{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "author", "url": "/authors/nsidibe-akpan/", "canonical": "/authors/nsidibe-akpan/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Nsidibe Akpan: Football Prediction Record", "description": "Nsidibe Akpan: 94 statements recorded by Forecast Record. Every statement with its source and the rule applied to it.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Forecast Record has recorded 94 statements by Nsidibe Akpan, including 29 predictions. Of the 29 predictions we hold for Nsidibe Akpan, 26 are linked to matches: 26 were recorded by us before kick-off. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.", "key_number": "94", "data": "2026-11-07", "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot", "brand": "Forecast Record" }, "indexable": false, "noindex_reason": "page_type_rule", "indexing_threshold": { "settled_count": 18, "date_count": 15, "required_settled": 10, "required_dates": 2 }, "data_date": "2026-11-07T17:57:04.518Z", "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z", "content_hash": null, "meaning_hash": "82c52a66e5823adab12e44981b95a724f70a31b37e7af183b502a592b2df57a2", "dependency_group": "author:e-5d01a4baf6513bd239d4efed", "release_id": "20261107-195223", "markup": [ { "type_code": "WebPage", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Organization", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Person", "allowed": true, "cause": null } ], "exports": [ { "type_code": "json", "url": "/authors/nsidibe-akpan/index.json", "bytes": null }, { "type_code": "csv", "url": "/authors/nsidibe-akpan/picks.csv", "bytes": null } ], "modules": { "affiliate": true, "api": true, "compare_yourself": false }, "affiliate_block": { "container": true, "request_url": "/partnery/moi", "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "author" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "entity": { "id": "e-5d01a4baf6513bd239d4efed", "public_name": "Nsidibe Akpan", "tracker_number": 1194, "status": "active", "inactive_since": null, "verified_creator": false, "observation_period": { "since": "2026-09-27", "until": "2026-11-07" }, "platform_list": [ { "medium": "website", "handle": null, "url": null, "link_confirmed": false, "show": true } ], "comment": null }, "headline_number": { "metric": { "metric_id": "p-e-5d01a4baf6513bd239d4efed-roi-market-price-90d-z99", "code_name": "roi_market_price", "display_name": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot", "window_kind": "90d", "window_from": "2026-08-09", "window_to": "2026-11-07", "amount": null, "unit": "percent", "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "no pick in this window has been settled", "n_bets": 0, "n_events": 0, "n_void": null, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "ci_method": "not_estimated", "price_source": "market_price", "coverage_percent": null, "breakdown": [], "methodology_version": "2.2", "data_date": "2026-11-07T17:57:04.518Z", "enough_for_ranking": false, "series_uid": null, "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 0 settled picks across 0 matches", "average_odds": null, "odds_from_author": null, "odds_from_snapshot": null }, "metrics": [], "history": [], "simulation": { "series_uid": "sr-15b0e24dd0bdbcbd9a4a8698", "bankroll_hundredths": 942523, 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"profit_hundredths": 6614, "outcome_id": "ish-48248d8d0f9d717d33041338" }, { "at": "2026-10-10T23:35:57.645Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1004041, "profit_hundredths": 4041, "outcome_id": "ish-a6315c5788245be42c20a7de" }, { "at": "2026-10-15T21:06:08.507Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 994041, "profit_hundredths": -5959, "outcome_id": "ish-9856f02f8e237571fca8ce91" }, { "at": "2026-10-18T20:30:50.832Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 984041, "profit_hundredths": -15959, "outcome_id": "ish-f275245fcb9a05c29f4233ba" }, { "at": "2026-10-22T19:01:11.455Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 974041, "profit_hundredths": -25959, "outcome_id": "ish-d928ff18c0bd92af8da23280" }, { "at": "2026-10-22T19:30:15.164Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 979041, "profit_hundredths": -20959, "outcome_id": "ish-81fe6f33e4672bf78d0c99ae" }, { "at": "2026-10-23T20:09:54.453Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 984923, "profit_hundredths": -15077, "outcome_id": "ish-094eadc34bfae78a357fdcf6" }, { "at": "2026-10-26T12:50:44.558Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 974923, "profit_hundredths": -25077, "outcome_id": "ish-d7de911c593f1e8a95e94de4" }, { "at": "2026-10-26T12:50:46.283Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 964923, "profit_hundredths": -35077, "outcome_id": "ish-fa204ddd676d693024ad0794" }, { "at": "2026-10-27T22:18:32.522Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 968923, "profit_hundredths": -31077, "outcome_id": "ish-8a34e0ffcb9f4bdfb7f3d345" }, { "at": "2026-10-27T22:18:32.572Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 958923, "profit_hundredths": -41077, "outcome_id": "ish-7977d05545fe56bb56138140" }, { "at": "2026-10-31T20:11:19.765Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 959523, "profit_hundredths": -40477, "outcome_id": "ish-f8b36c6590da96c90b0340c7" }, { "at": "2026-11-01T18:29:17.281Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 949523, "profit_hundredths": -50477, "outcome_id": "ish-dab77a8ebdc6df665882459b" }, { "at": "2026-11-03T22:07:51.563Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 939523, "profit_hundredths": -60477, "outcome_id": "ish-c2ceeecc091d4004da3c5fa9" }, { "at": "2026-11-05T22:10:15.354Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 942523, "profit_hundredths": -57477, "outcome_id": "ish-efc8d5a8a85d177316b86004" } ], "top_ups": [], "rule": "When the balance falls below 100 points and no bets are open, 10000 points are added; the remaining balance is kept. While bets are open we wait for settlement.", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score" }, "simulations": [], "completeness": { "detected": 94, "recognised": 29, "accepted": 3, "executed": 0, "calculated": 0, "gaps": [ { "cause": "outside the method", "figure": 21 }, { "cause": "other reading", "figure": 5 }, { "cause": "no_quote", "figure": 2 }, { "cause": "not_supported", "figure": 1 } ] }, "record_counts": { "dictionary_version": "1", "statements": 94, "of_them_restored": 0, "not_predictions": { "opinions": 18, "not_about_a_match": 47, "unclassified": 0 }, "predictions": 29, "predictions_restored": 0, "matches": 25, "admitted": 3, "qualifying_picks": 0, "qualifying_picks_restored": 0, "settled_picks": 0, "settled_picks_restored": 0, "series_list": [ { "code_name": "derived_series", "derived": true, "is_restored": false, "qualifying_picks": 22, "settled_picks": 18, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 4, "matches": 18, "operations_settled": 18, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "2.2" ], "display_name": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score" } ], "gaps": [ { "code_name": "not_admitted", "cause": "outside the method", "figure": 21 }, { "code_name": "ambiguous", "cause": "other reading", "figure": 5 }, { "code_name": "no_quote", "cause": "no_quote", "figure": 2 }, { "code_name": "not_supported", "cause": "not_supported", "figure": 1 } ], "duplicates": 1, "junk": { "service": 3 }, "dictionary_url": "/methodology/#words" }, "evidence_items": [ { "observation_id": "n-fcd0951a5af23012e3f36521", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-fcd0951a5af23012e3f36521", "quote_text": "Utrecht remain without Victor Jensen, Alonzo Engwanda, Kevin Paredes, Miliano Jonathans and Noah Ohio", "fragment_from": 4272, "fragment_to": 4373, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/fc-utrecht/preview/utrecht-vs-nijmegen-prediction-team-news-lineups_608648.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Nsidibe Akpan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "f5d81e989122f433ed265654c3c54d8fc68cf87fffee415565097f616d262ee6", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-06T23:19:19.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T04:10:44.900Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-06T23:19:19.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-06T23:19:19.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T04:10:44.900Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-05b3200a63ba15f81c98c724", "url": "/authors/nsidibe-akpan/picks/3/#pick-n-05b3200a63ba15f81c98c724", "quote_text": "We say: FC Utrecht 2-1 NEC", "fragment_from": 5951, "fragment_to": 5977, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/fc-utrecht/preview/utrecht-vs-nijmegen-prediction-team-news-lineups_608648.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Nsidibe Akpan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "f5d81e989122f433ed265654c3c54d8fc68cf87fffee415565097f616d262ee6", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-06T23:19:19.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T04:10:44.900Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-d5ed0f97553d", "display_name": "FC Utrecht — NEC Nijmegen", "competition_name": "Eredivisie", "starts_at": "2026-11-08T19:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/fc-utrecht-vs-nec-nijmegen-2026-11-08/", "scoreline": null, "condition": "scheduled" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "FC Utrecht 2-1 NEC Nijmegen", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, 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"corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Nsidibe Akpan", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Nsidibe Akpan", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/fc-utrecht/preview/utrecht-vs-nijmegen-prediction-team-news-lineups_608648.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-b4c636f1b330e767264628e5", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-b4c636f1b330e767264628e5", "quote_text": "Groningen will be without forward Ryan Metu and midfielder Travis Hernes, who was operated on this week", "fragment_from": 4705, "fragment_to": 4808, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/az/preview/az-vs-groningen-prediction-team-news-lineups_608647.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Nsidibe Akpan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "c1555a570ade1ceea5091eabab81508d9da60e212afa5a0036dd6f7c4c1f4d93", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-06T23:38:53.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T04:10:41.411Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-06T23:38:53.000Z", "fragment_basis": 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"Lewis Schouten is the main doubt after leaving the Juventus game with a hamstring injury", "fragment_from": 3927, "fragment_to": 4015, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/az/preview/az-vs-groningen-prediction-team-news-lineups_608647.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Nsidibe Akpan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "c1555a570ade1ceea5091eabab81508d9da60e212afa5a0036dd6f7c4c1f4d93", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-06T23:38:53.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T04:10:41.411Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, 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"observation_id": "n-8d2f1c117370942674de61e7", "url": "/authors/nsidibe-akpan/picks/3/#pick-n-8d2f1c117370942674de61e7", "quote_text": "We say: AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Groningen", "fragment_from": 5702, "fragment_to": 5734, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/az/preview/az-vs-groningen-prediction-team-news-lineups_608647.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Nsidibe Akpan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "c1555a570ade1ceea5091eabab81508d9da60e212afa5a0036dd6f7c4c1f4d93", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-06T23:38:53.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T04:10:41.411Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "ambiguous", "event": { "event_id": "s-8505c177e560", "display_name": "AZ Alkmaar — FC Groningen", "competition_name": "Eredivisie", "starts_at": "2026-11-08T15:45:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/az-alkmaar-vs-fc-groningen-2026-11-08/", "scoreline": null, "condition": "scheduled" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "AZ Alkmaar 2-1 FC Groningen", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "unknown", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-06T23:38:53.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-06T23:38:53.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T04:10:41.411Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "AZ Alkmaar 2-1 FC Groningen", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "2-1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: AZ Alkmaar 2-1 FC Groningen" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "unknown", "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "kick-off 8 November 2026, 15:45 UTC", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Pending: kick-off 8 November 2026, 15:45 UTC." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "37dc3858810e529294b7b083c75b023f1e6a8574b06f6fc4f0502b8eb5854c51", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "AZ Alkmaar", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Nsidibe Akpan", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Nsidibe Akpan", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/az/preview/az-vs-groningen-prediction-team-news-lineups_608647.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-e15b790826819e8c3daf0b83", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-e15b790826819e8c3daf0b83", "quote_text": "we expect PSV to score first and pull clear in their last league match before the international break.", "fragment_from": 5596, "fragment_to": 5698, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/cambuur/preview/cambuur-vs-psv-prediction-team-news-lineups_608646.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Nsidibe Akpan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "e70889ecf2e0903104bd627bc5b3b517a5cdab4031567536d703018ac362eb80", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-06T22:39:46.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T23:11:50.883Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "opinion", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-06T22:39:46.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-06T22:39:46.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T23:11:50.883Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-620461ccff4d2dd48755c94e", "url": "/authors/nsidibe-akpan/picks/3/#pick-n-620461ccff4d2dd48755c94e", "quote_text": "We say: Cambuur 1-3 PSV Eindhoven", "fragment_from": 5118, "fragment_to": 5151, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/cambuur/preview/cambuur-vs-psv-prediction-team-news-lineups_608646.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Nsidibe Akpan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "e70889ecf2e0903104bd627bc5b3b517a5cdab4031567536d703018ac362eb80", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-06T22:39:46.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T23:11:50.883Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "ambiguous", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-06T22:39:46.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-06T22:39:46.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T23:11:50.883Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-47419fb7018608b6f64d24cb", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-47419fb7018608b6f64d24cb", "quote_text": "Roman Burki returned to training on Tuesday, November 3 after the concussion he suffered in the Open Cup", "fragment_from": 4235, "fragment_to": 4339, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/houston-dynamo/preview/houston-vs-st-louis-city-prediction-team-news-lineups_608542.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Nsidibe Akpan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "09dd3382401095f50d8a5fa1ee3d6961705b78d7f30c83017bf28f12235efb46", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-06T00:02:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T03:10:09.281Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-06T00:02:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-06T00:02:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T03:10:09.281Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-cca0dae1110830fb0df28383", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-cca0dae1110830fb0df28383", "quote_text": "Yoann Damet blames fatigue after seven matches in 20 days", "fragment_from": 2558, "fragment_to": 2615, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/houston-dynamo/preview/houston-vs-st-louis-city-prediction-team-news-lineups_608542.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Nsidibe Akpan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "09dd3382401095f50d8a5fa1ee3d6961705b78d7f30c83017bf28f12235efb46", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-06T00:02:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T03:10:09.281Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-06T00:02:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-06T00:02:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T03:10:09.281Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-22750b6b40453aedc3b30fa2", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-22750b6b40453aedc3b30fa2", "quote_text": "Both clubs sit on 51 points in the MLS table, so Houston must win to guarantee home-field advantage", "fragment_from": 465, "fragment_to": 564, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/houston-dynamo/preview/houston-vs-st-louis-city-prediction-team-news-lineups_608542.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Nsidibe Akpan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "09dd3382401095f50d8a5fa1ee3d6961705b78d7f30c83017bf28f12235efb46", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-06T00:02:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T03:10:09.281Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-06T00:02:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-06T00:02:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T03:10:09.281Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-be4b69ab01bf319a4b4bf467", "url": "/authors/nsidibe-akpan/picks/3/#pick-n-be4b69ab01bf319a4b4bf467", "quote_text": "We say: Houston Dynamo 1-0 St Louis City", "fragment_from": 5134, "fragment_to": 5174, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/houston-dynamo/preview/houston-vs-st-louis-city-prediction-team-news-lineups_608542.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Nsidibe Akpan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "09dd3382401095f50d8a5fa1ee3d6961705b78d7f30c83017bf28f12235efb46", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-06T00:02:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T03:10:09.281Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-4b197feb06b4", "display_name": "Houston Dynamo — St.Louis City", "competition_name": "MLS", "starts_at": "2026-11-08T00:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/houston-dynamo-vs-st-louis-city-2026-11-08/", "scoreline": null, "condition": "scheduled" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "Houston Dynamo 1-0 St.Louis City", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "unknown", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-06T00:02:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-06T00:02:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T03:10:09.281Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Houston Dynamo 1-0 St.Louis City", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "1-0", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Houston Dynamo 1-0 St.Louis City" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "unknown", "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "kick-off 8 November 2026, 00:00 UTC", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Pending: kick-off 8 November 2026, 00:00 UTC." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "038f4e4ed7bbeec2cd5733a9963c36b96682b4aca479bd3a64fc5c70897cf5f8", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Houston Dynamo", "decimal_odds": "2.4900", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-11-06T03:14:04.835Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Nsidibe Akpan", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Nsidibe Akpan", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The 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"rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Oxford United 1-1 Stockport County", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "1-1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Oxford United 1-1 Stockport County" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Oxford United 1-0 Stockport County." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "dc688e3e225e42110071152812ccbe87beddaef6fb0b136c314f8dc6964dd9e0", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": 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null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-fdca4bb260d51bde067f2917", "url": "/authors/nsidibe-akpan/picks/2/#pick-n-fdca4bb260d51bde067f2917", "quote_text": "We say: Leicester City 2-1 Wigan Athletic", "fragment_from": 4768, "fragment_to": 4809, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/leicester-city/preview/leicester-vs-wigan-prediction-team-news-lineups_607702.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Nsidibe Akpan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "bcc8ce61f58a5cf1013b162501243605ed25ebb47cf5d9508aa3659070b319f2", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-25T22:39:39.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-25T23:10:04.550Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-06a69e067710", "display_name": "Leicester City — Wigan Athletic", "competition_name": 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null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Leicester City 2-1 Wigan Athletic", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "2-1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Leicester City 2-1 Wigan Athletic" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "3-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Leicester City 3-0 Wigan Athletic." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "d0b2096c53b066a3ff990c7c9ce3d436f8d3547d7eb1b6072a8e6b48e92803c4", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Leicester City", "decimal_odds": "1.4000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 4000, "executed_at": "2026-10-27T10:15:47.541Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Nsidibe Akpan", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Nsidibe Akpan", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/leicester-city/preview/leicester-vs-wigan-prediction-team-news-lineups_607702.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": 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"late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "AZ Alkmaar 2-1 FC Twente", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "2-1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: AZ Alkmaar 2-1 FC Twente" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was AZ Alkmaar 0-2 FC Twente." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "becce1758e99bc70e21a38bbd85578d0b570970156ff374f98ae0018620d2c2d", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "AZ Alkmaar", "decimal_odds": "2.1900", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", 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null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null } ], "excluded_from_feed": { "ads": 0, "service": 3, "ruleset_version": "3" }, "standing": { "titles": [ { "code_name": "CS-10", "display_name": "Exact score 3–1 · FC Twente v Pafos · 5 Nov 2026", "received_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "window_kind": "event", "cause": null, "type_code": null, "bucket_code": "all", "bucket": "Exact score called", "measure": null, "place": null, "out_of": null, "n_bets": 1, "n_events": null, "amount": null, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "ci_level": null, "fact": "Exact score 3–1 · FC Twente v Pafos · 5 Nov 2026", "rationale": "Correct score 3–1 called before the match. Data: live record. Term: a dated fact.", "provenance": "live", "rules_version": "catalog-1", "methodology_version": "catalog-1", "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "valid_until": null, "anchor_id": "standing-cs-10-all-event", "alt": "Nsidibe Akpan · Exact score 3–1 · FC Twente v Pafos · 5 Nov 2026 · Tracked by Forecast Record", "csv_url": null, "embed": "\"Nsidibe", "neighbours": [], "window_words": "On show until 3 Feb 2027", "measure_words": null, "amount_words": null, "interval_words": null, "title_tier": "dated_record", "status": "active", "status_reason": null, "event_at": "2026-11-05", "evidence_through": "2026-11-05", "earned_at": "2026-11-05", "published_at": "2026-11-06", "visible_until": "2027-02-03", "badge_label": "Exact score 3–1 · 5 Nov", "scope_words": null, "title_id": "zk-e4433a55abbed4ed277d", "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-6fee0d9c484a45abc558e7ab", "data": "2026-11-05", "match": "FC Twente v Pafos", "said_text": "Correct score: FC Twente 3-1 Pafos", "outcome_label": "score right · result right", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": null, "url": "/authors/nsidibe-akpan/picks/3/#pick-n-6fee0d9c484a45abc558e7ab" } ], "evidence_total": 1, "badge": { "variants": [ { "size": "l", "theme": "light", "width": 1047, "height": 40, "url": "/b/e-5d01a4baf6513bd239d4efed/cs-10-all-event-l-light.svg" }, { "size": "l", "theme": "dark", "width": 1047, "height": 40, "url": "/b/e-5d01a4baf6513bd239d4efed/cs-10-all-event-l-dark.svg" }, { "size": "m", "theme": "light", "width": 770, "height": 28, "url": "/b/e-5d01a4baf6513bd239d4efed/cs-10-all-event-m-light.svg" }, { "size": "m", "theme": "dark", "width": 770, "height": 28, "url": "/b/e-5d01a4baf6513bd239d4efed/cs-10-all-event-m-dark.svg" }, { "size": "s", "theme": "light", "width": 601, "height": 20, "url": "/b/e-5d01a4baf6513bd239d4efed/cs-10-all-event-s-light.svg" }, { "size": "s", "theme": "dark", "width": 601, "height": 20, "url": "/b/e-5d01a4baf6513bd239d4efed/cs-10-all-event-s-dark.svg" } ], "card_url": "/b/e-5d01a4baf6513bd239d4efed/cs-10-all-event-card.svg" }, "profile_anchor": "title-e4433a55abbe", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 0, "unpriced": 1, "probability": null, "one_in": null, "words": "No recorded prices for these picks, so the chance cannot be measured." }, "embed_anchor": "title-exact-score-called" } ], "publication_mode": "top20", "empty_reason": null, "rules_version": "catalog-1", "insufficient": [], "badges_on_page": 0, "header_titles": [ { "title_id": "zk-e4433a55abbed4ed277d", "code_name": "CS-10", "title_tier": "dated_record", "badge_label": "Exact score 3–1 · 5 Nov", "body": "Exact score 3–1 · FC Twente v Pafos · 5 Nov 2026", "tier": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-e4433a55abbe", "event_at": "2026-11-05", "url": "/titles/cs-10-exact-score-called/" } ], "record_origin": [], "recent_record": [ { "code_name": "CS-10", "body": "Exact score 3–1 · FC Twente v Pafos · 5 Nov 2026", "event_at": "2026-11-05", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-e4433a55abbe" } ], "record_details": [], "history": [] }, "retro": null, "late": null, "price_vs_market": null, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "sportsmole.co.uk", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/fc-utrecht/preview/utrecht-vs-nijmegen-prediction-team-news-lineups_608648.html" }, "observed_from": "2026-09-27", "observed_to": "2026-11-07", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "none", "series_code": null, "series": null, "restored": false, "headline_kind": null, "headline_part": null, "settled_picks": 0, "matches": 0, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": null, "staked_hundredths": null, "return_percent": null, "stake_per_pick_hundredths": null, "period_from": null, "period_to": null, "status": "unknown", "method_version": null, "short_history": true, "reason": "23 predictions are a score forecast without a price; 4 predictions are unstaked; 1 prediction is in other markets and 1 prediction for other reasons", "reasons": [ { "code": "score_without_price", "predictions": 23, "words": "score forecast without a price" }, { "code": "ambiguous", "predictions": 4, "words": "unstaked" }, { "code": "not_supported", "predictions": 1, "words": "other market" }, { "code": "not_checked", "predictions": 1, "words": "unstaked" } ], "sentence": "Forecast Record has recorded 94 statements by Nsidibe Akpan, including 29 predictions. Of the 29 predictions we hold for Nsidibe Akpan, 26 are linked to matches: 26 were recorded by us before kick-off. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Statements", "value": "94", "anchor": "/methodology/#statement", "note": null }, { "label": "Predictions", "value": "29", "anchor": "/methodology/#prediction", "note": null } ], "limitations": [ "This page combines Nsidibe Akpan across 2 platforms. The record above counts each prediction once, even when the same pick (match, market and selection) appeared on more than one platform; each platform keeps its own total under “Where Nsidibe Akpan publishes”." ], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": null, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record has recorded 94 statements by Nsidibe Akpan, including 29 predictions. Of the 29 predictions we hold for Nsidibe Akpan, 26 are linked to matches: 26 were recorded by us before kick-off. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/nsidibe-akpan/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": null }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 29, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 3, "proven_predictions": 26, "proven_checked": 20, "proven_measured": 18, "proven_dates": 15, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 26, "checked": 20, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 18, "exact_hits": 1, "exact_rate": 5.6, "outcome_checked": 18, "outcome_hits": 9, "outcome_rate": 50.0, "baseline_matches": 15, "baseline_distinct_matches": 15, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 7, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 46.7, "favourite_hits": 8, "favourite_rate": 53.3, "price_basis": "our pre-match snapshot", "pending": 5, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [ "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.", "1 of 18 score forecasts named the exact score (5.6%).", "The result implied by the named score was right in 7 of 15 matches; the market favourite was right in 8 of the same 15 matches.", "A pre-match market favourite is known for 15 of 18 forecasts; the comparison uses only those.", "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest price in our own odds snapshot taken before kick-off.", "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win)." ] }, "eligible": { "checked": 20, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null, "reviewed_after": { "predictions": 1, "right": 0, "wrong": 1, "other": 0 } }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [], "caption": "Recorded statements and predictions · as of 7 November 2026", "record_from": "2026-09-27", "record_to": "2026-11-07" }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-05b3200a63ba15f81c98c724", "url": "/authors/nsidibe-akpan/picks/3/#pick-n-05b3200a63ba15f81c98c724", "match": "FC Utrecht v NEC Nijmegen", "match_url": "/football/matches/fc-utrecht-vs-nec-nijmegen-2026-11-08/", "kickoff": "2026-11-08T19:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Eredivisie", "lead_hours": 38.8, "market_code": "correct_score_market", "author_said": "Correct score: FC Utrecht 2-1 NEC Nijmegen", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score", "reason_code": "score_without_price", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-11-06T23:19:19.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-07T04:10:44.900Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-05b3200a63ba15f81c98c724", "quote_text": "We say: FC Utrecht 2-1 NEC", "fragment_from": 5951, "fragment_to": 5977, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/fc-utrecht/preview/utrecht-vs-nijmegen-prediction-team-news-lineups_608648.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Nsidibe Akpan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "f5d81e989122f433ed265654c3c54d8fc68cf87fffee415565097f616d262ee6", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-06T23:19:19.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T04:10:44.900Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-d5ed0f97553d", "display_name": "FC Utrecht — NEC Nijmegen", "competition_name": "Eredivisie", "starts_at": "2026-11-08T19:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/fc-utrecht-vs-nec-nijmegen-2026-11-08/", "scoreline": null, "condition": "scheduled" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "FC Utrecht 2-1 NEC Nijmegen", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "unknown", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-06T23:19:19.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-06T23:19:19.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T04:10:44.900Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "FC Utrecht 2-1 NEC Nijmegen", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "2-1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: FC Utrecht 2-1 NEC Nijmegen" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "unknown", "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "kick-off 8 November 2026, 19:00 UTC", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Pending: kick-off 8 November 2026, 19:00 UTC." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "1fcecf1c8099e1ab8b41cfad7324d6f867ff8fdeff56c21a657b3a614931eb7b", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "FC Utrecht", "decimal_odds": "2.4000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T05:24:12.164Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Nsidibe Akpan", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Nsidibe Akpan", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/fc-utrecht/preview/utrecht-vs-nijmegen-prediction-team-news-lineups_608648.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "FC Utrecht 2-1 NEC Nijmegen" } }, { "record_id": "n-8d2f1c117370942674de61e7", "url": "/authors/nsidibe-akpan/picks/3/#pick-n-8d2f1c117370942674de61e7", "match": "AZ Alkmaar v FC Groningen", "match_url": "/football/matches/az-alkmaar-vs-fc-groningen-2026-11-08/", "kickoff": "2026-11-08T15:45:00.000Z", "competition": "Eredivisie", "lead_hours": 35.6, "market_code": "correct_score_market", "author_said": "Correct score: AZ Alkmaar 2-1 FC Groningen", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-11-06T23:38:53.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-07T04:10:41.411Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-8d2f1c117370942674de61e7", "quote_text": "We say: AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Groningen", "fragment_from": 5702, "fragment_to": 5734, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/az/preview/az-vs-groningen-prediction-team-news-lineups_608647.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Nsidibe Akpan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "c1555a570ade1ceea5091eabab81508d9da60e212afa5a0036dd6f7c4c1f4d93", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-06T23:38:53.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T04:10:41.411Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "ambiguous", "event": { "event_id": "s-8505c177e560", "display_name": "AZ Alkmaar — FC Groningen", "competition_name": "Eredivisie", "starts_at": "2026-11-08T15:45:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/az-alkmaar-vs-fc-groningen-2026-11-08/", "scoreline": null, "condition": "scheduled" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "AZ Alkmaar 2-1 FC Groningen", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "unknown", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-06T23:38:53.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-06T23:38:53.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T04:10:41.411Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "AZ Alkmaar 2-1 FC Groningen", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "2-1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: AZ Alkmaar 2-1 FC Groningen" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "unknown", "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "kick-off 8 November 2026, 15:45 UTC", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Pending: kick-off 8 November 2026, 15:45 UTC." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": 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itself: lost (predicted 2-0, final score 2-1)", "cause": "The card of this pick took its price, stake and series from the separate Forecast Record simulation “Japan” (a match-result bet derived from the predicted score), not from the prediction itself. 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it now uses the publication date given by the source.", "version": 3, "url": "/corrections/#c-5d27a59b27fd", "text": "Corrected on 28 September 2026: The summary dated the prediction by the day Forecast Record first recorded it; it now uses the publication date given by the source." }, "choice_words": "Japan 2-0 Venezuela" } }, { "record_id": "n-620461ccff4d2dd48755c94e", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "We say: Cambuur 1-3 PSV Eindhoven", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-11-06T22:39:46.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T23:11:50.883Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "platform": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-630f911b3eb1da5e8ebab2f9", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "We say: SBV Excelsior 1-2 Go Ahead Eagles", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-11-06T00:22:29.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T01:10:26.218Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; 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