{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "author", "url": "/authors/melissa-samaroo/", "canonical": "/authors/melissa-samaroo/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Melissa Samaroo: Football Prediction Record", "description": "3 settled picks by Melissa Samaroo recorded before kick-off across 2 matches, 20 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026: won 2 of 3 at our recorded market prices.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Forecast Record recorded 3 settled live picks by Melissa Samaroo before kick-off across 2 matches between 20 and 24 October 2026. Won 2 of 3 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 112 predictions we hold for Melissa Samaroo, 14 are linked to matches: 11 were recorded by us before kick-off and 3 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "key_number": "3", "data": "2026-11-07", "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot", "brand": "Forecast Record" }, "indexable": false, "noindex_reason": "too_few_settled", "indexing_threshold": { "settled_count": 3, "date_count": 5, "required_settled": 10, "required_dates": 2, "live_count": 3, "restored_count": 1, "of_them_archived": 0 }, "data_date": "2026-11-07T17:59:24.377Z", "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z", "content_hash": null, "meaning_hash": "0f2f8241e80fb98b0def915a8f1efbf80df9abdf265fbc5e959adb4987deec0f", "dependency_group": "author:e-71235d3790da652f1de8fd94", "release_id": "20261107-195223", "markup": [ { "type_code": "WebPage", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Organization", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Person", "allowed": true, "cause": null } ], "exports": [ { "type_code": "json", "url": "/authors/melissa-samaroo/index.json", "bytes": null }, { "type_code": "csv", "url": "/authors/melissa-samaroo/picks.csv", "bytes": null } ], "modules": { "affiliate": true, "api": true, "compare_yourself": false }, "affiliate_block": { "container": true, "request_url": "/partnery/moi", "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "author" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "entity": { "id": "e-71235d3790da652f1de8fd94", "public_name": "Melissa Samaroo", "tracker_number": 1559, "status": "active", "inactive_since": null, "verified_creator": false, "observation_period": { "since": "2026-09-28", "until": "2026-11-06" }, "platform_list": [ { "medium": "website", "handle": null, "url": null, "link_confirmed": false, "show": true } ], "comment": null }, "headline_number": { "metric": { "metric_id": "p-e-71235d3790da652f1de8fd94-roi-market-price-90d-z99", "code_name": "roi_market_price", "display_name": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot", "window_kind": "90d", "window_from": "2026-08-09", "window_to": "2026-11-07", "amount": "37.6933", "unit": "percent", "data_status": "calculated", "cause": null, "n_bets": 3, "n_events": 2, "n_void": 0, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "ci_method": "not_estimated", "price_source": "market_price", "coverage_percent": "100.00", "breakdown": [], "methodology_version": "2.2", "data_date": "2026-11-07T17:59:24.377Z", "enough_for_ranking": false, "series_uid": null, "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 3 settled picks across 2 matches", "average_odds": "2.00", "odds_from_author": 3, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, "metrics": [], "history": [], "simulation": { "series_uid": "sr-d3523cd09ac1967abc798950", "bankroll_hundredths": 1011308, "reserve_hundredths": 0, "issued_total_hundredths": 1000000, "top_up_count": 0, "profit_hundredths": 11308, "rewards_off": null, "initial_hundredths": 1000000, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "data_points": [ { "at": "2026-10-21T00:41:06.437Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1005208, "profit_hundredths": 5208, "outcome_id": "ish-cd0ffd2741248f88755f3d15" }, { "at": "2026-10-21T00:41:06.450Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1021308, "profit_hundredths": 21308, "outcome_id": "ish-66f16ab88be8c0660be4e860" }, { "at": "2026-10-24T19:17:45.162Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1011308, "profit_hundredths": 11308, "outcome_id": "ish-d3f8f9fe5e6f929a3824626f" } ], "top_ups": [], "rule": "When the balance falls below 100 points and no bets are open, 10000 points are added; the remaining balance is kept. 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no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-e7cb3e099e9a61f1f0e2fd87", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-e7cb3e099e9a61f1f0e2fd87", "quote_text": "Calgary brings a four-game winning streak into the matchup, but remains without Samuel Honzek", "fragment_from": 478, "fragment_to": 571, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.canadasportsbetting.ca/news/nhl/flames-vs-oilers-prediction-picks-odds-10-28-26/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Melissa Samaroo", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "60daf9e04fd05fa2b1244f5c72eea9b2ca7cecef6d2579f537277dc933d5060d", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-28T16:42:04.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-28T16:44:35.946Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-28T16:42:04.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-10-28T16:42:04.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-28T16:44:35.946Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-ae4a1a37556e0cee66b1406c", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-ae4a1a37556e0cee66b1406c", "quote_text": "The Calgary Flames visit Rogers Place on Wednesday, Oct. 28", "fragment_from": 274, "fragment_to": 333, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.canadasportsbetting.ca/news/nhl/flames-vs-oilers-prediction-picks-odds-10-28-26/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Melissa Samaroo", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "60daf9e04fd05fa2b1244f5c72eea9b2ca7cecef6d2579f537277dc933d5060d", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-28T16:42:04.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-28T16:44:35.946Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-28T16:42:04.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-10-28T16:42:04.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-28T16:44:35.946Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-83d642a078bd12e2a26ce49b", "url": "/authors/melissa-samaroo/picks/6/#pick-n-83d642a078bd12e2a26ce49b", "quote_text": "is -115 to find the back of the net.", "fragment_from": 4912, "fragment_to": 4948, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.canadasportsbetting.ca/news/nhl/flames-vs-oilers-prediction-picks-odds-10-28-26/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Melissa Samaroo", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "60daf9e04fd05fa2b1244f5c72eea9b2ca7cecef6d2579f537277dc933d5060d", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-28T16:42:04.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-28T16:44:35.946Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "not_supported", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_supported", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-28T16:42:04.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-10-28T16:42:04.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-28T16:44:35.946Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-f61bcd1d7475c78be0eb3932", "url": "/authors/melissa-samaroo/picks/6/#pick-n-f61bcd1d7475c78be0eb3932", "quote_text": "He’s -250 to beat that mark again.", "fragment_from": 4719, "fragment_to": 4753, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.canadasportsbetting.ca/news/nhl/flames-vs-oilers-prediction-picks-odds-10-28-26/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Melissa Samaroo", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "60daf9e04fd05fa2b1244f5c72eea9b2ca7cecef6d2579f537277dc933d5060d", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-28T16:42:04.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-28T16:44:35.946Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "not_supported", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_supported", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-28T16:42:04.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-10-28T16:42:04.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-28T16:44:35.946Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-09bb2e9370b85c9392472617", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-09bb2e9370b85c9392472617", "quote_text": "Start with the qualifying $50 bet on Milwaukee Brewers moneyline at -110", "fragment_from": 3925, "fragment_to": 3997, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.canadasportsbetting.ca/news/daily-promos/bet99-bonus-code-brewers-vs-rays-world-series-game-5/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Melissa Samaroo", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "363daca156789e64574d17ec2fb3648fbc4b2317dbd7702062b3c2e62f30cbcd", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-28T14:38:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-28T14:45:21.723Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-28T14:38:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-10-28T14:38:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-28T14:45:21.723Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null } ], "excluded_from_feed": { "ads": 38, "service": 0, "ruleset_version": "3" }, "standing": null, "retro": { "restored_total": 1, "of_them_archived_pre_match": 0, "found_post_match": 1, "of_them_source_reported": 0, "live_count": 3, "date_count": 1, "span_from": "2026-09-12", "span_to": "2026-09-12", "line_text": "restored history: 1, of which pre-match archive 0", "body": "We re-read what this author published before Premier League matches on 12 September 2026 and settled it against the final score. Restored picks: 1. Backed by a copy of the page in an independent web archive taken before kick-off: 0. Found after the match, with the publication date as stated by the source: 1. The market price at the moment of publication cannot be reconstructed, so restored picks are shown as reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), not at the closing price, for the pre-match archive and the later finds separately; the author's quoted price and, where it exists, the aggregator closing price are compared with it on the same picks. Authors can delete losing picks, so restored history may look better than it was.", "precision": { "n": 1, "share": "0.0" }, "series_list": [ { "code_name": "retro_author_price", "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "n": 0, "roi": null, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "data_status": "unknown", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "cause": "no restored pick with this price" }, { "code_name": "retro_market_closing", "display_name": "Restored, at the closing market price", "n": 1, "roi": "-100.0000", "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "data_status": "calculated", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "cause": null }, { "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm", "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "n": 1, "roi": "-100.0000", "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "data_status": "calculated", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "cause": null } ], "clv": { "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the market price at the moment of publication is unknown for restored picks; the author's quoted price against the aggregator closing price is compared on the same picks in each part of the record above" }, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "leagues": [ "Premier League" ], "source_list": "Results: the official regulation-time score, checked against a second data provider for 1 settled restored pick, and the two agree. Prices: the aggregator closing price and the second data provider's last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), as a separate series; each provider is its own series and they are never averaged." }, "late": null, "price_vs_market": { "contract_version": "1", "threshold_percent": "5", "rows": [ { "basis": "snapshot", "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)", "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick", "compared": 3, "above": 1, "above_share_percent": "33.3", "below": 0, "within": 2, "median_difference_percent": "0.6", "not_comparable": 0, "disputed": 0, "status": "calculated" } ], "examples": [ { "url": "/authors/melissa-samaroo/picks/5/#pick-n-f67432907998768725c7ce13", "basis": "snapshot", "stated": "2.80", "market": "2.61", "difference_percent": "7.3" } ], "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way." }, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "canadasportsbetting.ca", "url": "https://www.canadasportsbetting.ca/news/soccer/aston-villa-manchester-united-prediction-odds-november-08/" }, "observed_from": "2026-09-28", "observed_to": "2026-11-06", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "settled", "series_code": "market_price", "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price", "restored": false, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "headline_part": "live", "settled_picks": 3, "matches": 2, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 11308, "staked_hundredths": 30000, "return_percent": "37.69", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "period_from": "2026-10-20", "period_to": "2026-10-24", "status": "calculated", "method_version": "2.2", "short_history": true, "reason": null, "reasons": [], "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 3 settled live picks by Melissa Samaroo before kick-off across 2 matches between 20 and 24 October 2026. Won 2 of 3 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 112 predictions we hold for Melissa Samaroo, 14 are linked to matches: 11 were recorded by us before kick-off and 3 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Settled live picks", "value": "3", "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick", "note": null }, { "label": "Matches", "value": "2", "anchor": "/methodology/#match", "note": null }, { "label": "Net result", "value": "+113.08 points", "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement", "note": "100 points per pick" }, { "label": "Return at our recorded market price", "value": "+37.7%", "anchor": "/methodology/#roi", "note": null } ], "limitations": [], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": { "part": "live", "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.", "settled_picks": 3, "matches": 2, "match_dates": 2, "period_from": "2026-10-20", "period_to": "2026-10-24", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": 11308, "low": { "date": "2026-10-24", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 11308, "after_picks": 3 }, "high": { "date": "2026-10-20", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 21308, "after_picks": 2 }, "line_drawn": false, "steps": [ { "date": "2026-10-20", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 21308, "n": 2, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-10-24", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 11308, "n": 3, "picks": 1 } ] }, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record recorded 3 settled live picks by Melissa Samaroo before kick-off across 2 matches between 20 and 24 October 2026. Won 2 of 3 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 112 predictions we hold for Melissa Samaroo, 14 are linked to matches: 11 were recorded by us before kick-off and 3 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/melissa-samaroo/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2" }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 112, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 98, "proven_predictions": 11, "proven_checked": 11, "proven_measured": 3, "proven_dates": 5, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 11, "checked": 11, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": { "settled_picks": 3, "void": 0, "matches": 2, "net_points_hundredths": 11308, "staked_hundredths": 30000, "return_percent": "37.69", "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval", "period_from": "2026-10-20", "period_to": "2026-10-24", "method_version": "2.2", "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0", "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.0", "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 2 }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "author_price", "picks": 3, "return_main_percent": "37.69", "return_other_percent": "43.33", "settled_excluding_void": 3, "net_main_points_hundredths": 11308, "net_other_points_hundredths": 13000, "period_from": "2026-10-20", "period_to": "2026-10-24" }, { "price": "Closing price", "series_code": "closing_live", "picks": 2, "return_main_percent": "-23.96", "return_other_percent": "-22.68", "settled_excluding_void": 2, "net_main_points_hundredths": -4792, "net_other_points_hundredths": -4536, "period_from": "2026-10-20", "period_to": "2026-10-24" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 11, "priced": 3 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 3, "won": 2, "won_percent": "66.7", "implied_percent": "54.5", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Match result", "won": 1, "picks": 2, "implied_percent": "62.6" }, { "market": "Result and both teams to score", "won": 1, "picks": 1, "implied_percent": "38.3" } ] }, "reviewed_after": { "predictions": 8, "right": 6, "wrong": 2, "other": 0 } }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 3, "checked": 1, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": { "settled_picks": 1, "void": 0, "matches": 1, "net_points_hundredths": -10000, "staked_hundredths": 10000, "return_percent": "-100.00", "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval", "period_from": "2026-09-12", "period_to": "2026-09-12", "method_version": "retro-1.1" }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Closing price, aggregator", "series_code": "retro_market_closing", "picks": 1, "return_main_percent": "-100.00", "return_other_percent": "-100.00", "settled_excluding_void": 1, "net_main_points_hundredths": -10000, "net_other_points_hundredths": -10000, "period_from": "2026-09-12", "period_to": "2026-09-12" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 1, "priced": 1 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 1, "won": 0, "won_percent": "0.0", "implied_percent": "66.7", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Match result", "won": 0, "picks": 1, "implied_percent": "66.7" } ] } } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [ "n-298d6c84eed29b4e2196d80c", "n-e45bca309a238a22f430fcf1", "n-f67432907998768725c7ce13" ], "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 20–24 October 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2", "record_from": "2026-09-12", "record_to": "2026-11-06" }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-e45bca309a238a22f430fcf1", "url": "/authors/melissa-samaroo/picks/5/#pick-n-e45bca309a238a22f430fcf1", "match": "Chelsea v Tottenham Hotspur", "match_url": "/football/matches/chelsea-vs-tottenham-hotspur-2026-10-24/", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T16:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": 43.9, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Chelsea at 1.69", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "0-2", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.69", "settled_price": "1.6803", "published_at": "2026-10-22T20:30:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-22T20:34:41.514Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "1", "price": "1.6803", "result": "Lost", "points_hundredths": -10000, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-e45bca309a238a22f430fcf1", "quote_text": "Our Pick: Chelsea to win (-145)", "fragment_from": 661, "fragment_to": 692, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.canadasportsbetting.ca/news/soccer/tottenham-chelsea-odds-prediction-october-24/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Melissa Samaroo", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "522e1dc027c5825b455d2dfe856e877488181a58ff36905bb0ce7622dcd2fa7b", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-22T20:30:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-22T20:34:41.514Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-24T00:48:08.744Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-75e81bac336b", "display_name": "Chelsea — Tottenham Hotspur", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2026-10-24T16:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/chelsea-vs-tottenham-hotspur-2026-10-24/", "scoreline": "0-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Chelsea", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.69", "our_snapshot": "1.6803", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-22T20:33:58.260Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-22T20:30:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-10-22T20:30:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-22T20:34:41.514Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Chelsea", "author_odds": "1.69", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Chelsea at 1.69" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Chelsea 0-2 Tottenham Hotspur." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "824541a354f3f8ce37a0374b03dafb944706e963d6f1be23133e91e8a02d38e1", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Chelsea", "decimal_odds": "1.69", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-24T00:48:07.566Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "6d2376cca7fa72069691fd4a9610f5166aa22bc25722c51548fe87063b446539", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Chelsea", "decimal_odds": "1.6803", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-24T00:48:08.744Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Melissa Samaroo", "publisher": "canadasportsbetting.ca", "forecaster": "Melissa Samaroo", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.canadasportsbetting.ca/news/soccer/tottenham-chelsea-odds-prediction-october-24/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Chelsea to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-f67432907998768725c7ce13", "url": "/authors/melissa-samaroo/picks/5/#pick-n-f67432907998768725c7ce13", "match": "Liverpool v Villarreal", "match_url": "/football/matches/liverpool-vs-villarreal-2026-10-20/", "kickoff": "2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", "lead_hours": 25.1, "market_code": "both_teams_score_and_result", "author_said": "Match result and both teams to score: Liverpool win, both teams to score: yes at 2.8", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "4-3", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 16100, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "2.8", "settled_price": "2.6100", "published_at": "2026-10-19T17:45:16.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-19T17:54:37.526Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-f67432907998768725c7ce13", "quote_text": "Liverpool to win & BTTS\n\n+180", "fragment_from": 3127, "fragment_to": 3156, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.canadasportsbetting.ca/news/soccer/liverpool-villarreal-prediction-odds-october-20/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Melissa Samaroo", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "40d5f906997e191786b08b9236acfc520f4d5f5b3caf032645b89041aaa91eb4", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-19T17:45:16.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-19T17:54:37.526Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-21T00:37:43.867Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-e9ad016f0818", "display_name": "Liverpool — Villarreal", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/liverpool-vs-villarreal-2026-10-20/", "scoreline": "4-3", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score", "outcome_label": "Liverpool win, both teams to score: yes", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.8", "our_snapshot": "2.6100", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-19T17:50:01.786Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 16100, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-19T17:45:16.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-10-19T17:45:16.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-19T17:54:37.526Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score", "choice": "Liverpool win, both teams to score: yes", "author_odds": "2.8", "market_key": "both_teams_score_and_result", "choice_key": "1-yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Match result and both teams to score: Liverpool win, both teams to score: yes at 2.8" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "4-3", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Liverpool 4-3 Villarreal." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "da411101034dac6d1bb6d54cbac14bcf3f703d75dcbbf87583590bea5abd4d23", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score", "choice": "Liverpool win, both teams to score: yes", "decimal_odds": "2.8", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 18000, "executed_at": "2026-10-21T00:37:43.791Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "4d3adfdad0159fe2f628051d4d079ba12e7776fc4bce68944ec0603e043c766f", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Match result and both teams to score", "choice": "Liverpool win, both teams to score: yes", "decimal_odds": "2.6100", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 16100, "executed_at": "2026-10-21T00:37:43.867Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Melissa Samaroo", "publisher": "canadasportsbetting.ca", "forecaster": "Melissa Samaroo", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.canadasportsbetting.ca/news/soccer/liverpool-villarreal-prediction-odds-october-20/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Liverpool win, both teams to score: yes" } }, { "record_id": "n-298d6c84eed29b4e2196d80c", "url": "/authors/melissa-samaroo/picks/5/#pick-n-298d6c84eed29b4e2196d80c", "match": "Liverpool v Villarreal", "match_url": "/football/matches/liverpool-vs-villarreal-2026-10-20/", "kickoff": "2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", "lead_hours": 25.1, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Liverpool at 1.5", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "4-3", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 5208, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.5", "settled_price": "1.5208", "published_at": "2026-10-19T17:45:16.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-19T17:54:37.526Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "1", "price": "1.5208", "result": "Won", "points_hundredths": 5208, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-298d6c84eed29b4e2196d80c", "quote_text": "Our Pick: Match Result: Liverpool (-200)", "fragment_from": 743, "fragment_to": 783, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.canadasportsbetting.ca/news/soccer/liverpool-villarreal-prediction-odds-october-20/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Melissa Samaroo", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "40d5f906997e191786b08b9236acfc520f4d5f5b3caf032645b89041aaa91eb4", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-19T17:45:16.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-19T17:54:37.526Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-21T00:37:43.774Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-e9ad016f0818", "display_name": "Liverpool — Villarreal", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/liverpool-vs-villarreal-2026-10-20/", "scoreline": "4-3", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Liverpool", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.5", "our_snapshot": "1.5208", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-19T17:52:31.880Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 5208, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-19T17:45:16.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-10-19T17:45:16.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-19T17:54:37.526Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Liverpool", "author_odds": "1.5", "market_key": "1x2", 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