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 "heading": "Max: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "Verified record: 58 settled picks by Max recorded before kick-off across 49 matches, 11 Oct 2026 – 7 Nov 2026: −14.7% at our recorded market prices.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 58 settled live picks by Max before kick-off across 49 matches between 11 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −14.7% on the total staked. Of the 1,336 predictions we hold for Max, 487 are linked to matches: 479 were recorded by us before kick-off and 8 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "key_number": "−14.7%",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
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 "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:34:55.179Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
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 "modules": {
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 "affiliate_block": {
  "container": true,
  "request_url": "/partnery/moi",
  "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.",
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  "public_name": "Max",
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   "window_to": "2026-11-07",
   "amount": "-14.7227",
   "unit": "percent",
   "data_status": "calculated",
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   "n_bets": 58,
   "n_events": 49,
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   "ci_low": "-42.4568",
   "ci_high": "19.5091",
   "ci_method": "cluster_bootstrap",
   "price_source": "market_price",
   "coverage_percent": "80.36",
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   "methodology_version": "2.2",
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  "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 58 settled picks across 49 matches",
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  "odds_from_snapshot": 11
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   {
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  "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 58 settled live picks by Max before kick-off across 49 matches between 11 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −14.7% on the total staked. Of the 1,336 predictions we hold for Max, 487 are linked to matches: 479 were recorded by us before kick-off and 8 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
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    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.",
    "settled_picks": 58,
    "matches": 49,
    "match_dates": 16,
    "period_from": "2026-10-11",
    "period_to": "2026-11-07",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": -82447,
    "low": {
     "date": "2026-10-31",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -92106,
     "after_picks": 25
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2026-10-21",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 11405,
     "after_picks": 7
    },
    "line_drawn": true,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2026-10-11",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 6098,
      "n": 1,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-14",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -3902,
      "n": 2,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-20",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -7652,
      "n": 4,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-21",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 11405,
      "n": 7,
      "picks": 3
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-22",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 9669,
      "n": 9,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-24",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -331,
      "n": 10,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-25",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 8044,
      "n": 11,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-27",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -1956,
      "n": 12,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-30",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -11956,
      "n": 13,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-31",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -92106,
      "n": 25,
      "picks": 12
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-01",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -28406,
      "n": 27,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-03",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -20296,
      "n": 31,
      "picks": 4
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-04",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10347,
      "n": 35,
      "picks": 4
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-05",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -72892,
      "n": 52,
      "picks": 17
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-06",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -66392,
      "n": 53,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-07",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -82447,
      "n": 58,
      "picks": 5
     }
    ]
   },
   "archived": null
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 58 settled live picks by Max before kick-off across 49 matches between 11 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −14.7% on the total staked. Of the 1,336 predictions we hold for Max, 487 are linked to matches: 479 were recorded by us before kick-off and 8 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/max/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "2.2"
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 1336,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 849,
   "proven_predictions": 479,
   "proven_checked": 459,
   "proven_measured": 177,
   "proven_dates": 20,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 479,
     "checked": 459,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 58,
      "void": 2,
      "matches": 49,
      "net_points_hundredths": -82447,
      "staked_hundredths": 560000,
      "return_percent": "-14.72",
      "interval_low": "-42.46",
      "interval_high": "19.51",
      "interval_note": null,
      "period_from": "2026-10-11",
      "period_to": "2026-11-07",
      "method_version": "2.2",
      "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0",
      "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "1.3",
      "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 12
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "author_price",
       "picks": 47,
       "return_main_percent": "-12.10",
       "return_other_percent": "-10.56",
       "settled_excluding_void": 45,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -54447,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -47520,
       "period_from": "2026-10-11",
       "period_to": "2026-11-07"
      },
      {
       "price": "Closing price",
       "series_code": "closing_live",
       "picks": 26,
       "return_main_percent": "-9.06",
       "return_other_percent": "-5.41",
       "settled_excluding_void": 25,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -22639,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -13534,
       "period_from": "2026-10-11",
       "period_to": "2026-11-07"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 119,
      "exact_hits": 8,
      "exact_rate": 6.7,
      "outcome_checked": 119,
      "outcome_hits": 54,
      "outcome_rate": 45.4,
      "baseline_matches": 28,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 27,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 14,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 50.0,
      "favourite_hits": 13,
      "favourite_rate": 46.4,
      "price_basis": "our pre-match snapshot",
      "pending": 5,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 2,
      "lines": [
       "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.",
       "8 of 119 score forecasts named the exact score (6.7%).",
       "The result implied by the named score was right in 14 of 28 forecasts; the market favourite was right in 13 of the same 28 forecasts.",
       "Some matches carry more than one of these forecasts: 28 forecasts on 27 matches.",
       "A pre-match market favourite is known for 28 of 119 forecasts; the comparison uses only those.",
       "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest price in our own odds snapshot taken before kick-off.",
       "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win)."
      ]
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 459,
      "priced": 58
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 56,
      "won": 26,
      "won_percent": "46.4",
      "implied_percent": "52.5",
      "left_out": 2,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 8,
        "picks": 17,
        "implied_percent": "60.3"
       },
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 4,
        "picks": 12,
        "implied_percent": "59.8"
       },
       {
        "market": "Correct score",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 9,
        "implied_percent": "12.0"
       },
       {
        "market": "Asian handicap",
        "won": 5,
        "picks": 7,
        "implied_percent": "61.2"
       },
       {
        "market": "Double chance",
        "won": 4,
        "picks": 4,
        "implied_percent": "60.9"
       },
       {
        "market": "Other markets",
        "won": 4,
        "picks": 7,
        "implied_percent": "59.4"
       }
      ]
     },
     "reviewed_after": {
      "predictions": 254,
      "right": 84,
      "wrong": 154,
      "other": 16
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 8,
     "checked": 4,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 4,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    }
   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": null,
  "headline_record_ids": [
   "n-03b8bc51facd5f450a40658c",
   "n-047fd9231e0b299dc81c5ec1",
   "n-073a8e3b3bbbdf10f621687b",
   "n-09036767a5b503800235c9dc",
   "n-0b905f6cac4636be97673479",
   "n-0c0f73b196dbb1e3cdd11d45",
   "n-1021454dd849240885e02f8f",
   "n-18ad4b76cd104400bc1b61f9",
   "n-1ed7d02cb3f7ccb532cf5db8",
   "n-24a3684ba11aea1ab9fb05bf",
   "n-2a0f9f1e815319bb59382fd6",
   "n-2baf5bfde90306235e3e09df",
   "n-2d2212c1d2ffe6ae931ccf6b",
   "n-2db0c78ebe238e176de09f16",
   "n-2eaecb7de61a399baa092138",
   "n-3241c8264bac362943a39647",
   "n-3312d2885da3e4e6bf2cd680",
   "n-39fc206b30b294217047d8ec",
   "n-3ca2024f11709f96c83d3fff",
   "n-4cf7c34199572b929006e88b",
   "n-53b1cab0c032afdb60b9f685",
   "n-54b008886aee3b6f9f6c25fc",
   "n-560e09e7c243907a6d073442",
   "n-5634333758f18287d31b7c5d",
   "n-56ca8b55c902849558c18e47",
   "n-599b5b060c51f3cc7f6c5c95",
   "n-5a2fe621b912fd20f9ff04e5",
   "n-5a7d1bfd694be7571915152b",
   "n-63ce732654f5cf023f134a28",
   "n-672697b47d74cbc7c5bacffc",
   "n-6905dc01aedb1ceb220ceff3",
   "n-70b385f66927e370d04f9e2c",
   "n-70bddf656834585f4ecce5ca",
   "n-7a21fb6ca29b85ef414761e9",
   "n-8118e7637a15becde8bda2c0",
   "n-834c4ee783ae6377bcdd0202",
   "n-89eafab2c1d27e9363a0874c",
   "n-8aa73e6804b6b48d791515a5",
   "n-8de5d11a6a467e53d0776f9a",
   "n-90dd9e153fd518b24b86f8c7",
   "n-92f28ed97bb7b5d1d16ab9b1",
   "n-9fe4bfaf601f5df4a0f92143",
   "n-a7e47fb8b57cd0e066275087",
   "n-a95b019af87c7798b5e19ede",
   "n-ba87c1add7454fc5f18771b8",
   "n-bb9bcc7b69f964add44e2198",
   "n-be84179ad9f60ec736f392d6",
   "n-c39ea8afda137a07a156fe86",
   "n-d1a8f8a357299da62817bc0b",
   "n-d6a3698c4e6e983a16915b0e",
   "n-d80ced08c3f993de254ee012",
   "n-db6bf76a5e1d95bbfd75bed2",
   "n-e6dcb397110df1b596018dc6",
   "n-ed6c9b0bc0ee075f75bad903",
   "n-f0aa61eec6e838e4547279d4",
   "n-f46a07d49f7fa952776984ff",
   "n-faeb62cb25403ec34c129ca5",
   "n-ff003f417a67352a69fedaef"
  ],
  "interval_low": "-42.46",
  "interval_high": "19.51",
  "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 11 October – 7 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2",
  "record_from": "2026-10-11",
  "record_to": "2026-11-07"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-8eb53e0b0d7a0c6bbf5998b1",
   "url": "/authors/max/picks/46/#pick-n-8eb53e0b0d7a0c6bbf5998b1",
   "match": "SW Bregenz v Rapid Vienna II",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/sw-bregenz-vs-rapid-vienna-ii-2026-11-07/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-07T14:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Austria 2. Liga",
   "lead_hours": 45.3,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: SW Bregenz at 1.67",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "author_price",
   "series_short": "author's odds",
   "author_price": "1.67",
   "settled_price": "1.67",
   "published_at": "2026-11-05T16:41:45.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T17:09:48.831Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-8eb53e0b0d7a0c6bbf5998b1",
    "quote_text": "Mein finaler TippSW Bregenz Sieg · Quote 1,67",
    "fragment_from": 10908,
    "fragment_to": 10953,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://tipsterio.de/sportwetten-tipps/sw-bregenz-vs-sk-rapid-ii-wett-tipp-prognose-07-11-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Max",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "350b341bbcf0740b34487e332bcb58b918e2f45a2df1b7f10468062f82d3e198",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-05T16:41:45.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-05T17:09:48.831Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-05T17:16:34.972Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-20d69c704f47",
     "display_name": "SW Bregenz — Rapid Vienna II",
     "competition_name": "Austria 2. Liga",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-07T14:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/sw-bregenz-vs-rapid-vienna-ii-2026-11-07/",
     "scoreline": "1-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "SW Bregenz",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.67",
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-05T16:41:45.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-05T16:41:45.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-05T17:09:48.831Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "SW Bregenz",
     "author_odds": "1.67",
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: SW Bregenz at 1.67"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "1-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was SW Bregenz 1-1 Rapid Vienna II."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "5cd99e1ddf9de5063de8333590ad4fca285062fc515e96e829f480af72bd3721",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "SW Bregenz",
      "decimal_odds": "1.67",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-05T17:16:34.972Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "239f4ee39ec1c428c50e7f1c44122cde186fa4554e0ee77c85cf91ef09d6ce7d",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "SW Bregenz",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Max",
     "publisher": "tipsterio.de",
     "forecaster": "Max",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://tipsterio.de/sportwetten-tipps/sw-bregenz-vs-sk-rapid-ii-wett-tipp-prognose-07-11-2026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "SW Bregenz to win"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-2eaecb7de61a399baa092138",
   "url": "/authors/max/picks/46/#pick-n-2eaecb7de61a399baa092138",
   "match": "Hertha Wels v Sturm Graz II",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/hertha-wels-vs-sturm-graz-ii-2026-11-07/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-07T14:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Austria 2. Liga",
   "lead_hours": 45.8,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 3 goals: over 3.0 at 1.7",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "1-3",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 7000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": "1.7",
   "settled_price": "1.7000",
   "published_at": "2026-11-05T16:34:30.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T16:40:40.064Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-2eaecb7de61a399baa092138",
    "quote_text": "Über 3,0 Tore zur Quote 1,70",
    "fragment_from": 8495,
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   "record_id": "n-ac8c8c5fe1ac4270267435b0",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Mein Tipp: Sieg LASK zur Quote 1,78",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-10T08:44:27.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T08:40:54.240Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-e660af8f234a9eaa8fd71407",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Über 3 Tore\nTotal (Tore) · Über 3 (90 Minuten, bei genau 3 Toren Einsatz zurück)\n\n3/5\n\nQuote bei bet-at-homeQuote bei 22bet\n1,76",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-10T08:40:31.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T01:53:55.856Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-d64135e7c88714210d725fd6",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Mein Tipp lautet daher Unter 3 Tore zur Quote 1,77.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-10T07:01:38.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T07:59:59.195Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-0c5e7572cf4e03bd121e23a9",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Ergebnis-Tipp\n\n2:1 für die Schweiz",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "reason_code": "outside_coverage",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-09T17:12:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T02:01:34.246Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-7076b824721a4d4944178359",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Über 2,5 Tore zur Quote 1,615",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "reason_code": "outside_coverage",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-09T17:12:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T02:01:34.246Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "lead_time": {
  "contract_version": 1,
  "threshold_hours": 2.0,
  "picks": 484,
  "before_kickoff": 480,
  "after_kickoff": 4,
  "at_least_2h": 476,
  "share_2h_plus": 98.3,
  "median_hours": 51.8,
  "min_hours": 0.5,
  "max_hours": 101.2,
  "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off."
 },
 "baseline": {
  "contract_version": 1,
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "rule": "recorded-line-1.0",
  "state": "settled",
  "picks": 42,
  "settled_picks_all": 100,
  "excluded": {
   "market_without_favourite": 19,
   "no_recorded_line": 39,
   "favourite_not_settled": 0
  },
  "staked_hundredths": 410000,
  "author_net_hundredths": -62788,
  "favourite_net_hundredths": -18504,
  "difference_hundredths": -44284,
  "author_return_percent": -15.31,
  "favourite_return_percent": -4.51,
  "author_hit_rate": 47.6,
  "favourite_hit_rate": 54.8,
  "picked_favourite_share": 88.1,
  "by_market": [
   {
    "market_code": "1x2",
    "picks": 32,
    "staked_hundredths": 320000,
    "author_net_hundredths": -37995,
    "favourite_net_hundredths": 6289,
    "author_hits": 16,
    "favourite_hits": 19,
    "picked_favourite": 27,
    "author_return_percent": -11.87,
    "favourite_return_percent": 1.97
   },
   {
    "market_code": "total",
    "picks": 9,
    "staked_hundredths": 80000,
    "author_net_hundredths": -31550,
    "favourite_net_hundredths": -31550,
    "author_hits": 3,
    "favourite_hits": 3,
    "picked_favourite": 9,
    "author_return_percent": -39.44,
    "favourite_return_percent": -39.44
   },
   {
    "market_code": "both_teams_score",
    "picks": 1,
    "staked_hundredths": 10000,
    "author_net_hundredths": 6757,
    "favourite_net_hundredths": 6757,
    "author_hits": 1,
    "favourite_hits": 1,
    "picked_favourite": 1,
    "author_return_percent": 67.57,
    "favourite_return_percent": 67.57
   }
  ],
  "return_over_time": [
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-11T13:30:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -10000,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 10350
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-11T15:30:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -3902,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 16448
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-11T15:30:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": 2196,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 22546
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-14T16:45:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": 4974,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 25324
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-16T18:30:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -5026,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 34758
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   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z",
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   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z",
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    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 14758
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   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z",
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    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 19520
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z",
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    "kickoff": "2026-10-21T16:45:00.000Z",
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   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-21T16:45:00.000Z",
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   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-21T19:00:00.000Z",
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   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-21T19:00:00.000Z",
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   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-21T19:00:00.000Z",
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   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-21T19:00:00.000Z",
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   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z",
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   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z",
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   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z",
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    "kickoff": "2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z",
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   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z",
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   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-31T14:30:00.000Z",
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   {
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   {
    "kickoff": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z",
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    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 13191
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -26891,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 17393
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-11-04T17:45:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -36891,
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   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z",
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    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 10396
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z",
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    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 16096
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z",
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    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 6096
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -48188,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -3904
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -38288,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 5996
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -48288,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -4004
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -58288,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -14004
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -68288,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -24004
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -78288,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -34004
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -72588,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -28304
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-11-06T19:30:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -66088,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -21804
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-11-07T14:30:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -62788,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -18504
   }
  ],
  "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out."
 },
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 1336,
  "pages": 68,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/max/",
   "/authors/max/picks/2/",
   "/authors/max/picks/3/",
   "/authors/max/picks/4/",
   "/authors/max/picks/5/",
   "/authors/max/picks/6/",
   "/authors/max/picks/7/",
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   "/authors/max/picks/46/",
   "/authors/max/picks/47/",
   "/authors/max/picks/48/",
   "/authors/max/picks/49/",
   "/authors/max/picks/50/",
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   "/authors/max/picks/52/",
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   "/authors/max/picks/56/",
   "/authors/max/picks/57/",
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   "/authors/max/picks/59/",
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   "/authors/max/picks/66/",
   "/authors/max/picks/67/",
   "/authors/max/picks/68/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 112,
   "pending": 8,
   "excluded": 1216
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 1,
  "first": 1,
  "last": 20,
  "author_url": "/authors/max/",
  "current": true
 },
 "title_tag": "Max Predictions: This Week's Picks & Verified Record",
 "calculator": {
  "url": "/tools/luck-or-skill/?n=56&odds=2.83&roi=-14.7&src=record",
  "n": 56,
  "odds": "2.83",
  "roi": "-14.7",
  "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price"
 },
 "person": {
  "person_id": "o-5a5914e40597d9f9dabe2063",
  "type_code": "individual",
  "name_shown": "Max",
  "main_entity": "e-5a5914e40597d9f9dabe2063",
  "identity": {
   "status": "not_verified",
   "is_verified": false,
   "when": null,
   "source_list": []
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "entity_ref": "e-5a5914e40597d9f9dabe2063",
    "medium": "tipsterio.de",
    "channel": "section pages",
    "domain": "tipsterio.de",
    "source_info": null,
    "byline": "Max",
    "url": null,
    "summary": {
     "statements": 5479,
     "predictions": 1336,
     "settled_picks": 58,
     "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
     "return_percent": -14.72,
     "headline_part": "live",
     "period_from": "2026-10-11",
     "period_to": "2026-11-07"
    }
   }
  ],
  "previously": [],
  "trust_tier": "probation"
 },
 "data_revision": {
  "data_version": "2026-11-07.2",
  "updated": "2026-11-07",
  "current_release": "2026-11-07.2",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "sample": {
   "settled_picks": 58,
   "matches": 49,
   "void": 2,
   "period_from": "2026-10-11",
   "period_to": "2026-11-07",
   "composition_hash": "92f3e3f7c5272277116f67658aa03be49a808b456278acbd11820de56f5949b4"
  },
  "changes_url": "#changes",
  "corrections_url": "/corrections/"
 },
 "number_changes": [
  {
   "id": "zc-5475024b19a0511e997a",
   "at": "2026-11-07T20:05:20.937Z",
   "data_version": "2026-11-07.2",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-11-07.1",
   "url": "/authors/max/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-11-06.2",
    "return_percent": "-10.46",
    "settled_picks": 46,
    "matches": 39,
    "void": 2,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "727997e412bc40251f696cf1eaf409be10515b73672aa873dbca14b2513425dd",
    "text": "−10.46% on 46 settled picks across 39 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-11-07.2",
    "return_percent": "-14.72",
    "settled_picks": 58,
    "matches": 49,
    "void": 2,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "92f3e3f7c5272277116f67658aa03be49a808b456278acbd11820de56f5949b4",
    "text": "−14.72% on 58 settled picks across 49 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 7 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 5 new results.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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  {
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   "at": "2026-11-07T00:03:19.781Z",
   "data_version": "2026-11-06.2",
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    "text": "−10.13% on 44 settled picks across 37 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
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    "composition_hash": "727997e412bc40251f696cf1eaf409be10515b73672aa873dbca14b2513425dd",
    "text": "−10.46% on 46 settled picks across 39 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 1 new result.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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  {
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    "composition_hash": "13c0dc7261d725f031b70b2c2fe179705a6aea4a58af09037911418c81b66bf0",
    "text": "+5.88% on 29 settled picks across 24 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "return_percent": "-10.13",
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    "composition_hash": "1651cfa46e9e6972570f0f3e125e1cf9930ed6857ce4ab45b9d7c09806091d76",
    "text": "−10.13% on 44 settled picks across 37 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
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   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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  {
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    "composition_hash": "3c2d193458136d757cf56a6ba0a73ae474692b8836194fec20f4d2a9001301b2",
    "text": "+7.58% on 27 settled picks across 22 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "return_percent": "5.88",
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    "composition_hash": "13c0dc7261d725f031b70b2c2fe179705a6aea4a58af09037911418c81b66bf0",
    "text": "+5.88% on 29 settled picks across 24 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
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  {
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   "url": "/authors/max/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
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    "composition_hash": "1797da9c69c2dcf78c981f85cfdb0fbbccf3a21f8c869a497775c0ccdf07474b",
    "text": "+0.69% on 24 settled picks across 20 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
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    "return_percent": "7.58",
    "settled_picks": 27,
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    "composition_hash": "3c2d193458136d757cf56a6ba0a73ae474692b8836194fec20f4d2a9001301b2",
    "text": "+7.58% on 27 settled picks across 22 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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  {
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   "url": "/authors/max/",
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    "text": "−1.87% on 23 settled picks across 19 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "text": "+0.69% on 24 settled picks across 20 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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  {
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    "text": "−29.57% on 22 settled picks across 18 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "text": "−1.87% on 23 settled picks across 19 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
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  {
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    "text": "+7.31% on 11 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "text": "−29.57% on 22 settled picks across 18 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
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   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
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  {
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   "at": "2026-10-28T01:24:12.367Z",
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    "composition_hash": "9fb1a431d013d1dc8c42d9b89e38ccc4568044645113f3ca926536ffc4323866",
    "text": "+18.04% on 10 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "return_percent": "7.31",
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    "text": "+7.31% on 11 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
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  {
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   "url": "/authors/max/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
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    "composition_hash": "13b22a3ebced9145c84faf74d85c77addf358f3be98dfd1c9df1feff94a9dcce",
    "text": "+96.69 points on 9 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "text": "+18.04% on 10 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
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  {
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    "composition_hash": "a128c8c07e5a3dc95a6c0c2397de1a88d129124ad4b6d5ab6e3f8652f9f5a6f7",
    "text": "+196.69 points on 8 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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   "after": {
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    "composition_hash": "13b22a3ebced9145c84faf74d85c77addf358f3be98dfd1c9df1feff94a9dcce",
    "text": "+96.69 points on 9 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
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   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
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  {
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    "composition_hash": "680328d6a5a74ccd17671147ac5e0e7fea4459964226fdbe40113c6ebb8f1caa",
    "text": "+135.69 points on 7 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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   "after": {
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    "composition_hash": "a128c8c07e5a3dc95a6c0c2397de1a88d129124ad4b6d5ab6e3f8652f9f5a6f7",
    "text": "+196.69 points on 8 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
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  {
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   "at": "2026-10-22T22:37:17.307Z",
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   "url": "/authors/max/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
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    "composition_hash": "d82cec0390ef6c3cd4265f9388867b512e02caca637d5c61ee6a3210b569dee8",
    "text": "+153.05 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-22.6",
    "return_percent": "19.38",
    "settled_picks": 7,
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    "series_code": "market_price",
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    "composition_hash": "680328d6a5a74ccd17671147ac5e0e7fea4459964226fdbe40113c6ebb8f1caa",
    "text": "+135.69 points on 7 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
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  {
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   "at": "2026-10-22T13:04:00.441Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-22.4",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-22.3",
   "url": "/authors/max/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
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    "composition_hash": "8d0d4fe2a08d6854f92ff3025e43d088b93a9f45e059c99cc81734d483689cfb",
    "text": "+91.05 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-22.4",
    "return_percent": "30.61",
    "settled_picks": 5,
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    "series_code": "market_price",
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    "composition_hash": "d82cec0390ef6c3cd4265f9388867b512e02caca637d5c61ee6a3210b569dee8",
    "text": "+153.05 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
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  {
   "id": "zc-ad79b8a91b2850ec01a0",
   "at": "2026-10-22T03:02:07.338Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-22.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-21.3",
   "url": "/authors/max/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
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    "composition_hash": "38a46b0e73e7e1443c4340d1b25be2b788616cac4a75138be73e3e892acd6acd",
    "text": "+23.48 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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   "after": {
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    "return_percent": "22.76",
    "settled_picks": 4,
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    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "8d0d4fe2a08d6854f92ff3025e43d088b93a9f45e059c99cc81734d483689cfb",
    "text": "+91.05 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-901b5a1cdfc77c70d70f",
   "at": "2026-10-21T02:27:55.722Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-21.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-20.8",
   "url": "/authors/max/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-11.7",
    "return_percent": "60.98",
    "settled_picks": 1,
    "matches": 1,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "80383fbac23e34a4af0b0e3582f4300783cc4bf5c011ed3c8c3d0a84808a5bfc",
    "text": "+60.98 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-21.1",
    "return_percent": "7.83",
    "settled_picks": 3,
    "matches": 3,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "38a46b0e73e7e1443c4340d1b25be2b788616cac4a75138be73e3e892acd6acd",
    "text": "+23.48 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 2,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-691ed62c99890210bca1",
   "at": "2026-10-11T20:14:51.236Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-11.7",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-11.6",
   "url": "/authors/max/",
   "category": "method_changed",
   "category_words": "Method changed",
   "before": null,
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-11.7",
    "return_percent": "60.98",
    "settled_picks": 1,
    "matches": 1,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "80383fbac23e34a4af0b0e3582f4300783cc4bf5c011ed3c8c3d0a84808a5bfc",
    "text": "+60.98 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Method 2.2 (11 October 2026): the live market price of a pick is now the price at the moment we first recorded it (median of bookmakers in our price feed, quote no older than 5 minutes; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, before kick-off), not the price when our checks admitted it. Picks recorded before kick-off but checked after it are now settled the same way; picks with no price at that moment have no return. First headline number for this record: 1 settled pick.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": "i-a22a70f92c857f64c642"
  }
 ],
 "current_predictions": {
  "total_count": 2,
  "on_date": "2026-11-07T19:52",
  "row_list": [
   {
    "record_id": "n-b6991067b1d0f7f88168377b",
    "url": "/authors/max/picks/62/#pick-n-b6991067b1d0f7f88168377b",
    "match": "TSG Hoffenheim v FC Schalke 04",
    "match_url": "/football/matches/tsg-hoffenheim-vs-fc-schalke-04-2026-11-08/",
    "kickoff": "2026-11-08T18:30:00.000Z",
    "competition": "Bundesliga",
    "author_said": "1X2, match result: TSG Hoffenheim at 1.66",
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-07T14:55:47.014Z",
    "platform": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-87c09d429473acfb69c20817",
    "url": "/authors/max/picks/63/#pick-n-87c09d429473acfb69c20817",
    "match": "Wurzburger Kickers v TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II",
    "match_url": "/football/matches/wurzburger-kickers-vs-tsg-1899-hoffenheim-ii-2026-11-08/",
    "kickoff": "2026-11-08T18:30:00.000Z",
    "competition": "3. Liga",
    "author_said": "Double chance: Wurzburger Kickers or draw at 1.61",
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-07T15:23:21.593Z",
    "platform": null
   }
  ]
 },
 "counts_by_slice": {
  "portions": [
   {
    "code": "live",
    "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "settled_picks": 58,
    "total_check": true,
    "market_list": [
     {
      "code_name": "total",
      "in_words": "Over/under goals",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 18,
      "won": 8,
      "void": 1,
      "net_points_hundredths": -38680,
      "return_percent": "-22.8",
      "period_from": "2026-10-20",
      "period_to": "2026-11-07",
      "small_sample": false,
      "average_odds": "1.68",
      "odds_from_author": 17,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 1
     },
     {
      "code_name": "1x2",
      "in_words": "Match result",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 12,
      "won": 4,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -56514,
      "return_percent": "-47.1",
      "period_from": "2026-10-11",
      "period_to": "2026-11-05",
      "small_sample": false,
      "average_odds": "1.73",
      "odds_from_author": 12,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     },
     {
      "code_name": "correct_score_market",
      "in_words": "Correct score",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 9,
      "won": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -22000,
      "return_percent": "-24.4",
      "period_from": "2026-10-31",
      "period_to": "2026-11-07",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "8.48",
      "odds_from_author": 0,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 9
     },
     {
      "code_name": "handicap_asian",
      "in_words": "Asian handicap",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 7,
      "won": 5,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 11667,
      "return_percent": "16.7",
      "period_from": "2026-10-21",
      "period_to": "2026-11-07",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.67",
      "odds_from_author": 7,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     },
     {
      "code_name": "double_chance",
      "in_words": "Double chance",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 4,
      "won": 4,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 26423,
      "return_percent": "66.1",
      "period_from": "2026-10-22",
      "period_to": "2026-11-05",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.67",
      "odds_from_author": 3,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 1
     },
     {
      "code_name": "team_total",
      "in_words": "Team goals",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 4,
      "won": 3,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 9900,
      "return_percent": "24.8",
      "period_from": "2026-10-31",
      "period_to": "2026-11-07",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.68",
      "odds_from_author": 4,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     },
     {
      "code_name": "both_teams_score",
      "in_words": "Both teams to score",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 2,
      "won": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -3243,
      "return_percent": "-16.2",
      "period_from": "2026-10-14",
      "period_to": "2026-10-21",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.65",
      "odds_from_author": 2,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     },
     {
      "code_name": "draw_no_bet",
      "in_words": "Draw no bet",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 2,
      "won": 0,
      "void": 1,
      "net_points_hundredths": -10000,
      "return_percent": "-100.0",
      "period_from": "2026-11-05",
      "period_to": "2026-11-05",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.81",
      "odds_from_author": 2,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     }
    ],
    "leagues": [
     {
      "code_name": "Bundesliga",
      "in_words": "Bundesliga",
      "url": "/football/competitions/bundesliga/",
      "settled_picks": 18,
      "won": 7,
      "void": 1,
      "net_points_hundredths": -6907,
      "return_percent": "-4.1",
      "period_from": "2026-10-11",
      "period_to": "2026-11-07",
      "small_sample": false,
      "average_odds": "3.62",
      "odds_from_author": 11,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 7,
      "league_markets": [
       {
        "code_name": "correct_score_market",
        "in_words": "Correct score",
        "settled_picks": 5,
        "won": 1,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 18000,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-31",
        "period_to": "2026-11-07",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "8.62",
        "odds_from_author": 0,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 5
       },
       {
        "code_name": "total",
        "in_words": "Over/under goals",
        "settled_picks": 5,
        "won": 1,
        "void": 1,
        "net_points_hundredths": -23500,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-31",
        "period_to": "2026-11-07",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.71",
        "odds_from_author": 4,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 1
       },
       {
        "code_name": "1x2",
        "in_words": "Match result",
        "settled_picks": 4,
        "won": 2,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -8202,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-11",
        "period_to": "2026-11-01",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.76",
        "odds_from_author": 4,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "team_total",
        "in_words": "Team goals",
        "settled_picks": 2,
        "won": 1,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -4150,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-31",
        "period_to": "2026-11-07",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.67",
        "odds_from_author": 2,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "handicap_asian",
        "in_words": "Asian handicap",
        "settled_picks": 1,
        "won": 1,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 6945,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-11-07",
        "period_to": "2026-11-07",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.68",
        "odds_from_author": 1,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "double_chance",
        "in_words": "Double chance",
        "settled_picks": 1,
        "won": 1,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 4000,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-31",
        "period_to": "2026-10-31",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.40",
        "odds_from_author": 0,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 1
       }
      ]
     },
     {
      "code_name": "UEFA Champions League",
      "in_words": "UEFA Champions League",
      "url": "/football/competitions/uefa-champions-league/",
      "settled_picks": 14,
      "won": 10,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 23366,
      "return_percent": "16.7",
      "period_from": "2026-10-14",
      "period_to": "2026-11-04",
      "small_sample": false,
      "average_odds": "1.66",
      "odds_from_author": 14,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0,
      "league_markets": [
       {
        "code_name": "total",
        "in_words": "Over/under goals",
        "settled_picks": 4,
        "won": 3,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 7945,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-20",
        "period_to": "2026-11-04",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.65",
        "odds_from_author": 4,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "handicap_asian",
        "in_words": "Asian handicap",
        "settled_picks": 3,
        "won": 3,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 18222,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-21",
        "period_to": "2026-11-03",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.68",
        "odds_from_author": 3,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "1x2",
        "in_words": "Match result",
        "settled_picks": 3,
        "won": 1,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -14012,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-20",
        "period_to": "2026-11-04",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.66",
        "odds_from_author": 3,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "both_teams_score",
        "in_words": "Both teams to score",
        "settled_picks": 2,
        "won": 1,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -3243,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-14",
        "period_to": "2026-10-21",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.65",
        "odds_from_author": 2,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "double_chance",
        "in_words": "Double chance",
        "settled_picks": 1,
        "won": 1,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 7704,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-11-04",
        "period_to": "2026-11-04",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.74",
        "odds_from_author": 1,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "team_total",
        "in_words": "Team goals",
        "settled_picks": 1,
        "won": 1,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 6750,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-11-04",
        "period_to": "2026-11-04",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.65",
        "odds_from_author": 1,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       }
      ]
     },
     {
      "code_name": "UEFA Conference League",
      "in_words": "UEFA Conference League",
      "url": "/football/competitions/uefa-conference-league/",
      "settled_picks": 12,
      "won": 4,
      "void": 1,
      "net_points_hundredths": -44800,
      "return_percent": "-40.7",
      "period_from": "2026-10-22",
      "period_to": "2026-11-05",
      "small_sample": false,
      "average_odds": "3.37",
      "odds_from_author": 9,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 3,
      "league_markets": [
       {
        "code_name": "correct_score_market",
        "in_words": "Correct score",
        "settled_picks": 3,
        "won": 0,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -30000,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-11-05",
        "period_to": "2026-11-05",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "8.33",
        "odds_from_author": 0,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 3
       },
       {
        "code_name": "total",
        "in_words": "Over/under goals",
        "settled_picks": 3,
        "won": 1,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -14300,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-22",
        "period_to": "2026-11-05",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.71",
        "odds_from_author": 3,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "draw_no_bet",
        "in_words": "Draw no bet",
        "settled_picks": 2,
        "won": 0,
        "void": 1,
        "net_points_hundredths": -10000,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-11-05",
        "period_to": "2026-11-05",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.81",
        "odds_from_author": 2,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "1x2",
        "in_words": "Match result",
        "settled_picks": 2,
        "won": 1,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -4300,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-11-05",
        "period_to": "2026-11-05",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.67",
        "odds_from_author": 2,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "handicap_asian",
        "in_words": "Asian handicap",
        "settled_picks": 1,
        "won": 1,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 6500,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-11-05",
        "period_to": "2026-11-05",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.66",
        "odds_from_author": 1,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "team_total",
        "in_words": "Team goals",
        "settled_picks": 1,
        "won": 1,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 7300,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-11-05",
        "period_to": "2026-11-05",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.72",
        "odds_from_author": 1,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       }
      ]
     },
     {
      "code_name": "UEFA Europa League",
      "in_words": "UEFA Europa League",
      "url": "/football/competitions/uefa-europa-league/",
      "settled_picks": 7,
      "won": 3,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -19481,
      "return_percent": "-27.8",
      "period_from": "2026-10-22",
      "period_to": "2026-11-05",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "2.66",
      "odds_from_author": 6,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 1,
      "league_markets": [
       {
        "code_name": "double_chance",
        "in_words": "Double chance",
        "settled_picks": 2,
        "won": 2,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 14719,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-22",
        "period_to": "2026-11-05",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.77",
        "odds_from_author": 2,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "total",
        "in_words": "Over/under goals",
        "settled_picks": 2,
        "won": 1,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -4200,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-11-05",
        "period_to": "2026-11-05",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.65",
        "odds_from_author": 2,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "handicap_asian",
        "in_words": "Asian handicap",
        "settled_picks": 1,
        "won": 0,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -10000,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-11-05",
        "period_to": "2026-11-05",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.62",
        "odds_from_author": 1,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "correct_score_market",
        "in_words": "Correct score",
        "settled_picks": 1,
        "won": 0,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -10000,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-11-05",
        "period_to": "2026-11-05",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "8.20",
        "odds_from_author": 0,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 1
       },
       {
        "code_name": "1x2",
        "in_words": "Match result",
        "settled_picks": 1,
        "won": 0,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -10000,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-11-05",
        "period_to": "2026-11-05",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.95",
        "odds_from_author": 1,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       }
      ]
     },
     {
      "code_name": "3. Liga",
      "in_words": "3. Liga",
      "url": "/football/competitions/3-liga/",
      "settled_picks": 3,
      "won": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -11625,
      "return_percent": "-38.8",
      "period_from": "2026-10-25",
      "period_to": "2026-10-31",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.72",
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