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 "heading": "Peter Crouch: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "Peter Crouch: 86 statements recorded by Forecast Record. Every statement with its source and the rule applied to it.",
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  "body": "Forecast Record has recorded 86 statements by Peter Crouch, including 28 predictions. Of the 28 predictions we hold for Peter Crouch, 24 are linked to matches: 4 were recorded by us before kick-off, 5 archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 15 first found after the match. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.",
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  "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.",
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   "quote_text": "Paddy’s Super Sub offer means your FA Cup bet rolls on even if your player selection gets taken off early…",
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   "quote_text": "it looks their best chance of goals at the moment and Gabriel has shown over and over what a threat he is so I’ll include him in my Bet Builder.",
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    "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250514073837id_/https://news.paddypower.com/football/2025/05/11/crouchys-shouts-salah-strikes-as-liverpool-shut-out-arsenal-in-6-1-punt/",
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   },
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   },
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    "fragment_basis": "page",
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    "flags": [],
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    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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   "added_on": null,
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   "author_claim": {
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "choice": "Newcastle United 3-1 Chelsea",
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    "market_key": "correct_score_market",
    "choice_key": "3-1",
    "period": "match",
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    "subject": "goals_total",
    "in_words": "Correct score: Newcastle United 3-1 Chelsea"
   },
   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "data_status": "measured",
    "cause": null,
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
    "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Newcastle United 2-0 Chelsea."
   },
   "settlements": [
    {
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     "derived": true,
     "site_simulation": true,
     "author_words": false,
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Newcastle United",
     "decimal_odds": "2.2500",
     "odds_role": "closing_odds",
     "stake_hundredths": 10000,
     "status": "confirmed",
     "status_text": "Executed",
     "result": "win",
     "result_words": "Won",
     "change_hundredths": 12500,
     "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:21:59.942Z",
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
     "on_claim_market": false,
     "replaced": false
    }
   ],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": {
    "material_author": "Peter Crouch",
    "publisher": "news.paddypower.com",
    "forecaster": "Peter Crouch",
    "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
    "basis": null,
    "status": "not_named",
    "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
    "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
    "evidence_fragment": null,
    "material_url": "https://news.paddypower.com/football/2025/05/11/crouchys-shouts-salah-strikes-as-liverpool-shut-out-arsenal-in-6-1-punt/",
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   },
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  }
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 "excluded_from_feed": {
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  "ruleset_version": "3"
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 "standing": null,
 "retro": null,
 "late": null,
 "price_vs_market": null,
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "person",
  "entity_words": "Individual author",
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   "name": "news.paddypower.com",
   "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250118185551id_/https://news.paddypower.com/football/2025/01/18/crouchys-shouts-arsenal-aston-villa-bet-builder-tips-odds-predictions/"
  },
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  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": null,
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  "status": "unknown",
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  "short_history": true,
  "reason": "13 predictions are in other markets; 10 predictions were read after the match, from archived pages; 3 predictions are unstaked and 2 predictions for other reasons",
  "reasons": [
   {
    "code": "not_supported",
    "predictions": 13,
    "words": "other market"
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   {
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    "predictions": 10,
    "words": "read after the match"
   },
   {
    "code": "not_checked",
    "predictions": 3,
    "words": "unstaked"
   },
   {
    "code": "ambiguous",
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    "words": "unstaked"
   },
   {
    "code": "disputed_reading",
    "predictions": 1,
    "words": "unstaked"
   }
  ],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record has recorded 86 statements by Peter Crouch, including 28 predictions. Of the 28 predictions we hold for Peter Crouch, 24 are linked to matches: 4 were recorded by us before kick-off, 5 archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 15 first found after the match. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Statements",
    "value": "86",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#statement",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Predictions",
    "value": "28",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#prediction",
    "note": null
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [
   "This page combines Peter Crouch across 2 platforms. The record above counts each prediction once, even when the same pick (match, market and selection) appeared on more than one platform; each platform keeps its own total under “Where Peter Crouch publishes”.",
   "Most of this history was found after the matches."
  ],
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  "return_over_time": [],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": null,
   "archived": null
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record has recorded 86 statements by Peter Crouch, including 28 predictions. Of the 28 predictions we hold for Peter Crouch, 24 are linked to matches: 4 were recorded by us before kick-off, 5 archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 15 first found after the match. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/peter-crouch/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": null
  },
  "origin": {
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   "proven_measured": 1,
   "proven_dates": 1,
   "parts": [
    {
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     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 4,
     "checked": 2,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
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      "exact_rate": 0.0,
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      "outcome_rate": 100.0,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
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      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": [
       "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to this score forecast.",
       "0 of 1 score forecast named the exact score.",
       "The result implied by the named score was right in 1 of 1 forecast. No pre-match market price is available for these matches, so there is no market comparison.",
       "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win)."
      ]
     },
     "eligible": {
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      "priced": 0
     },
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     "reviewed_after": {
      "predictions": 2,
      "right": 1,
      "wrong": 1,
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     }
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
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     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
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     "score": {
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      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
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      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
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      "priced": 0
     },
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    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 15,
     "checked": 3,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 3,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": 0.0,
      "outcome_checked": 3,
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      "outcome_rate": 33.3,
      "baseline_matches": 3,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 3,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 1,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 33.3,
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      "favourite_rate": 66.7,
      "price_basis": "last pre-match archive price",
      "pending": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": [
       "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.",
       "0 of 3 score forecasts named the exact score.",
       "The result implied by the named score was right in 1 of 3 matches; the market favourite was right in 2 of the same 3 matches.",
       "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off).",
       "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win).",
       "These forecasts were found after the match; when they were made depends on the date the source gives."
      ]
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 3,
      "priced": 0
     },
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    }
   ]
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  "headline_record_ids": [],
  "caption": "Recorded statements and predictions · as of 7 November 2026",
  "record_from": "2025-01-18",
  "record_to": "2026-11-07"
 },
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  {
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   "match": "Nottingham Forest v Arsenal",
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   "kickoff": "2026-10-18T15:30:00.000Z",
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   "lead_hours": 49.5,
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   "author_said": "Correct score: Nottingham Forest 1-3 Arsenal",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
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   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
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   "reason_code": "ambiguous",
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   "published_at": "2026-10-16T12:54:00.000Z",
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   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
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   "platform": "Paddy Power News, RSS feed",
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   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-d942c0dec2bd68870b7abe6d",
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     "url": "/football/matches/nottingham-forest-vs-arsenal-2026-10-18/",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
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    "market_label": "Correct score",
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    "stake_hundredths": null,
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    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
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     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Nottingham Forest 1-3 Arsenal"
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    "author_claim_outcome": {
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     "data_status": "measured",
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     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Nottingham Forest 0-1 Arsenal."
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      "choice": "Arsenal",
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     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://news.paddypower.com/football/premier-league/2026/10/16/premier-league-tips-nottingham-forest-arsenal-peter-crouch-bet-builder/",
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    "choice_words": "Nottingham Forest 1-3 Arsenal"
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   "kickoff": "2026-10-18T15:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 49.5,
   "market_code": "player_shots",
   "author_said": "Player shots on target over/under 1: Morgan Gibbs-White over 1 shot on target",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "final_score": "0-1",
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_checked",
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   "platform": "Paddy Power News, RSS feed",
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   "evidence": {
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    "source_info": {
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    },
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