{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "author", "url": "/authors/minas-vergis/", "canonical": "/authors/minas-vergis/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Minas Vergis: Football Prediction Record", "description": "Minas Vergis: 7 statements recorded by Forecast Record. Every statement with its source and the rule applied to it.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Forecast Record has recorded 7 statements by Minas Vergis, including 7 predictions. Of the 7 predictions we hold for Minas Vergis, 1 was archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 6 from the source’s own history. Every settled pick in this record comes from the source’s own published history. 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This author has 0 settled bets, so the bankroll stands at its starting value." }, "simulations": [], "completeness": { "detected": 7, "recognised": 7, "accepted": 6, "executed": 6, "calculated": 6, "gaps": [ { "cause": "read after the match, from archived pages", "figure": 1 } ] }, "record_counts": { "dictionary_version": "1", "statements": 7, "of_them_restored": 7, "not_predictions": { "opinions": 0, "not_about_a_match": 0, "unclassified": 0 }, "predictions": 7, "predictions_restored": 7, "matches": 0, "admitted": 6, "qualifying_picks": 6, "qualifying_picks_restored": 6, "settled_picks": 6, "settled_picks_restored": 6, "series_list": [ { "code_name": "retro_author_price", "derived": false, "is_restored": true, "qualifying_picks": 5, "settled_picks": 5, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 0, "matches": 5, "operations_settled": 5, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "retro-1.0" ], "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price" }, { "code_name": 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"market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": "3.1000", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:08:40.015Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Minas Vergis", "publisher": "Kingbet", "forecaster": "Minas Vergis", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.kingbet.net/prognostika/ofi-tsska-sofias-200826/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null 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"origin_words": "Source-reported history", "added_on": "Added to our record on 13 Oct 2026", "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals", "choice": "PAOK to win and under 3.5 goals", "author_odds": "2.35", "market_key": "result_and_total", "choice_key": "1-under", "period": "match", "line": "3.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals: PAOK to win and under 3.5 goals at 2.35" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was PAOK 0-0 Wolfsberger AC." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "b442cef1d036c33e009d41ae5300d8a5d9692d7e08259e7ac492d19c18749f24", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Match result and over/under 3.5 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"https://www.kingbet.net/prognostika/paok-rieka-280825/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Minas Vergis", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "d3e704f34134148fa841eb7a72b7ee53ea0c5f6890ead9c74110016c1cc77b11", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-08-27T18:25:34.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-13T15:29:20.802Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:54:46.001Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "PAOK v Rijeka", "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League", "starts_at": "2025-08-28T17:30:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "5-0" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "PAOK", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.6", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "1.4350", "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" }, "stake_hundredths": 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"2026-10-13T13:35:01.520Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "source_reported_history", "origin_words": "Source-reported history", "added_on": "Added to our record on 13 Oct 2026", "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Match result and over/under 1.5 goals", "choice": "Panathinaikos to win and over 1.5 goals", "author_odds": "1.75", "market_key": "result_and_total", "choice_key": "2-over", "period": "match", "line": "1.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Match result and over/under 1.5 goals: Panathinaikos to win and over 1.5 goals at 1.75" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Paksi SE 1-2 Panathinaikos." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "a8cbfdafe83bc8b2e9e9c93a5839fb06e01b50145866ea0f2c7b990302881c9b", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Match result and over/under 1.5 goals", "choice": "Panathinaikos to win and over 1.5 goals", "decimal_odds": "1.75", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 7500, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:07:54.515Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "e4589e0ad01e5e4f51f4b7b144c50d337efd863ecef1458734c6510176b0cf6b", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Match result and over/under 1.5 goals", "choice": "Panathinaikos to win and over 1.5 goals", "decimal_odds": "1.7800", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 7800, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:07:54.515Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Minas Vergis", "publisher": "Kingbet", "forecaster": "Minas Vergis", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.kingbet.net/prognostika/paksi-panathinaikos-230726/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-515ea096a5361a87e8c79a98", "url": "/authors/minas-vergis/#pick-n-515ea096a5361a87e8c79a98", "quote_text": "1+Under 3,5\n\nΑπόδοση: 2.00", "fragment_from": 322, "fragment_to": 348, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.kingbet.net/prognostika/aek-lefski-sofias-260826/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Minas Vergis", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "8ebf8ddd9f7f35e20ed4168c255152a9794df500cf2293c2a4c754e448e8a4d3", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-08-25T13:56:27.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-12T22:44:00.402Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:09:01.493Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "AEK Athens v Levski Sofia", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2026-08-26T19:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "4-0" }, "market_label": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals", "outcome_label": "AEK Athens to win and under 3.5 goals", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.0", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "1.9500", "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "source_reported_history", "provenance_words": "Source-reported history", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-08-25T13:56:27.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-08-25T13:56:27.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-12T22:44:00.402Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "source_reported_history", "origin_words": "Source-reported history", "added_on": "Added to our record on 12 Oct 2026", "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals", "choice": "AEK Athens to win and under 3.5 goals", "author_odds": "2.0", "market_key": "result_and_total", "choice_key": "1-under", "period": "match", "line": "3.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals: AEK Athens to win and under 3.5 goals at 2.0" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "4-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was AEK Athens 4-0 Levski Sofia." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "060cd7747253aa00cef870b66d1af2280ab1903081dbc31c02713c573e5f16b7", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals", "choice": "AEK Athens to win and under 3.5 goals", "decimal_odds": "2.0", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:09:01.493Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "ef5e73ae58febd019a2b4120bc0918f5ab5bb06ba0e8beaa3ca1f7496f72e122", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Match result and over/under 3.5 goals", "choice": "AEK Athens to win and under 3.5 goals", "decimal_odds": "1.9500", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:09:01.493Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Minas Vergis", "publisher": "Kingbet", "forecaster": "Minas Vergis", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.kingbet.net/prognostika/aek-lefski-sofias-260826/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-aa63982b8e246df8399ddb1c", "url": "/authors/minas-vergis/#pick-n-aa63982b8e246df8399ddb1c", "quote_text": "1+Under 3,5", "fragment_from": 6995, "fragment_to": 7006, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.kingbet.net/prognostika/aek-aris-lemesoy-140825/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Minas Vergis", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "57505711cb26e72dc031559aeca513612d479d3d3a764ea2ee178d4c5bf9e69e", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-08-13T20:31:46.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-12T20:43:20.988Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "", "cause_code": "too_late", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-08-13T20:31:46.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-08-13T20:31:46.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-12T20:43:20.988Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-0de66b425413fd75260f580d", "url": "/authors/minas-vergis/#pick-n-0de66b425413fd75260f580d", "quote_text": "Over 2,5", "fragment_from": 950, "fragment_to": 958, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.kingbet.net/prognostika/tsska-sofias-ofi-270826/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Minas Vergis", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "658440786b074d67d306655289d9dc5fd2e6401fbcf714c6cf47a18fd6dc1137", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-08-26T15:21:38.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-12T20:14:28.719Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:09:04.787Z", "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "CSKA Sofia v OFI", "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League", "starts_at": "2026-08-27T18:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "0-2" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "outcome_label": "over 2.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "1.8000", "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "source_reported_history", "provenance_words": "Source-reported history", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-08-26T15:21:38.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-08-26T15:21:38.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-12T20:14:28.719Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "source_reported_history", "origin_words": "Source-reported history", "added_on": "Added to our record on 12 Oct 2026", "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was CSKA Sofia 0-2 OFI." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "42c9dec3ae1c3e47d1c9deb699971d8d9485d7bbca3d3342e6a819c230ebfa2f", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.8000", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T20:09:04.787Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "87", "publisher": "Kingbet", "forecaster": "87", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.kingbet.net/prognostika/tsska-sofias-ofi-270826/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null } ], "standing": null, "retro": { "restored_total": 6, "of_them_archived_pre_match": 0, "found_post_match": 0, "of_them_source_reported": 6, "live_count": 0, "date_count": 6, "span_from": "2025-08-07", "span_to": "2026-08-27", "line_text": "restored history: 6, of which pre-match archive 0", "body": "We re-read what this author published before Champions League, Europa League and Conference League matches between 7 August 2025 and 27 August 2026 and settled it against the final score. Restored picks: 6. Backed by a copy of the page in an independent web archive taken before kick-off: 0. Taken from the source’s own published history, published before kick-off by the source’s own date: 6. Found after the match, with the publication date as stated by the source: 0. The market price at the moment of publication cannot be reconstructed, so restored picks are shown as reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), not at the closing price, for the pre-match archive and the later finds separately; the author's quoted price and, where it exists, the aggregator closing price are compared with it on the same picks. Authors can delete losing picks, so restored history may look better than it was.", "precision": { "n": 6, "share": "0.3333" }, "series_list": [ { "code_name": "retro_author_price", "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "n": 5, "roi": "-33.0000", "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "data_status": "calculated", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "cause": null }, { "code_name": "retro_market_closing", "display_name": "Restored, at the closing market price", "n": 0, "roi": null, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "data_status": "unknown", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "cause": "no restored pick with this price" }, { "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm", "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "n": 6, "roi": "-46.4167", "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "data_status": "calculated", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "cause": null } ], "clv": { "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the market price at the moment of publication is unknown for restored picks; the author's quoted price against the aggregator closing price is compared on the same picks in each part of the record above" }, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "leagues": [ "Champions League", "Europa League", "Conference League" ], "source_list": "Results: the official regulation-time score, checked against a second data provider for 0 settled restored picks and forecasts, and the two agree; 6 come from one provider only. Prices: the aggregator closing price and the second data provider's last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), as a separate series; each provider is its own series and they are never averaged." }, "late": null, "price_vs_market": null, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "kingbet.net", "url": "https://www.kingbet.net/prognostika/ofi-tsska-sofias-200826/" }, "observed_from": "2026-10-12", "observed_to": "2026-10-13", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "none", "series_code": null, "series": null, "restored": false, "headline_kind": null, "headline_part": null, "settled_picks": 0, "matches": 0, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": null, "staked_hundredths": null, "return_percent": null, "stake_per_pick_hundredths": null, "period_from": null, "period_to": null, "status": "unknown", "method_version": null, "short_history": true, "reason": "every settled pick in this record comes from the source’s own published history", "reasons": [ { "code": "after_match", "predictions": 1, "words": "read after the match" } ], "sentence": "Forecast Record has recorded 7 statements by Minas Vergis, including 7 predictions. Of the 7 predictions we hold for Minas Vergis, 1 was archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 6 from the source’s own history. Every settled pick in this record comes from the source’s own published history. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Statements", "value": "7", "anchor": "/methodology/#statement", "note": null }, { "label": "Predictions", "value": "7", "anchor": "/methodology/#prediction", "note": null } ], "limitations": [ "Most of this history comes from the source’s own published record: 6 predictions dated by the source. 6 of them are settled in a historical price series; titles and rankings use the live record." ], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": null, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record has recorded 7 statements by Minas Vergis, including 7 predictions. Of the 7 predictions we hold for Minas Vergis, 1 was archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 6 from the source’s own history. Every settled pick in this record comes from the source’s own published history. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/minas-vergis/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": null }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 7, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 0, "proven_predictions": 1, "proven_checked": 0, "proven_measured": 0, "proven_dates": 0, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 1, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "source_reported", "title": "Source-reported history", "explanation": "The time and the pick are known only from the source’s own history; it is the basis of the record check and never part of the evidenced total.", "predictions": 6, "checked": 6, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": { "settled_picks": 6, "void": 0, "matches": 6, "net_points_hundredths": -27850, "staked_hundredths": 60000, "return_percent": "-46.42", "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval", "period_from": "2025-08-07", "period_to": "2026-08-27", "method_version": "retro-1.1" }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "retro_author_price", "picks": 5, "return_main_percent": "-35.70", "return_other_percent": "-33.00", "settled_excluding_void": 5, "net_main_points_hundredths": -17850, "net_other_points_hundredths": -16500, "period_from": "2025-08-07", "period_to": "2026-08-26" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, 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