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"Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "52ab86e6569c5c219ee9ce74f24b2a95e88a15fa3663899fc54d0fd2c082b1d3", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "AS Roma or Sassuolo", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Paolo Simoncini", "publisher": "SCR — Scommesse commenti e recensioni (Michele Martinelli)", "forecaster": "Paolo Simoncini", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://scommesse.commentierecensioni.com/pronostici-serie-a-11a-giornata-2026-27/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-a40482aeaddcac2f6694a240", "url": "/authors/paolo-simoncini/picks/10/#pick-n-a40482aeaddcac2f6694a240", "quote_text": "Sull’esito secco il segno 1 a 1.30 è la scelta più naturale.", "fragment_from": 9474, "fragment_to": 9534, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://scommesse.commentierecensioni.com/pronostici-serie-a-11a-giornata-2026-27/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Paolo Simoncini", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "6e74ddcd3688f1f24978ce2dba94e8660f642db74e009e6c2b36386132d97381", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-03T11:22:02.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-03T11:22:51.771Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-04T23:50:23.206Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-3299a002210a", "display_name": "AS Roma — Sassuolo", "competition_name": "Serie A", "starts_at": "2026-11-07T19:45:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/as-roma-vs-sassuolo-2026-11-07/", "scoreline": null, "condition": "no_result" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "AS Roma", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.3", "our_snapshot": "1.3003", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-03T11:20:54.527Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "unknown", "simulation_change_hundredths": 0, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an 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"status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-11-04T23:50:23.206Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "qualifying_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Paolo Simoncini", "publisher": "SCR — Scommesse commenti e recensioni (Michele Martinelli)", "forecaster": "Paolo Simoncini", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://scommesse.commentierecensioni.com/pronostici-serie-a-11a-giornata-2026-27/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-863f6d48adf3d2f6c93863b9", "url": "/authors/paolo-simoncini/picks/9/#pick-n-863f6d48adf3d2f6c93863b9", "quote_text": "Il Risultato esatto 2-0 in ogni momento “No” a 1.67 va all’incasso se la partita non passa mai dal 2-0.", "fragment_from": 9061, "fragment_to": 9164, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://scommesse.commentierecensioni.com/pronostici-serie-a-11a-giornata-2026-27/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Paolo Simoncini", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "6e74ddcd3688f1f24978ce2dba94e8660f642db74e009e6c2b36386132d97381", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-03T11:22:02.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-03T11:22:51.771Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "not_supported", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_supported", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-03T11:22:02.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-03T11:22:02.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-03T11:22:51.771Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-5fe6869811b1f5c742e60e52", "url": "/authors/paolo-simoncini/picks/9/#pick-n-5fe6869811b1f5c742e60e52", "quote_text": "In tripla ci sentiamo di andare sul parziale/finale 1/1 a 1.85.", "fragment_from": 8826, "fragment_to": 8889, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://scommesse.commentierecensioni.com/pronostici-serie-a-11a-giornata-2026-27/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Paolo Simoncini", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "6e74ddcd3688f1f24978ce2dba94e8660f642db74e009e6c2b36386132d97381", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-03T11:22:02.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-03T11:22:51.771Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "not_supported", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_supported", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-03T11:22:02.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-03T11:22:02.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-03T11:22:51.771Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-c301e07cb3aea61c5dbdd1dc", "url": "/authors/paolo-simoncini/picks/10/#pick-n-c301e07cb3aea61c5dbdd1dc", "quote_text": "La doppia chance 12 a 1.28 toglie il pareggio, che al Parma è capitato solo due volte in dieci gare.", "fragment_from": 8010, "fragment_to": 8110, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://scommesse.commentierecensioni.com/pronostici-serie-a-11a-giornata-2026-27/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Paolo Simoncini", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "6e74ddcd3688f1f24978ce2dba94e8660f642db74e009e6c2b36386132d97381", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-03T11:22:02.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-03T11:22:51.771Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-ac3eac283d4a", "display_name": "Parma — Bologna", "competition_name": "Serie A", "starts_at": "2026-11-07T17:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/parma-vs-bologna-2026-11-07/", "scoreline": null, "condition": "no_result" }, "market_label": "Double chance", "outcome_label": "Parma or Bologna", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.28", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "unknown", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-03T11:22:02.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-03T11:22:02.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-03T11:22:51.771Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "Parma or Bologna", "author_odds": "1.28", "market_key": "double_chance", "choice_key": "12", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Double chance: Parma or Bologna at 1.28" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "unknown", "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "awaiting the final score", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Pending: awaiting the final score." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "c0ba60139ddcfbbf5753a6b728a2f951716a9c41181db984f60df5027944fb73", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "Parma or Bologna", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "7455945e2b12ae81d993b0fa8e71e66dafd975e200bfc3031f4c89baaaae6bdf", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "Parma or Bologna", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Paolo Simoncini", "publisher": "SCR — Scommesse commenti e recensioni (Michele Martinelli)", "forecaster": "Paolo Simoncini", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://scommesse.commentierecensioni.com/pronostici-serie-a-11a-giornata-2026-27/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null } ], "excluded_from_feed": { "ads": 1, "service": 0, "ruleset_version": "3" }, "standing": null, "retro": null, "late": null, "price_vs_market": { "contract_version": "1", "threshold_percent": "5", "rows": [ { "basis": "snapshot", "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)", "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick", "compared": 21, "above": 0, "above_share_percent": "0.0", "below": 1, "within": 20, "median_difference_percent": "-1.5", "not_comparable": 0, "disputed": 0, "status": "calculated" } ], "examples": [ { "url": "/authors/paolo-simoncini/picks/10/#pick-n-fb6c99c235e8426e09adab18", "basis": "snapshot", "stated": "1.45", "market": "1.54", "difference_percent": "-5.7" } ], "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way." }, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "scommesse.commentierecensioni.com", "url": "https://scommesse.commentierecensioni.com/pronostici-conference-league-atalanta-kairat-almaty-quote-26-27/" }, "observed_from": "2026-10-19", "observed_to": "2026-11-03", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "settled", "series_code": "market_price", "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price", "restored": false, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "headline_part": "live", "settled_picks": 10, "matches": 10, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 32778, "staked_hundredths": 100000, "return_percent": "32.78", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "period_from": "2026-10-21", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "status": "calculated", "method_version": "2.2", "short_history": true, "reason": null, "reasons": [], "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 10 settled live picks by Paolo Simoncini before kick-off across 10 matches between 21 October and 5 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +32.8% on the total staked. Of the 181 predictions we hold for Paolo Simoncini, 96 are linked to matches: 96 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Settled live picks", "value": "10", "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick", "note": null }, { "label": "Matches", "value": "10", "anchor": "/methodology/#match", "note": null }, { "label": "Net result", "value": "+327.78 points", "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement", "note": "100 points per pick" }, { "label": "Return at our recorded market price", "value": "+32.8%", "anchor": "/methodology/#roi", "note": "95% interval −15.2% to +69.9%" } ], "limitations": [], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [ { "date": "2026-10-21", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 5263, "n": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-22", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 9663, "n": 4 }, { "date": "2026-10-28", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 13125, "n": 5 }, { "date": "2026-11-01", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 3125, "n": 6 }, { "date": "2026-11-02", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 8125, "n": 7 }, { "date": "2026-11-04", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 15478, "n": 8 }, { "date": "2026-11-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 32778, "n": 10 } ], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": { "part": "live", "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.", "settled_picks": 10, "matches": 10, "match_dates": 7, "period_from": "2026-10-21", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": 32778, "low": { "date": "2026-11-01", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 3125, "after_picks": 6 }, "high": { "date": "2026-11-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 32778, "after_picks": 10 }, "line_drawn": true, "steps": [ { "date": "2026-10-21", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 5263, "n": 1, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-22", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 9663, "n": 4, "picks": 3 }, { "date": "2026-10-28", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 13125, "n": 5, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-11-01", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 3125, "n": 6, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-11-02", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 8125, "n": 7, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-11-04", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 15478, "n": 8, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-11-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 32778, "n": 10, "picks": 2 } ] }, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record recorded 10 settled live picks by Paolo Simoncini before kick-off across 10 matches between 21 October and 5 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +32.8% on the total staked. Of the 181 predictions we hold for Paolo Simoncini, 96 are linked to matches: 96 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/paolo-simoncini/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2" }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 181, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 85, "proven_predictions": 96, "proven_checked": 74, "proven_measured": 10, "proven_dates": 15, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 96, "checked": 74, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": { "settled_picks": 10, "void": 0, "matches": 10, "net_points_hundredths": 32778, "staked_hundredths": 100000, "return_percent": "32.78", "interval_low": "-15.19", "interval_high": "69.94", "interval_note": null, "period_from": "2026-10-21", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "method_version": "2.2", "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0", "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "1.7", "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 5 }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "author_price", "picks": 10, "return_main_percent": "32.78", "return_other_percent": "31.00", "settled_excluding_void": 10, "net_main_points_hundredths": 32778, "net_other_points_hundredths": 31000, "period_from": "2026-10-21", "period_to": "2026-11-05" }, { "price": "Closing price", "series_code": "closing_live", "picks": 7, "return_main_percent": "40.54", "return_other_percent": "38.38", "settled_excluding_void": 7, "net_main_points_hundredths": 28378, "net_other_points_hundredths": 26868, "period_from": "2026-10-21", "period_to": "2026-11-05" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 74, "priced": 10 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 10, "won": 8, "won_percent": "80.0", "implied_percent": "58.1", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Over/under goals", "won": 5, "picks": 5, "implied_percent": "60.9" }, { "market": "Both teams to score", "won": 3, "picks": 4, "implied_percent": "62.4" }, { "market": "Match result", "won": 0, "picks": 1, "implied_percent": "26.6" } ] }, "reviewed_after": { "predictions": 61, "right": 41, "wrong": 19, "other": 1 } }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [ "n-25088483f7d2bc8206821d45", "n-314640a996b3ba7fa6235343", "n-52feaf92d96b55f2be7c4ca6", "n-7b53cb893c18a0b78a13ac5e", "n-83a07c103f899f4a1fe7427d", "n-8c4c95b5d963cdccd5a13944", "n-a6a8f467544742dbf6fdda45", "n-bfbd9ef355599d397a030b07", "n-ca65482a91777e72cd5f6ef1", "n-e53c39e9f51d40091baadd58" ], "interval_low": "-15.19", "interval_high": "69.94", "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 21 October – 5 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2", "record_from": "2026-10-19", "record_to": "2026-11-05" }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-bfbd9ef355599d397a030b07", "url": "/authors/paolo-simoncini/picks/10/#pick-n-bfbd9ef355599d397a030b07", "match": "AZ Alkmaar v Juventus", "match_url": "/football/matches/az-alkmaar-vs-juventus-2026-11-05/", "kickoff": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Europa League", "lead_hours": 53.5, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.75", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "1-2", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 7800, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.75", "settled_price": "1.7800", "published_at": "2026-11-03T14:26:21.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-03T14:32:51.893Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "over", "price": "1.7800", "result": "Won", "points_hundredths": 7800, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-bfbd9ef355599d397a030b07", "quote_text": "Il nostro pronostico è l’Over 2.5, quotato 1.75 su SNAI e Stake e 1.72 su Goldbet.", "fragment_from": 16618, "fragment_to": 16700, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://scommesse.commentierecensioni.com/pronostici-europa-league-az-alkmaar-juventus-quote-26-27/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Paolo Simoncini", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "c6dcab39a58de1996085c9b8c3a3f8a55f9246986b17b56b37538ae1c1146202", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-03T14:26:21.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-03T14:32:51.893Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-03T20:03:25.432Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-a705d07502db", "display_name": "AZ Alkmaar — Juventus", "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League", "starts_at": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/az-alkmaar-vs-juventus-2026-11-05/", "scoreline": "1-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "outcome_label": "over 2.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.75", "our_snapshot": "1.7800", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-03T14:28:46.262Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 7800, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-03T14:26:21.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-03T14:26:21.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-03T14:32:51.893Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "author_odds": "1.75", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.75" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was AZ Alkmaar 1-2 Juventus." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "17df4fbfb88b5e462ea51dd78f586c639497384d94247778f4e19399d6ebe7de", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.75", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 7500, "executed_at": "2026-11-03T20:03:17.796Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "5496d71cabb403e0491630c0d3e9a74903c18053f476d4e67ccb3824b4726b50", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.7800", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 7800, "executed_at": "2026-11-03T20:03:25.432Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Paolo Simoncini", "publisher": "SCR — Scommesse commenti e recensioni (Michele Martinelli)", "forecaster": "Paolo Simoncini", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://scommesse.commentierecensioni.com/pronostici-europa-league-az-alkmaar-juventus-quote-26-27/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "over 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-314640a996b3ba7fa6235343", "url": "/authors/paolo-simoncini/picks/11/#pick-n-314640a996b3ba7fa6235343", "match": "Atalanta v FC Kairat Almaty", "match_url": "/football/matches/atalanta-vs-fc-kairat-almaty-2026-11-05/", "kickoff": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Conference League", "lead_hours": 50.5, "market_code": "both_teams_score", "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 2", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "1-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 9500, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "2", "settled_price": "1.9500", "published_at": "2026-11-03T15:05:37.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-03T15:12:51.728Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "no", "price": "1.7400", "result": "Lost", "points_hundredths": -10000, "picked_favourite": false }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-314640a996b3ba7fa6235343", "quote_text": "Il nostro pronostico è il Goal, quotato 1.95 su Stake e 2.00 su SNAI e Goldbet.", "fragment_from": 17809, "fragment_to": 17888, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://scommesse.commentierecensioni.com/pronostici-conference-league-atalanta-kairat-almaty-quote-26-27/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Paolo Simoncini", 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"simulation_change_hundredths": 9500, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-03T15:05:37.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-03T15:05:37.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-03T15:12:51.728Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "author_odds": "2", "market_key": "both_teams_score", "choice_key": "yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes at 2" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Atalanta 1-1 FC Kairat Almaty." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "55fdd4d0790981a6b5218b92e23c92a131b550c13e29551d8844d7da74d7085e", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "2", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-03T18:55:10.152Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "111387e7bfe9748392eb59475075250092967ca119121cde3c725b45872d0140", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "choice": "yes", "decimal_odds": "1.9500", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 9500, "executed_at": "2026-11-03T18:55:10.217Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Paolo Simoncini", "publisher": "SCR — Scommesse commenti e recensioni (Michele Martinelli)", "forecaster": "Paolo Simoncini", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://scommesse.commentierecensioni.com/pronostici-conference-league-atalanta-kairat-almaty-quote-26-27/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)" } }, { "record_id": "n-7b53cb893c18a0b78a13ac5e", "url": "/authors/paolo-simoncini/picks/8/#pick-n-7b53cb893c18a0b78a13ac5e", "match": "FC Porto v SSC Napoli", "match_url": "/football/matches/fc-porto-vs-ssc-napoli-2026-11-04/", "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", "lead_hours": 57.5, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.65", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "4-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 7353, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.65", "settled_price": "1.7353", "published_at": "2026-11-02T10:30:27.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-02T10:32:59.856Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "over", "price": "1.7353", "result": "Won", "points_hundredths": 7353, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-7b53cb893c18a0b78a13ac5e", "quote_text": "Il nostro pronostico è l’Over 2.5, quotato 1.65 su SNAI e Goldbet e 1.69 su Stake.", "fragment_from": 17140, "fragment_to": 17222, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://scommesse.commentierecensioni.com/pronostici-champions-league-porto-napoli-quote-26-27/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Paolo Simoncini", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "dc6850b66a1eb98686aef2b459f23b519145778f3b2e498eb6b982cd832b923a", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-02T10:30:27.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-02T10:32:59.856Z", 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no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-c13aa03293fca1d3651d5bca", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Il nostro pronostico è il Goal, quotato 1.45 su SNAI e Stake e 1.42 su Goldbet.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-11-02T07:54:25.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-02T08:02:54.175Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-47cbb8b5cf27211faa72bf30", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Udinese – Roma: Segna Goal 1 (Team 2) a 1.47", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-29T10:45:31.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-29T11:34:49.008Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; 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no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-fb417b0b8a3e6fb66450ebe6", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Bologna – Monza: 1 nei primi 35 min a 2.60", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-29T10:45:31.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-29T11:34:49.008Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-4bf1408680ce18fbcba0aa00", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Il nostro pronostico è Segna Goal 1 (Team 1), cioè l’Atalanta che segna per prima, a 1.40.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-29T10:45:31.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-29T11:34:49.008Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-1d083a491eb8754804ed24d7", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Andiamo quindi su Multigoal (Sq. 2) 1-3 a 1.33.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-29T10:45:31.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-29T11:34:49.008Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-9fad0cc96263be7ca221b6ab", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "La terza è Como – Venezia, con il primo gol dei lariani a 1.30.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-29T10:45:31.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-29T11:34:49.008Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; 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no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-d527a415a7e0e5b4e3a86b3b", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Tra i pareggi, Torino – Monza a 3.50", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-20T15:44:27.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T15:52:52.181Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-7681006b7567666ec8303cba", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "il nostro pronostico è Goal a 1.57", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-20T15:44:27.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T15:52:52.181Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-1dfb6a25170bf38f2e2ac074", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Over 0.5 (Tempo 1) a 1.42", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-20T15:44:27.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T15:52:52.181Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-deb89c466f6c02d14dc44881", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Multigoal 2-4 a 1.52", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-20T15:44:27.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T15:52:52.181Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-f7cd4e5ee120e61e087d2e91", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Il nostro pronostico è il Goal, quotato 1.48 su SNAI e 1.50 su Goldbet e Stake.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-19T08:19:34.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-19T08:23:02.020Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-d9b5934247070a7cdb73ca7a", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Il nostro pronostico è Over 3.5, quotato 1.42 su SNAI e fino a 1.50 su Goldbet.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "no_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-19T05:28:10.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-19T05:33:03.368Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-df09a00c8a88c483a52c8ebd", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Il nostro pronostico è NoGoal, quotato 3.10 su SNAI.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-12T12:06:11.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-19T05:33:04.273Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-ee8ab2918fca1ff1a61ebd2c", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Il nostro pronostico è Goal, quotato 1.40 su SNAI.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-12T11:52:41.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-19T05:33:04.885Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null } ], "lead_time": { "contract_version": 1, "threshold_hours": 2.0, "picks": 96, "before_kickoff": 96, "after_kickoff": 0, "at_least_2h": 96, "share_2h_plus": 100.0, "median_hours": 80.2, "min_hours": 30.0, "max_hours": 128.4, "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off." }, "baseline": { "contract_version": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "rule": "recorded-line-1.0", "state": "settled", "picks": 9, "settled_picks_all": 10, "excluded": { "market_without_favourite": 0, "no_recorded_line": 1, "favourite_not_settled": 0 }, "staked_hundredths": 90000, "author_net_hundredths": 42778, "favourite_net_hundredths": 23278, "difference_hundredths": 19500, "author_return_percent": 47.53, "favourite_return_percent": 25.86, "author_hit_rate": 88.9, "favourite_hit_rate": 77.8, "picked_favourite_share": 88.9, "by_market": [ { "market_code": "total", "picks": 5, "staked_hundredths": 50000, "author_net_hundredths": 33015, "favourite_net_hundredths": 33015, "author_hits": 5, "favourite_hits": 5, "picked_favourite": 5, "author_return_percent": 66.03, "favourite_return_percent": 66.03 }, { "market_code": "both_teams_score", "picks": 4, "staked_hundredths": 40000, "author_net_hundredths": 9763, "favourite_net_hundredths": -9737, "author_hits": 3, "favourite_hits": 2, "picked_favourite": 3, "author_return_percent": 24.41, "favourite_return_percent": -24.34 } ], "return_over_time": [ { "kickoff": "2026-10-21T16:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 5263, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 5263 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 12363, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 12363 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 2363, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 2363 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 9663, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 9663 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-28T17:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 13125, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 13125 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-02T17:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 18125, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 18125 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 25478, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 25478 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 34978, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 15478 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 42778, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 23278 } ], "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out." }, "pagination": { "per_page": 20, "total": 181, "pages": 11, "page_urls": [ "/authors/paolo-simoncini/", "/authors/paolo-simoncini/picks/2/", "/authors/paolo-simoncini/picks/3/", "/authors/paolo-simoncini/picks/4/", "/authors/paolo-simoncini/picks/5/", "/authors/paolo-simoncini/picks/6/", "/authors/paolo-simoncini/picks/7/", "/authors/paolo-simoncini/picks/8/", "/authors/paolo-simoncini/picks/9/", "/authors/paolo-simoncini/picks/10/", "/authors/paolo-simoncini/picks/11/" ], "groups": { "settled": 10, "pending": 11, "excluded": 160 }, "continuation": "by_time", "page": 1, "first": 1, "last": 20, "author_url": "/authors/paolo-simoncini/", "current": true }, "title_tag": "Paolo Simoncini Predictions: This Week's Picks & Verified Record", "calculator": null, "person": { "person_id": "o-713dd7dab8f65819bfc2fbe5", "type_code": "individual", "name_shown": "Paolo Simoncini", "main_entity": "e-713dd7dab8f65819bfc2fbe5", "identity": { "status": "not_verified", "is_verified": false, "when": null, "source_list": [] }, "platform_list": [ { "entity_ref": "e-713dd7dab8f65819bfc2fbe5", "medium": "SCR — Scommesse commenti e recensioni (Michele Martinelli)", "channel": "RSS feed", "domain": "scommesse.commentierecensioni.com", "source_info": null, "byline": "Paolo Simoncini", "url": null, "summary": { "statements": 465, "predictions": 181, "settled_picks": 10, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "return_percent": 32.78, "headline_part": "live", "period_from": "2026-10-19", "period_to": "2026-11-03" } } ], "previously": [], "trust_tier": "probation" }, "data_revision": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "updated": "2026-11-06", "current_release": "2026-11-07.2", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "series_code": "market_price", "sample": { "settled_picks": 10, "matches": 10, "void": 0, "period_from": "2026-10-21", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "composition_hash": "7768b43e5b528167197fae335a25dd1cdfe539a2e67b69f07409944891d00b44" }, "changes_url": "#changes", "corrections_url": "/corrections/" }, "number_changes": [ { "id": "zc-5dd205db4ee0646d0812", "at": "2026-11-06T14:46:17.511Z", "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-05.3", "url": "/authors/paolo-simoncini/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-05.1", "return_percent": "19.35", "settled_picks": 8, "matches": 8, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "0300a37ca8d30bc8438a7ec0d8153efb25d0e97949bbc15a48b4c4f83ae3a169", "text": "+154.78 points on 8 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "return_percent": "32.78", "settled_picks": 10, "matches": 10, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "7768b43e5b528167197fae335a25dd1cdfe539a2e67b69f07409944891d00b44", "text": "+32.78% on 10 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-3c46016b7838cf19dba6", "at": "2026-11-05T05:43:48.128Z", "data_version": "2026-11-05.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-04.3", "url": "/authors/paolo-simoncini/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-03.1", "return_percent": "11.61", "settled_picks": 7, "matches": 7, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "a77db69236fd5f52dee86216f090ec749a2473ba69b7057fb458ea71db67bf13", "text": "+81.25 points on 7 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-05.1", "return_percent": "19.35", "settled_picks": 8, "matches": 8, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "0300a37ca8d30bc8438a7ec0d8153efb25d0e97949bbc15a48b4c4f83ae3a169", "text": "+154.78 points on 8 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-e9178ba9ea2e8776d5cb", "at": "2026-11-03T06:24:00.880Z", "data_version": "2026-11-03.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-02.3", "url": "/authors/paolo-simoncini/", 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"url": "/authors/paolo-simoncini/picks/9/#pick-n-5a9fa8f7a9346782854b8540", "match": "Genoa v AC Milan", "match_url": "/football/matches/genoa-vs-ac-milan-2026-11-08/", "kickoff": "2026-11-08T14:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Serie A", "author_said": "Double chance: draw or AC Milan at 1.19", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "recorded_at": "2026-11-03T11:22:51.771Z", "platform": null }, { "record_id": "n-c9322f41caa62bfa039cb03f", "url": "/authors/paolo-simoncini/picks/10/#pick-n-c9322f41caa62bfa039cb03f", "match": "Monza v Atalanta", "match_url": "/football/matches/monza-vs-atalanta-2026-11-08/", "kickoff": "2026-11-08T14:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Serie A", "author_said": "Double chance: draw or Atalanta at 1.3", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "recorded_at": "2026-11-03T11:22:51.771Z", "platform": null }, { "record_id": "n-3d7922031d8cf58b4fc75c33", "url": "/authors/paolo-simoncini/picks/8/#pick-n-3d7922031d8cf58b4fc75c33", "match": "Monza v Atalanta", 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"Recorded by us before kick-off", "recorded_at": "2026-11-03T11:22:51.771Z", "platform": null }, { "record_id": "n-1d82ec0d47de035bc9ebdc3b", "url": "/authors/paolo-simoncini/picks/8/#pick-n-1d82ec0d47de035bc9ebdc3b", "match": "Fiorentina v Juventus", "match_url": "/football/matches/fiorentina-vs-juventus-2026-11-08/", "kickoff": "2026-11-08T19:45:00.000Z", "competition": "Serie A", "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.6", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "recorded_at": "2026-11-03T11:22:51.771Z", "platform": null } ] }, "counts_by_slice": { "portions": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "settled_picks": 10, "total_check": true, "market_list": [ { "code_name": "total", "in_words": "Over/under goals", "url": null, "settled_picks": 5, "won": 5, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 33015, "return_percent": "66.0", "period_from": "2026-10-22", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "small_sample": true, 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