{
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 "heading": "Ryan Tucker: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "2 settled picks by Ryan Tucker recorded before kick-off across 2 matches, 21 Oct 2026 – 26 Oct 2026: won 1 of 2 at our recorded market prices.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 2 settled live picks by Ryan Tucker before kick-off across 2 matches between 21 and 26 October 2026. Won 1 of 2 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 23 predictions we hold for Ryan Tucker, 5 are linked to matches: 3 were recorded by us before kick-off and 2 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "key_number": "2",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
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 "data_date": "2026-11-07T17:51:03.240Z",
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 "dependency_group": "author:e-27bf45ef165fe1c3b1152e06",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
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 "exports": [
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 "modules": {
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 "affiliate_block": {
  "container": true,
  "request_url": "/partnery/moi",
  "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.",
  "page_category": "author"
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 "restrictions": {
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 "page_links": {
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 "entity": {
  "id": "e-27bf45ef165fe1c3b1152e06",
  "public_name": "Ryan Tucker",
  "tracker_number": 4918,
  "status": "active",
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  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-10-17",
   "until": "2026-11-07"
  },
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   {
    "medium": "website",
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   "window_from": "2026-08-09",
   "window_to": "2026-11-07",
   "amount": "-1.2500",
   "unit": "percent",
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   "n_events": 2,
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   "ci_method": "not_estimated",
   "price_source": "market_price",
   "coverage_percent": "100.00",
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   "methodology_version": "2.2",
   "data_date": "2026-11-07T17:51:03.240Z",
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   "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot"
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  "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 2 settled picks across 2 matches",
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  "odds_from_author": 2,
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   {
    "cause": "other reading",
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   {
    "cause": "read after the match, from archived pages",
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   "quote_text": "Our Bet of the Day on Saturday 7 November is paying 2.05 and features Mainz vs Bayern Munich",
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    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
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   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
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    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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   "settlements": [],
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   "observation_id": "n-69909442f8b7b34e4e8b19e2",
   "url": "/authors/ryan-tucker/picks/3/#pick-n-69909442f8b7b34e4e8b19e2",
   "quote_text": "Result/Both Teams to Score - Bayern Munich & Yes (21/20)\n\n2.05",
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    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
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   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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   "observation_id": "n-17813dc32bb5638731874c05",
   "url": "/authors/ryan-tucker/picks/3/#pick-n-17813dc32bb5638731874c05",
   "quote_text": "Alternative Total Goals - Over (5/4)\n\n2.25",
   "fragment_from": 628,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.aussiebets.com.au/betting-tips/bet-of-the-day/",
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    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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  {
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   "quote_text": "Alternative Total Goals - Over (11/10)\n\n2.10",
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    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-6db11be84fff939394fbb9d0",
   "url": "/authors/ryan-tucker/picks/2/#pick-n-6db11be84fff939394fbb9d0",
   "quote_text": "Alternative Total Goals - Over (10/11)\n\n1.91",
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   "source_info": {
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   "statement_class": "priced",
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   "cause_code": "not_checked",
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    "display_name": "PSV Eindhoven — Club Brugge KV",
    "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
    "starts_at": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z",
    "url": "/football/matches/psv-eindhoven-vs-club-brugge-kv-2026-11-04/",
    "scoreline": "1-2",
    "condition": "finished"
   },
   "market_label": "Over/Under 0.5 goals",
   "outcome_label": "over 0.5",
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": "1.91",
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   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": "win",
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    "source_page_at": "2024-02-08T20:07:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-05T00:28:09.332Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_match",
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    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before this match: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "recorded_after_kickoff",
   "origin_words": "Recorded by us after kick-off; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
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   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Over/Under 0.5 goals",
    "choice": "over 0.5",
    "author_odds": "1.91",
    "market_key": "total",
    "choice_key": "over",
    "period": "match",
    "line": "0.5",
    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Over/Under 0.5 goals: over 0.5 at 1.91"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": "win",
    "scoreline": "1-2",
    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "Won: the final score was PSV Eindhoven 1-2 Club Brugge KV."
   },
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   "fragment_from": 699,
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   },
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   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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   },
   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
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   "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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   "author_claim": {
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    "status": "not_named",
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   "detected_at": "2026-10-26T15:28:07.245Z",
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
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   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
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   "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
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     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "win",
     "result_words": "Won",
     "change_hundredths": 9750,
     "executed_at": "2026-10-21T04:23:46.840Z",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "on_claim_market": true,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Ryan Tucker",
    "publisher": "aussiebets.com.au",
    "forecaster": "Ryan Tucker",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://www.aussiebets.com.au/betting-tips/bet-of-the-day/",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-6153efb66a94c68c4601e4e7",
   "url": "/authors/ryan-tucker/picks/2/#pick-n-6153efb66a94c68c4601e4e7",
   "quote_text": "Full Time Result - Away Win (29/20)\n\n2.45",
   "fragment_from": 621,
   "fragment_to": 662,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.aussiebets.com.au/betting-tips/bet-of-the-day/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Ryan Tucker",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "c675de4bbf9f79cf99fe95ba2c5ecca9028dc4371da5d6792a8c964bfbb1204f",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-20T03:29:09.497Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "not_supported",
   "cause": "",
   "cause_code": "not_supported",
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-02-08T20:07:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-20T03:29:09.497Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-7c124696e4a395165389798f",
   "url": "/authors/ryan-tucker/picks/2/#pick-n-7c124696e4a395165389798f",
   "quote_text": "Both Teams to Score - Yes (1/1)\n\n2.00",
   "fragment_from": 620,
   "fragment_to": 657,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.aussiebets.com.au/betting-tips/bet-of-the-day/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Ryan Tucker",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "6d01cfae9034772d5f9dfda59ba29a7d3539b9057583efd8487f5f80bd13f9a3",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-19T03:30:09.245Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "not_supported",
   "cause": "",
   "cause_code": "not_supported",
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-02-08T20:07:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-19T03:30:09.245Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-c46541ab1e4f2815457be922",
   "url": "/authors/ryan-tucker/picks/2/#pick-n-c46541ab1e4f2815457be922",
   "quote_text": "Alternative Total Goals - Over (1/1)\n\n2.00",
   "fragment_from": 627,
   "fragment_to": 669,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.aussiebets.com.au/betting-tips/bet-of-the-day/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Ryan Tucker",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "a603b63507b6cc14efe145a76cf20c39079f36c7bfb2a7abfb4ff60d4a6e4991",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-18T03:28:38.485Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "not_supported",
   "cause": "",
   "cause_code": "not_supported",
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-02-08T20:07:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-18T03:28:38.485Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-a732627e94d45f1d15337a9a",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-a732627e94d45f1d15337a9a",
   "quote_text": "Returns $10.25",
   "fragment_from": 847,
   "fragment_to": 861,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.aussiebets.com.au/betting-tips/bet-of-the-day/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Ryan Tucker",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "ece5caeee4c408a7b579e1a6140eedeb6978a89dc3a4806b4ab695c2b896a7b8",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-17T15:27:44.546Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-02-08T20:07:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-17T15:27:44.546Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-14c26ebc7184f080dc79875f",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-14c26ebc7184f080dc79875f",
   "quote_text": "Choose Your Stake",
   "fragment_from": 828,
   "fragment_to": 845,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.aussiebets.com.au/betting-tips/bet-of-the-day/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Ryan Tucker",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "ece5caeee4c408a7b579e1a6140eedeb6978a89dc3a4806b4ab695c2b896a7b8",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-17T15:27:44.546Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-02-08T20:07:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-17T15:27:44.546Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-85694d67ac1993fe0225952e",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-85694d67ac1993fe0225952e",
   "quote_text": "Get Free Alerts",
   "fragment_from": 59,
   "fragment_to": 74,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.aussiebets.com.au/betting-tips/bet-of-the-day/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Ryan Tucker",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "ece5caeee4c408a7b579e1a6140eedeb6978a89dc3a4806b4ab695c2b896a7b8",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-17T15:27:44.546Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-02-08T20:07:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-17T15:27:44.546Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-abf7947e3e56e311d9fc306f",
   "url": "/authors/ryan-tucker/picks/2/#pick-n-abf7947e3e56e311d9fc306f",
   "quote_text": "Result/Both Teams to Score - Barcelona & Yes (21/20)\n\n2.05",
   "fragment_from": 628,
   "fragment_to": 686,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.aussiebets.com.au/betting-tips/bet-of-the-day/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Ryan Tucker",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "ece5caeee4c408a7b579e1a6140eedeb6978a89dc3a4806b4ab695c2b896a7b8",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-10-17T15:27:44.546Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "too_late",
   "cause": "",
   "cause_code": "too_late",
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": null,
    "fragment_basis": "no",
    "source_page_at": "2024-02-08T20:07:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-17T15:27:44.546Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [
     "long_before_detection",
     "not_fragment_date"
    ],
    "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "standing": null,
 "retro": null,
 "late": null,
 "price_vs_market": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "threshold_percent": "5",
  "rows": [
   {
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)",
    "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick",
    "compared": 2,
    "above": 0,
    "above_share_percent": "0.0",
    "below": 0,
    "within": 2,
    "median_difference_percent": "3.3",
    "not_comparable": 0,
    "disputed": 0,
    "status": "calculated"
   }
  ],
  "examples": [],
  "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way."
 },
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "person",
  "entity_words": "Individual author",
  "source": {
   "name": "aussiebets.com.au",
   "url": "https://www.aussiebets.com.au/betting-tips/bet-of-the-day/"
  },
  "observed_from": "2026-10-17",
  "observed_to": "2026-11-07",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "state": "settled",
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price",
  "restored": false,
  "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
  "headline_part": "live",
  "settled_picks": 2,
  "matches": 2,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": -250,
  "staked_hundredths": 20000,
  "return_percent": "-1.25",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2026-10-21",
  "period_to": "2026-10-26",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "short_history": true,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 2 settled live picks by Ryan Tucker before kick-off across 2 matches between 21 and 26 October 2026. Won 1 of 2 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 23 predictions we hold for Ryan Tucker, 5 are linked to matches: 3 were recorded by us before kick-off and 2 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled live picks",
    "value": "2",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "2",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "−2.50 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "value": "−1.2%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": null
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": {
    "part": "live",
    "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.",
    "settled_picks": 2,
    "matches": 2,
    "match_dates": 2,
    "period_from": "2026-10-21",
    "period_to": "2026-10-26",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": -250,
    "low": {
     "date": "2026-10-26",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -250,
     "after_picks": 2
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2026-10-21",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 9750,
     "after_picks": 1
    },
    "line_drawn": false,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2026-10-21",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 9750,
      "n": 1,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-26",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -250,
      "n": 2,
      "picks": 1
     }
    ]
   },
   "archived": null
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 2 settled live picks by Ryan Tucker before kick-off across 2 matches between 21 and 26 October 2026. Won 1 of 2 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 23 predictions we hold for Ryan Tucker, 5 are linked to matches: 3 were recorded by us before kick-off and 2 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/ryan-tucker/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "2.2"
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 23,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 18,
   "proven_predictions": 3,
   "proven_checked": 3,
   "proven_measured": 2,
   "proven_dates": 3,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 3,
     "checked": 3,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 2,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 2,
      "net_points_hundredths": -250,
      "staked_hundredths": 20000,
      "return_percent": "-1.25",
      "interval_low": null,
      "interval_high": null,
      "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval",
      "period_from": "2026-10-21",
      "period_to": "2026-10-26",
      "method_version": "2.2",
      "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0",
      "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.0",
      "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 1
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "author_price",
       "picks": 2,
       "return_main_percent": "-1.25",
       "return_other_percent": "2.50",
       "settled_excluding_void": 2,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -250,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 500,
       "period_from": "2026-10-21",
       "period_to": "2026-10-26"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 3,
      "priced": 2
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 2,
      "won": 1,
      "won_percent": "50.0",
      "implied_percent": "46.7",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Result and both teams to score",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 2,
        "implied_percent": "46.7"
       }
      ]
     },
     "reviewed_after": {
      "predictions": 1,
      "right": 1,
      "wrong": 0,
      "other": 0
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 2,
     "checked": 1,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
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      "outcome_checked": 0,
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      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 1,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    }
   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": null,
  "headline_record_ids": [
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   "n-bfffa8b62e2521e27ff187e6"
  ],
  "interval_low": null,
  "interval_high": null,
  "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 21–26 October 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2",
  "record_from": "2026-10-17",
  "record_to": "2026-11-07"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-1be92dd4013079067b474819",
   "url": "/authors/ryan-tucker/picks/2/#pick-n-1be92dd4013079067b474819",
   "match": "Paris Saint-Germain v Olympique Lyonnais",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/paris-saint-germain-vs-olympique-lyonnais-2026-10-26/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-26T19:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Ligue 1",
   "lead_hours": 4.0,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score_and_result",
   "author_said": "Match result and both teams to score: Paris Saint-Germain win, both teams to score: yes at 2.4",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "2-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": "2.4",
   "settled_price": "2.3350",
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-26T15:28:07.245Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
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   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-1be92dd4013079067b474819",
    "quote_text": "Result/Both Teams to Score - PSG & Yes (7/5)\n\n2.40",
    "fragment_from": 616,
    "fragment_to": 666,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
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     "url": "https://www.aussiebets.com.au/betting-tips/bet-of-the-day/",
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    },
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    "detected_at": "2026-10-26T15:28:07.245Z",
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     "url": "/football/matches/paris-saint-germain-vs-olympique-lyonnais-2026-10-26/",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
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    "odds_set": {
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     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-26T15:25:55.335Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": null,
     "fragment_basis": "no",
     "source_page_at": "2024-02-08T20:07:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-26T15:28:07.245Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [
      "long_before_match",
      "not_fragment_date"
     ],
     "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before this match: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
     "choice": "Paris Saint-Germain win, both teams to score: yes",
     "author_odds": "2.4",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score_and_result",
     "choice_key": "1-yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Match result and both teams to score: Paris Saint-Germain win, both teams to score: yes at 2.4"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Paris Saint-Germain 2-0 Olympique Lyonnais."
    },
    "settlements": [
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      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
      "choice": "Paris Saint-Germain win, both teams to score: yes",
      "decimal_odds": "2.4",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-27T00:58:08.648Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
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      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
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      "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
      "choice": "Paris Saint-Germain win, both teams to score: yes",
      "decimal_odds": "2.3350",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
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      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-27T00:58:12.810Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
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     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
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     "publisher": "aussiebets.com.au",
     "forecaster": "Ryan Tucker",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.aussiebets.com.au/betting-tips/bet-of-the-day/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
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    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Paris Saint-Germain win, both teams to score: yes"
   }
  },
  {
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   "url": "/authors/ryan-tucker/picks/2/#pick-n-bfffa8b62e2521e27ff187e6",
   "match": "Real Madrid v RB Leipzig",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/real-madrid-vs-rb-leipzig-2026-10-21/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-21T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": 15.5,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score_and_result",
   "author_said": "Match result and both teams to score: Real Madrid win, both teams to score: yes at 2.05",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
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   "reason": null,
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   "points_hundredths": 9750,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
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   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-21T03:28:14.661Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
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   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
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    "quote_text": "Result/Both Teams to Score - Real Madrid & Yes (21/20)\n\n2.05",
    "fragment_from": 630,
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    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
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    },
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    "odds_set": {
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     "closing": null,
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    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
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    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
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     "fragment_basis": "no",
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     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [
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     ],
     "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before this match: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.",
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
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     "in_words": "Match result and both teams to score: Real Madrid win, both teams to score: yes at 2.05"
    },
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     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Real Madrid 4-1 RB Leipzig."
    },
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      "site_simulation": true,
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      "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
      "choice": "Real Madrid win, both teams to score: yes",
      "decimal_odds": "2.05",
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      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
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      "change_hundredths": 10500,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-21T04:23:45.393Z",
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      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
      "choice": "Real Madrid win, both teams to score: yes",
      "decimal_odds": "1.9750",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
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      "on_claim_market": true,
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     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
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     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.aussiebets.com.au/betting-tips/bet-of-the-day/",
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   "recorded_at": "2026-10-30T03:28:07.620Z",
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   "quote": "Alternative Total Goals - Over (6/4)\n\n2.50",
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   "quote": "Both Teams to Score - Yes (21/20)\n\n2.05",
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   "recorded_at": "2026-10-24T03:28:21.261Z",
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   "quote": "Both Teams to Score - Yes (3/4)\n\n1.75",
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   "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T00:28:06.304Z",
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   "quote": "Alternative Total Goals - Over (11/8)\n\n2.38",
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   "reason_code": "not_supported",
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   "recorded_at": "2026-10-22T00:28:16.609Z",
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   "quote": "Full Time Result - Away Win (29/20)\n\n2.45",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
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   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
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   "competition": null,
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Both Teams to Score - Yes (1/1)\n\n2.00",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
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   "recorded_at": "2026-10-19T03:30:09.245Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
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  },
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   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Alternative Total Goals - Over (1/1)\n\n2.00",
   "group": "excluded",
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   "recorded_at": "2026-10-18T03:28:38.485Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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  {
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   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Result/Both Teams to Score - Barcelona & Yes (21/20)\n\n2.05",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
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   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T15:27:44.546Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
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  "share_2h_plus": 75.0,
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  "min_hours": 4.0,
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 "baseline": {
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  "settled_picks_all": 2,
  "excluded": {
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  "difference_hundredths": 0,
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  "favourite_return_percent": null,
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  "picked_favourite_share": null,
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 "title_tag": "Ryan Tucker Predictions: Verified Record, Results and Sources",
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 "person": {
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     "predictions": 23,
     "settled_picks": 2,
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   },
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    "total_check": true,
    "market_list": [
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    ],
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  "body": "Record tracked by Forecast Record since 17 October 2026 · 23 predictions · last change 7 November 2026",
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