{
 "schema_name": "page",
 "schema_version": "2.0",
 "page_type": "history",
 "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/3/",
 "canonical": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/3/",
 "language": "en",
 "hreflang": [],
 "translations": [],
 "heading": "Michael Siemann — football predictions, page 3 of 10",
 "description": "Predictions 21–40 of 167 by Michael Siemann, with outcomes in words and links to the evidence.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Page 3 of 10 of the predictions by Michael Siemann recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 21–40 of 167 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of 7 November 2026. Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.",
  "key_number": "167",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
 "indexable": false,
 "noindex_reason": "technical",
 "indexing_threshold": {
  "settled_count": 0,
  "date_count": 0,
  "required_settled": 0,
  "required_dates": 0
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T17:48:16.046Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "2bbefdc3d1f63a5b6b89eeb3ed6bb9e88a240911ae90baf8b21b3171beefc957",
 "dependency_group": "author:e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
  {
   "type_code": "WebPage",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "Organization",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  }
 ],
 "exports": [
  {
   "type_code": "json",
   "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/3/index.json",
   "bytes": null
  }
 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": false,
  "api": true,
  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": null,
 "restrictions": {
  "name_withdrawn": false,
  "tracker_number": null,
  "withdrawn_quotes": [],
  "removed_at": null,
  "cause": null,
  "suspended_records": [],
  "withdrawal_log_number": 0
 },
 "page_links": {
  "methodology": "/methodology/",
  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
 },
 "entity": {
  "id": "e-076f93118ac1daa5e9b54d31",
  "public_name": "Michael Siemann",
  "tracker_number": 2625,
  "status": "active",
  "inactive_since": null,
  "verified_creator": false,
  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-10-09",
   "until": "2026-10-31"
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "medium": "website",
    "handle": null,
    "url": null,
    "link_confirmed": false,
    "show": true
   }
  ],
  "comment": null
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-329bd0c953e67a1124c5fcae",
   "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/3/#pick-n-329bd0c953e67a1124c5fcae",
   "match": "Eintracht Braunschweig v Holstein Kiel",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-10-09T16:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "2. Bundesliga",
   "lead_hours": 2.4,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.65",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-0",
   "reason": "graded against the result: wrong",
   "reason_code": "not_checked",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-08T10:17:56.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:04:55.410Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-329bd0c953e67a1124c5fcae",
    "quote_text": "Unentschieden X\n\nDie Kieler Störche beendeten vier von sechs Ligaspiele mit einer Punkteteilung.\n\nQuote 3,65 bei Betano*",
    "fragment_from": 1231,
    "fragment_to": 1351,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/braunschweig-kiel-09-10-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Michael Siemann",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "68cf5470ca952a0a52fa30d0efe3c7d4b1a7da2b0aebe608bb0fc61b8293e5dd",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-08T10:17:56.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:04:55.410Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "not_checked",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-715cdf968fcc",
     "display_name": "Eintracht Braunschweig — Holstein Kiel",
     "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-09T16:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "1-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "draw",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "3.65",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-08T10:17:56.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-08T10:17:56.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:04:55.410Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "draw",
     "author_odds": "3.65",
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "X",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.65"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "1-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Eintracht Braunschweig 1-0 Holstein Kiel."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "3c8c53efe8a9518dc1c59054c41036757aa110d6ec182b1a368fdf19464707da",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "259eaa19032559b9b560ec21c10cc90c1f421cfda0a17f234f4e972c55aa0297",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Michael Siemann",
     "publisher": "n-tv.de",
     "forecaster": "Michael Siemann",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/braunschweig-kiel-09-10-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "a draw"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-4fba7c8ab046ca73f9340020",
   "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/3/#pick-n-4fba7c8ab046ca73f9340020",
   "match": "Eintracht Braunschweig v Holstein Kiel",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-10-09T16:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "2. Bundesliga",
   "lead_hours": 2.4,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score",
   "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.45",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-0",
   "reason": "graded against the result: wrong",
   "reason_code": "not_checked",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-08T10:17:56.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:04:55.410Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-4fba7c8ab046ca73f9340020",
    "quote_text": "Beide Teams treffen B2S\n\nVier der letzten fünf direkten Duelle (H2H) zeigen Tore und auch Gegentore vor.\n\nQuote 1,45 bei Interwetten*",
    "fragment_from": 1359,
    "fragment_to": 1492,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/braunschweig-kiel-09-10-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Michael Siemann",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "68cf5470ca952a0a52fa30d0efe3c7d4b1a7da2b0aebe608bb0fc61b8293e5dd",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-08T10:17:56.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:04:55.410Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "not_checked",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-715cdf968fcc",
     "display_name": "Eintracht Braunschweig — Holstein Kiel",
     "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-09T16:30:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "1-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "yes",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.45",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-08T10:17:56.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-08T10:17:56.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:04:55.410Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
     "choice": "yes",
     "author_odds": "1.45",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.45"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "1-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Eintracht Braunschweig 1-0 Holstein Kiel."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "49501232214ed483497526370cf1936340de815d14a1bd6e65cd861498f31cfd",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "yes",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "4487284613ff721eec5d36a76f4ed5e7ed0ff0cd2f8bd179daeffef3f243df4d",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "yes",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Michael Siemann",
     "publisher": "n-tv.de",
     "forecaster": "Michael Siemann",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/braunschweig-kiel-09-10-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-80a0a4ffb4a31bd04c04673a",
   "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/3/#pick-n-80a0a4ffb4a31bd04c04673a",
   "match": "1. FC Heidenheim v Kaiserslautern",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/1-fc-heidenheim-vs-kaiserslautern-2026-10-09/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-09T16:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "2. Bundesliga",
   "lead_hours": 2.4,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 2.45",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "0-0",
   "reason": "graded against the result: right",
   "reason_code": "not_checked",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-08T10:21:59.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:04:55.734Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-80a0a4ffb4a31bd04c04673a",
    "quote_text": "Quote 2,45 bei Interwetten*",
    "fragment_from": 1385,
    "fragment_to": 1412,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/heidenheim-kaiserslautern-09-10-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Michael Siemann",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "78cfb814e7078f783303f84becaaf64e11302d7438acc8244daa0654f221b0e4",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-08T10:21:59.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:04:55.734Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "not_checked",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-ac618c09ceec",
     "display_name": "1. FC Heidenheim — Kaiserslautern",
     "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-09T16:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/1-fc-heidenheim-vs-kaiserslautern-2026-10-09/",
     "scoreline": "0-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "under 2.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.45",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-08T10:21:59.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-08T10:21:59.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:04:55.734Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "under 2.5",
     "author_odds": "2.45",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "under",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 2.45"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "0-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was 1. FC Heidenheim 0-0 Kaiserslautern."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "38c675aff735bceb4005c65865a56ee82d725f1b423af2361504b439c18361f5",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "under 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "887228b702e3370d9bb0fc49389199fd2dd0bab418750712ed92c26b8f8e9617",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "under 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Michael Siemann",
     "publisher": "n-tv.de",
     "forecaster": "Michael Siemann",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/heidenheim-kaiserslautern-09-10-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "under 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-c4768016c20342bda62ff489",
   "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/3/#pick-n-c4768016c20342bda62ff489",
   "match": "1. FC Heidenheim v Kaiserslautern",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/1-fc-heidenheim-vs-kaiserslautern-2026-10-09/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-09T16:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "2. Bundesliga",
   "lead_hours": 2.4,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.75",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "0-0",
   "reason": "graded against the result: right",
   "reason_code": "not_checked",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-08T10:21:59.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:04:55.734Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-c4768016c20342bda62ff489",
    "quote_text": "Quote 3,75 bei Betano*",
    "fragment_from": 1242,
    "fragment_to": 1264,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/heidenheim-kaiserslautern-09-10-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Michael Siemann",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "78cfb814e7078f783303f84becaaf64e11302d7438acc8244daa0654f221b0e4",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-08T10:21:59.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:04:55.734Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "not_checked",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-ac618c09ceec",
     "display_name": "1. FC Heidenheim — Kaiserslautern",
     "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-09T16:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/1-fc-heidenheim-vs-kaiserslautern-2026-10-09/",
     "scoreline": "0-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "draw",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "3.75",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-08T10:21:59.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-08T10:21:59.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:04:55.734Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "draw",
     "author_odds": "3.75",
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "X",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.75"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "0-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was 1. FC Heidenheim 0-0 Kaiserslautern."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "98416bc3b2587211dd598fde85038137f09cb5e97e06ae00b5656eb596a91db8",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "f1b8802f1d278c287a0f41773ff8ea6e12e0d6718cae0d3621bd0b7f7dc20702",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Michael Siemann",
     "publisher": "n-tv.de",
     "forecaster": "Michael Siemann",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/heidenheim-kaiserslautern-09-10-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "a draw"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-2a47145ff31c4cb216a4c390",
   "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/3/#pick-n-2a47145ff31c4cb216a4c390",
   "match": "SV Darmstadt 98 v Cottbus",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "2. Bundesliga",
   "lead_hours": 20.9,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Cottbus at 3.1",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "3-1",
   "reason": "graded against the result: wrong",
   "reason_code": "not_checked",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-08T02:31:55.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:04:56.535Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-2a47145ff31c4cb216a4c390",
    "quote_text": "Sieg Cottbus 2\n\nDer FC Energie Cottbus ist bislang einfach besser in die Saison 26/27 gekommen.\n\nQuote 3,10 bei Betano*",
    "fragment_from": 1208,
    "fragment_to": 1327,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/darmstadt-cottbus-10-10-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Michael Siemann",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "852d47e9ab548302a092523534d9ec7075df138f6dd00ec11a16a507deb58556",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-08T02:31:55.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:04:56.535Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "not_checked",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-d14818ba0331",
     "display_name": "SV Darmstadt 98 — Cottbus",
     "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "3-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "Cottbus",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "3.1",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-08T02:31:55.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-08T02:31:55.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:04:56.535Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Cottbus",
     "author_odds": "3.1",
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Cottbus at 3.1"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "3-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was SV Darmstadt 98 3-1 Cottbus."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "4f4c4af2f95f59b552672998f63b0dbe1ef8978a248697492efd4cddcfa4df0b",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Cottbus",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "aefb59010c3ad4d931a5fa58e5c99247c36f6493047d227c287e828fa74b0312",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Cottbus",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Michael Siemann",
     "publisher": "n-tv.de",
     "forecaster": "Michael Siemann",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/darmstadt-cottbus-10-10-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Cottbus to win"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-2dedfb49365dd8aa79286a10",
   "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/3/#pick-n-2dedfb49365dd8aa79286a10",
   "match": "SV Darmstadt 98 v Cottbus",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "2. Bundesliga",
   "lead_hours": 20.9,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.4",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "3-1",
   "reason": "graded against the result: right",
   "reason_code": "not_checked",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-08T02:31:55.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:04:56.535Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-2dedfb49365dd8aa79286a10",
    "quote_text": "Über 2,5 Tore\n\nEnergie Cottbus beendete fünf seiner sechs Ligaspiele mit drei oder mehr Toren!\n\nQuote 1,40 bei Interwetten*",
    "fragment_from": 1335,
    "fragment_to": 1458,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/darmstadt-cottbus-10-10-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Michael Siemann",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "852d47e9ab548302a092523534d9ec7075df138f6dd00ec11a16a507deb58556",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-08T02:31:55.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:04:56.535Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "not_checked",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-d14818ba0331",
     "display_name": "SV Darmstadt 98 — Cottbus",
     "competition_name": "2. Bundesliga",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "3-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 2.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.4",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-08T02:31:55.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-08T02:31:55.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:04:56.535Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 2.5",
     "author_odds": "1.4",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.4"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "3-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was SV Darmstadt 98 3-1 Cottbus."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "232b616150c4a2ffc4eb0f7ad32693f60d7e3e68ed8a2de6838190be0a3c42f1",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "a799e0b3f9c1b918749b5b3386b8e963fdb3d807544dca1ace651c85b619f5b2",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Michael Siemann",
     "publisher": "n-tv.de",
     "forecaster": "Michael Siemann",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/darmstadt-cottbus-10-10-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-33edb70e8ecf479d05586f6c",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Quote ca. 1,65 bei Betano*",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-23T10:05:26.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:06:54.334Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-e0cd76bacc73220e6562f6f3",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Quote ca. 2,05 bei Interwetten*",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-23T10:05:26.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:06:54.334Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-011df561926ac5e0f459de64",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Tendenz\n\n2 Handicap 3:0\n\nDie Qualität im BVB-Kader ist groß genug für einen souveränen Sieg.\n\nQuote ca. 1,70 bei Betano*",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-01T10:09:08.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:09:33.200Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-d466ecf973df4d8e4e8621b5",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Tore\n\nÜber 4,5\n\nAn einem guten Tag setzt Borussia Dortmund hier mit Toren ein Zeichen.\n\nQuote ca. 1,85 bei Interwetten*",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-01T10:09:08.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:09:33.200Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-cff518905821a78e7f6329c3",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Über 3,5 Tore\n\nErneut ist der Klassenunterschied eine starke Begründung für viele Tore; auch die Wettquote ist spannend.\n\nQuote 2,20 bei Interwetten*",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-25T17:47:24.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:09:34.719Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-ac8c11ce0fab20d7a73c3bf6",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Sieg St. Pauli 2\n\nDer FC St. Pauli ist das höherklassige Team und dennoch stark quotiert.\n\nQuote 2,12 bei Betano*",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-23T12:39:26.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:09:35.158Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-f7f099605cffcedf8dbfa77c",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Unter 4,5 Tore\n\nWir glauben, dass beide Teams nicht so weit auseinander sind und erwarten kein Torfestival!\n\nQuote 1,22 bei Interwetten*",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-23T12:39:26.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:09:35.158Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-4121f6f84c472376b74e9daf",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Sieg Hamburg 2\n\nDer Bundesligist ist gegen den schlecht gestarteten Drittligisten der klare Favorit.\n\nQuote 1,55 bei Betano*",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-10T10:06:32.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:11:15.268Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-bbeacb3623f6466e123860e8",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Über 2,5 Tore\n\nGrundsätzlich trauen wir dem HSV Tore, wegen diverser Umstellungen aber auch ein Gegentor zu.\n\nQuote 1,40 bei Interwetten*",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-10T10:06:32.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:11:15.268Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-420aed21875f8b1198475e3c",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Über 2,5 Tore\n\nDie TSG 1899 Hoffenheim beendete seine Ligaspiele bislang mit 1:3, 2:1, 2:3 und 2:3!\n\nQuote 1,35 bei Interwetten*",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-08T03:05:51.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:11:15.447Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-f0e2afa3678ef1b53d2faa8d",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Sieg Hamburg 2\n\nBeide Teams mit einem ähnlichen Start, aber der HSV mit Vorteilen im H2H-Vergleich.\n\nQuote 7,50 bei Betano*",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-08T03:05:51.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:11:15.447Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-3a320754214312bc70e81da1",
   "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/3/#pick-n-3a320754214312bc70e81da1",
   "match": "RB Leipzig v Eintracht Frankfurt",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/rb-leipzig-vs-eintracht-frankfurt-2026-10-10/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-10T16:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Bundesliga",
   "lead_hours": 26.3,
   "market_code": "handicap_european",
   "author_said": "European handicap -1: RB Leipzig -1 at 2.25",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "6-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 12500,
   "series_code": "author_price",
   "series_short": "author's odds",
   "author_price": "2.25",
   "settled_price": "2.25",
   "published_at": "2026-10-08T04:10:55.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:11:16.261Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-3a320754214312bc70e81da1",
    "quote_text": "Tendenz\n\n1 Handicap 0:1\n\nDie letzten 5 direkten Duelle (H2H) endeten aus RBL-Sicht 3:1, 6:0, 0:4, 2:1 und 3:0!\n\nQuote 2,25 bei Betano*",
    "fragment_from": 1138,
    "fragment_to": 1272,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/leipzig-frankfurt-10-10-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Michael Siemann",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "2493fe099d9f8694f24a6efdcc36a816c1149e2c92ada8cc97f24b2262ec5452",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-08T04:10:55.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:11:16.261Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-10-09T14:55:04.941Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-7f44e1174795",
     "display_name": "RB Leipzig — Eintracht Frankfurt",
     "competition_name": "Bundesliga",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-10T16:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/rb-leipzig-vs-eintracht-frankfurt-2026-10-10/",
     "scoreline": "6-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "European handicap -1",
    "outcome_label": "RB Leipzig -1",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.25",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 12500,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-08T04:10:55.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-08T04:10:55.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:11:16.261Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "European handicap -1",
     "choice": "RB Leipzig -1",
     "author_odds": "2.25",
     "market_key": "handicap_european",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "-1",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "European handicap -1: RB Leipzig -1 at 2.25"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "6-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was RB Leipzig 6-0 Eintracht Frankfurt."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "f0771ce6d91685bf8217f57dc1e67dd19f22ba3328a7b9a24e8271955cb7216f",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "European handicap -1",
      "choice": "RB Leipzig -1",
      "decimal_odds": "2.25",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 12500,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-09T14:55:04.941Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "cc8cd508e3f6a3e6f22780b52cf54c557e43039d8ec79f604227f81c543d79c2",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "European handicap -1",
      "choice": "RB Leipzig -1",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Michael Siemann",
     "publisher": "n-tv.de",
     "forecaster": "Michael Siemann",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/leipzig-frankfurt-10-10-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "RB Leipzig -1"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-aad8a401bc21edfe81754453",
   "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/3/#pick-n-aad8a401bc21edfe81754453",
   "match": "RB Leipzig v Eintracht Frankfurt",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/rb-leipzig-vs-eintracht-frankfurt-2026-10-10/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-10T16:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Bundesliga",
   "lead_hours": 26.3,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score",
   "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.4",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "6-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": "1.4",
   "settled_price": "1.3846",
   "published_at": "2026-10-08T04:10:55.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:11:16.261Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "yes",
    "price": "1.3846",
    "result": "Lost",
    "points_hundredths": -10000,
    "picked_favourite": true
   },
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-aad8a401bc21edfe81754453",
    "quote_text": "Tore\n\nBeide Teams treffen B2S\n\nEintracht Frankfurt spielte in der Bundesliga bislang 3:3, 1:4, 3:1 und 2:2!\n\nQuote 1,40 bei Interwetten*",
    "fragment_from": 1274,
    "fragment_to": 1410,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/leipzig-frankfurt-10-10-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Michael Siemann",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "2493fe099d9f8694f24a6efdcc36a816c1149e2c92ada8cc97f24b2262ec5452",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-08T04:10:55.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:11:16.261Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-10-10T23:35:05.731Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-7f44e1174795",
     "display_name": "RB Leipzig — Eintracht Frankfurt",
     "competition_name": "Bundesliga",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-10T16:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/rb-leipzig-vs-eintracht-frankfurt-2026-10-10/",
     "scoreline": "6-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "yes",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.4",
     "our_snapshot": "1.3846",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-09T14:16:20.257Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-08T04:10:55.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-08T04:10:55.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-09T14:11:16.261Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
     "choice": "yes",
     "author_odds": "1.4",
     "market_key": "both_teams_score",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.4"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "6-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was RB Leipzig 6-0 Eintracht Frankfurt."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "73bc1173a5cde5d4b83cfc91a52e152cfa92d32c9403bb7e40c39fc58aa89a90",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "yes",
      "decimal_odds": "1.4",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-09T14:55:05.412Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "1e4c2eacfb2144e7657d8c0538ffb45275ab309e87df564d8d9fd7eee9ddac5f",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "yes",
      "decimal_odds": "1.3846",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-10T23:35:05.731Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Michael Siemann",
     "publisher": "n-tv.de",
     "forecaster": "Michael Siemann",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.n-tv.de/sportwetten/wett-tipps/leipzig-frankfurt-10-10-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-5881131e64572f4bc2e2b4d5",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Wir würden das\nRemis\nals Wett-Tipp auf Paderborn vs. Hoffenheim durchaus riskieren.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-18T17:00:53.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:16:18.650Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 167,
  "pages": 10,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/michael-siemann/",
   "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/2/",
   "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/3/",
   "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/4/",
   "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/5/",
   "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/6/",
   "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/7/",
   "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/8/",
   "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/",
   "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/10/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 57,
   "pending": 0,
   "excluded": 110
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 3,
  "first": 21,
  "last": 40,
  "author_url": "/authors/michael-siemann/",
  "current": false
 },
 "entity_id": "history:/authors/michael-siemann/picks/3/",
 "source_revision": 69
}
