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Match result (1X2) 2/8 (8 matches); Both teams to score 1/2 (2 matches)", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "display_name": "Most recorded bet type", "rule_href": "/titles/m-11-most-recorded-bet-type/" }, { "code_name": "CS-01", "body": "Exact scores · 2/28", "details_words": null, "url": null, "provenance": "live", "display_name": "Exact scores", "rule_href": "/titles/cs-01-exact-scores/" }, { "code_name": "C-01", "body": "Minority calls · 1/1", "details_words": "Result calls on matches with at least 8 other tipsters and sources, where at least 60.0% of them named another outcome.", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "display_name": "Minority calls", "rule_href": "/titles/c-01-minority-calls/" }, { "code_name": "X-01", "body": "Longest price: correct at 4.00 · 5 Nov 2026", "details_words": "Crystal Palace v TSG Hoffenheim · Draw at 4.00 (our pre-match price) · from the predicted score: Correct score: Crystal Palace 2-2 TSG Hoffenheim", "url": "/authors/oliver-thomas/picks/4/#pick-n-704d4024a844a7068582f4c3", "provenance": "live", "display_name": "Correct at a long price", "rule_href": "/titles/x-01-correct-at-a-long-price/" } ], "history": [] }, "retro": null, "late": null, "price_vs_market": null, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "sportsmole.co.uk", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/fulham/preview/fulham-vs-newcastle-prediction-team-news-lineups_608429.html" }, "observed_from": "2026-09-25", "observed_to": "2026-11-07", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "settled", "series_code": "market_price", "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price", "restored": false, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "headline_part": "live", "settled_picks": 6, "matches": 6, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -37000, "staked_hundredths": 60000, "return_percent": "-61.67", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "period_from": "2026-10-10", "period_to": "2026-10-31", "status": "calculated", "method_version": "2.2", "short_history": true, "reason": null, "reasons": [], "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 6 settled live picks by Oliver Thomas before kick-off across 6 matches between 10 and 31 October 2026. Won 1 of 6 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 56 predictions we hold for Oliver Thomas, 43 are linked to matches: 43 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Settled live picks", "value": "6", "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick", "note": null }, { "label": "Matches", "value": "6", "anchor": "/methodology/#match", "note": null }, { "label": "Net result", "value": "−370 points", "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement", "note": "100 points per pick" }, { "label": "Return at our recorded market price", "value": "−61.7%", "anchor": "/methodology/#roi", "note": null } ], "limitations": [ "This page combines Oliver Thomas across 2 platforms. The record above counts each prediction once, even when the same pick (match, market and selection) appeared on more than one platform; each platform keeps its own total under “Where Oliver Thomas publishes”." ], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": { "part": "live", "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.", "settled_picks": 6, "matches": 6, "match_dates": 6, "period_from": "2026-10-10", "period_to": "2026-10-31", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": -37000, "low": { "date": "2026-10-31", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -37000, "after_picks": 6 }, "high": { "date": "2026-10-10", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 13000, "after_picks": 1 }, "line_drawn": false, "steps": [ { "date": "2026-10-10", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 13000, "n": 1, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-21", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 3000, "n": 2, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-22", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -7000, "n": 3, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-24", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -17000, "n": 4, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-29", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -27000, "n": 5, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-31", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -37000, "n": 6, "picks": 1 } ] }, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record recorded 6 settled live picks by Oliver Thomas before kick-off across 6 matches between 10 and 31 October 2026. Won 1 of 6 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 56 predictions we hold for Oliver Thomas, 43 are linked to matches: 43 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/oliver-thomas/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2" }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 56, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 13, "proven_predictions": 43, "proven_checked": 43, "proven_measured": 37, "proven_dates": 15, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 43, "checked": 43, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": { "settled_picks": 6, "void": 0, "matches": 6, "net_points_hundredths": -37000, "staked_hundredths": 60000, "return_percent": "-61.67", "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval", "period_from": "2026-10-10", "period_to": "2026-10-31", "method_version": "2.2", "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0", "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.0", "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 1 }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Closing price", "series_code": "closing_live", "picks": 4, "return_main_percent": "-42.50", "return_other_percent": "-40.50", "settled_excluding_void": 4, "net_main_points_hundredths": -17000, "net_other_points_hundredths": -16200, "period_from": "2026-10-10", "period_to": "2026-10-29" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 31, "exact_hits": 3, "exact_rate": 9.7, "outcome_checked": 31, "outcome_hits": 9, "outcome_rate": 29.0, "baseline_matches": 23, "baseline_distinct_matches": 23, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 7, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 30.4, "favourite_hits": 7, "favourite_rate": 30.4, "price_basis": "our pre-match snapshot", "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [ "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.", "3 of 31 score forecasts named the exact score (9.7%).", "The result implied by the named score was right in 7 of 23 matches; the market favourite was right in 7 of the same 23 matches.", "A pre-match market favourite is known for 23 of 31 forecasts; the comparison uses only those.", "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest price in our own odds snapshot taken before kick-off.", "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win)." ] }, "eligible": { "checked": 43, "priced": 6 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 6, "won": 1, "won_percent": "16.7", "implied_percent": "39.4", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Match result", "won": 1, "picks": 4, "implied_percent": "38.7" }, { "market": "Both teams to score", "won": 0, "picks": 1, "implied_percent": "69.2" }, { "market": "Correct score", "won": 0, "picks": 1, "implied_percent": "12.5" } ] }, "reviewed_after": { "predictions": 3, "right": 1, "wrong": 2, "other": 0 } }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [ "n-2214cd18060b3e276d11d3b7", "n-2c0a3ecc6830cef2cf4102de", "n-350dad4dec95b1c4e77b43f4", "n-d6c7ac7a5fbc86ee025bd958", "n-e7b20803728668a0358b5000", "n-fbbde6e652617ef2676e21ff" ], "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 10–31 October 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2", "record_from": "2026-09-25", "record_to": "2026-11-07" }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-2c0a3ecc6830cef2cf4102de", "url": "/authors/oliver-thomas/picks/4/#pick-n-2c0a3ecc6830cef2cf4102de", "match": "AFC Bournemouth v Leeds United", "match_url": "/football/matches/afc-bournemouth-vs-leeds-united-2026-10-31/", "kickoff": "2026-10-31T15:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": 3.4, "market_code": "correct_score_market", "author_said": "Correct score: AFC Bournemouth 2-1 Leeds United", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "2-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": null, "settled_price": "8.0000", "published_at": "2026-10-29T17:00:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-31T11:35:45.746Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": "Sports Mole, RSS feed", "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-2c0a3ecc6830cef2cf4102de", "quote_text": "We say: Bournemouth 2-1 Leeds United", "fragment_from": 5988, "fragment_to": 6024, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/bournemouth/preview/bournemouth-vs-leeds-prediction-team-news-lineups_607929.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Oliver Thomas", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "a024dbc3da395e8fd09a2fba9a373ff59ff9e91295a88374b4fbe7ee7c151d54", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T17:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T11:35:45.746Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-31T14:54:28.877Z", "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-39d8fcfaf4a9", "display_name": "AFC Bournemouth — Leeds United", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2026-10-31T15:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/afc-bournemouth-vs-leeds-united-2026-10-31/", "scoreline": "2-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "AFC Bournemouth 2-1 Leeds United", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": "8.0000", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-31T11:34:55.560Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T17:00:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T17:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-31T11:35:45.746Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "AFC Bournemouth 2-1 Leeds United", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "2-1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: AFC Bournemouth 2-1 Leeds United" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "2-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was AFC Bournemouth 2-0 Leeds United." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "f3e7df1bf11e2396f1884a8cd003a4a365ed33ec5b3d35ebb6bbd38c049c2d7a", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "AFC Bournemouth 2-1 Leeds United", "decimal_odds": "8.0000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-31T14:54:28.877Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "92947c6b5d9174982566fea3bd6a4ac1ba6db07767838f225d628180ed646f71", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "AFC Bournemouth", "decimal_odds": "2.1000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 11000, "executed_at": "2026-10-31T14:54:36.199Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Oliver Thomas", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Oliver Thomas", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/bournemouth/preview/bournemouth-vs-leeds-prediction-team-news-lineups_607929.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "AFC Bournemouth 2-1 Leeds United" } }, { "record_id": "n-d6c7ac7a5fbc86ee025bd958", "url": "/authors/oliver-thomas/picks/3/#pick-n-d6c7ac7a5fbc86ee025bd958", "match": "Everton v 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"recorded_at": "2026-10-03T12:34:51.434Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": "Sports Mole, RSS feed", "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-be7fc59b5a9676a422ca50de", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Although Albania have lacked a clinical touch in front of goal in recent internationals, we are backing them to navigate their way to a slender victory and secure their first triumph under new…", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-24T16:10:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-25T20:26:50.310Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": "Sports Mole, RSS feed", "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-01ab4e4a0bc3d82193b3fa96", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "We say: Albania 2-1 Belarus", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-24T16:10:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-25T20:26:50.310Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": "Sports Mole, RSS feed", "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-4e883d4c6b76742a267a85fb", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "We say: Slovakia 2-0 Moldova", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-24T16:08:36.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-25T20:26:50.375Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": "Sports Mole, RSS feed", "correction": null } ], "lead_time": { "contract_version": 1, "threshold_hours": 2.0, "picks": 43, "before_kickoff": 43, "after_kickoff": 0, "at_least_2h": 43, "share_2h_plus": 100.0, "median_hours": 41.9, "min_hours": 3.4, "max_hours": 56.8, "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off." }, "baseline": { "contract_version": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "rule": "recorded-line-1.0", "state": "settled", "picks": 34, "settled_picks_all": 37, "excluded": { "market_without_favourite": 1, "no_recorded_line": 2, "favourite_not_settled": 0 }, "staked_hundredths": 340000, "author_net_hundredths": -131327, "favourite_net_hundredths": -79384, "difference_hundredths": -51943, "author_return_percent": -38.63, "favourite_return_percent": -23.35, "author_hit_rate": 29.4, "favourite_hit_rate": 41.2, "picked_favourite_share": 58.8, "by_market": [ { "market_code": "1x2", "picks": 33, "staked_hundredths": 330000, "author_net_hundredths": -121327, "favourite_net_hundredths": -69384, "author_hits": 10, "favourite_hits": 14, "picked_favourite": 19, "author_return_percent": -36.77, "favourite_return_percent": -21.03 }, { "market_code": "both_teams_score", "picks": 1, "staked_hundredths": 10000, "author_net_hundredths": -10000, "favourite_net_hundredths": -10000, "author_hits": 0, "favourite_hits": 0, "picked_favourite": 1, "author_return_percent": -100.0, 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-22100, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 13443 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -19801, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 15742 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -29801, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 5742 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-17T16:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -39801, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -4258 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-21T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -49801, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -14258 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-21T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -47502, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -11959 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-21T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -37502, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -1959 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -47502, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -11959 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -57502, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -21959 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -67502, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -31959 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-24T11:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -77502, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -41959 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-24T14:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -87502, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -29459 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-24T14:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -97502, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -16959 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-24T16:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -107502, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -26959 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-27T19:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -100791, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -20248 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-27T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -110791, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -30248 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-28T19:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -120791, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -40248 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-28T19:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -130791, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -50248 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-28T19:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -140791, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -60248 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-29T19:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -150791, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -47548 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-29T19:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -160791, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -34848 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-31T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -170791, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -44848 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -165327, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -39384 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -137327, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -49384 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -147327, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -59384 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-07T12:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -157327, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -69384 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-07T15:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -131327, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -79384 } ], "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out." }, "pagination": { "per_page": 20, "total": 56, "pages": 4, "page_urls": [ "/authors/oliver-thomas/", "/authors/oliver-thomas/picks/2/", "/authors/oliver-thomas/picks/3/", "/authors/oliver-thomas/picks/4/" ], "groups": { "settled": 6, "pending": 0, "excluded": 50 }, "continuation": "by_time", "page": 1, "first": 1, "last": 20, "author_url": "/authors/oliver-thomas/", "current": false }, "title_tag": "Oliver Thomas Predictions: Verified Record, Results and Sources", "calculator": null, "person": { "person_id": "o-a37055f72f52c0fdfe8df63a", "type_code": "individual", "name_shown": "Oliver Thomas", "main_entity": "e-a37055f72f52c0fdfe8df63a", "identity": { "status": "not_verified", "is_verified": false, "when": null, "source_list": [] }, "platform_list": [ { "entity_ref": "e-a37055f72f52c0fdfe8df63a", "medium": "Sports Mole", "channel": "RSS feed", "domain": "sportsmole.co.uk", "source_info": "sports-mole", "byline": "Oliver Thomas", "url": "/sources/sports-mole/", "summary": { "statements": 750, "predictions": 46, "settled_picks": 5, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "return_percent": -54.0, "headline_part": "live", "period_from": "2026-10-01", "period_to": "2026-11-07" } }, { "entity_ref": "e-9218688078fb86cb64214813", "medium": "Sports Mole", "channel": "RSS feed", "domain": "sportsmole.co.uk", "source_info": "sports-mole", "byline": "Oliver Thomas", "url": null, "summary": { "statements": 37, "predictions": 15, "settled_picks": 2, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "return_percent": -100.0, "headline_part": "live", "period_from": "2026-09-25", "period_to": "2026-11-07" } } ], "previously": [], "trust_tier": "tracked" }, "data_revision": { "data_version": "2026-10-31.2", "updated": "2026-10-31", "current_release": "2026-11-07.2", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "series_code": "market_price", "sample": { "settled_picks": 6, "matches": 6, "void": 0, "period_from": "2026-10-10", "period_to": "2026-10-31", "composition_hash": "f6e28a769487fa7c691894759aa9cf99e91d7a0a3692573589609a755d6a018d" }, "changes_url": "#changes", "corrections_url": "/corrections/" }, "number_changes": [ { "id": "zc-42caf7cb489c07bc527f", "at": "2026-10-31T21:01:38.334Z", "data_version": "2026-10-31.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-31.1", "url": "/authors/oliver-thomas/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-30.1", "return_percent": "-54.00", "settled_picks": 5, "matches": 5, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "2af6aced9ed0a3d884d081808400231c2354f018224d45b09eeef0396906df5a", "text": "−270.00 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-31.2", "return_percent": "-61.67", "settled_picks": 6, "matches": 6, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "f6e28a769487fa7c691894759aa9cf99e91d7a0a3692573589609a755d6a018d", "text": "−370.00 points on 6 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-7272ba526661654a7f7c", "at": "2026-10-30T08:26:41.528Z", "data_version": "2026-10-30.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-29.1", "url": "/authors/oliver-thomas/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-24.4", "return_percent": "-42.50", "settled_picks": 4, "matches": 4, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "e1cb381fdd6fcb857014ed1afe304d71930cff7dedbad7aa187ed683f522e208", "text": "−170.00 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-30.1", "return_percent": "-54.00", "settled_picks": 5, "matches": 5, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "2af6aced9ed0a3d884d081808400231c2354f018224d45b09eeef0396906df5a", "text": "−270.00 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-aad07265cf92448be334", "at": "2026-10-24T16:52:01.947Z", "data_version": "2026-10-24.4", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-24.3", "url": "/authors/oliver-thomas/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.6", "return_percent": "-23.33", "settled_picks": 3, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "3a2f259f776d58017bf903e57a5f5c6fb17a1083957afe690c2541b18b8cb87b", "text": "−70.00 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-24.4", "return_percent": "-42.50", "settled_picks": 4, "matches": 4, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "e1cb381fdd6fcb857014ed1afe304d71930cff7dedbad7aa187ed683f522e208", "text": "−170.00 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-3dd835b7682db3cf17b0", "at": "2026-10-22T22:37:17.307Z", "data_version": "2026-10-22.6", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-22.5", "url": "/authors/oliver-thomas/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-21.3", "return_percent": "15.00", "settled_picks": 2, "matches": 2, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "233e7a02bb56bc4d889491d04cad81038b69c62a26e71e6420a5f02d4be04566", "text": "+30.00 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.6", "return_percent": "-23.33", "settled_picks": 3, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "3a2f259f776d58017bf903e57a5f5c6fb17a1083957afe690c2541b18b8cb87b", "text": "−70.00 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-ce021d5f7f7106d8fd26", "at": "2026-10-21T22:08:07.744Z", "data_version": "2026-10-21.3", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-21.2", "url": "/authors/oliver-thomas/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-19.6", "return_percent": "130.00", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "44674fe8a1d553773a48a7bf16619b14cdf417720744e9481f7deeaa0043ffb2", "text": "+130.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-21.3", "return_percent": "15.00", "settled_picks": 2, "matches": 2, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "233e7a02bb56bc4d889491d04cad81038b69c62a26e71e6420a5f02d4be04566", "text": "+30.00 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-5a17f0f0456c42100d85", "at": "2026-10-19T19:39:27.559Z", "data_version": "2026-10-19.6", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-19.5", "url": "/authors/oliver-thomas/", 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