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 "heading": "Paddy Murphy: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "Paddy Murphy: 5 statements recorded by Forecast Record. Every statement with its source and the rule applied to it.",
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  "body": "Forecast Record has recorded 5 statements by Paddy Murphy, including 2 predictions. Of the 2 predictions we hold for Paddy Murphy, 1 was archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 1 first found after the match. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.",
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 "record_summary": {
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   "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250320111804id_/https://news.paddypower.com/football/2025/01/01/qpr-watford-tips-a8-1-bet-builder-championship-wednesday-1-january/"
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  "reason": "2 predictions were read after the match, from archived pages",
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  "sentence": "Forecast Record has recorded 5 statements by Paddy Murphy, including 2 predictions. Of the 2 predictions we hold for Paddy Murphy, 1 was archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 1 first found after the match. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.",
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  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record has recorded 5 statements by Paddy Murphy, including 2 predictions. Of the 2 predictions we hold for Paddy Murphy, 1 was archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 1 first found after the match. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/paddy-murphy/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": null
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 2,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 0,
   "proven_predictions": 1,
   "proven_checked": 0,
   "proven_measured": 0,
   "proven_dates": 0,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
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      "outcome_checked": 0,
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      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
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      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 1,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 1,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    }
   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": null,
  "headline_record_ids": [],
  "caption": "Recorded statements and predictions · as of 7 November 2026",
  "record_from": "2025-03-16",
  "record_to": "2025-03-16"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-aac45245b48aa9ed391a2cd5",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Both teams to score, yes",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:56:39.816Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-9372bd5163b6c4120e84c03f",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Both teams to score, yes",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2025-03-16T09:05:21.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T00:32:23.356Z",
   "origin": "Archived before kick-off",
   "record_part": "archived",
   "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "lead_time": {
  "contract_version": 1,
  "threshold_hours": 2.0,
  "picks": 0,
  "before_kickoff": 0,
  "after_kickoff": 0,
  "at_least_2h": 0,
  "share_2h_plus": null,
  "median_hours": null,
  "min_hours": null,
  "max_hours": null,
  "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off."
 },
 "baseline": {
  "contract_version": 1,
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "rule": "recorded-line-1.0",
  "state": "none",
  "picks": 0,
  "settled_picks_all": 0,
  "excluded": {
   "market_without_favourite": 0,
   "no_recorded_line": 0,
   "favourite_not_settled": 0
  },
  "staked_hundredths": 0,
  "author_net_hundredths": 0,
  "favourite_net_hundredths": 0,
  "difference_hundredths": 0,
  "author_return_percent": null,
  "favourite_return_percent": null,
  "author_hit_rate": null,
  "favourite_hit_rate": null,
  "picked_favourite_share": null,
  "by_market": [],
  "return_over_time": [],
  "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out."
 },
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 2,
  "pages": 1,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/paddy-murphy/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 0,
   "pending": 0,
   "excluded": 2
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 1,
  "first": 1,
  "last": 2,
  "author_url": "/authors/paddy-murphy/",
  "current": false
 },
 "title_tag": "Paddy Murphy Predictions: Verified Record, Results and Sources",
 "calculator": null,
 "person": {
  "person_id": "o-354250fcd35fe2be60550c5e",
  "type_code": "individual",
  "name_shown": "Paddy Murphy",
  "main_entity": "e-354250fcd35fe2be60550c5e",
  "identity": {
   "status": "not_verified",
   "is_verified": false,
   "when": null,
   "source_list": []
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "entity_ref": "e-354250fcd35fe2be60550c5e",
    "medium": "Paddy Power News",
    "channel": "section pages",
    "domain": "news.paddypower.com",
    "source_info": "paddy-power",
    "byline": "Paddy Murphy",
    "url": "/sources/paddy-power/",
    "summary": {
     "statements": 5,
     "predictions": 2,
     "settled_picks": 0,
     "headline_kind": null,
     "return_percent": null,
     "headline_part": null,
     "period_from": "2026-09-30",
     "period_to": "2026-09-30"
    }
   }
  ],
  "previously": [],
  "trust_tier": "probation"
 },
 "data_revision": null,
 "number_changes": [],
 "author_card": {
  "body": "Record tracked by Forecast Record since 30 September 2026 · 2 predictions · last change 30 September 2026",
  "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/paddy-murphy/",
  "s": "2026-09-30",
  "prediction_count": 2,
  "refreshed_at": "2026-09-30",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://forecastrecord.com/authors/paddy-murphy/\">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 30 September 2026 · 2 predictions · last change 30 September 2026</a>"
 },
 "trust": {
  "tier": "probation",
  "in_words": "Probation",
  "settled_count": 0,
  "days": 0,
  "weeks": 0,
  "archive": false,
  "in_review": false,
  "own_page": false,
  "won_count": 0,
  "first_settled_on": null,
  "products_in_level": 1,
  "rule": {
   "tracked": {
    "min_settled": 30,
    "min_days": 30,
    "min_distinct_weeks": 2,
    "no_violations": true
   },
   "established": {
    "min_settled": 100,
    "min_days": 90
   }
  },
  "show": true
 },
 "colleagues": [
  {
   "source_code": "paddy-power",
   "source_name": "Paddy Power News",
   "source_url": "/sources/paddy-power/",
   "label": "Also at Paddy Power News",
   "authors_total": 12,
   "authors": [
    {
     "name": "Joe Cole",
     "url": "/authors/joe-cole/",
     "headline_part": "archived",
     "settled_picks": 15,
     "return_percent": "39.8",
     "small_sample": false,
     "average_odds": "3.27",
     "odds_from_author": 0,
     "odds_from_snapshot": 15
    },
    {
     "name": "Feargal Brennan",
     "url": "/authors/feargal-brennan/",
     "headline_part": "live",
     "settled_picks": 6,
     "return_percent": null,
     "small_sample": true,
     "average_odds": "1.75",
     "odds_from_author": 0,
     "odds_from_snapshot": 6
    },
    {
     "name": "Matthew O'Regan",
     "url": "/authors/matthew-o-regan/",
     "headline_part": "archived",
     "settled_picks": 5,
     "return_percent": null,
     "small_sample": true,
     "average_odds": "3.46",
     "odds_from_author": 0,
     "odds_from_snapshot": 5
    },
    {
     "name": "Andrew Beasley",
     "url": "/authors/andrew-beasley/",
     "headline_part": "archived",
     "settled_picks": 3,
     "return_percent": null,
     "small_sample": true,
     "average_odds": "2.09",
     "odds_from_author": 0,
     "odds_from_snapshot": 3
    },
    {
     "name": "Mark Lawrenson",
     "url": "/authors/mark-lawrenson/",
     "headline_part": "archived",
     "settled_picks": 3,
     "return_percent": null,
     "small_sample": true,
     "average_odds": "1.44",
     "odds_from_author": 0,
     "odds_from_snapshot": 3
    },
    {
     "name": "Sam Farley",
     "url": "/authors/sam-farley/",
     "headline_part": "archived",
     "settled_picks": 3,
     "return_percent": null,
     "small_sample": true,
     "average_odds": "2.25",
     "odds_from_author": 0,
     "odds_from_snapshot": 3
    },
    {
     "name": "Shane O'Brien",
     "url": "/authors/shane-o-brien/",
     "headline_part": "archived",
     "settled_picks": 2,
     "return_percent": null,
     "small_sample": true,
     "average_odds": "1.31",
     "odds_from_author": 0,
     "odds_from_snapshot": 2
    },
    {
     "name": "Andy Robson Tips",
     "url": "/authors/andy-robson-tips/",
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     "settled_picks": 0,
     "return_percent": null,
     "small_sample": true,
     "average_odds": null,
     "odds_from_author": null,
     "odds_from_snapshot": null
    },
    {
     "name": "Colin Harvey",
     "url": "/authors/colin-harvey/",
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     "settled_picks": 0,
     "return_percent": null,
     "small_sample": true,
     "average_odds": null,
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    },
    {
     "name": "James O'Rourke",
     "url": "/authors/james-o-rourke/",
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     "settled_picks": 0,
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     "small_sample": true,
     "average_odds": null,
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     "odds_from_snapshot": null
    },
    {
     "name": "Oli Nixon",
     "url": "/authors/oli-nixon/",
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     "settled_picks": 0,
     "return_percent": null,
     "small_sample": true,
     "average_odds": null,
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     "odds_from_snapshot": null
    },
    {
     "name": "Peter Crouch",
     "url": "/authors/peter-crouch/",
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     "settled_picks": 0,
     "return_percent": null,
     "small_sample": true,
     "average_odds": null,
     "odds_from_author": null,
     "odds_from_snapshot": null
    }
   ]
  }
 ],
 "author_type": "Pundit",
 "data_changes": {
  "added_later": "1 record added on 30 Sep 2026 found after the match. The current numbers include them; numbers published earlier, including the record before each match, do not change.",
  "records_corrected": 0,
  "last_correction_at": null,
  "corrections_url": "/corrections/"
 },
 "entity_id": "person:o-354250fcd35fe2be60550c5e",
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 "related": [
  {
   "url": "/cards/e-354250fcd35fe2be60550c5e-bank/",
   "name": "Bankroll card — Paddy Murphy",
   "detail": null,
   "source_group": "cards"
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 "number_sets": [
  {
   "set": "profile.settled",
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   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
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  {
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   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "profile.part.found_after",
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  {
   "set": "profile.checked.live",
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   "set": "profile.checked.archived",
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   "where": "origin",
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "profile.checked",
   "entity": "e-354250fcd35fe2be60550c5e",
   "value": 0,
   "where": "trust-level",
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
   "label": true
  }
 ]
}