{
 "schema_name": "page",
 "schema_version": "2.0",
 "page_type": "history",
 "url": "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/38/",
 "canonical": "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/38/",
 "language": "en",
 "hreflang": [],
 "translations": [],
 "heading": "Sam McLoughlin — football predictions, page 38 of 74",
 "description": "Predictions 721–740 of 1,457 by Sam McLoughlin, with outcomes in words and links to the evidence.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Page 38 of 74 of the predictions by Sam McLoughlin recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 721–740 of 1,457 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of 7 November 2026. Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.",
  "key_number": "1,457",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
 "indexable": false,
 "noindex_reason": "quarantine",
 "indexing_threshold": {
  "settled_count": 0,
  "date_count": 0,
  "required_settled": 0,
  "required_dates": 0
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:03:30.636Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "e44a2d6b29c6934aa7f86fd3f049da92742ec94df86497923ca2707d71af7174",
 "dependency_group": "author:e-8e187e16c4b6ff71a018973b",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
  {
   "type_code": "WebPage",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "Organization",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  }
 ],
 "exports": [
  {
   "type_code": "json",
   "url": "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/38/index.json",
   "bytes": null
  }
 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": false,
  "api": true,
  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": null,
 "restrictions": {
  "name_withdrawn": false,
  "tracker_number": null,
  "withdrawn_quotes": [],
  "removed_at": null,
  "cause": null,
  "suspended_records": [],
  "withdrawal_log_number": 0
 },
 "page_links": {
  "methodology": "/methodology/",
  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
 },
 "entity": {
  "id": "e-8e187e16c4b6ff71a018973b",
  "public_name": "Sam McLoughlin",
  "tracker_number": 1489,
  "status": "active",
  "inactive_since": null,
  "verified_creator": false,
  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-09-28",
   "until": "2026-11-04"
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "medium": "website",
    "handle": null,
    "url": null,
    "link_confirmed": false,
    "show": true
   }
  ],
  "comment": null
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-35b2a93e4e4fe78f9ee60190",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Manchester United v Sunderland",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-10-04T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -8618.2,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score_and_result",
   "author_said": "Match result and both teams to score: Manchester United win, both teams to score: yes",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "2-0",
   "reason": "the article byline and the named tipster differ; this selection is kept out of individual totals",
   "reason_code": "attribution",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-10-03T11:00:40.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:12:41.623Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": null,
   "record_part_words": null,
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": "Attribution under review",
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-78217b1e0beefec047e91961",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Leeds United v Tottenham Hotspur",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-10-04T11:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -8620.7,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Leeds United 1-2 Tottenham Hotspur",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "1-2",
   "reason": "the article byline and the named tipster differ; this selection is kept out of individual totals",
   "reason_code": "attribution",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-10-03T11:00:40.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:12:41.623Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": null,
   "record_part_words": null,
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": "Attribution under review",
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-b0f50c58be31a0f8287846d4",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Arsenal v West Ham United",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-10-04T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -8618.2,
   "market_code": "handicap_european",
   "author_said": "European handicap -1: Arsenal -1",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "2-0",
   "reason": "the article byline and the named tipster differ; this selection is kept out of individual totals",
   "reason_code": "attribution",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-10-03T11:00:40.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:12:41.623Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": null,
   "record_part_words": null,
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": "Attribution under review",
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-bfaedade2f332e2769b15e5e",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Manchester United v Sunderland",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-10-04T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -8618.2,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Manchester United 2-1 Sunderland",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "2-0",
   "reason": "the article byline and the named tipster differ; this selection is kept out of individual totals",
   "reason_code": "attribution",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-10-03T11:00:40.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:12:41.623Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": null,
   "record_part_words": null,
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": "Attribution under review",
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-e1ba56fd8ce1859fd99d98ef",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Arsenal v West Ham United",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-10-04T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -8618.2,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Arsenal 2-0 West Ham United",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "2-0",
   "reason": "the article byline and the named tipster differ; this selection is kept out of individual totals",
   "reason_code": "attribution",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-10-03T11:00:40.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:12:41.623Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": null,
   "record_part_words": null,
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": "Attribution under review",
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-f379ea6f59aae63c890be4db",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Leeds United v Tottenham Hotspur",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-10-04T11:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -8620.7,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score_and_result",
   "author_said": "Match result and both teams to score: Tottenham Hotspur win, both teams to score: yes",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "the article byline and the named tipster differ; this selection is kept out of individual totals",
   "reason_code": "attribution",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-10-03T11:00:40.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:12:41.623Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": null,
   "record_part_words": null,
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": "Attribution under review",
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-80ebc40815800aa8f2856a31",
   "url": "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/38/#pick-n-80ebc40815800aa8f2856a31",
   "match": "AFC Bournemouth v Fulham",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-10-03T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -8637.2,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: AFC Bournemouth",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "3-1",
   "reason": "the article byline and the named tipster differ; this selection is kept out of individual totals",
   "reason_code": "attribution",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-10-02T15:00:27.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:12:44.003Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": null,
   "record_part_words": null,
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": "Attribution under review",
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-80ebc40815800aa8f2856a31",
    "quote_text": "Prediction: Bournemouth To Win",
    "fragment_from": 2776,
    "fragment_to": 2806,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://news.williamhill.com/football/premier-league-football/premier-league-bournemouth-v-fulham-predictions",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Sam McLoughlin",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "2ea241161fda5d36f664023957462520a2f51a80823826f4c10c321f58b36136",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-10-02T15:00:27.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:12:44.003Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:43.151Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "AFC Bournemouth v Fulham",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-10-03T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "3-1"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "AFC Bournemouth",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.9524",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 9524,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-10-02T15:00:27.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2025-10-02T15:00:27.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:12:44.003Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "AFC Bournemouth",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: AFC Bournemouth"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "3-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was AFC Bournemouth 3-1 Fulham."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "cc100aa51c347d912950b4350e072400d7515aad3ce9d80cfbdcdebf6c73701d",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "AFC Bournemouth",
      "decimal_odds": "1.9524",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 9524,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:43.151Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "2ad4a18059a5f2ba317c682f0a1f6d1fd1af3f09a08f31a04437e0eeed65ca8b",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "AFC Bournemouth",
      "decimal_odds": "1.9500",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 9500,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:43.157Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Sam McLoughlin",
     "publisher": "news.williamhill.com",
     "forecaster": "@Footy_Tipster",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": true,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "under_check",
     "status_words": "Attribution under review",
     "status_note": "The article byline and the named tipster differ. This selection is excluded from individual performance summaries until the attribution is resolved.",
     "evidence_fragment": "@Footy_Tipster gives his best predictions ahead of this round of fixtures in the English Premier League.. With just one game left to play before Premier League players head to rep",
     "material_url": "https://news.williamhill.com/football/premier-league-football/premier-league-bournemouth-v-fulham-predictions",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": true,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "AFC Bournemouth to win"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-99722f0f7c2a602c919c4fff",
   "url": null,
   "match": "AFC Bournemouth v Fulham",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-10-03T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -8637.2,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: AFC Bournemouth 2-1 Fulham",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "3-1",
   "reason": "the article byline and the named tipster differ; this selection is kept out of individual totals",
   "reason_code": "attribution",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-10-02T15:00:27.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:12:44.003Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": null,
   "record_part_words": null,
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": "Attribution under review",
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-4d9c9f7ae9ab77ee7cfd1965",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Pick of the game: Over 2.5 Goals",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-10-02T11:00:49.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:12:47.399Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-04d9215b4fe9ff4c0090a203",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Everton v West Ham United",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-09-29T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -8733.2,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Everton 2-0 West Ham United",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-1",
   "reason": "the article byline and the named tipster differ; this selection is kept out of individual totals",
   "reason_code": "attribution",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-09-28T11:00:32.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:12:50.769Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": null,
   "record_part_words": null,
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": "Attribution under review",
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-a2f866559ccf5f69a92cf072",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Prediction: Everton To Win To Nil, Everton 2-0 West Ham",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-09-28T11:00:32.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:12:50.769Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-66235849011d3fa0fdf11c12",
   "url": "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/38/#pick-n-66235849011d3fa0fdf11c12",
   "match": "Aston Villa v Fulham",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-09-28T13:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -8763.2,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Aston Villa",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "3-1",
   "reason": "the article byline and the named tipster differ; this selection is kept out of individual totals",
   "reason_code": "attribution",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-09-27T09:00:40.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:12:52.553Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": null,
   "record_part_words": null,
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": "Attribution under review",
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-66235849011d3fa0fdf11c12",
    "quote_text": "Prediction: Aston Villa To Win",
    "fragment_from": 2715,
    "fragment_to": 2745,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://news.williamhill.com/football/premier-league-football/premier-league-aston-villa-v-fulham-predictions",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Sam McLoughlin",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "304fcfebe14cf4218dc120e4752e38dbf5ba7e48dd849c3355a9a60ebdb30609",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-09-27T09:00:40.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:12:52.553Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:43.180Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Aston Villa v Fulham",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-09-28T13:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "3-1"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "Aston Villa",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.2200",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 12200,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-09-27T09:00:40.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2025-09-27T09:00:40.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:12:52.553Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Aston Villa",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Aston Villa"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "3-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Aston Villa 3-1 Fulham."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "738ad109a9a63f59e4d094a0bba028c362b6152afbe19939ad3422e546095035",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Aston Villa",
      "decimal_odds": "2.2200",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 12200,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:43.180Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "5c0d8adddfc478faf9f03b37494f5194ef4c7b3f923fbdf00ae0f7e6b9d34cfa",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Aston Villa",
      "decimal_odds": "2.2550",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 12550,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:43.186Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Sam McLoughlin",
     "publisher": "news.williamhill.com",
     "forecaster": "@Footy_Tipster",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": true,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "under_check",
     "status_words": "Attribution under review",
     "status_note": "The article byline and the named tipster differ. This selection is excluded from individual performance summaries until the attribution is resolved.",
     "evidence_fragment": "@Footy_Tipster gives his best predictions ahead of this round of fixtures in the English Premier League.. With just two games left to play before Premier League players head to re",
     "material_url": "https://news.williamhill.com/football/premier-league-football/premier-league-aston-villa-v-fulham-predictions",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": true,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Aston Villa to win"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-e310d7b57a1b09dd546053da",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Aston Villa v Fulham",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-09-28T13:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -8763.2,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Aston Villa 1-0 Fulham",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "3-1",
   "reason": "the article byline and the named tipster differ; this selection is kept out of individual totals",
   "reason_code": "attribution",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-09-27T09:00:40.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:12:52.553Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": null,
   "record_part_words": null,
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": "Attribution under review",
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-9b46875bbd9e8f84362ad5d2",
   "url": "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/38/#pick-n-9b46875bbd9e8f84362ad5d2",
   "match": "Newcastle United v Arsenal",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-09-28T15:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -8760.7,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-2",
   "reason": "the article byline and the named tipster differ; this selection is kept out of individual totals",
   "reason_code": "attribution",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-09-27T09:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:12:52.631Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": null,
   "record_part_words": null,
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": "Attribution under review",
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-9b46875bbd9e8f84362ad5d2",
    "quote_text": "Prediction: Draw, Newcastle United 1-1 Arsenal",
    "fragment_from": 2974,
    "fragment_to": 3020,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://news.williamhill.com/football/premier-league-football/premier-league-newcastle-v-arsenal-predictions",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Sam McLoughlin",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "74369b0794c357616e772020e7dd4a57ebd83c5831747e1e9f97c64c1633a3b8",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-09-27T09:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:12:52.631Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:43.203Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Newcastle United v Arsenal",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-09-28T15:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "1-2"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "draw",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "3.3000",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-09-27T09:00:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2025-09-27T09:00:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:12:52.631Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "draw",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "X",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: draw"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "1-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Newcastle United 1-2 Arsenal."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "e2ce18e2832855fe83817fba0badabcbf78b03444f57dd13e4bbe3b8646a7f70",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": "3.3000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:43.203Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "80043bce77f9d15b1504daabbd81bc61c60b88f270a7fbdf7befee5d7cd9ad88",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": "3.3000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:43.209Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Sam McLoughlin",
     "publisher": "news.williamhill.com",
     "forecaster": "@Footy_Tipster",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": true,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "under_check",
     "status_words": "Attribution under review",
     "status_note": "The article byline and the named tipster differ. This selection is excluded from individual performance summaries until the attribution is resolved.",
     "evidence_fragment": "@Footy_Tipster gives his best predictions ahead of this round of fixtures in the English Premier League.. With just two games left to play before Premier League players head to re",
     "material_url": "https://news.williamhill.com/football/premier-league-football/premier-league-newcastle-v-arsenal-predictions",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": true,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "a draw"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-e7254ab9e7ae088c08ab3b06",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Newcastle United v Arsenal",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-09-28T15:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -8760.7,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Newcastle United 1-1 Arsenal",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-2",
   "reason": "the article byline and the named tipster differ; this selection is kept out of individual totals",
   "reason_code": "attribution",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-09-27T09:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:12:52.631Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": null,
   "record_part_words": null,
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": "Attribution under review",
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-42972522db9d6e92ebab9e27",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Brentford v Manchester United",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-09-27T11:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -8788.7,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score_and_result",
   "author_said": "Match result and both teams to score: Manchester United win, both teams to score: yes",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "3-1",
   "reason": "the article byline and the named tipster differ; this selection is kept out of individual totals",
   "reason_code": "attribution",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-09-26T10:00:59.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:12:55.624Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": null,
   "record_part_words": null,
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": "Attribution under review",
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-45fcf2a7a0998abc1f313580",
   "url": "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/38/#pick-n-45fcf2a7a0998abc1f313580",
   "match": "Chelsea v Brighton & Hove Albion",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-09-27T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -8786.2,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Chelsea",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "the article byline and the named tipster differ; this selection is kept out of individual totals",
   "reason_code": "attribution",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-09-26T10:00:59.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:12:55.624Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": null,
   "record_part_words": null,
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": "Attribution under review",
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-45fcf2a7a0998abc1f313580",
    "quote_text": "Prediction: Chelsea To Win & Over 2.5 Goals, Chelsea 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion",
    "fragment_from": 5260,
    "fragment_to": 5339,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://news.williamhill.com/football/premier-league-predictions-for-saturday-27th-september-2025/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Sam McLoughlin",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "92091e90baad29c407d64f18a140a64cff5943c3a83a7af702a74ed7f0cf5113",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-09-26T10:00:59.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:12:55.624Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": "disputed_reading",
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Chelsea v Brighton & Hove Albion",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-09-27T14:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": null
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "Chelsea",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.0000",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-09-26T10:00:59.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2025-09-26T10:00:59.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:12:55.624Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Chelsea",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Chelsea"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "4cb95a402fbdcad9af7788d1fc79a1a097c48d8546b959aedd742b99ec17c8ac",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Chelsea",
      "decimal_odds": "2.0000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:27:59.512Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "deb9ede583ca363b090cbbf67a95ff570e830e967e48bcc157f68822c24be7f2",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Chelsea",
      "decimal_odds": "1.9400",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:13.081Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Sam McLoughlin",
     "publisher": "news.williamhill.com",
     "forecaster": "@Footy_Tipster",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": true,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "under_check",
     "status_words": "Attribution under review",
     "status_note": "The article byline and the named tipster differ. This selection is excluded from individual performance summaries until the attribution is resolved.",
     "evidence_fragment": "@Footy_Tipster gives his best predictions ahead of this round of fixtures in the English Premier League.. With just two games left to play before Premier League players head to re",
     "material_url": "https://news.williamhill.com/football/premier-league-predictions-for-saturday-27th-september-2025/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": true,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Chelsea to win"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-6c2f5cf2c2f3c8f84dd3d6eb",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Tottenham Hotspur v Wolverhampton Wanderers",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-09-27T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -8781.2,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Tottenham Hotspur 2-0 Wolverhampton Wanderers",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-1",
   "reason": "the article byline and the named tipster differ; this selection is kept out of individual totals",
   "reason_code": "attribution",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-09-26T10:00:59.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:12:55.624Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": null,
   "record_part_words": null,
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": "Attribution under review",
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-6d320bfe40e2675d93fc2357",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Nottingham Forest v Sunderland",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-09-27T16:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -8783.7,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Nottingham Forest 2-1 Sunderland",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-1",
   "reason": "the article byline and the named tipster differ; this selection is kept out of individual totals",
   "reason_code": "attribution",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-09-26T10:00:59.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:12:55.624Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": null,
   "record_part_words": null,
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": "Attribution under review",
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-777abb19579e890ae672ff96",
   "url": "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/38/#pick-n-777abb19579e890ae672ff96",
   "match": "Chelsea v Brighton & Hove Albion",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-09-27T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -8786.2,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "the article byline and the named tipster differ; this selection is kept out of individual totals",
   "reason_code": "attribution",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-09-26T10:00:59.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:12:55.624Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": null,
   "record_part_words": null,
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": "Attribution under review",
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-777abb19579e890ae672ff96",
    "quote_text": "Prediction: Chelsea To Win & Over 2.5 Goals, Chelsea 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion",
    "fragment_from": 5260,
    "fragment_to": 5339,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://news.williamhill.com/football/premier-league-predictions-for-saturday-27th-september-2025/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Sam McLoughlin",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "92091e90baad29c407d64f18a140a64cff5943c3a83a7af702a74ed7f0cf5113",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-09-26T10:00:59.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:12:55.624Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": "disputed_reading",
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Chelsea v Brighton & Hove Albion",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-09-27T14:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": null
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 2.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.6241",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-09-26T10:00:59.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2025-09-26T10:00:59.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:12:55.624Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 2.5",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "4f431f8a71f4b622a30203b7720f00e5e6111e5f059f6b62f13f686191a3b025",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.6241",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:00.979Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "1b73c9e90e4de4326234018b5edd67496fcb0008879a1044acc76cf14829d1f1",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.6300",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:15.816Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Sam McLoughlin",
     "publisher": "news.williamhill.com",
     "forecaster": "@Footy_Tipster",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": true,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "under_check",
     "status_words": "Attribution under review",
     "status_note": "The article byline and the named tipster differ. This selection is excluded from individual performance summaries until the attribution is resolved.",
     "evidence_fragment": "@Footy_Tipster gives his best predictions ahead of this round of fixtures in the English Premier League.. With just two games left to play before Premier League players head to re",
     "material_url": "https://news.williamhill.com/football/premier-league-predictions-for-saturday-27th-september-2025/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": true,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)"
   }
  }
 ],
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 1457,
  "pages": 74,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/2/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/3/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/4/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/5/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/6/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/7/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/8/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/9/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/10/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/11/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/12/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/13/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/14/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/15/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/16/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/17/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/18/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/19/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/20/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/21/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/22/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/23/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/24/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/25/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/26/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/27/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/28/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/29/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/30/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/31/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/32/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/33/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/34/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/35/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/36/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/37/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/38/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/39/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/40/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/41/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/42/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/43/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/44/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/45/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/46/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/47/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/48/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/49/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/50/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/51/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/52/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/53/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/54/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/55/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/56/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/57/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/58/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/59/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/60/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/61/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/62/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/63/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/64/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/65/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/66/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/67/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/68/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/69/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/70/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/71/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/72/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/73/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/74/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 91,
   "pending": 0,
   "excluded": 1366
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 38,
  "first": 721,
  "last": 740,
  "author_url": "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/",
  "current": false
 },
 "entity_id": "history:/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/38/",
 "source_revision": 51
}
