024093014205110819/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Simon Barlow",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "2e9e3d8aa7a641271f6c7e37b853f280c170ab335e62aeee677c41b596fc0f05",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-17T06:02:42.518Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
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   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
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    "our_snapshot_at": null,
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    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "restored_archive",
   "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-09-30T14:20:51.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-17T06:02:42.518Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-38a49fb07cd840f49ae0f47a",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-38a49fb07cd840f49ae0f47a",
   "quote_text": "Santiago Gimenez has been missing for the past six weeks with a thigh injury",
   "fragment_from": 1567,
   "fragment_to": 1643,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241208160551id_/https://www.livescore.com/en/news/feyenoord-red-bull-salzburg-predictions-champions-league-2024110416423386771/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Simon Barlow",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "8d1cbb4d5f9e6539e1e16c1b77b26a48c7296064a4b8a1cf95cfda1085523034",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:10:24.551Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
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    "our_snapshot_at": null,
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    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-11-04T16:42:33.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:10:24.551Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-39814bf03466d8ec5c1bbe2c",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-39814bf03466d8ec5c1bbe2c",
   "quote_text": "Janis Blaswich will be back between the sticks for Salzburg",
   "fragment_from": 1207,
   "fragment_to": 1266,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241208160551id_/https://www.livescore.com/en/news/feyenoord-red-bull-salzburg-predictions-champions-league-2024110416423386771/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Simon Barlow",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "8d1cbb4d5f9e6539e1e16c1b77b26a48c7296064a4b8a1cf95cfda1085523034",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:10:24.551Z",
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   "statement_class": "no_event",
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   "odds_set": {
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    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-11-04T16:42:33.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:10:24.551Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
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   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
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   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-0e03715dcf6502416398500a",
   "url": "/authors/simon-barlow/#pick-n-0e03715dcf6502416398500a",
   "quote_text": "Recommended Bet: Feyenoord to win by two or more goals",
   "fragment_from": 502,
   "fragment_to": 556,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241208160551id_/https://www.livescore.com/en/news/feyenoord-red-bull-salzburg-predictions-champions-league-2024110416423386771/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Simon Barlow",
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    "bundle_id": "8d1cbb4d5f9e6539e1e16c1b77b26a48c7296064a4b8a1cf95cfda1085523034",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:10:24.551Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "unpriced",
   "status": "not_supported",
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   "cause_code": "not_supported",
   "event": null,
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   "odds_set": {
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-11-04T16:42:33.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:10:24.551Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
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   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
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   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-9976f3d47d8d8ea538e83f56",
   "url": "/authors/simon-barlow/#pick-n-9976f3d47d8d8ea538e83f56",
   "quote_text": "Back Feyenoord, 0-1, 3-way handicap at 6/4 with LiveScore Bet.",
   "fragment_from": 3627,
   "fragment_to": 3689,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241208160551id_/https://www.livescore.com/en/news/feyenoord-red-bull-salzburg-predictions-champions-league-2024110416423386771/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Simon Barlow",
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    "bundle_id": "8d1cbb4d5f9e6539e1e16c1b77b26a48c7296064a4b8a1cf95cfda1085523034",
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   },
   "published_at": "2024-11-04T16:42:33.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:10:24.551Z",
   "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:20.381Z",
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "too_late",
   "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
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   "event": {
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    "display_name": "Feyenoord v Red Bull Salzburg",
    "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
    "starts_at": "2024-11-06T20:00:00.000Z",
    "url": null,
    "scoreline": "1-3"
   },
   "market_label": "European handicap -1",
   "outcome_label": "Feyenoord -1",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": "2.5",
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
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    "closing": "2.2000",
    "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "loss",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": "ours",
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2024-11-04T16:42:33.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2024-11-04T16:42:33.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:10:24.551Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
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    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "European handicap -1",
    "choice": "Feyenoord -1",
    "author_odds": "2.5",
    "market_key": "handicap_european",
    "choice_key": "1",
    "period": "match",
    "line": "-1",
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "European handicap -1: Feyenoord -1 at 2.5"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "loss",
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    "data_status": "measured",
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    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Feyenoord 1-3 Red Bull Salzburg."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
     "operation_id": "2a0b084af57a57793dedbc69bdd3afa02372dbc6244689807561bc11382e3d0a",
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     "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "European handicap -1",
     "choice": "Feyenoord -1",
     "decimal_odds": "2.5",
     "odds_role": "author_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
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     "result": "loss",
     "result_words": "Lost",
     "change_hundredths": -10000,
     "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:20.375Z",
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    },
    {
     "operation_id": "2ff96938e71168a199a0e9a759bdf2f19580f8e6355a288bbd351c06ce055d42",
     "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "European handicap -1",
     "choice": "Feyenoord -1",
     "decimal_odds": "2.2000",
     "odds_role": "closing_odds",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "loss",
     "result_words": "Lost",
     "change_hundredths": -10000,
     "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:20.381Z",
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Simon Barlow",
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    "forecaster": "Simon Barlow",
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    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.livescore.com/en/news/feyenoord-red-bull-salzburg-predictions-champions-league-2024110416423386771/",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
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   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-1915520fe3c33156b80cc0d3",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-1915520fe3c33156b80cc0d3",
   "quote_text": "Nenad Bjelica has returned to Dinamo Zagreb and gave them an immediate lift.",
   "fragment_from": 229,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241009044539id_/https://www.livescore.com/en/news/dinamo-zagreb-vs-monaco-predictions-hosts-to-hit-back-under-bjelica-2024100112114413345/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Simon Barlow",
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   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:06:41.224Z",
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   "statement_class": "no_event",
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   },
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-10-01T12:11:44.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:06:41.224Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
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   "funnel_stage": "statement",
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-37e4abb702fef35acbf3eef7",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-37e4abb702fef35acbf3eef7",
   "quote_text": "Breel Embolo looks likely to get the nod ahead of Falorin Balogun in attack",
   "fragment_from": 1896,
   "fragment_to": 1971,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241103063224id_/https://www.livescore.com/en/news/dinamo-zagreb-monaco-predictions-champions-league-2024100112114413345/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Simon Barlow",
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    "bundle_id": "3d6ac50ba91f9d3ae1557b3ee8c982f492bfbf3ebc3219d6f3768717fdd0a18f",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:06:13.843Z",
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   "statement_class": "no_event",
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   "odds_set": {
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-10-01T12:11:44.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:06:13.843Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
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     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
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   "funnel_stage": "statement",
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   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-c7ff65ed8426a672c9efc26c",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-c7ff65ed8426a672c9efc26c",
   "quote_text": "Morocco international Samy Mmaee is out with a thigh problem and Kevin Théophile-Catherine",
   "fragment_from": 1241,
   "fragment_to": 1331,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241103063224id_/https://www.livescore.com/en/news/dinamo-zagreb-monaco-predictions-champions-league-2024100112114413345/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Simon Barlow",
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    "bundle_id": "3d6ac50ba91f9d3ae1557b3ee8c982f492bfbf3ebc3219d6f3768717fdd0a18f",
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   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:06:13.843Z",
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   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
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   "odds_set": {
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-10-01T12:11:44.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:06:13.843Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
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   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-153869a0a3681ece2e3e4142",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-153869a0a3681ece2e3e4142",
   "quote_text": "Recommended Bet: Double Chance - Dinamo Zagreb or Tie",
   "fragment_from": 446,
   "fragment_to": 499,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241103063224id_/https://www.livescore.com/en/news/dinamo-zagreb-monaco-predictions-champions-league-2024100112114413345/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Simon Barlow",
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    "bundle_id": "3d6ac50ba91f9d3ae1557b3ee8c982f492bfbf3ebc3219d6f3768717fdd0a18f",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:06:13.843Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
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   "odds_set": {
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-10-01T12:11:44.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:06:13.843Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-1f1ba11298d06342c1202d2b",
   "url": "/authors/simon-barlow/#pick-n-1f1ba11298d06342c1202d2b",
   "quote_text": "Back Double Chance - Dinamo Zagreb or Tie @ 11/10 with LiveScore Bet",
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    "closing": "2.2300",
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    "in_words": "Double chance: Dinamo Zagreb or draw at 2.1"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "in_words": "Won: the final score was Dinamo Zagreb 2-2 Monaco."
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   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-c1d3614f1848f86e04fa2b9d",
   "quote_text": "Vincent Kompany's Bayern Munich can get their Champions League campaign back on track",
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   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
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    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
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   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-7b56a843afeadab71498e514",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-7b56a843afeadab71498e514",
   "quote_text": "Recommended Bet: Bayern Munich to score over 2.5 goals",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241208160511id_/https://www.livescore.com/en/news/bayern-munich-benfica-predictions-champions-league-2024110415212756082/",
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   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
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    "fragment_basis": "no",
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    "flags": [
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    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
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   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
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   "late_publication": null,
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   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "data_status": "unknown",
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-1272cd97ae11bd2f6d2772f2",
   "url": "/authors/simon-barlow/#pick-n-1272cd97ae11bd2f6d2772f2",
   "quote_text": "Back Bayern Munich to score over 2.5 goals at 3/4 with LiveScore Bet.",
   "fragment_from": 4051,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241208160511id_/https://www.livescore.com/en/news/bayern-munich-benfica-predictions-champions-league-2024110415212756082/",
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   },
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   "statement_class": "priced",
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   "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
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   "market_label": "Team goals over/under 2.5",
   "outcome_label": "FC Bayern München over 2.5",
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    "by_author": "1.75",
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    "closing": "1.7250",
    "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
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   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
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   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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   "author_claim": {
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   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "in_words": "Lost: the final score was FC Bayern München 1-0 Benfica."
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   ],
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-53f0595174e32d0f3929870a",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-53f0595174e32d0f3929870a",
   "quote_text": "Nathan Broadhead (hamstring) and Harry Clarke (Achilles) have been back in training",
   "fragment_from": 2429,
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   "source_info": {
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   "detected_at": "2026-10-09T13:09:56.301Z",
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    "flags": [
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    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
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   },
   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-f163d9c2783823bf1da57d27",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-f163d9c2783823bf1da57d27",
   "quote_text": "midfielder Jens Cajuste misses out again with a knee injury",
   "fragment_from": 2121,
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   "source_info": {
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    "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241005025740id_/https://www.livescore.com/en/news/amp/west-ham-ipswich-predictions-premier-league-2024100412292221017/",
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   },
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   "detected_at": "2026-10-09T13:09:56.301Z",
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   "statement_class": "no_event",
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   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "quote_text": "Edson Alvarez is available again after serving a one-match ban last Saturday",
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   "quote_text": "The only confirmed absentee that West Ham have going into the weekend is Niclas Fullkrug",
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   "author_claim": {
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   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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   "source_info": {
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    "flags": [
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    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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   "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-ef08660a6aa179c7959c2d42",
   "url": "/authors/simon-barlow/#pick-n-ef08660a6aa179c7959c2d42",
   "quote_text": "Back Vinicius Junior to score at 23/20 with LiveScore Bet.",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "statement_class": "priced",
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   "market_label": "Player to score",
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   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
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   "executed_by": "ours",
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     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-15996cacffb29e37d8e15f16",
   "url": "/authors/simon-barlow/#pick-n-15996cacffb29e37d8e15f16",
   "quote_text": "Back Inter to win 1-0 at 10/1 with LiveScore Bet.",
   "fragment_from": 4015,
   "fragment_to": 4064,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20241001045209id_/https://www.livescore.com/en/news/amp/inter-milan-vs-crvena-zvezda-predictions-inter-to-edge-tight-affair-2024093014205110819/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Simon Barlow",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "a3cd44c366d21c448b3274476621cba2dcc53d5f99774b38abccc164b0811575",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2024-09-30T14:20:51.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-09T13:01:00.639Z",
   "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:04.111Z",
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "too_late",
   "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": {
    "event_id": null,
    "display_name": "Inter v FK Crvena Zvezda",
    "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
    "starts_at": "2024-10-01T19:00:00.000Z",
    "url": null,
    "scoreline": "4-0"
   },
   "market_label": "Correct score",
   "outcome_label": "Inter 1-0 FK Crvena Zvezda",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": "11",
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": "7.2500",
    "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "loss",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": "ours",
   "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "restored_archive",
   "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "archive_snapshot_at": "2024-10-01T04:52:09.000Z",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2024-09-30T14:20:51.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2024-09-30T14:20:51.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T13:01:00.639Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": "2024-10-01T04:52:09.000Z",
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "added_on": "Added to our record on 9 Oct 2026",
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "choice": "Inter 1-0 FK Crvena Zvezda",
    "author_odds": "11",
    "market_key": "correct_score_market",
    "choice_key": "1-0",
    "period": "match",
    "line": null,
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Correct score: Inter 1-0 FK Crvena Zvezda at 11"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "loss",
    "scoreline": "4-0",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Inter 4-0 FK Crvena Zvezda."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
     "operation_id": "69a1d1327b8992a07f3d3b56ee271d78398af719ee65c5b2823e6221ed7a8eda",
     "series_key": "retro_author_price",
     "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Inter 1-0 FK Crvena Zvezda",
     "decimal_odds": "11",
     "odds_role": "author_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "loss",
     "result_words": "Lost",
     "change_hundredths": -10000,
     "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:04.101Z",
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    },
    {
     "operation_id": "4beed4c10f306b8b02d490b34373d245ebe11bfe9d2cd56ad340bc861f39bc3f",
     "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Inter 1-0 FK Crvena Zvezda",
     "decimal_odds": "7.2500",
     "odds_role": "closing_odds",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "loss",
     "result_words": "Lost",
     "change_hundredths": -10000,
     "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:04.111Z",
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Simon Barlow",
    "publisher": "livescore.com",
    "forecaster": "Simon Barlow",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.livescore.com/en/news/amp/inter-milan-vs-crvena-zvezda-predictions-inter-to-edge-tight-affair-2024093014205110819/",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "standing": null,
 "retro": {
  "restored_total": 8,
  "of_them_archived_pre_match": 4,
  "found_post_match": 4,
  "of_them_source_reported": 0,
  "live_count": 0,
  "date_count": 7,
  "span_from": "2024-09-17",
  "span_to": "2024-12-11",
  "line_text": "restored history: 8, of which pre-match archive 4",
  "body": "We re-read what this author published before Premier League, Championship and Champions League matches between 17 September 2024 and 11 December 2024 and settled it against the final score. Restored picks: 8. Backed by a copy of the page in an independent web archive taken before kick-off: 4. Found after the match, with the publication date as stated by the source: 4. The market price at the moment of publication cannot be reconstructed, so restored picks are shown as reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), not at the closing price, for the pre-match archive and the later finds separately; the author's quoted price and, where it exists, the aggregator closing price are compared with it on the same picks. Authors can delete losing picks, so restored history may look better than it was.",
  "precision": {
   "n": 8,
   "share": "0.125"
  },
  "series_list": [
   {
    "code_name": "retro_author_price",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "n": 8,
    "roi": "-73.7500",
    "ci_low": null,
    "ci_high": null,
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "cause": null
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "n": 0,
    "roi": null,
    "ci_low": null,
    "ci_high": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "cause": "no restored pick with this price"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "n": 6,
    "roi": "-62.8333",
    "ci_low": null,
    "ci_high": null,
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
    "cause": null
   }
  ],
  "clv": {
   "data_status": "unknown",
   "cause": "the market price at the moment of publication is unknown for restored picks; the author's quoted price against the aggregator closing price is compared on the same picks in each part of the record above"
  },
  "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
  "leagues": [
   "Premier League",
   "Championship",
   "Champions League"
  ],
  "source_list": "Results: the official regulation-time score, checked against a second data provider for 0 settled restored picks and forecasts, and the two agree; 8 come from one provider only. Prices: the aggregator closing price and the second data provider's last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), as a separate series; each provider is its own series and they are never averaged."
 },
 "late": null,
 "price_vs_market": null,
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "person",
  "entity_words": "Individual author",
  "source": {
   "name": "livescore.com",
   "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250115233801id_/https://www.livescore.com/en/news/juventus-manchester-city-predictions-champions-league-2024121013090609881/"
  },
  "observed_from": "2026-10-09",
  "observed_to": "2026-10-17",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "state": "settled",
  "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
  "series": "Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
  "restored": true,
  "headline_kind": "historical_simulation",
  "headline_part": "archived",
  "settled_picks": 2,
  "matches": 2,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": -20000,
  "staked_hundredths": 20000,
  "return_percent": "-100.00",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2024-09-27",
  "period_to": "2024-10-01",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "retro-1.1",
  "short_history": true,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record restored 2 settled archived picks by Simon Barlow from copies archived before kick-off, across 2 matches between 27 September and 1 October 2024. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 0 of 2 settled archived picks. Of the 9 predictions we hold for Simon Barlow, 4 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 5 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled archived picks",
    "value": "2",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "2",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "−200 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "value": "−100.0%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": null
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [
   "Most of this history was found after the matches. Of the 6 selections in this historical price series, 2 have a pre-match archive copy and 4 were first found after the match.",
   "Reconstructed at archived prices: these picks were restored from copies of the author’s pages that an independent web archive saved before kick-off, at the last pre-match archive prices, bookmaker margin included."
  ],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": null,
   "archived": {
    "part": "archived",
    "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. These picks were restored from copies an independent web archive saved before kick-off; the line shows how they settled at archived prices.",
    "settled_picks": 2,
    "matches": 2,
    "match_dates": 2,
    "period_from": "2024-09-27",
    "period_to": "2024-10-01",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": -20000,
    "low": {
     "date": "2024-10-01",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -20000,
     "after_picks": 2
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2024-09-27",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000,
     "after_picks": 1
    },
    "line_drawn": false,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2024-09-27",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000,
      "n": 1,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2024-10-01",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -20000,
      "n": 2,
      "picks": 1
     }
    ]
   }
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record restored 2 settled archived picks by Simon Barlow from copies archived before kick-off, across 2 matches between 27 September and 1 October 2024. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 0 of 2 settled archived picks. Of the 9 predictions we hold for Simon Barlow, 4 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 5 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/simon-barlow/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "retro-1.1"
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 9,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 0,
   "proven_predictions": 4,
   "proven_checked": 4,
   "proven_measured": 2,
   "proven_dates": 4,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 4,
     "checked": 4,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 2,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 2,
      "net_points_hundredths": -20000,
      "staked_hundredths": 20000,
      "return_percent": "-100.00",
      "interval_low": null,
      "interval_high": null,
      "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval",
      "period_from": "2024-09-27",
      "period_to": "2024-10-01",
      "method_version": "retro-1.1"
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "retro_author_price",
       "picks": 2,
       "return_main_percent": "-100.00",
       "return_other_percent": "-100.00",
       "settled_excluding_void": 2,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -20000,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -20000,
       "period_from": "2024-09-27",
       "period_to": "2024-10-01"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 4,
      "priced": 2
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 2,
      "won": 0,
      "won_percent": "0.0",
      "implied_percent": "32.9",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Correct score",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "13.8"
       },
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "52.1"
       }
      ]
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 5,
     "checked": 4,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 4,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 4,
      "net_points_hundredths": -17700,
      "staked_hundredths": 40000,
      "return_percent": "-44.25",
      "interval_low": null,
      "interval_high": null,
      "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval",
      "period_from": "2024-10-02",
      "period_to": "2024-12-11",
      "method_version": "retro-1.1"
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "retro_author_price",
       "picks": 4,
       "return_main_percent": "-44.25",
       "return_other_percent": "-47.50",
       "settled_excluding_void": 4,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -17700,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -19000,
       "period_from": "2024-10-02",
       "period_to": "2024-12-11"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 4,
      "priced": 4
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 4,
      "won": 1,
      "won_percent": "25.0",
      "implied_percent": "43.9",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Double chance",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "44.8"
       },
       {
        "market": "European handicap",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "45.5"
       },
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "27.3"
       },
       {
        "market": "Team goals",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "58.0"
       }
      ]
     }
    }
   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": null,
  "headline_record_ids": [
   "n-15996cacffb29e37d8e15f16",
   "n-fc23a32a3c99b6bfacb51647"
  ],
  "interval_low": null,
  "interval_high": null,
  "caption": "Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off) · 100 points per pick · 27 September – 1 October 2024 · Calculated · picks settled under reconstruction method 1.1",
  "record_from": "2024-09-17",
  "record_to": "2024-12-11"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-b4a13ca365910385cb7c6d44",
   "url": "/authors/simon-barlow/#pick-n-b4a13ca365910385cb7c6d44",
   "match": "Juventus v Manchester City",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2024-12-11T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -16186.1,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.3",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "2-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "3.3",
   "settled_price": "3.6600",
   "published_at": "2024-12-10T13:09:06.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T06:08:55.750Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-b4a13ca365910385cb7c6d44",
    "quote_text": "Back the Draw at 23/10 with LiveScore Bet",
    "fragment_from": 3617,
    "fragment_to": 3658,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250115233801id_/https://www.livescore.com/en/news/juventus-manchester-city-predictions-champions-league-2024121013090609881/",
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    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
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    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
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    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "restored_archive",
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     "flags": [],
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     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "prematch_web_archive",
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    "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off",
    "added_on": "Added to our record on 9 Oct 2026",
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Luton Town",
     "author_odds": "1.8",
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Luton Town at 1.8"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
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     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Plymouth Argyle 3-1 Luton Town."
    },
    "settlements": [
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     {
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      "choice": "Luton Town",
      "decimal_odds": "1.9200",
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    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
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     "material_author": "Simon Barlow",
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     "forecaster": "Simon Barlow",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.livescore.com/en/news/amp/plymouth-luton-predictions-championship-2024092508254806546/",
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    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Luton Town to win"
   }
  },
  {
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   "quote": "Recommended Bet: Feyenoord to win by two or more goals",
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 "related": [
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}