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points", "fragment_from": 3252, "fragment_to": 3312, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/plymouth-argyle/preview/plymouth-vs-reading-prediction-team-news-lineups_607988.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Matthew Cooper", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "deed307d5b555cf5828e7d4f5a205450a78ae5122481ffe6f513d95c723034ef", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T16:03:47.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:10:04.256Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "recognised", "cause": "", "cause_code": "disputed_reading", "event": { "event_id": "s-d5b344ae4ad6", "display_name": "Plymouth Argyle — Reading", "competition_name": "EFL League One", "starts_at": "2026-10-31T12:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/plymouth-argyle-vs-reading-2026-10-31/", "scoreline": "0-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": 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null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-e1c4a419e9b43fdf8d836cfd", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-e1c4a419e9b43fdf8d836cfd", "quote_text": "Sports Mole has taken a look at five of the biggest giant-killings in the competition's history.", "fragment_from": 1005, "fragment_to": 1101, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": 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"fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-10-28T15:20:49.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-28T16:10:17.581Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-562db1fcdb3016f9b9b872fd", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-562db1fcdb3016f9b9b872fd", "quote_text": "Fleetwood Town produced one of the biggest shocks in EFL Cup history on 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"medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/leicester-city/preview/leicester-vs-doncaster-prediction-team-news-lineups_606957.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Matthew Cooper", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "41635afe6e67dfd387e8107f12b1767a6e957a3011704efb069351f573290805", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-15T12:04:49.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-15T13:09:48.923Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "ambiguous", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": 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"https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/marseille/preview/marseille-vs-olympiacos-prediction-team-news-lineups_606818.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Matthew Cooper", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "66bfe47e39e8d91370230869f6b87d4b715106819b84f7cb43540714d72aadf0", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-13T14:58:27.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-13T17:09:49.316Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-13T14:58:27.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-10-13T14:58:27.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-13T17:09:49.316Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-927ac4eedc38dccbba75e9bf", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-927ac4eedc38dccbba75e9bf", "quote_text": "Marseille possible starting lineup:", "fragment_from": 3079, "fragment_to": 3114, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/marseille/preview/marseille-vs-olympiacos-prediction-team-news-lineups_606818.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Matthew Cooper", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "66bfe47e39e8d91370230869f6b87d4b715106819b84f7cb43540714d72aadf0", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-13T14:58:27.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-13T17:09:49.316Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": 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Won 1 of 1 settled live pick at our recorded market prices. Of the 34 predictions we hold for Matthew Cooper, 27 are linked to matches: 27 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Settled live picks", "value": "1", "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick", "note": null }, { "label": "Matches", "value": "1", "anchor": "/methodology/#match", "note": null }, { "label": "Net result", "value": "+110 points", "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement", "note": "100 points per pick" }, { "label": "Return at our recorded market price", "value": "+110.0%", "anchor": "/methodology/#roi", "note": null } ], "limitations": [], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": { "part": "live", "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "match_dates": 1, "period_from": "2026-11-03", "period_to": "2026-11-03", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": 11000, "low": { "date": "2026-11-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 11000, "after_picks": 1 }, "high": { "date": "2026-11-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 11000, "after_picks": 1 }, "line_drawn": false, "steps": [ { "date": "2026-11-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 11000, "n": 1, "picks": 1 } ] }, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record recorded 1 settled live pick by Matthew Cooper before kick-off across 1 match on 3 November 2026. Won 1 of 1 settled live pick at our recorded market prices. Of the 34 predictions we hold for Matthew Cooper, 27 are linked to matches: 27 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/matthew-cooper/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2" }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 34, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 7, "proven_predictions": 27, "proven_checked": 27, "proven_measured": 24, "proven_dates": 10, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 27, "checked": 27, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": { "settled_picks": 1, "void": 0, "matches": 1, "net_points_hundredths": 11000, "staked_hundredths": 10000, "return_percent": "110.00", "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval", "period_from": "2026-11-03", "period_to": "2026-11-03", "method_version": "2.2", "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0", "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.0", "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 0 }, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 23, "exact_hits": 2, "exact_rate": 8.7, "outcome_checked": 23, "outcome_hits": 11, "outcome_rate": 47.8, "baseline_matches": 13, "baseline_distinct_matches": 13, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 7, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 53.8, "favourite_hits": 8, "favourite_rate": 61.5, "price_basis": "our pre-match snapshot", "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [ "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.", "2 of 23 score forecasts named the exact score (8.7%).", "The result implied by the named score was right in 7 of 13 matches; the market favourite was right in 8 of the same 13 matches.", "A pre-match market favourite is known for 13 of 23 forecasts; the comparison uses only those.", "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest price in our own odds snapshot taken before kick-off.", "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win)." ] }, "eligible": { "checked": 27, "priced": 1 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 1, "won": 1, "won_percent": "100.0", "implied_percent": "47.6", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Match result", "won": 1, "picks": 1, "implied_percent": "47.6" } ] } }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [ "n-088fb03a27ad10959b88d24f" ], "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 3 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2", "record_from": "2026-09-27", "record_to": "2026-11-07" }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-088fb03a27ad10959b88d24f", "url": "/authors/matthew-cooper/picks/3/#pick-n-088fb03a27ad10959b88d24f", "match": "Preston North End v Sheffield United", "match_url": "/football/matches/preston-north-end-vs-sheffield-united-2026-11-03/", "kickoff": "2026-11-03T19:45:00.000Z", "competition": "EFL Championship", "lead_hours": 55.6, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Sheffield United", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "2-3", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 11000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": null, "settled_price": "2.1000", "published_at": "2026-11-01T11:47:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-01T12:10:03.213Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "2", "price": "2.1000", "result": "Won", "points_hundredths": 11000, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-088fb03a27ad10959b88d24f", "quote_text": "As a result, we are backing the Blades to pick up a big win.", "fragment_from": 3111, "fragment_to": 3171, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/preston-north-end/preview/preston-vs-sheff-utd-prediction-team-news-lineups_608192.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Matthew Cooper", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "e76f592672fc7666531d8dc7e80747ce1224159769be8549f33f9a9803390d23", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-01T11:47:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-01T12:10:03.213Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-02T18:33:40.367Z", "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-bc2859f14969", "display_name": "Preston North End — Sheffield United", "competition_name": "EFL Championship", "starts_at": "2026-11-03T19:45:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/preston-north-end-vs-sheffield-united-2026-11-03/", "scoreline": "2-3", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Sheffield United", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": "2.1000", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-01T12:08:53.542Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 11000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-01T11:47:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-01T11:47:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-01T12:10:03.213Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Sheffield United", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Sheffield United" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "2-3", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Preston North End 2-3 Sheffield United." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "1f2541b36c7082199ba13b19e023ea5a390e83ec855bde229708a59b70d918f9", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Sheffield United", "decimal_odds": "2.1000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 11000, "executed_at": "2026-11-02T18:33:40.367Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Matthew Cooper", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Matthew Cooper", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/preston-north-end/preview/preston-vs-sheff-utd-prediction-team-news-lineups_608192.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Sheffield United to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-5229b0ceda6cdc9a0a36cbfb", "url": "/authors/matthew-cooper/picks/3/#pick-n-5229b0ceda6cdc9a0a36cbfb", "match": "Queens Park Rangers v Burnley", "match_url": "/football/matches/queens-park-rangers-vs-burnley-2026-11-03/", "kickoff": "2026-11-03T19:45:00.000Z", "competition": "EFL Championship", "lead_hours": 53.6, "market_code": "correct_score_market", "author_said": "Correct score: Queens Park Rangers 2-1 Burnley", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-1", "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score", "reason_code": "score_without_price", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-11-01T13:00:21.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-01T14:10:26.727Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "1", "price": "2.0000", "result": "Lost", "points_hundredths": -10000, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-5229b0ceda6cdc9a0a36cbfb", "quote_text": "We say: Queens Park Rangers 2-1 Burnley", "fragment_from": 2823, "fragment_to": 2862, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/qpr/preview/qpr-vs-burnley-prediction-team-news-lineups_608199.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Matthew Cooper", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "33d31d4d3167100a09705da9ab8f864f20344757e244d0e940e5714a1994a231", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-01T13:00:21.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-01T14:10:26.727Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-48454b875f50", "display_name": "Queens Park Rangers — Burnley", "competition_name": "EFL Championship", "starts_at": "2026-11-03T19:45:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/queens-park-rangers-vs-burnley-2026-11-03/", "scoreline": "1-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "Queens Park Rangers 2-1 Burnley", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-01T13:00:21.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-01T13:00:21.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-01T14:10:26.727Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Queens Park Rangers 2-1 Burnley", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "2-1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Queens Park Rangers 2-1 Burnley" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Queens Park Rangers 1-1 Burnley." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "5ece1f6a27b67395683945987cef9285cf70293664b32ca0124d6087725cdcb8", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Queens Park Rangers", "decimal_odds": "2.0000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-02T17:59:58.815Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Matthew Cooper", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Matthew Cooper", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/qpr/preview/qpr-vs-burnley-prediction-team-news-lineups_608199.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Queens Park Rangers 2-1 Burnley" } }, { "record_id": "n-42b5839439b546bbc2e4f325", "url": "/authors/matthew-cooper/picks/3/#pick-n-42b5839439b546bbc2e4f325", "match": "Watford v Lincoln City", "match_url": "/football/matches/watford-vs-lincoln-city-2026-11-03/", "kickoff": "2026-11-03T19:45:00.000Z", "competition": "EFL Championship", "lead_hours": 54.6, "market_code": "correct_score_market", "author_said": "Correct score: Watford 1-1 Lincoln City", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-0", "reason": "score forecast without a price, graded against the final score", "reason_code": "score_without_price", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-11-01T12:28:07.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-01T13:10:36.932Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "1", "price": "2.4000", "result": "Won", "points_hundredths": 14000, "picked_favourite": false }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-42b5839439b546bbc2e4f325", "quote_text": "We say: Watford 1-1 Lincoln City", "fragment_from": 2623, "fragment_to": 2655, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/watford/preview/watford-vs-lincoln-prediction-team-news-lineups_608197.html", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Matthew Cooper", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "fb8707f2190a78c43b2449bb18927fc60f48a916706e0be5b7e022d78d1b164c", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-01T12:28:07.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-01T13:10:36.932Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-1442ea8592fd", "display_name": "Watford — Lincoln City", "competition_name": "EFL Championship", "starts_at": "2026-11-03T19:45:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/watford-vs-lincoln-city-2026-11-03/", "scoreline": "1-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "Watford 1-1 Lincoln City", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-01T12:28:07.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-01T12:28:07.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-01T13:10:36.932Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "Watford 1-1 Lincoln City", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "1-1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Watford 1-1 Lincoln City" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Watford 1-0 Lincoln City." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "846240d05f229bcc90088aa3a1c157111ec1a5f7ff7140602b1f7acb3c5899fe", "series_key": "derived_series", "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": "3.3400", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-02T18:33:41.191Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": false, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Matthew Cooper", "publisher": "Sports Mole", "forecaster": "Matthew Cooper", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/watford/preview/watford-vs-lincoln-prediction-team-news-lineups_608197.html", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": 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