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 "heading": "Michell Aburto: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "Verified record: 11 settled picks by Michell Aburto recorded before kick-off across 8 matches, 14 Oct 2026 – 7 Nov 2026.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 11 settled live picks by Michell Aburto before kick-off across 8 matches between 14 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +48.1% on the total staked. Of the 213 predictions we hold for Michell Aburto, 87 are linked to matches: 74 were recorded by us before kick-off and 13 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
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  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot",
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 "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:00:49.634Z",
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  "public_name": "Michell Aburto",
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  "observation_period": {
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   "coverage_percent": "27.27",
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  "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 11 settled picks across 8 matches",
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   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "+529.40 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "value": "+48.1%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": null
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [
   {
    "date": "2026-10-14",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 4400,
    "n": 1
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-19",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 9650,
    "n": 2
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-22",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 34519,
    "n": 5
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-28",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 40319,
    "n": 6
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-31",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 42220,
    "n": 7
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-04",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 48720,
    "n": 8
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-05",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 62940,
    "n": 10
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-07",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 52940,
    "n": 11
   }
  ],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": {
    "part": "live",
    "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.",
    "settled_picks": 11,
    "matches": 8,
    "match_dates": 8,
    "period_from": "2026-10-14",
    "period_to": "2026-11-07",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": 52940,
    "low": {
     "date": "2026-10-14",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 4400,
     "after_picks": 1
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2026-11-05",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 62940,
     "after_picks": 10
    },
    "line_drawn": true,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2026-10-14",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 4400,
      "n": 1,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-19",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 9650,
      "n": 2,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-22",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 34519,
      "n": 5,
      "picks": 3
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-28",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 40319,
      "n": 6,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-31",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 42220,
      "n": 7,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-04",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 48720,
      "n": 8,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-05",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 62940,
      "n": 10,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-07",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 52940,
      "n": 11,
      "picks": 1
     }
    ]
   },
   "archived": null
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 11 settled live picks by Michell Aburto before kick-off across 8 matches between 14 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +48.1% on the total staked. Of the 213 predictions we hold for Michell Aburto, 87 are linked to matches: 74 were recorded by us before kick-off and 13 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/michell-aburto/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "2.2"
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 213,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 126,
   "proven_predictions": 74,
   "proven_checked": 73,
   "proven_measured": 47,
   "proven_dates": 17,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 74,
     "checked": 73,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 11,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 8,
      "net_points_hundredths": 52940,
      "staked_hundredths": 110000,
      "return_percent": "48.13",
      "interval_low": null,
      "interval_high": null,
      "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval",
      "period_from": "2026-10-14",
      "period_to": "2026-11-07",
      "method_version": "2.2",
      "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0",
      "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.0",
      "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 8
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "author_price",
       "picks": 3,
       "return_main_percent": "68.23",
       "return_other_percent": "73.33",
       "settled_excluding_void": 3,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 20469,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 22000,
       "period_from": "2026-10-22",
       "period_to": "2026-11-04"
      },
      {
       "price": "Closing price",
       "series_code": "closing_live",
       "picks": 9,
       "return_main_percent": "46.71",
       "return_other_percent": "45.88",
       "settled_excluding_void": 9,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 42040,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 41291,
       "period_from": "2026-10-19",
       "period_to": "2026-11-07"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 36,
      "exact_hits": 5,
      "exact_rate": 13.9,
      "outcome_checked": 36,
      "outcome_hits": 21,
      "outcome_rate": 58.3,
      "baseline_matches": 33,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 25,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 18,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 54.5,
      "favourite_hits": 20,
      "favourite_rate": 60.6,
      "price_basis": "our pre-match snapshot",
      "pending": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 6,
      "lines": [
       "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.",
       "5 of 36 score forecasts named the exact score (13.9%).",
       "The result implied by the named score was right in 18 of 33 forecasts; the market favourite was right in 20 of the same 33 forecasts.",
       "Some matches carry more than one of these forecasts: 33 forecasts on 25 matches.",
       "A pre-match market favourite is known for 33 of 36 forecasts; the comparison uses only those.",
       "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest price in our own odds snapshot taken before kick-off.",
       "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win)."
      ]
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 73,
      "priced": 11
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 11,
      "won": 10,
      "won_percent": "90.9",
      "implied_percent": "63.8",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 6,
        "picks": 7,
        "implied_percent": "65.9"
       },
       {
        "market": "Both teams to score",
        "won": 2,
        "picks": 2,
        "implied_percent": "56.0"
       },
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 2,
        "picks": 2,
        "implied_percent": "63.9"
       }
      ]
     },
     "reviewed_after": {
      "predictions": 28,
      "right": 14,
      "wrong": 14,
      "other": 0
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 13,
     "checked": 9,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 9,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    }
   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": null,
  "headline_record_ids": [
   "n-030182db6f46b54ca511ad17",
   "n-141ec50347c5cc0a59ab604b",
   "n-158b97a78e451f3f9d2a7a18",
   "n-2c52940500cb68799e59ec17",
   "n-4eac90ebd1fd0a8a7aac89ae",
   "n-6211ce4a761c1d53cd74cd67",
   "n-81a299c98085f07069f3e2e0",
   "n-852eb917d6a27a359a48420a",
   "n-8e22feb5cdf1e2f7c778543f",
   "n-d1a147f894a412ffef189cd7",
   "n-fb5c5e104cca153784d0f3dd"
  ],
  "interval_low": null,
  "interval_high": null,
  "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 14 October – 7 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2",
  "record_from": "2026-10-14",
  "record_to": "2026-11-07"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-81a299c98085f07069f3e2e0",
   "url": "/authors/michell-aburto/picks/12/#pick-n-81a299c98085f07069f3e2e0",
   "match": "Necaxa v Club Tijuana",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/necaxa-vs-club-tijuana-2026-11-07/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-07T01:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Liga MX",
   "lead_hours": 1.7,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2 goals: over 2.0",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.3500",
   "published_at": "2026-11-06T23:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T23:16:45.422Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-81a299c98085f07069f3e2e0",
    "quote_text": "cubriendo la línea de Over 2.0 goles.",
    "fragment_from": 5041,
    "fragment_to": 5078,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://ruptura360.mx/deportes-hoy/necaxa-vs-tijuana-apertura-2026-estadio-victoria/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Michell Aburto",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "bc2a76762c7e6825c33143ebab1bf91d8bcba5a7d526ae1a099a19a879dee2e3",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-06T23:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-06T23:16:45.422Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-06T23:21:07.408Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-2017984b1713",
     "display_name": "Necaxa — Club Tijuana",
     "competition_name": "Liga MX",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-07T01:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/necaxa-vs-club-tijuana-2026-11-07/",
     "scoreline": "1-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 2.0",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": "1.3500",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-06T23:16:03.487Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-06T23:00:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-06T23:00:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-06T23:16:45.422Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2 goals",
     "choice": "over 2.0",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.0",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 2 goals: over 2.0"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "1-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Necaxa 1-0 Club Tijuana."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "2400ced57207ebc4c65455dcaf8ba68603ca278802860090157ca9233b701200",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.0",
      "decimal_odds": "1.3500",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-06T23:21:07.408Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Michell Aburto",
     "publisher": "Ruptura 360 — Momios",
     "forecaster": "Michell Aburto",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://ruptura360.mx/deportes-hoy/necaxa-vs-tijuana-apertura-2026-estadio-victoria/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 2.0 (Over/Under 2 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-852eb917d6a27a359a48420a",
   "url": "/authors/michell-aburto/picks/11/#pick-n-852eb917d6a27a359a48420a",
   "match": "AZ Alkmaar v Juventus",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/az-alkmaar-vs-juventus-2026-11-05/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Europa League",
   "lead_hours": 2.4,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "1-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 7463,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.7463",
   "published_at": "2026-11-05T17:30:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T17:36:25.536Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-852eb917d6a27a359a48420a",
    "quote_text": "Línea de definición total: Más de 2.5 goles.",
    "fragment_from": 5690,
    "fragment_to": 5734,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://ruptura360.mx/deportes-hoy/az-alkmaar-vs-juventus-uefa-europa-league-afas-stadion/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Michell Aburto",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "9543ab009a268e49dd259a76831d696a67e55f2a5b4269422cbedd0f3479595a",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-05T17:30:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-05T17:36:25.536Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:17:30.785Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-a705d07502db",
     "display_name": "AZ Alkmaar — Juventus",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/az-alkmaar-vs-juventus-2026-11-05/",
     "scoreline": "1-2",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 2.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": "1.7463",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T17:32:44.864Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 7463,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-05T17:30:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-05T17:30:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-05T17:36:25.536Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 2.5",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "1-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was AZ Alkmaar 1-2 Juventus."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "ac482a6765087fcb2594c8623b3a5ab0991bd0f514b8de6093aa507ac7078c17",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.7463",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
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   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
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   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
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   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Marcador probable: Modelos de simulación indican resultados frecuentes de 2-0 o 3-1 a favor de Atalanta.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
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   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
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   "published_at": "2026-10-12T14:12:32.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-14T08:51:04.609Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
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   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
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   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Marcador probable: Modelos de simulación indican resultados frecuentes de 2-0 o 3-1 a favor de Atalanta.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
   "points_hundredths": null,
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   "published_at": "2026-10-12T14:12:32.000Z",
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   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
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 "lead_time": {
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 },
 "baseline": {
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  "picks": 12,
  "settled_picks_all": 26,
  "excluded": {
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  "author_hit_rate": 75.0,
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  "picked_favourite_share": 75.0,
  "by_market": [
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    "staked_hundredths": 90000,
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    "picked_favourite": 8,
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   {
    "market_code": "total",
    "picks": 2,
    "staked_hundredths": 20000,
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    "picked_favourite": 1,
    "author_return_percent": 64.0,
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   {
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    "staked_hundredths": 10000,
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  "return_over_time": [
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   {
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   {
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   {
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   {
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 "pagination": {
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  "pages": 12,
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   "/authors/michell-aburto/picks/5/",
   "/authors/michell-aburto/picks/6/",
   "/authors/michell-aburto/picks/7/",
   "/authors/michell-aburto/picks/8/",
   "/authors/michell-aburto/picks/9/",
   "/authors/michell-aburto/picks/10/",
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 "title_tag": "Michell Aburto Predictions: Verified Record, Results and Sources",
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 "person": {
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     "predictions": 213,
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 "data_revision": {
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 "number_changes": [
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    "composition_hash": "9a684f1ca7523f0c7bf28fc5c20d1f9a726566290d2e51f21b17fa3485f4f281",
    "text": "+329.20 points on 8 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "text": "+48.13% on 11 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
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    "composition_hash": "e5878e53f4263323caffbabf42500ebf9d29bab216657fdd01f9f6788a34bb6a",
    "text": "+429.20 points on 7 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "composition_hash": "9a684f1ca7523f0c7bf28fc5c20d1f9a726566290d2e51f21b17fa3485f4f281",
    "text": "+329.20 points on 8 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
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   "url": "/authors/michell-aburto/",
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    "composition_hash": "e98ad29216372b91cba31c52519181211882164677df7b022c5648990494de5e",
    "text": "+364.20 points on 6 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
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    "return_percent": "61.31",
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    "composition_hash": "e5878e53f4263323caffbabf42500ebf9d29bab216657fdd01f9f6788a34bb6a",
    "text": "+429.20 points on 7 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
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  {
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   "url": "/authors/michell-aburto/",
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    "text": "+345.19 points on 5 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "text": "+364.20 points on 6 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
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   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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  {
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    "composition_hash": "c3adcb47452bda5d9457f608978922e6caba638bb715dc8c6c3cbf01f5f71e38",
    "text": "+96.50 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
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    "composition_hash": "081c7e8c56d4d1895cfc34374fad7b9825b942aebfc536c708e9eaf5016b80da",
    "text": "+345.19 points on 5 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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  },
  {
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   "url": "/authors/michell-aburto/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
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    "composition_hash": "2b4af81b7088505070f6e5e5b82b03c2837d1914fb3a67483cc04cbabb25c62c",
    "text": "+52.50 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
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    "composition_hash": "c3adcb47452bda5d9457f608978922e6caba638bb715dc8c6c3cbf01f5f71e38",
    "text": "+96.50 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
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   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
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   "at": "2026-10-22T18:00:17.739Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-22.5",
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   "url": "/authors/michell-aburto/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": null,
   "after": {
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    "return_percent": "52.50",
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    "series_code": "market_price",
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    "composition_hash": "2b4af81b7088505070f6e5e5b82b03c2837d1914fb3a67483cc04cbabb25c62c",
    "text": "+52.50 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "First headline number for this record: 1 settled pick in the series “independent odds snapshot”.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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   },
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  }
 ],
 "counts_by_slice": {
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   {
    "code": "live",
    "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "settled_picks": 11,
    "total_check": true,
    "market_list": [
     {
      "code_name": "total",
      "in_words": "Over/under goals",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 7,
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      "net_points_hundredths": 25714,
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     },
     {
      "code_name": "both_teams_score",
      "in_words": "Both teams to score",
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