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 "heading": "Sami Prieto: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "2 settled picks by Sami Prieto recorded before kick-off across 2 matches, 28 Oct 2026: won 0 of 2 at our recorded market prices. Every pick with its source.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 2 settled live picks by Sami Prieto before kick-off across 2 matches on 28 October 2026. Won 0 of 2 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 4 predictions we hold for Sami Prieto, 3 are linked to matches: 3 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
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  "data": "2026-11-07",
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  "public_name": "Sami Prieto",
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   "quote_text": "Probabilidades según nuestro algoritmo* de los diferentes pronósticos fútbol 1X2 posibles y las mejores cuotas para el partido 28/10/26 entre Bournemouth y Aston Villa en Carabao Cup:",
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   "quote_text": "Probabilidades según nuestro algoritmo* de los diferentes pronósticos fútbol 1X2 posibles",
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    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-e0a1cb09b436ed4cc4456408",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-e0a1cb09b436ed4cc4456408",
   "quote_text": "El algoritmo de Sportytrader ⭐ estima la probabilidad de 53.76% por un pronóstico ganador de Liverpool",
   "fragment_from": 2209,
   "fragment_to": 2311,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.sportytrader.es/pronosticos/liverpool-chelsea-383085/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Sami Prieto",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "8853aa43ff1468060ace317ef30cc14528d3ca3237a843a549cf51cbfc72e967",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-28T09:24:49.403Z",
   "executed_at": null,
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   "odds_set": {
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    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
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    "fragment_basis": "no",
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    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "no_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-affe62bb26171758dfdd8e3a",
   "url": "/authors/sami-prieto/#pick-n-affe62bb26171758dfdd8e3a",
   "quote_text": "El pronóstico :\n\nLiverpool gana\n\n2.10",
   "fragment_from": 12943,
   "fragment_to": 12980,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.sportytrader.es/pronosticos/liverpool-chelsea-383085/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Sami Prieto",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "8853aa43ff1468060ace317ef30cc14528d3ca3237a843a549cf51cbfc72e967",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-28T09:24:49.403Z",
   "executed_at": "2026-10-28T11:13:27.840Z",
   "statement_class": "priced",
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   "event": {
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    "display_name": "Liverpool — Chelsea",
    "competition_name": "EFL Cup (Carabao)",
    "starts_at": "2026-10-28T20:00:00.000Z",
    "url": "/football/matches/liverpool-vs-chelsea-2026-10-28/",
    "scoreline": "1-1",
    "condition": "finished"
   },
   "market_label": "1X2, match result",
   "outcome_label": "Liverpool",
   "odds_set": {
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    "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
   "result": "loss",
   "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": "ours",
   "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
   "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": null,
    "detected_at": "2026-10-28T09:24:49.403Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "no_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
   "origin_detail": null,
   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "choice": "Liverpool",
    "author_odds": "2.1",
    "market_key": "1x2",
    "choice_key": "1",
    "period": "match",
    "line": null,
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "1X2, match result: Liverpool at 2.1"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "loss",
    "scoreline": "1-1",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Liverpool 1-1 Chelsea."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
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     "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Liverpool",
     "decimal_odds": "2.1",
     "odds_role": "author_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "loss",
     "result_words": "Lost",
     "change_hundredths": -10000,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-28T11:13:24.082Z",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    },
    {
     "operation_id": "ba15aff139ecb46ed6a24cd4e63905d09d62b6585c757e44406045c40e6022d5",
     "series_key": "market_price",
     "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
     "derived": false,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": true,
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Liverpool",
     "decimal_odds": "2.1300",
     "odds_role": "market_price",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "loss",
     "result_words": "Lost",
     "change_hundredths": -10000,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-28T11:13:27.840Z",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Sami Prieto",
    "publisher": "sportytrader.es",
    "forecaster": "Sami Prieto",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.sportytrader.es/pronosticos/liverpool-chelsea-383085/",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "excluded_from_feed": {
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  "service": 1,
  "ruleset_version": "3"
 },
 "standing": null,
 "retro": null,
 "late": null,
 "price_vs_market": {
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  "threshold_percent": "5",
  "rows": [
   {
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)",
    "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick",
    "compared": 2,
    "above": 0,
    "above_share_percent": "0.0",
    "below": 0,
    "within": 2,
    "median_difference_percent": "-1.1",
    "not_comparable": 0,
    "disputed": 0,
    "status": "calculated"
   }
  ],
  "examples": [],
  "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way."
 },
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "person",
  "entity_words": "Individual author",
  "source": {
   "name": "sportytrader.es",
   "url": "https://www.sportytrader.es/pronosticos/bournemouth-aston-villa-383094/"
  },
  "observed_from": "2026-10-28",
  "observed_to": "2026-10-28",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "state": "settled",
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price",
  "restored": false,
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  "settled_picks": 2,
  "matches": 2,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": -20000,
  "staked_hundredths": 20000,
  "return_percent": "-100.00",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2026-10-28",
  "period_to": "2026-10-28",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "short_history": true,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 2 settled live picks by Sami Prieto before kick-off across 2 matches on 28 October 2026. Won 0 of 2 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 4 predictions we hold for Sami Prieto, 3 are linked to matches: 3 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled live picks",
    "value": "2",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "2",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "−200 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "value": "−100.0%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
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   }
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  "return_over_time": [],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
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    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.",
    "settled_picks": 2,
    "matches": 2,
    "match_dates": 1,
    "period_from": "2026-10-28",
    "period_to": "2026-10-28",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
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    },
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    },
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     }
    ]
   },
   "archived": null
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 2 settled live picks by Sami Prieto before kick-off across 2 matches on 28 October 2026. Won 0 of 2 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 4 predictions we hold for Sami Prieto, 3 are linked to matches: 3 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/sami-prieto/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "2.2"
  },
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   "parts": [
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     "predictions": 3,
     "checked": 3,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": {
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      "return_percent": "-100.00",
      "interval_low": null,
      "interval_high": null,
      "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval",
      "period_from": "2026-10-28",
      "period_to": "2026-10-28",
      "method_version": "2.2",
      "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0",
      "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.0",
      "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 0
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "author_price",
       "picks": 2,
       "return_main_percent": "-100.00",
       "return_other_percent": "-100.00",
       "settled_excluding_void": 2,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -20000,
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       "period_from": "2026-10-28",
       "period_to": "2026-10-28"
      },
      {
       "price": "Closing price",
       "series_code": "closing_live",
       "picks": 2,
       "return_main_percent": "-100.00",
       "return_other_percent": "-100.00",
       "settled_excluding_void": 2,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -20000,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -20000,
       "period_from": "2026-10-28",
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      }
     ],
     "score": {
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      "baseline_matches": 0,
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      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
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      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
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     },
     "accuracy": {
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      "won": 0,
      "won_percent": "0.0",
      "implied_percent": "51.6",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 2,
        "implied_percent": "51.6"
       }
      ]
     },
     "reviewed_after": {
      "predictions": 1,
      "right": 0,
      "wrong": 1,
      "other": 0
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
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     "score": {
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      "baseline_matches": 0,
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      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
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     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
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      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
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      "pending": 0,
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      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
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     },
     "accuracy": null
    }
   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": null,
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   "n-f16729584c1959015e56e7c4"
  ],
  "interval_low": null,
  "interval_high": null,
  "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 28 October 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2",
  "record_from": "2026-10-28",
  "record_to": "2026-10-28"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-affe62bb26171758dfdd8e3a",
   "url": "/authors/sami-prieto/#pick-n-affe62bb26171758dfdd8e3a",
   "match": "Liverpool v Chelsea",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/liverpool-vs-chelsea-2026-10-28/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-28T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "EFL Cup (Carabao)",
   "lead_hours": 10.6,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Liverpool at 2.1",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": "2.1",
   "settled_price": "2.1300",
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-28T09:24:49.403Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "1",
    "price": "2.1300",
    "result": "Lost",
    "points_hundredths": -10000,
    "picked_favourite": true
   },
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-affe62bb26171758dfdd8e3a",
    "quote_text": "El pronóstico :\n\nLiverpool gana\n\n2.10",
    "fragment_from": 12943,
    "fragment_to": 12980,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.sportytrader.es/pronosticos/liverpool-chelsea-383085/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Sami Prieto",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "8853aa43ff1468060ace317ef30cc14528d3ca3237a843a549cf51cbfc72e967",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": null,
    "detected_at": "2026-10-28T09:24:49.403Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-10-28T11:13:27.840Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-b845d6ad7355",
     "display_name": "Liverpool — Chelsea",
     "competition_name": "EFL Cup (Carabao)",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-28T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/liverpool-vs-chelsea-2026-10-28/",
     "scoreline": "1-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "Liverpool",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.1",
     "our_snapshot": "2.1300",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-28T09:21:40.510Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
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