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 "heading": "Mkeka wa Leo (Telegram): Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "1 settled pick by Mkeka wa Leo (Telegram) recorded before kick-off across 1 match, 25 Oct 2026: won 0 of 1 at our recorded market prices.",
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  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 1 settled live pick by Mkeka wa Leo (Telegram) before kick-off across 1 match on 25 October 2026. Won 0 of 1 settled live pick at our recorded market prices. Of the 23 predictions we hold for Mkeka wa Leo (Telegram), 1 is linked to matches: 1 was recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
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  "id": "e-b1a60b0306e8d1689bd64fdf",
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   "observation_id": "n-06b166c917b8f44f1031ad25",
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   "quote_text": "⚽️ Liefering - Austria Salzburg\n☑️ BTTS: (Yes)",
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   "observation_id": "n-a89eae254636c9b24ab23c10",
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   "quote_text": "Total Odds: 6.00",
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   "quote_text": "☑️ Total: (Over 2.5)\nJumla ya magoli, matatu au zaidi",
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   "quote_text": "Mkeka wa Leo | Mkeka No. #1\n🗓 Sat, Oct 31, 2026\n\n\n🔥 Total Odds: 6.00",
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   "quote_text": "Mkeka huu umeandaliwa Meridianbet. Pata 10,000 TZS BURE! ukijisajili na kudownload App.",
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   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-9f9f681dcc1171fd8322cd9d",
   "quote_text": "🔥 Total Odds: 4.44",
   "fragment_from": 50,
   "fragment_to": 68,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "telegram",
    "url": "https://t.me/mkeka_wa_leo/13415",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Mkeka wa Leo (Telegram)",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "d5a304b02579cbcd0889a5d6fdb63a01c0eeaf8b96ecbf022f22d260c52f7a4d",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-17T06:00:00.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-25T04:05:02.782Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
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    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-17T06:00:00.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-17T06:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-25T04:05:02.782Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "standing": null,
 "retro": null,
 "late": null,
 "price_vs_market": null,
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "person",
  "entity_words": "Individual author",
  "source": {
   "name": "t.me",
   "url": "https://t.me/mkeka_wa_leo/13459"
  },
  "observed_from": "2026-10-25",
  "observed_to": "2026-11-07",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "state": "settled",
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price",
  "restored": false,
  "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
  "headline_part": "live",
  "settled_picks": 1,
  "matches": 1,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": -10000,
  "staked_hundredths": 10000,
  "return_percent": "-100.00",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2026-10-25",
  "period_to": "2026-10-25",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "short_history": true,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 1 settled live pick by Mkeka wa Leo (Telegram) before kick-off across 1 match on 25 October 2026. Won 0 of 1 settled live pick at our recorded market prices. Of the 23 predictions we hold for Mkeka wa Leo (Telegram), 1 is linked to matches: 1 was recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled live picks",
    "value": "1",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "1",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "−100 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "value": "−100.0%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": null
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": {
    "part": "live",
    "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.",
    "settled_picks": 1,
    "matches": 1,
    "match_dates": 1,
    "period_from": "2026-10-25",
    "period_to": "2026-10-25",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": -10000,
    "low": {
     "date": "2026-10-25",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000,
     "after_picks": 1
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2026-10-25",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000,
     "after_picks": 1
    },
    "line_drawn": false,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2026-10-25",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000,
      "n": 1,
      "picks": 1
     }
    ]
   },
   "archived": null
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 1 settled live pick by Mkeka wa Leo (Telegram) before kick-off across 1 match on 25 October 2026. Won 0 of 1 settled live pick at our recorded market prices. Of the 23 predictions we hold for Mkeka wa Leo (Telegram), 1 is linked to matches: 1 was recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/mkeka-wa-leo-telegram/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "2.2"
  },
  "origin": {
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   "proven_dates": 1,
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     "code": "live",
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     "checked": 1,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
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      "interval_high": null,
      "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval",
      "period_from": "2026-10-25",
      "period_to": "2026-10-25",
      "method_version": "2.2",
      "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0",
      "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.0",
      "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 0
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Closing price",
       "series_code": "closing_live",
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       "settled_excluding_void": 1,
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       "net_other_points_hundredths": -10000,
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       "period_to": "2026-10-25"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
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      "baseline_matches": 0,
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      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
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      "favourite_hits": 0,
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      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
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     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 1,
      "won": 0,
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      "implied_percent": "68.0",
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      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Both teams to score",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 1,
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       }
      ]
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
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      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
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      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
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      "pending": 0,
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      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
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     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
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     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
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      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
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      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
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     },
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    }
   ]
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  "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 25 October 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2",
  "record_from": "2026-10-25",
  "record_to": "2026-11-07"
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 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-66b6c76f43318840bfb3fe7b",
   "url": "/authors/mkeka-wa-leo-telegram/picks/2/#pick-n-66b6c76f43318840bfb3fe7b",
   "match": "Liverpool v Brighton & Hove Albion",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/liverpool-vs-brighton-and-hove-albion-2026-10-25/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-25T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 7.9,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score",
   "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes",
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   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
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   "reason": null,
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   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
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   "published_at": "2026-10-25T06:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-25T06:05:27.822Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
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   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "yes",
    "price": "1.4707",
    "result": "Lost",
    "points_hundredths": -10000,
    "picked_favourite": true
   },
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-66b6c76f43318840bfb3fe7b",
    "quote_text": "☑️ BTTS: (Yes)\nTimu zote kufungana",
    "fragment_from": 500,
    "fragment_to": 534,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "telegram",
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     "bundle_id": "5c5533725323da312f26d6c9e1eca189b8b128009d325f611d8b19f57734090b",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-25T06:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-25T06:05:27.822Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-10-25T13:57:36.869Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
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     "event_id": "s-b2cd6e3d1134",
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     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "yes",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": "1.4707",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-25T06:04:04.042Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-25T06:00:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-25T06:00:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-25T06:05:27.822Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
     "choice": "yes",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "both_teams_score",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Liverpool 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion."
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    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "bd421ffe22b6607837095f738e583138c9963cb805c193cce3e653066dc14920",
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      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "yes",
      "decimal_odds": "1.4707",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-25T13:57:36.869Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Mkeka wa Leo (Telegram)",
     "publisher": "t.me",
     "forecaster": "Mkeka wa Leo (Telegram)",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://t.me/mkeka_wa_leo/13435",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-b2715ed66552a587fe714aad",
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   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "☑️ Total: (Over 3.5)\nJumla ya magoli, manne au zaidi",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "ambiguous",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-11-07T06:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-07T06:05:29.230Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-8270cbc34db97ab4b10d617e",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "☑️ Total: (Over 3.5)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-11-06T06:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T06:05:28.675Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-227ba76308ef4b64f48a9b74",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "⚽️ Liefering - Austria Salzburg\n☑️ BTTS: (Yes)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-11-06T06:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T06:05:27.640Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-c288ffa275b154c413e538fe",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "☑️ Total: (Over 2.5)\nJumla ya magoli, matatu au zaidi",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
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   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-11-05T06:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T06:05:28.661Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-9bdcc8d3220a7ed6562abbda",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
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