{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "author", "url": "/authors/oapostador/", "canonical": "/authors/oapostador/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "oapostador: Football Prediction Record", "description": "3 settled picks by oapostador recorded before kick-off across 3 matches, 24 Oct 2026 – 1 Nov 2026: won 1 of 3 at our recorded market prices.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Forecast Record recorded 3 settled live picks by oapostador before kick-off across 3 matches between 24 October and 1 November 2026. Won 1 of 3 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 21 predictions we hold for oapostador, 10 are linked to matches: 10 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "key_number": "3", "data": "2026-11-07", "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot", "brand": "Forecast Record" }, "indexable": false, "noindex_reason": "too_few_settled", "indexing_threshold": { "settled_count": 3, "date_count": 7, "required_settled": 10, "required_dates": 2 }, "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:02:04.732Z", "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z", "content_hash": null, "meaning_hash": "59b16e596bac1c458f085498d604bad365bbea05b44c8783bc8248fd8f12d770", "dependency_group": "author:e-846d3a10712526f2037cc864", "release_id": "20261107-195223", "markup": [ { "type_code": "WebPage", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Organization", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Person", "allowed": true, "cause": null } ], "exports": [ { "type_code": "json", "url": "/authors/oapostador/index.json", "bytes": null }, { "type_code": "csv", "url": "/authors/oapostador/picks.csv", "bytes": null } ], "modules": { "affiliate": true, "api": true, "compare_yourself": false }, "affiliate_block": { "container": true, "request_url": "/partnery/moi", "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "author" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "entity": { "id": "e-846d3a10712526f2037cc864", "public_name": "oapostador", "tracker_number": 4324, "status": "active", "inactive_since": null, "verified_creator": false, "observation_period": { "since": "2026-10-11", "until": "2026-11-06" }, "platform_list": [ { "medium": "website", "handle": null, "url": null, "link_confirmed": false, "show": true } ], "comment": null }, "headline_number": { "metric": { "metric_id": "p-e-846d3a10712526f2037cc864-roi-market-price-90d-z99", "code_name": "roi_market_price", "display_name": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot", "window_kind": "90d", "window_from": "2026-08-09", "window_to": "2026-11-07", "amount": "-46.6667", "unit": "percent", "data_status": "calculated", "cause": null, "n_bets": 3, "n_events": 3, "n_void": 0, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "ci_method": "not_estimated", "price_source": "market_price", "coverage_percent": "100.00", "breakdown": [], "methodology_version": "2.2", "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:02:04.732Z", "enough_for_ranking": false, "series_uid": null, "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 3 settled picks across 3 matches", "average_odds": null, "odds_from_author": null, "odds_from_snapshot": null }, "metrics": [], "history": [], "simulation": { "series_uid": "sr-33c7963916cda53ae33dce04", "bankroll_hundredths": 996000, "reserve_hundredths": 0, "issued_total_hundredths": 1000000, "top_up_count": 0, "profit_hundredths": -4000, "rewards_off": null, "initial_hundredths": 1000000, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "data_points": [ { "at": "2026-10-26T12:50:40.180Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 990000, "profit_hundredths": -10000, "outcome_id": "ish-c9c5f3baffe343c76b8e571d" }, { "at": "2026-11-01T19:16:08.893Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 996000, "profit_hundredths": -4000, "outcome_id": "ish-c7c854e0dee0ad0a9990964b" } ], "top_ups": [], "rule": "When the balance falls below 100 points and no bets are open, 10000 points are added; the remaining balance is kept. While bets are open we wait for settlement.", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, "simulations": [], "completeness": { "detected": 143, "recognised": 21, "accepted": 10, "executed": 3, "calculated": 3, "gaps": [ { "cause": "not_supported", "figure": 10 }, { "cause": "not_checked", "figure": 7 }, { "cause": "other reading", "figure": 1 } ] }, "record_counts": { "dictionary_version": "1", "statements": 143, "of_them_restored": 2, "not_predictions": { "opinions": 0, "not_about_a_match": 117, "unclassified": 0 }, "predictions": 21, "predictions_restored": 0, "matches": 10, "admitted": 10, "qualifying_picks": 3, "qualifying_picks_restored": 0, "settled_picks": 3, "settled_picks_restored": 0, "series_list": [ { "code_name": "market_price", "derived": false, "is_restored": false, "qualifying_picks": 3, "settled_picks": 3, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 0, "matches": 3, "operations_settled": 6, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "2.2" 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"https://gainblers.com/la/pronosticos/futbol/espana/liga-primera-division/pronostico-valencia-real-madrid-07-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "oapostador", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "387b491c224c53a021fe00c66da697e43945379c752856ad7d8892d0eb247676", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-06T02:26:09.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T16:11:30.120Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-06T02:26:09.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-06T02:26:09.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T16:11:30.120Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-3c75c26faf2af4ec64071f54", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-3c75c26faf2af4ec64071f54", "quote_text": "Pronóstico Parma vs Bologna – Ambos Marcan | Serie A", "fragment_from": 0, "fragment_to": 52, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://gainblers.com/la/pronosticos/futbol/italia/serie-a/pronostico-parma-bologna-07-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "oapostador", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "c23bbec555b42c63ed072e3c822c0d7972bfa6d443dc35291c4e9e9c13e6cf7a", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-05T19:41:21.707Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2026-11-06T00:33:57.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-05T19:41:21.707Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "after_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source's date is later than our first capture, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-5cb17d9eac0f91bbc543608a", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-5cb17d9eac0f91bbc543608a", "quote_text": "Pronóstico Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich | Over 3.5 Goles", "fragment_from": 0, "fragment_to": 53, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://gainblers.com/la/pronosticos/futbol/alemania/1bundesliga/pronostico-mainz-05-bayern-munich-07-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "oapostador", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "02abbca2f2748ad067475adf5c09d6476231857ebe1c1441661e9df420224f59", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-05T19:21:14.552Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2026-11-06T00:00:06.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-05T19:21:14.552Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "after_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source's date is later than our first capture, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-44c7ed27e65fe5e9d4d4710b", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-44c7ed27e65fe5e9d4d4710b", "quote_text": "Pronóstico Sevilla vs Alavés | Over 2 goles LaLiga", "fragment_from": 0, "fragment_to": 50, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://gainblers.com/la/pronosticos/futbol/espana/liga-primera-division/pronostico-sevilla-alaves-06-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "oapostador", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "d4c6865071073f7060f6424100989d8d40d04fb7911d64a8312e06223c40f71c", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-05T18:52:38.075Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2026-11-05T23:26:22.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-05T18:52:38.075Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "after_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source's date is later than our first capture, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-75654bd1a3ebad7dd098cde5", "url": "/authors/oapostador/picks/3/#pick-n-75654bd1a3ebad7dd098cde5", "quote_text": "Pronóstico Fenerbahce vs Liverpool | Over 2.5 Goles", "fragment_from": 0, "fragment_to": 51, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://gainblers.com/la/pronosticos/futbol/europa/champions-league/pronostico-fenerbahce-liverpool-04-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "oapostador", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "1eaf6c175a6c20795da8f2a33dcd46692b134181cd7c61c9790ea21455919ba5", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-02T18:12:08.084Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-e11039d41c22", "display_name": "Fenerbahçe — Liverpool", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2026-11-04T17:45:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/fenerbahce-vs-liverpool-2026-11-04/", "scoreline": "3-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "outcome_label": "over 2.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2026-11-02T23:56:15.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-02T18:12:08.084Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "after_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source's date is later than our first capture, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "3-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Fenerbahçe 3-2 Liverpool." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "372eb21bcda8328fe6750e4fe3d33967c0b450c6d852a365688fd50ffe558c42", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an 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"excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-5487df6bab3d28dde15f4f72", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-5487df6bab3d28dde15f4f72", "quote_text": "Pronóstico Bodo/Glimt vs Lille | Champions League Over 2.5", "fragment_from": 0, "fragment_to": 58, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://gainblers.com/la/pronosticos/futbol/europa/champions-league/pronostico-bodoglimt-lille-03-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "oapostador", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "31a8765ae41e1142bf0bdaf17094736ff2b757c570e003630f7dd675b9c011e6", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-02T16:34:55.560Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2026-11-02T21:35:24.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-02T16:34:55.560Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "after_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source's date is later than our first capture, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement 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null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-13T21:05:21.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-13T21:05:21.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-14T08:50:32.985Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-2e486cecb70adaf4471d5d1c", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-2e486cecb70adaf4471d5d1c", "quote_text": "Estás accediendo desde fuera de Latinoamérica", "fragment_from": 118, "fragment_to": 163, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://gainblers.com/la/pronosticos/futbol/europa/champions-league/pronostico-lask-linz-liverpool-14-10-2026-2/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "oapostador", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "cba32992cdc1eef710514d6d197e61811be9aec838f7a8e182da8254893ea111", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-13T20:59:11.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-14T08:50:32.387Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-13T20:59:11.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-13T20:59:11.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-14T08:50:32.387Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null } ], "standing": null, "retro": null, "late": null, "price_vs_market": { "contract_version": "1", "threshold_percent": "5", "rows": [ { "basis": "snapshot", "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)", "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick", "compared": 2, "above": 0, "above_share_percent": "0.0", "below": 0, "within": 2, "median_difference_percent": "1.4", "not_comparable": 0, "disputed": 0, "status": "calculated" } ], "examples": [], "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way." }, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "gainblers.com", "url": "https://gainblers.com/la/pronosticos/futbol/europa/champions-league/pronostico-fenerbahce-liverpool-04-11-2026/" }, "observed_from": "2026-10-11", "observed_to": "2026-11-06", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "settled", "series_code": "market_price", "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price", "restored": false, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "headline_part": "live", "settled_picks": 3, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -14000, "staked_hundredths": 30000, "return_percent": "-46.67", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "period_from": "2026-10-24", "period_to": "2026-11-01", "status": "calculated", "method_version": "2.2", "short_history": true, "reason": null, "reasons": [], "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 3 settled live picks by oapostador before kick-off across 3 matches between 24 October and 1 November 2026. Won 1 of 3 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 21 predictions we hold for oapostador, 10 are linked to matches: 10 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Settled live picks", "value": "3", "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick", "note": null }, { "label": "Matches", "value": "3", "anchor": "/methodology/#match", "note": null }, { "label": "Net result", "value": "−140 points", "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement", "note": "100 points per pick" }, { "label": "Return at our recorded market price", "value": "−46.7%", "anchor": "/methodology/#roi", "note": null } ], "limitations": [ "This page combines oapostador across 3 platforms. The record above counts each prediction once, even when the same pick (match, market and selection) appeared on more than one platform; each platform keeps its own total under “Where oapostador publishes”." ], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": { "part": "live", "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.", "settled_picks": 3, "matches": 3, "match_dates": 3, "period_from": "2026-10-24", "period_to": "2026-11-01", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": -14000, "low": { "date": "2026-10-25", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -20000, "after_picks": 2 }, "high": { "date": "2026-10-24", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000, "after_picks": 1 }, "line_drawn": false, "steps": [ { "date": "2026-10-24", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000, "n": 1, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-25", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -20000, "n": 2, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-11-01", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -14000, "n": 3, "picks": 1 } ] }, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record recorded 3 settled live picks by oapostador before kick-off across 3 matches between 24 October and 1 November 2026. Won 1 of 3 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 21 predictions we hold for oapostador, 10 are linked to matches: 10 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/oapostador/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2" }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 21, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 11, "proven_predictions": 10, "proven_checked": 10, "proven_measured": 3, "proven_dates": 7, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 10, "checked": 10, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": { "settled_picks": 3, "void": 0, "matches": 3, "net_points_hundredths": -14000, "staked_hundredths": 30000, "return_percent": "-46.67", "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval", "period_from": "2026-10-24", "period_to": "2026-11-01", "method_version": "2.2", "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0", "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.0", "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 0 }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "author_price", "picks": 3, "return_main_percent": "-46.67", "return_other_percent": "-46.00", "settled_excluding_void": 3, "net_main_points_hundredths": -14000, "net_other_points_hundredths": -13800, "period_from": "2026-10-24", "period_to": "2026-11-01" }, { "price": "Closing price", "series_code": "closing_live", "picks": 2, "return_main_percent": "-20.00", "return_other_percent": "-17.95", "settled_excluding_void": 2, "net_main_points_hundredths": -4000, "net_other_points_hundredths": -3590, "period_from": "2026-10-25", "period_to": "2026-11-01" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 10, "priced": 3 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 3, "won": 1, "won_percent": "33.3", "implied_percent": "59.7", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Both teams to score", "won": 1, "picks": 3, "implied_percent": "59.7" } ] }, "reviewed_after": { "predictions": 7, "right": 5, "wrong": 2, "other": 0 } }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [ "n-1c83da77f6ca6561293f05ba", 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null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-abb2fd1041d33f92ee685f17", "quote_text": "Pronóstico Crystal Palace vs Newcastle – BTTS al 1,50", "fragment_from": 0, "fragment_to": 53, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://gainblers.com/la/pronosticos/futbol/inglaterra/premier-league/pronostico-crystal-palace-newcastle-25-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "oapostador", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "95184c70f7f43ee95b3cfe3170cf4b06584d2bddc8c7918dd268f4fba1e64f7b", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-23T19:10:36.297Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-24T09:33:01.874Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-e6406779579c", "display_name": "Crystal Palace — Newcastle United", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2026-10-25T14:00:00.000Z", "url": 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"oapostador", "publisher": "gainblers.com", "forecaster": "oapostador", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://gainblers.com/la/pronosticos/futbol/inglaterra/premier-league/pronostico-crystal-palace-newcastle-25-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)" } }, { "record_id": "n-1c83da77f6ca6561293f05ba", "url": "/authors/oapostador/picks/2/#pick-n-1c83da77f6ca6561293f05ba", "match": "Gil Vicente v FC Porto", "match_url": "/football/matches/gil-vicente-vs-fc-porto-2026-10-24/", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T19:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Primeira Liga", "lead_hours": 24.0, "market_code": "both_teams_score", "author_said": 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true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://gainblers.com/ar/pronosticos/futbol/portugal/primeira-liga/pronostico-gil-vicente-porto-24-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "oapostador", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "8df205b1fe286804e03b3f6298659a736ad029a8857b03d075a750805e95a414", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-23T19:30:07.473Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-24T09:32:59.961Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-63275223a897", "display_name": "Gil Vicente — FC Porto", "competition_name": "Primeira Liga", "starts_at": "2026-10-24T19:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/gil-vicente-vs-fc-porto-2026-10-24/", "scoreline": "0-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Both teams to score", "outcome_label": "yes", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.95", "our_snapshot": "2.0500", "our_snapshot_at": 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"series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-11-02T18:12:08.084Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-75654bd1a3ebad7dd098cde5", "quote_text": "Pronóstico Fenerbahce vs Liverpool | Over 2.5 Goles", "fragment_from": 0, "fragment_to": 51, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://gainblers.com/la/pronosticos/futbol/europa/champions-league/pronostico-fenerbahce-liverpool-04-11-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "oapostador", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "1eaf6c175a6c20795da8f2a33dcd46692b134181cd7c61c9790ea21455919ba5", "material_removed": false }, 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null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T18:39:34.060Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": "Gainblers", "correction": null } ], "lead_time": { "contract_version": 1, "threshold_hours": 2.0, "picks": 10, "before_kickoff": 10, "after_kickoff": 0, "at_least_2h": 10, "share_2h_plus": 100.0, "median_hours": 46.0, "min_hours": 15.8, "max_hours": 95.0, "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off." }, "baseline": { "contract_version": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "rule": "recorded-line-1.0", "state": "settled", "picks": 2, "settled_picks_all": 3, "excluded": { "market_without_favourite": 0, "no_recorded_line": 1, "favourite_not_settled": 0 }, "staked_hundredths": 20000, "author_net_hundredths": -20000, "favourite_net_hundredths": -3050, "difference_hundredths": -16950, "author_return_percent": -100.0, "favourite_return_percent": -15.25, "author_hit_rate": 0.0, "favourite_hit_rate": 50.0, "picked_favourite_share": 50.0, "by_market": [ { "market_code": "both_teams_score", "picks": 2, "staked_hundredths": 20000, "author_net_hundredths": -20000, "favourite_net_hundredths": -3050, "author_hits": 0, "favourite_hits": 1, "picked_favourite": 1, "author_return_percent": -100.0, "favourite_return_percent": -15.25 } ], "return_over_time": [ { "kickoff": "2026-10-24T19:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -10000, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 6950 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-25T14:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -20000, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -3050 } ], "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out." }, "pagination": { "per_page": 20, "total": 21, "pages": 3, "page_urls": [ "/authors/oapostador/", "/authors/oapostador/picks/2/", "/authors/oapostador/picks/3/" ], "groups": { "settled": 3, "pending": 0, "excluded": 18 }, "continuation": "by_time", "page": 1, "first": 1, "last": 20, "author_url": "/authors/oapostador/", "current": false }, "title_tag": "oapostador Predictions: Verified Record, Results and Sources", "calculator": null, "person": { "person_id": "o-846d3a10712526f2037cc864", "type_code": "individual", "name_shown": "oapostador", "main_entity": "e-846d3a10712526f2037cc864", "identity": { "status": "not_verified", "is_verified": false, "when": null, "source_list": [] }, "platform_list": [ { "entity_ref": "e-846d3a10712526f2037cc864", "medium": "Gainblers LatAm — pronósticos", "channel": "section pages", "domain": "gainblers.com", "source_info": null, "byline": "oapostador", "url": null, "summary": { "statements": 36, "predictions": 10, "settled_picks": 2, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "return_percent": -20.0, "headline_part": "live", "period_from": "2026-10-14", "period_to": "2026-11-06" } }, { "entity_ref": "e-beeb31b70ff74912a75e3fb2", "medium": "Gainblers Argentina — pronósticos", "channel": "section pages", "domain": "gainblers.com", "source_info": null, "byline": "oapostador", "url": null, "summary": { "statements": 47, "predictions": 11, "settled_picks": 2, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "return_percent": -100.0, "headline_part": "live", "period_from": "2026-10-14", "period_to": "2026-11-05" } }, { "entity_ref": "e-f146bf76ec44999f19050893", "medium": "Gainblers", "channel": "section pages", "domain": "gainblers.com", "source_info": null, "byline": "oapostador", "url": null, "summary": { "statements": 60, "predictions": 5, "settled_picks": 2, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", 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}, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-4bc0a26b10b0b0539a48", "at": "2026-10-27T07:47:02.386Z", "data_version": "2026-10-27.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-26.1", "url": "/authors/oapostador/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-24.5", "return_percent": "-100.00", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "078ddf0f8a896d70001e3edfa42613a24832f0f4e834769396e1abf8c25c08d1", "text": "−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-27.1", "return_percent": "-100.00", "settled_picks": 2, "matches": 2, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "ad25194cff99cd666c13d2c8d488346779fb411341b4873c1f3d7a0684aa32f6", "text": "−200.00 points on 2 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null, "author_type": "Tipster", "data_changes": { "added_later": null, "records_corrected": 0, "last_correction_at": null, "corrections_url": "/corrections/" }, "entity_id": "person:o-846d3a10712526f2037cc864", "source_revision": 63, "related": [ { "url": "/cards/e-846d3a10712526f2037cc864-bank/", "name": "Bankroll card — oapostador", "detail": null, "source_group": "cards" }, { "url": "/cards/e-846d3a10712526f2037cc864-month-following/", "name": "A month following oapostador", "detail": null, "source_group": "cards" }, { "url": "/cards/e-846d3a10712526f2037cc864-said-vs-happened/", "name": "Said → happened — oapostador", "detail": null, "source_group": "cards" } ], "number_sets": [ { "set": "profile.settled", "entity": "e-846d3a10712526f2037cc864", "value": 3, "where": "coverage", "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "profile.predictions", "entity": "e-846d3a10712526f2037cc864", "value": 21, "where": "coverage", "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": 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{ "set": "profile.checked", "entity": "e-846d3a10712526f2037cc864", "value": 10, "where": "trust-level", "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "label": true } ] }