{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "author", "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/", "canonical": "/authors/medhi-poirier/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Medhi Poirier: Football Prediction Record", "description": "Verified record: 21 settled picks by Medhi Poirier recorded before kick-off across 21 matches, 9 Oct 2026 – 5 Nov 2026: +5.5% at our recorded market prices.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Forecast Record recorded 21 settled live picks by Medhi Poirier before kick-off across 21 matches between 9 October and 5 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +5.5% on the total staked. Of the 98 predictions we hold for Medhi Poirier, 60 are linked to matches: 59 were recorded by us before kick-off and 1 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "key_number": "+5.5%", "data": "2026-11-07", "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot", "brand": "Forecast Record" }, "indexable": false, "noindex_reason": "outside_core", "indexing_threshold": { "settled_count": 21, "date_count": 18, "required_settled": 10, "required_dates": 2 }, "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:02:46.894Z", "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z", "content_hash": null, "meaning_hash": "dbd795c58f8753bf8a6e3ee4e568906dad6cd0fb6e1523d8a5c098d58fc98c0b", "dependency_group": "author:e-898b69c17b51119c60412dc2", "release_id": "20261107-195223", "markup": [ { "type_code": "WebPage", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Organization", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Person", "allowed": true, "cause": null } ], "exports": [ { "type_code": "json", "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/index.json", "bytes": null }, { "type_code": "csv", "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/picks.csv", "bytes": null } ], "modules": { "affiliate": true, "api": true, "compare_yourself": false }, "affiliate_block": { "container": true, "request_url": "/partnery/moi", "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "author" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "entity": { "id": "e-898b69c17b51119c60412dc2", "public_name": "Medhi Poirier", "tracker_number": 2617, "status": "active", "inactive_since": null, "verified_creator": false, "observation_period": { "since": "2026-10-09", "until": "2026-11-06" }, "platform_list": [ { "medium": "website", "handle": null, "url": null, "link_confirmed": false, "show": true } ], "comment": null }, "headline_number": { "metric": { "metric_id": "p-e-898b69c17b51119c60412dc2-roi-market-price-90d-z99", "code_name": "roi_market_price", "display_name": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot", "window_kind": "90d", "window_from": "2026-08-09", "window_to": "2026-11-07", "amount": "5.4890", "unit": "percent", "data_status": "calculated", "cause": null, "n_bets": 21, "n_events": 21, "n_void": 0, "ci_low": "-30.3105", "ci_high": "36.7386", "ci_method": "cluster_bootstrap", "price_source": "market_price", "coverage_percent": "100.00", "breakdown": [], "methodology_version": "2.2", "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:02:46.894Z", "enough_for_ranking": false, "series_uid": null, "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 21 settled picks across 21 matches", "average_odds": "1.54", "odds_from_author": 21, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, "metrics": [], "history": [], "simulation": { "series_uid": "sr-53cfbe9baf111fe705ac3df0", "bankroll_hundredths": 1011527, "reserve_hundredths": 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"outcome_id": "ish-a7e010c38e6115c735bb5f4c" }, { "at": "2026-10-15T21:06:08.222Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1019496, "profit_hundredths": 19496, "outcome_id": "ish-5390db68984a5bb866136cf9" }, { "at": "2026-10-19T01:03:06.803Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1009496, "profit_hundredths": 9496, "outcome_id": "ish-528b6de17d7b67eeeb1f1955" }, { "at": "2026-10-19T01:41:35.289Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1014624, "profit_hundredths": 14624, "outcome_id": "ish-a7dc514cbe1e333d8d19f49c" }, { "at": "2026-10-19T01:41:35.307Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1018025, "profit_hundredths": 18025, "outcome_id": "ish-5b20fe4037b0293aeed10246" }, { "at": "2026-10-22T11:25:47.730Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1024075, "profit_hundredths": 24075, "outcome_id": "ish-e280d165009148733a21fa13" }, { "at": "2026-10-22T17:06:03.939Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1030375, "profit_hundredths": 30375, "outcome_id": "ish-892ef990f7f725ab892dd31f" }, { "at": "2026-10-22T21:10:32.322Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1036827, "profit_hundredths": 36827, "outcome_id": "ish-1ffdef815f32cbd3b1d85a4a" }, { "at": "2026-10-24T18:57:46.400Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1040827, "profit_hundredths": 40827, "outcome_id": "ish-4a391a7f50f19e98f64adb89" }, { "at": "2026-10-29T01:10:30.300Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1049827, "profit_hundredths": 49827, "outcome_id": "ish-cb601f9a7f20e6c77fa72bfa" }, { "at": "2026-10-29T01:10:30.315Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1053527, "profit_hundredths": 53527, "outcome_id": "ish-0501e6c61404785e7a7f15b7" }, { "at": "2026-11-01T10:08:31.319Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1043527, "profit_hundredths": 43527, "outcome_id": "ish-a8d0a446434f131be2146ad0" }, { "at": "2026-11-01T15:50:19.663Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1051527, "profit_hundredths": 51527, "outcome_id": "ish-3480ecab114746f80e2a9319" }, { "at": "2026-11-01T18:29:09.983Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1041527, "profit_hundredths": 41527, "outcome_id": "ish-b1853d2ead400d05d5eb9085" }, { "at": "2026-11-05T22:53:58.037Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1031527, 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While bets are open we wait for settlement.", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, "simulations": [], "completeness": { "detected": 521, "recognised": 98, "accepted": 59, "executed": 31, "calculated": 26, "gaps": [ { "cause": "not_supported", "figure": 28 }, { "cause": "not_checked", "figure": 24 }, { "cause": "other reading", "figure": 9 }, { "cause": "disputed_reading", "figure": 3 }, { "cause": "outside the method", "figure": 1 }, { "cause": "no_price_at_capture", "figure": 1 }, { "cause": "read after the match, from archived pages", "figure": 1 } ] }, "record_counts": { "dictionary_version": "1", "statements": 521, "of_them_restored": 3, "not_predictions": { "opinions": 24, "not_about_a_match": 396, "unclassified": 0 }, "predictions": 98, "predictions_restored": 1, "matches": 53, "admitted": 59, "qualifying_picks": 31, "qualifying_picks_restored": 0, "settled_picks": 26, "settled_picks_restored": 0, "series_list": [ { "code_name": "market_price", "derived": false, "is_restored": false, "qualifying_picks": 23, "settled_picks": 21, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 2, "matches": 21, "operations_settled": 21, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "2.2" ], "display_name": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, { "code_name": "author_price", "derived": false, "is_restored": false, "qualifying_picks": 31, "settled_picks": 26, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 5, "matches": 26, "operations_settled": 26, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "2.1", "2.2" ], "display_name": "At the author's stated price" } ], "gaps": [ { "code_name": "not_supported", "cause": "not_supported", "figure": 28 }, { "code_name": "not_checked", "cause": "not_checked", "figure": 24 }, { "code_name": "ambiguous", "cause": "other reading", "figure": 9 }, { "code_name": "disputed_reading", "cause": "disputed_reading", "figure": 3 }, { "code_name": "not_admitted", "cause": "outside the method", "figure": 1 }, { "code_name": "no_price_at_capture", "cause": "no_price_at_capture", "figure": 1 }, { "code_name": "after_match", "cause": "read after the match, from archived pages", "figure": 1 } ], "duplicates": 0, "junk": { "ads": 32 }, "dictionary_url": "/methodology/#words" }, "evidence_items": [ { "observation_id": "n-ed5d6afde0493f1fb4f4dc59", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-ed5d6afde0493f1fb4f4dc59", "quote_text": "Braga occupe la 8e place.", "fragment_from": 9742, "fragment_to": 9767, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportytrader.com/pronostics/rio-ave-sc-braga-386148/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Medhi Poirier", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "dc9605d04e1eb619b767dff6ea8f2d111b08f47a81c290e04e09b7a1e44994fd", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-06T20:46:55.021Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-06T20:46:55.021Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "no_date" ], "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-6613863cb1e5084c256e4741", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-6613863cb1e5084c256e4741", "quote_text": "Rio Ave est 16e du championnat et relégable.", "fragment_from": 9696, "fragment_to": 9740, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportytrader.com/pronostics/rio-ave-sc-braga-386148/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Medhi Poirier", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "dc9605d04e1eb619b767dff6ea8f2d111b08f47a81c290e04e09b7a1e44994fd", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-06T20:46:55.021Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-06T20:46:55.021Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "no_date" ], "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-e1579547769c85064200d88e", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-e1579547769c85064200d88e", "quote_text": "Stats en face-à-face Rio Ave contre Sporting Braga", "fragment_from": 7442, "fragment_to": 7492, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportytrader.com/pronostics/rio-ave-sc-braga-386148/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Medhi Poirier", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "dc9605d04e1eb619b767dff6ea8f2d111b08f47a81c290e04e09b7a1e44994fd", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-06T20:46:55.021Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, 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settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-cbe40f6cf842b6fcdec0614d", "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/picks/6/#pick-n-cbe40f6cf842b6fcdec0614d", "quote_text": "Moins de 3.5 buts\n\n1.32", "fragment_from": 10493, "fragment_to": 10516, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportytrader.com/pronostics/rio-ave-sc-braga-386148/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Medhi Poirier", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "dc9605d04e1eb619b767dff6ea8f2d111b08f47a81c290e04e09b7a1e44994fd", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-06T20:46:55.021Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-06T22:55:17.953Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-3e57a17d76e0", "display_name": "Rio Ave — Sporting Braga", "competition_name": "Primeira Liga", "starts_at": "2026-11-08T20:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/rio-ave-vs-sporting-braga-2026-11-08/", "scoreline": null, "condition": "scheduled" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "outcome_label": "under 3.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.32", "our_snapshot": "1.3800", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-06T22:40:05.308Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "unknown", "simulation_change_hundredths": 0, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-06T20:46:55.021Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "no_date" ], "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "under 3.5", "author_odds": "1.32", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "under", "period": "match", "line": "3.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5 at 1.32" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "unknown", "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "kick-off 8 November 2026, 20:30 UTC", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Pending: kick-off 8 November 2026, 20:30 UTC." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "8fd610ddf7cdbb0b78a0cb602a88327f40e2beb9601e0871dd43ab5e3c3692fb", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "under 3.5", "decimal_odds": "1.32", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-11-06T22:55:14.213Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "238d859acfe567d6c154a7bfdd8d80a7978a2cff4f25a6d45fdcacd0657d3b46", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "under 3.5", "decimal_odds": "1.3800", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-11-06T22:55:17.953Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], 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Term: a dated fact.", "provenance": "live", "rules_version": "catalog-1", "methodology_version": "catalog-1", "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "valid_until": null, "anchor_id": "standing-p-01-w-70a11e3952-event", "alt": "Medhi Poirier · 4/5 result calls right · week of 12 Oct 2026 · Tracked by Forecast Record", "csv_url": null, "embed": "\"Medhi", "neighbours": [], "window_words": "On show until 15 Feb 2027", "measure_words": null, "amount_words": null, "interval_words": null, "title_tier": "dated_record", "status": "active", "status_reason": null, "event_at": "2026-10-18", "evidence_through": "2026-10-18", "earned_at": "2026-10-24", "published_at": "2026-10-26", "visible_until": "2027-02-15", "badge_label": "4/5 · week of 12 Oct", "scope_words": null, "title_id": "zk-70a11e3952fc4f6e7858", "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-5fb3c7c475f5b0c697ec86cf", "data": "2026-10-15", "match": "Jagiellonia v Ararat-Armenia", "said_text": "1X2, match result: Jagiellonia at 1.35", "outcome_label": "right", "evidence_price": 1.4, "comparison": "13 other tipsters and sources on this match, 12 right (12 named home win, 1 named draw)", "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/picks/3/#pick-n-5fb3c7c475f5b0c697ec86cf" }, { "nid": "n-d37bac82ee308e1da48cfcb2", "data": "2026-10-17", "match": "Atlético Mineiro v Coritiba", "said_text": "1X2, match result: Atlético Mineiro at 1.39", "outcome_label": "right", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "1 other tipster on this match, 1 right (1 named home win)", "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/picks/3/#pick-n-d37bac82ee308e1da48cfcb2" }, { "nid": "n-7b44de9c3c899bd1ff98e913", "data": "2026-10-17", "match": "Botafogo v Chapecoense", "said_text": "1X2, match result: Botafogo at 1.31", "outcome_label": "right", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 3 right (3 named home win)", "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/picks/3/#pick-n-7b44de9c3c899bd1ff98e913" }, { "nid": "n-efb26e5bdd1c536bfa3b967c", "data": "2026-10-18", "match": "Fluminense v Santos", "said_text": "1X2, match result: Fluminense at 2.13", "outcome_label": "wrong", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (2 named home win, 1 named draw)", "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/picks/4/#pick-n-efb26e5bdd1c536bfa3b967c" }, { "nid": "n-2fcd3164db48ab3d99bf1caa", "data": "2026-10-18", "match": "Beijing Guoan v Qingdao West Coast", "said_text": "1X2, match result: Beijing Guoan at 1.35", "outcome_label": "right", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": null, "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/picks/3/#pick-n-2fcd3164db48ab3d99bf1caa" } ], "evidence_total": 5, "badge": { "variants": [ { "size": "l", "theme": "light", "width": 1003, "height": 40, "url": "/b/e-898b69c17b51119c60412dc2/p-01-w-70a11e3952-event-l-light.svg" }, { "size": "l", "theme": "dark", "width": 1003, "height": 40, "url": "/b/e-898b69c17b51119c60412dc2/p-01-w-70a11e3952-event-l-dark.svg" }, { "size": "m", "theme": "light", "width": 738, "height": 28, "url": "/b/e-898b69c17b51119c60412dc2/p-01-w-70a11e3952-event-m-light.svg" }, { "size": "m", "theme": "dark", "width": 738, "height": 28, "url": "/b/e-898b69c17b51119c60412dc2/p-01-w-70a11e3952-event-m-dark.svg" }, { "size": "s", "theme": "light", "width": 575, "height": 20, "url": "/b/e-898b69c17b51119c60412dc2/p-01-w-70a11e3952-event-s-light.svg" }, { "size": "s", "theme": "dark", "width": 575, "height": 20, "url": "/b/e-898b69c17b51119c60412dc2/p-01-w-70a11e3952-event-s-dark.svg" } ], "card_url": "/b/e-898b69c17b51119c60412dc2/p-01-w-70a11e3952-event-card.svg" }, "profile_anchor": "title-70a11e3952fc", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "at_least", "priced": 4, "unpriced": 1, "hits": 3, "probability": 0.552987, "one_in": 2, "log10": -0.26, "words": "about even", "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "embed_anchor": "title-week-record" }, { "code_name": "S-01", "display_name": "5 matches in a row, every pick correct · 10 Oct–11 Oct 2026", "received_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "window_kind": "event", "cause": null, "type_code": null, "bucket_code": "z-9dfdfacc07", "bucket": "Correct run", "measure": null, "place": null, "out_of": null, "n_bets": 5, "n_events": null, "amount": null, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "ci_level": null, "fact": "5 matches in a row, every pick correct · 10 Oct–11 Oct 2026", "rationale": "5 different matches in a row with every counted pick correct, first to last within 28 days; matches kicking off at the same time count as one group. The run ended on Gwangju FC v Ulsan HD. Data: live record. Term: a dated fact.", "provenance": "live", "rules_version": "catalog-1", "methodology_version": "catalog-1", "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "valid_until": null, "anchor_id": "standing-s-01-z-9dfdfacc07-event", "alt": "Medhi Poirier · 5 matches in a row, every pick correct · 10 Oct–11 Oct 2026 · Tracked by Forecast Record", "csv_url": null, "embed": "\"Medhi", "neighbours": [], "window_words": "On show until 8 Feb 2027", "measure_words": null, "amount_words": null, "interval_words": null, "title_tier": "dated_record", "status": "active", "status_reason": null, "event_at": "2026-10-11", "evidence_through": "2026-10-11", "earned_at": "2026-10-25", "published_at": "2026-10-19", "visible_until": "2027-02-08", "badge_label": "5 right in a row · 11 Oct", "scope_words": null, "title_id": "zk-9dfdfacc0787953bc15f", "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-c258afb7c04fbfbfeb9307ac", "data": "2026-10-10", "match": "Cerezo Osaka v Yokohama F-Marinos", "said_text": "Double chance: Cerezo Osaka or draw at 1.35", "outcome_label": "right", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": null, "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/picks/2/#pick-n-c258afb7c04fbfbfeb9307ac" }, { "nid": "n-5d0d66b280c126e14ee7a55b", "data": "2026-10-10", "match": "FC Tokyo v Urawa Red Diamonds", "said_text": "1X2, match result: FC Tokyo at 1.6", "outcome_label": "right", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "1 other tipster on this match, 1 right (1 named home win)", "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/picks/2/#pick-n-5d0d66b280c126e14ee7a55b" }, { "nid": "n-74967ce82db80a87c07537db", "data": "2026-10-10", "match": "Samsunspor v Trabzonspor", "said_text": "1X2, match result: Trabzonspor at 1.8", "outcome_label": "right", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 3 right (3 named away win)", "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/picks/2/#pick-n-74967ce82db80a87c07537db" }, { "nid": "n-3feafc0164e1ad302cb3c4d6", "data": "2026-10-10", "match": "Rizespor v Fenerbahçe", "said_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.54", "outcome_label": "right", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": null, "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/picks/2/#pick-n-3feafc0164e1ad302cb3c4d6" }, { "nid": "n-cf76a505816fc203bea979ac", "data": "2026-10-11", "match": "São Paulo v Vitória", "said_text": "1X2, match result: São Paulo at 1.57", "outcome_label": "right", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": null, "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/picks/2/#pick-n-cf76a505816fc203bea979ac" } ], "evidence_total": 5, "badge": { "variants": [ { "size": "l", "theme": "light", "width": 1168, "height": 40, "url": "/b/e-898b69c17b51119c60412dc2/s-01-z-9dfdfacc07-event-l-light.svg" }, { "size": "l", "theme": "dark", "width": 1168, "height": 40, "url": "/b/e-898b69c17b51119c60412dc2/s-01-z-9dfdfacc07-event-l-dark.svg" }, { "size": "m", "theme": "light", "width": 860, "height": 28, "url": "/b/e-898b69c17b51119c60412dc2/s-01-z-9dfdfacc07-event-m-light.svg" }, { "size": "m", "theme": "dark", "width": 860, "height": 28, "url": "/b/e-898b69c17b51119c60412dc2/s-01-z-9dfdfacc07-event-m-dark.svg" }, { "size": "s", "theme": "light", "width": 671, "height": 20, "url": "/b/e-898b69c17b51119c60412dc2/s-01-z-9dfdfacc07-event-s-light.svg" }, { "size": "s", "theme": "dark", "width": 671, "height": 20, "url": "/b/e-898b69c17b51119c60412dc2/s-01-z-9dfdfacc07-event-s-dark.svg" } ], "card_url": "/b/e-898b69c17b51119c60412dc2/s-01-z-9dfdfacc07-event-card.svg" }, "profile_anchor": "title-9dfdfacc0787", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "streak", "priced": 2, "unpriced": 3, "hits": 2, "probability": 0.382499, "one_in": 3, "log10": -0.42, "words": "1 in 3", "rule": "product of the market probabilities (1/price) of every pick in the run", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "embed_anchor": "title-correct-run-correct-run-2" } ], "publication_mode": "top20", "empty_reason": null, "rules_version": "catalog-1", "insufficient": [], "badges_on_page": 0, "header_titles": [ { "title_id": "zk-df28c8d1cb6e3af7dc00", "code_name": "S-01", "title_tier": "dated_record", "badge_label": "6 right in a row · 31 Oct", "body": "6 matches in a row, every pick correct · 24 Oct–31 Oct 2026", "tier": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-df28c8d1cb6e", "event_at": "2026-10-31", "url": "/titles/s-01-correct-run/#zk-df28c8d1cb6e3af7dc00" }, { "title_id": "zk-70a11e3952fc4f6e7858", "code_name": "P-01", "title_tier": "dated_record", "badge_label": "4/5 · week of 12 Oct", "body": "4/5 result calls right · week of 12 Oct 2026", "tier": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-70a11e3952fc", "event_at": "2026-10-18", "url": "/titles/p-01-week-record/#zk-70a11e3952fc4f6e7858" }, { "title_id": "zk-9dfdfacc0787953bc15f", "code_name": "S-01", "title_tier": "dated_record", "badge_label": "5 right in a row · 11 Oct", "body": "5 matches in a row, every pick correct · 10 Oct–11 Oct 2026", "tier": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-9dfdfacc0787", "event_at": "2026-10-11", "url": "/titles/s-01-correct-run/#zk-9dfdfacc0787953bc15f" } ], "record_origin": [ { "portion": "live", "n": 52, "body": "52 recorded before kick-off · since 9 Oct 2026" } ], "recent_record": [ { "code_name": "S-01", "body": "6 matches in a row, every pick correct · 24 Oct–31 Oct 2026", "event_at": "2026-10-31", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-df28c8d1cb6e" }, { "code_name": "P-01", "body": "4/5 result calls right · week of 12 Oct 2026", "event_at": "2026-10-18", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-70a11e3952fc" }, { "code_name": "S-01", "body": "5 matches in a row, every pick correct · 10 Oct–11 Oct 2026", "event_at": "2026-10-11", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-9dfdfacc0787" }, { "code_name": "S-01", "body": "4 matches in a row, every pick correct · 22 Oct–23 Oct 2026", "event_at": "2026-10-23", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "anchor_id": "title-982dcb3c295f" } ], "record_details": [ { "code_name": "M-11", "body": "Most recorded: Match result (1X2) · 20 matches", "details_words": "Match result (1X2) 15/24 (20 matches); Goals over/under 5/9 (9 matches); Both teams to score 5/8 (8 matches); Double chance and draw no bet 5/8 (8 matches); Handicaps 2/2 (2 matches); Bet-builder combos 0/1 (1 match)", "url": null, "provenance": "live", "display_name": "Most recorded bet type", "rule_href": "/titles/m-11-most-recorded-bet-type/" } ], "history": [ { "code_name": "S-01", "body": "5 matches in a row, every pick correct · 24 Oct–29 Oct 2026 · removed 1 Nov 2026", "event_at": "2026-11-01", "status": "corrected", "cause": "recomputed after a correction to the record", "provenance": "live" } ] }, "retro": null, "late": null, "price_vs_market": { "contract_version": "1", "threshold_percent": "5", "rows": [ { "basis": "snapshot", "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)", "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick", "compared": 23, "above": 0, "above_share_percent": "0.0", "below": 11, "within": 12, "median_difference_percent": "-5.0", "not_comparable": 0, "disputed": 0, "status": "calculated" } ], "examples": [ { "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/picks/5/#pick-n-b23d2cdc739a3abbd4e59248", "basis": "snapshot", "stated": "1.71", "market": "1.90", "difference_percent": "-10.0" }, { "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/picks/6/#pick-n-b7135e016a2c96a154513425", "basis": "snapshot", "stated": "1.64", "market": "1.80", "difference_percent": "-8.9" } ], "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way." }, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "sportytrader.com", "url": "https://www.sportytrader.com/pronostics/rio-ave-sc-braga-386148/" }, "observed_from": "2026-10-09", "observed_to": "2026-11-06", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "settled", "series_code": "market_price", "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price", "restored": false, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "headline_part": "live", "settled_picks": 21, "matches": 21, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 11527, "staked_hundredths": 210000, "return_percent": "5.49", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "period_from": "2026-10-09", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "status": "calculated", "method_version": "2.2", "short_history": true, "reason": null, "reasons": [], "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 21 settled live picks by Medhi Poirier before kick-off across 21 matches between 9 October and 5 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +5.5% on the total staked. Of the 98 predictions we hold for Medhi Poirier, 60 are linked to matches: 59 were recorded by us before kick-off and 1 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Settled live picks", "value": "21", "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick", "note": null }, { "label": "Matches", "value": "21", "anchor": "/methodology/#match", "note": null }, { "label": "Net result", "value": "+115.27 points", "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement", "note": "100 points per pick" }, { "label": "Return at our recorded market price", "value": "+5.5%", "anchor": "/methodology/#roi", "note": "95% interval −30.3% to +36.7%" } ], "limitations": [], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [ { "date": "2026-10-09", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000, "n": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-10", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -3950, "n": 2 }, { "date": "2026-10-11", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 15622, "n": 5 }, { "date": "2026-10-12", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 21546, "n": 6 }, { "date": "2026-10-15", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 25546, "n": 7 }, { "date": "2026-10-17", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 24075, "n": 10 }, { "date": "2026-10-18", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 14075, "n": 11 }, { "date": "2026-10-19", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 4075, "n": 12 }, { "date": "2026-10-22", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 16827, "n": 14 }, { "date": "2026-10-24", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 20827, "n": 15 }, { "date": "2026-10-28", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 33527, "n": 17 }, { "date": "2026-11-01", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 21527, "n": 20 }, { "date": "2026-11-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 11527, "n": 21 } ], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": { "part": "live", "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.", "settled_picks": 21, "matches": 21, "match_dates": 13, "period_from": "2026-10-09", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": 11527, "low": { "date": "2026-10-09", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000, "after_picks": 1 }, "high": { "date": "2026-10-28", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 33527, "after_picks": 17 }, "line_drawn": true, "steps": [ { "date": "2026-10-09", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000, "n": 1, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-10", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -3950, "n": 2, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-11", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 15622, "n": 5, "picks": 3 }, { "date": "2026-10-12", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 21546, "n": 6, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-15", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 25546, "n": 7, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-17", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 24075, "n": 10, "picks": 3 }, { "date": "2026-10-18", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 14075, "n": 11, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-19", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 4075, "n": 12, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-22", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 16827, "n": 14, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-10-24", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 20827, "n": 15, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-28", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 33527, "n": 17, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-11-01", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 21527, "n": 20, "picks": 3 }, { "date": "2026-11-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 11527, "n": 21, "picks": 1 } ] }, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record recorded 21 settled live picks by Medhi Poirier before kick-off across 21 matches between 9 October and 5 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +5.5% on the total staked. Of the 98 predictions we hold for Medhi Poirier, 60 are linked to matches: 59 were recorded by us before kick-off and 1 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/medhi-poirier/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2" }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 98, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 38, "proven_predictions": 59, "proven_checked": 54, "proven_measured": 21, "proven_dates": 18, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 59, "checked": 54, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": { "settled_picks": 21, "void": 0, "matches": 21, "net_points_hundredths": 11527, "staked_hundredths": 210000, "return_percent": "5.49", "interval_low": "-30.31", "interval_high": "36.74", "interval_note": null, "period_from": "2026-10-09", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "method_version": "2.2", "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0", "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.2", "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 5 }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "author_price", "picks": 21, "return_main_percent": "5.49", "return_other_percent": "-0.67", "settled_excluding_void": 21, "net_main_points_hundredths": 11527, "net_other_points_hundredths": -1400, "period_from": "2026-10-09", "period_to": "2026-11-05" }, { "price": "Closing price", "series_code": "closing_live", "picks": 15, "return_main_percent": "4.78", "return_other_percent": "3.63", "settled_excluding_void": 15, "net_main_points_hundredths": 7177, "net_other_points_hundredths": 5451, "period_from": "2026-10-11", "period_to": "2026-11-05" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 54, "priced": 21 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 21, "won": 14, "won_percent": "66.7", "implied_percent": "62.4", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Match result", "won": 8, "picks": 10, "implied_percent": "60.9" }, { "market": "Both teams to score", "won": 3, "picks": 4, "implied_percent": "59.4" }, { "market": "Double chance", "won": 2, "picks": 4, "implied_percent": "69.9" }, { "market": "Over/under goals", "won": 1, "picks": 3, "implied_percent": "61.6" } ] }, "reviewed_after": { "predictions": 26, "right": 14, "wrong": 12, "other": 0 } }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 1, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [ "n-162137c39ec2ba75e2c332c2", "n-16543958b7c16bc0dc5d6924", "n-3feafc0164e1ad302cb3c4d6", "n-50bd65ad2f36e38b7f873023", "n-5fb3c7c475f5b0c697ec86cf", "n-629702fae6c66ef51359138e", "n-6804e6c8da04fb356bb83763", "n-6bd8abcbb844ed17e7f5a5fa", "n-72470101f1ea43343788c6de", "n-7b44de9c3c899bd1ff98e913", "n-7d3de21d7ac44965a0b2979b", "n-7dd75db42c02784a171d6cba", "n-a5740f7d46b05374bd063846", "n-b23d2cdc739a3abbd4e59248", "n-b7135e016a2c96a154513425", "n-cf76a505816fc203bea979ac", "n-d37bac82ee308e1da48cfcb2", "n-dcfbfb5f8e805ab1ef35169b", "n-e04602254ddbff8e5e7995a2", "n-efb26e5bdd1c536bfa3b967c", "n-fd6ffa32e337db8ee3e8eea3" ], "interval_low": "-30.31", "interval_high": "36.74", "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 9 October – 5 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2", "record_from": "2026-10-09", "record_to": "2026-11-07" }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-e240750821ec82dd6350c356", "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/picks/6/#pick-n-e240750821ec82dd6350c356", "match": "FC Tokyo v Kashima Antlers", "match_url": "/football/matches/fc-tokyo-vs-kashima-antlers-2026-11-07/", "kickoff": "2026-11-07T06:00:00.000Z", "competition": "J1 League", "lead_hours": 47.9, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: FC Tokyo at 1.81", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "2-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 8100, "series_code": "author_price", "series_short": "author's odds", "author_price": "1.81", "settled_price": "1.81", "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T06:06:51.198Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-e240750821ec82dd6350c356", "quote_text": "Notre pronostic FC Tokyo - Kashima Antlers : Victoire du FC Tokyo !\n\nLe pronostic :\n\nFC Tokyo gagne\n\n1.81", "fragment_from": 9886, "fragment_to": 9991, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportytrader.com/pronostics/fc-tokyo-kashima-antlers-385354/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Medhi Poirier", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "325e96bdb078b1f8e79195ebf60be45eb5f991b708ef47b0657bf8cb13603c64", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-05T06:06:51.198Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-05T06:08:28.012Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-d841052ed3de", "display_name": "FC Tokyo — Kashima Antlers", "competition_name": "J1 League", "starts_at": "2026-11-07T06:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/fc-tokyo-vs-kashima-antlers-2026-11-07/", "scoreline": "2-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "FC Tokyo", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.81", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 8100, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-05T06:06:51.198Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "no_date" ], "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "FC Tokyo", "author_odds": "1.81", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: FC Tokyo at 1.81" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "2-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was FC Tokyo 2-0 Kashima Antlers." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "3bae79a67cd730a41bb4f265501bc254a0c242ecfa459dd0a414554075d5b3d0", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "FC Tokyo", "decimal_odds": "1.81", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 8100, "executed_at": "2026-11-05T06:08:28.012Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "2c9f4414089415b8d00a044622d507d704f99776c0beec56ef6b7a5136e844a6", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "FC Tokyo", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Medhi Poirier", "publisher": "sportytrader.com", "forecaster": "Medhi Poirier", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportytrader.com/pronostics/fc-tokyo-kashima-antlers-385354/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "FC Tokyo to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-6bd8abcbb844ed17e7f5a5fa", "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/picks/6/#pick-n-6bd8abcbb844ed17e7f5a5fa", "match": "Celtic v Beşiktaş", "match_url": "/football/matches/celtic-vs-besiktas-2026-11-05/", "kickoff": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Europa League", "lead_hours": 47.2, "market_code": "double_chance", "author_said": "Double chance: draw or Beşiktaş at 1.33", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "3-2", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.33", "settled_price": "1.3600", "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-11-03T20:48:38.426Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-6bd8abcbb844ed17e7f5a5fa", "quote_text": "Nul ou Besiktas\n\n1.33", "fragment_from": 9720, "fragment_to": 9741, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportytrader.com/pronostics/celtic-fc-besiktas-385029/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Medhi Poirier", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "f10899d94f294c0597f4d73afcc2ad06772a47c650b45f24a7f374c5da58fd7a", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-03T20:48:38.426Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-03T20:52:46.513Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-956b3f4d80d8", "display_name": "Celtic — Beşiktaş", "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League", "starts_at": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/celtic-vs-besiktas-2026-11-05/", "scoreline": "3-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Double chance", "outcome_label": "draw or Beşiktaş", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.33", "our_snapshot": "1.3600", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-03T20:45:50.338Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-03T20:48:38.426Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "no_date" ], "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "draw or Beşiktaş", "author_odds": "1.33", "market_key": "double_chance", "choice_key": "X2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Double chance: draw or Beşiktaş at 1.33" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "3-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Celtic 3-2 Beşiktaş." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "c2eb259942eb38ea209ff34439188bd7667b1523d6293d388684657213ee34e4", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "draw or Beşiktaş", "decimal_odds": "1.33", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-03T20:52:43.523Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "a02d3717b779b0b5e0505ec5f4d8536adbd953e6b5232742d7fc4407886e4ccb", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "draw or Beşiktaş", "decimal_odds": "1.3600", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", 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"quote": "Notre pronostic Dalian Yingbo - Tianjin Tigers : Victoire de Dalian Yingbo !\n\nLe pronostic :\n\nDalian Yingbo gagne\n\n1.30", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T07:36:55.895Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-6837757409239b1d8c7c8192", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Les deux équipes marquent\n\n1.35", 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"claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-11-03T20:48:39.893Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-be75ec3c0fc5c4f812d070ab", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Victoire de Trabzonspor et plus de 1,5 but\n\n1.40", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-30T13:06:55.434Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-10b78aca7244d71e92b9410a", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Notre pronostic New York City - Montréal : Victoire de New York City !\n\nLe pronostic :\n\nNew York City gagne\n\n1.34", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, 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"Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-269d2be29e4e9b9a9483b171", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Plus de 3.5 buts\n\n1.62", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-29T17:07:22.822Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-0652386e3657398c94d0a329", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Victoire de Fenerbahçe et plus de 1,5 but\n\n1.42", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-29T16:06:50.983Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": 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"favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-9c9c33b39cd30338971dbe32", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Les deux équipes marquent\n\n1.40", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-28T18:06:56.821Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-eb12eb9fa94afc43c274fdfa", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Le pronostic :\n\nLes deux équipes marquent\n\n1.56", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-28T14:56:51.053Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-355b6943498b6f83cd4657a0", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Notre pronostic Abha Club - Al-Ittihad : Victoire d’Al-Ittihad !\n\nLe pronostic :\n\nAl-Ittihad gagne\n\n1.47", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-28T13:27:01.672Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-e5f3f7694392af774c4e1237", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Notre pronostic Remo - Botafogo : Les 2 équipes marquent !\n\nLe pronostic :\n\nLes deux équipes marquent\n\n1.47", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-27T00:36:53.335Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-7fa25081184377409fe976af", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Victoire de Tokyo et plus de 1,5 but\n\n1.47", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T11:56:51.218Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-33e0fc867c8f6777ae9505c2", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Le pronostic :\n\nSanfrecce Hiroshima gagne\n\n1.33", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-22T14:56:53.570Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-4111c283b1c3e9a1c04348bc", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Notre pronostic Al-Ittihad - Diriyah Club : Victoire d’Al-Ittihad !\n\nLe pronostic :\n\nAl-Ittihad gagne\n\n1.75", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-21T16:36:54.655Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-cecf93fbeac1da637a9c05ef", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Notre pronostic Al-Faisaly - Al-Nassr : Victoire d’Al-Nassr et plus de 2,5 buts !\n\nLe pronostic :\n\nVictoire d’Al-Nassr et plus de 2,5 buts\n\n1.52", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-21T16:36:53.892Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-9457345e640d483c8714da37", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Notre pronostic Pafos - Riga FC : Victoire de Pafos !\n\nLe pronostic :\n\nPaphos FC gagne\n\n1.60", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-20T17:26:54.911Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-4cac9ab22fa0946bbab216fb", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "São Paulo FC gagne\n\n1.84", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-16T00:06:51.159Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-d6e200f65dc7a65c12c6adfd", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Les deux équipes marquent\n\n1.65", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "no_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T22:36:51.462Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-cd61c562431a122491173316", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Victoire de Fenerbahçe et plus de 1,5 but\n\n1.40", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T17:16:51.233Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-a634c80ca932a5f6c004c4c0", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Victoire de Fenerbahçe et plus de 1,5 but\n\n1.40", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T17:16:51.233Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-4a9c14726802d4419813a164", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Victoire de Galatasaray et plus de 1,5 but\n\n1.44", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T13:06:54.803Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-96b0d727650e2ef22c5fef23", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Victoire de Galatasaray et plus de 1,5 but\n\n1.44", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T13:06:54.803Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-b99641e322680390f76ad8d0", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "pari victoire de Konyaspor vs Amed SK avec une cote de 3.82 chez Bet365", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T13:06:54.377Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-c751eaeb0141cd842ff66984", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Amed SK gagne\n\n1.76", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T13:06:54.377Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-0b86cf79305630fa28b0c10f", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Notre pronostic Atalanta - Pafos : Victoire de l’Atalanta !\n\nLe pronostic :\n\nAtalanta Bergame gagne\n\n1.32", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T19:36:55.194Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-c3155d6dce0a28fe1395bbe1", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Notre modèle de prévisions donne 43.52% de chances ⭐ pour un pari victoire de Ararat Armenia vs Jagiellonia Białystok avec une cote de 7.2 chez Bet365.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T19:36:54.299Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-26bfbc9a9ca37968ac6cd6db", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Victoire de Zagreb ou nul et plus de 1,5 but !\n\nLe pronostic :\n\nVictoire de Zagreb ou nul et plus de 1,5 but\n\n1.52", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T19:26:54.556Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-b02c9fedc70ce7fcc61990f3", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Victoire de Zagreb ou nul et plus de 1,5 but\n\n1.52", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T19:26:54.556Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-873aaa48a6b4450d93f65bb4", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Ferencvaros TC gagne\n\n1.82", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T19:26:54.091Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-a3dd5ca4bcc9d3317e83fe48", "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/picks/2/#pick-n-a3dd5ca4bcc9d3317e83fe48", "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Le pronostic :\n\nMoins de 3.5 buts\n\n1.33", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T15:37:51.804Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": { "at": "2026-10-14T02:00:58.961Z", "field": "line sign", "reason": "Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes.", "version": 2, "url": "/corrections/#c-f1b2048399e9", "text": "Corrected on 14 October 2026: Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and" }, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-a3dd5ca4bcc9d3317e83fe48", "quote_text": "Le pronostic :\n\nMoins de 3.5 buts\n\n1.33", "fragment_from": 343, "fragment_to": 382, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportytrader.com/pronostics/konyaspor-stanbul-basaksehir-378071/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Medhi Poirier", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "c370b1fbf7be760c410544fc0291ade640c07b615790279f39c85adc52360d87", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-09T15:37:51.804Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "", "cause_code": "too_late", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-09T15:37:51.804Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "no_date" ], "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [ { "at": "2026-10-14T02:00:58.961Z", "field_name": "line sign", "was": "Over/Under −3.5 goals · under −3.5", "now": "Over/Under 3.5 goals · under 3.5", "cause": "Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes." } ], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": { "at": "2026-10-14T02:00:58.961Z", "field": "line sign", "reason": "Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes.", "version": 2, "url": "/corrections/#c-f1b2048399e9", "text": "Corrected on 14 October 2026: Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and" }, "choice_words": "a pick" } }, { "record_id": "n-83b9a68bee96fa77e6b8cfa1", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Les deux équipes marquent\n\n1.5", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T15:02:07.245Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-0392414aaa74267021b6844b", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Les deux équipes marquent\n\n1.7", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:02:47.417Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-5df1cbc362ef915443d334bb", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Victoire de Galatasaray et plus de 2,5 buts\n\n1.56", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T13:55:15.932Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null } ], "lead_time": { "contract_version": 1, "threshold_hours": 2.0, "picks": 59, "before_kickoff": 59, "after_kickoff": 0, "at_least_2h": 59, "share_2h_plus": 100.0, "median_hours": 47.4, "min_hours": 3.8, "max_hours": 47.9, "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off." }, "baseline": { "contract_version": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "rule": "recorded-line-1.0", "state": "settled", "picks": 12, "settled_picks_all": 21, "excluded": { "market_without_favourite": 4, "no_recorded_line": 5, "favourite_not_settled": 0 }, "staked_hundredths": 120000, "author_net_hundredths": 41477, "favourite_net_hundredths": 41477, "difference_hundredths": 0, "author_return_percent": 34.56, "favourite_return_percent": 34.56, "author_hit_rate": 83.3, "favourite_hit_rate": 83.3, "picked_favourite_share": 100.0, "by_market": [ { "market_code": "1x2", "picks": 8, "staked_hundredths": 80000, "author_net_hundredths": 31582, "favourite_net_hundredths": 31582, "author_hits": 7, "favourite_hits": 7, "picked_favourite": 8, "author_return_percent": 39.48, "favourite_return_percent": 39.48 }, { "market_code": "both_teams_score", "picks": 3, "staked_hundredths": 30000, "author_net_hundredths": 19895, "favourite_net_hundredths": 19895, "author_hits": 3, "favourite_hits": 3, "picked_favourite": 3, "author_return_percent": 66.32, "favourite_return_percent": 66.32 }, { "market_code": "total", "picks": 1, "staked_hundredths": 10000, "author_net_hundredths": -10000, "favourite_net_hundredths": -10000, "author_hits": 0, "favourite_hits": 0, "picked_favourite": 1, "author_return_percent": -100.0, "favourite_return_percent": -100.0 } ], "return_over_time": [ { "kickoff": "2026-10-11T00:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 6289, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 6289 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-11T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 13808, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 13808 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-11T20:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 19572, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 19572 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-12T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 25496, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 25496 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-15T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 29496, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 29496 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-17T21:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 32897, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 32897 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-17T21:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 38025, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 38025 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-18T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 28025, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 28025 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 34477, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 34477 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-28T22:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 43477, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 43477 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-01T13:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 51477, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 51477 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-01T16:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 41477, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 41477 } ], "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out." }, "pagination": { "per_page": 20, "total": 98, "pages": 6, "page_urls": [ "/authors/medhi-poirier/", "/authors/medhi-poirier/picks/2/", "/authors/medhi-poirier/picks/3/", "/authors/medhi-poirier/picks/4/", "/authors/medhi-poirier/picks/5/", "/authors/medhi-poirier/picks/6/" ], "groups": { "settled": 26, "pending": 5, "excluded": 67 }, "continuation": "by_time", "page": 1, "first": 1, "last": 20, "author_url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/", "current": true }, "title_tag": "Medhi Poirier Predictions: This Week's Picks & Verified Record", "calculator": null, "person": { "person_id": "o-898b69c17b51119c60412dc2", "type_code": "individual", "name_shown": "Medhi Poirier", "main_entity": "e-898b69c17b51119c60412dc2", "identity": { "status": "not_verified", "is_verified": false, "when": null, "source_list": [] }, "platform_list": [ { "entity_ref": "e-898b69c17b51119c60412dc2", "medium": "SportyTrader — Pronostic Football", "channel": "section pages", "domain": "sportytrader.com", "source_info": "sportytrader-com", "byline": "Medhi Poirier", "url": "/sources/sportytrader-com/", "summary": { "statements": 521, "predictions": 98, "settled_picks": 21, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "return_percent": 5.49, "headline_part": "live", "period_from": "2026-10-09", "period_to": "2026-11-06" } } ], "previously": [], "trust_tier": "tracked" }, "data_revision": { "data_version": "2026-11-07.1", "updated": "2026-11-07", "current_release": "2026-11-07.2", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "series_code": "market_price", "sample": { "settled_picks": 21, "matches": 21, "void": 0, "period_from": "2026-10-09", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "composition_hash": "3b061a646253d6b69e87373e2448a52d848dbfe3e8155a77f34a6057a0bb9e9f" }, "changes_url": "#changes", "corrections_url": "/corrections/" }, "number_changes": [ { "id": "zc-ae09c4a3aadb5599c745", "at": "2026-11-07T07:42:45.749Z", "data_version": "2026-11-07.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-06.2", "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "return_percent": "16.59", "settled_picks": 19, "matches": 19, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "4be9e24de8a75c9f705a019d78824ed5e181930cde4f2a50fe162a9c08769479", "text": "+16.59% on 19 settled picks across 19 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-07.1", "return_percent": "5.49", "settled_picks": 21, "matches": 21, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "3b061a646253d6b69e87373e2448a52d848dbfe3e8155a77f34a6057a0bb9e9f", "text": "+5.49% on 21 settled picks across 21 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-95d9ae81cea10b9aae98", "at": "2026-11-06T14:46:17.511Z", "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-05.3", "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-01.3", "return_percent": "23.07", "settled_picks": 18, "matches": 18, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "35dd7cdedd27f9735e239740f603c7b5f7457acbfeb8aa4908620b08d016047f", "text": "+23.07% on 18 settled picks across 18 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "return_percent": "16.59", "settled_picks": 19, "matches": 19, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "4be9e24de8a75c9f705a019d78824ed5e181930cde4f2a50fe162a9c08769479", "text": "+16.59% on 19 settled picks across 19 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-ffde279b18fbce24b71b", "at": "2026-11-01T19:56:40.745Z", "data_version": "2026-11-01.3", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-01.2", "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-01.2", "return_percent": "27.20", "settled_picks": 16, "matches": 16, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "714e5a4f2bac4470c12314b6fd9c7c7f0bd6f0651c56554f4520706ca34271c5", "text": "+27.20% on 16 settled picks across 16 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-01.3", "return_percent": "23.07", "settled_picks": 18, "matches": 18, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "35dd7cdedd27f9735e239740f603c7b5f7457acbfeb8aa4908620b08d016047f", "text": "+23.07% on 18 settled picks across 18 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 1 new result.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-c1d470ebc333340341e6", "at": "2026-11-01T16:20:36.348Z", "data_version": "2026-11-01.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-01.1", "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-29.1", "return_percent": "35.68", "settled_picks": 15, "matches": 15, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "cfd30910979b6a162c4ea016be86da40556b1fd66fcd2c9c006ff93d5e5677f2", "text": "+35.68% on 15 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-01.2", "return_percent": "27.20", "settled_picks": 16, "matches": 16, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "714e5a4f2bac4470c12314b6fd9c7c7f0bd6f0651c56554f4520706ca34271c5", "text": "+27.20% on 16 settled picks across 16 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-b9958f444b8cbb88117f", "at": "2026-10-29T20:28:50.091Z", "data_version": "2026-10-29.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-28.4", "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-24.5", "return_percent": "31.41", "settled_picks": 13, "matches": 13, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "665e2b3d78bc148d9e73b9049bf52ef181157a0580448550df7095814b31f303", "text": "+31.41% on 13 settled picks across 13 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-29.1", "return_percent": "35.68", "settled_picks": 15, "matches": 15, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "cfd30910979b6a162c4ea016be86da40556b1fd66fcd2c9c006ff93d5e5677f2", "text": "+35.68% on 15 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-69386281f59c6aeb3d7c", "at": "2026-10-25T01:37:51.007Z", "data_version": "2026-10-24.5", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-24.4", "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.6", "return_percent": "30.69", "settled_picks": 12, "matches": 12, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "fc66741c65d36f955cad73d1bdcef10337c11c97949b3ea05ac5558c6589036e", "text": "+30.69% on 12 settled picks across 12 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-24.5", "return_percent": "31.41", "settled_picks": 13, "matches": 13, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "665e2b3d78bc148d9e73b9049bf52ef181157a0580448550df7095814b31f303", "text": "+31.41% on 13 settled picks across 13 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-f8588b95d6eaf2cae6c5", "at": "2026-10-22T22:37:17.307Z", "data_version": "2026-10-22.6", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-22.5", "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.5", "return_percent": "27.61", "settled_picks": 11, "matches": 11, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "d86b091b45636bdefd9500162f851353e893ee431f63ee0a3bbc0f0fe373f5a6", "text": "+27.61% on 11 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.6", "return_percent": "30.69", "settled_picks": 12, "matches": 12, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "fc66741c65d36f955cad73d1bdcef10337c11c97949b3ea05ac5558c6589036e", "text": "+30.69% on 12 settled picks across 12 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-477a16e7174ed8c300f2", "at": "2026-10-22T18:00:17.739Z", "data_version": "2026-10-22.5", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-22.4", "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.4", "return_percent": "24.07", "settled_picks": 10, "matches": 10, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "bbaba152eb487ce1a0f460c3728a2210622891aa4e4ad152224a1a219bebda17", "text": "+24.07% on 10 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.5", "return_percent": "27.61", "settled_picks": 11, "matches": 11, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "d86b091b45636bdefd9500162f851353e893ee431f63ee0a3bbc0f0fe373f5a6", "text": "+27.61% on 11 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-4fe6e2b3663e3c1be7bf", "at": "2026-10-22T13:04:00.441Z", "data_version": "2026-10-22.4", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-22.3", "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-19.2", "return_percent": "20.03", "settled_picks": 9, "matches": 9, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "d0bbfa83dbb457b66402e1f4b2293f7827ff56e28c2ac54c52d8e8c1cf4de292", "text": "+180.25 points on 9 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.4", "return_percent": "24.07", "settled_picks": 10, "matches": 10, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "bbaba152eb487ce1a0f460c3728a2210622891aa4e4ad152224a1a219bebda17", "text": "+24.07% on 10 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-a0b4f1b39e1d892ef912", "at": "2026-10-19T04:51:01.140Z", "data_version": "2026-10-19.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-19.1", "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-15.9", "return_percent": "32.49", "settled_picks": 6, "matches": 6, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "2f83802be4ff7e93c50559796df2c9eec52739bb786a8fab362edbe55da967f5", "text": "+194.96 points on 6 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-19.2", "return_percent": "20.03", "settled_picks": 9, "matches": 9, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "d0bbfa83dbb457b66402e1f4b2293f7827ff56e28c2ac54c52d8e8c1cf4de292", "text": "+180.25 points on 9 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 1 new result.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 3, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-5860b4b206deff6dd2c3", "at": "2026-10-15T21:55:15.257Z", "data_version": "2026-10-15.9", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-15.8", "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-12.7", "return_percent": "30.99", "settled_picks": 5, "matches": 5, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "c1501fca5922c90bdfc220742505d1b6f2d249846849d735e15cfddd77ec3766", "text": "+154.96 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-15.9", "return_percent": "32.49", "settled_picks": 6, "matches": 6, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "2f83802be4ff7e93c50559796df2c9eec52739bb786a8fab362edbe55da967f5", "text": "+194.96 points on 6 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-1195ba95f30fe35e0b6a", "at": "2026-10-12T22:42:38.057Z", "data_version": "2026-10-12.7", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-12.6", "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-11.9", "return_percent": "23.93", "settled_picks": 4, "matches": 4, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "cdfd9986b16a7ee6e0734a6e50ac07ac19bd5a486074f958a488e392fb1f2005", "text": "+95.72 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-12.7", "return_percent": "30.99", "settled_picks": 5, "matches": 5, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "c1501fca5922c90bdfc220742505d1b6f2d249846849d735e15cfddd77ec3766", "text": "+154.96 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-2e82fcd7108b1e2ac540", "at": "2026-10-11T23:37:38.348Z", "data_version": "2026-10-11.9", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-11.8", "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-11.8", "return_percent": "12.69", "settled_picks": 3, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "b5a1bddccca3415fe562ac79233491c4fc4b70b8c6970d3c20ab1a1690c8effb", "text": "+38.08 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-11.9", "return_percent": "23.93", "settled_picks": 4, "matches": 4, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "cdfd9986b16a7ee6e0734a6e50ac07ac19bd5a486074f958a488e392fb1f2005", "text": "+95.72 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-07931ba30711061b57db", "at": "2026-10-11T21:54:36.315Z", "data_version": "2026-10-11.8", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-11.7", "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-11.3", "return_percent": "-18.55", "settled_picks": 2, "matches": 2, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "ccc5488a6862385cde885eaec98c4b32d1911ef83f2b6e7f5c78a6e3ea6cd282", "text": "−37.11 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-11.8", "return_percent": "12.69", "settled_picks": 3, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "b5a1bddccca3415fe562ac79233491c4fc4b70b8c6970d3c20ab1a1690c8effb", "text": "+38.08 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-8ef6db3ebe2bd2a6a9b0", "at": "2026-10-11T04:22:33.440Z", "data_version": "2026-10-11.3", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-11.2", "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-10.4", "return_percent": "-100.00", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "38621cc8058855e0bf309fa2e54a60a91cd8d0373109a25f76083e563bb23eff", "text": "−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-11.3", "return_percent": "-18.55", "settled_picks": 2, "matches": 2, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "ccc5488a6862385cde885eaec98c4b32d1911ef83f2b6e7f5c78a6e3ea6cd282", "text": "−37.11 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-9b64544caca30af1a1ee", "at": "2026-10-10T23:53:02.873Z", "data_version": "2026-10-10.4", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-10.3", "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/", "category": "method_changed", "category_words": "Method changed", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-10.1", "return_percent": "-100.00", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.1", "composition_hash": "38621cc8058855e0bf309fa2e54a60a91cd8d0373109a25f76083e563bb23eff", "text": "−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.1" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-10.4", "return_percent": "-100.00", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "38621cc8058855e0bf309fa2e54a60a91cd8d0373109a25f76083e563bb23eff", "text": "−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Method 2.2 (11 October 2026): the live market price of a pick is now the price at the moment we first recorded it (median of bookmakers in our price feed, quote no older than 5 minutes; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, before kick-off), not the price when our checks admitted it. Picks recorded before kick-off but checked after it are now settled the same way; picks with no price at that moment have no return. Was: −100.00 points (1 settled pick). Now: −100.00 points (1 settled pick).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 0, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": "i-a7b831da9e9e59714151" }, { "id": "zc-beae2d06ea32c81d899c", "at": "2026-10-10T02:51:03.370Z", "data_version": "2026-10-10.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-09.2", "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": null, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-10.1", "return_percent": "-100.00", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.1", "composition_hash": "38621cc8058855e0bf309fa2e54a60a91cd8d0373109a25f76083e563bb23eff", "text": "−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.1" }, "reason": "First headline number for this record: 1 settled pick in the series “independent odds snapshot”.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null } ], "current_predictions": { "total_count": 5, "on_date": "2026-11-07T19:52", "row_list": [ { "record_id": "n-e408ef56b0f1a32e605fb289", "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/picks/6/#pick-n-e408ef56b0f1a32e605fb289", "match": "Machida Zelvia v Sanfrecce Hiroshima", "match_url": "/football/matches/machida-zelvia-vs-sanfrecce-hiroshima-2026-11-08/", "kickoff": "2026-11-08T05:00:00.000Z", "competition": "J1 League", "author_said": "Double chance: Machida Zelvia or draw at 1.45", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T05:06:53.042Z", "platform": null }, { "record_id": "n-93584947f6094f8ae50176fb", "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/picks/6/#pick-n-93584947f6094f8ae50176fb", "match": "Vissel Kobe v Urawa Red Diamonds", "match_url": "/football/matches/vissel-kobe-vs-urawa-red-diamonds-2026-11-08/", "kickoff": "2026-11-08T05:00:00.000Z", "competition": "J1 League", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Vissel Kobe at 1.88", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T05:06:55.632Z", "platform": null }, { "record_id": "n-25cacb1c5f5f26617fd5f981", "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/picks/6/#pick-n-25cacb1c5f5f26617fd5f981", "match": "Shandong Taishan v Chengdu Rongcheng", "match_url": "/football/matches/shandong-taishan-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-2026-11-08/", "kickoff": "2026-11-08T07:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Chinese Super League", "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5 at 1.73", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T07:36:58.237Z", "platform": null }, { "record_id": "n-adeaacafdb5e9759a27a00c7", "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/picks/6/#pick-n-adeaacafdb5e9759a27a00c7", "match": "Santa Clara v Gil Vicente", "match_url": "/football/matches/santa-clara-vs-gil-vicente-2026-11-08/", "kickoff": "2026-11-08T15:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Primeira Liga", "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 1.45", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T15:36:54.856Z", "platform": null }, { "record_id": "n-cbe40f6cf842b6fcdec0614d", "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/picks/6/#pick-n-cbe40f6cf842b6fcdec0614d", "match": "Rio Ave v Sporting Braga", "match_url": "/football/matches/rio-ave-vs-sporting-braga-2026-11-08/", "kickoff": "2026-11-08T20:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Primeira Liga", "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5 at 1.32", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T20:46:55.021Z", "platform": null } ] }, "counts_by_slice": { "portions": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "settled_picks": 21, "total_check": true, "market_list": [ { "code_name": "1x2", "in_words": "Match result", "url": null, "settled_picks": 10, "won": 8, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 27882, "return_percent": "27.9", "period_from": "2026-10-11", "period_to": "2026-11-01", "small_sample": false, "average_odds": "1.57", "odds_from_author": 10, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "both_teams_score", "in_words": "Both teams to score", "url": null, "settled_picks": 4, "won": 3, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 9895, "return_percent": "24.7", "period_from": "2026-10-11", "period_to": "2026-10-22", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.59", "odds_from_author": 4, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "double_chance", "in_words": "Double chance", "url": null, "settled_picks": 4, "won": 2, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -12300, "return_percent": "-30.8", "period_from": "2026-10-09", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.38", "odds_from_author": 4, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "total", "in_words": "Over/under goals", "url": null, "settled_picks": 3, "won": 1, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -13950, "return_percent": "-46.5", "period_from": "2026-10-10", "period_to": "2026-11-01", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.57", "odds_from_author": 3, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 } ], "leagues": [ { "code_name": "Brasileiro Série A", "in_words": "Brasileiro Série A", "url": "/football/competitions/brasileiro-serie-a/", "settled_picks": 11, "won": 8, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 16725, "return_percent": "15.2", "period_from": "2026-10-11", "period_to": "2026-10-28", "small_sample": false, "average_odds": "1.59", "odds_from_author": 11, "odds_from_snapshot": 0, "league_markets": [ { "code_name": "1x2", "in_words": "Match result", "settled_picks": 6, "won": 5, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 19582, "return_percent": null, "period_from": "2026-10-11", "period_to": "2026-10-28", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.59", "odds_from_author": 6, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "both_teams_score", "in_words": "Both teams to score", "settled_picks": 3, "won": 2, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 3443, "return_percent": null, "period_from": "2026-10-11", "period_to": "2026-10-17", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.62", "odds_from_author": 3, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "double_chance", "in_words": "Double chance", "settled_picks": 1, "won": 1, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 3700, "return_percent": null, "period_from": "2026-10-28", "period_to": "2026-10-28", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.32", "odds_from_author": 1, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "total", "in_words": "Over/under goals", "settled_picks": 1, "won": 0, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -10000, "return_percent": null, "period_from": "2026-10-19", "period_to": "2026-10-19", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.80", "odds_from_author": 1, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 } ] }, { "code_name": "Süper Lig", "in_words": "Süper Lig", "url": "/football/competitions/super-lig/", "settled_picks": 4, "won": 3, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 8050, "return_percent": "20.1", "period_from": "2026-10-10", "period_to": 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