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They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "author" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "entity": { "id": "e-05f2d12e3322b543ce91fd6e", "public_name": "Quentin Gesp", "tracker_number": 1623, "status": "active", "inactive_since": null, "verified_creator": false, "observation_period": { "since": "2026-09-28", "until": "2026-09-28" }, "platform_list": [ { "medium": "website", "handle": null, "url": null, "link_confirmed": false, "show": true } ], "comment": null }, "headline_number": { "metric": { "metric_id": "p-e-05f2d12e3322b543ce91fd6e-roi-market-price-90d-z99", "code_name": "roi_market_price", "display_name": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot", "window_kind": "90d", "window_from": "2026-08-09", "window_to": "2026-11-07", "amount": null, "unit": "percent", "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "no pick in this window has been settled", "n_bets": 0, "n_events": 0, "n_void": null, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "ci_method": "not_estimated", "price_source": "market_price", "coverage_percent": null, "breakdown": [], "methodology_version": "2.2", "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "enough_for_ranking": false, "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 0 settled picks across 0 matches", "average_odds": null, "odds_from_author": null, "odds_from_snapshot": null }, "metrics": [], "history": [], "simulation": { "series_key": null, "series_label": "No level stake placed", "bankroll_hundredths": 1000000, "reserve_hundredths": 0, "issued_total_hundredths": 1000000, "initial_hundredths": 1000000, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "top_up_count": 0, "profit_hundredths": 0, "rewards_off": null, "data_points": [], "top_ups": [], "rule": "Every tracked author starts with 10,000 points and stakes 100 per qualifying pick. 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"too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": "too_late", "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "AFC Bournemouth v Aston Villa", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2026-02-07T15:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "1-1" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "AFC Bournemouth 2-2 Aston Villa", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "archive_snapshot_at": "2026-02-07T01:07:11.000Z", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-02-07T01:00:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-02-07T01:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:38:24.983Z", "archive_snapshot_at": "2026-02-07T01:07:11.000Z", "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": "Added to our record on 28 Sep 2026", "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "AFC Bournemouth 2-2 Aston Villa", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "2-2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: AFC Bournemouth 2-2 Aston Villa" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was AFC Bournemouth 1-1 Aston Villa." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "73debaefc84e07f852d2d15e04fb10f750cd3b5d516f92d83f6272b80e5455c0", "series_key": "retro_derived_sm", "series_label": "Restored score forecast: result implied by the score, at the last pre-match archive price", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": "3.5850", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 25850, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:05.814Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Quentin Gesp", "publisher": "si.com", "forecaster": "Quentin Gesp", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.si.com/soccer/bournemouth-vs-aston-villa-preview-predictions-lineups-2-7-26", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null } ], "standing": null, "retro": null, "late": null, "price_vs_market": null, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "si.com", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20251203040135id_/https://www.si.com/soccer/brighton-vs-aston-villa-preview-predictions-lineups-12-3-25" }, "observed_from": "2026-09-28", "observed_to": "2026-09-28", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "none", "series_code": null, "series": null, "restored": false, "headline_kind": null, "headline_part": null, "settled_picks": 0, "matches": 0, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": null, "staked_hundredths": null, "return_percent": null, "stake_per_pick_hundredths": null, "period_from": null, "period_to": null, "status": "unknown", "method_version": null, "short_history": true, "reason": "2 predictions were read after the match, from archived pages", "reasons": [ { "code": "after_match", "predictions": 2, "words": "read after the match" } ], "sentence": "Forecast Record has recorded 23 statements by Quentin Gesp, including 2 predictions. Of the 2 predictions we hold for Quentin Gesp, 2 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Statements", "value": "23", "anchor": "/methodology/#statement", "note": null }, { "label": "Predictions", "value": "2", "anchor": "/methodology/#prediction", "note": null } ], "limitations": [], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": null, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record has recorded 23 statements by Quentin Gesp, including 2 predictions. Of the 2 predictions we hold for Quentin Gesp, 2 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/quentin-gesp/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": null }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 2, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 0, "proven_predictions": 2, "proven_checked": 2, "proven_measured": 2, "proven_dates": 2, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 2, "checked": 2, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 2, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": 0.0, "outcome_checked": 2, "outcome_hits": 1, "outcome_rate": 50.0, "baseline_matches": 2, "baseline_distinct_matches": 2, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 1, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 50.0, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": 0.0, "price_basis": "last pre-match archive price", "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [ "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.", "0 of 2 score forecasts named the exact score.", "The result implied by the named score was right in 1 of 2 matches; the market favourite was right in 0 of the same 2 matches.", "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off).", "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win)." ] }, "eligible": { "checked": 2, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [], "caption": "Recorded statements and predictions · as of 7 November 2026", "record_from": "2025-12-03", "record_to": "2026-02-07" }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-187ac4d7ba114b223fb124ad", "url": null, "match": "AFC Bournemouth v Aston Villa", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-02-07T15:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -5593.6, "market_code": "correct_score_market", "author_said": "Correct score: AFC Bournemouth 2-2 Aston Villa", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-1", "reason": "counted in the restored-history series", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-02-07T01:00:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:38:24.983Z", "origin": "Archived before kick-off", "record_part": "archived", "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-811f3da94dac2423b3c9e3a6", "url": null, "match": "Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston Villa", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-12-03T19:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -7173.3, "market_code": "correct_score_market", "author_said": "Correct score: Brighton & Hove Albion 2-0 Aston Villa", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "3-4", "reason": "counted in the restored-history series", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-12-03T03:00:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:47:39.584Z", "origin": "Archived before kick-off", "record_part": "archived", "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null } ], "lead_time": { "contract_version": 1, "threshold_hours": 2.0, "picks": 2, "before_kickoff": 0, "after_kickoff": 2, "at_least_2h": 0, "share_2h_plus": 0.0, "median_hours": null, "min_hours": null, "max_hours": null, "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off." }, "baseline": { "contract_version": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "rule": "recorded-line-1.0", "state": "none", "picks": 0, "settled_picks_all": 0, "excluded": { "market_without_favourite": 0, "no_recorded_line": 0, "favourite_not_settled": 0 }, "staked_hundredths": 0, "author_net_hundredths": 0, "favourite_net_hundredths": 0, "difference_hundredths": 0, "author_return_percent": null, "favourite_return_percent": null, "author_hit_rate": null, "favourite_hit_rate": null, "picked_favourite_share": null, "by_market": [], "return_over_time": [], "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out." }, "pagination": { "per_page": 20, "total": 2, "pages": 1, "page_urls": [ "/authors/quentin-gesp/" ], "groups": { "settled": 0, "pending": 0, "excluded": 2 }, "continuation": "by_time", "page": 1, "first": 1, "last": 2, "author_url": "/authors/quentin-gesp/", "current": false }, "title_tag": "Quentin Gesp Predictions: Verified Record, Results and Sources", "calculator": null, "person": { "person_id": "o-05f2d12e3322b543ce91fd6e", "type_code": "individual", "name_shown": "Quentin Gesp", "main_entity": "e-05f2d12e3322b543ce91fd6e", "identity": { "status": "not_verified", "is_verified": false, "when": null, "source_list": [] }, "platform_list": [ { "entity_ref": "e-05f2d12e3322b543ce91fd6e", "medium": "Sports Illustrated", "channel": "section pages", "domain": "si.com", "source_info": "sports-illustrated", "byline": "Quentin Gesp", 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"min_days": 30, "min_distinct_weeks": 2, "no_violations": true }, "established": { "min_settled": 100, "min_days": 90 } }, "show": true }, "colleagues": [ { "source_code": "sports-illustrated", "source_name": "Sports Illustrated", "source_url": "/sources/sports-illustrated/", "label": "Also at Sports Illustrated", "authors_total": 13, "authors": [ { "name": "Ewan Ross-Murray", "url": "/authors/ewan-ross-murray/", "headline_part": "archived", "settled_picks": 6, "return_percent": null, "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "2.81", "odds_from_author": 0, "odds_from_snapshot": 6 }, { "name": "James Cormack", "url": "/authors/james-cormack/", "headline_part": "archived", "settled_picks": 3, "return_percent": null, "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.41", "odds_from_author": 0, "odds_from_snapshot": 3 }, { "name": "Amanda Langell", "url": "/authors/amanda-langell/", "headline_part": "archived", "settled_picks": 1, "return_percent": null, "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "9.20", 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"url": "/authors/braden-chalker/", "headline_part": null, "settled_picks": 0, "return_percent": null, "small_sample": true, "average_odds": null, "odds_from_author": null, "odds_from_snapshot": null }, { "name": "Grey Whitebloom", "url": "/authors/grey-whitebloom/", "headline_part": null, "settled_picks": 0, "return_percent": null, "small_sample": true, "average_odds": null, "odds_from_author": null, "odds_from_snapshot": null }, { "name": "Max Mallow", "url": "/authors/max-mallow/", "headline_part": null, "settled_picks": 0, "return_percent": null, "small_sample": true, "average_odds": null, "odds_from_author": null, "odds_from_snapshot": null }, { "name": "Rich Fay", "url": "/authors/rich-fay/", "headline_part": null, "settled_picks": 0, "return_percent": null, "small_sample": true, "average_odds": null, "odds_from_author": null, "odds_from_snapshot": null }, { "name": "Toby Cudworth", "url": "/authors/toby-cudworth/", "headline_part": null, "settled_picks": 0, "return_percent": null, "small_sample": true, "average_odds": null, "odds_from_author": null, "odds_from_snapshot": null } ] } ], "author_type": "Pundit", "data_changes": { "added_later": "2 records added on 28 Sep 2026 from archived copies. 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