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 "heading": "Matteo Oneto: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "Verified record: 22 settled picks by Matteo Oneto recorded before kick-off across 17 matches, 9 Oct 2026 – 7 Nov 2026: +2.8% at our recorded market prices.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 22 settled live picks by Matteo Oneto before kick-off across 17 matches between 9 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +2.8% on the total staked. Of the 117 predictions we hold for Matteo Oneto, 45 are linked to matches: 45 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "key_number": "+2.8%",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot",
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 "data_date": "2026-11-07T17:57:13.848Z",
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  "public_name": "Matteo Oneto",
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   "ci_high": "47.7817",
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   "quote_text": "Per chi decidesse di scommettere su Virtus Entella - Modena, bisogna sapere che Snai mette a disposizione",
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   "url": "/authors/matteo-oneto/picks/7/#pick-n-41a35a3db20a54bacce0a2de",
   "quote_text": "Entrambe le squadre segnano\n\n1.60",
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   "quote_text": "3015€ di bonus Bwin per Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC - Palermo FC",
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   "quote_text": "valuta una probabilità del 70.75% per un pronostico Vittoria Lugano contro FK Zalgiris Kaunas con una quota di 1.2 su SNAI.",
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   "quote_text": "Il nostro pronostico Lugano Kauno Zalgiris è: Over 3.5.\n\nIl pronostico:\n\nOver 3.5 gol\n\n2.00",
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  {
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   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-29de31899349d81ad4cbb019",
   "quote_text": "3015€ di bonus Bwin per FC Copenaghen - FC Iberia 1999",
   "fragment_from": 9479,
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      "match": "AFC Bournemouth v Aston Villa",
      "said_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.65",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": null,
      "url": "/authors/matteo-oneto/picks/6/#pick-n-d4a891d95a0ecac255cceb90"
     }
    ],
    "evidence_total": 4,
    "badge": {
     "variants": [
      {
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       "size": "l",
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     ],
     "card_url": "/b/e-60d42eeee2793bdcc34edd19/s-01-all-event-card.svg"
    },
    "profile_anchor": "title-37081bc598cf",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "streak",
     "priced": 3,
     "unpriced": 1,
     "hits": 3,
     "probability": 0.186398,
     "one_in": 5,
     "log10": -0.73,
     "words": "1 in 5",
     "rule": "product of the market probabilities (1/price) of every pick in the run",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "embed_anchor": "title-correct-run"
   }
  ],
  "publication_mode": "top20",
  "empty_reason": null,
  "rules_version": "catalog-1",
  "insufficient": [],
  "badges_on_page": 0,
  "header_titles": [
   {
    "title_id": "zk-37081bc598cf69fab184",
    "code_name": "S-01",
    "title_tier": "dated_record",
    "badge_label": "4 right in a row · 28 Oct",
    "body": "4 matches in a row, every pick correct · 25 Oct–28 Oct 2026",
    "tier": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-37081bc598cf",
    "event_at": "2026-10-28",
    "url": "/titles/s-01-correct-run/#zk-37081bc598cf69fab184"
   }
  ],
  "record_origin": [
   {
    "portion": "live",
    "n": 37,
    "body": "37 recorded before kick-off · since 9 Oct 2026"
   }
  ],
  "recent_record": [
   {
    "code_name": "S-01",
    "body": "4 matches in a row, every pick correct · 25 Oct–28 Oct 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-10-28",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-37081bc598cf"
   }
  ],
  "record_details": [
   {
    "code_name": "M-11",
    "body": "Most recorded: Goals over/under · 14 matches",
    "details_words": "Goals over/under 8/14 (14 matches); Match result (1X2) 7/16 (9 matches); Both teams to score 1/4 (4 matches); Double chance and draw no bet 2/2 (2 matches); Goalscorer picks 0/1 (1 match)",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "display_name": "Most recorded bet type",
    "rule_href": "/titles/m-11-most-recorded-bet-type/"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "X-01",
    "body": "Longest price: correct at 3.00 · 5 Nov 2026",
    "details_words": "Celta Vigo v Union St. Gilloise · Away win at 3.00 (our pre-match price)",
    "url": "/authors/matteo-oneto/picks/6/#pick-n-49968ae344708481cb606629",
    "provenance": "live",
    "display_name": "Correct at a long price",
    "rule_href": "/titles/x-01-correct-at-a-long-price/"
   }
  ],
  "history": []
 },
 "retro": null,
 "late": null,
 "price_vs_market": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "threshold_percent": "5",
  "rows": [
   {
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)",
    "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick",
    "compared": 24,
    "above": 1,
    "above_share_percent": "4.2",
    "below": 4,
    "within": 19,
    "median_difference_percent": "-1.3",
    "not_comparable": 0,
    "disputed": 0,
    "status": "calculated"
   }
  ],
  "examples": [
   {
    "url": "/authors/matteo-oneto/picks/6/#pick-n-3b9e703f28b3c22fc197c0e4",
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "stated": "3.00",
    "market": "3.60",
    "difference_percent": "-16.7"
   },
   {
    "url": "/authors/matteo-oneto/picks/2/#pick-n-6ef780e4ecd70618f2aad619",
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "stated": "1.95",
    "market": "2.15",
    "difference_percent": "-9.3"
   }
  ],
  "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way."
 },
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "person",
  "entity_words": "Individual author",
  "source": {
   "name": "sportytrader.it",
   "url": "https://www.sportytrader.it/pronostici/vitoria-guimaraes-porto-385700/"
  },
  "observed_from": "2026-10-09",
  "observed_to": "2026-11-06",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "state": "settled",
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price",
  "restored": false,
  "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
  "headline_part": "live",
  "settled_picks": 22,
  "matches": 17,
  "void": 1,
  "net_points_hundredths": 5962,
  "staked_hundredths": 210000,
  "return_percent": "2.84",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2026-10-09",
  "period_to": "2026-11-07",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "short_history": true,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 22 settled live picks by Matteo Oneto before kick-off across 17 matches between 9 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +2.8% on the total staked. Of the 117 predictions we hold for Matteo Oneto, 45 are linked to matches: 45 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled live picks",
    "value": "22",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": "1 void"
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "17",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "+59.62 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "value": "+2.8%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": "95% interval −39.7% to +47.8%"
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [
   {
    "date": "2026-10-09",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 6827,
    "n": 1
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-10",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 18089,
    "n": 4
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-15",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 8089,
    "n": 5
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-22",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 16089,
    "n": 6
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-24",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10061,
    "n": 11
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-26",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -1761,
    "n": 12
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-28",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 12483,
    "n": 14
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-05",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 15962,
    "n": 21
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-07",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 5962,
    "n": 22
   }
  ],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": {
    "part": "live",
    "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.",
    "settled_picks": 22,
    "matches": 17,
    "match_dates": 9,
    "period_from": "2026-10-09",
    "period_to": "2026-11-07",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": 5962,
    "low": {
     "date": "2026-10-24",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10061,
     "after_picks": 11
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2026-10-10",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 18089,
     "after_picks": 4
    },
    "line_drawn": true,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2026-10-09",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 6827,
      "n": 1,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-10",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 18089,
      "n": 4,
      "picks": 3
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-15",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 8089,
      "n": 5,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-22",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 16089,
      "n": 6,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-24",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10061,
      "n": 11,
      "picks": 5
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-26",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -1761,
      "n": 12,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-28",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 12483,
      "n": 14,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-05",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 15962,
      "n": 21,
      "picks": 7
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-07",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 5962,
      "n": 22,
      "picks": 1
     }
    ]
   },
   "archived": null
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 22 settled live picks by Matteo Oneto before kick-off across 17 matches between 9 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +2.8% on the total staked. Of the 117 predictions we hold for Matteo Oneto, 45 are linked to matches: 45 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/matteo-oneto/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "2.2"
  },
  "origin": {
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   "predictions": 117,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 72,
   "proven_predictions": 45,
   "proven_checked": 39,
   "proven_measured": 22,
   "proven_dates": 10,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 45,
     "checked": 39,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": {
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      "void": 1,
      "matches": 17,
      "net_points_hundredths": 5962,
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      "return_percent": "2.84",
      "interval_low": "-39.68",
      "interval_high": "47.78",
      "interval_note": null,
      "period_from": "2026-10-09",
      "period_to": "2026-11-07",
      "method_version": "2.2",
      "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0",
      "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.1",
      "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 5
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "author_price",
       "picks": 22,
       "return_main_percent": "2.84",
       "return_other_percent": "0.71",
       "settled_excluding_void": 21,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 5962,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 1500,
       "period_from": "2026-10-09",
       "period_to": "2026-11-07"
      },
      {
       "price": "Closing price",
       "series_code": "closing_live",
       "picks": 19,
       "return_main_percent": "19.98",
       "return_other_percent": "18.83",
       "settled_excluding_void": 18,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 35962,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 33892,
       "period_from": "2026-10-09",
       "period_to": "2026-11-05"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 39,
      "priced": 22
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 21,
      "won": 11,
      "won_percent": "52.4",
      "implied_percent": "53.0",
      "left_out": 1,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 7,
        "picks": 11,
        "implied_percent": "55.5"
       },
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 3,
        "picks": 5,
        "implied_percent": "47.8"
       },
       {
        "market": "Both teams to score",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 4,
        "implied_percent": "59.0"
       },
       {
        "market": "Player to score",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "26.7"
       }
      ]
     },
     "reviewed_after": {
      "predictions": 9,
      "right": 4,
      "wrong": 5,
      "other": 0
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
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      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
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      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    }
   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": null,
  "headline_record_ids": [
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   "n-fe9b59f8724ac797d0aa1204"
  ],
  "interval_low": "-39.68",
  "interval_high": "47.78",
  "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 9 October – 7 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2",
  "record_from": "2026-10-09",
  "record_to": "2026-11-07"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-9c8d19bf1e648ca7f4d0cb10",
   "url": "/authors/matteo-oneto/picks/7/#pick-n-9c8d19bf1e648ca7f4d0cb10",
   "match": "Pisa v Südtirol",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/pisa-vs-sudtirol-2026-11-07/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-07T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Serie B",
   "lead_hours": 47.6,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Pisa at 1.6",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "2-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": "1.6",
   "settled_price": "1.5920",
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T14:24:45.207Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "1",
    "price": "1.5920",
    "result": "Lost",
    "points_hundredths": -10000,
    "picked_favourite": true
   },
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-9c8d19bf1e648ca7f4d0cb10",
    "quote_text": "Pisa vince\n\n1.60",
    "fragment_from": 9372,
    "fragment_to": 9388,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.sportytrader.it/pronostici/pisa-sudtirol-385389/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Matteo Oneto",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
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     "bundle_id": "9d235e977c8a16912bd27d6a9668d2184d9188d42d8a4e38719303bcf990c892",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": null,
    "detected_at": "2026-11-05T14:24:45.207Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-05T14:25:35.145Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-3a66071fbb91",
     "display_name": "Pisa — Südtirol",
     "competition_name": "Serie B",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-07T14:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/pisa-vs-sudtirol-2026-11-07/",
     "scoreline": "2-2",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "Pisa",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.6",
     "our_snapshot": "1.5920",
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   "quote": "Entrambe le squadre segnano? No\n\n2.10",
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   "quote": "Borussia Dortmund vince\n\nQuota\n1.72",
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   "quote": "Guirassy marcatore\n\nQuota\n2.00",
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   "quote": "Il nostro pronostico Borussia Dortmund Betis è: Gol + Over 2.5.\n\nIl pronostico:\n\nGol + Over 2.5\n\n1.75",
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   "quote": "Sporting Lisbona vince\n\nQuota\n2.00",
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   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Luis Suarez marcatore\n\nQuota\n2.09",
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   "quote": "Il nostro pronostico Eintracht Francoforte Amburgo è: Under 3.5.\n\nIl pronostico:\n\nUnder 3.5 gol\n\n1.53",
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   "quote": "Il nostro pronostico Royale Union Saint Gilloise Cercle Brugge è: No Gol.\n\nIl pronostico:\n\nEntrambe le squadre segnano? No\n\n1.90",
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   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "quote": "Entrambe le squadre segnano? No\n\n2.05",
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   "quote": "Under 3.5 gol\n\n2.00",
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   "quote": "L'Hajduk Spalato ha la grande occasione di portarsi a sei punti dopo due giornate e ne approfitterà.",
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   "quote": "Salah marcatore\n\nQuota\n1.80",
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   "quote": "Entrambe le squadre segnano\n\n1.70",
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   "quote": "Dion Beljo marcatore\n\nQuota\n2.00",
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   "quote": "Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC vince\n\n1.87",
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   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-15T13:09:45.433Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
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   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-65c6b5ae13c2705bd71e38bc",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Matanovic marcatore\n\nQuota\n1.80",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
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   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T19:55:17.280Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-ec0d2597053ece75474bda2a",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Friburgo vince\n\nQuota\n1.27",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T19:55:17.280Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-0852bd8ffc5e46616012f42a",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Il nostro pronostico Friburgo Jablonec è: Over 3.5.\n\nIl pronostico:\n\nOver 3.5 gol\n\n2.20",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T19:55:17.280Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-e8f4424090f36f4627294005",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Kostoulas marcatore\n\nQuota\n2.20",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T19:55:16.881Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-139152eb82c26f902943f376",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Brighton vince\n\nQuota\n1.02",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T19:55:16.881Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-9de567006fca608672901a05",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Under 4.5 gol\n\n1.93",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T19:55:16.881Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-274c8da51e375eaafcd28a8b",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "X o Levski Sofia\n\n1.90",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "ambiguous",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T19:39:46.482Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-9965f11952773def73a36728",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Entrambe le squadre segnano\n\n1.73",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:20:57.979Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-da33b54af12d75aeed19038a",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Over 2.5 gol\n\n1.72",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T14:15:56.114Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-0096216e7014d37f6f2cb3f2",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Il pronostico:\n\nUnder 2.5 gol\n\n1.72",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T13:56:35.145Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-c759a2bb35002f072233ab10",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Entrambe le squadre segnano\n\n1.7",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T13:54:52.811Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-2ca9a0d2157ec4b94d055ec9",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Il pronostico:\n\n1 Handicap + 3\n\n1.85",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T13:47:27.326Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "lead_time": {
  "contract_version": 1,
  "threshold_hours": 2.0,
  "picks": 45,
  "before_kickoff": 45,
  "after_kickoff": 0,
  "at_least_2h": 45,
  "share_2h_plus": 100.0,
  "median_hours": 47.3,
  "min_hours": 4.7,
  "max_hours": 48.8,
  "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off."
 },
 "baseline": {
  "contract_version": 1,
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "rule": "recorded-line-1.0",
  "state": "settled",
  "picks": 19,
  "settled_picks_all": 22,
  "excluded": {
   "market_without_favourite": 2,
   "no_recorded_line": 1,
   "favourite_not_settled": 0
  },
  "staked_hundredths": 190000,
  "author_net_hundredths": 9383,
  "favourite_net_hundredths": -9998,
  "difference_hundredths": 19381,
  "author_return_percent": 4.94,
  "favourite_return_percent": -5.26,
  "author_hit_rate": 52.6,
  "favourite_hit_rate": 52.6,
  "picked_favourite_share": 78.9,
  "by_market": [
   {
    "market_code": "total",
    "picks": 10,
    "staked_hundredths": 100000,
    "author_net_hundredths": 7944,
    "favourite_net_hundredths": 19563,
    "author_hits": 6,
    "favourite_hits": 7,
    "picked_favourite": 7,
    "author_return_percent": 7.94,
    "favourite_return_percent": 19.56
   },
   {
    "market_code": "1x2",
    "picks": 5,
    "staked_hundredths": 50000,
    "author_net_hundredths": 24612,
    "favourite_net_hundredths": -6388,
    "author_hits": 3,
    "favourite_hits": 2,
    "picked_favourite": 4,
    "author_return_percent": 49.22,
    "favourite_return_percent": -12.78
   },
   {
    "market_code": "both_teams_score",
    "picks": 4,
    "staked_hundredths": 40000,
    "author_net_hundredths": -23173,
    "favourite_net_hundredths": -23173,
    "author_hits": 1,
    "favourite_hits": 1,
    "picked_favourite": 4,
    "author_return_percent": -57.93,
    "favourite_return_percent": -57.93
   }
  ],
  "return_over_time": [
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-09T18:30:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": 6827,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 6827
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": 16589,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 16589
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": 28089,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 6589
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-10T17:30:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": 18089,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 13256
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-15T16:45:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": 8089,
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   },
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    "kickoff": "2026-10-22T19:00:00.000Z",
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    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 11256
   },
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    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 17708
   },
   {
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    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -3911,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 7708
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -13911,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -2292
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-24T17:30:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -23911,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -12292
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-24T17:30:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -10061,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 1558
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-26T18:45:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -1761,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 9858
   },
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    "kickoff": "2026-10-28T18:00:00.000Z",
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    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 17010
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-28T19:45:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": 12483,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 24102
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": 2483,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 14102
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-11-05T17:45:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": 8383,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 20002
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -1617,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 10002
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": 19383,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 2
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-11-07T14:00:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": 9383,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -9998
   }
  ],
  "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out."
 },
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 117,
  "pages": 7,
  "page_urls": [
   "/authors/matteo-oneto/",
   "/authors/matteo-oneto/picks/2/",
   "/authors/matteo-oneto/picks/3/",
   "/authors/matteo-oneto/picks/4/",
   "/authors/matteo-oneto/picks/5/",
   "/authors/matteo-oneto/picks/6/",
   "/authors/matteo-oneto/picks/7/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 23,
   "pending": 4,
   "excluded": 90
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 1,
  "first": 1,
  "last": 20,
  "author_url": "/authors/matteo-oneto/",
  "current": true
 },
 "title_tag": "Matteo Oneto Predictions: This Week's Picks & Verified Record",
 "calculator": null,
 "person": {
  "person_id": "o-60d42eeee2793bdcc34edd19",
  "type_code": "individual",
  "name_shown": "Matteo Oneto",
  "main_entity": "e-60d42eeee2793bdcc34edd19",
  "identity": {
   "status": "not_verified",
   "is_verified": false,
   "when": null,
   "source_list": []
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "entity_ref": "e-60d42eeee2793bdcc34edd19",
    "medium": "SportyTrader.it",
    "channel": "section pages",
    "domain": "sportytrader.it",
    "source_info": "sportytrader-it",
    "byline": "Matteo Oneto",
    "url": "/sources/sportytrader-it/",
    "summary": {
     "statements": 635,
     "predictions": 117,
     "settled_picks": 22,
     "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
     "return_percent": 2.84,
     "headline_part": "live",
     "period_from": "2026-10-09",
     "period_to": "2026-11-06"
    }
   }
  ],
  "previously": [],
  "trust_tier": "tracked"
 },
 "data_revision": {
  "data_version": "2026-11-07.2",
  "updated": "2026-11-07",
  "current_release": "2026-11-07.2",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "sample": {
   "settled_picks": 22,
   "matches": 17,
   "void": 1,
   "period_from": "2026-10-09",
   "period_to": "2026-11-07",
   "composition_hash": "1b8f4b00b12a149c317bb1ebe131406c07fa5f9b6d0078a4625f49ec29c166ac"
  },
  "changes_url": "#changes",
  "corrections_url": "/corrections/"
 },
 "number_changes": [
  {
   "id": "zc-24841b981e909ee2ca18",
   "at": "2026-11-07T20:05:20.937Z",
   "data_version": "2026-11-07.2",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-11-07.1",
   "url": "/authors/matteo-oneto/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-11-06.1",
    "return_percent": "4.94",
    "settled_picks": 20,
    "matches": 16,
    "void": 1,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "073632eccc34497a675625f2c7852d172e147ea2d44d38173e2104cae814f73e",
    "text": "+4.94% on 20 settled picks across 16 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-11-07.2",
    "return_percent": "2.84",
    "settled_picks": 22,
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    "void": 1,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "1b8f4b00b12a149c317bb1ebe131406c07fa5f9b6d0078a4625f49ec29c166ac",
    "text": "+2.84% on 22 settled picks across 17 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 1 new result.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 2,
    "removed": 0,
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   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-065ef555f83193fce81c",
   "at": "2026-11-06T14:46:17.511Z",
   "data_version": "2026-11-06.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-11-05.3",
   "url": "/authors/matteo-oneto/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-29.1",
    "return_percent": "8.92",
    "settled_picks": 14,
    "matches": 13,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "bd1c8ce32d0c3ece1a47171c22bf534ed4d39602a7ec08ee2961019a61d1f8e8",
    "text": "+8.92% on 14 settled picks across 13 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-11-06.1",
    "return_percent": "4.94",
    "settled_picks": 20,
    "matches": 16,
    "void": 1,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "073632eccc34497a675625f2c7852d172e147ea2d44d38173e2104cae814f73e",
    "text": "+4.94% on 20 settled picks across 16 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 3 new results.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 6,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-7cfbfe7ec59d4154c9ff",
   "at": "2026-10-29T20:28:50.091Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-29.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-28.4",
   "url": "/authors/matteo-oneto/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-27.1",
    "return_percent": "-1.47",
    "settled_picks": 12,
    "matches": 11,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "806036a8b9a665d65341acdc2b0efdf3fb10bf236300e5f2c77f68e5b7146b23",
    "text": "−1.47% on 12 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-29.1",
    "return_percent": "8.92",
    "settled_picks": 14,
    "matches": 13,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "bd1c8ce32d0c3ece1a47171c22bf534ed4d39602a7ec08ee2961019a61d1f8e8",
    "text": "+8.92% on 14 settled picks across 13 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 1 new result.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 2,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-d662b11cdeae69275348",
   "at": "2026-10-27T07:47:02.386Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-27.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-26.1",
   "url": "/authors/matteo-oneto/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-24.5",
    "return_percent": "-21.56",
    "settled_picks": 10,
    "matches": 9,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "32a639a83153c689fd503d22d2f7bbed4f4e6b0cc7feacd0487e030b6c0c8d70",
    "text": "−21.56% on 10 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-27.1",
    "return_percent": "-1.47",
    "settled_picks": 12,
    "matches": 11,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "806036a8b9a665d65341acdc2b0efdf3fb10bf236300e5f2c77f68e5b7146b23",
    "text": "−1.47% on 12 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 1 new result.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 2,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-1afca634b39308fc5bb2",
   "at": "2026-10-25T01:37:51.007Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-24.5",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-24.4",
   "url": "/authors/matteo-oneto/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-24.4",
    "return_percent": "-31.76",
    "settled_picks": 8,
    "matches": 8,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "9e6c7f83152c6c46782c2cbf1f717155d070061b6f9580e2279f7cbf2f24ccac",
    "text": "−254.11 points on 8 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-24.5",
    "return_percent": "-21.56",
    "settled_picks": 10,
    "matches": 9,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "32a639a83153c689fd503d22d2f7bbed4f4e6b0cc7feacd0487e030b6c0c8d70",
    "text": "−21.56% on 10 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 2,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-2ef84d1e2c168f1a1a85",
   "at": "2026-10-24T16:52:01.947Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-24.4",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-24.3",
   "url": "/authors/matteo-oneto/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-22.6",
    "return_percent": "9.18",
    "settled_picks": 5,
    "matches": 5,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "baaeb81175cf88abcf8ee36d0d44d143063a0ee4fe28c46349b9bed9c8521ee9",
    "text": "+45.89 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-24.4",
    "return_percent": "-31.76",
    "settled_picks": 8,
    "matches": 8,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "9e6c7f83152c6c46782c2cbf1f717155d070061b6f9580e2279f7cbf2f24ccac",
    "text": "−254.11 points on 8 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "3 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 3,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-4ed8fcdd88e60b830193",
   "at": "2026-10-22T22:37:17.307Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-22.6",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-22.5",
   "url": "/authors/matteo-oneto/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-15.7",
    "return_percent": "-8.53",
    "settled_picks": 4,
    "matches": 4,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "1162b17fe9e91f292226e686819b1740ef5a96f7f9b79c66ff12c3fda743caf7",
    "text": "−34.11 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-22.6",
    "return_percent": "9.18",
    "settled_picks": 5,
    "matches": 5,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "baaeb81175cf88abcf8ee36d0d44d143063a0ee4fe28c46349b9bed9c8521ee9",
    "text": "+45.89 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-16d4cedf012ced3f9fc5",
   "at": "2026-10-15T19:51:34.525Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-15.7",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-15.6",
   "url": "/authors/matteo-oneto/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-10.4",
    "return_percent": "21.96",
    "settled_picks": 3,
    "matches": 3,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "7765d7f45614ae72343c8ebb21219fdd4910f21cf74aa84085679bce17210155",
    "text": "+65.89 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-15.7",
    "return_percent": "-8.53",
    "settled_picks": 4,
    "matches": 4,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "1162b17fe9e91f292226e686819b1740ef5a96f7f9b79c66ff12c3fda743caf7",
    "text": "−34.11 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-d88047ef2552c49b8509",
   "at": "2026-10-10T23:53:02.873Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-10.4",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-10.3",
   "url": "/authors/matteo-oneto/",
   "category": "method_changed",
   "category_words": "Method changed",
   "before": null,
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-10.4",
    "return_percent": "21.96",
    "settled_picks": 3,
    "matches": 3,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "7765d7f45614ae72343c8ebb21219fdd4910f21cf74aa84085679bce17210155",
    "text": "+65.89 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Method 2.2 (11 October 2026): the live market price of a pick is now the price at the moment we first recorded it (median of bookmakers in our price feed, quote no older than 5 minutes; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, before kick-off), not the price when our checks admitted it. Picks recorded before kick-off but checked after it are now settled the same way; picks with no price at that moment have no return. First headline number for this record: 3 settled picks.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 3,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": "i-1dbc8c26a3c96042f1ac"
  }
 ],
 "current_predictions": {
  "total_count": 1,
  "on_date": "2026-11-07T19:52",
  "row_list": [
   {
    "record_id": "n-c475881dbd89e606fc540d91",
    "url": "/authors/matteo-oneto/picks/7/#pick-n-c475881dbd89e606fc540d91",
    "match": "Carrarese v Sampdoria",
    "match_url": "/football/matches/carrarese-vs-sampdoria-2026-11-08/",
    "kickoff": "2026-11-08T16:15:00.000Z",
    "competition": "Serie B",
    "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 at 1.77",
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T16:24:42.975Z",
    "platform": null
   }
  ]
 },
 "counts_by_slice": {
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   {
    "code": "live",
    "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "settled_picks": 22,
    "total_check": true,
    "market_list": [
     {
      "code_name": "total",
      "in_words": "Over/under goals",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 11,
      "won": 7,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 14523,
      "return_percent": "13.2",
      "period_from": "2026-10-10",
      "period_to": "2026-11-05",
      "small_sample": false,
      "average_odds": "1.79",
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     },
     {
      "code_name": "1x2",
      "in_words": "Match result",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 5,
      "won": 3,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 24612,
      "return_percent": "49.2",
      "period_from": "2026-10-10",
      "period_to": "2026-11-07",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "2.17",
      "odds_from_author": 5,
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     },
     {
      "code_name": "both_teams_score",
      "in_words": "Both teams to score",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 4,
      "won": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -23173,
      "return_percent": "-57.9",
      "period_from": "2026-10-09",
      "period_to": "2026-11-05",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.64",
      "odds_from_author": 4,
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     },
     {
      "code_name": "player_to_score",
      "in_words": "Player to score",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 2,
      "won": 0,
      "void": 1,
      "net_points_hundredths": -10000,
      "return_percent": "-100.0",
      "period_from": "2026-11-05",
      "period_to": "2026-11-05",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "3.23",
      "odds_from_author": 2,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     }
    ],
    "leagues": [
     {
      "code_name": "Serie B",
      "in_words": "Serie B",
      "url": "/football/competitions/serie-b/",
      "settled_picks": 10,
      "won": 4,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -22409,
      "return_percent": "-22.4",
      "period_from": "2026-10-09",
      "period_to": "2026-11-07",
      "small_sample": false,
      "average_odds": "1.85",
      "odds_from_author": 10,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0,
      "league_markets": [
       {
        "code_name": "total",
        "in_words": "Over/under goals",
        "settled_picks": 4,
        "won": 1,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -22848,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-10",
        "period_to": "2026-10-28",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.89",
        "odds_from_author": 4,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "both_teams_score",
        "in_words": "Both teams to score",
        "settled_picks": 3,
        "won": 1,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -13173,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-09",
        "period_to": "2026-10-24",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.67",
        "odds_from_author": 3,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "1x2",
        "in_words": "Match result",
        "settled_picks": 3,
        "won": 2,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 13612,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-10",
        "period_to": "2026-11-07",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.98",
        "odds_from_author": 3,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       }
      ]
     },
     {
      "code_name": "UEFA Europa League",
      "in_words": "UEFA Europa League",
      "url": "/football/competitions/uefa-europa-league/",
      "settled_picks": 8,
      "won": 4,
      "void": 1,
      "net_points_hundredths": 11479,
      "return_percent": "16.4",
      "period_from": "2026-10-15",
      "period_to": "2026-11-05",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "2.26",
      "odds_from_author": 8,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0,
      "league_markets": [
       {
        "code_name": "total",
        "in_words": "Over/under goals",
        "settled_picks": 4,
        "won": 3,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 10479,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-15",
        "period_to": "2026-11-05",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.67",
        "odds_from_author": 4,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "1x2",
        "in_words": "Match result",
        "settled_picks": 2,
        "won": 1,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 11000,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-11-05",
        "period_to": "2026-11-05",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "2.45",
        "odds_from_author": 2,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "player_to_score",
        "in_words": "Player to score",
        "settled_picks": 2,
        "won": 0,
        "void": 1,
        "net_points_hundredths": -10000,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-11-05",
        "period_to": "2026-11-05",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "3.23",
        "odds_from_author": 2,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       }
      ]
     },
     {
      "code_name": "Bundesliga",
      "in_words": "Bundesliga",
      "url": "/football/competitions/bundesliga/",
      "settled_picks": 1,
      "won": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 11500,
      "return_percent": "115.0",
      "period_from": "2026-10-10",
      "period_to": "2026-10-10",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.95",
      "odds_from_author": 1,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0,
      "league_markets": [
       {
        "code_name": "total",
        "in_words": "Over/under goals",
        "settled_picks": 1,
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