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"rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-44b9a7a9db9c80620aa5ea0c", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-44b9a7a9db9c80620aa5ea0c", "quote_text": "West Ham Predicted Lineup vs. Wrexham", "fragment_from": 2402, "fragment_to": 2439, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20260911092936id_/https://www.si.com/soccer/west-ham-vs-wrexham-predictions-lineups-tv-live-stream-details-9-11-26", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Rich Fay", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "21ee0fe6bec77c18af1a8bea9b7bcc92e9b03d6fada44483aa87a06292610921", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-09-11T00:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:03:08.554Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-09-11T00:00:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-09-11T00:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:03:08.554Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null } ], "standing": null, "retro": null, "late": null, "price_vs_market": null, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "si.com", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20260418021247id_/https://www.si.com/soccer/wrexham-vs-stoke-city-preview-predictions-lineups-4-18-26" }, "observed_from": "2026-09-30", "observed_to": "2026-09-30", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "none", "series_code": null, "series": null, "restored": false, "headline_kind": null, "headline_part": null, "settled_picks": 0, "matches": 0, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": null, "staked_hundredths": null, "return_percent": null, "stake_per_pick_hundredths": null, "period_from": null, "period_to": null, "status": "unknown", "method_version": null, "short_history": true, "reason": "12 predictions were read after the match, from archived pages", "reasons": [ { "code": "after_match", "predictions": 12, "words": "read after the match" } ], "sentence": "Forecast Record has recorded 86 statements by Rich Fay, including 12 predictions. Of the 12 predictions we hold for Rich Fay, 8 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 4 first found after the match. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Statements", "value": "86", "anchor": "/methodology/#statement", "note": null }, { "label": "Predictions", "value": "12", "anchor": "/methodology/#prediction", "note": null } ], "limitations": [], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": null, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record has recorded 86 statements by Rich Fay, including 12 predictions. Of the 12 predictions we hold for Rich Fay, 8 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 4 first found after the match. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/rich-fay/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": null }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 12, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 0, "proven_predictions": 8, "proven_checked": 8, "proven_measured": 8, "proven_dates": 8, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 8, "checked": 8, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 8, "exact_hits": 2, "exact_rate": 25.0, "outcome_checked": 8, "outcome_hits": 5, "outcome_rate": 62.5, "baseline_matches": 8, "baseline_distinct_matches": 8, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 5, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 62.5, "favourite_hits": 3, "favourite_rate": 37.5, "price_basis": "last pre-match archive price", "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [ "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.", "2 of 8 score forecasts named the exact score.", "The result implied by the named score was right in 5 of 8 matches; the market favourite was right in 3 of the same 8 matches.", "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off).", "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win)." ] }, "eligible": { "checked": 8, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 4, "checked": 4, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 4, "exact_hits": 1, "exact_rate": 25.0, "outcome_checked": 4, "outcome_hits": 1, "outcome_rate": 25.0, "baseline_matches": 4, "baseline_distinct_matches": 4, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 1, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 25.0, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": 0.0, "price_basis": "last pre-match archive price", "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [ "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.", "1 of 4 score forecasts named the exact score.", "The result implied by the named score was right in 1 of 4 matches; the market favourite was right in 0 of the same 4 matches.", "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off).", "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win).", "These forecasts were found after the match; when they were made depends on the date the source gives." ] }, "eligible": { "checked": 4, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [], "caption": "Recorded statements and predictions · as of 7 November 2026", "record_from": "2026-04-18", "record_to": "2026-09-19" }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-0d6e28eb8d37a2a5d619ca08", "url": null, "match": "Wrexham v Southampton", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z", "competition": "EFL 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