{
 "schema_name": "page",
 "schema_version": "2.0",
 "page_type": "history",
 "url": "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/25/",
 "canonical": "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/25/",
 "language": "en",
 "hreflang": [],
 "translations": [],
 "heading": "Sam McLoughlin — football predictions, page 25 of 74",
 "description": "Predictions 461–480 of 1,457 by Sam McLoughlin, with outcomes in words and links to the evidence.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Page 25 of 74 of the predictions by Sam McLoughlin recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 461–480 of 1,457 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of 7 November 2026. Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.",
  "key_number": "1,457",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
 "indexable": false,
 "noindex_reason": "quarantine",
 "indexing_threshold": {
  "settled_count": 0,
  "date_count": 0,
  "required_settled": 0,
  "required_dates": 0
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:03:30.636Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "7f9ad548dc2806e1344b87324389d607160d5dee272548c35d1ab634fd128e67",
 "dependency_group": "author:e-8e187e16c4b6ff71a018973b",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
  {
   "type_code": "WebPage",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "Organization",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  }
 ],
 "exports": [
  {
   "type_code": "json",
   "url": "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/25/index.json",
   "bytes": null
  }
 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": false,
  "api": true,
  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": null,
 "restrictions": {
  "name_withdrawn": false,
  "tracker_number": null,
  "withdrawn_quotes": [],
  "removed_at": null,
  "cause": null,
  "suspended_records": [],
  "withdrawal_log_number": 0
 },
 "page_links": {
  "methodology": "/methodology/",
  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
 },
 "entity": {
  "id": "e-8e187e16c4b6ff71a018973b",
  "public_name": "Sam McLoughlin",
  "tracker_number": 1489,
  "status": "active",
  "inactive_since": null,
  "verified_creator": false,
  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-09-28",
   "until": "2026-11-04"
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "medium": "website",
    "handle": null,
    "url": null,
    "link_confirmed": false,
    "show": true
   }
  ],
  "comment": null
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-4d2c873ca2a487149d36c03a",
   "url": "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/25/#pick-n-4d2c873ca2a487149d36c03a",
   "match": "Sunderland v Leeds United",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-12-28T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -6578.2,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Sunderland",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-1",
   "reason": "the article byline and the named tipster differ; this selection is kept out of individual totals",
   "reason_code": "attribution",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-12-23T10:56:45.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:10:24.515Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": null,
   "record_part_words": null,
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": "Attribution under review",
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-4d2c873ca2a487149d36c03a",
    "quote_text": "Prediction: Sunderland To Win, Sunderland 2-1 Leeds.",
    "fragment_from": 2498,
    "fragment_to": 2550,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://news.williamhill.com/football/premier-league-predictions-for-sunday-28th-december-2025",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Sam McLoughlin",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "92cd5f907ca827f3204c4d8d1d09154f541b3b6820bb444d0bf0284d03f87b9d",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-12-23T10:56:45.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:10:24.515Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:36.685Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Sunderland v Leeds United",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-12-28T14:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "1-1"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "Sunderland",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.8500",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-12-23T10:56:45.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2025-12-23T10:56:45.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:10:24.515Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Sunderland",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Sunderland"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "1-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Sunderland 1-1 Leeds United."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "b0114fc9e0e03526173df5785d127633557782c0254e6c400067d12eb1de7c73",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Sunderland",
      "decimal_odds": "2.8500",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:36.685Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "aaa6dccab9f790ca73fa9fcfca72fe5eab08a040609e3c3439b690caeb9cc14d",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Sunderland",
      "decimal_odds": "2.8300",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:36.691Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Sam McLoughlin",
     "publisher": "news.williamhill.com",
     "forecaster": "@Footy_Tipster",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": true,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "under_check",
     "status_words": "Attribution under review",
     "status_note": "The article byline and the named tipster differ. This selection is excluded from individual performance summaries until the attribution is resolved.",
     "evidence_fragment": "@Footy_Tipster gives his best predictions ahead of this round of fixtures in the English Premier League.. Win a share of 500k with William Hill’s final One Standing Sunday will p",
     "material_url": "https://news.williamhill.com/football/premier-league-predictions-for-sunday-28th-december-2025",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": true,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Sunderland to win"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-c8ca434e2b977eb55d2e5117",
   "url": "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/25/#pick-n-c8ca434e2b977eb55d2e5117",
   "match": "Crystal Palace v Tottenham Hotspur",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-12-28T16:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -6575.7,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-1",
   "reason": "the article byline and the named tipster differ; this selection is kept out of individual totals",
   "reason_code": "attribution",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-12-23T10:56:45.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:10:24.515Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": null,
   "record_part_words": null,
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": "Attribution under review",
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-c8ca434e2b977eb55d2e5117",
    "quote_text": "Prediction: Draw, Crystal Palace 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur.",
    "fragment_from": 4119,
    "fragment_to": 4174,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://news.williamhill.com/football/premier-league-predictions-for-sunday-28th-december-2025",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Sam McLoughlin",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "92cd5f907ca827f3204c4d8d1d09154f541b3b6820bb444d0bf0284d03f87b9d",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-12-23T10:56:45.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:10:24.515Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:36.697Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Crystal Palace v Tottenham Hotspur",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-12-28T16:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "0-1"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "draw",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "3.3700",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-12-23T10:56:45.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2025-12-23T10:56:45.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:10:24.515Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "draw",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "X",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: draw"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Crystal Palace 0-1 Tottenham Hotspur."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "0718d5e6a2e4d90fc05a8c2dfa991b85afca964070c569a8f079e346c58f973d",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": "3.3700",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:36.697Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "76ecbcb5c2198386bca49576c20ca3771ebc72fb74ba7e77d20a78f2056b4e18",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": "3.4000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:36.703Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Sam McLoughlin",
     "publisher": "news.williamhill.com",
     "forecaster": "@Footy_Tipster",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": true,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "under_check",
     "status_words": "Attribution under review",
     "status_note": "The article byline and the named tipster differ. This selection is excluded from individual performance summaries until the attribution is resolved.",
     "evidence_fragment": "@Footy_Tipster gives his best predictions ahead of this round of fixtures in the English Premier League.. Win a share of 500k with William Hill’s final One Standing Sunday will p",
     "material_url": "https://news.williamhill.com/football/premier-league-predictions-for-sunday-28th-december-2025",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": true,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "a draw"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-14d0be478443230fbfb83dc2",
   "url": null,
   "match": "West Ham United v Fulham",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-12-27T15:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -6601.2,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score_and_result",
   "author_said": "Match result and both teams to score: draw, both teams to score: yes",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-1",
   "reason": "the article byline and the named tipster differ; this selection is kept out of individual totals",
   "reason_code": "attribution",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-12-23T09:41:15.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:10:26.590Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": null,
   "record_part_words": null,
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": "Attribution under review",
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-19a8fad21097382628d00208",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Brentford v AFC Bournemouth",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-12-27T15:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -6601.2,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Brentford 3-2 AFC Bournemouth",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "4-1",
   "reason": "the article byline and the named tipster differ; this selection is kept out of individual totals",
   "reason_code": "attribution",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-12-23T09:41:15.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:10:26.590Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": null,
   "record_part_words": null,
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": "Attribution under review",
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-261d30285cb9c3c45afc16cd",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Chelsea v Aston Villa",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-12-27T17:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -6598.7,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Chelsea 2-1 Aston Villa",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-2",
   "reason": "the article byline and the named tipster differ; this selection is kept out of individual totals",
   "reason_code": "attribution",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-12-23T09:41:15.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:10:26.590Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": null,
   "record_part_words": null,
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": "Attribution under review",
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-2f9b34af110845f97d634552",
   "url": null,
   "match": "West Ham United v Fulham",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-12-27T15:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -6601.2,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: West Ham United 1-1 Fulham",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-1",
   "reason": "the article byline and the named tipster differ; this selection is kept out of individual totals",
   "reason_code": "attribution",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-12-23T09:41:15.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:10:26.590Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": null,
   "record_part_words": null,
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": "Attribution under review",
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-4021cda935217807e69295dd",
   "url": "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/25/#pick-n-4021cda935217807e69295dd",
   "match": "Chelsea v Aston Villa",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-12-27T17:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -6598.7,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "the article byline and the named tipster differ; this selection is kept out of individual totals",
   "reason_code": "attribution",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-12-23T09:41:15.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:10:26.590Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": null,
   "record_part_words": null,
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": "Attribution under review",
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-4021cda935217807e69295dd",
    "quote_text": "Prediction: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals, Chelsea 2-1 Aston Villa.",
    "fragment_from": 13231,
    "fragment_to": 13305,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://news.williamhill.com/football/premier-league-predictions-for-saturday-27th-december-2025",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Sam McLoughlin",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "3c636cc163c90e48a6ec93a6334cc3e8f6b531c4c281b60086d543aa892c6992",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-12-23T09:41:15.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:10:26.590Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": "disputed_reading",
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Chelsea v Aston Villa",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-12-27T17:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": null
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 2.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.6689",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-12-23T09:41:15.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2025-12-23T09:41:15.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:10:26.590Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 2.5",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "114d4c305b911f2326a77f3acbaa786d30b55d72fbd63ac62fdf17dab6a18332",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.6689",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:27:59.391Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "3bbd2120b4e86158421f7cad5114449d5eba0a7b92b19e42b17e4a6b520e2d36",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.6800",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:12.706Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Sam McLoughlin",
     "publisher": "news.williamhill.com",
     "forecaster": "@Footy_Tipster",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": true,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "under_check",
     "status_words": "Attribution under review",
     "status_note": "The article byline and the named tipster differ. This selection is excluded from individual performance summaries until the attribution is resolved.",
     "evidence_fragment": "@Footy_Tipster gives his best predictions ahead of this round of fixtures in the English Premier League.. Win a share of 500k with William Hill’s final One Standing Saturday will",
     "material_url": "https://news.williamhill.com/football/premier-league-predictions-for-saturday-27th-december-2025",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": true,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-4aa0d610a1c344ba76bc1dd0",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Brentford v AFC Bournemouth",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-12-27T15:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -6601.2,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score_and_result",
   "author_said": "Match result and both teams to score: Brentford win, both teams to score: yes",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "4-1",
   "reason": "the article byline and the named tipster differ; this selection is kept out of individual totals",
   "reason_code": "attribution",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-12-23T09:41:15.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:10:26.590Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": null,
   "record_part_words": null,
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": "Attribution under review",
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-5979a65e9374a7d1deb6a2ba",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "i think we’ll see something similar in this one to be honest with Arsenal keeping another clean sheet.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-12-23T09:41:15.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:10:26.590Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-630aaa872a0fc3795b42fbc4",
   "url": "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/25/#pick-n-630aaa872a0fc3795b42fbc4",
   "match": "Burnley v Everton",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-12-27T15:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -6601.2,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "0-0",
   "reason": "the article byline and the named tipster differ; this selection is kept out of individual totals",
   "reason_code": "attribution",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-12-23T09:41:15.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:10:26.590Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": null,
   "record_part_words": null,
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": "Attribution under review",
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-630aaa872a0fc3795b42fbc4",
    "quote_text": "Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals, Burnley 0-1 Everton.",
    "fragment_from": 8224,
    "fragment_to": 8273,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://news.williamhill.com/football/premier-league-predictions-for-saturday-27th-december-2025",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Sam McLoughlin",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "3c636cc163c90e48a6ec93a6334cc3e8f6b531c4c281b60086d543aa892c6992",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-12-23T09:41:15.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:10:26.590Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:36.754Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Burnley v Everton",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-12-27T15:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "0-0"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "under 2.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.5379",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 5379,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-12-23T09:41:15.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2025-12-23T09:41:15.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:10:26.590Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "under 2.5",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "under",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "0-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Burnley 0-0 Everton."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "9142be79b5f573e2abe3296e6b6e5c3f7f17fb85d48099c035482417f62dfe1a",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "under 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.5379",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 5379,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:36.754Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "399466d4f334088785f3e9b02a40aa709fec905a3b198df7b0a1ad5e78553e5c",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "under 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.5650",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 5650,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:37.199Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Sam McLoughlin",
     "publisher": "news.williamhill.com",
     "forecaster": "@Footy_Tipster",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": true,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "under_check",
     "status_words": "Attribution under review",
     "status_note": "The article byline and the named tipster differ. This selection is excluded from individual performance summaries until the attribution is resolved.",
     "evidence_fragment": "@Footy_Tipster gives his best predictions ahead of this round of fixtures in the English Premier League.. Win a share of 500k with William Hill’s final One Standing Saturday will",
     "material_url": "https://news.williamhill.com/football/premier-league-predictions-for-saturday-27th-december-2025",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": true,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "under 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-8b999acdb04434c7471dc8b8",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Arsenal v Brighton & Hove Albion",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-12-27T15:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -6601.2,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Arsenal 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "2-1",
   "reason": "the article byline and the named tipster differ; this selection is kept out of individual totals",
   "reason_code": "attribution",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-12-23T09:41:15.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:10:26.590Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": null,
   "record_part_words": null,
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": "Attribution under review",
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-947ccf554f769269174a9474",
   "url": "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/25/#pick-n-947ccf554f769269174a9474",
   "match": "Chelsea v Aston Villa",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-12-27T17:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -6598.7,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score",
   "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "the article byline and the named tipster differ; this selection is kept out of individual totals",
   "reason_code": "attribution",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-12-23T09:41:15.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:10:26.590Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": null,
   "record_part_words": null,
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": "Attribution under review",
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-947ccf554f769269174a9474",
    "quote_text": "Prediction: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals, Chelsea 2-1 Aston Villa.",
    "fragment_from": 13231,
    "fragment_to": 13305,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://news.williamhill.com/football/premier-league-predictions-for-saturday-27th-december-2025",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Sam McLoughlin",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "3c636cc163c90e48a6ec93a6334cc3e8f6b531c4c281b60086d543aa892c6992",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-12-23T09:41:15.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:10:26.590Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": "disputed_reading",
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Chelsea v Aston Villa",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-12-27T17:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": null
    },
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "yes",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.6846",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "unknown",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-12-23T09:41:15.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2025-12-23T09:41:15.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:10:26.590Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
     "choice": "yes",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "both_teams_score",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "8273c4cbb3e703f64fabebb605d11cc8970a99a0d153fc84361b02198601b72a",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "yes",
      "decimal_odds": "1.6846",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:02.921Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "1fe66d713c4d1785cfceb745a27a174f16d4c0d8fbca0aec0dd668946de2be0f",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "yes",
      "decimal_odds": "1.6300",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": "unknown",
      "result_words": "Pending",
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:28:18.881Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Sam McLoughlin",
     "publisher": "news.williamhill.com",
     "forecaster": "@Footy_Tipster",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": true,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "under_check",
     "status_words": "Attribution under review",
     "status_note": "The article byline and the named tipster differ. This selection is excluded from individual performance summaries until the attribution is resolved.",
     "evidence_fragment": "@Footy_Tipster gives his best predictions ahead of this round of fixtures in the English Premier League.. Win a share of 500k with William Hill’s final One Standing Saturday will",
     "material_url": "https://news.williamhill.com/football/premier-league-predictions-for-saturday-27th-december-2025",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": true,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-a39f357916b430fb524448de",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Burnley v Everton",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-12-27T15:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -6601.2,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Burnley 0-1 Everton",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-0",
   "reason": "the article byline and the named tipster differ; this selection is kept out of individual totals",
   "reason_code": "attribution",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-12-23T09:41:15.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:10:26.590Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": null,
   "record_part_words": null,
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": "Attribution under review",
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-c2213c8864b7840fe703e0ec",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Liverpool v Wolverhampton Wanderers",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-12-27T15:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -6601.2,
   "market_code": "handicap_european",
   "author_said": "European handicap -2: Liverpool -2",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "2-1",
   "reason": "the article byline and the named tipster differ; this selection is kept out of individual totals",
   "reason_code": "attribution",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-12-23T09:41:15.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:10:26.590Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": null,
   "record_part_words": null,
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": "Attribution under review",
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-f2d961777f1f4e2a69aee459",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Liverpool v Wolverhampton Wanderers",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-12-27T15:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -6601.2,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Liverpool 3-0 Wolverhampton Wanderers",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "2-1",
   "reason": "the article byline and the named tipster differ; this selection is kept out of individual totals",
   "reason_code": "attribution",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-12-23T09:41:15.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:10:26.590Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": null,
   "record_part_words": null,
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": "Attribution under review",
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-fc856e836cfed6139d4e617a",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Nottingham Forest v Manchester City",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-12-27T12:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -6603.7,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Nottingham Forest 0-2 Manchester City",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-2",
   "reason": "the article byline and the named tipster differ; this selection is kept out of individual totals",
   "reason_code": "attribution",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-12-23T09:41:15.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:10:26.590Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": null,
   "record_part_words": null,
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": "Attribution under review",
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-d11d6b22ca1038f55c78c9ad",
   "url": "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/25/#pick-n-d11d6b22ca1038f55c78c9ad",
   "match": "Manchester United v Newcastle United",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-12-26T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -6620.2,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-0",
   "reason": "the article byline and the named tipster differ; this selection is kept out of individual totals",
   "reason_code": "attribution",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-12-22T18:11:54.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:10:26.774Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": null,
   "record_part_words": null,
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": "Attribution under review",
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-d11d6b22ca1038f55c78c9ad",
    "quote_text": "Prediction: Draw,",
    "fragment_from": 2547,
    "fragment_to": 2564,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://news.williamhill.com/football/premier-league-football/premier-league-man-utd-v-newcastle-predictions/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Sam McLoughlin",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "ba67cbcca4dba4afb63cd28f48e40568ab6a70685175352e0d30eca4e68e7e6e",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-12-22T18:11:54.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:10:26.774Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:37.305Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Manchester United v Newcastle United",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-12-26T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "1-0"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "draw",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "3.6000",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-12-22T18:11:54.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2025-12-22T18:11:54.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:10:26.774Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "draw",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "X",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: draw"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "1-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Manchester United 1-0 Newcastle United."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "1c13a64ccf06846709dfd0c5a67eb32ef1ca4d0da9e7190b3902b3a71ff0dc86",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": "3.6000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:37.305Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "abe1878f64d2add7ad9f5c0f4f9a2e567558f7c13feca6fafee40411a2c8a7ba",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": "3.6000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:37.317Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Sam McLoughlin",
     "publisher": "news.williamhill.com",
     "forecaster": "@Footy_Tipster",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": true,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "under_check",
     "status_words": "Attribution under review",
     "status_note": "The article byline and the named tipster differ. This selection is excluded from individual performance summaries until the attribution is resolved.",
     "evidence_fragment": "@Footy_Tipster gives his best predictions ahead of this round of fixtures in the English Premier League.. Win a share of 500k with William Hill’s final One Standing All eyes will",
     "material_url": "https://news.williamhill.com/football/premier-league-football/premier-league-man-utd-v-newcastle-predictions/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": true,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "a draw"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-5f9c075d7d1807073c989106",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Fulham v Nottingham Forest",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-12-22T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -6716.2,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-0",
   "reason": "the article byline and the named tipster differ; this selection is kept out of individual totals",
   "reason_code": "attribution",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-12-21T12:32:14.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:10:31.961Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": null,
   "record_part_words": null,
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": "Attribution under review",
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-ca8cf013a2b15ab71463f728",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Fulham v Nottingham Forest",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-12-22T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -6716.2,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Fulham 1-1 Nottingham Forest",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-0",
   "reason": "the article byline and the named tipster differ; this selection is kept out of individual totals",
   "reason_code": "attribution",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-12-21T12:32:14.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:10:31.961Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": null,
   "record_part_words": null,
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": "Attribution under review",
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-6fa83a09e17b2511b5d0bdec",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Aston Villa v Manchester United",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-12-21T16:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -6743.7,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score_and_result",
   "author_said": "Match result and both teams to score: Aston Villa win, both teams to score: yes",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "2-1",
   "reason": "the article byline and the named tipster differ; this selection is kept out of individual totals",
   "reason_code": "attribution",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-12-20T11:00:14.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:10:32.435Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": null,
   "record_part_words": null,
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": "Attribution under review",
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 1457,
  "pages": 74,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/2/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/3/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/4/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/5/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/6/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/7/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/8/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/9/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/10/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/11/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/12/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/13/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/14/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/15/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/16/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/17/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/18/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/19/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/20/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/21/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/22/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/23/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/24/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/25/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/26/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/27/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/28/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/29/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/30/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/31/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/32/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/33/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/34/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/35/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/36/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/37/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/38/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/39/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/40/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/41/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/42/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/43/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/44/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/45/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/46/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/47/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/48/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/49/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/50/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/51/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/52/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/53/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/54/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/55/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/56/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/57/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/58/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/59/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/60/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/61/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/62/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/63/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/64/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/65/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/66/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/67/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/68/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/69/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/70/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/71/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/72/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/73/",
   "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/74/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 91,
   "pending": 0,
   "excluded": 1366
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 25,
  "first": 461,
  "last": 480,
  "author_url": "/authors/sam-mcloughlin/",
  "current": false
 },
 "entity_id": "history:/authors/sam-mcloughlin/picks/25/",
 "source_revision": 50
}
