{
 "schema_name": "page",
 "schema_version": "2.0",
 "page_type": "history",
 "url": "/authors/nathan-egerton/picks/5/",
 "canonical": "/authors/nathan-egerton/picks/5/",
 "language": "en",
 "hreflang": [],
 "translations": [],
 "heading": "Nathan Egerton — football predictions, page 5 of 10",
 "description": "Predictions 61–80 of 180 by Nathan Egerton, with outcomes in words and links to the evidence.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Page 5 of 10 of the predictions by Nathan Egerton recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 61–80 of 180 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of 7 November 2026. Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.",
  "key_number": "180",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
 "indexable": false,
 "noindex_reason": "technical",
 "indexing_threshold": {
  "settled_count": 0,
  "date_count": 0,
  "required_settled": 0,
  "required_dates": 0
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T17:50:40.989Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "cfcb31d28d01eb5ca5779ff3b9f214194c13932b6622b60748bc9dd91b0a9928",
 "dependency_group": "author:e-22aba9ac39912cdd0c97214d",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
  {
   "type_code": "WebPage",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "Organization",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  }
 ],
 "exports": [
  {
   "type_code": "json",
   "url": "/authors/nathan-egerton/picks/5/index.json",
   "bytes": null
  }
 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": false,
  "api": true,
  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": null,
 "restrictions": {
  "name_withdrawn": false,
  "tracker_number": null,
  "withdrawn_quotes": [],
  "removed_at": null,
  "cause": null,
  "suspended_records": [],
  "withdrawal_log_number": 0
 },
 "page_links": {
  "methodology": "/methodology/",
  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
 },
 "entity": {
  "id": "e-22aba9ac39912cdd0c97214d",
  "public_name": "Nathan Egerton",
  "tracker_number": 1553,
  "status": "active",
  "inactive_since": null,
  "verified_creator": false,
  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-09-28",
   "until": "2026-11-07"
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "medium": "website",
    "handle": null,
    "url": null,
    "link_confirmed": false,
    "show": true
   }
  ],
  "comment": null
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-efbfe19e7cdbc875bca8fd58",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "He is also 1/1 to register an assist.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-08T13:51:23.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T21:17:12.529Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-3ddda8e351b3f7a36a1172f7",
   "url": "/authors/nathan-egerton/picks/5/#pick-n-3ddda8e351b3f7a36a1172f7",
   "match": "SSC Napoli v Arsenal",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/ssc-napoli-vs-arsenal-2026-09-09/",
   "kickoff": "2026-09-09T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -458.3,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score_and_result",
   "author_said": "Match result and both teams to score: Arsenal win, both teams to score: yes at 3.8",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-1",
   "reason": "graded against the result: wrong",
   "reason_code": "not_checked",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-08T10:51:46.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T21:17:12.816Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us after kick-off; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-3ddda8e351b3f7a36a1172f7",
    "quote_text": "That leads us to back an Arsenal win and Both Teams to Score at 14/5.",
    "fragment_from": 4256,
    "fragment_to": 4325,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.football365.com/match-preview/napoli-v-arsenal-prediction-preview",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Nathan Egerton",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "5137d7749e68970c5b69321e5fcc666b991207a6cbc216bc5df1ff62bb8e2612",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-09-08T10:51:46.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T21:17:12.816Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "not_checked",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-b87fb733afb8",
     "display_name": "SSC Napoli — Arsenal",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2026-09-09T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/ssc-napoli-vs-arsenal-2026-09-09/",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "Arsenal win, both teams to score: yes",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "3.8",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-09-08T10:51:46.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-09-08T10:51:46.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T21:17:12.816Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "recorded_after_kickoff",
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us after kick-off; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": {
     "publication_at": "2026-09-08T12:04:06.000Z",
     "proof": "web_archive",
     "proof_words": "an independent web archive copy taken before kick-off",
     "methodology_version": "late-1.0",
     "row_list": [
      {
       "display_name": "Market price at the evidenced time of publication",
       "decimal_odds": null,
       "price_known": false,
       "result": null,
       "net_profit_hundredths": null,
       "price_at_time": true
      },
      {
       "display_name": "Author's own stated price",
       "decimal_odds": "3.8000",
       "price_known": true,
       "result": "loss",
       "net_profit_hundredths": -10000,
       "price_at_time": false
      },
      {
       "display_name": "Closing price (not part of this series)",
       "decimal_odds": null,
       "price_known": false,
       "result": null,
       "net_profit_hundredths": null,
       "price_at_time": false
      }
     ]
    },
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
     "choice": "Arsenal win, both teams to score: yes",
     "author_odds": "3.8",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score_and_result",
     "choice_key": "2-yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Match result and both teams to score: Arsenal win, both teams to score: yes at 3.8"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was SSC Napoli 0-1 Arsenal."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "79a2341e43f0486add57b1cec196e48ff7ef092262269492c2bc8d139691be9e",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
      "choice": "Arsenal win, both teams to score: yes",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "3f993f80189ac2b52ab4c5d5afb9d21de5041373b80985826311b7b4eda78bb3",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score",
      "choice": "Arsenal win, both teams to score: yes",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Nathan Egerton",
     "publisher": "football365.com",
     "forecaster": "Nathan Egerton",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.football365.com/match-preview/napoli-v-arsenal-prediction-preview",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Arsenal win, both teams to score: yes"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-9a2e91d99d46412c8d2a2447",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "The Germany international has also started this season in strong form and is 2/1 to score against Napoli.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-08T10:51:46.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T21:17:12.816Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-db5bdcb84d51ef1caf3c4118",
   "url": "/authors/nathan-egerton/picks/5/#pick-n-db5bdcb84d51ef1caf3c4118",
   "match": "SSC Napoli v Arsenal",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/ssc-napoli-vs-arsenal-2026-09-09/",
   "kickoff": "2026-09-09T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -458.3,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: SSC Napoli 1-2 Arsenal at 8.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "0-1",
   "reason": "graded against the result: wrong",
   "reason_code": "not_checked",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-08T10:51:46.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T21:17:12.816Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us after kick-off; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-db5bdcb84d51ef1caf3c4118",
    "quote_text": "A 2-1 Arsenal victory is available at 15/2.",
    "fragment_from": 4326,
    "fragment_to": 4369,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.football365.com/match-preview/napoli-v-arsenal-prediction-preview",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Nathan Egerton",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "5137d7749e68970c5b69321e5fcc666b991207a6cbc216bc5df1ff62bb8e2612",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-09-08T10:51:46.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T21:17:12.816Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "not_checked",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-b87fb733afb8",
     "display_name": "SSC Napoli — Arsenal",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2026-09-09T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/ssc-napoli-vs-arsenal-2026-09-09/",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "SSC Napoli 1-2 Arsenal",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "8.5",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-09-08T10:51:46.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-09-08T10:51:46.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T21:17:12.816Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "recorded_after_kickoff",
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us after kick-off; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": {
     "publication_at": "2026-09-08T12:04:06.000Z",
     "proof": "web_archive",
     "proof_words": "an independent web archive copy taken before kick-off",
     "methodology_version": "late-1.0",
     "row_list": [
      {
       "display_name": "Market price at the evidenced time of publication",
       "decimal_odds": null,
       "price_known": false,
       "result": null,
       "net_profit_hundredths": null,
       "price_at_time": true
      },
      {
       "display_name": "Author's own stated price",
       "decimal_odds": "8.5000",
       "price_known": true,
       "result": "loss",
       "net_profit_hundredths": -10000,
       "price_at_time": false
      },
      {
       "display_name": "Closing price (not part of this series)",
       "decimal_odds": null,
       "price_known": false,
       "result": null,
       "net_profit_hundredths": null,
       "price_at_time": false
      }
     ]
    },
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "SSC Napoli 1-2 Arsenal",
     "author_odds": "8.5",
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "1-2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: SSC Napoli 1-2 Arsenal at 8.5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was SSC Napoli 0-1 Arsenal."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "2d0a5e726b42ba830468b3102e11362cedd83445128373b6aafa16614cb6f450",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Correct score",
      "choice": "SSC Napoli 1-2 Arsenal",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "136f97bdcbb3d5d566c1fddcbbb49a33c2560639b335e627fb8b7cfa029d42e2",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Correct score",
      "choice": "SSC Napoli 1-2 Arsenal",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Nathan Egerton",
     "publisher": "football365.com",
     "forecaster": "Nathan Egerton",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.football365.com/match-preview/napoli-v-arsenal-prediction-preview",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "SSC Napoli 1-2 Arsenal"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-f5ee7a36f75977c2717d0b1b",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "The 35-year-old is still capable of producing moments of magic and is 23/10 to score or assist against the Gunners.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-08T10:51:46.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T21:17:12.816Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-037ab26e431ec8a5078a7d11",
   "url": "/authors/nathan-egerton/picks/5/#pick-n-037ab26e431ec8a5078a7d11",
   "match": "Hull City v Everton",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/hull-city-vs-everton-2026-10-11/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 26.4,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "2-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 23500,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "3.3500",
   "published_at": "2026-10-10T09:41:04.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-10T10:34:18.443Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "2",
    "price": "2.1000",
    "result": "Lost",
    "points_hundredths": -10000,
    "picked_favourite": false
   },
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-037ab26e431ec8a5078a7d11",
    "quote_text": "\"The Toffees are yet to lose in 2026/27, and we're backing a draw at the MKM Stadium\"",
    "fragment_from": 4777,
    "fragment_to": 4862,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.football365.com/match-preview/hull-city-v-everton-prediction-preview",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Nathan Egerton",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "357ba2e119c0578464421dc537ec38fa79e2971a50d0c71e5f28cd0a8a60af60",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-10T09:41:04.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-10T10:34:18.443Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-10-10T23:10:43.617Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-e65525f23524",
     "display_name": "Hull City — Everton",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/hull-city-vs-everton-2026-10-11/",
     "scoreline": "2-2",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "draw",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": "3.3500",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-10T10:29:23.321Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 23500,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-10T09:41:04.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-10T09:41:04.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-10T10:34:18.443Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "draw",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "X",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: draw"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "2-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Hull City 2-2 Everton."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "22a1946a2cbdb20a9c6f8397b998fee239bb47740a40de8b0dcafb3802362b4b",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": "3.3500",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 23500,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-10T23:10:43.617Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Nathan Egerton",
     "publisher": "football365.com",
     "forecaster": "Nathan Egerton",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.football365.com/match-preview/hull-city-v-everton-prediction-preview",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "a draw"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-4f4f633af62c1d12a0bae9b5",
   "url": "/authors/nathan-egerton/picks/5/#pick-n-4f4f633af62c1d12a0bae9b5",
   "match": "Hull City v Everton",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/hull-city-vs-everton-2026-10-11/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 26.4,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Hull City 1-1 Everton at 7",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "2-2",
   "reason": "graded against the result: wrong",
   "reason_code": "not_checked",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-10T09:41:04.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-10T10:34:18.443Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-4f4f633af62c1d12a0bae9b5",
    "quote_text": "A 1-1 draw is available at 6/1.",
    "fragment_from": 4140,
    "fragment_to": 4171,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.football365.com/match-preview/hull-city-v-everton-prediction-preview",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Nathan Egerton",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "357ba2e119c0578464421dc537ec38fa79e2971a50d0c71e5f28cd0a8a60af60",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-10T09:41:04.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-10T10:34:18.443Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "not_checked",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-e65525f23524",
     "display_name": "Hull City — Everton",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/hull-city-vs-everton-2026-10-11/",
     "scoreline": "2-2",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Hull City 1-1 Everton",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "7",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-10T09:41:04.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-10T09:41:04.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-10T10:34:18.443Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Hull City 1-1 Everton",
     "author_odds": "7",
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "1-1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Hull City 1-1 Everton at 7"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "2-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Hull City 2-2 Everton."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "45a3b61a83e76b858d7522637f88fc29df909546153afd2983153d41b49652bc",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Correct score",
      "choice": "Hull City 1-1 Everton",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "e2e2ff5b07f3ee4c63c71cbc99eda20c42a255ea47b20c884a485df057584edc",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Correct score",
      "choice": "Hull City 1-1 Everton",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Nathan Egerton",
     "publisher": "football365.com",
     "forecaster": "Nathan Egerton",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.football365.com/match-preview/hull-city-v-everton-prediction-preview",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Hull City 1-1 Everton"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-d17cfe19b56f0d11e3ccc680",
   "url": "/authors/nathan-egerton/picks/5/#pick-n-d17cfe19b56f0d11e3ccc680",
   "match": "Hull City v Everton",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/hull-city-vs-everton-2026-10-11/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 26.4,
   "market_code": "player_to_score",
   "author_said": "Player to score: Thierno Barry to score at 3",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "2-2",
   "reason": "graded against the result: right",
   "reason_code": "not_checked",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-10T09:41:04.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-10T10:34:18.443Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-d17cfe19b56f0d11e3ccc680",
    "quote_text": "Thierno Barry already has five goals in all competitions this season and is 2/1 to get on the scoresheet here.",
    "fragment_from": 4553,
    "fragment_to": 4663,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.football365.com/match-preview/hull-city-v-everton-prediction-preview",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Nathan Egerton",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "357ba2e119c0578464421dc537ec38fa79e2971a50d0c71e5f28cd0a8a60af60",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-10T09:41:04.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-10T10:34:18.443Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "not_checked",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-e65525f23524",
     "display_name": "Hull City — Everton",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/hull-city-vs-everton-2026-10-11/",
     "scoreline": "2-2",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Player to score",
    "outcome_label": "Thierno Barry to score",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "3",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-10T09:41:04.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-10T09:41:04.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-10T10:34:18.443Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Player to score",
     "choice": "Thierno Barry to score",
     "author_odds": "3",
     "market_key": "player_to_score",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "player_goals",
     "in_words": "Player to score: Thierno Barry to score at 3"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "2-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won — Thierno Barry scored 1 goal; the final score was Hull City 2-2 Everton."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "4f3f0958b39e10eadd1cc76da5cbdfa101f5bd6bc3f281258676b22b4090c076",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Player to score",
      "choice": "Thierno Barry to score",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "102af7a3a7c8ae7019ecf0218b6b139c94a5ab6d6fc7e4e27f8c49dbc40210b1",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Player to score",
      "choice": "Thierno Barry to score",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Nathan Egerton",
     "publisher": "football365.com",
     "forecaster": "Nathan Egerton",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.football365.com/match-preview/hull-city-v-everton-prediction-preview",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Thierno Barry to score"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-9d4f26ebe69357809d347639",
   "url": "/authors/nathan-egerton/picks/5/#pick-n-9d4f26ebe69357809d347639",
   "match": "Arsenal v Lille",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/arsenal-vs-lille-2026-10-13/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-13T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": 34.1,
   "market_code": "win_to_nil",
   "author_said": "To win to nil: Arsenal to win to nil at 2",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "3-0",
   "reason": "graded against the result: right",
   "reason_code": "not_checked",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-12T08:33:15.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T08:55:39.284Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-9d4f26ebe69357809d347639",
    "quote_text": "back an Arsenal win to nil at 1/1",
    "fragment_from": 3301,
    "fragment_to": 3334,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.football365.com/match-preview/arsenal-v-lille-prediction-preview",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Nathan Egerton",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "febc48564bfb338ca966af0cdc2e2a402129e60c656d11ea9a575ea8892b3111",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-12T08:33:15.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-12T08:55:39.284Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "not_checked",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-c6e403eadb47",
     "display_name": "Arsenal — Lille",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-13T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/arsenal-vs-lille-2026-10-13/",
     "scoreline": "3-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "To win to nil",
    "outcome_label": "Arsenal to win to nil",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-12T08:33:15.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-12T08:33:15.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-12T08:55:39.284Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "To win to nil",
     "choice": "Arsenal to win to nil",
     "author_odds": "2",
     "market_key": "win_to_nil",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "To win to nil: Arsenal to win to nil at 2"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "3-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Arsenal 3-0 Lille."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "04e1914be384618d28b9222ef6fe0d9935fe3417d0de8d39b9133de80a1c1784",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "To win to nil",
      "choice": "Arsenal to win to nil",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "5ac99f38408aa28a44994492ab7caffc88ab46e37c4a8036313a45faa4b41a90",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "To win to nil",
      "choice": "Arsenal to win to nil",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Nathan Egerton",
     "publisher": "football365.com",
     "forecaster": "Nathan Egerton",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.football365.com/match-preview/arsenal-v-lille-prediction-preview",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Arsenal to win to nil"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-fb1eb7d79147cc1e7fc94859",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "he is 13/2 to score two or more goals",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-12T08:33:15.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T08:55:39.284Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-44c90bf6d6c5fd54f4e29a6c",
   "url": "/authors/nathan-egerton/picks/5/#pick-n-44c90bf6d6c5fd54f4e29a6c",
   "match": "Nottingham Forest v Arsenal",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/nottingham-forest-vs-arsenal-2026-10-18/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-18T15:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 52.6,
   "market_code": "win_to_nil",
   "author_said": "To win to nil: Arsenal to win to nil at 2.7",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "0-1",
   "reason": "graded against the result: right",
   "reason_code": "not_checked",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-16T10:22:51.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T10:55:30.603Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-44c90bf6d6c5fd54f4e29a6c",
    "quote_text": "An Arsenal win to nil is available at 17/10.",
    "fragment_from": 4120,
    "fragment_to": 4164,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.football365.com/match-preview/nottingham-forest-v-arsenal-prediction-preview",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Nathan Egerton",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "ad77df1c96201ddcd67cba36b355281547fb1ef40d2e3098ae07e4f8d53b5368",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-16T10:22:51.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T10:55:30.603Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "not_checked",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-01527686b0b6",
     "display_name": "Nottingham Forest — Arsenal",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-18T15:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/nottingham-forest-vs-arsenal-2026-10-18/",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "To win to nil",
    "outcome_label": "Arsenal to win to nil",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.7",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-16T10:22:51.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-16T10:22:51.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-16T10:55:30.603Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "To win to nil",
     "choice": "Arsenal to win to nil",
     "author_odds": "2.7",
     "market_key": "win_to_nil",
     "choice_key": "2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "To win to nil: Arsenal to win to nil at 2.7"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Nottingham Forest 0-1 Arsenal."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "58dbfba75bce202dc93cfce4427fae4b19fd0ff6e6b4c5ead264fe015f270166",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "To win to nil",
      "choice": "Arsenal to win to nil",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "87615c1bafbc05052745ba73f79d1c451a15328f3e03774123dcc764e9d5a364",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "To win to nil",
      "choice": "Arsenal to win to nil",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Nathan Egerton",
     "publisher": "football365.com",
     "forecaster": "Nathan Egerton",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.football365.com/match-preview/nottingham-forest-v-arsenal-prediction-preview",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Arsenal to win to nil"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-869f70f393f61ce68dfe4396",
   "url": "/authors/nathan-egerton/picks/5/#pick-n-869f70f393f61ce68dfe4396",
   "match": "Nottingham Forest v Arsenal",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/nottingham-forest-vs-arsenal-2026-10-18/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-18T15:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 52.6,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score",
   "author_said": "Both teams to score: no at 1.91",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "0-1",
   "reason": "graded against the result: right",
   "reason_code": "not_checked",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-16T10:22:51.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T10:55:30.603Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-869f70f393f61ce68dfe4396",
    "quote_text": "back ‘no’ in the Both Teams to Score option at 10/11.",
    "fragment_from": 4190,
    "fragment_to": 4243,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.football365.com/match-preview/nottingham-forest-v-arsenal-prediction-preview",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Nathan Egerton",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "ad77df1c96201ddcd67cba36b355281547fb1ef40d2e3098ae07e4f8d53b5368",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-16T10:22:51.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-16T10:55:30.603Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "not_checked",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-01527686b0b6",
     "display_name": "Nottingham Forest — Arsenal",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-18T15:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/nottingham-forest-vs-arsenal-2026-10-18/",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "no",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.91",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-16T10:22:51.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-16T10:22:51.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-16T10:55:30.603Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
     "choice": "no",
     "author_odds": "1.91",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score",
     "choice_key": "no",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Both teams to score: no at 1.91"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "0-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Nottingham Forest 0-1 Arsenal."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "06a64b79e43b455c8f065b865d32a39375ca2c57c79fe36b4119ece9ac6fb7c3",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "no",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "7e94aa2cc863421e6231cba170e41b5b0e44f0f1dafa47d404d25f8c65849aa7",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "no",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Nathan Egerton",
     "publisher": "football365.com",
     "forecaster": "Nathan Egerton",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.football365.com/match-preview/nottingham-forest-v-arsenal-prediction-preview",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "no (Both teams to score)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-d3b139aec5c3744181f477f6",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "is 1/1 to get a goal or an assist at the City Ground.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-16T10:22:51.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T10:55:30.603Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-310e2ae7688b2e26547144a4",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "and a 3-0 win for the hosts can be backed at 12/1.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "ambiguous",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-16T17:54:07.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T18:25:30.496Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-3b129bd3361ac4edab84bc5f",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "He is 5/4 to score or assist against Palace.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-16T17:54:07.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T18:25:30.496Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-53fb90fde1eec69d152743f3",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "They are 2/1 to Win to Nil once again.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "ambiguous",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-16T17:54:07.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T18:25:30.496Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-73240d82c1b1ccbd825a8ae1",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "\"There is definitely scope to play the handicaps and back Brighton -1 at 7/5\"",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "ambiguous",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-16T17:54:07.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T18:25:30.496Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-9aec06800875e5cca15c679a",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "For the correct score, a 2-0 home victory is available at 17/2",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "ambiguous",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-16T17:54:07.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T18:25:30.496Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-a17d23f8433b29940ddf61eb",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "so back Brighton -1.5 on the handicaps at 7/5.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "ambiguous",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-16T17:54:07.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T18:25:30.496Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-46b8c614c05e9367826d4a56",
   "url": "/authors/nathan-egerton/picks/5/#pick-n-46b8c614c05e9367826d4a56",
   "match": "AFC Bournemouth v Sunderland",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/afc-bournemouth-vs-sunderland-2026-10-18/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 28.4,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: AFC Bournemouth 2-2 Sunderland at 15",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "2-0",
   "reason": "graded against the result: wrong",
   "reason_code": "not_checked",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-17T07:47:17.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T08:35:30.573Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-46b8c614c05e9367826d4a56",
    "quote_text": "and a 2-2 draw is at 14/1.",
    "fragment_from": 4431,
    "fragment_to": 4457,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.football365.com/match-preview/bournemouth-v-sunderland-prediction-preview",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Nathan Egerton",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "6f3aa089524835522da21bc6113042652becf3bee9dec1c462e783b1430926a7",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-17T07:47:17.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-17T08:35:30.573Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "not_checked",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-f80d15d1ac60",
     "display_name": "AFC Bournemouth — Sunderland",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/afc-bournemouth-vs-sunderland-2026-10-18/",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "AFC Bournemouth 2-2 Sunderland",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "15",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-17T07:47:17.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-17T07:47:17.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-17T08:35:30.573Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "AFC Bournemouth 2-2 Sunderland",
     "author_odds": "15",
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "2-2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: AFC Bournemouth 2-2 Sunderland at 15"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was AFC Bournemouth 2-0 Sunderland."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "d0aa811ff74045e2a019c26128630f490fd70e586303a32a66bbb7342381955c",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Correct score",
      "choice": "AFC Bournemouth 2-2 Sunderland",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "eee3d98c438d2ce5abb9a6665429b6f07624eef4f98b02877c0f6d8e5add0efa",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Correct score",
      "choice": "AFC Bournemouth 2-2 Sunderland",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Nathan Egerton",
     "publisher": "football365.com",
     "forecaster": "Nathan Egerton",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.football365.com/match-preview/bournemouth-v-sunderland-prediction-preview",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "AFC Bournemouth 2-2 Sunderland"
   }
  }
 ],
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 180,
  "pages": 10,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/nathan-egerton/",
   "/authors/nathan-egerton/picks/2/",
   "/authors/nathan-egerton/picks/3/",
   "/authors/nathan-egerton/picks/4/",
   "/authors/nathan-egerton/picks/5/",
   "/authors/nathan-egerton/picks/6/",
   "/authors/nathan-egerton/picks/7/",
   "/authors/nathan-egerton/picks/8/",
   "/authors/nathan-egerton/picks/9/",
   "/authors/nathan-egerton/picks/10/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 11,
   "pending": 0,
   "excluded": 169
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 5,
  "first": 61,
  "last": 80,
  "author_url": "/authors/nathan-egerton/",
  "current": false
 },
 "entity_id": "history:/authors/nathan-egerton/picks/5/",
 "source_revision": 31
}